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PUR

Purdue 15 at Northwestern 23

NU
2023 · Week 12 · Nov 18, 2023 · Ryan Field
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Win probability · NU
modelNU aheadPUR aheadconfidence bandkey playNU scorePUR score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 9:05 · Hunter Renner punt for 48 yds , returns for no gain to the PUR 21
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsTime remaining
+27.5+13.80−13.8−27.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 96Home team on offense+6.6Pregame prior+4.4Garbage-time factor+2.0Score differential+1.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.6Time remaining−0.4
This game in five plays
  1. KEY PLAY · Q2 1:55: Ben Bryant pass complete to Bryce Kirtz for 4 yds to the NU 44 — NU win probability +8.2 pts (now 71%) (top driver: NU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 3:59: Tyrone Tracy Jr. run for 20 yds for a TD (Ben Freehill KICK) — PUR win probability +18.2 pts (now 44%) (top driver: PUR has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 1:56: Ben Bryant pass complete to Cam Johnson for 52 yds for a TD (Jack Olsen KICK) — NU win probability +17.1 pts (now 84%) (top driver: NU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 12:08: Cam Porter run for 34 yds for a TD (Jack Olsen KICK) — NU win probability +10.2 pts (now 95%) (top driver: NU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 3:06: Devin Mockobee run for 2 yds for a TD (D. Burks Run For Two-point Conversion) — PUR win probability +8.6 pts (now 12%) (top driver: PUR has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
NU made the numbers' call on 6 of 9PUR made the numbers' call on 7 of 9
  1. Q1 13:32PUR 4th & 16 at PUR 22, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.8%−0.2
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:14PUR 4th & 7 at NU 27, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 40.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.9%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    40.9%
    62% to make
    Punt
    39.8%−1.2
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:13NU 4th & 4 at NU 46, up 6
    Close callPunted · 60.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.5%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.4%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:00PUR 4th & 1 at NU 24, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 40.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    39.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    38.8%−1.1
    68% to make
    Punt
    35.7%−4.2
    average punt
  5. Q2 13:00PUR 4th & 2 at NU 15, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 39.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    39.4%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    38.8%−0.6
    83% to make
    Punt
    34.5%−4.9
    average punt
  6. Q2 10:37NU 4th & 20 at NU 5, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 62.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.7%−2.6
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.3%
    average punt
  7. Q2 5:34PUR 4th & 1 at NU 1, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 37.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    36.1%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    33.5%−2.6
    94% to make
    Punt
    27.1%−9.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 2:51NU 4th & 5 at NU 34, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.7%−0.3
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.0%
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:35NU 4th & 25 at PUR 43, up 6
    Close callPunted · 66.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.4%−1.3
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    66.6%
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    66.1%−0.5
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:05NU 4th & 10 at PUR 20, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 68.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.3%−1.5
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    67.8%
    75% to make
    Punt
    61.0%−6.8
    average punt
  11. Q3 13:22NU 4th & 4 at NU 31, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.8%−0.9
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.7%
    average punt
  12. Q3 11:40PUR 4th & 3 at PUR 44, down 6
    Close callPunted · 33.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.5%−0.6
    average punt
  13. Q3 9:05NU 4th & 11 at NU 31, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 68.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.1%−3.4
