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FIU

Florida International 20 at Arkansas 44

ARK
2023 · Week 12 · Nov 18, 2023 · Razorback Stadium
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Win probability · ARK
modelARK aheadFIU aheadconfidence bandkey playARK scoreFIU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDFGFGFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 2:47 · Daton Montiel punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Isaiah Sategna at the ARK 35
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+46.5+23.30−23.3−46.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 87Pregame prior+32.7Home team on offense+7.7Score differential+3.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.2Garbage-time factor+1.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 1:21: Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Dean Patterson for 12 yds for a TD (Chase Gabriel PAT MISSED) — FIU win probability +2.7 pts (now 9%) (top driver: FIU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 10:53: Alfahiym Walcott 33 Yd Interception Return (Cam Little Kick) — ARK win probability +1.8 pts (now 94%) (top driver: FIU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 1:08: Dominique Johnson run for 31 yds for a TD (Cam Little KICK) — ARK win probability +1.6 pts (now 96%) (top driver: ARK has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 10:11: Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Kris Mitchell for 12 yds for a TD (Lucas Matias KICK) — FIU win probability +4.6 pts (now 9%) (top driver: FIU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 3:12: KJ Jefferson pass complete to Isaiah Sategna for 32 yds for a TD (Cam Little KICK) — ARK win probability +5.5 pts (now 98%) (top driver: ARK has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ARK made the numbers' call on 5 of 10FIU made the numbers' call on 9 of 10
  1. Q1 13:42FIU 4th & 3 at FIU 32, tied
    Close callWent for it · 4.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.4%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    4.5%
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:55ARK 4th & 8 at ARK 40, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.5%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.5%
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:34FIU 4th & 6 at FIU 23, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.7%−0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.8%
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:57ARK 4th & 5 at ARK 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 93.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.6%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.7%
    average punt
  5. Q2 8:20FIU 4th & 9 at FIU 26, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.6%−0.4
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.0%
    average punt
  6. Q2 8:20FIU 4th & 9 at FIU 26, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.6%−0.4
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.0%
    average punt
  7. Q2 4:45ARK 4th & 4 at FIU 13, up 8
    Close callKicked a field goal · 92.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.0%
    46% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    91.9%−0.1
    85% to make
    Punt
    90.3%−1.7
    average punt
  8. Q2 2:47FIU 4th & 14 at FIU 21, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.0%−0.5
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.5%
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:08ARK 4th & 2 at FIU 31, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 93.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    93.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    93.1%−0.2
    54% to make
    Punt
    92.6%−0.6
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:22FIU 4th & 7 at ARK 17, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 5.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.6%−0.5
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    5.1%
    80% to make
    Punt
    3.3%−1.8
    average punt
  11. Q3 12:53ARK 4th & 6 at FIU 16, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 96.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.1%−0.3
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    96.4%
    81% to make
    Punt
    94.0%−2.3
    average punt
  12. Q3 6:16ARK 4th & 8 at FIU 30, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 92.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.0%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    92.1%
    56% to make
    Punt
    91.6%−0.6
    average punt
  13. Q3 5:20FIU 4th & 9 at FIU 31, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.7%−0.7
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.4%
    average punt
  14. Q4 14:55ARK 4th & 2 at FIU 21, up 18
    Close callKicked a field goal · 97.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    97.4%−0.2
    74% to make
    Punt
    95.7%−1.9
    average punt
  15. Q4 13:12FIU 4th & 10 at FIU 25, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.8%−0.3
