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LT

Louisiana Tech 17 at Jacksonville State 56

JXST
2023 · Week 12 · Nov 18, 2023 · AmFirst Stadium
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Win probability · JXST
modelJXST aheadLT aheadconfidence bandkey playJXST scoreLT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 9:50 · Blake Ochsendorf punt for 70 yds for a touchback
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 148Home team on offense+36.0Score differential+29.8Pregame prior+2.6Blowout margin+16.1Garbage-time factor+10.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+6.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 5:59: Malik Jackson run for 13 yds for a TD (Alen Karajic KICK) — JXST win probability +5.8 pts (now 77%) (top driver: JXST has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 4:30: Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Cyrus Allen for 31 yds for a TD (Jacob Barnes KICK) — LT win probability +4.2 pts (now 30%) (top driver: LT has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 10:41: Ron Wiggins run for 13 yds for a TD (Alen Karajic KICK) — JXST win probability +9.6 pts (now 86%) (top driver: JXST has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 7:32: Zion Webb run for 34 yds for a TD (Alen Karajic KICK) — JXST win probability +5.8 pts (now 94%) (top driver: JXST has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 14:21: Michael Richard 6 Yd Return of Blocked Punt (Buck Buchanan Kick) — LT win probability +2.5 pts (now 5%) (top driver: JXST has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
JXST made the numbers' call on 6 of 7LT made the numbers' call on 9 of 11
  1. Q1 13:15LT 4th & 6 at LT 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.6%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.7%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:43LT 4th & 9 at LT 26, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.8%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.9%
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:30JXST 4th & 6 at JXST 41, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 74.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.1%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    74.3%
    average punt
  4. Q1 8:44LT 4th & 3 at LT 38, down 7
    Close callPunted · 25.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  5. Q1 6:57LT 4th & 1 at LT 44, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 23.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    23.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    22.9%−0.7
    average punt
  6. Q1 6:57JXST 4th & 5 at LT 39, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 77.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    77.6%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    77.2%−0.4
    36% to make
    Punt
    77.3%−0.3
    average punt
  7. Q1 1:52JXST 4th & 5 at LT 34, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 79.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    79.2%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    78.9%−0.3
    47% to make
    Punt
    78.4%−0.8
    average punt
  8. Q2 11:55LT 4th & 4 at JXST 19, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 21.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    21.1%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    20.9%−0.2
    77% to make
    Punt
    16.7%−4.4
    average punt
  9. Q2 9:25LT 4th & 10 at LT 37, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.3%−0.7
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.9%
    average punt
  10. Q2 4:28LT 4th & 8 at JXST 37, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 3.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.9%
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    2.6%−0.4
    40% to make
    Punt
    2.1%−0.8
    average punt
  11. Q2 0:32LT 4th & 4 at JXST 35, down 35
    Close callWent for it · 2.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.8%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    2.9%
    45% to make
    Punt
    2.7%−0.2
    average punt
  12. Q3 14:21JXST 4th & 8 at JXST 27, up 32
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.9%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.0%
    average punt
  13. Q3 12:15JXST 4th & 1 at JXST 34, up 25
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 96.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    97.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    96.8%−0.5
    average punt
  14. Q3 7:06LT 4th & 9 at LT 26, down 32
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.1%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.2%
    average punt
  15. Q3 2:35LT 4th & 10 at LT 37, down 39
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  16. Q4 11:13JXST 4th & 12 at LT 29, up 39
