Try the model
FIU

Florida International 6 at Middle Tennessee 40

MTSU
2023 · Week 11 · Nov 11, 2023 · Johnny "Red" Floyd Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · MTSU
modelMTSU aheadFIU aheadconfidence bandkey playMTSU scoreFIU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDFGTDTDFGSAFETYTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 12:56 · Daton Montiel punt for 43 yds
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 8Home team on offense−0.1Pregame prior+21.7Score differential−0.1Blowout margin+0.0Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 3:09: Richard Kinley 23 Yd Fumble Return (Zeke Rankin Kick) — MTSU win probability +4.6 pts (now 79%) (top driver: FIU has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 12:24: Chase Gabriel 42 yd FG GOOD — FIU win probability +2.7 pts (now 21%) (top driver: FIU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 8:23: Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Holden Willis for 32 yds for a TD (Zeke Rankin KICK) — MTSU win probability +8.0 pts (now 91%) (top driver: MTSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 0:59: Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to DJ England-Chisolm for 72 yds for a TD (Zeke Rankin KICK) — MTSU win probability +3.5 pts (now 98%) (top driver: MTSU has the ball).
  5. FG · Q2 0:00: Chase Gabriel 27 yd FG GOOD — FIU win probability +5.9 pts (now 8%) (top driver: FIU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MTSU made the numbers' call on 5 of 8FIU made the numbers' call on 9 of 12
  1. Q1 14:18MTSU 4th & 7 at MTSU 28, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 77.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.0%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    77.1%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:56FIU 4th & 5 at FIU 36, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.1%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.2%
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:50FIU 4th & 8 at FIU 22, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.1%−0.2
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.3%
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:36MTSU 4th & 7 at FIU 33, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 77.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    77.7%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    77.7%−<0.1
    49% to make
    Punt
    77.5%−0.2
    average punt
  5. Q1 3:28MTSU 4th & 11 at FIU 12, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 77.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.2%−0.4
    22% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    77.6%
    86% to make
    Punt
    75.6%−2.0
    average punt
  6. Q2 12:24FIU 4th & 17 at MTSU 24, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 14.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.2%−1.7
    14% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    14.9%
    68% to make
    Punt
    10.3%−4.5
    average punt
  7. Q2 10:44MTSU 4th & 6 at MTSU 39, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 83.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.7%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    82.8%
    average punt
  8. Q2 8:51FIU 4th & 18 at FIU 16, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.3%−1.9
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.1%
    average punt
  9. Q2 5:49FIU 4th & 4 at MTSU 44, down 21
    Close callPunted · 9.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    8.4%−1.0
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    8.9%−0.5
    average punt
  10. Q2 2:15MTSU 4th & 3 at FIU 35, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 93.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    93.5%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    92.8%−0.7
    45% to make
    Punt
    92.1%−1.4
    average punt
  11. Q2 1:39FIU 4th & 6 at FIU 47, down 21
    Close callPunted · 7.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.0%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.9%−0.1
    average punt
  12. Q3 11:46FIU 4th & 6 at MTSU 48, down 25
    Close callWent for it · 3.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.2%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    3.3%
    average punt
  13. Q3 7:05FIU 4th & 2 at MTSU 11, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.2%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    1.9%−0.4
    87% to make
    Punt
    -0.3%−2.6
    average punt
  14. Q3 5:05MTSU 4th & 1 at MTSU 20, up 25
    Close callPunted · 98.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.3%−0.6
    average punt
  15. Q3 3:20FIU 4th & 3 at FIU 43, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    1.5%−0.1
    average punt
  16. Q3 1:26FIU 4th & 13 at MTSU 22, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 1.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.7%−0.3
