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RUTG

Rutgers 6 at Penn State 27

PSU
2023 · Week 12 · Nov 18, 2023 · Beaver Stadium
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Win probability · PSU
modelPSU aheadRUTG aheadconfidence bandkey playPSU scoreRUTG score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDFGFGFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 1:52 · Riley Thompson punt for 56 yds
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+41.0+20.50−20.5−41.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 61Pregame prior+25.4Home team on offense+5.1Score differential+1.6Garbage-time factor+1.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.5Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.2
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q1 4:43: Jai Patel 35 yd FG GOOD — RUTG win probability +3.0 pts (now 13%) (top driver: RUTG has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 0:00: Jai Patel 28 yd FG GOOD — RUTG win probability +2.4 pts (now 16%) (top driver: RUTG has the ball).
  3. FG · Q3 5:32: Alex Felkins 48 yd FG GOOD — PSU win probability +4.1 pts (now 88%) (top driver: PSU has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q3 1:18: Kaytron Allen run for 4 yds to the RUTG 38 — PSU win probability +7.4 pts (now 91%) (top driver: PSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 14:14: Kaytron Allen run for 3 yds for a TD (Alex Felkins KICK) — PSU win probability +4.8 pts (now 96%) (top driver: PSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
PSU made the numbers' call on 3 of 5RUTG made the numbers' call on 6 of 7
  1. Q1 13:44PSU 4th & 5 at PSU 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 89.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.2%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.2%
    average punt
  2. Q1 4:43RUTG 4th & 17 at PSU 17, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 13.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.2%−0.3
    13% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    13.5%
    80% to make
    Punt
    12.8%−0.8
    average punt
  3. Q2 8:44PSU 4th & 4 at RUTG 4, up 4
    Close callKicked a field goal · 83.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.0%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    83.8%−0.2
    93% to make
    Punt
    81.5%−2.5
    average punt
  4. Q2 6:59RUTG 4th & 6 at RUTG 29, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.2%−0.2
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.4%
    average punt
  5. Q2 3:05RUTG 4th & 3 at RUTG 43, down 7
    Close callPunted · 14.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.3%−0.5
    average punt
  6. Q2 1:52PSU 4th & 10 at PSU 3, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 84.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.8%−2.0
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.8%
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:00RUTG 4th & 10 at PSU 10, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 16.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.2%−0.6
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    15.8%
    88% to make
    Punt
    10.9%−4.9
    average punt
  8. Q3 13:20RUTG 4th & 6 at RUTG 37, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.8%−0.3
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.1%
    average punt
  9. Q3 9:34PSU 4th & 1 at RUTG 4, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 82.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    81.8%
    65% to convert
    Field goal
    79.8%−2.0
    93% to make
    Punt
    74.1%−7.7
    average punt
  10. Q3 7:47RUTG 4th & 11 at RUTG 3, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.8%−2.0
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.8%
    average punt
  11. Q3 5:32PSU 4th & 1 at RUTG 32, up 4
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.6 ptsKicked a field goal · 81.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    78.4%−2.6
    51% to make
    Punt
    77.3%−3.7
    average punt
  12. Q4 14:14RUTG 4th & 1 at PSU 25, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 7.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    6.2%−1.5
    66% to make
    Punt
    1.7%−6.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
