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MD

Maryland 13 at Nebraska 10

NEB
2023 · Week 11 · Nov 11, 2023 · Memorial Stadium (Lincoln, NE)
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Win probability · NEB
modelNEB aheadMD aheadconfidence bandkey playNEB scoreMD score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGFGFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 10:30 · Brenden Segovia punt for 27 yds, fair catch by Billy Kemp IV at the NEB 10
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+35.0+17.50−17.5−35.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 13Pregame prior−9.0Home team on offense−0.3Score differential−0.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.2Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 2:31: Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Tai Felton for 16 yds for a TD (Jack Howes KICK) — MD win probability +14.7 pts (now 70%) (top driver: MD has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 11:35: Janiran Bonner run for 2 yds for a TD (Tristan Alvano KICK) — NEB win probability +14.2 pts (now 54%) (top driver: NEB has the ball).
  3. FG · Q4 12:42: Jack Howes 35 yd FG GOOD — MD win probability +12.2 pts (now 52%) (top driver: MD has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 3:37: Taulia Tagovailoa pass incomplete to Kaden Prather — MD win probability +13.7 pts (now 51%) (top driver: MD has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 0:00: Jack Howes 24 yd FG GOOD — MD win probability +35.1 pts (now 95%) (top driver: MD has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
NEB made the numbers' call on 5 of 6MD made the numbers' call on 4 of 6
  1. Q1 10:30MD 4th & 8 at NEB 37, tied
    Close callPunted · 51.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.2%
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    51.2%−<0.1
    40% to make
    PuntTheir call
    51.2%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:18NEB 4th & 5 at NEB 38, tied
    Close callWent for it · 49.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    49.1%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    49.2%
    average punt
  3. Q1 0:39MD 4th & 18 at NEB 41, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 49.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.2%−0.5
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    49.5%−0.2
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    49.7%
    average punt
  4. Q2 12:49NEB 4th & 8 at NEB 21, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 50.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.7%−0.7
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.4%
    average punt
  5. Q2 10:45MD 4th & 7 at MD 45, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 49.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.9%−0.3
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.1%
    average punt
  6. Q2 5:57NEB 4th & 2 at MD 42, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 53.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    54.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    52.1%−1.8
    30% to make
    Punt
    52.5%−1.5
    average punt
  7. Q2 3:04NEB 4th & 2 at MD 27, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 54.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    54.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    53.2%−1.0
    62% to make
    Punt
    49.1%−5.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:00MD 4th & 17 at NEB 44, up 7
    Numbers favored punt by 2.6 ptsWent for it · 63.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    60.5%−2.6
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    61.1%−1.9
    27% to make
    Punt
    63.1%
    average punt
  9. Q3 14:05NEB 4th & 6 at NEB 33, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.6%−1.4
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.0%
    average punt
  10. Q3 8:26NEB 4th & 9 at MD 20, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 55.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.5%−1.7
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    55.2%
    75% to make
    Punt
    45.6%−9.6
    average punt
  11. Q3 0:46MD 4th & 1 at NEB 17, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 40.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    40.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    36.2%−4.0
    80% to make
    Punt
    24.9%−15.2
    average punt
  12. Q4 12:42MD 4th & 7 at NEB 18, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 37.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.4%−2.1
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    37.5%
    79% to make
    Punt
    25.8%−11.7
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
NEB made the numbers' call on 1 of 1MD made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q2 2:31MD Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    59.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    59.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 11:35NEB Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    50.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    50.3%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MDDrive 1PUNT