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    70.4%
    average punt
  14. Q3 7:38NU 4th & 1 at PUR 12, up 6
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.7 ptsKicked a field goal · 71.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    68.3%−2.7
    86% to make
    Punt
    59.2%−11.8
    average punt
  15. Q3 0:33PUR 4th & 5 at PUR 40, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.1%−0.2
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.2%
    average punt
  16. Q4 7:49PUR 4th & 10 at NU 30, down 16
    Close callWent for it · 5.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.0%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    5.1%
    56% to make
    Punt
    4.5%−0.7
    average punt
  17. Q4 3:06PUR 4th & 2 at NU 2, down 16
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 3.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.3%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    3.1%−1.3
    94% to make
    Punt
    2.0%−2.4
    average punt
  18. Q4 1:59NU 4th & 8 at NU 27, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.5%−0.6
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
NU made the numbers' call on 1 of 3PUR made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q1 11:40NU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    58.1%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    58.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 3:59PUR Touchdown, down 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    37.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    37.7%−0.2
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 1:56NU Touchdown, up 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 12:08NU Touchdown, up 15 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.6%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.8%
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 3:06PUR Touchdown, down 10 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    6.9%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    6.1%−0.7
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
PURDrive 1PUNT
4 plays · -6 yds · 1:2139% → 39%
Q1 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+2
61.2%
Tyrone Tracy Jr. run for 2 yds to the PUR 30Similar
Q1 14:53
2ND & 8
OWN 30
0
61.3%
Bennett Meredith pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:53
3RD & 8
OWN 30
-8
61.3%
Bennett Meredith sacked by Anto Saka and Xander Mueller for a loss of 8 yards to the PUR 22Similar
Q1 13:32
4TH & 16
OWN 22
0
61.4%
Jack Ansell punt for 31 yds, downed at the NU 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 2TD
4 plays · 53 yds · 1:5261% → 63%
Q1 13:32
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
61.4%
Cam Porter run for no gain to the NU 47Similar
Q1 13:32
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+35
61.4%
Ben Bryant pass complete to A.J. Henning for 35 yds to the PUR 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:32
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+11
61.5%
Cam Porter run for 11 yds to the PUR 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
62.6%
Cam Porter run for 7 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 3MISSED FG
10 plays · 48 yds · 4:2138% → 37%
Q1 11:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
62.0%
Purdue Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the PUR 20Similar
Q1 11:35
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+13
62.1%
Devin Mockobee run for 13 yds to the PUR 33Similar
Q1 11:35
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+1
61.8%
Devin Mockobee run for 1 yd to the PUR 34Similar
Q1 11:35
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+7
61.9%
Ryan Browne run for 7 yds to the PUR 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:35
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+1
61.8%
Devin Mockobee run for 1 yd to the PUR 42Similar
Q1 11:35
2ND & 9
OWN 42
+28
61.9%
Ryan Browne pass complete to Tyrone Tracy Jr. for 28 yds to the NU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:35
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-10
61.6%
Ryan Browne sacked for a loss of 10 yards to the NU 40Similar
Q1 11:35
2ND & 20
OPP 40
+5
61.9%
Ryan Browne run for 5 yds to the NU 35Similar
Q1 11:35
3RD & 15
OPP 35
+8
62.0%
Ryan Browne run for 8 yds to the NU 27Similar
Q1 7:14
4TH & 7
OPP 27
+44
62.8%
Ben Freehill 44 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 4PUNT
7 plays · 19 yds · 2:0163% → 64%
Q1 7:14
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
63.3%
Ben Bryant pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:14
