Try the model
NU

Northwestern 24 at Wisconsin 10

WIS
2023 · Week 11 · Nov 11, 2023 · Camp Randall Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · WIS
modelWIS aheadNU aheadconfidence bandkey playWIS scoreNU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 5:29 · Nathanial Vakos 40 yd FG MISSED
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+51.0+25.50−25.5−51.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 57Home team on offense−11.9Score differential−7.6Pregame prior+15.5Garbage-time factor−3.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.8Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−1.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 12:54: Ben Bryant run for 1 yd for a TD (Jack Olsen KICK) — NU win probability +7.7 pts (now 40%) (top driver: NU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 6:41: Ben Bryant pass complete to Cam Johnson for 24 yds for a TD (Jack Olsen KICK) — NU win probability +17.4 pts (now 60%) (top driver: NU has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 1:06: Jack Olsen 28 yd FG GOOD — NU win probability +4.8 pts (now 76%) (top driver: NU has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q2 0:00: [NHSG] Kneel down by BRYANT, Ben at NWU19 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00. — NU win probability +9.3 pts (now 77%) (top driver: NU has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q3 8:04: Tanner Mordecai pass incomplete — NU win probability +9.5 pts (now 81%) (top driver: WIS has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WIS made the numbers' call on 6 of 8NU made the numbers' call on 5 of 6
  1. Q1 10:25WIS 4th & 9 at NU 15, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 77.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.8%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    76.9%
    83% to make
    Punt
    76.4%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 3:02WIS 4th & 2 at WIS 28, down 4
    Close callPunted · 72.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.6%−0.2
    average punt
  3. Q2 10:13WIS 4th & 3 at NU 42, down 11
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.0 ptsPunted · 62.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    60.8%−1.6
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    61.4%−1.0
    average punt
  4. Q2 5:29WIS 4th & 7 at NU 22, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 47.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.8%−0.4
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    47.2%
    72% to make
    Punt
    41.0%−6.2
    average punt
  5. Q2 1:06NU 4th & 10 at WIS 10, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 67.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.4%−1.7
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    67.1%
    88% to make
    Punt
    58.8%−8.2
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:06WIS 4th & 4 at NU 49, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.1%−0.2
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.3%
    average punt
  7. Q3 12:56NU 4th & 22 at NU 13, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 77.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.5%−3.7
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.2%
    average punt
  8. Q3 8:04WIS 4th & 4 at NU 8, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 20.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    19.8%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    19.1%−0.7
    90% to make
    Punt
    9.2%−10.6
    average punt
  9. Q3 6:05NU 4th & 2 at NU 16, up 21
    Close callPunted · 90.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.9%−0.6
    average punt
  10. Q3 4:26WIS 4th & 19 at WIS 40, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.1%−3.2
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.2%
    average punt
  11. Q4 14:51NU 4th & 5 at NU 34, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.0%−0.4
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.4%
    average punt
  12. Q4 9:04NU 4th & 7 at NU 32, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.5%−0.4
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.8%
    average punt
  13. Q4 6:28WIS 4th & 17 at WIS 46, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.4%−0.3
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.7%
    average punt
  14. Q4 4:08NU 4th & 9 at NU 19, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.7%−0.2