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.1%
    average punt
  16. Q4 9:59ARK 4th & 3 at FIU 23, up 21
    Close callKicked a field goal · 99.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.0%−0.1
    70% to make
    Punt
    98.3%−0.8
    average punt
  17. Q4 7:16FIU 4th & 9 at ARK 48, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.6%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.7%
    average punt
  18. Q4 5:27ARK 4th & 2 at ARK 28, up 24
    Close callPunted · 99.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.3%−0.1
    average punt
  19. Q4 5:27ARK 4th & 2 at ARK 28, up 24
    Close callPunted · 99.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.3%−0.1
    average punt
  20. Q4 3:21FIU 4th & 9 at FIU 31, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.5%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ARK made the numbers' call on 5 of 5FIU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 12:22ARK Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 10:42FIU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    5.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    5.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 1:21FIU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    9.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    9.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 11:58ARK Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 10:53ARK Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 1:08ARK Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 10:11FIU Touchdown, down 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    6.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    6.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 3:12ARK Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
FIUDrive 1DOWNS
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:184% → 4%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
96.3%
Kejon Owens run for 7 yds to the FIU 18Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 17
OWN 18
0
96.3%
Keyone Jenkins pass incomplete to Jalen BraceySimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 17
OWN 18
+14
96.3%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Dean Patterson for 14 yds to the FIU 32Similar
Q1 13:42
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
96.1%
Keyone Jenkins pass incomplete to Rocky BeersSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 2TD
6 plays · 32 yds · 1:2096% → 96%
Q1 13:42
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+7
96.1%
KJ Jefferson pass complete to Isaac TeSlaa for 7 yds to the FIU 25Similar
Q1 13:42
2ND & 3
OPP 25
+15
96.1%
Raheim Sanders run for 15 yds to the FIU 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
96.1%
KJ Jefferson pass incomplete to Jaedon WilsonSimilar
Q1 13:42
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
0
96.1%
Raheim Sanders run for no gain to the FIU 10Similar
Q1 12:22
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
96.1%
KJ Jefferson pass complete to Jaedon Wilson for 10 yds for a TD (Cam Little KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 3TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 1:404% → 5%
Q1 12:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
96.0%
Keyone Jenkins run for 1 yd to the FIU 24Similar
Q1 12:22
2ND & 11
OWN 24
-5
96.0%
PENALTY FIU False Start (Miamen,Josiah) 5 yards from FIU24 to FIU19. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 12:22
2ND & 16
OWN 19
+80
96.0%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Kris Mitchell for 80 yds to the ARK 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
95.4%
Keyone Jenkins run for 1 yd for a TD (Chase Gabriel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 4PUNT
7 plays · 18 yds · 1:4196% → 95%
Q1 10:36
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+16
95.5%
KJ Jefferson pass complete to Andrew Armstrong for 16 yds to the ARK 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:36
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
95.6%
PENALTY FIU Offside (Daly,Jack) 5 yards from ARK38 to ARK43. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 10:36
1ST & 5
OWN 43
+3
95.6%
KJ Jefferson run for 3 yds to the ARK 46Similar
Q1 10:36
2ND & 2
OWN 46
+6
95.6%
Rashod Dubinion run for 6 yds to the ARK 40Similar
Q1 10:36
3RD & 8
OWN 40
0
95.5%
KJ Jefferson pass incomplete to Andrew ArmstrongSimilar
Q1 8:55
4TH & 8
OWN 40
0
95.1%
Max Fletcher punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Dean Patterson at the FIU 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:215% → 5%
Q1 8:55
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
95.2%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Rocky Beers for no gain to the FIU 19Similar
Q1 8:55
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+4
95.2%
Keyone Jenkins run for 4 yds to the FIU 23Similar
Q1 8:55
3RD & 6
OWN 23
0
95.3%
Keyone Jenkins pass incomplete to Eric RiversSimilar
Q1 7:34
4TH & 6
OWN 23
0
95.0%