PSU made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q2 11:36PSU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q4 14:14PSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 3:36PSU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
PSUDrive 1PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:1691% → 91%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
90.9%
Drew Allar pass complete to Theo Johnson for 3 yds to the PSU 28Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+2
90.9%
Kaytron Allen run for 2 yds to the PSU 30Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
90.9%
Drew Allar pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:44
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
90.5%
Riley Thompson punt for 48 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 2FG
15 plays · 61 yds · 9:0110% → 13%
Q1 13:44
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+2
90.5%
Kyle Monangai run for 2 yds to the RUTG 24Similar
Q1 13:44
2ND & 8
OWN 24
+13
90.6%
Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Isaiah Washington for 13 yds to the RUTG 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:44
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
90.5%
Kyle Monangai run for 1 yd to the RUTG 38Similar
Q1 13:44
2ND & 9
OWN 38
-1
90.5%
Kyle Monangai run for a loss of 1 yard to the RUTG 37Similar
Q1 13:44
3RD & 10
OWN 37
+22
90.6%
Gavin Wimsatt run for 22 yds to the PSU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:44
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+2
90.5%
Kyle Monangai run for 2 yds to the PSU 39Similar
Q1 13:44
2ND & 8
OPP 39
+16
90.5%
Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to JaQuae Jackson for 16 yds to the PSU 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:44
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+3
90.5%
Kyle Monangai run for 3 yds to the PSU 20Similar
Q1 13:44
2ND & 7
OPP 20
+1
90.5%
Gavin Wimsatt run for 1 yd to the PSU 19Similar
Q1 13:44
3RD & 6
OPP 19
+11
90.5%
Gavin Wimsatt run for 11 yds to the PSU 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+1
90.5%
Kyle Monangai run for 1 yd to the PSU 7Similar
Q1 13:44
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
-10
90.5%
QB Keeper WIMSATT, Gavin rush up the middle for a gain of 6 yards to the PSU1 (REED, Jaylen). PENALTY RUT Holding on SUTTON, Reggie enforced 10 yards from the PSU7 to the PSU17 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 13:44
2ND & GOAL
OPP 17
0
90.5%
Gavin Wimsatt run for no gain to the PSU 17Similar
Q1 13:44
3RD & GOAL
OPP 17
0
90.5%
Gavin Wimsatt pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:43
4TH & GOAL
OPP 17
+35
87.5%
Jai Patel 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 3TD
16 plays · 75 yds · 8:0087% → 87%
Q1 4:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
87.1%
Kaytron Allen run for 2 yds to the PSU 27Similar
Q1 4:36
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+9
87.1%
Drew Allar run for 9 yds to the PSU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:36
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
87.2%
Kaytron Allen run for 5 yds to the PSU 41Similar
Q1 4:36
2ND & 5
OWN 41
0
87.5%
Drew Allar pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:36
3RD & 5
OWN 41
+7
87.3%
Drew Allar pass complete to Theo Johnson for 7 yds to the PSU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:36
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+4
87.6%
Beau Pribula run for 4 yds to the RUTG 48Similar
Q1 4:36
2ND & 6
OPP 48
+1
87.7%
Kaytron Allen run for 1 yd to the RUTG 47Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 5
OPP 47
+15
85.7%
Drew Allar pass complete to Liam Clifford for 15 yds to the RUTG 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
86.2%
Drew Allar pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+11
86.1%
Drew Allar run for 11 yds to the RUTG 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+6
86.2%
Drew Allar pass complete to Kaytron Allen for 6 yds to the RUTG 15Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 15
+2
86.2%
Kaytron Allen run for 2 yds to the RUTG 13Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 13
+4
85.8%
Kaytron Allen run for 4 yds to the RUTG 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+4
86.2%
Kaytron Allen run for 4 yds to the RUTG 5Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
86.2%
ALLAR, Drew pass short to the left incomplete intended for JOHNSON, Theo thrown to the RUT0. PENALTY RUT Pass Interference on IGBINOSUN, Desmond enforced 3 yards to the RUT2 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 11:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