    19% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    1.1%
    72% to make
    Punt
    -0.1%−1.2
    average punt
  17. Q4 14:09MTSU 4th & 6 at FIU 39, up 25
    Close callPunted · 99.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.4%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    99.3%−0.1
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.3%−0.1
    average punt
  18. Q4 9:00FIU 4th & 14 at FIU 26, down 34
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.1
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  19. Q4 2:25MTSU 4th & 7 at FIU 42, up 34
    Close callPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    99.9%−0.1
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  20. Q4 1:10FIU 4th & 3 at FIU 9, down 34
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MTSU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 9:07MTSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    77.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 3:09MTSU Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 8:23MTSU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:59MTSU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 10:22MTSU Touchdown, up 33 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MTSUDrive 1PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:3972% → 72%
Q1 14:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
72.4%
Frank Peasant run for 3 yds to the MTSU 28Similar
Q1 14:34
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
72.3%
Nicholas Vattiato pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:26
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
72.3%
Nicholas Vattiato pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:18
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
72.3%
Miles Tillman punt for 41 yds, downed at the FIU 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:1328% → 28%
Q1 14:09
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+1
72.3%
Keyone Jenkins run for 1 yd to the FIU 32Similar
Q1 13:37
2ND & 9
OWN 32
+4
72.2%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Jalen Bracey for 4 yds to the FIU 36Similar
Q1 13:05
3RD & 5
OWN 36
0
72.1%
Keyone Jenkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:56
4TH & 5
OWN 36
0
72.1%
Daton Montiel punt for 43 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 3TD
11 plays · 79 yds · 3:4472% → 74%
Q1 12:51
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+21
72.1%
Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Holden Willis for 21 yds to the MTSU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:31
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-5
72.2%
Middle Tennessee Penalty, False Start (Justin Olson) to the MTSU 37Similar
Q1 12:17
1ST & 15
OWN 37
+7
72.0%
Nicholas Vattiato run for 7 yds to the MTSU 44Similar
Q1 11:59
2ND & 8
OWN 44
0
72.1%
Nicholas Vattiato pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:57
3RD & 8
OWN 44
+16
71.9%
Nicholas Vattiato run for 16 yds to the FIU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:31
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+1
72.2%
Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Elijah Metcalf for 1 yd to the FIU 39Similar
Q1 11:10
2ND & 9
OPP 39
+4
72.1%
Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to DJ England-Chisolm for 4 yds to the FIU 35Similar
Q1 10:32
3RD & 5
OPP 35
+7
72.0%
Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Jaiden Credle for 7 yds to the FIU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:06
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+4
72.2%
Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Javonte Sherman for 4 yds to the FIU 24Similar
Q1 9:41
2ND & 6
OPP 24
0
72.2%
Jaiden Credle run for no gain to the FIU 24Similar
Q1 9:07
3RD & 6
OPP 24
+24
73.6%
Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Elijah Metcalf for 24 yds for a TD (Zeke Rankin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:0627% → 26%
Q1 8:56
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
73.1%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Rocky Beers for no gain to the FIU 20Similar
Q1 8:23
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+2
73.2%
Shomari Lawrence run for 2 yds to the FIU 22Similar
Q1 7:51
3RD & 8
OWN 22
0
73.5%
Keyone Jenkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:50
4TH & 8
OWN 22
0
73.7%
Daton Montiel punt for 57 yds, downed at the MTSU 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 5FG
10 plays · 67 yds · 4:0673% → 75%
Q1 7:34
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+6
73.4%
DJ Riles run for 6 yds to the MTSU 27Similar
Q1 7:01
2ND & 4
OWN 27
+37
73.5%
Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Kellen Stewart for 22 yds to the FIU 49 for a 1ST down Florida International Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the FIU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:34
