Try the model
MINN

Minnesota 30 at Purdue 49

PUR
2023 · Week 11 · Nov 11, 2023 · Ross-Ade Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · PUR
modelPUR aheadMINN aheadconfidence bandkey playPUR scoreMINN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDFGTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 14:15 · Jack Ansell punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Quentin Redding at the MINN 29
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factorPregame priorBlowout margin
+36.0+18.00−18.0−36.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 86Home team on offense+8.0Score differential+2.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.8Garbage-time factor+3.6Pregame prior−2.1Blowout margin−0.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 8:21: Tyrone Tracy Jr. run for 6 yds for a TD (Ben Freehill KICK) — PUR win probability +7.1 pts (now 60%) (top driver: PUR has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 3:52: Hudson Card run for 1 yd for a TD (Ben Freehill KICK) — PUR win probability +7.1 pts (now 76%) (top driver: PUR has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 0:16: Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Chris Autman-Bell for 27 yds for a TD (Dragan Kesich KICK) — MINN win probability +12.0 pts (now 38%) (top driver: MINN has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 11:29: Hudson Card pass complete to Deion Burks for 42 yds for a TD (Ben Freehill KICK) — PUR win probability +9.9 pts (now 82%) (top driver: PUR has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 12:53: Devin Mockobee run for 6 yds for a TD (Ben Freehill KICK) — PUR win probability +6.4 pts (now 99%) (top driver: PUR has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
PUR made the numbers' call on 4 of 6MINN made the numbers' call on 8 of 10
  1. Q1 3:48MINN 4th & 5 at PUR 20, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 50.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.9%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    50.0%
    75% to make
    Punt
    48.2%−1.7
    average punt
  2. Q2 15:00MINN 4th & 1 at PUR 24, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 47.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    47.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    46.9%−0.9
    68% to make
    Punt
    44.3%−3.4
    average punt
  3. Q2 9:49MINN 4th & 11 at PUR 24, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 45.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.6%−0.8
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    45.4%
    68% to make
    Punt
    41.6%−3.8
    average punt
  4. Q2 6:08MINN 4th & 7 at PUR 21, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 36.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.6%−0.5
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    36.1%
    74% to make
    Punt
    30.1%−5.9
    average punt
  5. Q2 3:52PUR 4th & 1 at MINN 1, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 65.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    64.9%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    62.5%−2.4
    94% to make
    Punt
    56.7%−8.2
    average punt
  6. Q2 2:06MINN 4th & 7 at MINN 43, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.0%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.1%
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:42PUR 4th & 1 at PUR 16, up 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 77.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.4%−<0.1
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    77.4%
    average punt
  8. Q3 14:15PUR 4th & 9 at PUR 26, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 68.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.7%−1.9
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.5%
    average punt
  9. Q3 12:49MINN 4th & 3 at MINN 36, down 8
    Close callPunted · 30.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.5%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.3%−0.3
    average punt
  10. Q3 11:06MINN 4th & 10 at MINN 25, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.4%−1.5
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.9%
    average punt
  11. Q3 6:44PUR 4th & 8 at MINN 35, up 15
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.1 ptsPunted · 85.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.1%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    85.9%−0.2
    45% to make
    PuntTheir call
    85.0%−1.1
    average punt
  12. Q3 3:47MINN 4th & 10 at MINN 16, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.3%−1.6
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.9%
    average punt
  13. Q3 0:00PUR 4th & 4 at MINN 28, up 15
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 92.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    92.3%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    91.8%−0.4
    60% to make
    Punt
    87.4%−4.8
    average punt
  14. Q4 10:38MINN 4th & 21 at PUR 21, down 22
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 1.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.0%−0.8
    8% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    1.8%
    74% to make
    Punt
    0.1%−1.7
    average punt
  15. Q4 2:57MINN 4th & 10 at PUR 14, down 26
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%−0.3
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    0.5%
    84% to make
    Punt
    0.1%−0.4
    average punt
  16. Q4 0:27PUR 4th & 2 at MINN 37, up 19
    Close callPunted · 99.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.2%−<0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    99.2%
    40% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.0%−0.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
