Try the model
VAN

Vanderbilt 6 at South Carolina 47

SC
2023 · Week 11 · Nov 11, 2023 · Williams-Brice Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · SC
modelSC aheadVAN aheadconfidence bandkey playSC scoreVAN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 11:36 · Matthew Hayball punt for 52 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SC 19
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factorBlowout margin
+36.0+18.00−18.0−36.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 50Pregame prior+25.2Home team on offense+5.4Score differential+2.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.7Garbage-time factor+0.9Blowout margin+0.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 14:16: Spencer Rattler run for 1 yd for a TD (Mitch Jeter KICK) — SC win probability +5.8 pts (now 89%) (top driver: SC has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 7:09: Spencer Rattler pass complete to Ahmarean Brown for 24 yds for a TD (Mitch Jeter KICK) — SC win probability +8.5 pts (now 98%) (top driver: SC has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 7:09: Timeout South Carolina, clock 07:09 — VAN win probability +1.5 pts (now 4%) (top driver: VAN has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 5:12: Mario Anderson run for 72 yds for a TD (Mitch Jeter KICK) — SC win probability +1.5 pts (now 100%) (top driver: SC has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 14:55: Ken Seals pass complete to Quincy Skinner Jr. for 19 yds for a TD (Jacob Borcila PAT MISSED) — VAN win probability +2.1 pts (now 2%) (top driver: VAN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
SC made the numbers' call on 2 of 5VAN made the numbers' call on 6 of 10
  1. Q1 12:39SC 4th & 8 at VAN 40, tied
    Close callPunted · 81.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.3%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    81.2%−<0.1
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    81.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:21VAN 4th & 15 at VAN 15, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.3%−0.2
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.5%
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:51VAN 4th & 5 at SC 49, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.6%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.7%
    average punt
  4. Q2 11:36VAN 4th & 17 at VAN 29, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.4%−0.9
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.4%
    average punt
  5. Q2 8:39VAN 4th & 8 at SC 33, down 13
    Close callWent for it · 14.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    14.7%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    14.8%
    49% to make
    Punt
    14.3%−0.4
    average punt
  6. Q2 5:18SC 4th & 7 at VAN 38, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 86.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    86.4%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    85.9%−0.5
    38% to make
    Punt
    85.8%−0.7
    average punt
  7. Q2 3:11VAN 4th & 2 at VAN 46, down 13
    Close callPunted · 14.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.7%−0.6
    average punt
  8. Q2 2:12SC 4th & 2 at SC 27, up 13
    Close callPunted · 86.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.3%−0.7
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:23VAN 4th & 7 at SC 46, down 13
    Close callPunted · 13.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.6%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    13.7%
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    13.5%−0.1
    average punt
  10. Q3 10:48VAN 4th & 5 at SC 18, down 13
    Close callWent for it · 12.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    12.0%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    12.2%
    79% to make
    Punt
    8.8%−3.4
    average punt
  11. Q3 5:56VAN 4th & 4 at VAN 31, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.5%−0.3
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.8%
    average punt
  12. Q4 13:17SC 4th & 1 at SC 44, up 21
    Close callPunted · 98.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.4%−0.3
    average punt
  13. Q4 11:20VAN 4th & 10 at VAN 32, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.0%−0.3
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.3%
    average punt
  14. Q4 2:20SC 4th & 2 at VAN 36, up 34
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    99.8%−0.1