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+5
63.2%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Bryce Kirtz for 5 yds to the NU 32Similar
Q1 7:14
3RD & 5
OWN 32
+8
63.1%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Cam Porter for 8 yds to the NU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:14
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+6
63.8%
Cam Porter run for 6 yds to the NU 46Similar
Q1 7:14
2ND & 4
OWN 46
0
63.9%
Ben Bryant pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:14
3RD & 4
OWN 46
0
63.6%
Ben Bryant pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:13
4TH & 4
OWN 46
0
63.9%
Hunter Renner punt for 40 yds, downed at the PUR 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 5DOWNS
14 plays · 71 yds · 7:1336% → 37%
Q1 5:13
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+17
63.6%
Tyrone Tracy Jr. run for 17 yds to the PUR 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:13
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+2
63.4%
Bennett Meredith pass complete to Deion Burks for 2 yds to the PUR 33Similar
Q1 5:13
2ND & 8
OWN 33
-5
63.3%
Purdue Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the PUR 28Similar
Q1 5:13
2ND & 13
OWN 28
+27
63.6%
Tyrone Tracy Jr. run for 27 yds to the NU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:13
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+6
62.5%
Bennett Meredith pass complete to Deion Burks for 6 yds to the NU 39Similar
Q1 5:13
2ND & 4
OPP 39
+6
62.4%
Devin Mockobee run for 6 yds to the NU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:13
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+1
62.1%
Devin Mockobee run for 1 yd to the NU 32Similar
Q1 5:13
2ND & 9
OPP 32
-3
62.1%
Devin Mockobee run for a loss of 3 yards to the NU 35Similar
Q1 5:13
3RD & 12
OPP 35
+11
63.1%
Bennett Meredith run for 11 yds to the NU 24Similar
Q1 0:00
4TH & 1
OPP 24
+1
63.2%
Tyrone Tracy Jr. run for 1 yd to the NU 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+9
61.9%
Bennett Meredith pass complete to Tyrone Tracy Jr. for 9 yds to the NU 14Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 14
0
61.9%
Tyrone Tracy Jr. run for no gain to the NU 14Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 14
-1
62.6%
Tyrone Tracy Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the NU 15Similar
Q2 13:00
4TH & 2
OPP 15
0
63.4%
Tyrone Tracy Jr. run for no gain to the NU 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · -10 yds · 2:2366% → 65%
Q2 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+1
65.9%
Joseph Himon II run for 11 yds to the NU 26 Northwestern Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the NU 11Similar
Q2 13:00
1ST & 14
OWN 11
-7
65.9%
Ben Bryant sacked by Mo Omonode for a loss of 7 yards to the NU 4Similar
Q2 13:00
2ND & 21
OWN 4
+3
65.7%
Anthony Tyus III run for 3 yds to the NU 7Similar
Q2 13:00
3RD & 18
OWN 7
-2
65.1%
Ben Bryant sacked by Mo Omonode and Khordae Sydnor for a loss of 2 yards to the NU 5Similar
Q2 10:37
4TH & 20
OWN 5
0
65.0%
Hunter Renner punt for 26 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 7DOWNS
10 plays · 30 yds · 5:0338% → 36%
Q2 10:37
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+1
62.2%
Ryan Browne run for 1 yd to the NU 30Similar
Q2 10:37
2ND & 9
OPP 30
+11
62.3%
Ryan Browne pass complete to Garrett Miller for 11 yds to the NU 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:37
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+7
62.0%
Ryan Browne run for 7 yds to the NU 12Similar
Q2 10:37
2ND & 3
OPP 12
+2
62.0%
Ryan Browne run for 2 yds to the NU 10Similar
Q2 10:37
3RD & 1
OPP 10
+2
62.9%
Ryan Browne run for 2 yds to the NU 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+7
62.9%
Ryan Browne run for 7 yds to the NU 1Similar
Q2 7:04
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
62.9%
Ryan Browne pass complete to Deion Burks for a loss of 1 yard to the NU 2Similar
Q2 5:39
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
63.3%
Tyrone Tracy Jr. run for 1 yd to the NU 1Similar
Q2 5:34
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
0
64.3%
Tyrone Tracy Jr. run for no gain to the NU 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 33 yds · 2:4368% → 68%
Q2 5:34
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+28
68.0%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Bryce Kirtz for 28 yds to the NU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:34
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-1
68.8%
Cam Porter run for a loss of 1 yard to the NU 28Similar
Q2 5:34
2ND & 11
OWN 28
+4
68.4%
Cam Porter run for 4 yds to the NU 32Similar
Q2 5:34