PUR made the numbers' call on 7 of 7MINN made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 13:00MINN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    51.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    51.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 9:52PUR Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    49.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    49.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 1:05PUR Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    53.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    53.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 8:21PUR Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    61.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    61.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 3:52PUR Touchdown, up 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    73.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    73.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 0:16MINN Touchdown, down 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    33.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    33.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 11:29PUR Touchdown, up 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 12:53PUR Touchdown, up 21 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 5:13PUR Touchdown, up 25 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 2:37MINN Touchdown, down 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    1.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    1.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MINNDrive 1TD
4 plays · 65 yds · 2:0054% → 55%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+7
45.7%
Jordan Nubin run for 7 yds to the MINN 42Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 42
+7
45.7%
Jordan Nubin run for 7 yds to the MINN 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+31
45.7%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Daniel Jackson for 31 yds to the PUR 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+20
45.2%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Brevyn Spann-Ford for 20 yds for a TD (Dragan Kesich KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 2TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 3:0845% → 48%
Q1 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
45.4%
Tyrone Tracy Jr. run for 9 yds to the PUR 34Similar
Q1 13:00
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+5
45.6%
Hudson Card run for 5 yds to the PUR 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-5
45.5%
Hudson Card sacked by Danny Striggow for a loss of 5 yards to the PUR 34Similar
Q1 13:00
2ND & 15
OWN 34
+12
45.4%
Hudson Card pass complete to Andrew Sowinski for 12 yds to the PUR 46Similar
Q1 11:07
3RD & 3
OWN 46
+9
45.4%
Hudson Card run for 9 yds to the MINN 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:07
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+3
45.6%
Tyrone Tracy Jr. run for 3 yds to the MINN 42Similar
Q1 11:07
2ND & 7
OPP 42
+22
45.6%
Tyrone Tracy Jr. run for 22 yds to the MINN 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:58
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
45.3%
Hudson Card pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:52
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+20
47.7%
Hudson Card pass complete to Garrett Miller for 20 yds for a TD (Ben Freehill KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 3FG
13 plays · 45 yds · 6:0453% → 54%
Q1 9:52
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+8
47.0%
Jordan Nubin run for 8 yds to the MINN 43Similar
Q1 9:52
2ND & 2
OWN 43
+6
46.7%
Jordan Nubin run for 6 yds to the MINN 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:52
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-14
46.6%
NUBIN, Jordan rush to the left for a gain of 31 yards to the PUR20 (THIENEMAN, Dillon), out of bounds. PENALTY MIN Block below the waist on REDDING, Quentin enforced 14 yards from the MIN49 to the MIN35 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 9:52
1ST & 24
OWN 35
0
47.2%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:52
2ND & 24
OWN 35
+22
47.2%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Brevyn Spann-Ford for 22 yds to the PUR 43Similar
Q1 9:52
3RD & 2
OPP 43
+2
46.5%
Jordan Nubin run for 2 yds to the PUR 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:52
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
46.5%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:52
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+3
46.6%
Zach Evans run for 3 yds to the PUR 38Similar
Q1 9:52
3RD & 7
OPP 38
+13
46.6%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Daniel Jackson for 13 yds to the PUR 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:52
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+4
46.6%
Jordan Nubin run for 4 yds to the PUR 21Similar
Q1 4:46
2ND & 6
OPP 21
0
45.7%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:46
3RD & 6
OPP 21
+1
46.1%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Daniel Jackson for 1 yd to the PUR 20Similar
Q1 3:48
4TH & 5
OPP 20
+38
46.4%
Dragan Kesich 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 4TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:4346% → 53%
Q1 3:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
46.2%
Hudson Card run for 11 yds to the PUR 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:48
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+12
46.6%
Hudson Card pass complete to Andrew Sowinski for 12 yds to the PUR 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:48
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+6
47.5%
Devin Mockobee run for 6 yds to the MINN 46Similar
Q1 3:48
2ND & 4
OPP 46
+11
47.7%
Hudson Card run for 11 yds to the MINN 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:48
