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MISS

Ole Miss 17 at Georgia 52

UGA
2023 · Week 11 · Nov 11, 2023 · Sanford Stadium
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Win probability · UGA
modelUGA aheadMISS aheadconfidence bandkey playUGA scoreMISS score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 1:27 · Spencer Sanders pass incomplete
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 146Pregame prior+0.8Home team on offense+35.5Score differential+30.0Garbage-time factor+11.0Blowout margin+17.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+7.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 3:09: Carson Beck pass complete to Ladd McConkey for 29 yds for a TD (Peyton Woodring KICK) — UGA win probability +3.0 pts (now 80%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 14:16: Quinshon Judkins run for 4 yds for a TD (Caden Davis KICK) — MISS win probability +4.1 pts (now 27%) (top driver: MISS has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 9:58: Daijun Edwards run for 1 yd for a TD (Peyton Woodring KICK) — UGA win probability +3.8 pts (now 81%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 2:27: Kendall Milton run for 7 yds for a TD (Peyton Woodring KICK) — UGA win probability +6.0 pts (now 87%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 9:15: Kendall Milton run for 33 yds for a TD (Peyton Woodring KICK) — UGA win probability +6.9 pts (now 96%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UGA made the numbers' call on 2 of 2MISS made the numbers' call on 8 of 8
  1. Q1 15:00MISS 4th & 1 at MISS 34, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 21.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    21.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    21.5%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 4:31MISS 4th & 3 at UGA 40, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 24.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    24.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    24.5%−0.4
    34% to make
    Punt
    24.6%−0.3
    average punt
  3. Q2 7:58MISS 4th & 20 at MISS 15, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.4%−2.0
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.4%
    average punt
  4. Q3 13:59UGA 4th & 5 at UGA 30, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 86.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.6%−0.3
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.9%
    average punt
  5. Q3 11:03MISS 4th & 13 at MISS 32, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.9%−1.8
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.7%
    average punt
  6. Q3 7:21MISS 4th & 7 at MISS 28, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.9%−0.4
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.3%
    average punt
  7. Q3 3:50UGA 4th & 7 at MISS 9, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 96.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.8%−0.2
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    96.0%
    89% to make
    Punt
    93.9%−2.1
    average punt
  8. Q3 2:38MISS 4th & 6 at MISS 31, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.2%−0.3
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.5%
    average punt
  9. Q4 8:50MISS 4th & 5 at UGA 12, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.1%
    86% to make
    Punt
    -0.1%−0.3
    average punt
  10. Q4 1:27MISS 4th & 3 at UGA 21, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%−<0.1
    74% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UGA made the numbers' call on 7 of 7MISS made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 10:30MISS Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    23.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    23.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 7:28UGA Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 3:09UGA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 14:16MISS Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    25.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    25.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 9:58UGA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    77.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 2:27UGA Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 9:15UGA Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 14:12UGA Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 4:12UGA Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MISSDrive 1TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 4:3020% → 23%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
79.6%
Ole Miss Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the MISS 20Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 15
OWN 20
0
79.6%
Jaxson Dart pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+1