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+2
74.2%
Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Javonte Sherman for 2 yds to the FIU 34Similar
Q1 6:10
2ND & 8
OPP 34
+1
74.3%
Frank Peasant run for 1 yd to the FIU 33Similar
Q1 5:43
3RD & 7
OPP 33
0
74.1%
Nicholas Vattiato pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:36
4TH & 7
OPP 33
+22
73.7%
Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Holden Willis for 22 yds to the FIU 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:15
1ST & 10
OPP 11
-3
74.4%
Frank Peasant run for a loss of 3 yards to the FIU 14Similar
Q1 4:48
2ND & 13
OPP 14
0
74.5%
Frank Peasant run for no gain to the FIU 14Similar
Q1 4:14
3RD & 13
OPP 14
+2
74.2%
Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Frank Peasant for 2 yds to the FIU 12Similar
Q1 3:28
4TH & 11
OPP 12
+29
74.5%
Zeke Rankin 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 6FUMBLE RETURN TD
1 play · -5 yds · 0:0021% → 21%
Q1 3:09
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+23
79.1%
Richard Kinley 23 Yd Fumble Return (Zeke Rankin Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 7FG
17 plays · 52 yds · 5:3221% → 21%
Q1 2:56
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+7
79.3%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Josiah Miamen for 7 yds to the FIU 31Similar
Q1 2:34
2ND & 3
OWN 31
0
79.0%
Keyone Jenkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:30
3RD & 3
OWN 31
+3
79.2%
Keyone Jenkins run for 3 yds to the FIU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:55
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+5
79.5%
Middle Tennessee Penalty, Offsides (Marley Cook) to the FIU 39Similar
Q1 1:52
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
79.4%
Keyone Jenkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:52
2ND & 5
OWN 39
+11
79.1%
Kejon Owens run for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:17
1ST & 10
50
0
79.2%
Keyone Jenkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:12
2ND & 10
50
+10
79.6%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Shomari Lawrence for 10 yds to the MTSU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:34
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+10
79.5%
Shomari Lawrence run for 10 yds to the MTSU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+3
80.2%
Shomari Lawrence run for 3 yds to the MTSU 27Similar
Q2 14:56
2ND & 7
OPP 27
-2
80.0%
Shomari Lawrence run for a loss of 2 yards to the MTSU 29Similar
Q2 14:20
3RD & 9
OPP 29
+12
80.8%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Jackson McDonald for 12 yds to the MTSU 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:48
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
80.3%
Shomari Lawrence run for no gain to the MTSU 17Similar
Q2 13:17
2ND & 10
OPP 17
0
80.6%
Keyone Jenkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:16
3RD & 10
OPP 17
-5
81.3%
Florida International Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the MTSU 22Similar
Q2 13:12
3RD & 15
OPP 22
-2
81.9%
Keyone Jenkins sacked by Zaylin Wood for a loss of 2 yards to the MTSU 24Similar
Q2 12:24
4TH & 17
OPP 24
+42
79.2%
Chase Gabriel 42 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:3780% → 80%
Q2 12:21
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-2
80.4%
Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Elijah Metcalf for a loss of 2 yards to the MTSU 33Similar
Q2 11:57
2ND & 12
OWN 33
+3
80.5%
DJ Riles run for 3 yds to the MTSU 36Similar
Q2 11:25
3RD & 9
OWN 36
+3
80.5%
Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Jaiden Credle for 3 yds to the MTSU 39Similar
Q2 10:44
4TH & 6
OWN 39
0
80.4%
Trey Turk punt for 51 yds, fair catch by Dean Patterson at the FIU 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 9PUNT
6 plays · 6 yds · 1:4621% → 19%
Q2 10:37
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+14
79.4%
Shomari Lawrence run for 14 yds to the FIU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:11
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+5
79.5%
(10:11) JENKINS, Keyone pass deep to the left incomplete intended for MITCHELL, Kris broken up by RABY, Tyrell at the FIU48, clock 10:14. PENALTY MTS Offsides on STEWART, James enforced 5 yards from the FIU24 to the FIU29 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 10:07
1ST & 5
OWN 29
-7
79.2%
Keyone Jenkins sacked by Quindarius Dunnigan for a loss of 7 yards to the FIU 22Similar
Q2 9:37
2ND & 12
OWN 22
0
80.1%
Keyone Jenkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:36
3RD & 12
OWN 22
-6
80.3%
Shomari Lawrence run for a loss of 6 yards to the FIU 16 Shomari Lawrence fumbled, recovered by FIU Shomari Lawrence (09:36) [NHSG] LAWRENCE, Shomari rush up the middle for a loss of 6 yards, LAWRENCE, Shomari fumbled at FIU18 , recovered by FIU LAWRENCE, Shomari at the FIU16, returned 0 yards to the FIU16, End of Play, clock 09:02.Similar
