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MASS

Massachusetts 25 at Liberty 49

LIB
2023 · Week 12 · Nov 18, 2023 · Williams Stadium (VA)
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Win probability · LIB
modelLIB aheadMASS aheadconfidence bandkey playLIB scoreMASS score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:00 · [NHSG] Kneel down by BURNETT, Zak at LIB22 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout marginGarbage-time factor
+45.5+22.80−22.8−45.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 2:37: Quinton Cooley run for 60 yds for a TD (Nick Brown KICK) — LIB win probability +1.3 pts (now 97%) (top driver: LIB has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 6:47: Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 23 yds for a TD (Cameron Carson KICK) — MASS win probability +1.8 pts (now 4%) (top driver: MASS has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 4:17: Kaidon Salter run for 12 yds for a TD (Nick Brown KICK) — LIB win probability +1.0 pts (now 99%) (top driver: LIB has the ball).
  4. FG · Q2 0:45: Cameron Carson 35 yd FG GOOD — MASS win probability +3.7 pts (now 5%) (top driver: MASS has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 9:53: Taisun Phommachanh pass intercepted Preston Hodge return for 62 yds for a TD (Nick Brown KICK) — LIB win probability +2.6 pts (now 99%) (top driver: MASS has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
LIB made the numbers' call on 4 of 4MASS made the numbers' call on 6 of 7
  1. Q1 10:47MASS 4th & 1 at MASS 34, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 5.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    5.7%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 3:25MASS 4th & 10 at MASS 30, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.6%−0.2
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.8%
    average punt
  3. Q2 14:18MASS 4th & 10 at LIB 48, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.8%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.0%
    average punt
  4. Q2 0:45MASS 4th & 17 at LIB 17, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.9
    13% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    1.1%
    80% to make
    Punt
    -1.1%−2.2
    average punt
  5. Q3 13:22LIB 4th & 12 at MASS 28, up 25
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 98.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.1%−0.3
    23% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.4%
    60% to make
    Punt
    97.3%−1.0
    average punt
  6. Q3 8:03MASS 4th & 2 at MASS 33, down 32
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.6%−<0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.6%
    average punt
  7. Q3 4:11MASS 4th & 4 at MASS 26, down 32
    Close callPunted · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.6%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.6%−<0.1
    average punt
  8. Q4 12:06LIB 4th & 1 at MASS 32, up 31
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    99.7%−0.2
    51% to make
    Punt
    99.6%−0.3
    average punt
  9. Q4 5:51LIB 4th & 3 at MASS 8, up 31
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    99.9%−0.1
    90% to make
    Punt
    99.4%−0.5
    average punt
  10. Q4 4:58MASS 4th & 5 at MASS 13, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  11. Q4 2:08LIB 4th & 9 at MASS 46, up 31
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    99.9%−0.1
    23% to make
    Punt
    99.9%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
LIB made the numbers' call on 7 of 7MASS made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q1 10:47LIB Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 6:16LIB Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 2:37LIB Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 8:48LIB Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 6:47MASS Touchdown, down 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    3.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    3.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 4:17LIB Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 9:53LIB Touchdown, up 31 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 14:20LIB Touchdown, up 38 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 12:16MASS Touchdown, down 33 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    0.2%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    0.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 0:56MASS Touchdown, down 25 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
LIBDrive 1TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 4:1395% → 95%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
95.2%
Kaidon Salter pass complete to Aaron Bedgood for 2 yds to the LIB 27Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+7
95.2%
Quinton Cooley run for 7 yds to the LIB 34Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+3
95.2%
Quinton Cooley run for 3 yds to the LIB 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+8
95.2%
Aaron Bedgood run for 8 yds to the LIB 45Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 45
+8
95.2%
Kaidon Salter pass complete to Aaron Bedgood for 8 yds to the MASS 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+36
95.2%
Kaidon Salter pass complete to Errol Rogers Jr. for 36 yds to the MASS 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+2
95.2%