    42% to make
    Punt
    99.8%−0.2
    average punt
  15. Q4 0:10VAN 4th & 10 at VAN 25, down 41
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
SC made the numbers' call on 6 of 7VAN made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 6:37SC Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    81.1%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    81.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 14:16SC Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 7:09SC Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 5:12SC Touchdown, up 26 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 14:55VAN Touchdown, down 21 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    2.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    2.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 11:20SC Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 5:53SC Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 2:20SC Touchdown, up 40 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SCDrive 1PUNT
9 plays · 45 yds · 2:1684% → 84%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+16
84.3%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Xavier Legette for 16 yds to the SC 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
84.3%
Spencer Rattler pass incomplete to Ahmarean BrownSimilar
Q1 14:55
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+9
84.3%
Mario Anderson run for 9 yds to the SC 40Similar
Q1 14:55
3RD & 1
OWN 40
+18
84.3%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Juju McDowell for 18 yds to the VAN 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+2
84.4%
Juju McDowell run for 2 yds to the VAN 40Similar
Q1 14:55
2ND & 8
OPP 40
0
84.4%
Spencer Rattler pass incomplete to Nyck HarborSimilar
Q1 14:55
3RD & 8
OPP 40
0
84.4%
Spencer Rattler pass incomplete to Ahmarean BrownSimilar
Q1 12:39
4TH & 8
OPP 40
0
83.7%
Kai Kroeger punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Jayden McGowan at the VAN 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 2PUNT
6 plays · 5 yds · 3:1816% → 17%
Q1 12:39
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+5
83.7%
Sedrick Alexander run for 5 yds to the VAN 15Similar
Q1 12:39
2ND & 5
OWN 15
+5
83.7%
PENALTY USC Offside (Barrett,Nick) 5 yards from VU15 to VU20, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 12:39
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+14
83.7%
run for 14 yds to the VAN 6 fumbled, recovered by VAN Ken Seals No Huddle-Shotgun Vanderbilt rush middle for 14 yards loss to the VU06 fumbled by Vanderbilt at VU06 recovered by VU Seals,Ken at VU06, End Of Play.Similar
Q1 12:39
2ND & 24
OWN 6
+5
83.7%
Sedrick Alexander run for 5 yds to the VAN 11Similar
Q1 12:39
3RD & 19
OWN 11
+4
83.8%
Sedrick Alexander run for 4 yds to the VAN 15Similar
Q1 9:21
4TH & 15
OWN 15
+5
83.0%
Matthew Hayball punt for 36 yds , Jalon Kilgore returns for 5 yds to the VAN 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 3TD
8 plays · 46 yds · 2:4483% → 84%
Q1 9:21
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+11
83.1%
Mario Anderson run for 11 yds to the VAN 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:21
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
83.2%
Mario Anderson run for no gain to the VAN 35Similar
Q1 9:21
2ND & 10
OPP 35
-5
83.2%
PENALTY USC False Start (Lee,Vershon) 5 yards from VU35 to VU40. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 9:21
2ND & 15
OPP 40
0
82.9%
Spencer Rattler pass incomplete to Xavier LegetteSimilar
Q1 9:21
3RD & 15
OPP 40
+39
82.8%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Xavier Legette for 39 yds to the VAN 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
83.8%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Alex Huntley for 1 yd for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 4PUNT
8 plays · 16 yds · 2:4617% → 18%
Q1 6:37
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
83.0%
Ken Seals pass incomplete to AJ NewberrySimilar
Q1 6:37
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+5
83.1%
PENALTY USC Offside (Johnson,Tyreek) 5 yards from VU35 to VU40. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 6:37
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+6
82.8%
Ken Seals pass complete to Kamrean Johnson for 6 yds to the VAN 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:37
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
82.7%
