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UGA

Georgia 38 at Tennessee 10

TENN
2023 · Week 12 · Nov 18, 2023 · Neyland Stadium
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Win probability · TENN
modelTENN aheadUGA aheadconfidence bandkey playTENN scoreUGA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 8:14 · Jackson Ross punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Mekhi Mews at the UGA 35
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+58.5+29.30−29.3−58.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 21Home team on offense+0.5Pregame prior−21.8Score differential−0.1Garbage-time factor+0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.3Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 8:04: Carson Beck pass complete to Dillon Bell for 9 yds for a TD (Peyton Woodring KICK) — TENN win probability +1.4 pts (now 28%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 1:31: Carson Beck pass complete to Brock Bowers for 3 yds for a TD (Peyton Woodring KICK) — UGA win probability +15.7 pts (now 88%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 1:31: Timeout Tennessee, clock 01:31 — TENN win probability +5.5 pts (now 17%) (top driver: TENN has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 9:24: Carson Beck pass complete to Marcus Rosemy-Jacksaint for 8 yds for a TD (Peyton Woodring KICK) — UGA win probability +10.1 pts (now 95%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 1:03: Kendall Milton run for 15 yds for a TD (Peyton Woodring KICK) — UGA win probability +3.8 pts (now 99%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TENN made the numbers' call on 7 of 9UGA made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 10:01UGA 4th & 6 at TENN 24, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 67.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.7%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    67.7%
    68% to make
    Punt
    67.1%−0.6
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:14TENN 4th & 3 at TENN 32, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.2%−0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.3%
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:11TENN 4th & 3 at TENN 32, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.6%−0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.7%
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:00UGA 4th & 8 at UGA 39, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.1%−0.3
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.4%
    average punt
  5. Q2 13:06TENN 4th & 2 at TENN 43, down 3
    Close callPunted · 34.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.6%−0.4
    average punt
  6. Q2 6:25TENN 4th & 7 at TENN 39, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.8%−0.2
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.0%
    average punt
  7. Q3 14:10UGA 4th & 7 at UGA 35, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 80.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.5%−0.8
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.3%
    average punt
  8. Q3 13:17TENN 4th & 11 at TENN 23, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.3%−1.5
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.8%
    average punt
  9. Q3 7:30TENN 4th & 25 at TENN 26, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.3%−2.4
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.8%
    average punt
  10. Q4 13:40TENN 4th & 1 at UGA 41, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    0.7%−0.2
    32% to make
    Punt
    0.7%−0.2
    average punt
  11. Q4 12:18TENN 4th & 8 at UGA 37, down 28
    Close callKicked a field goal · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.6%
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.6%−<0.1
    40% to make
    Punt
    0.5%−<0.1
    average punt
  12. Q4 8:52TENN 4th & 4 at UGA 4, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.5%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    0.4%−0.2
    93% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−0.5
    average punt
  13. Q4 1:06UGA 4th & 5 at TENN 39, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.8%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    99.8%−<0.1
    36% to make
    Punt
    99.8%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TENN made the numbers' call on 1 of 1UGA made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 14:49TENN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    28.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    28.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 3:17UGA Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    67.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    67.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 8:04UGA Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    72.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 1:31UGA Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 9:24UGA Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 1:03UGA Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TENNDrive 1TD
