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UK

Kentucky 14 at South Carolina 17

SC
2023 · Week 12 · Nov 18, 2023 · Williams-Brice Stadium
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Win probability · SC
modelSC aheadUK aheadconfidence bandkey playSC scoreUK score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGFGTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 2:10 · Kai Kroeger punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Tayvion Robinson at the 50 yard line
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialBlowout margin
+25.0+12.50−12.5−25.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 157Home team on offense+12.6Pregame prior+0.3Garbage-time factor+9.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+3.2Score differential+1.2Blowout margin−1.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 10:52: Devin Leary pass complete to Barion Brown for 7 yds for a TD (Alex Raynor KICK) — UK win probability +4.7 pts (now 42%) (top driver: UK has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 8:42: Ray Davis run for 31 yds for a TD (Alex Raynor KICK) — UK win probability +15.8 pts (now 57%) (top driver: UK has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 8:42: Timeout South Carolina, clock 08:42 — SC win probability +4.9 pts (now 48%) (top driver: SC has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 7:44: Spencer Rattler pass complete to Xavier Legette for 17 yds for a TD (Mitch Jeter KICK) — SC win probability +32.6 pts (now 72%) (top driver: SC has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 7:44: Timeout South Carolina, clock 07:44 — UK win probability +6.8 pts (now 35%) (top driver: UK has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
SC made the numbers' call on 7 of 8UK made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 12:38UK 4th & 11 at UK 24, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.8%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:45UK 4th & 22 at UK 13, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.5%−0.6
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.1%
    average punt
  3. Q1 0:13SC 4th & 5 at UK 5, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 61.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.1%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    61.2%
    92% to make
    Punt
    57.8%−3.4
    average punt
  4. Q2 9:26SC 4th & 3 at SC 32, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 57.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.2%−0.3
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.5%
    average punt
  5. Q2 3:31SC 4th & 18 at SC 12, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 57.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.3%−3.7
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.0%
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:13SC 4th & 1 at SC 43, up 3
    Close callPunted · 60.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.1%−0.1
    average punt
  7. Q3 14:02SC 4th & 10 at SC 38, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.1%−1.4
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.5%
    average punt
  8. Q3 7:17SC 4th & 6 at SC 29, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 43.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.7%−0.9
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.6%
    average punt
  9. Q3 4:08UK 4th & 8 at UK 25, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.8%−2.3
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.2%
    average punt
  10. Q4 13:16UK 4th & 8 at UK 30, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.7%−2.0
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.7%
    average punt
  11. Q4 3:48UK 4th & 15 at UK 46, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.6%−1.8
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.4%
    average punt
  12. Q4 2:10SC 4th & 4 at SC 7, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 81.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.3%−2.8
    45% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    78.1%
    average punt
  13. Q4 0:57SC 4th & 16 at SC 44, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 89.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.3%−6.1
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.4%
    average punt
  14. Q4 0:14UK 4th & 5 at UK 40, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 18.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    13.5%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    9.3%−4.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