13 plays · 38 yds · 4:3060% → 58%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
40.3%
Roman Hemby run for 2 yds to the MD 27Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+2
40.3%
Taulia Tagovailoa run for 2 yds to the MD 29Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+10
40.3%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Corey Dyches for 10 yds to the MD 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+2
40.3%
Antwain Littleton II run for 2 yds to the MD 41Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 41
+10
40.3%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Corey Dyches for 10 yds to the NEB 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
40.3%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass incomplete to Jeshaun JonesSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 49
0
40.3%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass incomplete to Preston HowardSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 49
+10
40.3%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Antwain Littleton II for 10 yds to the NEB 39 for a 1ST down Nebraska Penalty, Defensive Offside (Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+8
40.3%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Preston Howard for 8 yds to the NEB 31Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 31
+6
40.3%
Octavian Smith Jr. run for 6 yds to the NEB 37Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 37
0
40.3%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass incomplete to Tai FeltonSimilar
Q1 10:30
4TH & 8
OPP 37
0
41.6%
Brenden Segovia punt for 27 yds, fair catch by Billy Kemp IV at the NEB 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 2INT
11 plays · 41 yds · 5:2742% → 44%
Q1 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+3
41.7%
Heinrich Haarberg run for 3 yds to the NEB 13Similar
Q1 10:30
2ND & 7
OWN 13
+10
41.7%
Emmett Johnson run for 10 yds to the NEB 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
41.8%
Heinrich Haarberg pass complete to Emmett Johnson for no gain to the NEB 23Similar
Q1 10:30
2ND & 10
OWN 23
0
41.7%
Heinrich Haarberg pass incomplete to Emmett JohnsonSimilar
Q1 8:18
3RD & 10
OWN 23
+10
42.0%
No Huddle-Shotgun Haarberg,Heinrich pass intercepted by Trader Jr.,Dante at UM 45 Trader Jr.,Dante return 7 yards to the NEB48, End Of Play PENALTY UM Holding (Wyatt,Kellan) 10 yards from NEB23 to NEB33, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 8:18
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+4
42.5%
Emmett Johnson run for 4 yds to the NEB 37Similar
Q1 8:18
2ND & 6
OWN 37
+1
42.8%
Emmett Johnson run for 1 yd to the NEB 38Similar
Q1 8:18
3RD & 5
OWN 38
0
42.6%
Heinrich Haarberg pass incomplete to Alex BullockSimilar
Q1 8:18
4TH & 5
OWN 38
+11
42.2%
Nate Boerkircher run for 11 yds to the NEB 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:18
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+2
43.0%
Anthony Grant run for 2 yds to the MD 49Similar
Q1 5:03
2ND & 8
OPP 49
0
44.4%
Heinrich Haarberg pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 3PUNT
10 plays · 3 yds · 4:2458% → 56%
Q1 5:03
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+1
42.2%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Roman Hemby for 1 yd to the NEB 45Similar
Q1 5:03
2ND & 11
OPP 45
0
42.4%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass incomplete to Octavian Smith Jr.Similar
Q1 5:03
3RD & 11
OPP 45
-5
42.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun Tagovailoa,Taulia pass complete short right to Felton,Tai for 17 yards to the NEB28, out of bounds at NEB28 PENALTY UM Delay Of Game 5 yards from NEB45 to NEB50. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 5:03
3RD & 16
50
+17
43.1%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Kaden Prather for 17 yds to the NEB 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:03
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+5
41.9%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Jeshaun Jones for 5 yds to the NEB 28Similar
Q1 5:03
2ND & 5
OPP 28
+3
41.8%
Colby McDonald run for 3 yds to the NEB 31Similar
Q1 5:03
3RD & 8
OPP 31
-6
42.4%
No Huddle-Shotgun Tagovailoa,Taulia sacked for loss of 4 yards to the NEB35 (Robinson,Ty) PENALTY UM False Start (Moran,Amelio) 6 yards from NEB31 to NEB37. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 5:03
3RD & 14
OPP 37
+2
43.0%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Tai Felton for 2 yds to the NEB 35Similar
Q1 5:03
4TH & 12
OPP 35
-6
43.5%
PENALTY UM Delay Of Game 6 yards from NEB35 to NEB41. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 0:39
4TH & 18
OPP 41
0
44.5%
Brenden Segovia punt for 35 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 4PUNT
6 plays · 15 yds · 2:1145% → 45%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+3
45.0%
Emmett Johnson run for 3 yds to the NEB 9Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 9
+10
44.9%
Emmett Johnson run for 10 yds to the NEB 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
45.1%
Heinrich Haarberg pass incomplete to Malachi ColemanSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+5
