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CONN

UConn 6 at James Madison 44

JMU
2023 · Week 11 · Nov 11, 2023 · Bridgeforth Stadium
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Win probability · JMU
modelJMU aheadCONN aheadconfidence bandkey playJMU scoreCONN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGTDFGFGFGTDTDTDTDEnd of GameFG-1.8JMU 89.2%Noe Ruelas 41 yd FG GOODAWAY 3 - HOME 13 · Q2 3:26
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 3:26 · Noe Ruelas 41 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+42.5+21.30−21.3−42.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 62Pregame prior+27.7Home team on offense+6.2Score differential+2.2Garbage-time factor+0.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+2.2Blowout margin+0.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 7:40: Jordan McCloud pass complete to Reggie Brown for 80 yds for a TD (Camden Wise KICK) — JMU win probability +3.4 pts (now 91%) (top driver: JMU has the ball).
  2. FG · Q3 12:09: Camden Wise 28 yd FG GOOD — JMU win probability +2.7 pts (now 92%) (top driver: JMU has the ball).
  3. FG · Q3 7:42: Noe Ruelas 31 yd FG GOOD — CONN win probability +2.3 pts (now 12%) (top driver: CONN has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 5:54: Jordan McCloud pass complete to Zach Horton for 21 yds for a TD (Camden Wise KICK) — JMU win probability +5.9 pts (now 96%) (top driver: JMU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 2:06: Jordan McCloud pass complete to Reggie Brown for 55 yds for a TD (Camden Wise KICK) — JMU win probability +2.5 pts (now 99%) (top driver: JMU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
JMU made the numbers' call on 2 of 5CONN made the numbers' call on 7 of 10
  1. Q1 10:34JMU 4th & 23 at midfield, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 93.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.0%−0.2
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.2%
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:01CONN 4th & 6 at JMU 43, tied
    Close callPunted · 7.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.9%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    7.9%−0.1
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    7.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 0:10JMU 4th & 2 at CONN 16, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 90.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.2%
    56% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    90.1%−0.1
    81% to make
    Punt
    89.3%−0.9
    average punt
  4. Q2 13:25CONN 4th & 5 at CONN 40, down 3
    Close callWent for it · 9.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    9.9%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    9.9%
    average punt
  5. Q2 9:25JMU 4th & 9 at CONN 11, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 88.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.4%−0.2
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    88.5%
    87% to make
    Punt
    86.8%−1.7
    average punt
  6. Q2 7:51CONN 4th & 22 at CONN 35, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.2%−1.1
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.2%
    average punt
  7. Q2 3:26CONN 4th & 7 at JMU 23, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 7.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.4%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    7.5%
    70% to make
    Punt
    6.0%−1.5
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:50JMU 4th & 1 at JMU 44, up 10
    Close callPunted · 90.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.3%−0.3
    average punt
  9. Q3 12:09JMU 4th & 1 at CONN 10, up 10
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.2 ptsKicked a field goal · 90.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    89.3%−1.2
    88% to make
    Punt
    85.8%−4.7
    average punt
  10. Q3 7:42CONN 4th & 5 at JMU 13, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 7.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.6%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    7.7%
    85% to make
    Punt
    4.9%−2.8
    average punt
  11. Q3 3:59CONN 4th & 8 at CONN 46, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.9%−0.4
