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MRMK

Merrimack 21 at Massachusetts 31

MASS
2023 · Week 10 · Nov 4, 2023 · Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium
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Win probability · MASS
modelMASS aheadMRMK aheadconfidence bandkey playMASS scoreMRMK score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 11:11 · Cole Peterson punt for 37 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MASS 15 , Isaac Ross returns for 4 yds to the MASS 15
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+37.0+18.50−18.5−37.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 8Pregame prior+34.7Home team on offense−0.3Score differential−0.3Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 7:35: Malakai Anthony run for 5 yds for a TD (Lliam Davis KICK) — MRMK win probability +2.0 pts (now 18%) (top driver: MRMK has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 3:02: Greg Desrosiers Jr. run for 8 yds for a TD (Cameron Carson KICK) — MASS win probability +4.4 pts (now 85%) (top driver: MASS has the ball).
  3. FG · Q3 6:11: Cameron Carson 39 yd FG GOOD — MASS win probability +1.9 pts (now 88%) (top driver: MASS has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 14:49: Greg Desrosiers Jr. run for 57 yds for a TD (Cameron Carson KICK) — MASS win probability +6.2 pts (now 97%) (top driver: MASS has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 2:43: Jelani Mason pass complete to LJ Robinson for 33 yds for a TD (Lliam Davis KICK) — MRMK win probability +1.8 pts (now 5%) (top driver: MRMK has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MASS made the numbers' call on 5 of 7MRMK made the numbers' call on 8 of 9
  1. Q1 11:11MRMK 4th & 3 at MASS 48, tied
    Close callPunted · 15.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.1%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:18MASS 4th & 10 at MASS 15, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 84.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.5%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.6%
    average punt
  3. Q2 14:51MRMK 4th & 6 at MRMK 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.8%−0.4
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.1%
    average punt
  4. Q2 12:37MASS 4th & 1 at MASS 40, tied
    Close callPunted · 80.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.5%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    80.1%−0.5
    average punt
  5. Q2 11:19MRMK 4th & 13 at MRMK 19, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.2%−0.7
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.9%
    average punt
  6. Q2 9:30MASS 4th & 13 at MRMK 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 78.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.3%−0.5
    21% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    78.8%
    54% to make
    Punt
    78.4%−0.4
    average punt
  7. Q2 8:02MRMK 4th & 9 at MRMK 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.6%−1.0
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.6%
    average punt
  8. Q3 14:02MASS 4th & 9 at MASS 26, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 81.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.4%−1.3
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    82.6%
    average punt
  9. Q3 10:58MRMK 4th & 13 at midfield, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.4%−1.3
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.6%
    average punt
  10. Q3 10:32MASS 4th & 15 at MASS 13, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 81.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.0%−2.3
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    82.3%
    average punt
  11. Q3 8:52MRMK 4th & 13 at MRMK 29, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.7%−1.7
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.4%
    average punt
  12. Q3 6:11MASS 4th & 6 at MRMK 22, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 84.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.2%−0.3
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    84.4%
    72% to make
    Punt
    79.2%−5.2
    average punt
  13. Q3 2:42MRMK 4th & 15 at MASS 45, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.1%−1.5
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    12.3%−1.3
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    13.5%