45.1%
Joshua Fleeks run for 5 yds to the NEB 24Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 24
-3
44.5%
Heinrich Haarberg sacked by Kellan Wyatt for a loss of 3 yards to the NEB 21Similar
Q2 12:49
4TH & 8
OWN 21
+6
44.5%
Brian Buschini punt for 43 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MD 42 , Tarheeb Still returns for 6 yds to the MD 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 2:0457% → 55%
Q2 12:49
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
43.5%
Roman Hemby run for 4 yds to the MD 46Similar
Q2 12:49
2ND & 6
OWN 46
+1
43.2%
Roman Hemby run for 1 yd to the MD 45Similar
Q2 12:49
3RD & 7
OWN 45
-5
43.8%
PENALTY UM False Start (Knotts,Shaleak) 5 yards from UM 45 to UM 40. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 12:49
3RD & 12
OWN 40
0
44.8%
Maryland Penalty, Illegal Formation (Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 10:45
4TH & 7
OWN 45
+6
45.5%
Brenden Segovia punt for 50 yds , Ethan Nation returns for 6 yds to the NEB 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 6DOWNS
14 plays · 58 yds · 7:4146% → 50%
Q2 10:45
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+12
46.4%
Jeff Sims run for 12 yds to the NEB 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:45
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+5
46.6%
Emmett Johnson run for 5 yds to the NEB 28Similar
Q2 10:45
2ND & 5
OWN 28
+6
46.8%
Emmett Johnson run for 6 yds to the NEB 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:45
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+15
46.9%
Maryland Penalty, Personal Foul (Fa'Najae Gotay) to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:45
1ST & 10
50
+4
48.5%
Jeff Sims run for 4 yds to the MD 46Similar
Q2 10:45
2ND & 6
OPP 46
+2
48.7%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Alex Bullock for 2 yds to the MD 44Similar
Q2 10:45
3RD & 4
OPP 44
+2
48.3%
Jeff Sims run for 2 yds to the MD 42Similar
Q2 5:57
4TH & 2
OPP 42
+7
48.6%
Emmett Johnson run for 7 yds to the MD 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:57
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+3
51.2%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Emmett Johnson for 3 yds to the MD 32Similar
Q2 5:57
2ND & 7
OPP 32
+1
51.2%
Emmett Johnson run for 1 yd to the MD 33Similar
Q2 5:57
3RD & 8
OPP 33
+6
50.1%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Billy Kemp IV for 6 yds to the MD 27Similar
Q2 3:04
4TH & 2
OPP 27
+4
49.8%
Jeff Sims run for 4 yds to the MD 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 7TD
2 plays · 69 yds · 0:3356% → 70%
Q2 3:04
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+53
44.2%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Tai Felton for 53 yds to the NEB 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:31
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+16
29.6%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Tai Felton for 16 yds for a TD (Jack Howes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 8INT
7 plays · 45 yds · 2:0635% → 39%
Q2 2:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
34.8%
Joshua Fleeks run for 3 yds to the NEB 28Similar
Q2 2:31
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+25
35.1%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Jaylen Lloyd for 25 yds to the MD 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:31
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+8
38.0%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Joshua Fleeks for 8 yds to the MD 39Similar
Q2 2:31
2ND & 2
OPP 39
+3
38.1%
Joshua Fleeks run for 3 yds to the MD 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:31
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+6
38.1%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Emmett Johnson for 6 yds to the MD 30Similar
Q2 0:25
2ND & 4
OPP 30
0
39.3%
Jeff Sims pass intercepted, touchback.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 9DOWNS
7 plays · 36 yds · 0:2568% → 67%
Q2 0:25
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+43
32.4%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Jeshaun Jones for 43 yds to the NEB 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:17
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+5
28.8%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Roman Hemby for 5 yds to the NEB 32Similar
Q2 0:17
2ND & 5
OPP 32
0
28.3%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass incomplete to Corey DychesSimilar
Q2 0:17
3RD & 5
OPP 32
-15
28.7%
Maryland Penalty, UNR: Unnecessary Roughness (-15 Yards) to the NEB 44Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 17
OPP 44
0
32.6%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass incomplete to Tai FeltonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:5235% → 33%
Q3 14:57
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+4
35.2%
Jeff Sims run for 4 yds to the NEB 33Similar
Q3 14:57
2ND & 6
OWN 33
0
35.4%
Jeff Sims pass incomplete to Billy Kemp IVSimilar
Q3 14:57
3RD & 6
OWN 33
0
34.6%
Jeff Sims pass incomplete to Thomas Fidone IISimilar
Q3 14:05
4TH & 6
OWN 33
0
33.4%
Brian Buschini punt for 46 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MD 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 11FUMBLE