    Close callWent for it · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.7%−0.1
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    99.8%
    58% to make
    Punt
    99.5%−0.3
    average punt
  17. Q4 9:50LT 4th & 9 at LT 30, down 39
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  18. Q4 5:30JXST 4th & 9 at JXST 48, up 39
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
JXST made the numbers' call on 8 of 8LT made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 12:44JXST Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    73.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    73.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 8:44JXST Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    75.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 5:59JXST Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q1 4:30LT Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    21.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    21.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 10:41JXST Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 7:32JXST Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q2 1:53JXST Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 14:21LT Touchdown, down 26 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    3.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    3.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q3 8:40JXST Touchdown, up 31 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q3 5:53JXST Touchdown, up 38 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
LTDrive 1PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:4534% → 34%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
66.0%
Hank Bachmeier run for 6 yds to the LT 31Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
66.0%
Tyre Shelton run for no gain to the LT 31Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 31
-2
66.0%
Tyre Shelton run for a loss of 2 yards to the LT 29Similar
Q1 13:15
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
65.9%
Blake Ochsendorf punt for 41 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 2TD
2 plays · 70 yds · 0:3166% → 67%
Q1 13:15
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+68
65.9%
Malik Jackson run for 68 yds to the LT 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
66.8%
Malik Jackson run for 2 yds for a TD (Alen Karajic KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 2:0134% → 33%
Q1 12:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
66.5%
Tyre Shelton run for no gain to the LT 25Similar
Q1 12:44
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
66.5%
Keith Willis Jr. run for 1 yd to the LT 26Similar
Q1 12:44
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
66.6%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Tyre Shelton for no gain to the LT 26Similar
Q1 10:43
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
67.2%
Blake Ochsendorf punt for 53 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 14 yds · 1:1367% → 67%
Q1 10:43
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+10
67.1%
Perry Carter run for 10 yds to the JVST 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:43
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
67.2%
Ron Wiggins run for 2 yds to the JVST 39Similar
Q1 10:43
2ND & 8
OWN 39
+2
67.4%
Ron Wiggins run for 2 yds to the JVST 41Similar
Q1 10:43
3RD & 6
OWN 41
0
67.2%
Zion Webb pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:30
4TH & 6
OWN 41
0
67.3%
Jack Dawson punt for 39 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 5PUNT TD
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:4633% → 31%
Q1 9:30
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
67.2%
Hank Bachmeier pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:30
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+2
67.3%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Kyle Maxwell for 2 yds to the LT 33Similar
Q1 9:30
3RD & 8
OWN 33
+5
67.4%
BACHMEIER, Hank pass to the left incomplete intended for ALLEN, Cyrus thrown to the LTU48. PENALTY JSU Offsides on BALDWIN, Devin enforced 5 yards from the LTU33 to the LTU38 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 9:30
3RD & 3
OWN 38
0
67.1%
Hank Bachmeier pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:44
4TH & 3
OWN 38
+21
69.4%
Kekoura Tarnue 21 Yd Return of Blocked Punt (Alen Karajic Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 6DOWNS
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:4731% → 30%
Q1 8:44
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
69.3%
Tyre Shelton run for 3 yds to the LT 38Similar
Q1 8:44
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+5
69.3%
Tyre Shelton run for 5 yds to the LT 43Similar
Q1 7:02
3RD & 2
OWN 43
+1
69.9%
Keith Willis Jr. run for 1 yd to the LT 44Similar
Q1 6:57
4TH & 1
OWN 44
0
70.1%