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.8%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WIS made the numbers' call on 0 of 1NU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 4:12NU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    26.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    26.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 12:54NU Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    36.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    36.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 6:41NU Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    52.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    52.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 0:11WIS Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    2.3%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    2.3%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WISDrive 1FG
10 plays · 57 yds · 4:3076% → 75%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+5
75.6%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Riley Nowakowski for 5 yds to the WIS 33Similar
Q1 14:55
2ND & 5
OWN 33
+1
75.6%
Braelon Allen run for 1 yd to the WIS 34Similar
Q1 14:55
3RD & 4
OWN 34
+5
75.6%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Will Pauling for 5 yds to the WIS 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+35
75.6%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Vinny Anthony II for 35 yds to the NU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+8
75.6%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Braelon Allen for 8 yds to the NU 18Similar
Q1 14:55
2ND & 2
OPP 18
+2
75.6%
Braelon Allen run for 2 yds to the NU 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
75.6%
Tanner Mordecai pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:55
2ND & 10
OPP 16
+2
75.6%
Jackson Acker run for 2 yds to the NU 14Similar
Q1 14:55
3RD & 8
OPP 14
-1
75.6%
Tanner Mordecai sacked by Kenny Soares Jr. for a loss of 1 yard to the NU 15Similar
Q1 10:25
4TH & 9
OPP 15
+33
75.1%
Nathanial Vakos 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 2TD
12 plays · 79 yds · 6:0825% → 29%
Q1 10:20
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+6
75.0%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Bryce Kirtz for 6 yds to the NU 27Similar
Q1 10:20
2ND & 4
OWN 27
0
74.9%
Ben Bryant pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:20
3RD & 4
OWN 27
+12
75.0%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Raymond Niro III for 12 yds to the NU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:20
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+5
74.8%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Cam Johnson for 5 yds to the NU 44Similar
Q1 10:20
2ND & 5
OWN 44
+4
74.6%
Cam Porter run for 4 yds to the NU 48Similar
Q1 10:20
3RD & 1
OWN 48
+17
74.7%
Cam Porter run for 17 yds to the WIS 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:20
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+5
74.5%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Joseph Himon II for 5 yds to the WIS 30Similar
Q1 10:20
2ND & 5
OPP 30
0
74.4%
A.J. Henning run for no gain to the WIS 30Similar
Q1 10:20
3RD & 5
OPP 30
+8
74.6%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Bryce Kirtz for 8 yds to the WIS 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:20
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-3
74.4%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Joseph Himon II for a loss of 3 yards to the WIS 25Similar
Q1 10:20
2ND & 13
OPP 25
+2
74.5%
Ben Bryant run for 2 yds to the WIS 23Similar
Q1 4:12
3RD & 11
OPP 23
+23
70.9%
Ben Bryant pass complete to A.J. Henning for 23 yds for a TD (Jack Olsen KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:0671% → 70%
Q1 4:08
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
71.3%
Braelon Allen run for no gain to the WIS 20Similar
Q1 4:08
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+8
71.3%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Skyler Bell for 8 yds to the WIS 28Similar
Q1 4:08
3RD & 2
OWN 28
0
71.1%
Tanner Mordecai pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:02
4TH & 2
OWN 28
0
70.4%
Atticus Bertrams punt for 46 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 4TD
11 plays · 68 yds · 5:0829% → 40%
Q1 3:02
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
70.8%
Ben Bryant run for no gain to the NU 32Similar
Q1 3:02
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+6
70.9%
Cam Porter run for 6 yds to the NU 38Similar
Q1 3:02
3RD & 4
OWN 38
+6