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.3%
    average punt
  12. Q3 0:00CONN 4th & 4 at CONN 48, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    1.1%−0.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 15:00CONN 4th & 2 at JMU 26, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    1.1%−0.1
    64% to make
    Punt
    0.4%−0.8
    average punt
  14. Q4 11:47CONN 4th & 2 at JMU 10, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.0%
    55% to convert
    Field goal
    0.9%−0.1
    88% to make
    Punt
    0.4%−0.6
    average punt
  15. Q4 1:37CONN 4th & 8 at CONN 46, down 38
    Close callWent for it · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.0%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
JMU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q2 7:40JMU Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 5:54JMU Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 2:06JMU Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 6:43JMU Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 3:43JMU Touchdown, up 37 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
JMUDrive 1PUNT
12 plays · 25 yds · 4:2692% → 91%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
92.2%
Jordan McCloud run for 2 yds to the JMU 27 Jordan McCloud fumbled, recovered by JMU Tanner Morris [NHSG] QB Keeper MCCLOUD, Jordan rush to the right for a gain of 2 yards, MCCLOUD, Jordan fumbled at JMU27 forced by DIXON-WILLIAMS, Malik, recovered by JMU MORRIS, Tanner at the JMU27, returned 0 yards to the JMU27, End of Play.Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+13
92.2%
Jordan McCloud pass complete to Reggie Brown for 13 yds to the JMU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-2
92.2%
Jordan McCloud run for a loss of 2 yards to the JMU 38Similar
Q1 12:45
2ND & 12
OWN 38
+13
91.6%
Jordan McCloud pass complete to Reggie Brown for 13 yds to the CONN 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:45
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+6
91.7%
Jordan McCloud run for 6 yds to the CONN 43Similar
Q1 12:45
2ND & 4
OPP 43
+6
91.7%
Jordan McCloud pass complete to Phoenix Sproles for 6 yds to the CONN 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:45
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
91.7%
Jordan McCloud pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:45
2ND & 10
OPP 37
0
91.7%
James Madison Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Jordan McCloud) to the CONN 43Similar
Q1 12:45
3RD & 16
OPP 43
-12
91.6%
Jordan McCloud sacked by Mumu Bin-Wahad for a loss of 12 yards to the JMU 45Similar
Q1 10:50
4TH & 28
OWN 45
+5
91.0%
HANSON, Ryan punt 33 yards to the CON22, returned by ROSS, Cameron. (CHUKWUNEKE, Chris), clock 10:50. PENALTY CON Running Into the kicker on HUDSON, Chris enforced 5 yards from the JMU45 to the JMU50 [FAKE PUNT]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 10:34
4TH & 23
50
0
90.9%
Ryan Hanson punt for 39 yds , returns for no gain to the CONN 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 2PUNT
6 plays · 48 yds · 3:339% → 10%
Q1 10:34
1ST & 10
OWN 9
0
91.0%
Camryn Edwards run for no gain to the CONN 9Similar
Q1 10:34
2ND & 10
OWN 9
+44
91.0%
Ta'Quan Roberson pass complete to Cameron Ross for 44 yds to the JMU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:34
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+1
90.8%
Camryn Edwards run for 1 yd to the JMU 46Similar
Q1 10:34
2ND & 9
OPP 46
+6
90.8%
Ta'Quan Roberson pass complete to Justin Joly for 6 yds to the JMU 40Similar
Q1 10:34
3RD & 3
OPP 40
-3
90.8%
Cameron Ross run for a loss of 3 yards to the JMU 43Similar
Q1 7:01
4TH & 6
OPP 43
0
89.7%
George Caratan punt for 37 yds, downed at the JMU 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 3FG
13 plays · 78 yds · 6:5190% → 88%
Q1 7:01
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+1
89.7%
Ty Son Lawton run for 1 yd to the JMU 7Similar
Q1 7:01
2ND & 9
OWN 7
+4
89.7%
Jordan McCloud pass complete to Reggie Brown for 4 yds to the JMU 11Similar
Q1 7:01
3RD & 5
OWN 11
+9
89.7%
Jordan McCloud pass complete to Ty Son Lawton for 9 yds to the JMU 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:01
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