Keith Willis Jr. run for no gain to the LT 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 7TD
5 plays · 44 yds · 0:5872% → 77%
Q1 6:57
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+5
71.7%
Perry Carter run for 5 yds to the LT 39Similar
Q1 6:57
2ND & 5
OPP 39
0
71.7%
Zion Webb pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:57
3RD & 5
OPP 39
0
71.4%
Zion Webb pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:57
4TH & 5
OPP 39
+26
71.1%
Zion Webb run for 26 yds to the LT 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:59
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+13
77.0%
Malik Jackson run for 13 yds for a TD (Alen Karajic KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 8TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 1:2925% → 30%
Q1 5:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
75.1%
Hank Bachmeier run for 7 yds to the LT 32Similar
Q1 5:59
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+6
74.8%
Charvis Thornton run for 6 yds to the LT 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:59
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
74.9%
Hank Bachmeier pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:59
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+14
74.9%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Smoke Harris for 14 yds to the JVST 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:59
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+17
74.4%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Smoke Harris for 17 yds to the JVST 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:30
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+31
70.2%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Cyrus Allen for 31 yds for a TD (Jacob Barnes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 9DOWNS
10 plays · 41 yds · 2:3873% → 73%
Q1 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
72.6%
Zion Webb pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:30
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+13
72.5%
Anwar Lewis run for 13 yds to the JVST 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+11
73.1%
Anwar Lewis run for 11 yds to the JVST 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+4
73.3%
Zion Webb run for 4 yds to the LT 47Similar
Q1 4:30
2ND & 6
OPP 47
0
73.3%
Zion Webb pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:30
3RD & 6
OPP 47
+8
73.0%
Zion Webb pass complete to Sterling Galban for 8 yds to the LT 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:30
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+3
73.4%
Anwar Lewis run for 3 yds to the LT 36Similar
Q1 4:30
2ND & 7
OPP 36
0
73.3%
Zion Webb pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:30
3RD & 7
OPP 36
+2
73.0%
Anwar Lewis run for 2 yds to the LT 34Similar
Q1 1:52
4TH & 5
OPP 34
0
73.3%
Zion Webb pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 10DOWNS
12 plays · 47 yds · 4:5728% → 27%
Q1 1:52
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
72.0%
Hank Bachmeier pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:52
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+11
72.2%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Smoke Harris for 11 yds to the LT 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:52
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+4
71.8%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Cyrus Allen for 4 yds to the LT 49Similar
Q1 1:52
2ND & 6
OWN 49
+3
71.5%
Tyre Shelton run for 3 yds to the JVST 48Similar
Q1 0:01
3RD & 3
OPP 48
+11
72.2%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Smoke Harris for 11 yds to the JVST 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-5
72.0%
Louisiana Tech Penalty, False Start (TEAM) to the JVST 42Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 15
OPP 42
+5
72.5%
Hank Bachmeier run for 5 yds to the JVST 37Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+12
72.1%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Tru Edwards for 12 yds to the JVST 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-1
71.4%
Charvis Thornton run for a loss of 1 yard to the JVST 26Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 11
OPP 26
-2
71.7%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Smoke Harris for a loss of 2 yards to the JVST 28Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 13
OPP 28
+9
72.6%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Tru Edwards for 9 yds to the JVST 19Similar
Q2 11:55
4TH & 4
OPP 19
0
73.1%
Hank Bachmeier pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 11TD
4 plays · 81 yds · 1:1476% → 86%
Q2 11:55
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+5
75.7%
Zion Webb run for 5 yds to the JVST 24Similar
Q2 11:55
2ND & 5
OWN 24
+58
75.7%
Zion Webb pass complete to Sean Brown for 58 yds to the LT 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:55