70.5%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Cam Johnson for 6 yds to the NU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:02
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+13
70.3%
Cam Porter run for 13 yds to the WIS 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:02
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+5
70.1%
Cam Porter run for 5 yds to the WIS 38Similar
Q1 3:02
2ND & 5
OPP 38
+15
70.0%
Wisconsin Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the WIS 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+5
68.0%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Bryce Kirtz for 5 yds to the WIS 12Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 12
+1
68.0%
A.J. Henning run for 1 yd to the WIS 11Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 11
+6
68.5%
Cam Porter run for 6 yds to the WIS 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
68.0%
Cam Porter run for 4 yds to the WIS 1Similar
Q2 12:54
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
60.3%
Ben Bryant run for 1 yd for a TD (Jack Olsen KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 5PUNT
6 plays · 21 yds · 2:3663% → 60%
Q2 12:49
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
62.5%
Cade Yacamelli run for 2 yds to the WIS 39Similar
Q2 12:49
2ND & 8
OWN 39
+12
62.8%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to C.J. Williams for 12 yds to the NU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:49
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+2
63.4%
Cade Yacamelli run for 2 yds to the NU 47Similar
Q2 12:49
2ND & 8
OPP 47
+4
63.5%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Cade Yacamelli for 4 yds to the NU 43Similar
Q2 12:49
3RD & 4
OPP 43
+1
63.3%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Hayden Rucci for 1 yd to the NU 42Similar
Q2 10:13
4TH & 3
OPP 42
0
60.2%
Atticus Bertrams punt for 32 yds, fair catch by A.J. Henning at the NU 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 6TD
9 plays · 90 yds · 3:3241% → 60%
Q2 10:13
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+32
59.1%
Joseph Himon II run for 32 yds to the NU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:13
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+5
57.8%
Joseph Himon II run for 5 yds to the NU 47Similar
Q2 10:13
2ND & 5
OWN 47
0
57.8%
Ben Bryant pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:13
3RD & 5
OWN 47
+6
58.0%
Ben Bryant pass complete to A.J. Henning for 6 yds to the WIS 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:13
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
57.8%
Ben Bryant pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:13
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+19
57.8%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Raymond Niro III for 19 yds to the WIS 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:13
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+3
57.6%
Cam Porter run for 3 yds to the WIS 25Similar
Q2 10:13
2ND & 7
OPP 25
+1
57.6%
Cam Porter run for 1 yd to the WIS 24Similar
Q2 6:41
3RD & 6
OPP 24
+24
40.2%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Cam Johnson for 24 yds for a TD (Jack Olsen KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 7MISSED FG
5 plays · 36 yds · 1:0947% → 46%
Q2 6:38
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+33
47.1%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Will Pauling for 33 yds to the NU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:38
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
48.8%
Tanner Mordecai pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:38
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+3
48.4%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Vinny Anthony II for 3 yds to the NU 22Similar
Q2 6:38
3RD & 7
OPP 22
0
48.0%
Tanner Mordecai pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:29
4TH & 7
OPP 22
+40
46.0%
Nathanial Vakos 40 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 8FG
14 plays · 68 yds · 4:2361% → 76%
Q2 5:29
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+41
39.1%
Ben Bryant pass complete to A.J. Henning for 41 yds to the WIS 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:29
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+4
37.7%
Cam Porter run for 4 yds to the WIS 33Similar
Q2 5:29
2ND & 6
OPP 33
+1
36.6%
Jack Lausch run for 1 yd to the WIS 32Similar
Q2 5:29
3RD & 5
OPP 32
+9
36.9%
A.J. Henning run for 9 yds to the WIS 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:29
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