Daton Montiel punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Isaiah Sategna at the ARK 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 6PUNT
6 plays · 15 yds · 1:3795% → 94%
Q1 7:34
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+3
94.8%
Rashod Dubinion run for 3 yds to the ARK 18Similar
Q1 7:34
2ND & 7
OWN 18
+7
94.8%
KJ Jefferson pass complete to Isaac TeSlaa for 7 yds to the ARK 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
94.8%
KJ Jefferson run for 5 yds to the ARK 30Similar
Q1 7:34
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
94.8%
KJ Jefferson pass incomplete to Isaac TeSlaaSimilar
Q1 7:34
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
94.8%
KJ Jefferson pass incomplete to Isaac TeSlaaSimilar
Q1 5:57
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
94.3%
Max Fletcher punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Dean Patterson at the FIU 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 7TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 4:366% → 9%
Q1 5:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-12
94.3%
No Huddle-Shotgun Jenkins,Keyone pass complete short left to Mitchell,Kris for 5 yards to the FIU30 (Grier,Antonio; Clark,Hudson) PENALTY FIU Pass Interference (Fournet,Ross) 12 yards from FIU25 to FIU13. NO PLAY. The previous play is under review. The ruling on the field is confirmed.Similar
Q1 5:57
1ST & 22
OWN 13
+4
94.3%
Shomari Lawrence run for 4 yds to the FIU 17Similar
Q1 5:57
2ND & 18
OWN 17
+19
94.4%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Rocky Beers for 19 yds to the FIU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:57
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
94.3%
Antonio Patterson run for no gain to the FIU 36Similar
Q1 5:57
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+30
94.3%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Rocky Beers for 15 yds to the ARK 49 for a 1ST down Arkansas Penalty, Roughing The Passer (Trajan Jeffcoat) to the ARK 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:57
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+5
94.0%
Jalen Bracey run for 5 yds to the ARK 29Similar
Q1 5:57
2ND & 5
OPP 29
+2
94.0%
Shomari Lawrence run for 2 yds to the ARK 27Similar
Q1 5:57
3RD & 3
OPP 27
+15
94.1%
Shomari Lawrence run for 15 yds to the ARK 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:57
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
94.0%
Keyone Jenkins pass incomplete to Lexington JosephSimilar
Q1 1:21
2ND & 10
OPP 12
+12
91.3%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Dean Patterson for 12 yds for a TD (Chase Gabriel PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 8TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 4:1792% → 93%
Q1 1:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
91.6%
KJ Jefferson run for 4 yds to the ARK 29Similar
Q1 1:15
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+5
91.6%
KJ Jefferson pass complete to Isaiah Sategna for 5 yds to the ARK 34Similar
Q1 1:15
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+1
91.7%
KJ Jefferson run for 1 yd to the ARK 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
91.0%
AJ Green run for 1 yd to the ARK 34Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 34
+11
90.9%
KJ Jefferson pass complete to Nathan Bax for 11 yds to the ARK 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+9
91.3%
Isaiah Augustave run for 9 yds to the FIU 46Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 46
+13
91.5%
Isaiah Augustave run for 13 yds to the FIU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 11
OPP 34
+27
91.3%
KJ Jefferson pass complete to Andrew Armstrong for 27 yds to the FIU 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+3
91.7%
AJ Green run for 3 yds to the FIU 4Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
91.7%
KJ Jefferson pass incomplete to Andrew ArmstrongSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+1
91.7%
AJ Green run for 1 yd to the FIU 34Similar
Q2 11:58
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
92.8%
KJ Jefferson pass complete to Tyrone Broden for 4 yds for a TD (Cam Little KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 9INT TD
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:058% → 6%
Q2 11:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
92.2%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Kejon Owens for 4 yds to the FIU 29Similar
Q2 11:58
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+3
92.1%
Kejon Owens run for 3 yds to the FIU 32Similar
Q2 10:53
3RD & 3
OWN 32
-33
93.9%
Alfahiym Walcott 33 Yd Interception Return (Cam Little Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 10PUNT
7 plays · 1 yds · 2:336% → 6%
Q2 10:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
94.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun Jenkins,Keyone rush left for 18 yards gain to the FIU43, out of bounds at FIU43 PENALTY FIU Illegal Formation 5 yards from FIU25 to FIU20. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 10:53
2ND & 15