    average punt
  14. Q4 14:42MRMK 4th & 1 at MRMK 49, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 4.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    3.2%−1.5
    average punt
  15. Q4 11:27MRMK 4th & 7 at MASS 45, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 3.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.6%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    2.9%−0.7
    25% to make
    Punt
    3.5%−0.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 5:44MASS 4th & 6 at MRMK 47, up 16
    Close callPunted · 97.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.3%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.2%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MASS made the numbers' call on 3 of 4MRMK made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 7:35MRMK Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    17.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    17.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 2:04MASS Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 3:02MASS Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 14:49MASS Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 8:10MASS Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.2%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.3%
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 7:56MRMK Touchdown, down 18 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    2.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    2.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 2:43MRMK Touchdown, down 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    6.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    5.5%−1.0
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MRMKDrive 1PUNT
8 plays · 27 yds · 3:4913% → 15%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
86.6%
Malakai Anthony pass complete to Jelani Mason for no gain to the MRMK 25Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
86.6%
Tyvon Edmonds Jr. run for 5 yds to the MRMK 30Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+7
86.6%
Donovan Wadley run for 7 yds to the MASS 48Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 48
-5
86.6%
PENALTY MER False Start (Derry,Antonio) 5 yards from UMass48 to MER47. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 47
+5
86.6%
Malakai Anthony pass complete to Donovan Wadley for 5 yds to the MASS 48Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 48
0
86.6%
Malakai Anthony pass incomplete to Donovan WadleySimilar
Q1 11:11
4TH & 3
OPP 48
+4
85.3%
Cole Peterson punt for 37 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MASS 15 , Isaac Ross returns for 4 yds to the MASS 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:5386% → 85%
Q1 11:11
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
85.5%
Taisun Phommachanh pass incomplete to Mark PopeSimilar
Q1 11:11
2ND & 10
OWN 15
0
85.4%
Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for no gain to the MASS 15Similar
Q1 11:11
3RD & 10
OWN 15
0
85.3%
Taisun Phommachanh pass incomplete to Mark PopeSimilar
Q1 10:18
4TH & 10
OWN 15
0
85.0%
CJ Kolodziey punt for 25 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MASS 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRMKDrive 3TD
6 plays · 40 yds · 2:4315% → 18%
Q1 10:18
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+1
84.9%
Donovan Wadley run for 1 yd to the MASS 39Similar
Q1 10:18
2ND & 9
OPP 39
+2
84.9%
Tyvon Edmonds Jr. run for 2 yds to the MASS 37Similar
Q1 10:18
3RD & 7
OPP 37
+32
84.9%
Malakai Anthony pass complete to Jalen McDonald for 32 yds to the MASS 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
83.9%
Malakai Anthony run for no gain to the MASS 5Similar
Q1 7:35
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
81.9%
Malakai Anthony run for 5 yds for a TD (Lliam Davis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 4TD
11 plays · 79 yds · 5:2783% → 83%
Q1 7:31
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+1
82.5%
Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 1 yd to the MASS 20Similar
Q1 6:45
2ND & 11
OWN 20
+10
81.9%
Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Mark Pope for 10 yds to the MASS 30Similar
Q1 6:45
3RD & 1
OWN 30
+2
82.0%
Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 2 yds to the MASS 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:45