1 play · 6 yds · 0:0067% → 67%
Q3 13:58
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+6
32.9%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Tai Felton for 6 yds Tai Felton fumbled, recovered by NEB Omar BrownSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 12TD
6 plays · 27 yds · 2:2340% → 54%
Q3 13:58
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+11
39.5%
Jeff Sims run for 11 yds to the MD 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:58
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+9
39.5%
Anthony Grant run for 9 yds to the MD 7Similar
Q3 13:58
2ND & 1
OPP 7
+3
39.5%
Emmett Johnson run for 3 yds to the MD 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:58
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
39.5%
Emmett Johnson run for 2 yds to the MD 2Similar
Q3 13:58
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
0
39.5%
Jeff Sims run for no gain to the MD 2Similar
Q3 11:35
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
53.7%
Janiran Bonner run for 2 yds for a TD (Tristan Alvano KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 13INT
5 plays · 11 yds · 0:4453% → 52%
Q3 11:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
47.3%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Roman Hemby for 11 yds to the MD 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:35
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
46.2%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass incomplete to Roman HembySimilar
Q3 11:35
2ND & 10
OWN 36
0
46.8%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass incomplete to Jeshaun JonesSimilar
Q3 10:51
3RD & 10
OWN 36
-15
48.3%
Maryland Penalty, UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Jeshaun Jones) to the MD 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 14FG
7 plays · 11 yds · 2:2556% → 58%
Q3 10:51
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+9
55.5%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Thomas Fidone II for 9 yds to the MD 22Similar
Q3 10:51
2ND & 1
OPP 22
+1
55.5%
Jeff Sims run for 1 yd to the MD 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:51
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+3
55.5%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Joshua Fleeks for 3 yds to the MD 18Similar
Q3 10:51
2ND & 7
OPP 18
+2
55.5%
Anthony Grant run for 2 yds to the MD 20Similar
Q3 8:33
3RD & 9
OPP 20
0
54.6%
Jeff Sims pass incomplete to Billy Kemp IVSimilar
Q3 8:26
4TH & 9
OPP 20
+38
57.9%
Tristan Alvano 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 15DOWNS
18 plays · 57 yds · 7:4045% → 42%
Q3 8:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
55.5%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Kaden Prather for 5 yds to the MD 30Similar
Q3 8:26
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+6
54.2%
Roman Hemby run for 6 yds to the MD 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:26
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
53.8%
Roman Hemby run for 2 yds to the MD 38Similar
Q3 8:26
2ND & 8
OWN 38
+1
53.0%
Roman Hemby run for 1 yd to the MD 39Similar
Q3 8:26
3RD & 7
OWN 39
+10
54.1%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Jeshaun Jones for 10 yds to the MD 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:26
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-10
51.3%
No Huddle-Shotgun Tagovailoa,Taulia pass complete short left to Littleton II,Antwain for 29 yards to the NEB22 (Hartzog,Malcolm), out of bounds PENALTY UM Holding (Bullock,Corey) 10 yards from UM 49 to UM 39. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:26
1ST & 20
OWN 39
0
54.7%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass incomplete to Roman HembySimilar
Q3 8:26
2ND & 20
OWN 39
+5
55.0%
Taulia Tagovailoa run for 5 yds to the MD 44Similar
Q3 8:26
3RD & 15
OWN 44
+18
55.5%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Jeshaun Jones for 18 yds to the NEB 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:26
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+4
51.1%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Colby McDonald for 4 yds to the NEB 34Similar
Q3 8:26
2ND & 6
OPP 34
+8
49.2%
Colby McDonald run for 8 yds to the NEB 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:26
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+4
49.2%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Tai Felton for 4 yds to the NEB 30Similar
Q3 8:26
2ND & 14
OPP 30
+9
51.5%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Kaden Prather for 9 yds to the NEB 21Similar
Q3 8:26
3RD & 5
OPP 21
-5
50.8%
PENALTY UM False Start (Prather,Kaden) 5 yards from NEB21 to NEB26. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:26
3RD & 10
OPP 26
+9
51.6%
Taulia Tagovailoa run for 9 yds to the NEB 17Similar
Q3 0:46
4TH & 1
OPP 17
+1
57.9%
Antwain Littleton II run for 1 yd to the NEB 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 16FUMBLE
2 plays · 3 yds · 0:0661% → 61%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+3
61.0%
Jeff Sims run for 3 yds to the NEB 21Similar
Q4 14:54
2ND & 7
OWN 21
0
60.9%