86.9%
Kaytron Allen run for 2 yds for a TD (Alex Felkins KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 4FUMBLE
2 plays · 7 yds · 0:4714% → 15%
Q2 11:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
85.9%
Kyle Monangai run for 9 yds to the RUTG 34Similar
Q2 10:49
2ND & 1
OWN 34
-2
85.1%
Gavin Wimsatt run for a loss of 2 yards to the RUTG 32 Gavin Wimsatt fumbled, recovered by PSU Dani Dennis-Sutton [SG] QB Keeper WIMSATT, Gavin rush for a loss of 2 yards, WIMSATT, Gavin fumbled at RUT30 , recovered by PSU DENNIS-SUTTON, Dani at the RUT32, returned 0 yards to the RUT32, End of Play, clock 10:49.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 5FG
5 plays · 28 yds · 2:0587% → 88%
Q2 10:49
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+23
86.7%
Drew Allar pass complete to Tyler Warren for 23 yds to the RUTG 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+6
86.7%
Nicholas Singleton run for 6 yds to the RUTG 3Similar
Q2 10:49
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
-1
86.7%
Nicholas Singleton run for a loss of 1 yard to the RUTG 4Similar
Q2 10:49
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
86.4%
Drew Allar pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:44
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+21
87.6%
Alex Felkins 21 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:4513% → 12%
Q2 8:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
87.3%
Kyle Monangai run for 1 yd to the RUTG 26Similar
Q2 8:44
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
87.3%
Gavin Wimsatt run for no gain to the RUTG 26Similar
Q2 8:44
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+8
87.6%
Gavin Wimsatt run for 8 yds to the RUTG 34Similar
Q2 8:44
4TH & 1
OWN 34
-5
87.4%
Rutgers Penalty, False Start (Curtis Dunlap Jr.) to the RUTG 29Similar
Q2 6:59
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
87.8%
Flynn Appleby punt for 36 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 7FUMBLE
4 plays · 29 yds · 2:2388% → 88%
Q2 6:59
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
87.7%
Nicholas Singleton run for 2 yds to the PSU 37Similar
Q2 6:59
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+2
87.9%
Nicholas Singleton run for 2 yds to the PSU 39Similar
Q2 6:59
3RD & 6
OWN 39
+25
87.7%
Drew Allar pass complete to Omari Evans for 25 yds to the RUTG 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:36
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
88.2%
Nicholas Singleton run for no gain to the RUTG 36 Nicholas Singleton fumbled, recovered by RUTG Mayan Ahanotu [SG] SINGLETON, Nicholas rush up the middle for no gain, SINGLETON, Nicholas fumbled at RUT36 forced by LOYAL, Shaquan, recovered by RUT AHANOTU, Mayan at the RUT36, returned 0 yards to the RUT36, End of Play, clock 04:36.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:3114% → 14%
Q2 4:36
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
86.3%
Gavin Wimsatt run for 2 yds to the RUTG 38Similar
Q2 4:36
2ND & 8
OWN 38
+5
86.1%
Samuel Brown V run for 5 yds to the RUTG 43Similar
Q2 3:17
3RD & 3
OWN 43
0
85.1%
Gavin Wimsatt run for no gain to the RUTG 43Similar
Q2 3:05
4TH & 3
OWN 43
0
86.0%
Flynn Appleby punt for 54 yds, downed at the PSU 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 1:1386% → 85%
Q2 3:05
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+2
86.3%
Kaytron Allen run for 2 yds to the PSU 5Similar
Q2 3:05
2ND & 8
OWN 5
0
86.1%
Penn State Penalty, False Start (Theo Johnson) to the PSU 3Similar
Q2 3:05
2ND & 10
OWN 3
0
86.1%
Drew Allar pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:05
3RD & 10
OWN 3
0
85.6%
Drew Allar pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:52
4TH & 10
OWN 3
0
84.7%
Riley Thompson punt for 56 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 10FG
11 plays · 49 yds · 1:5215% → 16%
Q2 1:52
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+19
84.9%
Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Christian Dremel for 19 yds to the PSU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:52
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+15
83.8%
Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Ian Strong for 15 yds to the PSU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:52
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