36.7%
Ben Bryant pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:29
2ND & 10
OPP 23
+3
37.5%
Cam Porter run for 3 yds to the WIS 20Similar
Q2 5:29
3RD & 7
OPP 20
+12
36.9%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Marshall Lang for 12 yds to the WIS 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
-5
36.6%
TYUS III, Anthony rush up the middle for a gain of 7 yards to the WIS1 (PETERSON, Darryl). PENALTY Before the snap, NWU Illegal Shift enforced 5 yards from the WIS8 to the WIS13. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 5:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 13
0
37.5%
Ben Bryant pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:20
2ND & GOAL
OPP 13
0
28.6%
Ben Bryant pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:10
3RD & GOAL
OPP 13
+3
28.4%
Ben Bryant run for 3 yds to the WIS 10Similar
Q2 1:06
4TH & GOAL
OPP 10
+28
23.6%
Jack Olsen 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 9PUNT
8 plays · 23 yds · 0:5530% → 32%
Q2 1:01
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+2
30.2%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Skyler Bell for 2 yds to the WIS 30Similar
Q2 1:01
2ND & 8
OWN 30
+7
30.1%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Bryson Green for 7 yds to the WIS 37Similar
Q2 1:01
3RD & 1
OWN 37
+8
30.9%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Will Pauling for 8 yds to the WIS 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:01
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
31.9%
Tanner Mordecai pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:19
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+6
37.2%
Tanner Mordecai run for 6 yds to the NU 49Similar
Q2 0:19
3RD & 4
OPP 49
0
32.2%
Tanner Mordecai pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:06
4TH & 4
OPP 49
0
32.3%
Atticus Bertrams punt for 49 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 10END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0077% → 77%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
23.0%
[NHSG] Kneel down by BRYANT, Ben at NWU19 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · -12 yds · 1:5977% → 79%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
22.8%
Cam Porter run for no gain to the NU 25Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-6
22.8%
Ben Bryant run for a loss of 6 yards to the NU 19 Ben Bryant fumbled, recovered by NU Ben Bryant [SG] QB Keeper BRYANT, Ben rush up the middle for a loss of 6 yards, BRYANT, Ben fumbled at NWU19 , recovered by NWU BRYANT, Ben at the NWU19, returned 0 yards to the NWU19, End of Play.Similar
Q3 14:55
3RD & 16
OWN 19
-6
23.9%
Ben Bryant sacked by Christian Alliegro for a loss of 6 yards to the NU 13Similar
Q3 12:56
4TH & 22
OWN 13
0
21.4%
Hunter Renner punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Vinny Anthony II at the NU 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 12DOWNS
12 plays · 40 yds · 4:5228% → 19%
Q3 12:56
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+4
28.2%
Cade Yacamelli run for 4 yds to the NU 44Similar
Q3 12:56
2ND & 6
OPP 44
-1
28.4%
Tanner Mordecai run for a loss of 1 yard to the NU 45Similar
Q3 12:56
3RD & 7
OPP 45
+8
27.8%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Will Pauling for 8 yds to the NU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:56
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+8
28.3%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Will Pauling for 8 yds to the NU 29Similar
Q3 12:56
2ND & 2
OPP 29
-10
29.1%
MORDECAI, Tanner scrambles up the middle for a gain of 3 yards to the NWU26 (MUELLER, Xander), out of bounds. PENALTY WIS Holding on NELSON, Jack enforced 10 yards from the NWU29 to the NWU39 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 12:56
2ND & 12
OPP 39
+6
28.0%
Cade Yacamelli run for 6 yds to the NU 33Similar
Q3 12:56
3RD & 6
OPP 33
+19
28.1%
Tanner Mordecai run for 19 yds to the NU 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:56
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+2
29.2%
Tanner Mordecai run for 2 yds to the NU 12Similar
Q3 12:56
2ND & 8
OPP 12
-5
29.2%
Wisconsin Penalty, False Start (Riley Mahlman) to the NU 17Similar
Q3 12:56
2ND & 13
OPP 17
+9
28.6%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Vinny Anthony II for 9 yds to the NU 8Similar
Q3 12:56
3RD & 4
OPP 8
0
28.7%
Tanner Mordecai pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:04
4TH & 4
OPP 8
0
19.2%
Tanner Mordecai pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:5988% → 91%
Q3 8:04
