Try the model
CCU

Coastal Carolina 21 at Army 28

ARMY
2023 · Week 12 · Nov 18, 2023 · Michie Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · ARMY
modelARMY aheadCCU aheadconfidence bandkey playARMY scoreCCU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 9:24 · Jarrett Guest pass incomplete to Jared Brown
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+28.5+14.30−14.3−28.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 115Home team on offense+19.9Pregame prior−2.0Score differential+7.2Garbage-time factor+4.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+4.9Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 6:52: Tyson Riley run for 2 yds for a TD (Quinn Maretzki KICK) — ARMY win probability +7.0 pts (now 44%) (top driver: ARMY has the ball).
  2. PUNT · Q2 1:48: Evan Crenshaw punt blocked by Brett Gerena blocked by Brett Gerena for a TD , Jabril Williams returns for 37 yds for a TD (Quinn Maretzki KICK) — ARMY win probability +14.8 pts (now 69%) (top driver: CCU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 0:58: Jarrett Guest pass complete to Jameson Tucker for 31 yds for a TD (Kade Hensley KICK) — CCU win probability +13.4 pts (now 47%) (top driver: CCU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 11:14: Ay'Jaun Marshall run for 18 yds for a TD (Quinn Maretzki KICK) — ARMY win probability +14.4 pts (now 79%) (top driver: ARMY has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 0:51: Jarrett Guest pass complete to Sam Pinckney for 31 yds for a TD (Kade Hensley KICK) — CCU win probability +9.1 pts (now 12%) (top driver: CCU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ARMY made the numbers' call on 1 of 2CCU made the numbers' call on 3 of 5
  1. Q2 8:09CCU 4th & 2 at CCU 26, down 7
    Close callPunted · 40.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.4%−0.4
    average punt
  2. Q2 5:00ARMY 4th & 6 at CCU 44, up 7
    Close callPunted · 61.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.0%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    59.8%−1.2
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    60.4%−0.6
    average punt
  3. Q2 1:48CCU 4th & 8 at ARMY 47, down 7
    Close callPunted · 38.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.7%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.7%−<0.1
    average punt
  4. Q3 13:44CCU 4th & 6 at CCU 29, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.4%−0.8
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.2%
    average punt
  5. Q4 12:35ARMY 4th & 1 at CCU 17, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 92.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    92.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    90.1%−2.1
    80% to make
    Punt
    84.0%−8.2
    average punt
  6. Q4 12:35CCU 4th & 2 at CCU 46, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 11.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    11.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    9.9%−1.3
    average punt
  7. Q4 9:24CCU 4th & 5 at ARMY 34, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 9.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    8.5%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    8.2%−0.4
    47% to make
    Punt
    7.1%−1.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ARMY made the numbers' call on 3 of 3CCU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 6:52ARMY Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    49.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    49.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 4:58CCU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    52.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    52.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 10:19ARMY Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    55.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    55.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:58CCU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    35.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    35.3%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 11:14ARMY Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 0:51CCU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    4.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    4.7%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ARMYDrive 1TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 8:0837% → 44%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
