Try the model
RUTG

Rutgers 0 at Iowa 22

IOWA
2023 · Week 11 · Nov 11, 2023 · Kinnick Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · IOWA
modelIOWA aheadRUTG aheadconfidence bandkey playIOWA scoreRUTG score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 4:26 · Tory Taylor punt for 46 yds , returns for no gain to the RUTG 21
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remainingBlowout margin
+34.5+17.30−17.3−34.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 26Home team on offense+0.0Score differential−0.2Garbage-time factor−0.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.1Blowout margin−0.3
This game in five plays
  1. KEY PLAY · Q3 5:41: Nico Ragaini run for a loss of 4 yards to the RUTG 29 — IOWA win probability +5.0 pts (now 67%) (top driver: IOWA has the ball).
  2. FG · Q3 4:18: Drew Stevens 43 yd FG GOOD — IOWA win probability +4.7 pts (now 70%) (top driver: IOWA has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q3 3:16: Leshon Williams run for 2 yds to the IOWA 48 — IOWA win probability +5.4 pts (now 75%) (top driver: IOWA has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 13:38: Jaziun Patterson run for 4 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed) — IOWA win probability +9.5 pts (now 89%) (top driver: IOWA has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 12:07: Kaleb Johnson run for 1 yd to the RUTG 49 — IOWA win probability +4.4 pts (now 92%) (top driver: IOWA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
IOWA made the numbers' call on 7 of 9RUTG made the numbers' call on 6 of 9
  1. Q1 12:21IOWA 4th & 1 at RUTG 33, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 53.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    53.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    52.9%−0.2
    49% to make
    Punt
    52.8%−0.2
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:01IOWA 4th & 9 at RUTG 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 53.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.1%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    53.1%
    56% to make
    Punt
    53.0%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:02RUTG 4th & 7 at IOWA 42, tied
    Close callPunted · 46.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.0%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    46.8%−0.2
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    47.0%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:26IOWA 4th & 6 at IOWA 24, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 52.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.8%−0.2
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.1%
    average punt
  5. Q2 15:00RUTG 4th & 8 at IOWA 44, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 46.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.7%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    46.2%−0.5
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    46.8%
    average punt
  6. Q2 11:15IOWA 4th & 1 at IOWA 40, tied
    Close callPunted · 54.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.1%−0.9
    average punt
  7. Q2 9:01RUTG 4th & 11 at RUTG 21, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.8%−1.5
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.3%
    average punt
  8. Q2 2:50IOWA 4th & 4 at RUTG 14, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 56.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.8%
    46% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    55.5%−0.3
    84% to make
    Punt
    50.5%−5.3
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:31RUTG 4th & 4 at RUTG 43, down 3
    Close callPunted · 41.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.6%−0.2
    average punt
  10. Q3 10:26RUTG 4th & 6 at midfield, down 3
    Close callPunted · 39.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.3%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.1%−0.2
    average punt
  11. Q3 7:55IOWA 4th & 9 at IOWA 27, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.9%−2.0
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.9%
    average punt
  12. Q3 6:28RUTG 4th & 3 at RUTG 33, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.6%−0.2
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.8%
    average punt
  13. Q3 4:18IOWA 4th & 10 at RUTG 25, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 63.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.4%−1.0
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    63.5%
    66% to make
    Punt
    54.2%−9.3
    average punt
  14. Q3 3:28RUTG 4th & 17 at RUTG 18, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.4%−4.8
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.2%
    average punt
  15. Q4 12:18RUTG 4th & 20 at RUTG 15, down 12
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.2%−1.8
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.1%