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+13
82.0%
Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Anthony Simpson for 13 yds to the MASS 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:45
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+5
82.4%
Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 6:45
2ND & 5
50
+25
82.5%
Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to George Johnson III for 25 yds to the MRMK 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:45
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+5
82.8%
Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 5 yds to the MRMK 20Similar
Q1 6:45
2ND & 5
OPP 20
+8
82.8%
Anthony Simpson run for 8 yds to the MRMK 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:45
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+1
82.8%
Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 1 yd to the MRMK 11Similar
Q1 2:04
2ND & 9
OPP 11
+11
83.4%
Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to George Johnson III for 11 yds for a TD (Cameron Carson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRMKDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 2:0618% → 19%
Q1 1:57
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+1
81.7%
Tyvon Edmonds Jr. run for 1 yd to the MRMK 26Similar
Q1 1:57
2ND & 11
OWN 26
+6
81.9%
Tyvon Edmonds Jr. run for 6 yds to the MRMK 32Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 5
OWN 32
+1
80.9%
Malakai Anthony run for 1 yd to the MRMK 31Similar
Q2 14:51
4TH & 6
OWN 31
+1
81.5%
Cole Peterson punt for 39 yds , Isaac Ross returns for 1 yd to the MASS 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 2:1482% → 81%
Q2 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+6
81.7%
Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 6 yds to the MASS 37Similar
Q2 14:51
2ND & 4
OWN 37
+3
82.2%
Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Shawn Harris Jr. for 3 yds to the MASS 40Similar
Q2 14:51
3RD & 1
OWN 40
0
82.0%
Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for no gain to the MASS 40Similar
Q2 12:37
4TH & 1
OWN 40
0
80.7%
CJ Kolodziey punt for 38 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRMKDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 1:1820% → 20%
Q2 12:37
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
80.0%
Malakai Anthony pass incomplete to LJ RobinsonSimilar
Q2 12:37
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+3
80.1%
Brendon Wyatt run for 3 yds to the MRMK 19Similar
Q2 11:45
3RD & 13
OWN 19
0
80.3%
Malakai Anthony pass incomplete to Seth SweitzerSimilar
Q2 11:19
4TH & 13
OWN 19
+31
80.5%
Cole Peterson punt for 51 yds , Isaac Ross returns for 31 yds to the MRMK 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 8MISSED FG
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:4982% → 79%
Q2 11:19
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+11
81.7%
Greg Desrosiers Jr. run for 11 yds to the MRMK 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:24
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
81.7%
Taisun Phommachanh pass incomplete to Mark PopeSimilar
Q2 10:24
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+3
81.6%
Taisun Phommachanh run for 3 yds to the MRMK 31Similar
Q2 10:24
3RD & 13
OPP 31
0
80.5%
Taisun Phommachanh pass incomplete to Mark PopeSimilar
Q2 9:30
4TH & 13
OPP 31
+48
79.3%
Cameron Carson 48 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRMKDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 1:2822% → 22%
Q2 9:30
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
78.1%
Malakai Anthony pass incomplete to Donovan WadleySimilar
Q2 9:30
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+6
78.4%
Tyvon Edmonds Jr. run for 6 yds to the MRMK 37Similar
Q2 9:30
3RD & 4
OWN 37
-5
78.0%
PENALTY MER False Start (Birdow,Cole) 5 yards from MER37 to MER32. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 9:30
3RD & 9
OWN 32
0
78.9%
Malakai Anthony pass incomplete to Donovan WadleySimilar
Q2 8:02
4TH & 9
OWN 32
0
78.1%
Cole Peterson punt 33 yards to the UMass35 Ross,Isaac return for 5 yards to the UMass40.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 10TD
10 plays · 60 yds · 5:0080% → 85%
Q2 8:02
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
80.0%
Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams for 3 yds to the MASS 37Similar
Q2 8:02
2ND & 13
OWN 37
+1
79.1%
Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 1 yd to the MASS 36Similar
Q2 8:02
3RD & 14
OWN 36
+5
78.4%
No Huddle-Shotgun Phommachanh,Taisun pass incomplete deep right to Simpson,Anthony broken up by Williams,Donte PENALTY MER Offside (Warrick,Bryce) 5 yards from UMass36 to UMass41. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:02
3RD & 14
OWN 36
+24
78.4%
Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Shawn Harris Jr. for 24 yds to the MRMK 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:02
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+15
80.7%
Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 15 yds to the MRMK 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:02
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+9
81.0%
Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 9 yds to the MRMK 16Similar
Q2 8:02
2ND & 1
OPP 16
+1
81.0%
Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 1 yd to the MRMK 17Similar
Q2 8:02
3RD & 2
OPP 17
+8
80.5%
Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 8 yds to the MRMK 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+1
81.0%
Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Gino Campiotti for 1 yd to the MRMK 8Similar
Q2 3:02
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
85.4%
Greg Desrosiers Jr. run for 8 yds for a TD (Cameron Carson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRMKDrive 11MISSED FG
17 plays · 57 yds · 2:5216% → 18%
Q2 2:52
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+7
83.7%
Tyvon Edmonds Jr. run for 7 yds to the MRMK 28Similar
Q2 2:52
2ND & 3
OWN 28
0
83.1%
Malakai Anthony pass complete to Jack McManus for no gain to the MRMK 28Similar
Q2 2:11
3RD & 3
OWN 28
+4
83.2%
Tyvon Edmonds Jr. run for 4 yds to the MRMK 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:11
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+1
82.8%
Tyvon Edmonds Jr. run for 1 yd to the MRMK 33Similar
Q2 2:11
2ND & 9
OWN 33
0
83.0%
Tyvon Edmonds Jr. run for no gain to the MRMK 33Similar
Q2 1:18
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+8
83.0%
Malakai Anthony run for 8 yds to the MASS 44Similar
Q2 1:18
2ND & 2
OPP 44
0
81.8%
Malakai Anthony pass incomplete to Seth SweitzerSimilar
Q2 0:44
3RD & 2
OPP 44
+3
81.7%
Tyvon Edmonds Jr. run for 3 yds to the MASS 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:44
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
81.8%
Malakai Anthony pass incomplete to LJ RobinsonSimilar
Q2 0:44
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
80.4%
Malakai Anthony pass incomplete to Donovan WadleySimilar
Q2 0:44
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+4
80.9%
Tyvon Edmonds Jr. run for 4 yds to the MASS 22Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 6
OPP 22
+39
81.8%
Lliam Davis 39 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:5884% → 82%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
83.6%
Taisun Phommachanh pass incomplete to Anthony SimpsonSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
83.5%
Taisun Phommachanh pass incomplete to Mark PopeSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+1
82.8%
Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 1 yd to the MASS 26Similar
Q3 14:02
4TH & 9
OWN 26
+8
82.0%
CJ Kolodziey punt for 41 yds , LJ Robinson returns for 8 yds to the MRMK 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRMKDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 3:0418% → 17%
Q3 14:02
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+7
81.9%
Malakai Anthony pass complete to Jelani Mason for 7 yds to the MRMK 48Similar
Q3 14:02
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+3
80.9%
Matthias Latham run for 3 yds to the MASS 44Similar
Q3 14:02
2ND & 7
OPP 44
+2
80.9%
Tyvon Edmonds Jr. run for 2 yds to the MASS 42Similar
Q3 14:02
3RD & 5
OPP 42
-8
81.1%
Malakai Anthony sacked by Derrieon Craig for a loss of 8 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 10:58
4TH & 13
50
0
83.2%
Cole Peterson punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Isaac Ross at the MASS 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · -5 yds · 0:2683% → 82%
Q3 10:58
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
83.1%
Taisun Phommachanh pass incomplete to Anthony SimpsonSimilar
Q3 10:58
2ND & 10
OWN 18
0
83.0%
Taisun Phommachanh pass incomplete to Anthony SimpsonSimilar
Q3 10:58