89.8%
Ty Son Lawton run for 4 yds to the JMU 24Similar
Q1 7:01
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+16
89.9%
Jordan McCloud pass complete to Elijah Sarratt for 16 yds to the JMU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:01
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+9
90.1%
Jordan McCloud pass complete to Elijah Sarratt for 9 yds to the JMU 49Similar
Q1 7:01
2ND & 1
OWN 49
+2
90.2%
Kaelon Black run for 2 yds to the CONN 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:01
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+25
90.2%
Kaelon Black run for 25 yds to the CONN 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:01
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-5
90.3%
James Madison Penalty, False Start (Cole Potts) to the CONN 29Similar
Q1 7:01
1ST & 15
OPP 29
+7
90.2%
Jordan McCloud pass complete to Elijah Sarratt for 7 yds to the CONN 22Similar
Q1 7:01
2ND & 8
OPP 22
+7
90.3%
Ty Son Lawton run for 7 yds to the CONN 15Similar
Q1 7:01
3RD & 1
OPP 15
-1
90.1%
Ty Son Lawton run for a loss of 1 yard to the CONN 16Similar
Q1 0:10
4TH & 2
OPP 16
+34
88.2%
Camden Wise 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 4DOWNS
5 plays · 19 yds · 1:3512% → 13%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
88.0%
Ta'Quan Roberson pass complete to Justin Joly for 10 yds to the CONN 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+8
87.8%
Ta'Quan Roberson pass complete to Justin Joly for 8 yds to the CONN 43Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 43
-3
87.4%
Camryn Edwards run for a loss of 3 yards to the CONN 40Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 40
0
87.6%
Ta'Quan Roberson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:25
4TH & 5
OWN 40
+4
87.5%
Pryce Yates pass complete to Victor Rosa for 4 yds to the CONN 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 5FG
9 plays · 33 yds · 4:0088% → 88%
Q2 13:25
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+2
88.2%
Jordan McCloud run for 2 yds to the CONN 42Similar
Q2 13:25
2ND & 8
OPP 42
+2
88.1%
Kaelon Black run for 2 yds to the CONN 40Similar
Q2 13:25
3RD & 6
OPP 40
+13
88.0%
Jordan McCloud pass complete to Reggie Brown for 13 yds to the CONN 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:25
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+15
88.3%
Jordan McCloud pass complete to Elijah Sarratt for 15 yds to the CONN 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:25
1ST & 10
OPP 12
-3
88.3%
Jordan McCloud run for a loss of 3 yards to the CONN 15Similar
Q2 13:25
2ND & 13
OPP 15
0
88.2%
Jordan McCloud pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:25
3RD & 13
OPP 15
+9
87.8%
Jordan McCloud pass complete to Zach Horton for 9 yds to the CONN 6Similar
Q2 13:25
4TH & 4
OPP 6
-5
87.6%
James Madison Penalty, False Start (Tyler Stephens) to the CONN 11Similar
Q2 9:25
4TH & 9
OPP 11
+29
88.4%
Camden Wise 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 10 yds · 1:3413% → 12%
Q2 9:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+22
87.2%
Ta'Quan Roberson pass complete to Cameron Ross for 22 yds to the CONN 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:25
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
86.2%
UConn Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Ta'Quan Roberson) to the CONN 38Similar
Q2 9:25
2ND & 19
OWN 38
-3
87.2%
Victor Rosa run for a loss of 3 yards to the CONN 35Similar
Q2 9:25
3RD & 22
OWN 35
0
87.7%
Ta'Quan Roberson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:51
4TH & 22
OWN 35
0
87.9%
George Caratan punt for 45 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 7TD
1 play · 80 yds · 0:0091% → 91%
Q2 7:40
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+80
91.3%
Jordan McCloud pass complete to Reggie Brown for 80 yds for a TD (Camden Wise KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 8FG
11 plays · 52 yds · 4:148% → 11%
Q2 7:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+18
91.7%
Ta'Quan Roberson pass complete to Cameron Ross for 18 yds to the CONN 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:40
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
91.5%
Ta'Quan Roberson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:40