OWN 20
0
94.3%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Eric Rivers for no gain to the FIU 20Similar
Q2 10:53
3RD & 15
OWN 20
+6
94.5%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Josiah Miamen for 6 yds to the FIU 26Similar
Q2 10:53
1ST & 15
OWN 20
0
94.3%
Shomari Lawrence run for no gain to the FIU 20Similar
Q2 8:20
4TH & 9
OWN 26
+8
94.2%
Daton Montiel punt for 44 yds , Isaiah Sategna returns for 8 yds to the ARK 38Similar
Q2 8:20
4TH & 9
OWN 26
+8
94.2%
Daton Montiel punt for 44 yds , Isaiah Sategna returns for 8 yds to the ARK 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 11FG
11 plays · 66 yds · 3:3595% → 94%
Q2 8:20
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+6
94.8%
KJ Jefferson run for 6 yds to the ARK 27Similar
Q2 8:20
2ND & 4
OWN 27
+9
94.8%
AJ Green run for 9 yds to the ARK 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:20
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
94.9%
AJ Green run for 2 yds to the ARK 38Similar
Q2 8:20
2ND & 8
OWN 38
+13
95.0%
KJ Jefferson pass complete to Isaac TeSlaa for 13 yds to the FIU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:20
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+2
95.2%
KJ Jefferson run for 2 yds to the FIU 47Similar
Q2 8:20
2ND & 8
OPP 47
+28
95.1%
Isaiah Sategna run for 28 yds to the FIU 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:20
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
95.0%
KJ Jefferson pass incomplete to Jaedon WilsonSimilar
Q2 8:20
2ND & 10
OPP 19
+6
95.0%
KJ Jefferson run for 6 yds to the FIU 13Similar
Q2 8:20
3RD & 4
OPP 13
0
94.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun Jefferson,KJ pass incomplete short right to Armstrong,Andrew PENALTY ARK Holding offsetting FIU Holding offsetting. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:20
3RD & 4
OPP 13
0
94.9%
KJ Jefferson pass incomplete to Isaiah SategnaSimilar
Q2 4:45
4TH & 4
OPP 13
+31
93.7%
Cam Little 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 1:586% → 5%
Q2 4:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
94.2%
Keyone Jenkins run for 2 yds to the FIU 27Similar
Q2 4:45
2ND & 8
OWN 27
-9
94.2%
Keyone Jenkins sacked for a loss of 9 yards to the FIU 18Similar
Q2 4:45
3RD & 17
OWN 18
+3
94.5%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Kejon Owens for 3 yds to the FIU 21Similar
Q2 2:47
4TH & 14
OWN 21
0
94.6%
Daton Montiel punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Isaiah Sategna at the ARK 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 13TD
5 plays · 65 yds · 1:3995% → 96%
Q2 2:47
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+26
95.0%
KJ Jefferson run for 26 yds to the FIU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:47
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-8
95.4%
KJ Jefferson sacked by Reggie Peterson for a loss of 8 yards to the FIU 47Similar
Q2 2:47
2ND & 18
OPP 47
+6
95.2%
KJ Jefferson pass complete to Jaedon Wilson for 6 yds to the FIU 41Similar
Q2 1:08
3RD & 12
OPP 41
+10
94.8%
KJ Jefferson pass complete to Isaac TeSlaa for 10 yds to the FIU 31Similar
Q2 1:08
4TH & 2
OPP 31
+31
96.3%
Dominique Johnson run for 31 yds for a TD (Cam Little KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 14MISSED FG
11 plays · 58 yds · 0:464% → 5%
Q2 1:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
95.6%
Keyone Jenkins pass incomplete to Eric RiversSimilar
Q2 1:08
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
95.7%
Shomari Lawrence run for 4 yds to the FIU 29Similar
Q2 0:58
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+39
95.8%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Kris Mitchell for 39 yds to the ARK 32 for a 1ST down Arkansas Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:58
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+12
94.7%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Kris Mitchell for 12 yds to the ARK 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:58
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
94.6%
Keyone Jenkins pass incomplete to Eric RiversSimilar
Q2 0:58
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+3
94.7%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Shomari Lawrence for 3 yds to the ARK 17Similar
Q2 0:31
3RD & 7
OPP 17
0
95.1%
Keyone Jenkins pass incomplete to Kris MitchellSimilar
Q2 0:22
4TH & 7
OPP 17
+35
95.2%
Chase Gabriel 35 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 15END OF HALF
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-2
96.2%
K. Jefferson takes a kneeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 16MISSED FG
9 plays · 50 yds · 1:5996% → 97%
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
95.8%
KJ Jefferson pass incomplete to Andrew ArmstrongSimilar
Q3 14:52
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+13
95.8%
KJ Jefferson pass complete to Andrew Armstrong for 13 yds to the ARK 47 for a 1ST down Florida International Penalty, Defensive Offside (Jack Daly) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+8
96.0%
Isaiah Augustave run for 8 yds to the FIU 45Similar