3RD & 10
OWN 18
0
82.2%
Taisun Phommachanh pass incomplete to Gino CampiottiSimilar
Q3 10:32
4TH & 15
OWN 13
0
81.5%
CJ Kolodziey punt for 55 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRMKDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 1:4018% → 15%
Q3 10:32
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
81.8%
Malakai Anthony pass incomplete to Jelani MasonSimilar
Q3 10:27
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+9
83.2%
Donovan Wadley run for 9 yds to the MRMK 23Similar
Q3 10:27
3RD & 19
OWN 23
+6
84.2%
Malakai Anthony pass complete to Myles Wilson for 6 yds to the MRMK 29Similar
Q3 8:52
4TH & 13
OWN 29
+12
84.6%
Cole Peterson punt for 36 yds , Isaac Ross returns for 12 yds to the MASS 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 16FG
7 plays · 31 yds · 2:4187% → 88%
Q3 8:52
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+1
86.5%
Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 1 yd to the MASS 46Similar
Q3 8:52
2ND & 11
OWN 46
+13
85.8%
Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 13 yds to the MRMK 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:52
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+15
86.7%
No Huddle-Shotgun Phommachanh,Taisun pass incomplete deep right to Simpson,Anthony PENALTY MER Pass Interference (Jackson,Grant) 15 yards from MER41 to MER26, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:52
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+2
87.2%
Mark Pope run for 2 yds to the MRMK 24Similar
Q3 8:52
2ND & 8
OPP 24
0
87.2%
Taisun Phommachanh pass incomplete to George Johnson IIISimilar
Q3 8:52
3RD & 8
OPP 24
+2
86.3%
Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 2 yds to the MRMK 22Similar
Q3 6:11
4TH & 6
OPP 22
+39
88.2%
Cameron Carson 39 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRMKDrive 17PUNT
11 plays · 19 yds · 3:1713% → 11%
Q3 5:59
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+9
87.4%
Tyvon Edmonds Jr. run for 9 yds to the MRMK 45Similar
Q3 5:59
2ND & 1
OWN 45
+4
86.5%
Tyvon Edmonds Jr. run for 4 yds to the MRMK 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:59
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
86.4%
Malakai Anthony pass incomplete to Tyvon Edmonds Jr.Similar
Q3 5:59
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+6
86.7%
Malakai Anthony pass complete to Jelani Mason for 6 yds to the MASS 45Similar
Q3 5:59
3RD & 4
OPP 45
+5
86.4%
Tyvon Edmonds Jr. run for 5 yds to the MASS 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:59
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-3
86.2%
Malakai Anthony sacked by Uchenna Ezewike for a loss of 3 yards to the MASS 43Similar
Q3 5:59
2ND & 13
OPP 43
+3
86.8%
Tyvon Edmonds Jr. run for 3 yds to the MASS 40Similar
Q3 5:59
3RD & 10
OPP 40
0
86.8%
Malakai Anthony pass incomplete to LJ RobinsonSimilar
Q3 2:50
4TH & 10
OPP 40
-5
88.2%
Peterson,Cole punt 29 yards to the UMass11 Ross,Isaac return 8 yards to the UMass19 (Maryland,Nasir) PENALTY MER Illegal Formation 5 yards from UMass40 to UMass45. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 2:42
4TH & 15
OPP 45
0
88.8%
Cole Peterson punt for 45 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 18TD
5 plays · 80 yds · 2:5389% → 97%
Q3 2:42
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
88.5%
Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 3 yds to the MASS 23Similar
Q3 2:42
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+3
88.4%
Greg Desrosiers Jr. run for 3 yds to the MASS 20Similar
Q3 2:42
3RD & 10
OWN 20
+20
87.7%
Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Anthony Simpson for 20 yds to the MASS 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
90.4%
Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 3 yds to the MASS 43Similar
Q4 14:49
2ND & 7
OWN 43
+57
96.6%
Greg Desrosiers Jr. run for 57 yds for a TD (Cameron Carson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRMKDrive 19DOWNS
10 plays · 31 yds · 3:154% → 4%
Q4 14:42
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+16
95.7%
Malakai Anthony pass complete to Jelani Mason for 16 yds to the MRMK 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:42
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+9
95.5%
Tyvon Edmonds Jr. run for 9 yds to the MRMK 49Similar
Q4 14:42
2ND & 1
OWN 49
0
95.2%
Malakai Anthony pass incomplete to Jack McManusSimilar
Q4 14:42
3RD & 1