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+4
91.6%
Camryn Edwards run for 4 yds to the CONN 47Similar
Q2 7:40
3RD & 6
OWN 47
+7
91.4%
Ta'Quan Roberson pass complete to Justin Joly for 7 yds to the JMU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:40
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
91.1%
Ta'Quan Roberson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:40
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+20
91.3%
Ta'Quan Roberson pass complete to Camryn Edwards for 20 yds to the JMU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:40
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+7
90.5%
Camryn Edwards run for 7 yds to the JMU 19Similar
Q2 7:40
2ND & 3
OPP 19
0
90.5%
Ta'Quan Roberson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:40
3RD & 3
OPP 19
-4
90.9%
Jalen Mitchell run for a loss of 4 yards to the JMU 23Similar
Q2 3:26
4TH & 7
OPP 23
+41
89.2%
Noe Ruelas 41 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 9PUNT
7 plays · 19 yds · 2:3689% → 89%
Q2 3:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
88.8%
Kaelon Black run for 9 yds to the JMU 34Similar
Q2 3:26
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+1
89.1%
Jordan McCloud pass complete to Elijah Sarratt for 1 yd to the JMU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:26
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
88.9%
Jordan McCloud pass complete to Kaelon Black for 5 yds to the JMU 40Similar
Q2 3:26
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+4
89.5%
Jordan McCloud pass complete to Elijah Sarratt for 4 yds to the JMU 44Similar
Q2 0:58
3RD & 1
OWN 44
0
89.0%
Ty Son Lawton run for no gain to the JMU 44Similar
Q2 0:50
4TH & 1
OWN 44
0
88.6%
Ryan Hanson punt for 43 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 10END OF HALF
3 plays · 8 yds · 0:5011% → 11%
Q2 0:50
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+5
89.3%
Ta'Quan Roberson run for 5 yds to the CONN 18Similar
Q2 0:50
2ND & 5
OWN 18
0
89.3%
Ta'Quan Roberson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 5
OWN 18
+3
89.5%
Ta'Quan Roberson run for 3 yds to the CONN 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 11FUMBLE
2 plays · 7 yds · 0:1912% → 12%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
88.3%
Ta'Quan Roberson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:35
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+7
88.5%
Victor Rosa run for 7 yds to the CONN 39 Victor Rosa fumbled, recovered by JMU Chris Chukwuneke [NHSG] ROSA, Victor rush to the left for a gain of 7 yards, ROSA, Victor fumbled at CON33 forced by MEEHAN, Francis, recovered by JMU CHUKWUNEKE, Chris at the CON39, returned 0 yards to the CON39, End of Play, clock 14:35.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 12FG
6 plays · 29 yds · 2:2690% → 92%
Q3 14:35
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+9
90.0%
Jordan McCloud run for 9 yds to the CONN 30Similar
Q3 14:35
2ND & 1
OPP 30
+11
90.1%
Jordan McCloud pass complete to Elijah Sarratt for 11 yds to the CONN 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:35
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
90.1%
Jordan McCloud pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:35
2ND & 10
OPP 19
+6
90.1%
Jordan McCloud pass complete to Reggie Brown for 6 yds to the CONN 13Similar
Q3 14:35
3RD & 4
OPP 13
+3
89.7%
Jordan McCloud pass complete to Ty Son Lawton for 3 yds to the CONN 10Similar
Q3 12:09
4TH & 1
OPP 10
+28
92.4%
Camden Wise 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 13FG
10 plays · 63 yds · 4:219% → 12%
Q3 12:03
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+6
91.4%
Camryn Edwards run for 6 yds to the CONN 30Similar
Q3 12:03
2ND & 4
OWN 30
0
91.1%
Ta'Quan Roberson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:03
3RD & 4
OWN 30
+7
91.3%
Ta'Quan Roberson pass complete to Cameron Ross for 7 yds to the CONN 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:03
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+15
91.1%
James Madison Penalty, Targeting on REID, Que enforced (Que Reid) to the JMU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:03
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+2
90.5%
Ta'Quan Roberson pass complete to Brett Buckman for 2 yds to the JMU 42Similar