Aaron Bedgood run for 2 yds to the MASS 9Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 9
0
95.2%
Kaidon Salter pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 9
+8
95.2%
Kaidon Salter run for 8 yds to the MASS 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
94.8%
Kaidon Salter run for 1 yd for a TD (Nick Brown KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 2FUMBLE
8 plays · 20 yds · 2:505% → 6%
Q1 10:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
94.6%
Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 3 yds to the MASS 28Similar
Q1 10:47
2ND & 7
OWN 28
-5
94.6%
Massachusetts Penalty, False Start (Jonny Hassard) to the MASS 23Similar
Q1 10:47
2ND & 12
OWN 23
0
94.6%
Taisun Phommachanh pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:47
3RD & 12
OWN 23
+11
94.7%
Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Anthony Simpson for 11 yds to the MASS 34Similar
Q1 10:47
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+3
94.6%
Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 3 yds to the MASS 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:47
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
94.6%
Taisun Phommachanh pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:47
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+3
94.6%
Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Anthony Simpson for 3 yds to the MASS 40Similar
Q1 7:57
3RD & 7
OWN 40
+5
94.2%
Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Anthony Simpson for 5 yds Anthony Simpson fumbled, recovered by LIB Brandon Bishop [NHSG] PHOMMACHANH, Taisun pass short up the middle complete for 5 yards to SIMPSON, Anthony caught at the MAS44, SIMPSON, Anthony fumbled at MAS45 forced by HODGE, Preston, recovered by LIB BISHOP, Brandon at the MAS45, returned 5 yards to the MAS40 (HASSARD, Jonny;HODGE, Preston), clock 07:57.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 3TD
4 plays · 40 yds · 1:4194% → 95%
Q1 7:57
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+13
94.4%
Kaidon Salter run for 13 yds to the MASS 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:57
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+13
94.4%
Kaidon Salter run for 13 yds to the MASS 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:57
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+1
94.4%
Aaron Bedgood run for 1 yd to the MASS 13Similar
Q1 6:16
2ND & 9
OPP 13
+13
95.0%
Kaidon Salter pass complete to Austin Henderson for 13 yds for a TD (Nick Brown KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 4PUNT
7 plays · 13 yds · 2:465% → 5%
Q1 6:11
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+1
94.6%
Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 1 yd to the MASS 18Similar
Q1 6:11
2ND & 9
OWN 18
+12
94.7%
Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Gino Campiotti for 12 yds to the MASS 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:11
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-1
94.6%
Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for a loss of 1 yard to the MASS 29Similar
Q1 6:11
2ND & 11
OWN 29
+1
94.7%
Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 1 yd to the MASS 30Similar
Q1 6:11
3RD & 10
OWN 30
0
94.7%
Taisun Phommachanh pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:25
4TH & 10
OWN 30
+16
94.6%
CJ Kolodziey punt for 55 yds , Brylan Green returns for 16 yds to the LIB 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 5TD
2 plays · 69 yds · 0:4896% → 97%
Q1 3:25
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+9
95.5%
Kaidon Salter run for 9 yds to the LIB 40Similar
Q1 2:37
2ND & 1
OWN 40
+60
96.7%
Quinton Cooley run for 60 yds for a TD (Nick Brown KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 6PUNT
9 plays · 22 yds · 3:194% → 4%
Q1 2:37
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+10
96.0%
Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Mark Pope for 10 yds to the MASS 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:37
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+8
96.0%
Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Mark Pope for 8 yds to the MASS 48Similar
Q1 2:37
2ND & 2
OWN 48
+1
95.8%
Greg Desrosiers Jr. run for 1 yd to the MASS 49Similar
Q1 2:37
3RD & 1
OWN 49
+3
95.9%
Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 3 yds to the LIB 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:37
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
95.8%
Taisun Phommachanh pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 48
0
96.1%
Shawn Harris Jr. run for no gain to the LIB 48Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 48
0
96.2%
Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Anthony Simpson for no gain to the LIB 48Similar
Q2 14:18
4TH & 10
OPP 48
0
96.3%
CJ Kolodziey punt for 41 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 7TD
14 plays · 93 yds · 5:3097% → 98%
Q2 14:18
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+5
97.3%
Billy Lucas run for 5 yds to the LIB 12Similar
Q2 14:18
2ND & 5
OWN 12
+7
97.1%
Billy Lucas run for 7 yds to the LIB 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:18
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+7
97.2%
Billy Lucas run for 7 yds to the LIB 26Similar
Q2 14:18
2ND & 3
OWN 26
+2
97.2%
Billy Lucas run for 2 yds to the LIB 28Similar
Q2 14:18
3RD & 1
OWN 28
+2
97.1%
Kaidon Salter run for 2 yds to the LIB 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:18