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+5
76.9%
Ron Wiggins run for 5 yds to the LT 13Similar
Q2 10:41
2ND & 5
OPP 13
+13
86.4%
Ron Wiggins run for 13 yds for a TD (Alen Karajic KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 12 yds · 1:1615% → 14%
Q2 10:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
85.0%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Kyle Maxwell for 12 yds to the LT 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:41
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
84.4%
Hank Bachmeier pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:41
2ND & 10
OWN 37
0
84.5%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Ryan Rivera for no gain to the LT 37Similar
Q2 10:41
3RD & 10
OWN 37
0
85.2%
Hank Bachmeier pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:25
4TH & 10
OWN 37
0
86.1%
Blake Ochsendorf punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Jamarye Joiner at the JVST 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 13TD
6 plays · 85 yds · 1:5388% → 94%
Q2 9:25
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+1
88.1%
Anwar Lewis run for 1 yd to the JVST 16Similar
Q2 9:25
2ND & 9
OWN 16
+40
88.0%
Anwar Lewis run for 40 yds to the LT 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:25
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-4
88.6%
Anwar Lewis run for a loss of 4 yards to the LT 48Similar
Q2 9:25
2ND & 14
OPP 48
0
88.4%
Zion Webb pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:25
3RD & 14
OPP 48
+14
87.9%
Zion Webb pass complete to Anwar Lewis for 14 yds to the LT 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:32
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+34
93.7%
Zion Webb run for 34 yds for a TD (Alen Karajic KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 14DOWNS
7 plays · 29 yds · 2:566% → 5%
Q2 7:24
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+9
94.2%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Smoke Harris for 9 yds to the LT 43Similar
Q2 7:24
2ND & 1
OWN 43
+1
93.6%
Tyre Shelton run for 1 yd to the LT 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:24
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+17
94.1%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Tru Edwards for 17 yds to the JVST 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:24
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
93.8%
Hank Bachmeier pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:24
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+2
93.8%
Hank Bachmeier run for 2 yds to the JVST 37Similar
Q2 7:24
3RD & 8
OPP 37
0
93.8%
Hank Bachmeier pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:28
4TH & 8
OPP 37
0
95.4%
Hank Bachmeier pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 15TD
6 plays · 63 yds · 2:3595% → 97%
Q2 4:28
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+20
95.2%
Malik Jackson run for 20 yds to the LT 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:28
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+15
95.3%
Malik Jackson run for 15 yds to the LT 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:28
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+4
95.3%
Malik Jackson run for 4 yds to the LT 24Similar
Q2 4:28
2ND & 6
OPP 24
+12
95.3%
Zion Webb run for 12 yds to the LT 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:28
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+4
95.4%
Malik Jackson run for 4 yds to the LT 8Similar
Q2 1:53
2ND & 6
OPP 8
+8
97.3%
Zion Webb run for 8 yds for a TD (Alen Karajic KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 16FG
13 plays · 61 yds · 1:092% → 2%
Q2 1:09
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
98.2%
Tyre Shelton run for no gain to the LT 23Similar
Q2 1:09
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+36
98.2%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Ryan Rivera for 21 yds to the JVST 44 for a 1ST down Jacksonville State Penalty, Personal Foul (Larry Worth) to the JVST 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:09
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
98.0%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Smoke Harris for no gain to the JVST 41Similar
Q2 1:09
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+6
98.0%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Kyle Maxwell for 6 yds to the JVST 35Similar
Q2 0:32
3RD & 4
OPP 35
0
97.9%
Hank Bachmeier pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:32
4TH & 4
OPP 35
+8
96.7%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Cyrus Allen for 8 yds to the JVST 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:13
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+7
98.4%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Kyle Maxwell for 7 yds to the JVST 20Similar
Q2 0:01
2ND & 3