AJ Newberry run for 3 yds to the VAN 49Similar
Q1 6:37
2ND & 7
OWN 49
+4
82.7%
Jayden McGowan run for 4 yds to the SC 47Similar
Q1 6:37
3RD & 3
OPP 47
+2
82.6%
Sedrick Alexander run for 2 yds to the SC 49Similar
Q1 3:51
4TH & 5
OPP 49
0
82.4%
Matthew Hayball punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Jalon Kilgore at the SC 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 5TD
11 plays · 95 yds · 4:3583% → 89%
Q1 3:51
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+6
83.1%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Ahmarean Brown for 6 yds to the SC 11Similar
Q1 3:51
2ND & 4
OWN 11
+24
83.1%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Joshua Simon for 24 yds to the SC 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:51
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
82.8%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Xavier Legette for 6 yds to the SC 41Similar
Q1 3:51
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+8
83.2%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Xavier Legette for 8 yds to the SC 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:51
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+12
83.3%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Joshua Simon for 12 yds to the VAN 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:51
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+2
83.4%
Mario Anderson run for 2 yds to the VAN 37Similar
Q1 3:51
2ND & 8
OPP 37
+6
83.3%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to O'Mega Blake for 6 yds to the VAN 31Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 2
OPP 31
+30
82.4%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Djay Braswell for 30 yds to the VAN 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
82.8%
Spencer Rattler run for no gain to the VAN 1Similar
Q2 14:16
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
88.6%
Spencer Rattler run for 1 yd for a TD (Mitch Jeter KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 6PUNT
8 plays · 4 yds · 2:4015% → 14%
Q2 14:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
85.2%
Ken Seals pass incomplete to Sedrick AlexanderSimilar
Q2 14:16
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
85.3%
Sedrick Alexander run for 5 yds to the VAN 30Similar
Q2 14:16
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+6
85.1%
Ken Seals pass complete to Will Sheppard for 6 yds to the VAN 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:16
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-7
84.9%
Ken Seals sacked by Bam Martin-Scott for a loss of 7 yards to the VAN 29Similar
Q2 14:16
2ND & 17
OWN 29
0
85.4%
Ken Seals pass incomplete to Kamrean JohnsonSimilar
Q2 14:16
3RD & 17
OWN 29
0
85.5%
Ken Seals pass incomplete to Kamrean JohnsonSimilar
Q2 11:36
4TH & 17
OWN 29
0
85.9%
Matthew Hayball punt for 52 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SC 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 7INT
5 plays · 1 yds · 1:5289% → 90%
Q2 11:36
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+1
88.8%
Mario Anderson run for 1 yd to the SC 18Similar
Q2 11:36
2ND & 11
OWN 18
+13
89.7%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Xavier Legette for 13 yds to the SC 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:36
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+11
89.8%
run for 11 yds to the SC 20 fumbled, recovered by SC Spencer Rattler No Huddle-Shotgun South Carolina rush middle for 11 yards loss to the USC20 fumbled by South Carolina at USC20 recovered by USC Rattler,Spencer at USC20, End Of Play.Similar
Q2 9:44
2ND & 21
OWN 20
0
90.0%
Spencer Rattler pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 8DOWNS
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:0515% → 14%
Q2 9:44
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
84.8%
Ken Seals pass incomplete to Richie HoskinsSimilar
Q2 9:44
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+2
84.8%
AJ Newberry run for 2 yds to the SC 33Similar
Q2 9:44
3RD & 8
OPP 33
0
85.2%
Ken Seals pass incomplete to London HumphreysSimilar
Q2 8:39
4TH & 8
OPP 33
0
85.9%
Ken Seals pass incomplete to London HumphreysSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 9DOWNS
8 plays · 29 yds · 3:2190% → 90%
Q2 8:39
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+14
89.6%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Ahmarean Brown for 14 yds to the SC 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:39