79.6%
Jaxson Dart pass complete to Quinshon Judkins for 1 yd to the MISS 21Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 14
OWN 21
+13
79.6%
Jaxson Dart pass complete to Quinshon Judkins for 13 yds to the MISS 34Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+2
79.6%
Quinshon Judkins run for 2 yds to the MISS 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
79.6%
Quinshon Judkins run for 3 yds to the MISS 39Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 39
+7
79.6%
Quinshon Judkins run for 7 yds to the MISS 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
79.6%
Jaxson Dart run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
50
0
79.6%
Jaxson Dart pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
50
+12
79.6%
Jaxson Dart run for 12 yds to the UGA 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+33
79.6%
Jaxson Dart pass complete to Caden Prieskorn for 33 yds to the UGA 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
-10
78.0%
JUDKINS, Quinshon rush up the middle for a gain of 5 yards to the UGA0, TOUCHDOWN OLM, score nullified by penalty, clock 10:37 (Play was confirmed after review). PENALTY OLM Holding on JAMES, Jeremy enforced 10 yards from the UGA5 to the UGA15 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 10:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 15
+15
76.9%
Quinshon Judkins run for 15 yds for a TD (Caden Davis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 2TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 3:0277% → 78%
Q1 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
77.3%
Daijun Edwards run for 8 yds to the UGA 33Similar
Q1 10:30
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+10
77.5%
Carson Beck pass complete to Rara Thomas for 10 yds to the UGA 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+44
77.5%
Carson Beck pass complete to Rara Thomas for 44 yds to the MISS 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:30
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
77.8%
Carson Beck pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:30
2ND & 10
OPP 13
+12
77.8%
Carson Beck pass complete to Kendall Milton for 12 yds to the MISS 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
78.3%
Daijun Edwards run for 1 yd for a TD (Peyton Woodring KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 3DOWNS
8 plays · 35 yds · 2:5723% → 24%
Q1 7:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
77.4%
Jaxson Dart pass complete to Dayton Wade for 17 yds to the MISS 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:28
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+2
77.0%
Jaxson Dart pass complete to Ulysses Bentley IV for 2 yds to the MISS 44Similar
Q1 7:28
2ND & 8
OWN 44
+6
77.0%
Ulysses Bentley IV run for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 7:28
3RD & 2
50
+3
77.0%
Ulysses Bentley IV run for 3 yds to the UGA 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:28
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
76.9%
Jaxson Dart pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:28
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+1
76.9%
Quinshon Judkins run for 1 yd to the UGA 46Similar
Q1 7:28
3RD & 9
OPP 46
+6
77.1%
Jaxson Dart pass complete to Tre Harris for 6 yds to the UGA 40Similar
Q1 4:31
4TH & 3
OPP 40
0
76.3%
Jaxson Dart pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 4TD
3 plays · 60 yds · 1:2277% → 80%
Q1 4:31
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+9
77.1%
Daijun Edwards run for 9 yds to the UGA 49Similar
Q1 4:31
2ND & 1
OWN 49
+22
77.4%
Daijun Edwards run for 22 yds to the MISS 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:09
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+29
80.4%
Carson Beck pass complete to Ladd McConkey for 29 yds for a TD (Peyton Woodring KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 5TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 3:5321% → 27%
Q1 3:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
79.4%
Quinshon Judkins run for 3 yds to the MISS 28Similar
Q1 3:09
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+8
79.3%
Quinshon Judkins run for 8 yds to the MISS 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:09
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+33
79.1%
Jaxson Dart pass complete to Jordan Watkins for 33 yds to the UGA 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:09
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+1
78.2%
Quinshon Judkins run for 1 yd to the UGA 30Similar
Q1 3:09
2ND & 9
OPP 30
+15
78.2%
DART, Jaxson pass deep to the left incomplete intended for WADE, Dayton thrown to the UGA1. PENALTY UGA Pass Interference on HUMPHREY, Julian enforced 15 yards to the UGA15 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 3:09
1ST & 10
OPP 15
-1
78.1%
