Try the model
MINN

Minnesota 3 at Ohio State 37

OSU
2023 · Week 12 · Nov 18, 2023 · Ohio Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · OSU
modelOSU aheadMINN aheadconfidence bandkey playOSU scoreMINN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGFGTDTDFGTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 0:51 · Mark Crawford punt for 27 yds, fair catch by Jayden Ballard at the OSU 13
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+47.0+23.50−23.5−47.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 30Pregame prior+40.9Home team on offense+1.8Score differential+0.5Blowout margin+0.3Garbage-time factor−0.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 9:22: TreVeyon Henderson run for 9 yds for a TD (Jayden Fielding KICK) — MINN win probability +0.3 pts (now 4%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 13:05: Jayden Fielding 47 yd FG GOOD — MINN win probability +0.4 pts (now 6%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 4:51: Jayden Fielding 26 yd FG GOOD — OSU win probability +1.1 pts (now 96%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 14:48: TreVeyon Henderson run for 75 yds for a TD (Jayden Fielding KICK) — OSU win probability +4.0 pts (now 98%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 13:53: Kyle McCord pass complete to Marvin Harrison Jr. for 4 yds for a TD (Jayden Fielding KICK) — OSU win probability +1.3 pts (now 100%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
OSU made the numbers' call on 4 of 5MINN made the numbers' call on 4 of 8
  1. Q1 13:24MINN 4th & 5 at MINN 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.9%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 5:46MINN 4th & 8 at MINN 44, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.9%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.9%
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:01OSU 4th & 4 at OSU 9, up 7
    Close callPunted · 93.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.6%
    46% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.6%−<0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:51MINN 4th & 5 at OSU 40, down 7
    Close callPunted · 7.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.1%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    7.0%−0.2
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    7.0%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 13:05OSU 4th & 10 at MINN 29, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 92.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.3%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    92.5%
    58% to make
    Punt
    91.6%−0.8
    average punt
  6. Q2 9:15MINN 4th & 5 at OSU 42, down 10
    Close callPunted · 7.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.7%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    7.4%−0.4
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    7.6%−0.2
    average punt
  7. Q2 4:51OSU 4th & 8 at MINN 8, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 91.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.4%−0.2
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    91.6%
    90% to make
    Punt
    89.7%−1.9
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:55MINN 4th & 4 at MINN 43, down 13
    Close callPunted · 6.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.4%−0.2
    average punt
  9. Q3 10:17OSU 4th & 8 at MINN 14, up 27
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.3%−0.2
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.4%
    84% to make
    Punt
    98.2%−1.3
    average punt
  10. Q3 8:01MINN 4th & 6 at midfield, down 30
    Close callPunted · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.4%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.4%−<0.1
    average punt
  11. Q4 6:43MINN 4th & 12 at OSU 36, down 37
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.1%
    42% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  12. Q4 4:40OSU 4th & 5 at OSU 30, up 34
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  13. Q4 3:01MINN 4th & 9 at MINN 20, down 34
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
OSU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 9:22OSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 14:48OSU Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 13:53OSU Touchdown, up 26 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 13:43OSU Touchdown, up 36 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MINNDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:363% → 4%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
96.7%
Jordan Nubin run for 2 yds to the MINN 27Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
96.7%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incomplete to Elijah SpencerSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+3
96.7%
Athan Kaliakmanis run for 3 yds to the MINN 30Similar
Q1 13:24
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
96.5%
Mark Crawford punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Jayden Ballard at the OSU 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 2TD
8 plays · 85 yds · 4:0297% → 96%
Q1 13:24
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+15
96.5%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 15 yds to the OSU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:24
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
96.5%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 4 yds to the OSU 34Similar
Q1 13:24
2ND & 6
OWN 34
+7
96.5%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 7 yds to the OSU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:24
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+13
96.5%
Kyle McCord pass complete to TreVeyon Henderson for 13 yds to the MINN 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:24
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+10
96.5%