Q3 12:03
2ND & 8
OPP 42
+24
90.6%
Camryn Edwards pass complete to Justin Joly for 24 yds to the JMU 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:03
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+5
89.8%
Ta'Quan Roberson pass complete to Justin Joly for 5 yds to the JMU 13Similar
Q3 12:03
2ND & 5
OPP 13
0
89.8%
Camryn Edwards run for no gain to the JMU 13Similar
Q3 12:03
3RD & 5
OPP 13
0
90.5%
Ta'Quan Roberson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:42
4TH & 5
OPP 13
+31
88.1%
Noe Ruelas 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 14TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 1:4889% → 96%
Q3 7:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
89.0%
Jordan McCloud pass complete to Elijah Sarratt for 13 yds to the JMU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:42
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+33
89.7%
Jordan McCloud pass complete to Elijah Sarratt for 33 yds to the CONN 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:42
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+8
90.2%
Jordan McCloud pass complete to Zach Horton for 8 yds to the CONN 21Similar
Q3 5:54
2ND & 2
OPP 21
+21
96.1%
Jordan McCloud pass complete to Zach Horton for 21 yds for a TD (Camden Wise KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:475% → 4%
Q3 5:46
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+1
94.8%
Ta'Quan Roberson pass complete to Justin Joly for 1 yd to the CONN 45Similar
Q3 5:46
2ND & 9
OWN 45
+1
94.8%
Ta'Quan Roberson pass complete to Camryn Edwards for 1 yd to the CONN 46Similar
Q3 5:46
3RD & 8
OWN 46
0
94.9%
Ta'Quan Roberson pass complete to Brett Buckman for no gain to the CONN 46Similar
Q3 3:59
4TH & 8
OWN 46
0
95.6%
George Caratan punt for 54 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 16TD
5 plays · 80 yds · 1:5396% → 99%
Q3 3:59
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-3
96.0%
Ty Son Lawton run for a loss of 3 yards to the JMU 17Similar
Q3 3:59
2ND & 13
OWN 17
0
95.9%
Jordan McCloud pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:59
3RD & 13
OWN 17
+24
95.8%
Jordan McCloud pass complete to Elijah Sarratt for 24 yds to the JMU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:59
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
96.2%
Jordan McCloud pass complete to Reggie Brown for 4 yds to the JMU 45Similar
Q3 2:06
2ND & 6
OWN 45
+55
98.7%
Jordan McCloud pass complete to Reggie Brown for 55 yds for a TD (Camden Wise KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 17DOWNS
13 plays · 62 yds · 5:192% → 1%
Q3 2:06
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+14
98.5%
Camryn Edwards run for 14 yds to the CONN 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:06
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+5
98.5%
Camryn Edwards run for 5 yds to the CONN 47Similar
Q3 2:06
2ND & 5
OWN 47
+1
98.5%
Camryn Edwards run for 1 yd to the CONN 48Similar
Q3 2:06
3RD & 4
OWN 48
0
98.5%
Ta'Quan Roberson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:00
4TH & 4
OWN 48
+18
98.8%
Ta'Quan Roberson pass complete to Brett Buckman for 18 yds to the JMU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
98.6%
Ta'Quan Roberson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+6
98.6%
Camryn Edwards run for 6 yds to the JMU 28Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 28
+2
98.7%
Camryn Edwards run for 2 yds to the JMU 26Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 2
OPP 26
+8
98.7%
Ta'Quan Roberson pass complete to Brett Buckman for 8 yds to the JMU 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
98.6%
Ta'Quan Roberson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 18
0
98.6%
Ta'Quan Roberson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 18
+8
98.7%
Ta'Quan Roberson pass complete to Brett Buckman for 8 yds to the JMU 10Similar
Q4 11:47
4TH & 2
OPP 10
0
98.9%
Ta'Quan Roberson pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 18TD
12 plays · 90 yds · 5:0499% → 100%
Q4 11:47
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+5
99.0%
Jordan McCloud pass complete to Elijah Sarratt for 5 yds to the JMU 15Similar
Q4 11:47
2ND & 5
OWN 15
+7
99.0%
Jordan McCloud pass complete to Elijah Sarratt for 7 yds to the JMU 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:47