SC made the numbers' call on 2 of 2UK made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 7:27SC Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    57.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    57.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 10:52UK Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    42.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    42.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 8:42UK Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    53.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    53.4%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 7:44SC Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    68.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    67.9%−0.4
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UKDrive 1PUNT
7 plays · -1 yds · 2:2242% → 42%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
57.7%
Ray Davis run for 4 yds to the UK 29Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+1
57.7%
Ray Davis run for 1 yd to the UK 30Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 30
-5
57.7%
Shotgun Leary,Devin pass complete short middle to Cummings,Izayah for 10 yards to the KENT40 (Smith,DQ) PENALTY KENT Illegal Shift 5 yards from KENT30 to KENT25. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 25
-1
57.7%
Devin Leary sacked by Jordan Strachan for a loss of 1 yard to the UK 24Similar
Q1 12:38
4TH & 11
OWN 24
0
58.0%
Wilson Berry punt for 45 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 2TD
13 plays · 69 yds · 5:1158% → 62%
Q1 12:38
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-5
57.9%
PENALTY USC False Start (Babalade,Tree) 5 yards from USC31 to USC26. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 12:38
1ST & 15
OWN 26
+8
57.9%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Ahmarean Brown for 8 yds to the SC 34Similar
Q1 12:38
2ND & 7
OWN 34
+7
57.9%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Mario Anderson for 7 yds to the SC 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:38
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
58.0%
Spencer Rattler pass incomplete to Mario AndersonSimilar
Q1 12:38
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+3
58.0%
Mario Anderson run for 3 yds to the SC 44Similar
Q1 12:38
3RD & 7
OWN 44
+10
58.0%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Xavier Legette for 10 yds to the UK 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:38
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+5
58.2%
Mario Anderson run for 5 yds to the SC 49 Mario Anderson fumbled, recovered by SC Joshua Simon No Huddle-Shotgun Anderson,Mario rush left for 5 yards loss to the USC49 fumbled by Anderson,Mario at USC47 recovered by USC Simon,Joshua at USC49, End Of Play.Similar
Q1 12:38
2ND & 15
OWN 49
+4
58.0%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Mario Anderson for 4 yds to the UK 47Similar
Q1 12:38
3RD & 11
OPP 47
+22
58.0%
Spencer Rattler run for 12 yds to the UK 35 for a 1ST down Kentucky Penalty, Defensive Holding (Andru Phillips) to the UK 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:38
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+8
58.3%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Joshua Simon for 8 yds to the UK 17Similar
Q1 12:38
2ND & 2
OPP 17
+4
58.3%
LaNorris Sellers run for 4 yds to the UK 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:27
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+13
61.9%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Xavier Legette for 13 yds for a TD (Mitch Jeter KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 3PUNT
6 plays · -12 yds · 0:4239% → 39%
Q1 7:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
60.7%
Devin Leary pass incomplete to Tayvion RobinsonSimilar
Q1 7:27
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-12
60.7%
Shotgun Davis,Ray rush middle for 7 yards gain to the KENT32 (Johnson,Tyreek) PENALTY KENT Face Mask (Ray,Dylan) 12 yards from KENT25 to KENT13. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 7:27
2ND & 22
OWN 13
0
60.8%
Devin Leary pass incomplete to Tayvion RobinsonSimilar
Q1 7:27
3RD & 22
OWN 13
0
61.1%
Devin Leary pass incomplete to Tayvion RobinsonSimilar
Q1 6:45
4TH & 22
OWN 13
0
61.5%
Wilson Berry punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Jalon Kilgore at the SC 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 4FG
14 plays · 51 yds · 6:3262% → 64%
Q1 6:45
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+9
61.8%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Xavier Legette for 9 yds to the UK 47Similar