82.6%
Samuel Brown V run for no gain to the PSU 25Similar
Q2 1:52
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+19
83.0%
Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Isaiah Washington for 19 yds Isaiah Washington fumbled, recovered by RUTG Isaiah Washington for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
83.2%
BROWN V, Samuel rush up the middle for no gain to the PSU7 (WINSTON, Kevin). PENALTY RUT Illegal Formation declined RUT Holding on ZILINSKAS, Gus enforced 10 yards from the PSU7 to the PSU17 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 0:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 17
0
83.6%
Gavin Wimsatt pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:38
2ND & GOAL
OPP 17
0
84.3%
Gavin Wimsatt pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:02
3RD & GOAL
OPP 17
+7
86.1%
Aaron Young run for 7 yds to the PSU 10Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & GOAL
OPP 10
+28
83.7%
Jai Patel 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:3418% → 18%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+2
81.7%
Gavin Wimsatt run for 2 yds to the RUTG 35Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 8
OWN 35
+2
81.7%
Kyle Monangai run for 2 yds to the RUTG 37Similar
Q3 14:54
3RD & 6
OWN 37
0
82.0%
Gavin Wimsatt pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:20
4TH & 6
OWN 37
0
82.1%
Flynn Appleby punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Daequan Hardy at the PSU 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 12DOWNS
9 plays · 62 yds · 3:4682% → 84%
Q3 13:20
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+6
82.2%
Kaytron Allen run for 6 yds to the PSU 40Similar
Q3 13:20
2ND & 4
OWN 40
+8
83.3%
Drew Allar run for 8 yds to the PSU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:20
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
83.4%
Drew Allar pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:20
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+39
83.2%
Beau Pribula run for 39 yds to the RUTG 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:20
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+6
84.1%
Kaytron Allen run for 6 yds to the RUTG 7Similar
Q3 13:20
2ND & 4
OPP 7
+2
84.1%
Kaytron Allen run for 2 yds to the RUTG 5Similar
Q3 9:41
3RD & 2
OPP 5
+1
84.7%
Beau Pribula run for 1 yd to the RUTG 4Similar
Q3 9:34
4TH & 1
OPP 4
0
83.9%
Beau Pribula run for no gain to the RUTG 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 1:4716% → 16%
Q3 9:34
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+2
83.7%
Kyle Monangai run for 2 yds to the RUTG 6Similar
Q3 9:34
2ND & 8
OWN 6
-3
83.8%
Kyle Monangai run for a loss of 3 yards to the RUTG 3Similar
Q3 9:34
3RD & 11
OWN 3
0
84.4%
Gavin Wimsatt pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:47
4TH & 11
OWN 3
0
84.4%
Flynn Appleby punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Daequan Hardy at the RUTG 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 14FG
4 plays · 9 yds · 2:1584% → 88%
Q3 7:47
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+4
84.4%
Nicholas Singleton run for 4 yds to the RUTG 37Similar
Q3 7:47
2ND & 6
OPP 37
0
84.4%
Beau Pribula run for no gain to the RUTG 37Similar
Q3 7:47
3RD & 6
OPP 37
+5
84.1%
Nicholas Singleton run for 5 yds to the RUTG 32Similar
Q3 5:32
4TH & 1
OPP 32
+48
88.2%
Alex Felkins 48 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 15FUMBLE
7 plays · 17 yds · 4:1415% → 17%
Q3 5:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
84.9%
Gavin Wimsatt run for 6 yds to the RUTG 31Similar
Q3 5:32
2ND & 4
OWN 31
-6
84.2%
Gavin Wimsatt sacked by Johnny Dixon for a loss of 6 yards to the RUTG 25Similar
Q3 5:32
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+11
85.7%
Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Isaiah Washington for 11 yds to the RUTG 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:32
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
84.2%
Samuel Brown V run for 5 yds to the RUTG 41Similar
Q3 5:32
2ND & 5
OWN 41
+8
83.1%
Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Isaiah Washington for 8 yds to the RUTG 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:32
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+4
82.9%
Gavin Wimsatt run for 4 yds to the PSU 47Similar
Q3 1:18
2ND & 6
OPP 47
-11
83.0%
Gavin Wimsatt sacked for a loss of 11 yards to the RUTG 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 16TD