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+12
90.1%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Xavier Legette for 12 yds to the VAN 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:39
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+1
90.2%
Djay Braswell run for 1 yd to the VAN 40Similar
Q2 8:39
2ND & 9
OPP 40
-5
90.1%
PENALTY USC False Start (Moore,Jakai) 5 yards from VU40 to VU45. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:39
2ND & 14
OPP 45
+2
90.0%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Djay Braswell for 2 yds to the VAN 47Similar
Q2 8:39
3RD & 16
OPP 47
+9
89.6%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Joshua Simon for 9 yds to the VAN 38Similar
Q2 5:18
4TH & 7
OPP 38
0
90.2%
Spencer Rattler pass incomplete to Ahmarean BrownSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 2:0712% → 12%
Q2 5:18
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
87.6%
Walter Taylor run for 2 yds to the VAN 40Similar
Q2 5:18
2ND & 8
OWN 40
+5
87.6%
Walter Taylor run for 5 yds to the VAN 45Similar
Q2 5:18
3RD & 3
OWN 45
+1
87.4%
Sedrick Alexander run for 1 yd to the VAN 46Similar
Q2 3:11
4TH & 2
OWN 46
+5
88.2%
Matthew Hayball punt for 40 yds , Jalon Kilgore returns for 5 yds to the SC 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 11PUNT
6 plays · 8 yds · 0:5991% → 91%
Q2 3:11
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
91.1%
Spencer Rattler pass incomplete to Xavier LegetteSimilar
Q2 3:11
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+7
91.0%
Mario Anderson run for 7 yds to the SC 26Similar
Q2 3:11
3RD & 3
OWN 26
+1
90.4%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Xavier Legette for 1 yd to the SC 27Similar
Q2 2:12
4TH & 2
OWN 27
0
90.7%
Kai Kroeger punt for 47 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 12PUNT
9 plays · 28 yds · 1:4910% → 10%
Q2 2:12
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+14
90.0%
Ken Seals pass complete to London Humphreys for 14 yds to the VAN 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:12
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
89.8%
Sedrick Alexander run for 5 yds to the VAN 45Similar
Q2 2:12
2ND & 5
OWN 45
+2
89.2%
Ken Seals pass complete to Sedrick Alexander for 2 yds to the VAN 47Similar
Q2 2:12
3RD & 3
OWN 47
+4
89.3%
Sedrick Alexander run for 4 yds to the SC 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:12
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
89.1%
Ken Seals pass incomplete to Richie HoskinsSimilar
Q2 2:12
2ND & 10
OPP 49
0
89.7%
Ken Seals pass incomplete to London HumphreysSimilar
Q2 2:12
3RD & 10
OPP 49
+3
89.9%
Ken Seals pass complete to Jayden McGowan for 3 yds to the SC 46Similar
Q2 0:23
4TH & 7
OPP 46
0
90.0%
Matthew Hayball punt for 44 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 13END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0091% → 91%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 2
-1
90.6%
Kneel down by South Carolina at USC01 for loss of 1 yard.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 14DOWNS
11 plays · 53 yds · 4:0613% → 12%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
87.3%
AJ Newberry run for 3 yds to the VAN 35Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 7
OWN 35
+16
87.2%
Ken Seals pass complete to London Humphreys for 16 yds to the SC 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+15
86.6%
No Huddle-Shotgun Seals,Ken pass complete short left to Newberry,AJ for 0 yards to the USC49 (Fortune,O'Donnell), out of bounds PENALTY USC Roughing The Passer (Huntley,Alex) 15 yards from USC49 to USC34, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+7
86.0%
AJ Newberry run for 7 yds to the SC 27Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 3
OPP 27
+2
85.7%
AJ Newberry run for 2 yds to the SC 25Similar
Q3 14:54
3RD & 1
OPP 25
+2
86.4%
Ken Seals run for 2 yds to the SC 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+3
85.7%
AJ Newberry run for 3 yds to the SC 20Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 7
OPP 20
+2
85.7%
Sedrick Alexander run for 2 yds to the SC 18Similar
Q3 14:54
3RD & 5
OPP 18
0
86.4%
Ken Seals pass incomplete to Quincy Skinner Jr.Similar
Q3 10:48
4TH & 5
OPP 18
+3
88.4%
Ken Seals pass complete to Quincy Skinner Jr. for 3 yds to the SC 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 15TD
12 plays · 85 yds · 3:3989% → 98%
Q3 10:48
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+16