1ST & 10
OWN 8
0
11.8%
Cam Porter run for no gain to the NU 8Similar
Q3 8:04
2ND & 10
OWN 8
+8
11.9%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Cam Johnson for 8 yds to the NU 16Similar
Q3 8:04
3RD & 2
OWN 16
0
12.1%
Cam Porter run for no gain to the NU 16Similar
Q3 6:05
4TH & 2
OWN 16
0
8.9%
Hunter Renner punt for 35 yds, downed at the WIS 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · -9 yds · 1:3913% → 10%
Q3 6:05
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+6
12.5%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Cade Yacamelli for 6 yds to the NU 45Similar
Q3 6:05
2ND & 4
OPP 45
-10
13.2%
MORDECAI, Tanner pass short to the left complete for 6 yards to DIKE, Chimere caught at the NWU41 and advanced to the NWU39 (JOHNSON, Theran). PENALTY WIS Holding on NELSON, Jack enforced 10 yards from the NWU45 to the WIS45 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 6:05
2ND & 14
OWN 45
+5
11.7%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Will Pauling for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 6:05
3RD & 9
50
-10
12.5%
Tanner Mordecai sacked by Aidan Hubbard for a loss of 10 yards to the WIS 40Similar
Q3 4:26
4TH & 19
OWN 40
0
9.9%
Atticus Bertrams punt for 44 yds , returns for no gain to the NU 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 15PUNT
10 plays · 26 yds · 4:3593% → 96%
Q3 4:26
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+5
7.2%
Anthony Tyus III run for 5 yds to the NU 13Similar
Q3 4:26
2ND & 5
OWN 13
-1
7.1%
Anthony Tyus III run for a loss of 1 yard to the NU 12Similar
Q3 4:26
3RD & 6
OWN 12
+6
7.4%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Cam Johnson for 6 yds to the NU 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:47
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+3
4.1%
Joseph Himon II run for 3 yds to the NU 21Similar
Q3 1:47
2ND & 7
OWN 21
+8
4.1%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Cam Johnson for 8 yds to the NU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:47
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+1
4.1%
Joseph Himon II run for 1 yd to the NU 30Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 9
OWN 30
+4
3.5%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Thomas Gordon for 4 yds to the NU 34Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 34
0
3.5%
Ben Bryant pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:51
4TH & 5
OWN 34
0
3.6%
Hunter Renner punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Vinny Anthony II at the WIS 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 16FUMBLE
10 plays · 48 yds · 4:086% → 4%
Q4 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
6.1%
Tanner Mordecai pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:51
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+5
6.1%
MORDECAI, Tanner pass to the right complete for -3 yards to YACAMELLI, Cade caught at the WIS16 and advanced to the WIS20 (GALLAGHER, Bryce). PENALTY NWU Offsides on PATE, Jaylen enforced 5 yards from the WIS23 to the WIS28 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 14:51
2ND & 5
OWN 28
+4
6.1%
Cade Yacamelli run for 4 yds to the WIS 32Similar
Q4 14:51
3RD & 1
OWN 32
+4
6.4%
Jackson Acker run for 4 yds to the WIS 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
6.2%
Tanner Mordecai run for 2 yds to the WIS 38Similar
Q4 14:51
2ND & 8
OWN 38
+6
6.3%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Jackson Acker for 6 yds to the WIS 44Similar
Q4 14:51
3RD & 2
OWN 44
+2
6.4%
Jackson Acker run for 2 yds to the WIS 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+12
6.4%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Skyler Bell for 12 yds to the NU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:51
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+5
6.7%
Cade Yacamelli run for 5 yds to the NU 37Similar
Q4 10:43
2ND & 5
OPP 37
+8
4.2%
Tanner Mordecai run for 8 yds to the NU 29 Tanner Mordecai fumbled, recovered by NU Garnett Hollis Jr. [NHSG] QB Keeper MORDECAI, Tanner rush up the middle for a gain of 8 yards, MORDECAI, Tanner fumbled at NWU29 forced by HEARD II, Rod, recovered by NWU HOLLIS JR., Garnett at the NWU29, returned 0 yards to the NWU29, End of Play, clock 10:43.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:3998% → 98%
Q4 10:43
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
2.1%
Cam Porter run for no gain to the NU 29Similar
Q4 10:43
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+3
2.0%
Cam Porter run for 3 yds to the NU 32Similar
Q4 10:43
3RD & 7
OWN 32