Jeff Sims run for no gain to the NEB 21 Jeff Sims fumbled, forced by Brade,Beau recovered by UM Wyatt,Kellan at NEB21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 17FG
4 plays · 3 yds · 2:1246% → 52%
Q4 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 21
-11
54.1%
Taulia Tagovailoa sacked by Marques Buford Jr. for a loss of 11 yards to the NEB 32Similar
Q4 14:54
2ND & 21
OPP 32
+6
57.7%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Corey Dyches for 6 yds to the NEB 26Similar
Q4 14:54
3RD & 15
OPP 26
+8
60.1%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Kaden Prather for 8 yds to the NEB 18Similar
Q4 12:42
4TH & 7
OPP 18
+35
47.9%
Jack Howes 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 18INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0054% → 54%
Q4 12:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
54.0%
Jeff Sims pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 19FUMBLE
6 plays · 46 yds · 2:4356% → 58%
Q4 12:35
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+3
44.2%
Roman Hemby run for 3 yds to the NEB 46Similar
Q4 12:35
2ND & 7
OPP 46
+10
44.4%
Roman Hemby run for 10 yds to the NEB 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:35
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
44.2%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass incomplete to Kaden PratherSimilar
Q4 12:35
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+22
44.4%
Taulia Tagovailoa run for 22 yds to the NEB 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:35
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+3
41.7%
Roman Hemby run for 3 yds to the NEB 11Similar
Q4 9:52
2ND & 7
OPP 11
+8
41.8%
Roman Hemby run for 8 yds to the NEB 3 Roman Hemby fumbled, forced by Wright,Javin recovered by NEB Robinson,TySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 20INT
12 plays · 90 yds · 6:1554% → 62%
Q4 9:52
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+2
53.9%
Emmett Johnson run for 2 yds to the NEB 5Similar
Q4 9:52
2ND & 8
OWN 5
+13
53.6%
Chubba Purdy run for 13 yds to the NEB 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:33
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+2
55.0%
Emmett Johnson run for 2 yds to the NEB 20Similar
Q4 8:33
2ND & 8
OWN 20
+2
54.4%
Emmett Johnson run for 2 yds to the NEB 22Similar
Q4 8:33
3RD & 6
OWN 22
+24
52.2%
Chubba Purdy pass complete to Billy Kemp IV for 24 yds to the NEB 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:33
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+9
59.9%
Chubba Purdy run for 9 yds to the MD 45Similar
Q4 8:33
2ND & 1
OPP 45
+29
61.1%
Emmett Johnson run for 29 yds to the MD 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:33
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+11
62.7%
Chubba Purdy run for 11 yds to the MD 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
62.7%
Chubba Purdy pass incomplete to Thomas Fidone IISimilar
Q4 8:33
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
62.7%
Emmett Johnson run for 2 yds to the MD 7Similar
Q4 3:37
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
0
62.2%
Chubba Purdy pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 21FG
16 plays · 75 yds · 3:3751% → 95%
Q4 3:37
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
48.6%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass incomplete to Kaden PratherSimilar
Q4 3:37
2ND & 10
OWN 19
0
49.3%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass incomplete to Corey DychesSimilar
Q4 3:37
3RD & 10
OWN 19
-15
51.4%
No Huddle-Shotgun Tagovailoa,Taulia pass incomplete deep right to Felton,Tai PENALTY NEB Pass Interference (Hill,Tommi) 15 yards from UM 19 to UM 34, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 3:37
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+6
46.8%
Roman Hemby run for 6 yds to the MD 40Similar
Q4 3:37
2ND & 4
OWN 40
+3
43.9%
Roman Hemby run for 3 yds to the MD 43Similar
Q4 3:37
3RD & 1
OWN 43
+2
43.5%
Roman Hemby run for 2 yds to the MD 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:37
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
43.6%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Preston Howard for 3 yds to the MD 48Similar
Q4 3:37
2ND & 7
OWN 48
+21
43.1%
Roman Hemby run for 21 yds to the NEB 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:37
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+11
39.7%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Corey Dyches for 11 yds to the NEB 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:37
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+10
38.9%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Jeshaun Jones for 10 yds to the NEB 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+1
38.1%
Roman Hemby run for 1 yd to the NEB 11Similar
Q4 0:29
2ND & GOAL
OPP 11
+5
38.0%
Roman Hemby run for 5 yds to the NEB 6Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+24
5.0%
Jack Howes 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
FG · Q4 0:00
Jack Howes 24 yd FG GOOD
-35.1
TD · Q2 2:31
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Tai Felton for 16 yds for a TD (Jack Howes KICK)
-14.7
TD · Q3 11:35
Janiran Bonner run for 2 yds for a TD (Tristan Alvano KICK)
+14.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com