Chip Trayanum run for 10 yds to the MINN 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:24
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+16
96.5%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Cade Stover for 16 yds to the MINN 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:24
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+11
96.5%
Chip Trayanum run for 11 yds to the MINN 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
96.2%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 9 yds for a TD (Jayden Fielding KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 3PUNT
7 plays · 19 yds · 3:364% → 4%
Q1 9:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
96.1%
Zach Evans run for 6 yds to the MINN 31Similar
Q1 9:22
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+11
96.0%
Zach Evans run for 11 yds to the MINN 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:22
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+2
96.0%
Jordan Nubin run for 2 yds to the MINN 40Similar
Q1 9:22
2ND & 12
OWN 40
+5
96.0%
Jordan Nubin run for 5 yds to the MINN 45Similar
Q1 9:22
3RD & 7
OWN 45
+1
96.0%
Jordan Nubin run for 1 yd to the MINN 44Similar
Q1 5:46
4TH & 8
OWN 44
0
95.6%
Mark Crawford punt for 53 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:4596% → 95%
Q1 5:46
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+3
95.6%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 3 yds to the OSU 6Similar
Q1 5:46
2ND & 7
OWN 6
-3
95.5%
Shotgun Henderson,TreVeyon rush left for 3 yards gain to the OSU09 (Stolsky,Tyler) PENALTY OSU Holding (Stover,Cade) 3 yards from OSU06 to OSU03. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 5:46
2ND & 10
OWN 3
+6
95.5%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Cade Stover for 6 yds to the OSU 9Similar
Q1 5:46
3RD & 4
OWN 9
0
95.5%
Kyle McCord pass incomplete to Marvin Harrison Jr.Similar
Q1 4:01
4TH & 4
OWN 9
0
95.1%
Jesse Mirco punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Quentin Redding at the MINN 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 15 yds · 3:105% → 6%
Q1 4:01
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+10
95.1%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Corey Crooms Jr. for 10 yds to the OSU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:01
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+3
95.1%
Jordan Nubin run for 3 yds to the OSU 42Similar
Q1 4:01
2ND & 7
OPP 42
+3
95.1%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Jordan Nubin for 3 yds to the OSU 45Similar
Q1 4:01
3RD & 10
OPP 45
+5
95.2%
Athan Kaliakmanis run for 5 yds to the OSU 40Similar
Q1 0:51
4TH & 5
OPP 40
0
94.5%
Mark Crawford punt for 27 yds, fair catch by Jayden Ballard at the OSU 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 6FG
9 plays · 58 yds · 2:4695% → 94%
Q1 0:51
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+20
94.7%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Marvin Harrison Jr. for 20 yds to the OSU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+5
94.6%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Emeka Egbuka for 5 yds to the OSU 38Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 38
+4
94.8%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 4 yds to the OSU 42Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 42
+3
94.7%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 3 yds to the OSU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+26
94.8%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Emeka Egbuka for 26 yds to the MINN 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
94.9%
Kyle McCord pass incomplete to Marvin Harrison Jr.Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 29
0
94.9%
Kyle McCord pass incomplete to Marvin Harrison Jr.Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 29
0
94.8%
Kyle McCord pass incomplete to Emeka EgbukaSimilar
Q2 13:05
4TH & 10
OPP 29
+47
94.4%
Jayden Fielding 47 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 7PUNT
9 plays · 33 yds · 3:506% → 6%
Q2 13:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
94.5%
Jordan Nubin run for 4 yds to the MINN 21Similar
Q2 13:05
2ND & 14
OWN 21
0
94.6%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incomplete to Daniel JacksonSimilar
Q2 13:05
3RD & 14
OWN 21
+32
94.7%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Corey Crooms Jr. for 32 yds to the OSU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:30
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+2
94.0%
Jordan Nubin run for 2 yds to the OSU 45Similar
Q2 11:30
2ND & 8
OPP 45
+3
94.0%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Nick Kallerup for 3 yds to the OSU 42Similar
Q2 11:30
3RD & 5
OPP 42
0
94.1%
Jordan Nubin run for no gain to the OSU 42Similar
Q2 9:15
4TH & 5
OPP 42
0
94.1%
Mark Crawford punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Jayden Ballard at the OSU 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 8FG
11 plays · 81 yds · 4:2494% → 96%
Q2 9:15
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+2
94.1%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 2 yds to the OSU 13Similar
Q2 9:15
2ND & 8
OWN 13
+6
94.0%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Marvin Harrison Jr. for 6 yds to the OSU 19Similar
Q2 9:15
3RD & 2
OWN 19
+23
93.9%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Emeka Egbuka for 8 yds to the OSU 27 for a 1ST down Minnesota Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Justin Walley) to the OSU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:15
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+23
94.4%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Emeka Egbuka for 23 yds to the MINN 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:15
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+4
94.5%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 4 yds to the MINN 31Similar
Q2 9:15
2ND & 6