Q1 6:45
2ND & 1
OPP 47
+4
61.9%
Xavier Legette run for 4 yds to the UK 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:45
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+18
61.9%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Nyck Harbor for 18 yds to the UK 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:45
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+3
62.0%
Mario Anderson run for 3 yds to the UK 28Similar
Q1 6:45
2ND & 13
OPP 28
+2
61.8%
Spencer Rattler run for 2 yds to the UK 26Similar
Q1 6:45
3RD & 11
OPP 26
+14
61.6%
Spencer Rattler run for 14 yds to the UK 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:45
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+2
62.0%
Mario Anderson run for 2 yds to the UK 10Similar
Q1 6:45
2ND & 8
OPP 10
+8
62.0%
Spencer Rattler run for 8 yds to the UK 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-10
62.0%
No Huddle-Shotgun Sellers,LaNorris rush right for 1 yard gain to the KENT01 (Jackson,D'Eryk) PENALTY USC Holding (Braswell,Djay) 10 yards from KENT02 to KENT12. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 6:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 12
+5
62.0%
LaNorris Sellers run for 5 yds to the UK 7Similar
Q1 6:45
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
62.0%
Spencer Rattler run for 2 yds to the UK 5Similar
Q1 6:45
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
61.7%
Spencer Rattler pass incomplete to Xavier LegetteSimilar
Q1 0:13
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+23
63.9%
Mitch Jeter 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 5TD
16 plays · 75 yds · 4:0836% → 42%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
64.5%
Demie Sumo-Karngbaye run for 3 yds to the UK 28Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+15
64.3%
No Huddle-Shotgun Leary,Devin pass incomplete deep left to Brown,Barion PENALTY USC Pass Interference (Smith,DQ) 15 yards from KENT28 to KENT43, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
63.8%
Devin Leary pass incomplete to Barion BrownSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+8
63.9%
Devin Leary pass complete to Anthony Brown-Stephens for 8 yds to the SC 49Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 49
+2
63.3%
Demie Sumo-Karngbaye run for 2 yds to the SC 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
63.1%
Devin Leary pass incomplete to Anthony Brown-StephensSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 47
-5
63.5%
PENALTY KENT False Start (Kattus,Josh) 5 yards from USC47 to KENT48. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 15
OWN 48
+18
64.3%
Devin Leary pass complete to Tayvion Robinson for 18 yds to the SC 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+2
62.5%
Devin Leary pass complete to Barion Brown for 2 yds to the SC 32Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 32
0
62.5%
Devin Leary pass incomplete to Barion BrownSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 32
+20
63.2%
Devin Leary pass complete to Izayah Cummings for 20 yds to the SC 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
62.2%
Devin Leary pass incomplete to Tayvion RobinsonSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 12
+5
62.2%
Ray Davis run for 5 yds to the SC 7Similar
Q2 10:52
3RD & 5
OPP 7
+7
57.6%
Devin Leary pass complete to Barion Brown for 7 yds for a TD (Alex Raynor KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:2660% → 59%
Q2 10:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
60.2%
Mario Anderson run for no gain to the SC 25Similar
Q2 10:52
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+7
60.0%
Spencer Rattler run for 7 yds to the SC 32Similar
Q2 10:52
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
59.8%
Spencer Rattler pass incomplete to Joshua SimonSimilar
Q2 9:26
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
59.3%
Kai Kroeger punt for 38 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 7INT
9 plays · 55 yds · 3:5140% → 39%
Q2 9:26
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+21
60.3%
Ramon Jefferson run for 21 yds to the SC 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:26
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+15
58.4%
South Carolina Penalty, UNR: Unnecessary Roughness (Debo Williams) to the SC 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:35
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+8
59.5%
Ramon Jefferson run for 8 yds to the SC 19Similar
Q2 8:35
2ND & 2
OPP 19
+7
59.4%