OPP 20
+4
98.1%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Cyrus Allen for 4 yds to the JVST 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+33
98.1%
Buck Buchanan 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 17PUNT TD
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:3998% → 95%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
97.5%
Ron Wiggins run for 2 yds to the JVST 27Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
97.6%
Zion Webb pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
97.5%
Zion Webb pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:21
4TH & 8
OWN 27
+6
95.1%
Michael Richard 6 Yd Return of Blocked Punt (Buck Buchanan Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 18FUMBLE
3 plays · 10 yds · 0:5495% → 96%
Q3 14:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
95.3%
Zion Webb pass complete to Perry Carter for 13 yds to the JVST 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:21
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+13
95.5%
Zion Webb pass complete to Perry Carter for 13 yds to the LT 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:27
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-16
95.9%
run for a loss of 16 yards to the JVST 35 fumbled, recovered by LT Brevin Randle [NHSG] JSU rush up the middle for a loss of 16 yards, fumbled at LTU49 , recovered by LTU RANDLE, Brevin at the JSU35, returned 0 yards to the JSU35, End of Play, clock 13:27.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 19INT
3 plays · 4 yds · 1:126% → 4%
Q3 13:27
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+4
94.4%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Marlion Jackson for 4 yds to the JVST 31Similar
Q3 13:27
2ND & 6
OPP 31
0
94.2%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Smoke Harris for no gain to the JVST 31Similar
Q3 12:15
3RD & 6
OPP 31
0
95.7%
Hank Bachmeier pass intercepted Zechariah Poyser return for no gain to the JVST 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 20TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 3:3597% → 99%
Q3 12:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
96.5%
Ron Wiggins run for 1 yd to the JVST 26Similar
Q3 12:15
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+8
96.6%
Ron Wiggins run for 8 yds to the JVST 34Similar
Q3 12:15
3RD & 1
OWN 34
0
96.6%
Ron Wiggins run for no gain to the JVST 34Similar
Q3 12:15
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+2
96.4%
Zion Webb run for 2 yds to the JVST 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:15
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-1
96.7%
Zion Webb run for a loss of 1 yard to the JVST 35Similar
Q3 12:15
2ND & 11
OWN 35
0
96.6%
Zion Webb pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:15
3RD & 11
OWN 35
+15
96.6%
Louisiana Tech Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (Mykol Clark) to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:15
1ST & 10
50
+5
96.8%
Sterling Galban run for 5 yds to the LT 45 Sterling Galban fumbled, recovered by JVST Cam Vaughn [NHSG] GALBAN, Sterling rush to the right for a gain of 5 yards, GALBAN, Sterling fumbled at LTU45 forced by GRIFFIN-TAYLOR, Demarcus, recovered by JSU VAUGHN, Cam at the LTU45, returned 0 yards to the LTU45, End of Play.Similar
Q3 12:15
2ND & 5
OPP 45
+16
96.9%
Anwar Lewis run for 16 yds to the LT 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:40
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+29
99.1%
Zion Webb run for 29 yds for a TD (Alen Karajic KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:341% → 1%
Q3 8:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
98.8%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Smoke Harris for 1 yd to the LT 26Similar
Q3 8:40
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
98.8%
Solo Lewis run for no gain to the LT 26Similar
Q3 8:40
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
98.8%
Hank Bachmeier pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:06
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
98.7%
Blake Ochsendorf punt for 50 yds, downed at the JVST 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 22TD
3 plays · 76 yds · 1:1399% → 100%
Q3 7:06
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+2
99.2%
Malik Jackson run for 2 yds to the JVST 26Similar
Q3 7:06
2ND & 8
OWN 26
+65
99.2%
Malik Jackson run for 65 yds to the LT 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
99.5%
Anwar Lewis run for 9 yds for a TD (Alen Karajic KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 23PUNT
7 plays · 10 yds · 3:101% → 0%
Q3 5:45
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+2
99.5%
Keith Willis Jr. run for 2 yds to the LT 29Similar
Q3 5:45
2ND & 8
OWN 29
+6
99.5%
Jack Turner pass complete to Cyrus Allen for 6 yds to the LT 35Similar
Q3 5:45
3RD & 2
OWN 35
+2
99.5%