37.0%
Jakobi Buchanan run for 9 yds to the ARMY 34Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+4
37.0%
Bryson Daily run for 4 yds to the ARMY 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
37.0%
Ay'Jaun Marshall run for 5 yds to the ARMY 43Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 43
+4
37.0%
Jakobi Buchanan run for 4 yds to the ARMY 47Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 47
+6
37.0%
Bryson Daily run for 6 yds to the CCU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+5
37.0%
Tyrell Robinson run for 5 yds to the CCU 42Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 42
+12
37.0%
Bryson Daily run for 12 yds to the CCU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+4
37.0%
Jakobi Buchanan run for 4 yds to the CCU 26Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 26
+10
37.0%
Jakobi Buchanan run for 10 yds to the CCU 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+5
37.0%
Bryson Daily run for 5 yds to the CCU 11Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 11
+4
37.0%
Bryson Daily run for 4 yds to the CCU 7Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 7
+5
37.0%
Tyson Riley run for 5 yds to the CCU 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
44.0%
Tyson Riley run for 2 yds for a TD (Quinn Maretzki KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 2TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 1:5457% → 60%
Q1 6:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
43.0%
Jarrett Guest pass complete to Kyre Duplessis for 6 yds to the CCU 31Similar
Q1 6:52
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+8
42.7%
Jarrett Guest pass complete to Sam Pinckney for 8 yds to the CCU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:52
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+2
42.6%
Reese White run for 2 yds to the CCU 41Similar
Q1 4:58
2ND & 8
OWN 41
+59
39.8%
Jarrett Guest pass complete to Jared Brown for 59 yds for a TD (Kade Hensley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 3TD
17 plays · 75 yds · 9:3941% → 53%
Q1 4:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
40.6%
Jakobi Buchanan run for 2 yds to the ARMY 27Similar
Q1 4:58
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+3
40.7%
Tyrell Robinson run for 3 yds to the ARMY 30Similar
Q1 4:58
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+8
40.4%
Ay'Jaun Marshall run for 8 yds to the ARMY 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:58
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-5
41.1%
PENALTY ARMY False Start (Buchanan,Jakobi) 5 yards from ARMY 38 to ARMY 33. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 4:58
1ST & 15
OWN 33
+1
40.6%
Bryson Daily run for 1 yd to the ARMY 34Similar
Q1 4:58
2ND & 14
OWN 34
+7
40.5%
Tyrell Robinson run for 7 yds to the ARMY 41Similar
Q1 4:58
3RD & 7
OWN 41
+9
40.7%
Bryson Daily run for 9 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
50
+2
44.2%
Jakobi Buchanan run for 2 yds to the CCU 48Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 48
+12
44.3%
Tyrell Robinson run for 12 yds to the CCU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+7
44.3%
Bryson Daily run for 7 yds to the CCU 29Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 29
+4
44.7%
Jakobi Buchanan run for 4 yds to the CCU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+6
44.7%
Tyrell Robinson run for 6 yds to the CCU 19Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 19
+14
44.7%
Bryson Daily run for 14 yds to the CCU 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
44.7%
Bryson Daily run for 2 yds to the CCU 3Similar
Q2 10:31
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
47.0%
Bryson Daily run for 2 yds to the CCU 1Similar
Q2 10:19
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
52.9%
Bryson Daily run for 1 yd for a TD (Quinn Maretzki KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 2:0449% → 45%
Q2 10:13
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+1
51.1%
Jarrett Guest pass complete to Jared Brown for 1 yd to the CCU 19Similar
Q2 10:13
2ND & 9
OWN 19
0
51.3%
CJ Beasley run for no gain to the CCU 19Similar
Q2 10:13
3RD & 9
OWN 19
+7
52.2%
Jarrett Guest pass complete to Matt Alaimo for 7 yds to the CCU 26Similar
Q2 8:09
4TH & 2
OWN 26
0
54.7%
Evan Crenshaw punt for 37 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ARMY 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 5PUNT