Q3 14:52
2ND & 2
OPP 45
+25
95.8%
Isaiah Augustave run for 25 yds to the FIU 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
95.9%
KJ Jefferson pass incomplete to Tyrone BrodenSimilar
Q3 14:52
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+4
95.9%
KJ Jefferson run for 4 yds to the FIU 16Similar
Q3 14:52
3RD & 6
OPP 16
0
95.7%
KJ Jefferson pass incomplete to Tyrone BrodenSimilar
Q3 12:53
4TH & 6
OPP 16
+34
96.7%
Cam Little 34 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 17TD
8 plays · 80 yds · 2:424% → 9%
Q3 12:53
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+46
95.8%
Kejon Owens run for 46 yds to the ARK 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:53
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
95.0%
Keyone Jenkins pass incomplete to Kejon OwensSimilar
Q3 12:53
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+11
95.1%
Kejon Owens run for 11 yds to the ARK 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:53
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+2
94.9%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Rocky Beers for 2 yds to the ARK 21Similar
Q3 12:53
2ND & 8
OPP 21
0
94.9%
Keyone Jenkins pass incomplete to Kris MitchellSimilar
Q3 12:53
3RD & 8
OPP 21
+9
95.4%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Kris Mitchell for 9 yds to the ARK 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:11
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
90.8%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Kris Mitchell for 12 yds for a TD (Lucas Matias KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 18MISSED FG
13 plays · 38 yds · 3:4992% → 92%
Q3 10:05
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+5
92.4%
Isaiah Augustave run for 5 yds to the ARK 37Similar
Q3 10:05
2ND & 5
OWN 37
+6
92.6%
Isaiah Augustave run for 16 yds to the FIU 47 Arkansas Penalty, Offensive Holding (Isaiah Sategna) to the ARK 31Similar
Q3 10:05
2ND & 11
OWN 31
+4
92.2%
Jaedon Wilson run for 4 yds to the ARK 35Similar
Q3 10:05
3RD & 7
OWN 35
+11
92.0%
KJ Jefferson pass complete to Andrew Armstrong for 11 yds to the ARK 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:05
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
93.0%
AJ Green run for 4 yds to the ARK 42Similar
Q3 10:05
2ND & 14
OWN 42
+26
92.6%
KJ Jefferson run for 26 yds to the FIU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:05
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+2
93.0%
Isaiah Augustave run for 2 yds to the FIU 30Similar
Q3 7:22
2ND & 8
OPP 30
+4
92.9%
Isaiah Augustave run for 4 yds to the FIU 26Similar
Q3 7:22
3RD & 4
OPP 26
-10
92.6%
Arkansas Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the FIU 30Similar
Q3 7:22
3RD & 8
OPP 30
0
92.6%
KJ Jefferson pass incomplete to Jaedon WilsonSimilar
Q3 6:16
4TH & 8
OPP 30
+48
91.9%
Cam Little 48 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:569% → 8%
Q3 6:16
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+1
91.2%
Dean Patterson run for 1 yd to the FIU 31Similar
Q3 6:16
2ND & 9
OWN 31
0
91.2%
Keyone Jenkins pass incomplete to Kris MitchellSimilar
Q3 6:16
3RD & 9
OWN 31
0
92.0%
Keyone Jenkins pass incomplete to Kris MitchellSimilar
Q3 5:20
4TH & 9
OWN 31
0
92.1%
Daton Montiel punt for 34 yds , Isaiah Sategna returns for no gain to the ARK 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 20TD
6 plays · 66 yds · 2:0892% → 98%
Q3 5:20
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+3
92.3%
Andrew Armstrong run for 3 yds to the ARK 37Similar
Q3 5:20
2ND & 7
OWN 37
+6
92.4%
Isaiah Augustave run for 6 yds to the ARK 43Similar
Q3 5:20
3RD & 1
OWN 43
+2
92.4%
KJ Jefferson run for 2 yds to the ARK 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:20
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+4
92.9%
Dominique Johnson run for 4 yds to the ARK 49Similar
Q3 5:20
2ND & 6
OWN 49
+19
92.8%
Dominique Johnson run for 19 yds to the FIU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:12
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+32
98.3%
KJ Jefferson pass complete to Isaiah Sategna for 32 yds for a TD (Cam Little KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 21INT
3 plays · 2 yds · 0:414% → 4%
Q3 3:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
96.4%
Jalen Bracey run for 2 yds to the FIU 27Similar
Q3 2:31
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
96.4%
Keyone Jenkins pass intercepted Alfahiym Walcott return for no gain to the FIU 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 22FG
7 plays · 25 yds · 2:3698% → 99%
Q3 2:31
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
98.3%
KJ Jefferson pass incomplete to Var'Keyes GummsSimilar
Q3 2:31
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+2
98.3%
Isaiah Augustave run for 2 yds to the FIU 44Similar
Q3 2:31
3RD & 8
OPP 44
+15
98.2%
KJ Jefferson pass complete to Jaedon Wilson for 15 yds to the FIU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:31
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+5
98.3%
Dominique Johnson run for 5 yds to the FIU 24Similar