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+7
48.1%
Hudson Card pass complete to Garrett Miller for 7 yds to the MINN 28Similar
Q1 3:48
2ND & 3
OPP 28
+4
48.1%
Devin Mockobee run for 4 yds to the MINN 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:05
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+24
52.7%
Hudson Card pass complete to TJ Sheffield for 24 yds for a TD (Ben Freehill KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 5FG
15 plays · 51 yds · 6:1650% → 49%
Q1 1:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
50.4%
Jordan Nubin run for 5 yds to the MINN 30Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+4
50.2%
Jordan Nubin run for 4 yds to the MINN 34Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+5
50.2%
QB Keeper KALIAKMANIS, Athan rush up the middle for a gain of 2 yards to the MIN36 (JENKINS, Kydran). PENALTY PUR Offsides on SCOURTON, Nic enforced 5 yards from the MIN34 to the MIN39 and results in a 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+9
49.7%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Daniel Jackson for 9 yds to the MINN 48Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 48
+3
49.0%
Zach Evans run for 3 yds to the PUR 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
49.0%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+16
49.2%
Zach Evans run for 16 yds to the PUR 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
48.3%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+2
48.4%
Zach Evans run for 2 yds to the PUR 31Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 31
+7
49.1%
Athan Kaliakmanis run for 7 yds to the PUR 24Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 24
+1
49.5%
Athan Kaliakmanis run for 1 yd to the PUR 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
48.1%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 23
-1
48.4%
Zach Evans run for a loss of 1 yard to the PUR 24Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 11
OPP 24
0
49.1%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:49
4TH & 11
OPP 24
+42
50.8%
Dragan Kesich 42 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 6TD
3 plays · 75 yds · 1:2852% → 60%
Q2 9:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
51.7%
Tyrone Tracy Jr. run for 17 yds to the PUR 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:49
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+52
53.3%
Hudson Card pass complete to Tyrone Tracy Jr. for 52 yds to the MINN 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
60.4%
Tyrone Tracy Jr. run for 6 yds for a TD (Ben Freehill KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 7MISSED FG
6 plays · 62 yds · 2:0840% → 39%
Q2 8:16
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+20
60.3%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Corey Crooms Jr. for 20 yds to the MINN 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:16
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+39
59.4%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Chris Autman-Bell for 39 yds to the PUR 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:16
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
56.3%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:00
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+3
57.9%
Jordan Nubin run for 3 yds to the PUR 21Similar
Q2 7:00
3RD & 7
OPP 21
0
58.6%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:08
4TH & 7
OPP 21
+39
60.9%
Dragan Kesich 39 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 8TD
8 plays · 79 yds · 2:1660% → 76%
Q2 6:08
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+13
60.3%
Hudson Card pass complete to Jayden Dixon-Veal for 13 yds to the PUR 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:08
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
60.6%
Hudson Card pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:22
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+65
61.2%
Devin Mockobee run for 65 yds to the MINN 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
70.6%
Devin Mockobee run for no gain to the MINN 1Similar
Q2 5:22
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
70.6%
Hudson Card run for no gain to the MINN 1Similar
Q2 5:22
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
69.3%
Hudson Card pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:52
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
76.4%
Hudson Card run for 1 yd for a TD (Ben Freehill KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:4130% → 27%
Q2 3:47
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
70.2%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:47
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+6
70.4%
Jordan Nubin run for 6 yds to the MINN 46Similar
Q2 3:47
3RD & 4
OWN 46
+2
69.7%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Zach Evans for 2 yds to the MINN 48Similar
Q2 3:47
4TH & 2
OWN 48
-5
70.2%
Minnesota Penalty, Delay Of Game (-5 Yards) to the MINN 43Similar
Q2 2:06
4TH & 7
OWN 43
0
72.6%
Mark Crawford punt for 50 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:2482% → 79%
Q2 2:06
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+5
82.2%
Tyrone Tracy Jr. run for 5 yds to the PUR 12Similar
Q2 2:06
2ND & 5
OWN 12
+1
81.7%
Tyrone Tracy Jr. run for 1 yd to the PUR 13Similar
Q2 0:42
3RD & 4
OWN 13
+3
79.5%
Hudson Card pass complete to Deion Burks for 3 yds to the PUR 16Similar
Q2 0:42
4TH & 1
OWN 16
0
78.7%
Jack Ansell punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Quentin Redding at the PUR 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 11TD
4 plays · 47 yds · 0:2028% → 38%
Q2 0:36
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
72.5%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:22
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+20