6 plays · 19 yds · 3:0955% → 57%
Q2 8:09
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+8
55.1%
Bryson Daily run for 8 yds to the ARMY 45Similar
Q2 8:09
2ND & 2
OWN 45
+7
56.2%
Tyson Riley run for 7 yds to the CCU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:09
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+3
56.3%
Tyson Riley run for 3 yds to the CCU 45Similar
Q2 8:09
2ND & 7
OPP 45
+1
56.3%
Bryson Daily run for 1 yd to the CCU 44Similar
Q2 8:09
3RD & 6
OPP 44
0
55.6%
Bryson Daily pass incomplete to Liam FortnerSimilar
Q2 5:00
4TH & 6
OPP 44
0
56.7%
Cooper Allan punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Bryson Graves at the CCU 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 6PUNT TD
9 plays · 51 yds · 3:1244% → 31%
Q2 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+8
56.2%
Jarrett Guest pass complete to Sam Pinckney for 8 yds to the CCU 10Similar
Q2 5:00
2ND & 2
OWN 10
+14
56.0%
Jarrett Guest pass complete to Jared Brown for 14 yds to the CCU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+11
55.8%
Jarrett Guest pass complete to Jared Brown for 11 yds to the CCU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+15
55.1%
Army Penalty, unnecessary roughness (Kalib Fortner) to the ARMY 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-10
53.1%
No Huddle-Shotgun Guest,Jarrett pass complete short left to Brown,Jared for 3 yards to the ARMY 46 (Fortner,Kalib; Nicolas-Paul,Bo) PENALTY COAST Holding (Del Grande,Nick) 10 yards from ARMY 49 to COAST41. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 5:00
1ST & 20
OWN 41
0
55.4%
Jarrett Guest pass incomplete to Sam PinckneySimilar
Q2 5:00
2ND & 20
OWN 41
+12
55.6%
Jarrett Guest pass complete to Jameson Tucker for 12 yds to the ARMY 47Similar
Q2 5:00
3RD & 8
OPP 47
0
54.1%
Jarrett Guest pass incomplete to Jared BrownSimilar
Q2 1:48
4TH & 8
OPP 47
+37
68.9%
Evan Crenshaw punt blocked by Brett Gerena blocked by Brett Gerena for a TD , Jabril Williams returns for 37 yds for a TD (Quinn Maretzki KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 7TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 0:5031% → 47%
Q2 1:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
68.9%
Jarrett Guest pass complete to Jared Brown for 16 yds to the CCU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:48
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+7
68.1%
Reese White run for 7 yds to the CCU 48Similar
Q2 1:48
2ND & 3
OWN 48
+6
66.8%
Jarrett Guest pass complete to Kendall Karr for 6 yds to the ARMY 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:48
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+15
66.7%
No Huddle-Shotgun Guest,Jarrett pass incomplete short left to White,Reese PENALTY ARMY Personal Foul (Latore,Jack) 15 yards from ARMY 46 to ARMY 31, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:58
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+31
53.4%
Jarrett Guest pass complete to Jameson Tucker for 31 yds for a TD (Kade Hensley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 8INT
6 plays · 20 yds · 0:5760% → 64%
Q2 0:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
59.8%
Bryson Daily run for 6 yds to the ARMY 31Similar
Q2 0:58
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+14
60.7%
Tyson Riley run for 14 yds to the ARMY 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:09
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
63.3%
Champ Harris pass intercepted Keonte Lusk return for no gain to the CCU 49Similar
Q2 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+10
63.5%
Coastal Carolina Penalty, Illegal Block (10 Yards) to the CCU 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 9END OF HALF
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0041% → 41%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-2
59.0%
J. Guest takes a kneeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:1641% → 38%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
59.4%
Jarrett Guest run for 2 yds to the CCU 27Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
59.1%
Jarrett Guest pass incomplete to Sam PinckneySimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+2
60.4%
Jarrett Guest pass complete to Sam Pinckney for 2 yds to the CCU 29Similar
Q3 13:44
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
62.3%