Keith Willis Jr. run for 2 yds to the LT 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:45
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
99.5%
Keith Willis Jr. run for no gain to the LT 37Similar
Q3 5:45
2ND & 10
OWN 37
0
99.5%
Jack Turner pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:45
3RD & 10
OWN 37
0
99.6%
Jack Turner pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:35
4TH & 10
OWN 37
0
99.7%
Blake Ochsendorf punt for 39 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 24DOWNS
11 plays · 40 yds · 6:22100% → 100%
Q3 2:35
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+7
99.6%
Anwar Lewis run for 7 yds to the JVST 38Similar
Q3 2:35
2ND & 3
OWN 38
+2
99.7%
Anwar Lewis run for 2 yds to the JVST 40Similar
Q3 2:35
3RD & 1
OWN 40
+3
99.6%
Zion Webb run for 3 yds to the JVST 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+4
99.7%
Anwar Lewis run for 4 yds to the JVST 47Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 47
+8
99.7%
Logan Smothers run for 8 yds to the LT 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
99.7%
Anwar Lewis run for no gain to the LT 45Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+18
99.7%
Anwar Lewis run for 18 yds to the LT 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+2
99.7%
Reggion Bennett run for 2 yds to the LT 25Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 25
-5
99.7%
Reggion Bennett run for a loss of 5 yards to the LT 30Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 13
OPP 30
+1
99.7%
Logan Smothers run for 1 yd to the LT 29Similar
Q4 11:13
4TH & 12
OPP 29
0
99.8%
Logan Smothers pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 25PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:230% → 0%
Q4 11:13
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+1
99.9%
Jacob Fields run for 1 yd to the LT 30Similar
Q4 11:13
2ND & 9
OWN 30
0
99.9%
Jacob Fields run for no gain to the LT 30Similar
Q4 11:13
3RD & 9
OWN 30
0
99.9%
Jack Turner pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:50
4TH & 9
OWN 30
0
99.9%
Blake Ochsendorf punt for 70 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 26PUNT
7 plays · 28 yds · 4:20100% → 100%
Q4 9:50
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
99.9%
Ashton Frye run for 6 yds to the JVST 26Similar
Q4 9:50
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+4
99.9%
Earl Woods III run for 4 yds to the JVST 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:50
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+17
99.9%
Earl Woods III run for 17 yds to the JVST 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:50
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+2
99.9%
Earl Woods III run for 2 yds to the JVST 49Similar
Q4 9:50
2ND & 8
OWN 49
+1
99.9%
Earl Woods III run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 9:50
3RD & 7
50
-2
99.9%
Ashton Frye run for a loss of 2 yards to the JVST 48Similar
Q4 5:30
4TH & 9
OWN 48
0
99.9%
Jack Dawson punt for 46 yds , Smoke Harris returns for no gain to the LT 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 27INT
7 plays · 23 yds · 2:470% → 0%
Q4 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
99.9%
Evan Bullock pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:30
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+13
99.9%
Evan Bullock pass complete to Keldric Moody for 13 yds to the LT 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+8
99.9%
Evan Bullock pass complete to Marlion Jackson for 8 yds to the LT 42Similar
Q4 5:30
2ND & 2
OWN 42
+3
99.9%
Keldric Moody run for 3 yds to the LT 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-1
99.9%
Evan Bullock sacked by Jaden Thomas for a loss of 1 yard to the LT 44Similar
Q4 5:30
2ND & 11
OWN 44
0
99.9%
Evan Bullock pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:43
3RD & 11
OWN 44
-22
100.0%
Evan Bullock pass intercepted Travis Franklin Jr. return for 22 yds to the LT 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 28END OF GAME
5 plays · 14 yds · 2:43100% → 100%
Q4 2:43
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+5
99.9%
J'Wan Evans run for 5 yds to the LT 33Similar
Q4 2:43
2ND & 5
OPP 33
+6
99.9%
J'Wan Evans run for 6 yds to the LT 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:43
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+4
99.9%
Ashton Frye run for 4 yds to the LT 23Similar
Q4 2:43
2ND & 6
OPP 23
0
99.9%
J'Wan Evans run for no gain to the LT 23Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 6
OPP 23
-1
100.0%
J'Wan Evans run for a loss of 1 yard to the LT 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 10:41
Ron Wiggins run for 13 yds for a TD (Alen Karajic KICK)
+9.6
TD · Q1 5:59
Malik Jackson run for 13 yds for a TD (Alen Karajic KICK)
+5.8
TD · Q2 7:32
Zion Webb run for 34 yds for a TD (Alen Karajic KICK)
+5.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com