5 plays · 42 yds · 2:0491% → 96%
Q3 1:18
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+4
90.5%
Kaytron Allen run for 4 yds to the RUTG 38Similar
Q3 1:18
2ND & 6
OPP 38
+11
90.6%
Beau Pribula run for 11 yds to the RUTG 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+21
91.5%
Kaytron Allen run for 21 yds to the RUTG 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
91.5%
Kaytron Allen run for 3 yds to the RUTG 3Similar
Q4 14:14
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
96.3%
Kaytron Allen run for 3 yds for a TD (Alex Felkins KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 17INT
13 plays · 39 yds · 5:475% → 4%
Q4 14:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
94.8%
Kyle Monangai run for 4 yds to the RUTG 29Similar
Q4 14:14
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+5
94.5%
Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Isaiah Washington for 5 yds to the RUTG 34Similar
Q4 14:14
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+8
94.6%
Kyle Monangai run for 8 yds to the RUTG 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:14
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+5
94.5%
Kyle Monangai run for 5 yds to the RUTG 47Similar
Q4 14:14
2ND & 5
OWN 47
+19
94.5%
Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Ian Strong for 19 yds to the PSU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:14
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+1
93.9%
Kyle Monangai run for 1 yd to the PSU 33Similar
Q4 14:14
2ND & 9
OPP 33
+2
93.9%
Kyle Monangai run for 2 yds to the PSU 31Similar
Q4 14:14
3RD & 7
OPP 31
+6
94.4%
Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Christian Dremel for 6 yds to the PSU 25Similar
Q4 14:14
4TH & 1
OPP 25
+1
94.2%
Gavin Wimsatt run for 1 yd to the PSU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:14
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-5
93.6%
Rutgers Penalty, False Start (Gus Zilinskas) to the PSU 29Similar
Q4 14:14
1ST & 15
OPP 29
-7
93.9%
Gavin Wimsatt sacked by Abdul Carter and Coziah Izzard for a loss of 7 yards to the PSU 36Similar
Q4 14:14
2ND & 22
OPP 36
0
94.5%
Gavin Wimsatt run for no gain to the PSU 36Similar
Q4 8:27
3RD & 22
OPP 36
0
96.1%
Gavin Wimsatt pass intercepted Kevin Winston Jr. return for no gain to the PSU 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 18TD
10 plays · 73 yds · 4:0997% → 100%
Q4 7:45
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+20
96.9%
Nicholas Singleton run for 20 yds to the PSU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:45
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+15
97.2%
Beau Pribula run for 15 yds to the RUTG 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:45
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+5
97.2%
Trey Potts run for 5 yds to the RUTG 33Similar
Q4 5:24
2ND & 5
OPP 33
+9
98.5%
Nicholas Singleton run for 9 yds to the RUTG 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:24
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+9
98.5%
Beau Pribula pass complete to Tyler Warren for 9 yds to the RUTG 15Similar
Q4 5:24
2ND & 1
OPP 15
+12
98.5%
Nicholas Singleton run for 12 yds to the RUTG 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
98.5%
Nicholas Singleton run for 2 yds to the RUTG 1Similar
Q4 3:36
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.7%
Beau Pribula 1 Yd Run (Alex Felkins Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 19END OF GAME
5 plays · 12 yds · 3:361% → 1%
Q4 3:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.4%
Samuel Brown V run for 2 yds to the RUTG 27Similar
Q4 3:36
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+9
99.4%
Samuel Brown V run for 9 yds to the RUTG 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:36
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-1
99.4%
Ja'shon Benjamin run for a loss of 1 yard to the RUTG 35Similar
Q4 3:36
2ND & 11
OWN 35
-1
99.4%
Ja'shon Benjamin run for a loss of 1 yard to the RUTG 34Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 12
OWN 34
+3
99.5%
Samuel Brown V run for 3 yds to the RUTG 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
KEY PLAY · Q3 1:18
Kaytron Allen run for 4 yds to the RUTG 38
+7.4
TD · Q4 14:14
Kaytron Allen run for 3 yds for a TD (Alex Felkins KICK)
+4.8
FG · Q3 5:32
Alex Felkins 48 yd FG GOOD
+4.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com