Evan Crenshaw punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Tyrell Robinson at the ARMY 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 11TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 2:3062% → 79%
Q3 13:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+43
61.7%
Tyson Riley run for 43 yds to the CCU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:44
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+11
64.5%
Ay'Jaun Marshall run for 11 yds to the CCU 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:44
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+3
64.4%
Bryson Daily run for 3 yds to the CCU 18Similar
Q3 11:14
2ND & 7
OPP 18
+18
78.8%
Ay'Jaun Marshall run for 18 yds for a TD (Quinn Maretzki KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 12INT
13 plays · 70 yds · 5:3624% → 22%
Q3 11:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
76.2%
Jarrett Guest run for 5 yds to the CCU 30Similar
Q3 11:14
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+2
74.8%
Braydon Bennett run for 2 yds to the CCU 32Similar
Q3 11:14
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+9
75.1%
Jarrett Guest pass complete to Matt Alaimo for 9 yds to the CCU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:14
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-10
74.7%
No Huddle-Shotgun Guest,Jarrett pass complete short right to Brown,Jared for 2 yards to the COAST43 (Hammonds,Quindrelin) PENALTY COAST Holding (Alaimo,Matt) 10 yards from COAST41 to COAST31. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 11:14
1ST & 20
OWN 31
+4
76.2%
Braydon Bennett run for 4 yds to the CCU 35Similar
Q3 11:14
2ND & 16
OWN 35
+48
76.4%
Jared Brown run for 48 yds to the ARMY 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:14
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
72.0%
Jarrett Guest pass incomplete to Sam PinckneySimilar
Q3 11:14
2ND & 10
OPP 17
+5
72.2%
CJ Beasley run for 5 yds to the ARMY 12Similar
Q3 11:14
3RD & 5
OPP 12
+5
73.2%
Jarrett Guest pass complete to Jared Brown for 5 yds to the ARMY 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
72.0%
Jarrett Guest pass incomplete to Kendall KarrSimilar
Q3 11:14
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
72.0%
CJ Beasley run for 2 yds to the ARMY 5Similar
Q3 5:38
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
78.0%
Jarrett Guest pass intercepted, touchback.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 13DOWNS
13 plays · 63 yds · 8:0384% → 92%
Q3 5:38
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
84.2%
Tyson Riley run for 4 yds to the ARMY 24Similar
Q3 5:38
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+2
84.1%
Bryson Daily run for 2 yds to the ARMY 26Similar
Q3 5:38
3RD & 4
OWN 26
+11
83.5%
Ay'Jaun Marshall run for 11 yds to the ARMY 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:38
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+6
84.5%
Jakobi Buchanan run for 6 yds to the ARMY 43Similar
Q3 5:38
2ND & 4
OWN 43
+3
85.0%
Jakobi Buchanan run for 3 yds to the ARMY 46Similar
Q3 5:38
3RD & 1
OWN 46
-5
84.3%
PENALTY ARMY False Start (Buchanan,Jakobi) 5 yards from ARMY 46 to ARMY 41. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 5:38
3RD & 6
OWN 41
+7
84.3%
Ay'Jaun Marshall run for 7 yds to the ARMY 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:38
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+12
85.1%
Tyson Riley run for 12 yds to the CCU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:01
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+14
91.7%
Tyson Riley run for 14 yds to the CCU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+5
91.7%
Tyson Riley run for 5 yds to the CCU 21Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 21
+2
91.7%
Tyson Riley run for 2 yds to the CCU 19Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 19
+2
91.5%
Miles Stewart run for 2 yds to the CCU 17Similar
Q4 12:35
4TH & 1
OPP 17
0
91.9%
Bryson Daily run for no gain to the CCU 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 14DOWNS
11 plays · 49 yds · 3:1111% → 10%
Q4 12:35
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
89.1%
Jarrett Guest pass incomplete to Jameson TuckerSimilar
Q4 12:35
2ND & 10
OWN 17
+21
89.3%
Jared Brown run for 21 yds to the CCU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:35
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
88.0%
Jarrett Guest pass complete to Reese White for 2 yds to the CCU 40Similar
Q4 12:35
2ND & 8
OWN 40
0
87.9%