3RD & 7
OWN 32
+2
68.1%
Ben Bryant run for 2 yds to the NU 34Similar
Q2 2:51
4TH & 5
OWN 34
0
67.9%
Hunter Renner punt for 35 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 9FUMBLE
3 plays · 29 yds · 0:5634% → 37%
Q2 2:51
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+11
65.9%
Tyrone Tracy Jr. run for 11 yds to the PUR 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:51
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+21
64.9%
Bennett Meredith pass complete to TJ Sheffield for 21 yds to the NU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:55
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-3
63.0%
run for a loss of 3 yards to the NU 40 fumbled, recovered by NU Richie Hagarty [NHSG] PUR rush up the middle for a loss of 3 yards, fumbled at NU40 , recovered by NU HAGARTY, Richie at the NU40, returned 0 yards to the NU40, End of Play, clock 01:55.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 10PUNT
9 plays · 17 yds · 1:2071% → 69%
Q2 1:55
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
71.2%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Bryce Kirtz for 4 yds to the NU 44Similar
Q2 1:55
2ND & 6
OWN 44
+2
71.3%
Ben Bryant run for 2 yds to the NU 46Similar
Q2 1:55
3RD & 4
OWN 46
+26
70.3%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Bryce Kirtz for 26 yds to the PUR 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:55
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-8
72.4%
Ben Bryant sacked by Yanni Karlaftis for a loss of 8 yards to the PUR 36Similar
Q2 0:55
2ND & 18
OPP 36
0
70.9%
Ben Bryant pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:44
3RD & 18
OPP 36
-7
70.1%
Ben Bryant sacked by Khordae Sydnor for a loss of 7 yards to the PUR 43Similar
Q2 0:35
4TH & 25
OPP 43
0
68.5%
Hunter Renner punt for 41 yds, downed at the PUR 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 11INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0030% → 30%
Q2 0:29
1ST & 10
OWN 2
0
70.3%
Ryan Browne pass intercepted Garnett Hollis Jr. return for no gain to the PUR 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 12MISSED FG
6 plays · 0 yds · 0:1972% → 70%
Q2 0:24
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+5
72.1%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Cam Johnson for 5 yds to the PUR 15Similar
Q2 0:24
2ND & 5
OPP 15
-5
72.1%
Ben Bryant sacked by Khordae Sydnor and Kydran Jenkins for a loss of 5 yards to the PUR 20Similar
Q2 0:09
3RD & 10
OPP 20
0
71.2%
Ben Bryant pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:05
4TH & 10
OPP 20
+38
69.8%
Jack Olsen 38 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 13END OF HALF
1 play · 4 yds · 0:0030% → 30%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
70.2%
Tyrone Tracy Jr. run for 4 yds to the PUR 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:3871% → 69%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
70.5%
Cam Porter run for 4 yds to the NU 29Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
-10
70.6%
BRYANT, Ben pass to the left complete for 9 yards to HENNING, A.J. caught at the NU26 and advanced to the NU38 (JENKINS, Kydran). PENALTY NU Holding on JOHNSON, Cam enforced 10 yards from the NU29 to the NU19 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 16
OWN 19
+12
70.1%
Ben Bryant pass complete to A.J. Henning for 12 yds to the NU 31Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
69.9%
Ben Bryant pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:22
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
69.4%
Hunter Renner punt for 32 yds, downed at the PUR 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:4233% → 32%
Q3 13:22
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
67.2%
Tyrone Tracy Jr. run for 5 yds to the PUR 42Similar
Q3 13:22
2ND & 5
OWN 42
-2
65.7%
Bennett Meredith pass complete to Garrett Miller for a loss of 2 yards to the PUR 40Similar
Q3 13:22
3RD & 7
OWN 40
+4
67.5%
Bennett Meredith run for 4 yds to the PUR 44Similar
Q3 11:40
4TH & 3
OWN 44
0
68.4%
Jack Ansell punt for 56 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 16PUNT
8 plays · 11 yds · 2:3571% → 70%
Q3 11:40
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
70.9%
Ben Bryant pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:40
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+2
70.7%
Cam Porter run for 2 yds to the NU 22Similar
Q3 11:40
3RD & 8
OWN 22
+10
69.7%
Ben Bryant pass complete to A.J. Henning for 10 yds to the NU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:40
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-5
71.2%
Northwestern Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the NU 27Similar