OPP 31
+4
94.5%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 4 yds to the MINN 27Similar
Q2 9:15
3RD & 2
OPP 27
+21
94.4%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Emeka Egbuka for 21 yds to the MINN 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
94.5%
Kyle McCord pass incomplete to Cade StoverSimilar
Q2 9:15
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+2
94.5%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 2 yds to the MINN 8Similar
Q2 9:15
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
0
94.4%
Kyle McCord pass incomplete to Emeka EgbukaSimilar
Q2 4:51
4TH & GOAL
OPP 8
+26
95.5%
Jayden Fielding 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 9PUNT
8 plays · 18 yds · 2:565% → 5%
Q2 4:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
95.1%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Daniel Jackson for 9 yds to the MINN 34Similar
Q2 4:51
2ND & 1
OWN 34
0
94.7%
Jordan Nubin run for no gain to the MINN 34Similar
Q2 4:51
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+3
94.9%
Athan Kaliakmanis run for 3 yds to the MINN 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:51
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+6
95.0%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Elijah Spencer for 6 yds to the MINN 43Similar
Q2 4:51
2ND & 4
OWN 43
0
94.7%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incomplete to Daniel JacksonSimilar
Q2 4:51
3RD & 4
OWN 43
0
94.9%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incomplete to Daniel JacksonSimilar
Q2 1:55
4TH & 4
OWN 43
0
94.8%
Mark Crawford punt for 54 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the OSU 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 10END OF HALF
8 plays · 9 yds · 1:5596% → 95%
Q2 1:55
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+3
95.6%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 3 yds to the OSU 6Similar
Q2 1:55
2ND & 7
OWN 6
+3
95.5%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 3 yds to the OSU 9Similar
Q2 1:55
3RD & 4
OWN 9
+12
95.4%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 12 yds to the OSU 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:55
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-5
95.6%
PENALTY OSU False Start 5 yards from OSU21 to OSU16. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:44
1ST & 15
OWN 16
0
95.1%
Kyle McCord pass incomplete to TreVeyon HendersonSimilar
Q2 0:44
2ND & 15
OWN 16
+3
95.1%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Cade Stover for 3 yds to the OSU 19Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 12
OWN 19
-7
94.9%
Kyle McCord sacked by Jah Joyner for a loss of 7 yards to the OSU 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 11TD
2 plays · 75 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q3 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+75
98.1%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 75 yds for a TD (Jayden Fielding KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 12FUMBLE
2 plays · -3 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q3 14:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
98.0%
Athan Kaliakmanis sacked by Jack Sawyer for a loss of 3 yards to the MINN 6 Athan Kaliakmanis fumbled, recovered by OSU JT Tuimoloau , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 13TD
3 plays · 6 yds · 0:4398% → 100%
Q3 14:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
98.2%
Kyle McCord pass incomplete to Emeka EgbukaSimilar
Q3 14:36
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+2
98.2%
Chip Trayanum run for 2 yds to the MINN 4Similar
Q3 13:53
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
99.5%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Marvin Harrison Jr. for 4 yds for a TD (Jayden Fielding KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 14INT
6 plays · 17 yds · 2:231% → 0%
Q3 13:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
98.7%
Jordan Nubin run for 7 yds to the MINN 32Similar
Q3 13:53
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+8
98.5%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Daniel Jackson for 8 yds to the MINN 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:53
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
98.6%
Jordan Nubin run for 2 yds to the MINN 42Similar
Q3 13:53
2ND & 8
OWN 42
0
98.5%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incomplete to Daniel JacksonSimilar
Q3 11:30
3RD & 8
OWN 42
+15
99.6%
Ohio State Penalty, UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (15 Yards) to the MINN 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 15FG
5 plays · 15 yds · 1:13100% → 100%
Q3 11:30
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+13
99.6%
Kyle McCord pass complete to TreVeyon Henderson for 13 yds to the MINN 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:30
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+2
99.6%
Chip Trayanum run for 2 yds to the MINN 14Similar
Q3 11:30
2ND & 8
OPP 14
0
99.6%
Kyle McCord pass incomplete to Julian FlemingSimilar
Q3 11:30
3RD & 8
OPP 14
0
99.6%
Kyle McCord pass incomplete to Chip TrayanumSimilar
Q3 10:17
4TH & 8
OPP 14
+32
99.6%
Jayden Fielding 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 16PUNT
6 plays · 25 yds · 2:160% → 0%
Q3 10:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+21
99.7%
Jordan Nubin run for 21 yds to the MINN 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:17
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
99.6%
Jordan Nubin run for 3 yds to the MINN 49Similar
Q3 10:17
2ND & 7
OWN 49
+1
99.6%
Jordan Nubin run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 10:17
3RD & 6
50
0
99.6%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incomplete to Brevyn Spann-FordSimilar
Q3 8:01
4TH & 6
50
0
99.7%
Mark Crawford punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Jayden Ballard at the OSU 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 17TD