2 plays · 75 yds · 0:0026% → 26%
Q1 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+75
26.3%
Jaylen Wright run for 75 yds for a TD (Charles Campbell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 2FG
14 plays · 51 yds · 4:4874% → 71%
Q1 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
26.3%
Carson Beck pass complete to Brock Bowers for 4 yds to the UGA 29Similar
Q1 14:49
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+9
26.3%
Daijun Edwards run for 9 yds to the UGA 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:05
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
26.8%
Dillon Bell run for 4 yds to the UGA 42Similar
Q1 14:05
2ND & 6
OWN 42
+18
26.8%
Carson Beck pass complete to Rara Thomas for 18 yds to the TENN 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:05
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+3
26.7%
Daijun Edwards run for 3 yds to the TENN 37Similar
Q1 14:05
2ND & 7
OPP 37
0
26.7%
Carson Beck pass incomplete to Marcus Rosemy-JacksaintSimilar
Q1 14:05
3RD & 7
OPP 37
+9
26.8%
Carson Beck pass complete to Brock Bowers for 9 yds to the TENN 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:05
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+8
26.7%
Carson Beck run for 8 yds to the TENN 36 Carson Beck fumbled, recovered by UGA Carson Beck at TENN33.Similar
Q1 14:05
2ND & 18
OPP 36
0
26.8%
Carson Beck pass incomplete to Brock BowersSimilar
Q1 10:46
3RD & 18
OPP 36
+12
29.6%
Carson Beck pass complete to Brock Bowers for 12 yds to the TENN 24Similar
Q1 10:01
4TH & 6
OPP 24
+42
29.3%
Peyton Woodring 42 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:4729% → 30%
Q1 10:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
29.3%
Jaylen Wright run for 1 yd to the TENN 26Similar
Q1 10:01
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+6
29.2%
Joe Milton III pass complete to Joe Milton III for 6 yds to the TENN 32Similar
Q1 10:01
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
29.2%
Joe Milton III pass complete to Squirrel White for no gain to the TENN 32Similar
Q1 8:14
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
30.2%
Jackson Ross punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Mekhi Mews at the UGA 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 4TD
11 plays · 65 yds · 4:5770% → 71%
Q1 8:14
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
30.2%
Daijun Edwards run for 5 yds to the UGA 40Similar
Q1 8:14
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+1
29.9%
Daijun Edwards run for 1 yd to the UGA 39Similar
Q1 8:14
3RD & 6
OWN 39
+8
30.2%
Carson Beck run for 8 yds to the UGA 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:14
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+1
29.8%
Kendall Milton run for 1 yd to the UGA 48Similar
Q1 8:14
2ND & 9
OWN 48
+21
29.9%
Carson Beck pass complete to Marcus Rosemy-Jacksaint for 21 yds to the TENN 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:14
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+1
29.4%
Kendall Milton run for 1 yd to the TENN 30Similar
Q1 8:14
2ND & 9
OPP 30
+4
29.4%
Daijun Edwards run for 4 yds to the TENN 26Similar
Q1 8:14
3RD & 5
OPP 26
+8
29.6%
Carson Beck pass complete to Brock Bowers for 8 yds to the TENN 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:17
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+18
28.9%
Dillon Bell pass complete to Marcus Rosemy-Jacksaint for 18 yds for a TD (Peyton Woodring KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:0628% → 29%
Q1 3:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
28.4%
Joe Milton III run for 4 yds to the TENN 21Similar
Q1 3:17
2ND & 14
OWN 21
+11
28.3%
Jabari Small run for 11 yds to the TENN 32Similar
Q1 3:17
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
28.3%
Joe Milton III pass incomplete to Squirrel WhiteSimilar
Q1 2:11
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
28.8%
Jackson Ross punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Mekhi Mews at the UGA 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 6PUNT
7 plays · 12 yds · 1:5670% → 70%
Q1 1:56
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+10
30.4%
(02:11) Shotgun Beck,Carson pass intercepted by Slaughter,Doneiko at TENN47 Slaughter,Doneiko return 32 yards to the UGA21 (Fairchild,Dylan) PENALTY TENN Holding (Slaughter,Doneiko) 10 yards from UGA27 to UGA37, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 1:55
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
28.7%
Kendall Milton run for 2 yds to the UGA 39Similar
Q1 1:55
2ND & 8
OWN 39
0
28.3%
Carson Beck pass incomplete to Dominic LovettSimilar
Q1 1:55
3RD & 8
OWN 39
-5
28.8%
PENALTY UGA False Start (Van Pran,Sedrick) 5 yards from UGA39 to UGA34. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 1:55
3RD & 13
OWN 34
+5
29.5%
Carson Beck pass complete to Daijun Edwards for 5 yds to the UGA 39Similar
Q1 0:00
4TH & 8