Kaiya Sheron run for 7 yds to the SC 26 Kaiya Sheron fumbled, recovered by UK Barion Brown Shotgun Sheron,Kaiya rush right for 7 yards loss to the USC26 fumbled by Sheron,Kaiya at USC24 recovered by KENT Brown,Barion at USC26, End Of Play. The previous play is under review.Similar
Q2 8:35
3RD & 9
OPP 26
+14
60.8%
Devin Leary pass complete to Barion Brown for 14 yds to the SC 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:35
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+3
59.4%
Ramon Jefferson run for 3 yds to the SC 15Similar
Q2 5:35
2ND & 13
OPP 15
0
60.7%
Devin Leary pass intercepted, touchback.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · -8 yds · 2:0464% → 63%
Q2 5:35
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
64.2%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Trey Knox for 5 yds to the SC 25Similar
Q2 5:35
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+17
64.4%
Xavier Legette run for 17 yds to the SC 8Similar
Q2 5:35
3RD & 22
OWN 8
+4
63.5%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Trey Knox for 4 yds to the SC 12Similar
Q2 3:31
4TH & 18
OWN 12
0
62.8%
Kai Kroeger punt for 39 yds , Tayvion Robinson returns for no gain to the UK 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 9FUMBLE
3 plays · 25 yds · 1:2937% → 37%
Q2 3:31
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+5
63.3%
Ray Davis run for 5 yds to the UK 47Similar
Q2 3:31
2ND & 5
OWN 47
+3
62.9%
Ray Davis run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 2:02
3RD & 2
50
+17
63.4%
Devin Leary pass complete to Dane Key for 17 yds Dane Key fumbled, recovered by SC DQ Smith Shotgun Leary,Devin pass complete short left to Key,Dane for 17 yards to the USC33 fumbled by Key,Dane at USC38 forced by Kilgore,Jalon recovered by USC Smith,DQ at USC33 Smith,DQ return 0 yards to the USC33 lateral to Floyd,Emory for 1 yard gain to the USC34 (McClain,JuTahn).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 10PUNT
6 plays · 9 yds · 1:4965% → 65%
Q2 2:02
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+4
65.2%
Mario Anderson run for 4 yds to the SC 38Similar
Q2 2:02
2ND & 6
OWN 38
-6
66.9%
Spencer Rattler sacked by Deone Walker for a loss of 6 yards to the SC 32Similar
Q2 1:13
3RD & 12
OWN 32
+11
63.8%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Mario Anderson for 11 yds to the SC 43Similar
Q2 0:13
4TH & 1
OWN 43
0
65.4%
Kai Kroeger punt for 47 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 11END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0032% → 32%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 10
-1
67.9%
Kneel down by Kentucky at KENT09 for loss of 1 yard.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 12PUNT
6 plays · 13 yds · 0:5862% → 62%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
62.0%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Ahmarean Brown for 13 yds to the SC 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
63.1%
Spencer Rattler pass incomplete to Ahmarean BrownSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 38
0
62.7%
Spencer Rattler pass incomplete to Joshua SimonSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 38
0
61.4%
Spencer Rattler pass incomplete to Xavier LegetteSimilar
Q3 14:02
4TH & 10
OWN 38
0
61.5%
Kai Kroeger punt for 54 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 13TD
11 plays · 92 yds · 5:2037% → 57%
Q3 14:02
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+5
62.6%
Ray Davis run for 5 yds to the UK 13Similar
Q3 14:02
2ND & 5
OWN 13
+7
62.3%
Devin Leary pass complete to Barion Brown for 7 yds to the UK 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:02
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
62.1%
Ray Davis run for 1 yd to the UK 19Similar
Q3 14:02
2ND & 11
OWN 19
0
62.5%
Devin Leary pass incomplete to Dane KeySimilar
Q3 14:02
3RD & 11
OWN 19
+15
63.6%
Shotgun Leary,Devin pass incomplete deep right to Cummings,Izayah PENALTY USC Personal Foul (Sanders,T.J.) 15 yards from KENT19 to KENT34, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 14:02
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+3
61.3%
Ray Davis run for 3 yds to the UK 37Similar
Q3 14:02
2ND & 7
OWN 37
+3
60.6%
Ramon Jefferson run for 3 yds to the UK 40Similar
Q3 14:02
3RD & 4
OWN 40
+15
60.3%
Devin Leary pass complete to Izayah Cummings for 15 yds to the SC 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:02
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+14
58.8%
Devin Leary pass complete to Dane Key for 14 yds to the SC 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:42
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+31
43.0%