Jarrett Guest pass incomplete to Reese WhiteSimilar
Q4 12:35
3RD & 8
OWN 40
+6
88.3%
Reese White run for 6 yds to the CCU 46Similar
Q4 12:35
4TH & 2
OWN 46
0
88.4%
Jarrett Guest pass incomplete to Kendall KarrSimilar
Q4 12:35
4TH & 2
OWN 46
+15
88.4%
No Huddle-Shotgun Guest,Jarrett pass incomplete short left to Karr,Kendall PENALTY ARMY Personal Foul (Miller,Dre) 15 yards from COAST46 to ARMY 39, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 12:35
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+3
87.7%
Jarrett Guest pass complete to Jared Brown for 3 yds to the ARMY 36Similar
Q4 12:35
2ND & 7
OPP 36
+2
87.2%
Jarrett Guest run for 2 yds to the ARMY 34Similar
Q4 12:35
3RD & 5
OPP 34
0
87.6%
Jarrett Guest pass incomplete to Max BalthazarSimilar
Q4 9:24
4TH & 5
OPP 34
0
90.5%
Jarrett Guest pass incomplete to Jared BrownSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 15FUMBLE
10 plays · 40 yds · 6:3494% → 98%
Q4 9:24
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+2
94.4%
Tyrell Robinson run for 2 yds to the ARMY 36Similar
Q4 9:24
2ND & 8
OWN 36
+4
94.5%
Ay'Jaun Marshall run for 4 yds to the ARMY 40Similar
Q4 9:24
3RD & 4
OWN 40
+6
94.7%
Bryson Daily run for 6 yds to the ARMY 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:24
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
94.8%
Jakobi Buchanan run for 3 yds to the ARMY 49Similar
Q4 9:24
2ND & 7
OWN 49
+11
94.8%
Jakobi Buchanan run for 11 yds to the CCU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:24
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+2
94.8%
Jakobi Buchanan run for 2 yds to the CCU 38Similar
Q4 9:24
2ND & 8
OPP 38
+6
94.8%
Bryson Daily run for 6 yds to the CCU 32Similar
Q4 9:24
3RD & 2
OPP 32
+5
94.7%
PENALTY COAST Offside (Anokwuru,Clinton) 5 yards from COAST32 to COAST27, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 9:24
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+1
94.9%
Tyson Riley run for 1 yd to the CCU 26Similar
Q4 2:50
2ND & 9
OPP 26
0
97.6%
Tyrell Robinson run for no gain to the CCU 26 Tyrell Robinson fumbled, recovered by CCU Emmanuel Johnson, End Of Play.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 16TD
12 plays · 74 yds · 1:594% → 12%
Q4 2:50
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+5
95.6%
Jarrett Guest pass complete to Braydon Bennett for 5 yds to the CCU 31Similar
Q4 2:50
2ND & 5
OWN 31
+6
95.1%
Jarrett Guest pass complete to Braydon Bennett for 6 yds to the CCU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:50
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+6
95.3%
Jarrett Guest pass complete to Braydon Bennett for 6 yds to the CCU 43Similar
Q4 2:50
2ND & 4
OWN 43
+2
95.1%
Jarrett Guest pass complete to Kendall Karr for 2 yds to the CCU 45Similar
Q4 2:50
3RD & 2
OWN 45
+7
95.1%
Jarrett Guest pass complete to Jared Brown for 7 yds to the ARMY 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:50
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+18
94.9%
Jarrett Guest pass complete to Sam Pinckney for 18 yds to the ARMY 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:50
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-5
94.3%
PENALTY COAST False Start (Lindsay,Zovon) 5 yards from ARMY 30 to ARMY 35. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 2:50
1ST & 15
OPP 35
+11
94.4%
Jarrett Guest pass complete to Sam Pinckney for 11 yds to the ARMY 24Similar
Q4 2:50
2ND & 4
OPP 24
+7
94.0%
Jarrett Guest pass complete to Jarrett Guest for 7 yds to the ARMY 31Similar
Q4 0:51
3RD & 11
OPP 31
+31
88.1%
Jarrett Guest pass complete to Sam Pinckney for 31 yds for a TD (Kade Hensley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 17END OF GAME
5 plays · -7 yds · 0:5197% → 96%
Q4 0:51
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-2
96.7%
B. Daily takes a kneeSimilar
Q4 0:48
2ND & 12
OWN 37
+3
96.4%
Bryson Daily run for 3 yds to the ARMY 34Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 15
OWN 34
+2
96.4%
Bryson Daily run for 2 yds to the ARMY 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
PUNT · Q2 1:48
Evan Crenshaw punt blocked by Brett Gerena blocked by Brett Gerena for a TD , Jabril Williams returns for 37 yds for a TD (Quinn Maretzki KICK)
+14.8
TD · Q3 11:14
Ay'Jaun Marshall run for 18 yds for a TD (Quinn Maretzki KICK)
+14.4
TD · Q2 0:58
Jarrett Guest pass complete to Jameson Tucker for 31 yds for a TD (Kade Hensley KICK)
-13.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com