OWN 49
0
95.5%
Tyvon Edmonds Jr. run for no gain to the MRMK 49Similar
Q4 14:42
4TH & 1
OWN 49
+3
95.5%
Tyvon Edmonds Jr. run for 3 yds to the MASS 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:42
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+3
95.4%
Donovan Wadley run for 3 yds to the MASS 45Similar
Q4 14:42
2ND & 7
OPP 45
0
95.4%
Malakai Anthony pass incomplete to Jalen McDonaldSimilar
Q4 14:42
3RD & 7
OPP 45
0
95.5%
Malakai Anthony pass incomplete to LJ RobinsonSimilar
Q4 11:27
4TH & 7
OPP 45
0
96.4%
Malakai Anthony pass incomplete to Donovan WadleySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 20TD
7 plays · 55 yds · 3:1797% → 99%
Q4 11:27
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+4
97.4%
Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 4 yds to the MASS 49Similar
Q4 11:27
2ND & 6
OWN 49
+8
97.4%
Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 8 yds to the MRMK 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:27
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+3
97.4%
Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 3 yds to the MRMK 40Similar
Q4 11:27
2ND & 17
50
+4
97.3%
Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 4 yds to the MRMK 46Similar
Q4 8:10
3RD & 13
OPP 46
+46
99.3%
Greg Desrosiers Jr. run for 46 yds for a TDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 21PUNT
6 plays · 9 yds · 2:1297% → 98%
Q4 7:56
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+25
97.3%
No Huddle Harris Jr.,Shawn rush right for 6 yards gain to the UMass50, out of bounds at UMass50 PENALTY UMass Holding (Campiotti,Gino) MER UNR: Unnecessary Roughness (McKoy III,Tommie) 25 yards from UMass44 to UMass49, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 7:56
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+4
97.3%
Greg Desrosiers Jr. run for 4 yds to the MRMK 47Similar
Q4 7:56
2ND & 6
OPP 47
0
97.3%
Greg Desrosiers Jr. run for no gain to the MRMK 47Similar
Q4 7:56
3RD & 6
OPP 47
0
97.3%
Taisun Phommachanh pass incomplete to Shawn Harris Jr.Similar
Q4 5:44
4TH & 6
OPP 47
0
97.7%
CJ Kolodziey punt for 31 yds, fair catch by LJ Robinson at the MRMK 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRMKDrive 22TD
7 plays · 84 yds · 3:013% → 5%
Q4 5:44
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
97.0%
Malakai Anthony pass incomplete to Donovan WadleySimilar
Q4 5:44
2ND & 10
OWN 16
+10
97.1%
Malakai Anthony pass complete to Jack McManus for 10 yds to the MRMK 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:44
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-5
97.0%
PENALTY MER False Start 5 yards from MER26 to MER21. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 5:44
1ST & 15
OWN 21
-5
97.1%
No Huddle-Shotgun Edmonds Jr.,Tyvon rush right for 5 yards gain to the MER26 (Jackson,Shambre) PENALTY MER Illegal Formation 5 yards from MER21 to MER16. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 5:44
1ST & 20
OWN 16
+3
97.1%
Tyvon Edmonds Jr. run for 3 yds to the MRMK 19Similar
Q4 5:44
2ND & 17
OWN 19
+17
97.1%
Malakai Anthony run for 17 yds to the MRMK 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:43
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+33
95.3%
Jelani Mason pass complete to LJ Robinson for 33 yds for a TD (Lliam Davis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 23END OF GAME
6 plays · 39 yds · 2:4396% → 97%
Q4 2:43
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+28
96.1%
Greg Desrosiers Jr. run for 28 yds to the MRMK 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:43
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+7
96.4%
Greg Desrosiers Jr. run for 7 yds to the MRMK 8Similar
Q4 2:43
2ND & 3
OPP 8
+4
96.4%
Greg Desrosiers Jr. run for 4 yds to the MRMK 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:43
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
96.4%
Kneel down by Massachusetts at MER06 for loss of 2 yards PENALTY MER Illegal Substitution 2 yards from MER04 to MER02. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-2
97.1%
Kneel down by Massachusetts at MER04 for loss of 2 yards.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 14:49
Greg Desrosiers Jr. run for 57 yds for a TD (Cameron Carson KICK)
+6.2
TD · Q2 3:02
Greg Desrosiers Jr. run for 8 yds for a TD (Cameron Carson KICK)
+4.4
End of Game · Final
Game over.
+2.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com