Ray Davis run for 31 yds for a TD (Alex Raynor KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:2548% → 44%
Q3 8:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
47.9%
Ahmarean Brown run for 1 yd to the SC 26Similar
Q3 8:42
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+3
47.6%
Djay Braswell run for 3 yds to the SC 29Similar
Q3 8:42
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
47.1%
Spencer Rattler pass incomplete to Xavier LegetteSimilar
Q3 7:17
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
43.6%
Kai Kroeger punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Tayvion Robinson at the UK 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 15PUNT
6 plays · 2 yds · 3:0956% → 57%
Q3 7:17
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+2
44.1%
Ray Davis run for 2 yds to the UK 25Similar
Q3 7:17
2ND & 8
OWN 25
-10
44.1%
Leary,Devin pass complete short left to Davis,Ray for 9 yards to the KENT34 (Floyd,Emory) PENALTY KENT Holding (Kattus,Josh) 10 yards from KENT25 to KENT15. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 7:17
2ND & 18
OWN 15
+10
44.9%
Devin Leary pass complete to Dane Key for 10 yds to the UK 25Similar
Q3 7:17
3RD & 8
OWN 25
-5
45.4%
PENALTY KENT False Start (Flax,Jeremy) 5 yards from KENT25 to KENT20. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 7:17
3RD & 13
OWN 20
+5
46.0%
Devin Leary run for 5 yds to the UK 25Similar
Q3 4:08
4TH & 8
OWN 25
+15
43.3%
Wilson Berry punt for 44 yds , Jalon Kilgore returns for 15 yds to the SC 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 16PUNT
9 plays · 0 yds · 3:4847% → 37%
Q3 4:08
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
46.5%
Xavier Legette run for 2 yds to the SC 48Similar
Q3 4:08
2ND & 8
OWN 48
+8
46.7%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Ahmarean Brown for 8 yds to the UK 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:08
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+11
48.0%
Mario Anderson run for 11 yds to the UK 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:08
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+1
50.1%
Mario Anderson run for 1 yd to the UK 32Similar
Q3 4:08
2ND & 9
OPP 32
+1
50.0%
Spencer Rattler run for 1 yd to the UK 31Similar
Q3 4:08
3RD & 8
OPP 31
-18
47.5%
Spencer Rattler sacked by Octavious Oxendine for a loss of 18 yards to the UK 49Similar
Q3 4:08
4TH & 26
OPP 49
-5
40.8%
PENALTY USC False Start 5 yards from KENT49 to USC46. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 0:20
4TH & 31
OWN 46
0
37.2%
Kai Kroeger punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Tayvion Robinson at the UK 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 17PUNT
7 plays · 23 yds · 1:4463% → 62%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+6
37.3%
Ramon Jefferson run for 6 yds to the UK 13Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 13
+15
37.2%
Ramon Jefferson run for 15 yds to the UK 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+2
35.7%
Ray Davis run for 2 yds to the UK 30Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 30
0
35.8%
Devin Leary pass incomplete to Barion BrownSimilar
Q4 13:27
3RD & 8
OWN 30
0
36.0%
Devin Leary pass incomplete to Tayvion RobinsonSimilar
Q4 13:16
4TH & 8
OWN 30
0
37.8%
Wilson Berry punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Jalon Kilgore at the SC 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 18TD
12 plays · 74 yds · 5:3235% → 72%
Q4 13:16
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-10
35.1%
No Huddle-Shotgun Rattler,Spencer pass incomplete short right to Legette,Xavier QB hurried by Rayner,Daveren PENALTY USC Holding (Lee,Vershon) 10 yards from USC26 to USC16. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 13:16
1ST & 20
OWN 16
+1
34.3%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Ahmarean Brown for 1 yd to the SC 17Similar
Q4 13:16
2ND & 19
OWN 17
+4
33.9%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Trey Knox for 4 yds to the SC 21Similar
Q4 13:16
3RD & 15
OWN 21
+28
32.7%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Xavier Legette for 28 yds to the SC 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:16
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+8
39.0%
Mario Anderson run for 8 yds to the UK 43Similar
Q4 13:16
2ND & 2
OPP 43
+3
40.1%
Mario Anderson run for 3 yds to the UK 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:16
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+22
40.1%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Trey Knox for 22 yds to the UK 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:16
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+1