Q2 8:51
4TH & 18
OWN 16
0
80.7%
Daton Montiel punt for 24 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 10TD
2 plays · 40 yds · 0:2183% → 91%
Q2 8:44
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+8
82.5%
Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Elijah Metcalf for 8 yds to the FIU 32Similar
Q2 8:23
2ND & 2
OPP 32
+32
90.6%
Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Holden Willis for 32 yds for a TD (Zeke Rankin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 11PUNT
8 plays · 31 yds · 2:3111% → 11%
Q2 8:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
89.1%
Kejon Owens run for no gain to the FIU 25Similar
Q2 7:48
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+10
89.0%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Eric Rivers for 10 yds to the FIU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:21
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
88.8%
Keyone Jenkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:18
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+15
89.0%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Eric Rivers for 15 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:49
1ST & 10
50
+1
89.0%
Keyone Jenkins run for 1 yd to the MTSU 49Similar
Q2 5:49
2ND & 9
OPP 49
+5
89.4%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Jalen Bracey for 5 yds to the MTSU 44Similar
Q2 5:49
3RD & 4
OPP 44
0
89.2%
Keyone Jenkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:49
4TH & 4
OPP 44
0
89.4%
Daton Montiel punt for 44 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 12DOWNS
10 plays · 47 yds · 3:2591% → 93%
Q2 5:40
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+12
91.2%
DJ Riles run for 12 yds to the MTSU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:26
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+9
91.4%
DJ Riles run for 9 yds to the MTSU 41Similar
Q2 5:02
2ND & 1
OWN 41
+5
91.8%
DJ Riles pass complete to Justin Olson for 5 yds to the MTSU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:31
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+8
92.0%
DJ Riles pass complete to Kalani Norris for 8 yds to the FIU 46Similar
Q2 3:59
2ND & 2
OPP 46
0
92.6%
Nicholas Vattiato pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:50
3RD & 2
OPP 46
+4
92.4%
Frank Peasant run for 4 yds to the FIU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:29
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+1
92.8%
DJ Riles run for 1 yd to the FIU 41Similar
Q2 2:55
2ND & 9
OPP 41
+6
93.0%
Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Kalani Norris for 6 yds to the FIU 35Similar
Q2 2:19
3RD & 3
OPP 35
0
93.0%
Nicholas Vattiato pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:15
4TH & 3
OPP 35
+2
92.6%
Nicholas Vattiato run for 2 yds to the FIU 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 13PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 0:298% → 8%
Q2 2:08
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+10
91.6%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Eric Rivers for 10 yds to the FIU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:54
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+4
91.8%
Shomari Lawrence run for 4 yds to the FIU 47Similar
Q2 1:49
2ND & 6
OWN 47
0
91.6%
Keyone Jenkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:46
3RD & 6
OWN 47
0
92.1%
Keyone Jenkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:39
4TH & 6
OWN 47
0
92.2%
Daton Montiel punt for 29 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 14TD
4 plays · 76 yds · 0:3194% → 98%
Q2 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-1
93.9%
Jaiden Credle run for a loss of 1 yard to the MTSU 23Similar
Q2 1:16
2ND & 11
OWN 23
+5
94.0%
Nicholas Vattiato run for 5 yds to the MTSU 28Similar
Q2 0:59
3RD & 6
OWN 28
+72
98.0%
Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to DJ England-Chisolm for 72 yds for a TD (Zeke Rankin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 15FG
11 plays · 65 yds · 0:482% → 8%
Q2 0:48
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+7
98.3%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Rocky Beers for 7 yds to the FIU 33Similar
Q2 0:48
2ND & 3
OWN 33
+32
98.1%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Rocky Beers for 32 yds to the MTSU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:30
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+3
98.0%
Keyone Jenkins run for 3 yds to the MTSU 32Similar
Q2 0:25
2ND & 7
OPP 32
+6
97.9%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Eric Rivers for 6 yds to the MTSU 26Similar
Q2 0:20
3RD & 1
OPP 26
+2
97.6%
Kejon Owens run for 2 yds to the MTSU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:17
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
97.7%
Keyone Jenkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:13