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+42
97.2%
Kaidon Salter pass complete to Noah Frith for 42 yds to the MASS 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:18
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+13
97.3%
Billy Lucas run for 13 yds to the MASS 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:18
1ST & 10
OPP 15
-1
97.3%
Billy Lucas run for a loss of 1 yard to the MASS 16Similar
Q2 14:18
2ND & 11
OPP 16
+11
97.3%
Kaidon Salter run for 11 yds to the MASS 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:58
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
97.7%
Billy Lucas run for 1 yd to the MASS 4Similar
Q2 8:49
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
0
97.5%
Kaidon Salter pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:48
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
98.3%
Billy Lucas run for 4 yds for a TD (Nick Brown KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 8TD
5 plays · 71 yds · 1:522% → 4%
Q2 8:39
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+14
98.4%
Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Anthony Simpson for 14 yds to the MASS 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:39
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
98.3%
Taisun Phommachanh pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:39
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+17
98.3%
Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 17 yds to the LIB 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:39
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+17
98.2%
Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to George Johnson III for 17 yds to the LIB 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:47
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+23
96.4%
Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 23 yds for a TD (Cameron Carson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 9TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 2:2298% → 99%
Q2 6:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
97.8%
Kaidon Salter pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:39
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+12
97.8%
Aaron Bedgood run for 12 yds to the LIB 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:39
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+16
97.9%
Quinton Cooley run for 16 yds to the MASS 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:39
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+29
98.0%
Kaidon Salter pass complete to Elijah Smoot for 29 yds to the MASS 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:39
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+6
97.9%
Quinton Cooley run for 6 yds to the MASS 12Similar
Q2 4:17
2ND & 4
OPP 12
+12
99.0%
Kaidon Salter run for 12 yds for a TD (Nick Brown KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 10FG
15 plays · 58 yds · 3:321% → 5%
Q2 4:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+25
99.0%
Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Greg Desrosiers Jr. for 25 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:17
1ST & 10
50
+9
98.9%
Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Christian Wells for 9 yds to the LIB 41Similar
Q2 4:17
2ND & 1
OPP 41
+7
98.8%
Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 7 yds to the LIB 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:17
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
98.8%
Taisun Phommachanh pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:17
2ND & 10
OPP 34
-3
98.8%
Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for a loss of 3 yards to the LIB 37Similar
Q2 4:17
3RD & 13
OPP 37
+15
98.9%
Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Anthony Simpson for 15 yds to the LIB 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:17
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+14
98.8%
Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 14 yds to the LIB 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
-5
98.9%
Massachusetts Penalty, False Start (Shawn Harris Jr.) to the LIB 13Similar
Q2 4:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 13
0
98.9%
Taisun Phommachanh pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:58
2ND & GOAL
OPP 13
+2
99.0%
Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 2 yds to the LIB 11Similar
Q2 0:58
3RD & GOAL
OPP 11
-5
99.1%
Massachusetts Penalty, False Start (Mark Pope) to the LIB 16Similar
Q2 0:49
3RD & GOAL
OPP 16
-1
99.1%
Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams for a loss of 1 yard to the LIB 17Similar
Q2 0:45
4TH & GOAL
OPP 17
+35
95.5%
Cameron Carson 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 11INT
3 plays · 10 yds · 0:2298% → 98%
Q2 0:39
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+7
98.1%
Kaidon Salter pass complete to Austin Henderson for 7 yds to the LIB 34Similar
Q2 0:39
2ND & 3
OWN 34
+3
98.1%
Kaidon Salter run for 3 yds to the LIB 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:17
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
98.0%
Kaidon Salter pass intercepted Gerrell Johnson return for no gain to the MASS 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 12MISSED FG
5 plays · 19 yds · 0:174% → 3%
Q2 0:17
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+13
95.7%
Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to George Johnson III for 13 yds to the LIB 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:07
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+6
96.4%
Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Gino Campiotti for 6 yds to the LIB 34Similar
Q2 0:07
2ND & 4
OPP 34
0
96.2%
Taisun Phommachanh pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 4
OPP 34
+52
96.8%
Cameron Carson 52 yd FG BLOCKED blocked bySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 13INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q3 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-9
98.2%
Taisun Phommachanh pass intercepted Joseph Carter return for 9 yds to the MASS 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 14MISSED FG
5 plays · -2 yds · 1:2999% → 99%
Q3 14:51
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
98.6%
Kaidon Salter pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:51
2ND & 10
OPP 26
-3
98.6%
Kaidon Salter run for a loss of 3 yards to the MASS 29Similar
Q3 14:51
3RD & 13
OPP 29
+1
98.5%
Kaidon Salter run for 1 yd to the MASS 28Similar
Q3 13:22
4TH & 12
OPP 28
+47
98.5%
Nick Brown 47 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 15INT TD
7 plays · 30 yds · 3:293% → 1%
Q3 13:22
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+5
96.9%
Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 5 yds to the MASS 33Similar
Q3 13:22
2ND & 5
OWN 33
+4
96.8%
Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to George Johnson III for 4 yds to the MASS 37Similar
Q3 13:22
3RD & 1
OWN 37
+7
96.8%
Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 7 yds to the MASS 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:22
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
96.8%
Taisun Phommachanh pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:22
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+10
96.8%
Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Gino Campiotti for 10 yds to the LIB 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:22
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+4
96.7%
Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 4 yds to the LIB 42Similar
Q3 9:53
2ND & 6
OPP 42
-62
99.3%
Taisun Phommachanh pass intercepted Preston Hodge return for 62 yds for a TD (Nick Brown KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 16PUNT
6 plays · 8 yds · 1:501% → 1%
Q3 9:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.5%
Taisun Phommachanh pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:53
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.5%
Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 2 yds to the MASS 27Similar
Q3 9:22
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+5
99.5%
Liberty Penalty, Delay Of Game (Chris Boti) to the MASS 32Similar
Q3 9:22
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+1
99.4%
Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams for 1 yd to the MASS 33Similar
Q3 8:03
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
99.5%
CJ Kolodziey punt for 50 yds, downed at the LIB 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 17FUMBLE
5 plays · 83 yds · 2:20100% → 100%
Q3 8:03
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+3
99.7%
Quinton Cooley run for 3 yds to the LIB 20Similar
Q3 8:03
2ND & 7
OWN 20
+46
99.7%
Kaidon Salter pass complete to Kylen Austin for 46 yds to the MASS 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:03
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+1
99.7%
Aaron Bedgood run for 1 yd to the MASS 33Similar
Q3 8:03
2ND & 9
OPP 33
0
99.7%
Quinton Cooley run for no gain to the MASS 33Similar
Q3 5:43
3RD & 9
OPP 33
+33
99.7%
Kaidon Salter run for 33 yds Kaidon Salter fumbled, recovered by MASS [NHSG] QB Keeper SALTER, Kaidon rush to the right for a gain of 33 yards, SALTER, Kaidon fumbled at MAS1 forced by CAMERON JR., Jerrod, recovered by MAS TEAM at the MAS0 to the MAS0, touchback., clock 05:43.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:321% → 1%
Q3 5:43
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
99.2%
Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to George Johnson III for 2 yds to the MASS 22Similar
Q3 5:43
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+4
99.2%
Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 4 yds to the MASS 26Similar
Q3 5:43
3RD & 4
OWN 26
0
99.2%
Taisun Phommachanh pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:11
4TH & 4
OWN 26
0
99.4%
CJ Kolodziey punt for 44 yds, downed at the LIB 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 19TD
11 plays · 70 yds · 4:51100% → 100%
Q3 4:11
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+10
99.8%
Kaidon Salter pass complete to Aaron Bedgood for 10 yds to the LIB 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:11
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
99.8%
Billy Lucas run for 1 yd to the LIB 41Similar
Q3 4:11
2ND & 9
OWN 41
+3
99.8%
Aaron Bedgood run for 3 yds to the LIB 44Similar
Q3 4:11
3RD & 6
OWN 44
-5
99.8%
Liberty Penalty, False Start (Xavior Gray) to the LIB 39Similar
Q3 4:11
3RD & 11
OWN 39
+5
99.8%
Massachusetts Penalty, Offsides (JB Brown) to the LIB 44Similar
Q3 4:11
3RD & 6
OWN 44
+27
99.8%
Kaidon Salter pass complete to CJ Daniels for 27 yds to the MASS 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:11
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+15
99.8%