Q3 11:40
1ST & 15
OWN 27
+3
70.9%
Cam Porter run for 3 yds to the NU 30Similar
Q3 11:40
2ND & 12
OWN 30
+1
70.7%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Cam Porter for 1 yd to the NU 31Similar
Q3 11:40
3RD & 11
OWN 31
0
69.8%
Ben Bryant pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:05
4TH & 11
OWN 31
0
69.7%
Hunter Renner punt for 48 yds , returns for no gain to the PUR 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 17FG
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:2775% → 79%
Q3 9:05
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+4
74.7%
A.J. Henning run for 4 yds to the PUR 17Similar
Q3 9:05
2ND & 6
OPP 17
0
74.7%
Ben Bryant pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:05
3RD & 6
OPP 17
+5
73.7%
A.J. Henning run for 5 yds to the PUR 12Similar
Q3 7:38
4TH & 1
OPP 12
+30
78.9%
Jack Olsen 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 18TD
9 plays · 82 yds · 3:3222% → 44%
Q3 7:31
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+12
78.4%
Ryan Browne run for 12 yds to the PUR 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:31
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
78.1%
Ryan Browne pass complete to Devin Mockobee for 3 yds to the PUR 33Similar
Q3 7:31
2ND & 7
OWN 33
+2
77.9%
Devin Mockobee run for 2 yds to the PUR 35Similar
Q3 7:31
3RD & 5
OWN 35
+25
78.5%
Ryan Browne pass complete to Devin Mockobee for 25 yds to the NU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:31
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
76.2%
Ryan Browne pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:31
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+7
76.2%
Ryan Browne run for 7 yds to the NU 33Similar
Q3 7:31
3RD & 3
OPP 33
+14
75.9%
Devin Mockobee run for 14 yds to the NU 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:31
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-1
74.6%
Ryan Browne run for a loss of 1 yard to the NU 20Similar
Q3 3:59
2ND & 11
OPP 20
+20
56.3%
Tyrone Tracy Jr. run for 20 yds for a TD (Ben Freehill KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 19TD
4 plays · 71 yds · 1:5664% → 84%
Q3 3:52
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+4
63.8%
Joseph Himon II run for 4 yds to the NU 33Similar
Q3 3:52
2ND & 6
OWN 33
+13
64.2%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Joseph Himon II for 13 yds to the NU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:52
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
66.8%
Joseph Himon II run for 2 yds to the NU 48Similar
Q3 1:56
2ND & 8
OWN 48
+52
83.9%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Cam Johnson for 52 yds for a TD (Jack Olsen KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:2319% → 17%
Q3 1:56
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
81.0%
Bennett Meredith sacked by Jaylen Pate for 0 yards to the PUR 35Similar
Q3 1:56
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+5
81.2%
Tyrone Tracy Jr. run for 5 yds to the PUR 40Similar
Q3 1:56
3RD & 5
OWN 40
0
80.7%
Bennett Meredith pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:33
4TH & 5
OWN 40
0
82.6%
Jack Ansell punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Bryce Kirtz at the NU 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 21TD
8 plays · 83 yds · 2:5283% → 95%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+4
83.2%
Cam Porter run for 4 yds to the NU 21Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 21
0
83.1%
Ben Bryant pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 21
+31
82.1%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Cam Johnson for 31 yds to the PUR 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+9
84.8%
Cam Porter run for 9 yds to the PUR 39Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 39
+2
84.9%
Cam Porter run for 2 yds to the PUR 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+3
84.9%
Cam Porter run for 3 yds to the PUR 34Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 34
0
85.1%
Ben Bryant pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:08
3RD & 7
OPP 34
+34
95.3%
Cam Porter run for 34 yds for a TD (Jack Olsen KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 22DOWNS
11 plays · 53 yds · 4:127% → 5%
Q4 12:01
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+12
92.9%
Ryan Browne run for 12 yds to the PUR 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:01
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+11
92.4%
Devin Mockobee run for 11 yds to the PUR 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:01
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+16
92.2%