    average punt
  16. Q4 5:43IOWA 4th & 6 at RUTG 6, up 12
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 94.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.9%−0.2
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    94.0%
    91% to make
    Punt
    90.0%−4.0
    average punt
  17. Q4 4:19RUTG 4th & 15 at RUTG 20, down 22
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.6%−0.1
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.7%
    average punt
  18. Q4 1:14IOWA 4th & 1 at RUTG 9, up 22
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    99.4%−0.1
    89% to make
    Punt
    99.0%−0.5
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
IOWA made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q4 13:38IOWA Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    89.1%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    89.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q4 4:39IOWA Touchdown, up 21 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
IOWADrive 1MISSED FG
10 plays · 45 yds · 3:5850% → 51%
Q1 14:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
50.4%
Leshon Williams run for 9 yds to the IOWA 34Similar
Q1 14:28
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+24
50.6%
Leshon Williams run for 24 yds to the RUTG 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+6
50.7%
Jaziun Patterson run for 6 yds to the RUTG 36Similar
Q1 13:29
2ND & 4
OPP 36
+2
50.9%
Jaziun Patterson run for 2 yds to the RUTG 34Similar
Q1 12:52
3RD & 2
OPP 34
+1
51.1%
Jaziun Patterson run for 1 yd to the RUTG 33Similar
Q1 12:21
4TH & 1
OPP 33
+2
51.1%
Deacon Hill run for 2 yds to the RUTG 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:47
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
51.5%
Deacon Hill pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:39
2ND & 10
OPP 31
0
51.6%
Deacon Hill pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:36
3RD & 10
OPP 31
+1
51.4%
Deacon Hill pass complete to Addison Ostrenga for 1 yd to the RUTG 30Similar
Q1 11:01
4TH & 9
OPP 30
+47
51.2%
Drew Stevens 47 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 2PUNT
9 plays · 28 yds · 3:5549% → 49%
Q1 10:57
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+7
51.0%
Kyle Monangai run for 7 yds to the RUTG 37Similar
Q1 10:24
2ND & 3
OWN 37
+3
50.8%
Kyle Monangai run for 3 yds to the RUTG 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:49
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+15
50.9%
Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Christian Dremel for 15 yds to the IOWA 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:04
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
50.7%
Gavin Wimsatt pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:59
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+8
50.6%
Kyle Monangai run for 8 yds to the IOWA 37Similar
Q1 8:26
3RD & 2
OPP 37
-5
50.7%
Rutgers Penalty, False Start (Johnny Langan) to the IOWA 42Similar
Q1 8:08
3RD & 7
OPP 42
-5
50.8%
Rutgers Penalty, False Start (Curtis Dunlap Jr.) to the IOWA 47Similar
Q1 7:47
3RD & 12
OPP 47
+5
51.2%
Kyle Monangai run for 5 yds to the IOWA 42Similar
Q1 7:02
4TH & 7
OPP 42
0
51.3%
Flynn Appleby punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Cooper DeJean at the IOWA 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 3PUNT
7 plays · 19 yds · 2:3052% → 51%
Q1 6:56
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+4
51.5%
Leshon Williams run for 4 yds to the IOWA 9Similar
Q1 6:19
2ND & 6
OWN 9
+4
51.5%
Leshon Williams run for 4 yds to the IOWA 13Similar
Q1 5:37
3RD & 2
OWN 13
+7
51.3%
Kaleb Brown run for 7 yds to the IOWA 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:06
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
51.8%
Jaziun Patterson run for 4 yds to the IOWA 24Similar
Q1 4:37
2ND & 6
OWN 24
0
52.0%
Deacon Hill pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:32
3RD & 6
OWN 24
0
51.5%
Deacon Hill pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:26
4TH & 6
OWN 24
0
51.1%
Tory Taylor punt for 46 yds , returns for no gain to the RUTG 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 4PUNT
9 plays · 35 yds · 4:1748% → 48%
Q1 4:17
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+4
51.8%
Kyle Monangai run for 4 yds to the RUTG 25Similar
Q1 3:41
2ND & 6
OWN 25
+5
51.8%
Kyle Monangai run for 5 yds to the RUTG 30Similar
Q1 2:59
3RD & 1
OWN 30
-5
51.7%
Rutgers Penalty, False Start (Gus Zilinskas) to the RUTG 25Similar
Q1 2:42
3RD & 6
OWN 25
+29
52.4%
Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Ian Strong for 29 yds to the IOWA 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+1
50.3%
Kyle Monangai run for 1 yd to the IOWA 45Similar
Q1 1:19
2ND & 9
OPP 45
+2
50.3%
Gavin Wimsatt run for 2 yds to the IOWA 43Similar
Q1 0:37
3RD & 7
OPP 43
-1
50.8%
Kyle Monangai run for a loss of 1 yard to the IOWA 44Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 8