16 plays · 84 yds · 9:18100% → 100%
Q3 8:01
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+2
99.8%
Dallan Hayden run for 2 yds to the OSU 18Similar
Q3 8:01
2ND & 8
OWN 18
+6
99.7%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Carnell Tate for 6 yds to the OSU 24Similar
Q3 8:01
3RD & 2
OWN 24
+4
99.7%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Julian Fleming for 4 yds to the OSU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:01
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+15
99.8%
Dallan Hayden run for 15 yds to the OSU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:01
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+4
99.8%
Dallan Hayden run for 4 yds to the OSU 47Similar
Q3 8:01
2ND & 6
OWN 47
+3
99.8%
Dallan Hayden run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 8:01
3RD & 3
50
+6
99.7%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Julian Fleming for 6 yds to the MINN 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:01
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+2
99.8%
Kyle McCord run for 2 yds to the MINN 42Similar
Q3 8:01
2ND & 8
OPP 42
+9
99.8%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Patrick Gurd for 9 yds to the MINN 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:01
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+14
99.7%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Xavier Johnson for 14 yds to the MINN 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:01
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+5
99.7%
Dallan Hayden run for 5 yds to the MINN 14Similar
Q3 8:01
2ND & 5
OPP 14
+1
99.7%
Dallan Hayden run for 1 yd to the MINN 13Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 4
OPP 13
+8
99.9%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Xavier Johnson for 8 yds to the MINN 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
99.8%
Dallan Hayden run for 3 yds to the MINN 2Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
99.8%
Dallan Hayden run for 1 yd to the MINN 1Similar
Q4 13:43
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.9%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Cade Stover for 1 yd for a TD (Jayden Fielding KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 18FG
13 plays · 39 yds · 7:000% → 0%
Q4 13:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
99.9%
Ohio State Penalty, Defensive Holding (Gabe Powers) to the MINN 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:43
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+7
99.9%
Jordan Nubin run for 7 yds to the MINN 42Similar
Q4 13:43
2ND & 3
OWN 42
+3
99.9%
Jordan Nubin run for 3 yds to the MINN 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:43
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+8
99.9%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Elijah Spencer for 8 yds to the OSU 47Similar
Q4 13:43
2ND & 2
OPP 47
+3
99.9%
Jordan Nubin run for 3 yds to the OSU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:43
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+4
99.9%
Athan Kaliakmanis run for 4 yds to the OSU 48Similar
Q4 13:43
2ND & 14
OPP 48
+12
99.9%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Daniel Jackson for 12 yds to the OSU 36Similar
Q4 13:43
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+4
99.9%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Jordan Nubin for 4 yds to the OSU 30Similar
Q4 13:43
2ND & 6
OPP 30
+3
99.9%
Jordan Nubin run for 3 yds to the OSU 33Similar
Q4 13:43
3RD & 9
OPP 33
-3
99.9%
Athan Kaliakmanis sacked for a loss of 3 yards to the OSU 36Similar
Q4 13:43
3RD & 2
OPP 36
+2
99.9%
Athan Kaliakmanis run for 2 yds to the OSU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:43
4TH & 12
OPP 36
+54
99.9%
Dragan Kesich 54 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 2:03100% → 100%
Q4 6:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
Evan Pryor run for no gain to the OSU 25Similar
Q4 6:43
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.9%
Evan Pryor run for 3 yds to the OSU 28Similar
Q4 6:43
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+2
99.9%
Lincoln Kienholz pass complete to Evan Pryor for 2 yds to the OSU 30Similar
Q4 4:40
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
99.9%
Jesse Mirco punt for 51 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:390% → 0%
Q4 4:40
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
99.9%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incomplete to Daniel JacksonSimilar
Q4 4:40
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+1
99.9%
Sean Tyler run for 1 yd to the MINN 20Similar
Q4 4:40
3RD & 9
OWN 20
0
100.0%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Sean Tyler for no gain to the MINN 20Similar
Q4 3:01
4TH & 9
OWN 20
0
100.0%
Mark Crawford punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Brandon Inniss at the OSU 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 21END OF GAME
5 plays · 17 yds · 3:01100% → 100%
Q4 3:01
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
99.9%
Evan Pryor run for 5 yds to the OSU 45Similar
Q4 3:01
2ND & 5
OWN 45
+3
99.9%
Evan Pryor run for 3 yds to the OSU 48Similar
Q4 3:01
3RD & 2
OWN 48
+5
99.9%
Lincoln Kienholz pass complete to Joe Royer for 5 yds to the MINN 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:01
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+2
99.9%
Evan Pryor run for 2 yds to the MINN 45Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 8
OPP 45
+2
100.0%
Evan Pryor run for 2 yds to the MINN 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 14:48
TreVeyon Henderson run for 75 yds for a TD (Jayden Fielding KICK)
+4
TD · Q3 13:53
Kyle McCord pass complete to Marvin Harrison Jr. for 4 yds for a TD (Jayden Fielding KICK)
+1.3
FG · Q2 4:51
Jayden Fielding 26 yd FG GOOD
+1.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com