Ryan Browne pass complete to Devin Mockobee for 16 yds to the NU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:01
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+6
92.0%
Ryan Browne run for 6 yds to the NU 38Similar
Q4 12:01
2ND & 4
OPP 38
+2
91.5%
Devin Mockobee run for 2 yds to the NU 36Similar
Q4 12:01
3RD & 2
OPP 36
+6
91.7%
Tyrone Tracy Jr. run for 6 yds to the NU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:01
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-2
91.1%
Ryan Browne pass complete to Tyrone Tracy Jr. for a loss of 2 yards to the NU 32Similar
Q4 12:01
2ND & 12
OPP 32
-5
91.3%
Purdue Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the NU 37Similar
Q4 12:01
2ND & 17
OPP 37
+3
92.1%
Ryan Browne run for 3 yds to the NU 34Similar
Q4 12:01
3RD & 14
OPP 34
+4
92.2%
Devin Mockobee run for 4 yds to the NU 30 Devin Mockobee fumbled, recovered by PUR [NHSG] MOCKOBEE, Devin rush to the left for a gain of 4 yards, MOCKOBEE, Devin fumbled at NU30 forced by FITZGERALD, Robert out of bounds to the NU30.Similar
Q4 7:49
4TH & 10
OPP 30
0
94.6%
Ryan Browne pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 23INT
4 plays · 22 yds · 1:5896% → 97%
Q4 7:49
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
96.0%
Anthony Tyus III run for 3 yds to the NU 33Similar
Q4 7:49
2ND & 7
OWN 33
+2
96.0%
Anthony Tyus III run for 2 yds to the NU 35Similar
Q4 7:49
3RD & 5
OWN 35
+15
96.0%
Purdue Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Antonio Stevens) to the PUR 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:51
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
97.2%
Ben Bryant pass intercepted Dillon Thieneman return for no gain to the PUR 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 24TD
8 plays · 77 yds · 2:454% → 12%
Q4 5:51
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+2
95.7%
Ryan Browne run for 2 yds to the PUR 25Similar
Q4 5:51
2ND & 8
OWN 25
+6
95.7%
Ryan Browne pass complete to Deion Burks for 6 yds to the PUR 31Similar
Q4 5:51
3RD & 2
OWN 31
+62
95.5%
Tyrone Tracy Jr. run for 62 yds to the NU 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+4
94.3%
Ryan Browne run for 4 yds to the NU 3Similar
Q4 5:51
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
94.3%
Ryan Browne run for 1 yd to the NU 2Similar
Q4 3:10
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
0
97.0%
Ryan Browne run for no gain to the NU 2Similar
Q4 3:06
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
88.4%
Devin Mockobee run for 2 yds for a TD (D. Burks Run For Two-point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 25PUNT
7 plays · 2 yds · 1:0396% → 96%
Q4 3:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
95.5%
Cam Porter run for no gain to the NU 25Similar
Q4 2:58
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
95.5%
Cam Porter run for 4 yds to the NU 29Similar
Q4 2:58
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+3
95.7%
Cam Porter run for 3 yds to the NU 32Similar
Q4 2:58
4TH & 3
OWN 32
-5
95.3%
Northwestern Penalty, False Start (Raymond Niro III) to the NU 27Similar
Q4 1:59
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
95.5%
punt for 35 yds, downed at the PUR 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 26INT
7 plays · 28 yds · 1:386% → 7%
Q4 1:59
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
94.1%
Ryan Browne pass complete to Garrett Miller for 4 yds to the PUR 42Similar
Q4 1:59
2ND & 6
OWN 42
+6
93.9%
Ryan Browne run for 6 yds to the PUR 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:59
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+7
93.7%
Ryan Browne pass complete to Arhmad Branch for 7 yds to the NU 45Similar
Q4 1:59
2ND & 3
OPP 45
+4
92.4%
Ryan Browne run for 4 yds to the NU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:59
2ND & 6
OPP 37
+3
92.2%
Ryan Browne pass complete to Tyrone Tracy Jr. for 3 yds to the NU 34Similar
Q4 1:59
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+4
92.7%
Ryan Browne pass complete to Garrett Miller for 4 yds to the NU 37Similar
Q4 0:21
3RD & 3
OPP 34
-5
92.8%
Ryan Browne pass intercepted Xander Mueller return for 5 yds to the NU 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 27END OF 4TH QUARTER
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
97.3%
[NHSG] Kneel down by NU at NU28 (team loss of 2), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 3:59
Tyrone Tracy Jr. run for 20 yds for a TD (Ben Freehill KICK)
-18.2
TD · Q3 1:56
Ben Bryant pass complete to Cam Johnson for 52 yds for a TD (Jack Olsen KICK)
+17.1
TD · Q4 12:08
Cam Porter run for 34 yds for a TD (Jack Olsen KICK)
+10.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com