Q3 2:31
2ND & 5
OPP 24
+3
98.2%
Dominique Johnson run for 3 yds to the FIU 21Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 2
OPP 21
0
98.6%
Dominique Johnson run for no gain to the FIU 21Similar
Q4 14:55
4TH & 2
OPP 21
+39
99.3%
Cam Little 39 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 23PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 1:431% → 1%
Q4 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
98.9%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Jalen Bracey for 5 yds to the FIU 30Similar
Q4 14:55
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+1
98.9%
Shomari Lawrence run for 1 yd to the FIU 29Similar
Q4 14:55
3RD & 6
OWN 29
-4
98.9%
Keyone Jenkins sacked for a loss of 4 yards to the FIU 25Similar
Q4 13:12
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
99.1%
Daton Montiel punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Isaiah Sategna at the FIU 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 24FG
7 plays · 17 yds · 3:13100% → 100%
Q4 13:12
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+7
99.5%
Isaiah Augustave run for 7 yds to the FIU 33Similar
Q4 13:12
2ND & 3
OPP 33
+3
99.5%
Isaiah Augustave run for 3 yds to the FIU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:12
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
99.5%
KJ Jefferson run for no gain to the FIU 30Similar
Q4 13:12
2ND & 10
OPP 30
0
99.5%
KJ Jefferson pass incomplete to Andrew ArmstrongSimilar
Q4 13:12
3RD & 10
OPP 30
+7
99.5%
KJ Jefferson run for 7 yds to the FIU 23Similar
Q4 9:59
4TH & 3
OPP 23
+41
99.5%
Cam Little 41 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 25PUNT
8 plays · 27 yds · 2:431% → 1%
Q4 9:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.1%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Kris Mitchell for 5 yds to the FIU 30Similar
Q4 9:59
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+6
99.0%
Kejon Owens run for 6 yds to the FIU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:59
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+15
99.0%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Dean Patterson for 15 yds to the ARK 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:59
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
99.0%
Keyone Jenkins pass incomplete to Dean PattersonSimilar
Q4 9:59
2ND & 10
OPP 49
0
99.0%
Keyone Jenkins pass incomplete to Dean PattersonSimilar
Q4 9:59
3RD & 10
OPP 49
+1
99.0%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Kejon Owens for 1 yd to the ARK 48Similar
Q4 7:16
4TH & 9
OPP 48
0
99.3%
Daton Montiel punt for 48 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 26PUNT
7 plays · 8 yds · 1:49100% → 100%
Q4 7:16
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
99.7%
Isaiah Augustave run for 5 yds to the ARK 25Similar
Q4 7:16
2ND & 5
OWN 25
0
99.7%
Jacolby Criswell pass complete to Tyrone Broden for no gain to the ARK 25Similar
Q4 7:16
3RD & 5
OWN 25
+3
99.7%
Jacolby Criswell run for 3 yds to the ARK 28Similar
Q4 5:27
4TH & 2
OWN 28
0
99.8%
Max Fletcher punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Dean Patterson at the FIU 30Similar
Q4 5:27
4TH & 2
OWN 28
0
99.8%
Max Fletcher punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Dean Patterson at the FIU 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 27PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 2:060% → 0%
Q4 5:27
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
99.6%
Kejon Owens run for no gain to the FIU 30Similar
Q4 5:27
2ND & 10
OWN 30
-8
99.6%
Keyone Jenkins sacked for a loss of 8 yards to the FIU 22Similar
Q4 5:27
3RD & 18
OWN 22
+9
99.6%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Kejon Owens for 9 yds to the FIU 31Similar
Q4 3:21
4TH & 9
OWN 31
0
99.7%
Daton Montiel punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Isaiah Sategna at the ARK 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 28Uncategorized
7 plays · 22 yds · 3:21100% → 100%
Q4 3:21
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+8
99.9%
Isaiah Augustave run for 8 yds to the ARK 37Similar
Q4 3:21
2ND & 2
OWN 37
+3
99.9%
AJ Green run for 3 yds to the ARK 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:21
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
99.9%
AJ Green run for 4 yds to the ARK 44Similar
Q4 3:21
2ND & 6
OWN 44
+8
99.9%
AJ Green run for 8 yds to the FIU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:21
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-1
99.9%
J. Criswell takes a kneeSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-1
99.9%
J. Criswell takes a kneeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 3:12
KJ Jefferson pass complete to Isaiah Sategna for 32 yds for a TD (Cam Little KICK)
+5.5
TD · Q3 10:11
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Kris Mitchell for 12 yds for a TD (Lucas Matias KICK)
-4.6
TD · Q1 1:21
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Dean Patterson for 12 yds for a TD (Chase Gabriel PAT MISSED)
-2.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com