OPP 44
0
52.1%
Flynn Appleby punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Cooper DeJean at the IOWA 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 5PUNT
8 plays · 31 yds · 3:3753% → 53%
Q2 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+3
53.3%
Leshon Williams run for 3 yds to the IOWA 12Similar
Q2 14:21
2ND & 7
OWN 12
+2
53.5%
Leshon Williams run for 2 yds to the IOWA 14Similar
Q2 13:41
3RD & 5
OWN 14
+17
52.9%
Deacon Hill pass complete to Leshon Williams for 17 yds to the IOWA 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:03
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+2
54.2%
Leshon Williams run for 2 yds to the IOWA 33Similar
Q2 12:31
2ND & 8
OWN 33
+6
54.3%
Deacon Hill pass complete to Addison Ostrenga for 6 yds to the IOWA 39Similar
Q2 11:55
3RD & 2
OWN 39
+1
55.1%
Jaziun Patterson run for 1 yd to the IOWA 40Similar
Q2 11:15
4TH & 1
OWN 40
0
53.4%
Tory Taylor punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Christian Dremel at the RUTG 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 6PUNT
6 plays · 11 yds · 2:0748% → 46%
Q2 11:08
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+12
52.2%
Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Christian Dremel for 12 yds to the RUTG 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:25
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+3
52.1%
Samuel Brown V run for 3 yds to the RUTG 25Similar
Q2 9:47
2ND & 7
OWN 25
+1
51.8%
Samuel Brown V run for 1 yd to the RUTG 26Similar
Q2 9:07
3RD & 6
OWN 26
0
52.7%
Gavin Wimsatt pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:01
4TH & 6
OWN 26
-5
53.5%
Rutgers Penalty, False Start (Deion Jennings) to the RUTG 21Similar
Q2 9:01
4TH & 11
OWN 21
0
53.8%
Flynn Appleby punt for 30 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 7FG
11 plays · 37 yds · 6:0556% → 58%
Q2 8:55
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+6
55.9%
Deacon Hill pass complete to Kaleb Brown for 6 yds to the RUTG 45Similar
Q2 8:21
2ND & 4
OPP 45
+3
56.5%
Leshon Williams run for 3 yds to the RUTG 42Similar
Q2 7:51
3RD & 1
OPP 42
+2
56.0%
Deacon Hill run for 2 yds to the RUTG 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:07
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+10
56.6%
(07:07) HILL, Deacon sacked for a loss of 6 yards at the RU46 (LEWIS, Aaron), clock 07:00. PENALTY RU Holding on MELTON, Max enforced 10 yards from the RU40 to the RU30 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 6:37
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+7
57.3%
Deacon Hill pass complete to Leshon Williams for 7 yds to the RUTG 23Similar
Q2 5:59
2ND & 3
OPP 23
+2
57.5%
Leshon Williams run for 2 yds to the RUTG 21Similar
Q2 5:39
3RD & 1
OPP 21
+1
56.6%
Deacon Hill run for 1 yd to the RUTG 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:52
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+7
57.8%
Deacon Hill pass complete to Nico Ragaini for 7 yds to the RUTG 13Similar
Q2 4:10
2ND & 3
OPP 13
+1
58.0%
Leshon Williams run for 1 yd to the RUTG 12Similar
Q2 3:26
3RD & 2
OPP 12
-2
57.1%
Leshon Williams run for a loss of 2 yards to the RUTG 14Similar
Q2 2:50
4TH & 4
OPP 14
+32
58.4%
Drew Stevens 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 18 yds · 1:1842% → 42%
Q2 2:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
57.6%
Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Johnny Langan for 12 yds to the RUTG 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:22
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-1
56.7%
Kyle Monangai run for a loss of 1 yard to the RUTG 36Similar
Q2 1:43
2ND & 11
OWN 36
+7
57.7%
Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Kyle Monangai for 7 yds to the RUTG 43Similar
Q2 1:37
3RD & 4
OWN 43
0
55.6%
Gavin Wimsatt pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:31
4TH & 4
OWN 43
0
58.0%
Flynn Appleby punt for 34 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 9INT
10 plays · 62 yds · 1:1158% → 63%
Q2 1:22
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+6
57.9%
Deacon Hill pass complete to Addison Ostrenga for 6 yds to the IOWA 32Similar
Q2 0:59
2ND & 4
OWN 32
+21
59.1%
Deacon Hill pass complete to Seth Anderson for 21 yds to the RUTG 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:34
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+11
61.1%
Deacon Hill pass complete to Nico Ragaini for 11 yds to the RUTG 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:30
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
61.2%
Deacon Hill pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:26
2ND & 10
OPP 36
0
61.1%
Deacon Hill pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:23
3RD & 10
OPP 36
+13
60.0%
Deacon Hill pass complete to Addison Ostrenga for 13 yds to the RUTG 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:17
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+11