42.0%
Ahmarean Brown run for 1 yd to the UK 19Similar
Q4 13:16
2ND & 11
OPP 19
-15
41.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun Rattler,Spencer pass complete short right to Anderson,Mario for 9 yards to the KENT10 (Hardaway,JQ) PENALTY USC Illegal Block in Back (Blake,O'Mega) 15 yards from KENT19 to KENT34. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 13:16
2ND & 26
OPP 34
+17
39.2%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Xavier Legette for 17 yds to the UK 17Similar
Q4 7:44
3RD & 9
OPP 17
+17
71.7%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Xavier Legette for 17 yds for a TD (Mitch Jeter KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 19PUNT
11 plays · 21 yds · 3:5635% → 32%
Q4 7:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
64.9%
Ray Davis run for 1 yd to the UK 26Similar
Q4 7:44
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+3
65.1%
Devin Leary pass complete to Demie Sumo-Karngbaye for 3 yds to the UK 29Similar
Q4 7:44
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+6
65.6%
Devin Leary pass complete to Tayvion Robinson for 6 yds to the UK 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:44
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
63.4%
Tayvion Robinson run for 6 yds to the UK 41Similar
Q4 7:44
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+10
59.9%
Devin Leary pass complete to Dane Key for 10 yds to the SC 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:44
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
58.6%
Devin Leary pass incomplete to Ray DavisSimilar
Q4 7:44
2ND & 10
OPP 49
0
60.2%
Devin Leary pass incomplete to Barion BrownSimilar
Q4 7:44
3RD & 10
OPP 49
0
62.5%
Devin Leary pass incomplete to Barion BrownSimilar
Q4 7:44
4TH & 10
OPP 49
-5
65.3%
PENALTY KENT Delay Of Game 5 yards from USC49 to KENT46. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 3:48
4TH & 15
OWN 46
0
67.9%
Wilson Berry punt for 53 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:3876% → 78%
Q4 3:48
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+2
75.5%
Spencer Rattler run for 2 yds to the SC 3Similar
Q4 3:48
2ND & 8
OWN 3
+4
75.0%
Mario Anderson run for 4 yds to the SC 7Similar
Q4 3:48
3RD & 4
OWN 7
0
73.8%
Spencer Rattler pass incomplete to Nyck HarborSimilar
Q4 2:10
4TH & 4
OWN 7
0
77.5%
Kai Kroeger punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Tayvion Robinson at the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 21FUMBLE
2 plays · -3 yds · 0:0034% → 34%
Q4 1:59
1ST & 10
50
+3
65.7%
Devin Leary run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line Devin Leary fumbled, recovered by SC Tonka Hemingway , return to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 22PUNT
7 plays · -6 yds · 1:0289% → 91%
Q4 1:59
1ST & 10
50
+1
88.5%
Mario Anderson run for 1 yd to the SC 49Similar
Q4 1:55
2ND & 11
OWN 49
-5
89.6%
PENALTY USC False Start 5 yards from USC49 to USC44. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 1:55
2ND & 16
OWN 44
0
88.7%
Mario Anderson run for no gain to the SC 44Similar
Q4 1:51
3RD & 16
OWN 44
0
87.5%
Xavier Legette run for no gain to the SC 44Similar
Q4 0:57
4TH & 16
OWN 44
0
90.8%
Kai Kroeger punt for 36 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UK 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 23DOWNS
6 plays · 20 yds · 0:4319% → 19%
Q4 0:57
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+8
80.6%
Devin Leary pass complete to Izayah Cummings for 8 yds to the UK 28Similar
Q4 0:57
2ND & 2
OWN 28
+7
78.4%
Devin Leary pass complete to Ray Davis for 7 yds to the UK 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:57
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
79.2%
Devin Leary pass incomplete to Barion BrownSimilar
Q4 0:57
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+5
79.9%
Devin Leary pass complete to Tayvion Robinson for 5 yds to the UK 40Similar
Q4 0:57
3RD & 5
OWN 40
0
78.1%
Devin Leary pass incomplete to Tayvion RobinsonSimilar
Q4 0:14
4TH & 5
OWN 40
0
80.6%
Devin Leary pass incomplete to Tayvion RobinsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 24END OF GAME
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-2
96.3%
Kneel down by South Carolina at KENT42 for loss of 2 yards.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 7:44
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Xavier Legette for 17 yds for a TD (Mitch Jeter KICK)
+32.6
TD · Q3 8:42
Ray Davis run for 31 yds for a TD (Alex Raynor KICK)
-15.8
TD · Q4 7:44
Timeout South Carolina, clock 07:44
-6.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com