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+8
99.0%
Jordan McCloud pass complete to Phoenix Sproles for 8 yds to the JMU 30Similar
Q4 11:47
2ND & 2
OWN 30
+7
99.0%
Ty Son Lawton run for 7 yds to the JMU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:47
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+15
99.0%
Jordan McCloud pass complete to Ty Son Lawton for 15 yds to the CONN 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:47
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+15
99.1%
Jordan McCloud pass complete to Elijah Sarratt for 15 yds to the CONN 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:47
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+6
99.1%
Jordan McCloud pass complete to Phoenix Sproles for 6 yds to the CONN 27Similar
Q4 11:47
2ND & 4
OPP 27
+14
99.1%
Jordan McCloud pass complete to Reggie Brown for 14 yds to the CONN 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:47
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+11
99.1%
MCCLOUD, Jordan pass to the left incomplete intended for PONDS, D'Angelo broken up by SHEARIN, Chris at the CON13. PENALTY CON Pass Interference on SHEARIN, Chris enforced 11 yards to the CON2 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 11:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-5
99.1%
James Madison Penalty, False Start (Tanner Morris) to the CONN 7Similar
Q4 11:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
99.1%
Ty Son Lawton run for 2 yds to the CONN 5Similar
Q4 6:43
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
99.9%
Jordan McCloud pass complete to Phoenix Sproles for 5 yds for a TD (Camden Wise KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 19INT TD
7 plays · 48 yds · 3:000% → 0%
Q4 6:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
Ta'Quan Roberson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:43
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+9
99.9%
Ta'Quan Roberson pass complete to Jalen Mitchell for 9 yds to the CONN 34Similar
Q4 6:43
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+23
99.9%
Jalen Mitchell run for 23 yds to the JMU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:43
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+16
99.9%
Ta'Quan Roberson pass complete to Brett Buckman for 16 yds to the JMU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:43
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+3
99.9%
Brett Buckman run for 3 yds to the JMU 24Similar
Q4 6:43
2ND & 7
OPP 24
-3
99.9%
Ta'Quan Roberson pass complete to Jalen Mitchell for a loss of 3 yards to the JMU 27Similar
Q4 3:43
3RD & 10
OPP 27
-81
100.0%
Brent Austin 81 Yd Interception Return (Camden Wise Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 20DOWNS
6 plays · 15 yds · 2:060% → 0%
Q4 3:43
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+6
100.0%
Jalen Mitchell run for 6 yds to the CONN 37Similar
Q4 3:43
2ND & 4
OWN 37
+7
100.0%
Jalen Mitchell run for 7 yds to the CONN 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:43
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-3
100.0%
Jalen Mitchell run for a loss of 3 yards to the CONN 41Similar
Q4 3:43
2ND & 13
OWN 41
+5
100.0%
Zion Turner pass complete to Kylish Hicks for 5 yds to the CONN 46Similar
Q4 3:43
3RD & 8
OWN 46
0
100.0%
Zion Turner pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:37
4TH & 8
OWN 46
0
100.0%
Zion Turner pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 21END OF GAME
3 plays · -5 yds · 1:37100% → 100%
Q4 1:37
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
100.0%
[NHSG] Kneel down by ATKINS, Billy at CON47 (team loss of 1).Similar
Q4 1:37
2ND & 11
OPP 47
0
100.0%
[NHSG] Kneel down by ATKINS, Billy at CON49 (team loss of 2).Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 13
OPP 49
0
100.0%
[NHSG] Kneel down by ATKINS, Billy at JMU49 (team loss of 2), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 5:54
Jordan McCloud pass complete to Zach Horton for 21 yds for a TD (Camden Wise KICK)
+5.9
TD · Q2 7:40
Jordan McCloud pass complete to Reggie Brown for 80 yds for a TD (Camden Wise KICK)
+3.4
FG · Q3 12:09
Camden Wise 28 yd FG GOOD
+2.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com