89.2%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Nyck Harbor for 16 yds to the SC 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:48
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+7
89.4%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Xavier Legette for 7 yds to the SC 38Similar
Q3 10:48
2ND & 3
OWN 38
0
89.9%
Mario Anderson run for no gain to the SC 38Similar
Q3 10:48
3RD & 3
OWN 38
+3
88.7%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Joshua Simon for 3 yds to the SC 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:48
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
89.3%
Djay Braswell run for 2 yds to the SC 43Similar
Q3 10:48
2ND & 8
OWN 43
+14
89.2%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Luke Doty for 14 yds to the VAN 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:48
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+1
89.4%
Djay Braswell run for 1 yd to the VAN 42Similar
Q3 10:48
2ND & 9
OPP 42
+18
89.3%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Xavier Legette for 18 yds to the VAN 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:09
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+24
97.8%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Ahmarean Brown for 24 yds for a TD (Mitch Jeter KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:134% → 4%
Q3 7:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
96.3%
Sedrick Alexander run for 3 yds to the VAN 28Similar
Q3 7:09
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
96.1%
Ken Seals pass incomplete to Richie HoskinsSimilar
Q3 5:56
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
96.4%
Matthew Hayball punt for 51 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 17TD
3 plays · 82 yds · 0:4498% → 100%
Q3 5:56
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+10
98.1%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Joshua Simon for 10 yds to the SC 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:12
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+72
99.6%
Mario Anderson run for 72 yds for a TD (Mitch Jeter KICK)Similar
Q3 5:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-5
99.6%
PENALTY USC False Start (Fugar,Sidney) 5 yards from VU03 to VU08. NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 18TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 5:171% → 2%
Q3 5:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.5%
Ken Seals pass complete to Logan Kyle for 5 yds to the VAN 30Similar
Q3 5:12
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+7
99.5%
Patrick Smith run for 7 yds to the VAN 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:12
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
99.5%
Ken Seals pass incomplete to Junior SherrillSimilar
Q3 5:12
2ND & 15
OWN 32
+15
99.5%
Ken Seals pass complete to Logan Kyle for 15 yds to the VAN 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:12
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+5
99.5%
Patrick Smith run for 5 yds to the SC 48Similar
Q3 5:12
2ND & 5
OPP 48
+4
99.4%
Patrick Smith run for 4 yds to the SC 44Similar
Q3 5:12
3RD & 1
OPP 44
+3
99.4%
Ken Seals run for 3 yds to the SC 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:12
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+5
99.5%
Ken Seals run for 5 yds to the SC 36Similar
Q3 5:12
2ND & 5
OPP 36
+8
99.4%
AJ Newberry run for 8 yds to the SC 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+9
99.8%
Ken Seals run for 9 yds to the SC 19Similar
Q4 14:55
2ND & 1
OPP 19
+19
97.7%
Ken Seals pass complete to Quincy Skinner Jr. for 19 yds for a TD (Jacob Borcila PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 19PUNT
6 plays · 9 yds · 1:3899% → 100%
Q4 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
99.2%
Spencer Rattler pass incomplete to Xavier LegetteSimilar
Q4 14:55
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+2
99.2%
Mario Anderson run for 2 yds to the SC 37Similar
Q4 14:55
3RD & 8
OWN 37
+7
99.2%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Joshua Simon for 7 yds to the SC 44Similar
Q4 13:17
4TH & 1
OWN 44
0
99.6%
Kai Kroeger punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Jayden McGowan at the VAN 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 20PUNT TD
8 plays · 16 yds · 1:571% → 0%
Q4 13:17
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+2
98.9%
Sedrick Alexander run for 2 yds to the VAN 18Similar
Q4 13:17
2ND & 8
OWN 18
+7
98.9%