0
2.1%
Ben Bryant pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:04
4TH & 7
OWN 32
0
1.7%
Hunter Renner punt for 45 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 18PUNT
10 plays · 22 yds · 2:363% → 2%
Q4 9:04
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+2
3.0%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Will Pauling for 2 yds to the WIS 26Similar
Q4 9:04
2ND & 8
OWN 26
+5
3.0%
MORDECAI, Tanner pass short to the right incomplete intended for GREEN, Bryson broken up by JOHNSON, Theran at the WIS31. PENALTY NWU Offsides on HAGARTY, Richie enforced 5 yards from the WIS26 to the WIS31 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 9:04
2ND & 3
OWN 31
+8
3.2%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Bryson Green for 8 yds to the WIS 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:04
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+9
3.2%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Jackson Acker for 9 yds to the WIS 48Similar
Q4 9:04
2ND & 1
OWN 48
+5
3.5%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Will Pauling for 5 yds to the NU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:04
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+3
3.4%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Skyler Bell for 3 yds to the NU 44Similar
Q4 9:04
2ND & 7
OPP 44
-10
3.4%
Wisconsin Penalty, Offensive Holding (Jack Nelson) to the WIS 46Similar
Q4 9:04
2ND & 17
OWN 46
0
3.1%
Tanner Mordecai pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:04
3RD & 17
OWN 46
0
3.0%
Tanner Mordecai pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:28
4TH & 17
OWN 46
0
1.6%
Atticus Bertrams punt for 37 yds , returns for no gain to the NU 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 2:2099% → 99%
Q4 6:28
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+4
1.1%
Cam Porter run for 4 yds to the NU 22Similar
Q4 6:28
2ND & 6
OWN 22
-5
1.2%
Northwestern Penalty, Delay Of Game (TEAM) to the NU 17Similar
Q4 6:28
2ND & 11
OWN 17
-1
1.1%
Cam Porter run for a loss of 1 yard to the NU 16Similar
Q4 6:28
3RD & 12
OWN 16
+3
1.3%
A.J. Henning run for 3 yds to the NU 19Similar
Q4 4:08
4TH & 9
OWN 19
0
0.8%
Hunter Renner punt for 51 yds, downed at the WIS 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 20TD
14 plays · 70 yds · 3:571% → 4%
Q4 4:08
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
1.3%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Skyler Bell for 3 yds to the WIS 33Similar
Q4 4:08
2ND & 7
OWN 33
+6
1.3%
Cade Yacamelli run for 6 yds to the WIS 39Similar
Q4 4:08
3RD & 1
OWN 39
+9
1.3%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Will Pauling for 9 yds to the WIS 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:08
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+4
1.3%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Skyler Bell for 4 yds to the NU 48Similar
Q4 4:08
2ND & 6
OPP 48
+3
1.4%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Skyler Bell for 3 yds to the NU 45Similar
Q4 4:08
3RD & 3
OPP 45
+13
1.4%
Cade Yacamelli run for 13 yds to the NU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:08
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+5
1.6%
Cade Yacamelli run for 5 yds to the NU 27Similar
Q4 4:08
2ND & 5
OPP 27
0
1.6%
Tanner Mordecai pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:50
3RD & 5
OPP 27
+11
1.0%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to C.J. Williams for 11 yds to the NU 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:50
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
1.1%
Tanner Mordecai pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:50
2ND & 10
OPP 16
+13
1.1%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Will Pauling for 13 yds to the NU 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
1.8%
Tanner Mordecai pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:11
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
3.7%
Jackson Acker run for 3 yds for a TD (Nathanial Vakos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 21END OF GAME
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
1.4%
[SG] Kneel down by BRYANT, Ben at NWU24 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 6:41
Ben Bryant pass complete to Cam Johnson for 24 yds for a TD (Jack Olsen KICK)
-17.4
KEY PLAY · Q3 8:04
Tanner Mordecai pass incomplete
-9.5
KEY PLAY · Q2 0:00
[NHSG] Kneel down by BRYANT, Ben at NWU19 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.
-9.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com