OWN 39
0
29.6%
Brett Thorson punt for 47 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 7PUNT
7 plays · 29 yds · 1:5429% → 31%
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+11
28.7%
Joe Milton III pass complete to Squirrel White for 11 yds to the TENN 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
28.8%
Joe Milton III pass complete to Squirrel White for 5 yds to the TENN 30Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+5
29.0%
Jabari Small run for 5 yds to the TENN 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
29.0%
Joe Milton III pass incomplete to Ramel KeytonSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+8
28.8%
Dylan Sampson run for 8 yds to the TENN 43Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 43
0
29.7%
Joe Milton III pass incomplete to Squirrel WhiteSimilar
Q2 13:06
4TH & 2
OWN 43
0
30.5%
Jackson Ross punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Mekhi Mews at the UGA 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 8TD
11 plays · 80 yds · 5:0271% → 72%
Q2 13:06
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+17
29.4%
Carson Beck pass complete to Dillon Bell for 17 yds to the UGA 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:06
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+6
27.6%
Carson Beck pass complete to Marcus Rosemy-Jacksaint for 6 yds to the UGA 43Similar
Q2 13:06
2ND & 4
OWN 43
+11
27.2%
Kendall Milton run for 11 yds to the TENN 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:06
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+1
26.8%
Kendall Milton run for 1 yd to the TENN 45Similar
Q2 13:06
2ND & 9
OPP 45
+3
26.8%
Carson Beck pass complete to Marcus Rosemy-Jacksaint for 3 yds to the TENN 42Similar
Q2 13:06
3RD & 6
OPP 42
+10
27.0%
Carson Beck pass complete to Daijun Edwards for 10 yds to the TENN 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:06
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+21
26.3%
Carson Beck pass complete to Brock Bowers for 21 yds to the TENN 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:06
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+2
26.1%
Carson Beck run for 2 yds to the TENN 9Similar
Q2 8:04
2ND & 8
OPP 9
+9
27.6%
Carson Beck pass complete to Dillon Bell for 9 yds for a TD (Peyton Woodring KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 9PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 1:3927% → 27%
Q2 8:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
26.8%
Joe Milton III run for 3 yds to the TENN 28Similar
Q2 8:04
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+8
26.9%
Squirrel White run for 8 yds to the TENN 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:04
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
27.4%
Joe Milton III pass complete to Dylan Sampson for 2 yds to the TENN 38Similar
Q2 8:04
2ND & 8
OWN 38
+1
27.6%
Dylan Sampson run for 1 yd to the TENN 39Similar
Q2 8:04
3RD & 7
OWN 39
0
27.1%
Tennessee Penalty, Ineligible Downfield on Pass (Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 6:25
4TH & 7
OWN 39
+6
26.6%
Jackson Ross punt for 38 yds , Mekhi Mews returns for 6 yds to the UGA 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 10TD
11 plays · 71 yds · 4:5471% → 88%
Q2 6:25
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+1
28.9%
Daijun Edwards run for 1 yd to the UGA 28Similar
Q2 6:25
2ND & 11
OWN 28
-10
29.5%
No Huddle-Shotgun Beck,Carson pass complete short middle to Bell,Dillon for 18 yards to the UGA46 (Slaughter,Doneiko) PENALTY UGA Holding (Truss,Xavier) 10 yards from UGA28 to UGA18. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:25
2ND & 21
OWN 18
+9
29.6%
Carson Beck pass complete to Dominic Lovett for 9 yds to the UGA 27Similar
Q2 6:25
3RD & 12
OWN 27
+21
30.1%
Carson Beck pass complete to Dillon Bell for 21 yds to the UGA 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:25
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+14
28.0%
Kendall Milton run for 14 yds to the TENN 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:25
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
27.8%
Kendall Milton run for no gain to the TENN 38Similar
Q2 6:25
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+34
27.9%
Carson Beck pass complete to Marcus Rosemy-Jacksaint for 34 yds to the TENN 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
27.3%
Daijun Edwards run for 1 yd to the TENN 3Similar
Q2 1:31
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
11.6%
Carson Beck pass complete to Brock Bowers for 3 yds for a TD (Peyton Woodring KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 11FG
13 plays · 56 yds · 1:3117% → 13%
Q2 1:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
17.1%
Joe Milton III pass complete to Chas Nimrod for 7 yds to the TENN 32Similar
Q2 1:31
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+17
16.9%
Joe Milton III pass complete to Kaleb Webb for 17 yds to the TENN 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:31