73.6%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Daniel Jackson for 20 yds to the PUR 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:16
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+27
61.6%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Chris Autman-Bell for 27 yds for a TD (Dragan Kesich KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 12END OF HALF
1 play · 5 yds · 0:0069% → 69%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
69.3%
Tyrone Tracy Jr. run for 5 yds to the PUR 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:4569% → 67%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
68.8%
Devin Mockobee run for 1 yd to the PUR 26Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
68.6%
Hudson Card pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
67.5%
Hudson Card pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:15
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
67.1%
Jack Ansell punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Quentin Redding at the MINN 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:2633% → 31%
Q3 14:15
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+5
67.2%
Jordan Nubin run for 5 yds to the MINN 34Similar
Q3 14:15
2ND & 5
OWN 34
+2
66.5%
Jordan Nubin run for 2 yds to the MINN 36Similar
Q3 14:15
3RD & 3
OWN 36
0
66.9%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:49
4TH & 3
OWN 36
0
68.9%
Mark Crawford punt for 38 yds, fair catch by TJ Sheffield at the PUR 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 15TD
3 plays · 74 yds · 1:2070% → 82%
Q3 12:49
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+32
70.2%
Devin Mockobee run for 32 yds to the MINN 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:49
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
72.4%
Devin Mockobee run for no gain to the MINN 42Similar
Q3 11:29
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+42
82.3%
Hudson Card pass complete to Deion Burks for 42 yds for a TD (Ben Freehill KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:2321% → 20%
Q3 11:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
79.4%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:29
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
79.5%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:29
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
79.8%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:06
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
80.5%
Mark Crawford punt for 44 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 17PUNT
10 plays · 33 yds · 4:2282% → 85%
Q3 11:06
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
81.9%
Hudson Card pass complete to Deion Burks for no gain to the PUR 32Similar
Q3 11:06
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+5
81.8%
Hudson Card pass complete to Andrew Sowinski for 5 yds to the PUR 37Similar
Q3 11:06
3RD & 5
OWN 37
+10
81.4%
Hudson Card pass complete to Garrett Miller for 10 yds to the PUR 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:06
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+1
82.6%
Dylan Downing run for 1 yd to the PUR 48Similar
Q3 11:06
2ND & 9
OWN 48
+3
82.6%
Dylan Downing run for 3 yds to the MINN 49Similar
Q3 11:06
3RD & 6
OPP 49
+12
82.0%
Hudson Card run for 12 yds to the MINN 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:06
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
82.6%
Hudson Card pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:06
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+2
82.5%
Tyrone Tracy Jr. run for 2 yds to the MINN 35Similar
Q3 11:06
3RD & 8
OPP 35
0
82.0%
Hudson Card pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:44
4TH & 8
OPP 35
0
85.2%
Jack Ansell punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Quentin Redding at the MINN 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 18PUNT
6 plays · 11 yds · 2:5715% → 13%
Q3 6:44
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+3
84.7%
Jordan Nubin run for 3 yds to the MINN 8Similar
Q3 6:44
2ND & 7
OWN 8
+8
85.1%
Jordan Nubin run for 8 yds to the MINN 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:44
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
84.0%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:44
2ND & 10
OWN 16
0
84.5%
Jordan Nubin run for no gain to the MINN 16Similar
Q3 6:44
3RD & 10
OWN 16
0
84.7%
Athan Kaliakmanis run for no gain to the MINN 16Similar
Q3 3:47
4TH & 10
OWN 16
0
87.2%
Mark Crawford punt for 41 yds , TJ Sheffield returns for no gain to the PUR 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 19TD
13 plays · 65 yds · 5:5491% → 99%
Q3 3:47
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
90.5%
Hudson Card pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:47
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+14
90.4%
Devin Mockobee run for 14 yds to the PUR 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:47
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+2
91.0%
Devin Mockobee run for 2 yds to the MINN 49Similar
Q3 3:47
2ND & 8
OPP 49
+15
90.9%
Hudson Card pass complete to Deion Burks for 15 yds to the MINN 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:47
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+2
91.0%
Tyrone Tracy Jr. run for 2 yds to the MINN 32Similar
Q3 3:47
2ND & 8
OPP 32
+3
91.0%
Hudson Card pass complete to Garrett Miller for 3 yds to the MINN 29Similar
Q3 0:14
3RD & 5
OPP 29
+1
92.1%
Tyrone Tracy Jr. run for 1 yd to the MINN 28Similar
Q3 0:00
4TH & 4
OPP 28
+8
91.3%
Hudson Card pass complete to Jayden Dixon-Veal for 8 yds to the MINN 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
92.4%
Devin Mockobee run for no gain to the MINN 20Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+12
92.4%
Hudson Card pass complete to Garrett Miller for 12 yds to the MINN 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+2
92.4%
Devin Mockobee run for 2 yds to the MINN 6Similar