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+6
97.9%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Ross Fournet for 6 yds to the MTSU 18Similar
Q2 0:09
3RD & 4
OPP 18
+9
97.4%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Kris Mitchell for 9 yds to the MTSU 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
98.1%
Keyone Jenkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+27
92.2%
Chase Gabriel 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 16DOWNS
17 plays · 64 yds · 7:505% → 3%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
95.1%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Josiah Miamen for 8 yds to the FIU 33Similar
Q3 14:25
2ND & 2
OWN 33
0
95.0%
Shomari Lawrence run for no gain to the FIU 33Similar
Q3 13:51
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+15
95.1%
(13:51) LAWRENCE, Shomari rush up the middle for no gain to the FIU33 (DUNNIGAN, Quindarius;COOK, Marley), clock 13:47. PENALTY MTS Face mask enforced 15 yards from the FIU33 to the FIU48 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 13:30
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+6
95.5%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Dean Patterson for 6 yds to the MTSU 46Similar
Q3 13:02
2ND & 4
OPP 46
+2
96.0%
Kejon Owens run for 2 yds to the MTSU 44Similar
Q3 12:22
3RD & 2
OPP 44
-4
96.2%
Kejon Owens run for a loss of 4 yards to the MTSU 48Similar
Q3 11:46
4TH & 6
OPP 48
+17
96.6%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Eric Rivers for 17 yds to the MTSU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:13
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-10
96.3%
(11:13) JENKINS, Keyone pass deep up the middle incomplete intended for RIVERS, Eric thrown to the MTS15, clock 11:10. PENALTY FIU Holding on BURKE, Travis enforced 10 yards from the MTS31 to the MTS41 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 11:06
1ST & 20
OPP 41
+5
96.3%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Dean Patterson for 5 yds to the MTSU 36Similar
Q3 10:28
2ND & 15
OPP 36
+1
96.4%
Keyone Jenkins run for 1 yd to the MTSU 35Similar
Q3 9:44
3RD & 14
OPP 35
+16
96.8%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Kris Mitchell for 16 yds to the MTSU 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:08
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+9
96.8%
Keyone Jenkins run for 9 yds to the MTSU 10Similar
Q3 8:30
2ND & 1
OPP 10
-5
97.0%
JENKINS, Keyone pass to the left complete for 10 yards to RIVERS, Eric caught at the MTS0 and advanced to the MTS0, TOUCHDOWN FIU, score nullified by penalty, clock 08:30 (Play was confirmed after review). PENALTY FIU Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass on LAWSON, Wyatt enforced 5 yards from the MTS10 to the MTS15 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 8:26
2ND & 6
OPP 15
+3
97.0%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Jalen Bracey for 3 yds to the MTSU 12Similar
Q3 7:51
3RD & 3
OPP 12
+1
97.4%
Keyone Jenkins run for 1 yd to the MTSU 11Similar
Q3 7:05
4TH & 2
OPP 11
0
97.2%
Kejon Owens run for no gain to the MTSU 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 2:0198% → 99%
Q3 7:06
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+7
98.3%
Frank Peasant run for 7 yds to the MTSU 18Similar
Q3 6:29
2ND & 3
OWN 18
+2
98.5%
Frank Peasant run for 2 yds to the MTSU 20Similar
Q3 5:57
3RD & 1
OWN 20
0
98.5%
Zack Dobson run for no gain to the MTSU 20Similar
Q3 5:05
4TH & 1
OWN 20
0
98.6%
Miles Tillman punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Dean Patterson at the FIU 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 18MISSED FG
9 plays · 42 yds · 3:292% → 1%
Q3 4:55
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
98.3%
Keyone Jenkins run for 4 yds to the FIU 40Similar
Q3 4:33
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+2
98.3%
Shomari Lawrence run for 2 yds to the FIU 42Similar
Q3 3:52
3RD & 4
OWN 42
+1
98.3%
Shomari Lawrence run for 1 yd to the FIU 43Similar
Q3 3:20
4TH & 3
OWN 43
+25
98.3%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Dean Patterson for 25 yds to the MTSU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:57
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+13
98.2%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Ross Fournet for 13 yds to the MTSU 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:40
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+3
98.2%
Shomari Lawrence run for 3 yds to the MTSU 16Similar
Q3 2:15
2ND & 7
OPP 16
-6
98.2%
Keyone Jenkins sacked by Marley Cook for a loss of 6 yards to the MTSU 22Similar
Q3 1:33
3RD & 13
OPP 22
0
98.7%
Keyone Jenkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:26
4TH & 13
OPP 22
+40
98.7%
Chase Gabriel 40 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 19PUNT
6 plays · 39 yds · 2:1499% → 99%
Q3 1:23