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+7
18.5%
Joe Milton III pass complete to Chas Nimrod for 7 yds to the UGA 44Similar
Q2 1:31
2ND & 3
OPP 44
+2
17.8%
Jaylen Wright run for 2 yds to the UGA 42Similar
Q2 1:31
3RD & 1
OPP 42
+2
17.3%
Jaylen Wright run for 2 yds to the UGA 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:20
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
13.1%
Joe Milton III pass incomplete to Kaleb WebbSimilar
Q2 0:14
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+21
11.8%
Joe Milton III pass complete to Chas Nimrod for 21 yds to the UGA 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:08
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
13.5%
Joe Milton III pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 19
+37
12.7%
Charles Campbell 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:4382% → 82%
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
18.1%
Carson Beck pass incomplete to Dominic LovettSimilar
Q3 14:53
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+3
18.1%
Carson Beck pass complete to Brock Bowers for 3 yds to the UGA 35Similar
Q3 14:53
3RD & 7
OWN 35
0
18.4%
Carson Beck pass incomplete to Oscar DelpSimilar
Q3 14:10
4TH & 7
OWN 35
0
18.5%
Brett Thorson punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Dee Williams at the TENN 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:5318% → 17%
Q3 14:10
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
18.0%
Joe Milton III pass incomplete to Squirrel WhiteSimilar
Q3 14:10
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+1
17.9%
Jaylen Wright run for 1 yd to the TENN 23Similar
Q3 14:10
3RD & 11
OWN 23
0
17.6%
Joe Milton III pass incomplete to Squirrel WhiteSimilar
Q3 13:17
4TH & 11
OWN 23
0
17.4%
Jackson Ross punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Mekhi Mews at the UGA 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 14TD
8 plays · 70 yds · 3:5383% → 95%
Q3 13:17
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+33
16.8%
Arian Smith run for 33 yds to the TENN 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:17
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+1
15.5%
Kendall Milton run for 1 yd to the TENN 36Similar
Q3 13:17
2ND & 9
OPP 36
+2
15.5%
Kendall Milton run for 2 yds to the TENN 34Similar
Q3 13:17
3RD & 7
OPP 34
+24
15.6%
Carson Beck pass complete to Dillon Bell for 24 yds to the TENN 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+2
15.2%
Daijun Edwards run for 2 yds to the TENN 8Similar
Q3 9:24
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
5.1%
Carson Beck pass complete to Marcus Rosemy-Jacksaint for 8 yds for a TD (Peyton Woodring KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 15PUNT
9 plays · 1 yds · 1:546% → 4%
Q3 9:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
6.2%
Jaylen Wright run for 9 yds to the TENN 34Similar
Q3 9:24
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+7
6.0%
Joe Milton III pass complete to Chas Nimrod for 7 yds to the TENN 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:24
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
6.7%
Joe Milton III pass incomplete to Squirrel WhiteSimilar
Q3 9:24
2ND & 10
OWN 41
-5
6.5%
PENALTY TENN False Start (Nimrod,Chas) 5 yards from TENN41 to TENN36. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 9:24
2ND & 15
OWN 36
0
6.2%
Joe Milton III pass incomplete to Squirrel WhiteSimilar
Q3 8:23
3RD & 15
OWN 36
-10
4.1%
Joe Milton III sacked by Mykel Williams for a loss of 10 yards to the TENN 26Similar
Q3 7:30
4TH & 25
OWN 26
+2
3.8%
Jackson Ross punt for 44 yds , Mekhi Mews returns for 2 yds to the UGA 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 16TD
10 plays · 68 yds · 6:2795% → 99%
Q3 7:30
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+5
5.4%
Daijun Edwards run for 5 yds to the UGA 37Similar
Q3 7:30
2ND & 5
OWN 37
+2
5.3%
Daijun Edwards run for 2 yds to the UGA 39Similar
Q3 7:30
3RD & 3
OWN 39
+3
5.2%
Carson Beck run for 3 yds to the UGA 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:30
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+1
5.2%
Carson Beck pass complete to Marcus Rosemy-Jacksaint for 1 yd to the UGA 43Similar
Q3 7:30
2ND & 9
OWN 43
+10
5.2%
Carson Beck pass complete to Mekhi Mews for 10 yds to the TENN 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:30
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+5
5.2%
Kendall Milton run for 5 yds to the TENN 42Similar
Q3 7:30
2ND & 5
OPP 42
+3
4.9%
Kendall Milton run for 3 yds to the TENN 39Similar
Q3 7:30
3RD & 2
OPP 39
+5
4.9%
Daijun Edwards run for 5 yds to the TENN 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:30
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+19
5.0%
Carson Beck pass complete to Dillon Bell for 19 yds to the TENN 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:03
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+15
1.2%
Kendall Milton run for 15 yds for a TD (Peyton Woodring KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 17MISSED FG