Q4 12:53
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
98.7%
Devin Mockobee run for 6 yds for a TD (Ben Freehill KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 20FG
9 plays · 44 yds · 2:152% → 4%
Q4 12:53
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+8
98.0%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Brevyn Spann-Ford for 8 yds to the MINN 43Similar
Q4 12:53
2ND & 2
OWN 43
0
98.0%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:53
3RD & 2
OWN 43
+35
98.0%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Daniel Jackson for 35 yds to the PUR 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:53
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
97.6%
KALIAKMANIS, Athan pass deep to the left incomplete intended for JACKSON, Daniel thrown to the PUR0. PENALTY PUR Pass Interference on BROWN, Markevious enforced half the distance from the goal, 15 yards to the PUR7 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 12:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
97.6%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:53
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
0
97.6%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:42
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
-14
98.3%
Athan Kaliakmanis sacked by Nic Scourton for a loss of 14 yards to the PUR 21Similar
Q4 10:38
4TH & GOAL
OPP 21
+39
95.9%
Dragan Kesich 39 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 21TD
10 plays · 95 yds · 5:2299% → 100%
Q4 10:35
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+3
98.8%
Tyrone Tracy Jr. run for 3 yds to the PUR 8Similar
Q4 10:35
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-10
98.8%
TRACY JR., Tyrone rush to the right for a gain of 6 yards to the PUR47 (BAUGH, Kyler). PENALTY PUR Holding on FARRELL, Ben enforced 10 yards from the PUR41 to the PUR31 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 10:35
1ST & 20
OWN 31
+13
98.7%
Hudson Card pass complete to Garrett Miller for 13 yds to the PUR 44Similar
Q4 10:35
2ND & 7
OWN 44
+6
98.8%
Dylan Downing run for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 10:35
3RD & 1
50
+24
98.8%
Dylan Downing run for 24 yds to the MINN 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:35
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+9
98.9%
Devin Mockobee run for 9 yds to the MINN 17Similar
Q4 10:35
2ND & 1
OPP 17
+4
98.8%
Devin Mockobee run for 4 yds to the MINN 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:35
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+12
98.9%
Tyrone Tracy Jr. run for 12 yds to the MINN 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:35
2ND & 7
OWN 8
+33
98.8%
Tyrone Tracy Jr. run for 33 yds to the PUR 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.8%
Tyrone Tracy Jr. run for 1 yd for a TD (Ben Freehill KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 22TD
16 plays · 75 yds · 2:360% → 2%
Q4 5:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
99.8%
Athan Kaliakmanis run for 6 yds to the MINN 31Similar
Q4 5:13
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+8
99.8%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Brevyn Spann-Ford for 8 yds to the MINN 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:13
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+22
99.8%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Corey Crooms Jr. for 22 yds to the PUR 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:13
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+5
99.8%
KALIAKMANIS, Athan pass short to the left incomplete dropped by NUBIN, Jordan thrown to the PUR36. PENALTY Before the snap, PUR Illegal Substitution enforced 5 yards from the PUR39 to the PUR34. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 5:13
1ST & 5
OPP 34
+1
99.8%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Brevyn Spann-Ford for 1 yd to the PUR 33Similar
Q4 5:13
2ND & 4
OPP 33
0
99.8%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:22
3RD & 4
OPP 33
+19
99.9%
Jordan Nubin run for 19 yds to the PUR 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:22
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
99.9%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:22
2ND & 10
OPP 14
0
99.8%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:57
3RD & 10
OPP 14
0
99.9%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:57
4TH & 10
OPP 14
+10
99.9%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Daniel Jackson for 10 yds to the PUR 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
99.9%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:37
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
97.7%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Elijah Spencer for 4 yds for a TD (Dragan Kesich KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 23PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 2:08100% → 100%
Q4 2:35
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+3
99.9%
Devin Mockobee run for 3 yds to the MINN 42Similar
Q4 2:35
2ND & 7
OPP 42
0
99.9%
Devin Mockobee run for no gain to the MINN 42Similar
Q4 0:38
3RD & 7
OPP 42
+5
99.8%
Devin Mockobee run for 5 yds to the MINN 37Similar
Q4 0:27
4TH & 2
OPP 37
0
99.8%
Jack Ansell punt for 32 yds, downed at the MINN 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 24END OF GAME
1 play · 3 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+3
99.6%
Sean Tyler run for 3 yds to the MINN 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 0:16
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Chris Autman-Bell for 27 yds for a TD (Dragan Kesich KICK)
-12
TD · Q3 11:29
Hudson Card pass complete to Deion Burks for 42 yds for a TD (Ben Freehill KICK)
+9.9
TD · Q2 8:21
Tyrone Tracy Jr. run for 6 yds for a TD (Ben Freehill KICK)
+7.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com