Kaidon Salter run for 15 yds to the MASS 14 Kaidon Salter fumbled, recovered by LIB Aaron Bedgood for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+7
99.8%
Quinton Cooley run for 7 yds to the MASS 7Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 7
0
99.8%
Massachusetts Penalty, Offsides (Louce Julien) to the MASS 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-2
99.8%
Billy Lucas run for a loss of 2 yards to the MASS 5Similar
Q4 14:20
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
99.9%
Kaidon Salter pass complete to Austin Henderson for 5 yds for a TD (Brayden Beck KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 20TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 2:040% → 0%
Q4 14:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
99.9%
Greg Desrosiers Jr. run for 7 yds to the MASS 32Similar
Q4 14:20
2ND & 3
OWN 32
0
99.9%
Taisun Phommachanh pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:20
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+43
99.9%
Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Mark Pope for 43 yds to the LIB 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:20
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-2
99.8%
Greg Desrosiers Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the LIB 27Similar
Q4 12:16
2ND & 12
OPP 27
+27
99.9%
Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Gino Campiotti for 27 yds for a TD (Taisun Phommachanh pass to Greg Desrosiers Jr. for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 21DOWNS
13 plays · 44 yds · 6:15100% → 100%
Q4 12:06
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+4
99.9%
James Jointer Jr. run for 4 yds to the MASS 48Similar
Q4 12:06
2ND & 6
OPP 48
+2
99.9%
Malik Caper run for 2 yds to the MASS 46Similar
Q4 12:06
3RD & 4
OPP 46
+5
99.9%
Massachusetts Penalty, Offsides (Cletus Mathurin) to the MASS 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:06
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+5
99.9%
Malik Caper run for 5 yds to the MASS 36Similar
Q4 12:06
2ND & 5
OPP 36
+2
99.9%
James Jointer Jr. run for 2 yds to the MASS 34Similar
Q4 12:06
3RD & 3
OPP 34
+2
99.9%
Trey Lowe run for 2 yds to the MASS 32Similar
Q4 12:06
4TH & 1
OPP 32
+3
99.9%
Trey Lowe run for 3 yds to the MASS 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:06
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
99.9%
Massachusetts Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (JB Brown) to the MASS 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:06
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+2
99.9%
Malik Caper run for 2 yds to the MASS 13Similar
Q4 12:06
2ND & 8
OPP 13
0
99.9%
Trey Lowe pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:06
3RD & 8
OPP 13
+5
99.9%
Trey Lowe run for 5 yds to the MASS 8Similar
Q4 5:51
4TH & 3
OPP 8
0
99.9%
Trey Lowe pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:530% → 0%
Q4 5:51
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+5
99.9%
Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Mark Pope for 5 yds to the MASS 13Similar
Q4 5:51
2ND & 5
OWN 13
0
99.9%
Taisun Phommachanh pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:51
3RD & 5
OWN 13
0
99.9%
Taisun Phommachanh pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:58
4TH & 5
OWN 13
0
100.0%
CJ Kolodziey punt for 51 yds, downed at the LIB 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 23DOWNS
7 plays · 18 yds · 2:50100% → 100%
Q4 4:58
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
99.9%
James Jointer Jr. run for 4 yds to the LIB 40Similar
Q4 4:58
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+4
100.0%
James Jointer Jr. run for 4 yds to the LIB 44Similar
Q4 4:58
3RD & 2
OWN 44
+9
100.0%
James Jointer Jr. run for 9 yds to the MASS 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:58
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
100.0%
Zak Burnett pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:58
2ND & 10
OPP 47
0
100.0%
Zak Burnett pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:58
3RD & 10
OPP 47
+1
100.0%
Zak Burnett run for 1 yd to the MASS 46Similar
Q4 2:08
4TH & 9
OPP 46
0
100.0%
Zak Burnett pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 24TD
3 plays · 54 yds · 1:120% → 0%
Q4 2:08
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+11
100.0%
Ahmad Haston pass complete to Mark Pope for 11 yds to the LIB 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:08
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+13
100.0%
Ahmad Haston pass complete to Mark Pope for 13 yds to the LIB 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:56
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+30
99.6%
Ahmad Haston pass complete to Gino Campiotti for 30 yds for a TD (Cameron Carson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 25END OF GAME
2 plays · -3 yds · 0:56100% → 100%
Q4 0:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.8%
[NHSG] Kneel down by BURNETT, Zak at LIB23 (team loss of 2).Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 12
OWN 23
0
99.8%
[NHSG] Kneel down by BURNETT, Zak at LIB22 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
FG · Q2 0:45
Cameron Carson 35 yd FG GOOD
-3.7
TD · Q3 9:53
Taisun Phommachanh pass intercepted Preston Hodge return for 62 yds for a TD (Nick Brown KICK)
+2.6
TD · Q2 6:47
Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 23 yds for a TD (Cameron Carson KICK)
-1.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com