62.4%
Deacon Hill pass complete to Kaleb Brown for 11 yds to the RUTG 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:11
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
63.1%
Deacon Hill pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 10END OF HALF
1 play · -5 yds · 0:0039% → 39%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 8
0
61.4%
[NHSG] Kneel down by RU at RU3 (team loss of 5), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 11PUNT
9 plays · 25 yds · 4:3442% → 41%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
58.2%
Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Ian Strong for 11 yds to the RUTG 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:25
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
57.5%
Kyle Monangai run for 4 yds to the RUTG 40Similar
Q3 13:37
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+2
56.2%
Kyle Monangai run for 2 yds to the RUTG 42Similar
Q3 12:58
3RD & 4
OWN 42
+4
56.4%
Aaron Young run for 4 yds to the RUTG 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:21
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+7
56.0%
Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Ian Strong for 7 yds to the IOWA 47Similar
Q3 11:47
2ND & 3
OPP 47
+2
55.2%
Kyle Monangai run for 2 yds to the IOWA 45Similar
Q3 11:09
3RD & 1
OPP 45
0
55.6%
Kyle Monangai run for no gain to the IOWA 45Similar
Q3 10:26
4TH & 1
OPP 45
-5
57.9%
Rutgers Penalty, False Start (Johnny Langan) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 10:26
4TH & 6
50
0
59.3%
Flynn Appleby punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Cooper DeJean at the IOWA 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 12PUNT
6 plays · 13 yds · 2:1060% → 59%
Q3 10:05
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+9
60.3%
Leshon Williams run for 9 yds to the IOWA 23Similar
Q3 9:31
2ND & 1
OWN 23
+3
61.9%
Jaziun Patterson run for 3 yds to the IOWA 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:51
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
61.7%
Deacon Hill pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:45
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+1
61.2%
Kaleb Johnson run for 1 yd to the IOWA 27Similar
Q3 8:01
3RD & 9
OWN 27
0
60.1%
Deacon Hill pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:55
4TH & 9
OWN 27
0
59.4%
Tory Taylor punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Christian Dremel at the RUTG 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:2240% → 38%
Q3 7:50
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+5
60.1%
Samuel Brown V run for 5 yds to the RUTG 31Similar
Q3 7:11
2ND & 5
OWN 31
+2
59.0%
Samuel Brown V run for 2 yds to the RUTG 33Similar
Q3 6:31
3RD & 3
OWN 33
0
60.0%
Gavin Wimsatt pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:28
4TH & 3
OWN 33
0
61.9%
Flynn Appleby punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Cooper DeJean at the IOWA 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 14FG
5 plays · 54 yds · 2:0462% → 70%
Q3 6:22
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+54
62.2%
Deacon Hill pass complete to Zach Ortwerth for 54 yds to the RUTG 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:41
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-4
67.2%
Nico Ragaini run for a loss of 4 yards to the RUTG 29Similar
Q3 5:01
2ND & 14
OPP 29
+4
65.6%
Deacon Hill pass complete to Addison Ostrenga for 4 yds to the RUTG 25Similar
Q3 4:26
3RD & 10
OPP 25
0
65.5%
Deacon Hill pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:18
4TH & 10
OPP 25
+43
70.2%
Drew Stevens 43 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · -7 yds · 0:5033% → 30%
Q3 4:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-7
66.8%
Gavin Wimsatt sacked by Nick Jackson for a loss of 7 yards to the RUTG 18Similar
Q3 3:37
2ND & 17
OWN 18
0
67.7%
Gavin Wimsatt pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:32
3RD & 17
OWN 18
0
69.0%
Gavin Wimsatt pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:28
4TH & 17
OWN 18
0
69.9%
Flynn Appleby punt for 36 yds, downed at the IOWA 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 16TD
10 plays · 54 yds · 4:3875% → 89%
Q3 3:16
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
75.3%
Leshon Williams run for 2 yds to the IOWA 48Similar
Q3 2:44
2ND & 8
OWN 48
+7
75.6%
Deacon Hill pass complete to Addison Ostrenga for 7 yds to the RUTG 45Similar
Q3 2:07
3RD & 1
OPP 45
+2
75.3%
Jaziun Patterson run for 2 yds to the RUTG 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:34
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+2
77.9%
Kaleb Johnson run for 2 yds to the RUTG 41Similar
Q3 0:59
2ND & 8
OPP 41
+13
78.0%
Deacon Hill pass complete to Nico Ragaini for 13 yds to the RUTG 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:31
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+2
78.8%
Deacon Hill pass complete to Jaziun Patterson for 2 yds to the RUTG 26Similar