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+8
99.1%
Nicholas Vattiato run for 8 yds to the MTSU 30Similar
Q3 0:53
2ND & 2
OWN 30
+27
99.2%
Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Justin Olson for 27 yds to the FIU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:28
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
99.3%
Nicholas Vattiato pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:27
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+2
99.3%
Frank Peasant run for 2 yds to the FIU 41Similar
Q4 14:57
3RD & 8
OPP 41
+2
99.3%
Frank Peasant run for 2 yds to the FIU 39Similar
Q4 14:09
4TH & 6
OPP 39
0
99.4%
Trey Turk punt for 37 yds, downed at the FIU 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 20SF
3 plays · 3 yds · 1:221% → 0%
Q4 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+1
99.2%
Keyone Jenkins run for 1 yd to the FIU 3Similar
Q4 13:27
2ND & 9
OWN 3
+2
99.2%
Kejon Owens run for 2 yds to the FIU 5Similar
Q4 12:38
3RD & 7
OWN 5
0
99.9%
Keyone Jenkins run for a loss of 5 yards for a SAFETY Keyone Jenkins fumbled, recovered by FIU Keyone Jenkins for a SAFETYSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 21TD
6 plays · 62 yds · 2:05100% → 100%
Q4 12:27
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+16
99.8%
DJ Riles run for 16 yds to the FIU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:04
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+5
99.8%
DJ Riles run for 5 yds to the FIU 41Similar
Q4 11:30
2ND & 5
OPP 41
+5
99.8%
Jaiden Credle run for 5 yds to the FIU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:03
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+15
99.9%
VATTIATO, Nicholas pass deep up the middle incomplete intended for WILLIS, Holden thrown to the FIU3, clock 11:03. PENALTY FIU Pass Interference on POTTS, Jamal enforced 15 yards to the FIU21 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 10:54
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+1
99.9%
Nicholas Vattiato run for 1 yd to the FIU 20Similar
Q4 10:22
2ND & 9
OPP 20
+20
99.9%
Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Jeremy Tate Jr. for 20 yds for a TD (Zeke Rankin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 1:090% → 0%
Q4 10:09
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-3
99.9%
Mike Jackson run for a loss of 3 yards to the FIU 27Similar
Q4 9:40
2ND & 13
OWN 27
-5
99.9%
Florida International Penalty, False Start (Ming Tjon) to the FIU 22Similar
Q4 9:17
2ND & 18
OWN 22
+4
99.9%
Haden Carlson pass complete to Rocky Beers for 4 yds to the FIU 26Similar
Q4 9:04
3RD & 14
OWN 26
0
99.9%
Haden Carlson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:00
4TH & 14
OWN 26
0
99.9%
Daton Montiel punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Zack Dobson at the MTSU 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 23PUNT
10 plays · 24 yds · 6:19100% → 100%
Q4 8:44
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+6
99.9%
Terry Wilkins run for 6 yds to the MTSU 40Similar
Q4 8:03
2ND & 4
OWN 40
+4
99.9%
DJ Riles run for 4 yds to the MTSU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:22
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+6
99.9%
Terry Wilkins run for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 6:12
2ND & 4
50
+2
99.9%
DJ Riles run for 2 yds to the FIU 48Similar
Q4 5:29
3RD & 2
OPP 48
+3
99.9%
Terry Wilkins run for 3 yds to the FIU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:41
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+6
99.9%
Kyle Lowe run for 6 yds to the FIU 39Similar
Q4 4:04
2ND & 4
OPP 39
0
99.9%
Jalen Montgomery run for no gain to the FIU 39Similar
Q4 3:19
3RD & 4
OPP 39
-3
100.0%
Kyle Lowe run for a loss of 3 yards to the FIU 42Similar
Q4 2:25
4TH & 7
OPP 42
0
99.9%
Miles Tillman punt for 40 yds, downed at the FIU 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 24PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:150% → 0%
Q4 2:25
1ST & 10
OWN 2
0
100.0%
Kejon Owens run for no gain to the FIU 2Similar
Q4 1:56
2ND & 10
OWN 2
+7
100.0%
Kejon Owens run for 7 yds to the FIU 9Similar
Q4 1:25
3RD & 3
OWN 9
0
100.0%
Haden Carlson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:10
4TH & 3
OWN 9
0
100.0%
Daton Montiel punt for 39 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 25END OF GAME
2 plays · 2 yds · 0:32100% → 100%
Q4 0:56
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+7
100.0%
Jalen Montgomery run for 7 yds to the FIU 38Similar
Q4 0:24
2ND & 3
OPP 38
0
100.0%
(00:24) [NHSG] Kneel down by RILES, DJ at FIU43 (team loss of 5), clock 00:19.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 8:23
Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Holden Willis for 32 yds for a TD (Zeke Rankin KICK)
+8
FG · Q2 0:00
Chase Gabriel 27 yd FG GOOD
-5.9
TD · Q1 3:09
Richard Kinley 23 Yd Fumble Return (Zeke Rankin Kick)
+4.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com