13 plays · 38 yds · 3:450% → 0%
Q3 1:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
0.4%
Joe Milton III pass complete to Jabari Small for 4 yds to the TENN 29Similar
Q3 1:03
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+2
0.4%
Jabari Small run for 2 yds to the TENN 31Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+19
0.3%
Joe Milton III pass complete to Squirrel White for 19 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
50
+2
0.4%
Joe Milton III run for 2 yds to the TENN 48Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 12
OWN 48
+3
0.3%
Jabari Small run for 3 yds to the UGA 49Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 49
+8
0.4%
Joe Milton III pass complete to Jacob Warren for 8 yds to the UGA 41Similar
Q4 13:40
4TH & 1
OPP 41
+2
0.3%
Jabari Small run for 2 yds to the UGA 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:40
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
0.3%
Joe Milton III pass incomplete to Chas NimrodSimilar
Q4 13:40
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+2
0.3%
Jabari Small run for 2 yds to the UGA 37Similar
Q4 13:40
3RD & 8
OPP 37
0
0.3%
Joe Milton III pass incomplete to Squirrel WhiteSimilar
Q4 12:18
4TH & 8
OPP 37
+55
0.2%
Charles Campbell 55 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 18FUMBLE
2 plays · -3 yds · 0:10100% → 100%
Q4 12:18
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
0.4%
Carson Beck pass incomplete to Marcus Rosemy-JacksaintSimilar
Q4 12:08
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+3
0.4%
Georgia TEAM rush for a loss of 3 yds to the UGA 34 fumbled, recovered by UGA Aaron Beasley at UGA34, End Of Play.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 19DOWNS
10 plays · 30 yds · 3:160% → 0%
Q4 12:08
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-5
0.2%
PENALTY TENN False Start (Crawford,Jeremiah) 5 yards from UGA34 to UGA39. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 12:08
1ST & 15
OPP 39
+9
0.2%
Joe Milton III pass complete to McCallan Castles for 9 yds to the UGA 30Similar
Q4 12:08
2ND & 6
OPP 30
+10
0.2%
Joe Milton III pass complete to Squirrel White for 10 yds to the UGA 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:08
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
0.2%
Jaylen Wright run for no gain to the UGA 20Similar
Q4 12:08
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+12
0.2%
Joe Milton III pass complete to McCallan Castles for 12 yds to the UGA 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+1
0.3%
Jaylen Wright run for 1 yd to the UGA 7Similar
Q4 10:19
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+1
0.2%
Jaylen Wright run for 1 yd to the UGA 6Similar
Q4 10:19
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+2
0.1%
Joe Milton III pass complete to Chas Nimrod for 2 yds to the UGA 4Similar
Q4 8:52
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
0
0.1%
Joe Milton III pass incomplete to Chas NimrodSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 20DOWNS
12 plays · 50 yds · 7:46100% → 100%
Q4 8:52
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+4
0.3%
Kendall Milton run for 4 yds to the UGA 8Similar
Q4 8:52
2ND & 6
OWN 8
+6
0.3%
Kendall Milton run for 6 yds to the UGA 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:52
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+5
0.3%
Andrew Paul run for 5 yds to the UGA 19Similar
Q4 8:52
2ND & 5
OWN 19
+3
0.2%
Andrew Paul run for 3 yds to the UGA 22Similar
Q4 8:52
3RD & 2
OWN 22
+23
0.2%
Carson Beck pass complete to Jackson Meeks for 23 yds to the UGA 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:52
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+8
0.2%
Cash Jones run for 8 yds to the TENN 47Similar
Q4 8:52
2ND & 2
OPP 47
+3
0.2%
Andrew Paul run for 3 yds to the TENN 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:52
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+1
0.2%
Andrew Paul run for 1 yd to the TENN 45Similar
Q4 8:52
2ND & 11
OPP 45
+2
0.2%
Andrew Paul run for 2 yds to the TENN 43Similar
Q4 8:52
3RD & 9
OPP 43
+4
0.2%
Andrew Paul run for 4 yds to the TENN 39Similar
Q4 1:06
4TH & 5
OPP 39
-7
0.1%
Brock Vandagriff sacked by Aaron Beasley for a loss of 7 yards to the TENN 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 21END OF GAME
3 plays · 11 yds · 1:060% → 0%
Q4 1:06
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+1
0.0%
Cameron Seldon run for 1 yd to the TENN 47Similar
Q4 1:06
2ND & 9
OWN 47
+10
0.0%
Cameron Seldon run for 10 yds to the UGA 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
0.0%
Cameron Seldon run for no gain to the UGA 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 1:31
Carson Beck pass complete to Brock Bowers for 3 yds for a TD (Peyton Woodring KICK)
-15.7
TD · Q3 9:24
Carson Beck pass complete to Marcus Rosemy-Jacksaint for 8 yds for a TD (Peyton Woodring KICK)
-10.1
TD · Q2 1:31
Timeout Tennessee, clock 01:31
+5.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com