Q4 14:59
2ND & 8
OPP 26
+17
79.0%
Deacon Hill pass complete to Nico Ragaini for 17 yds to the RUTG 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+5
79.3%
Kaleb Johnson run for 5 yds to the RUTG 4Similar
Q4 13:38
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
89.0%
Jaziun Patterson run for 4 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · -10 yds · 1:1914% → 12%
Q4 13:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
86.2%
Gavin Wimsatt pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:32
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
86.7%
Gavin Wimsatt run for 3 yds to the RUTG 28Similar
Q4 13:00
3RD & 7
OWN 28
-13
87.1%
run for a loss of 13 yards to the RUTG 15Similar
Q4 12:18
4TH & 20
OWN 15
0
87.8%
Flynn Appleby punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Cooper DeJean at the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 18FG
12 plays · 44 yds · 6:2492% → 96%
Q4 12:07
1ST & 10
50
+1
92.2%
Kaleb Johnson run for 1 yd to the RUTG 49Similar
Q4 11:33
2ND & 9
OPP 49
+5
92.1%
Jaziun Patterson run for 5 yds to the RUTG 44Similar
Q4 10:54
3RD & 4
OPP 44
+5
92.1%
Deacon Hill pass complete to Addison Ostrenga for 5 yds to the RUTG 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:17
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+9
93.0%
Jaziun Patterson run for 9 yds to the RUTG 30Similar
Q4 9:41
2ND & 1
OPP 30
+2
93.6%
Jaziun Patterson run for 2 yds to the RUTG 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
93.8%
Deacon Hill pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:56
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+7
93.8%
Jaziun Patterson run for 7 yds to the RUTG 21Similar
Q4 8:15
3RD & 3
OPP 21
+13
93.9%
Kaleb Brown run for 13 yds to the RUTG 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+5
94.3%
Deacon Hill pass complete to Addison Ostrenga for 5 yds to the RUTG 3Similar
Q4 6:57
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
-9
95.0%
Deacon Hill run for a loss of 9 yards to the RUTG 12 Deacon Hill fumbled, recovered by IOWA Deacon Hill (06:57) [SG] QB Keeper HILL, Deacon rush for a loss of 9 yards, HILL, Deacon fumbled at RU10 , recovered by UI HILL, Deacon at the RU12, returned 0 yards to the RU12, End of Play, clock 06:32.Similar
Q4 6:18
3RD & GOAL
OPP 12
+6
95.2%
Jaziun Patterson run for 6 yds to the RUTG 6Similar
Q4 5:43
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+24
96.4%
Drew Stevens 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 19INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q4 5:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
95.1%
Gavin Wimsatt pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 20TD
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:4897% → 100%
Q4 5:27
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-2
97.1%
Kaden Wetjen run for a loss of 2 yards to the RUTG 11Similar
Q4 4:44
2ND & GOAL
OPP 11
+1
97.2%
Jaziun Patterson run for 1 yd to the RUTG 10Similar
Q4 4:39
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
99.6%
Deacon Hill pass complete to Kaleb Brown for 10 yds for a TD (Drew Stevens KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 21PUNT
6 plays · -5 yds · 0:191% → 1%
Q4 4:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.3%
Gavin Wimsatt pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:33
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
99.3%
Gavin Wimsatt pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:31
3RD & 10
OWN 25
-5
99.4%
Rutgers Penalty, False Start (Hollin Pierce) to the RUTG 20Similar
Q4 4:31
3RD & 15
OWN 20
0
99.4%
Gavin Wimsatt pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:19
4TH & 15
OWN 20
0
99.5%
Flynn Appleby punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Cooper DeJean at the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 22END OF GAME
7 plays · 44 yds · 3:35100% → 100%
Q4 4:15
1ST & 10
50
+5
99.7%
Kaleb Johnson run for 5 yds to the RUTG 45Similar
Q4 3:26
2ND & 5
OPP 45
+27
99.7%
Kaleb Johnson run for 27 yds to the RUTG 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:52
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+3
99.7%
Kaleb Johnson run for 3 yds to the RUTG 15Similar
Q4 2:06
2ND & 7
OPP 15
+1
99.8%
Kaleb Johnson run for 1 yd to the RUTG 14Similar
Q4 1:23
3RD & 6
OPP 14
+5
99.8%
Kaleb Johnson run for 5 yds to the RUTG 9Similar
Q4 1:14
4TH & 1
OPP 9
+4
99.8%
Kaleb Johnson run for 4 yds to the RUTG 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
99.8%
(00:40) Kneel down by UI at RU6 (team loss of 1), clock 00:35.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 13:38
Jaziun Patterson run for 4 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)
+9.5
KEY PLAY · Q3 3:16
Leshon Williams run for 2 yds to the IOWA 48
+5.4
KEY PLAY · Q3 5:41
Nico Ragaini run for a loss of 4 yards to the RUTG 29
+5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com