Ken Seals pass complete to Sedrick Alexander for 7 yds to the VAN 25Similar
Q4 13:17
3RD & 1
OWN 25
+7
98.8%
Patrick Smith run for 7 yds to the VAN 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:54
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
99.0%
Ken Seals pass incomplete to Patrick SmithSimilar
Q4 11:54
2ND & 10
OWN 32
0
99.0%
Ken Seals pass incomplete to Will SheppardSimilar
Q4 11:54
3RD & 10
OWN 32
0
99.1%
Ken Seals pass incomplete to London HumphreysSimilar
Q4 11:20
4TH & 10
OWN 32
+18
99.9%
Keenan Nelson Jr. 18 Yd Return of Blocked Punt (Mitch Jeter Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 21FUMBLE
6 plays · 23 yds · 2:350% → 0%
Q4 11:13
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+10
99.9%
AJ Newberry run for 10 yds to the VAN 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:13
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+9
99.9%
Walter Taylor run for 9 yds to the VAN 35Similar
Q4 11:13
2ND & 1
OWN 35
0
99.9%
AJ Newberry run for no gain to the VAN 35Similar
Q4 11:13
3RD & 1
OWN 35
+5
99.9%
Walter Taylor run for 5 yds to the VAN 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:38
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
99.9%
run for 1 yd to the VAN 39 fumbled, recovered by SC Alex Huntley Shotgun Vanderbilt rush middle for 1 yard loss to the VU39 fumbled by Vanderbilt at VU40 recovered by USC Huntley,Alex at VU39, End Of Play.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 22TD
5 plays · 39 yds · 2:45100% → 100%
Q4 8:38
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+9
99.9%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Mario Anderson for 9 yds to the VAN 30Similar
Q4 8:38
2ND & 1
OPP 30
+2
99.9%
Djay Braswell run for 2 yds to the VAN 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:38
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+2
99.9%
Djay Braswell run for 2 yds to the VAN 30Similar
Q4 8:38
2ND & 12
OPP 30
+4
99.9%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to O'Mega Blake for 4 yds to the VAN 26Similar
Q4 5:53
3RD & 8
OPP 26
+26
99.9%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to O'Mega Blake for 26 yds for a TD (Mitch Jeter PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 23FUMBLE
4 plays · 13 yds · 1:250% → 0%
Q4 5:47
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+13
99.9%
Walter Taylor run for 13 yds to the VAN 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:47
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+4
99.9%
Walter Taylor run for 4 yds to the VAN 48Similar
Q4 4:22
2ND & 6
OWN 48
+4
99.9%
Chase Gillespie run for 4 yds to the VAN 44 Chase Gillespie fumbled, recovered by SC Jamaal Whyce Shotgun Gillespie,Chase rush right for 4 yards loss to the VU44 fumbled by Gillespie,Chase at VU46 recovered by USC Whyce,Jamaal at VU44, End Of Play.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 24TD
4 plays · 44 yds · 2:02100% → 100%
Q4 4:22
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+4
99.9%
Bradley Dunn run for 4 yds to the VAN 48Similar
Q4 4:22
2ND & 14
OPP 48
+3
99.9%
Bradley Dunn run for 3 yds to the VAN 45Similar
Q4 4:22
3RD & 11
OPP 45
+9
99.9%
Bradley Dunn run for 9 yds to the VAN 36Similar
Q4 2:20
4TH & 2
OPP 36
+36
100.0%
LaNorris Sellers run for 36 yds for a TD (Mitch Jeter KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 25PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 2:100% → 0%
Q4 2:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
100.0%
AJ Newberry run for 2 yds to the VAN 27Similar
Q4 2:20
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+3
100.0%
AJ Newberry run for 3 yds to the VAN 24Similar
Q4 2:20
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+1
100.0%
AJ Newberry run for 1 yd to the VAN 25Similar
Q4 0:10
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
100.0%
Matthew Hayball punt for 54 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 26END OF GAME
1 play · -5 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-5
100.0%
Kneel down by South Carolina at USC16 for loss of 5 yards.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 7:09
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Ahmarean Brown for 24 yds for a TD (Mitch Jeter KICK)
+8.5
TD · Q2 14:16
Spencer Rattler run for 1 yd for a TD (Mitch Jeter KICK)
+5.8
TD · Q4 14:55
Ken Seals pass complete to Quincy Skinner Jr. for 19 yds for a TD (Jacob Borcila PAT MISSED)
-2.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com