Quinshon Judkins run for a loss of 1 yard to the UGA 16Similar
Q1 3:09
2ND & 11
OPP 16
+12
78.2%
Jaxson Dart run for 12 yds to the UGA 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
-1
77.3%
Quinshon Judkins run for a loss of 1 yard to the UGA 5Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
77.3%
Jaxson Dart run for 1 yd to the UGA 4Similar
Q2 14:16
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
73.2%
Quinshon Judkins run for 4 yds for a TD (Caden Davis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 6TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 4:1875% → 81%
Q2 14:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
75.3%
Kendall Milton run for 7 yds to the UGA 32Similar
Q2 14:16
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+7
75.9%
Kendall Milton run for 7 yds to the UGA 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:16
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+6
75.8%
Carson Beck pass complete to Ladd McConkey for 6 yds to the UGA 45Similar
Q2 14:16
2ND & 4
OWN 45
+5
76.4%
Kendall Milton run for 5 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:16
1ST & 10
50
+7
76.4%
Carson Beck pass complete to Brock Bowers for 7 yds to the MISS 43Similar
Q2 14:16
2ND & 3
OPP 43
+41
76.6%
Carson Beck pass complete to Ladd McConkey for 41 yds to the MISS 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
76.8%
Daijun Edwards run for 1 yd to the MISS 1Similar
Q2 9:58
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
80.6%
Daijun Edwards run for 1 yd for a TD (Peyton Woodring KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · -10 yds · 2:0021% → 20%
Q2 9:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-10
79.0%
Jaxson Dart sacked by Nazir Stackhouse for a loss of 10 yards to the MISS 15Similar
Q2 9:58
2ND & 20
OWN 15
0
79.2%
Jaxson Dart run for no gain to the MISS 15Similar
Q2 9:58
3RD & 20
OWN 15
0
79.7%
Quinshon Judkins run for no gain to the MISS 15Similar
Q2 7:58
4TH & 20
OWN 15
0
80.4%
Fraser Masin punt for 47 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 8TD
10 plays · 62 yds · 5:3181% → 87%
Q2 7:58
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+19
80.6%
Carson Beck pass complete to Brock Bowers for 19 yds to the MISS 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:58
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-5
81.1%
Georgia Penalty, False Start (TEAM) to the MISS 48Similar
Q2 7:58
1ST & 15
OPP 48
+2
80.6%
Daijun Edwards run for 2 yds to the MISS 46Similar
Q2 7:58
2ND & 13
OPP 46
+14
80.5%
Carson Beck pass complete to Daijun Edwards for 14 yds to the MISS 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:58
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+7
81.2%
Carson Beck run for 7 yds to the MISS 25Similar
Q2 7:58
2ND & 3
OPP 25
+1
81.2%
Daijun Edwards run for 1 yd to the MISS 24Similar
Q2 7:58
3RD & 2
OPP 24
+6
80.7%
Kendall Milton run for 6 yds to the MISS 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:58
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+5
81.2%
Carson Beck pass complete to Ladd McConkey for 5 yds to the MISS 13Similar
Q2 7:58
2ND & 5
OPP 13
+6
81.2%
Kendall Milton run for 6 yds to the MISS 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:27
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
87.2%
Kendall Milton run for 7 yds for a TD (Peyton Woodring KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 9INT
4 plays · 15 yds · 1:2314% → 14%
Q2 2:23
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+6
86.0%
Jaxson Dart pass complete to Tre Harris for 6 yds to the MISS 11Similar
Q2 2:23
2ND & 4
OWN 11
+9
85.7%
Quinshon Judkins run for 9 yds to the MISS 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:23
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
85.5%
Jaxson Dart pass complete to Quinshon Judkins for no gain to the MISS 20Similar
Q2 1:00
2ND & 10
OWN 20
0
86.2%
Jaxson Dart pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 10INT
6 plays · 17 yds · 0:5388% → 87%
Q2 1:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+3
88.0%
Carson Beck pass complete to Daijun Edwards for 3 yds to the MISS 42Similar
Q2 1:00
2ND & 7
OPP 42
-10
87.9%
BECK, Carson pass to the left complete for 11 yards to EDWARDS, Daijun caught at the OLM48 and advanced to the OLM31 (WASHINGTON, Trey). PENALTY UGA Holding on ROSEMY-JACKSAINT, Marcus enforced 10 yards from the OLM42 to the UGA48 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 1:00
2ND & 17
OWN 48
+7
87.7%
Carson Beck pass complete to Dominic Lovett for 7 yds to the MISS 45Similar
Q2 0:12
3RD & 10
OPP 45
+17
85.9%
Carson Beck pass complete to Dominic Lovett for 17 yds to the MISS 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:07
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
87.0%
Carson Beck pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 11END OF HALF
1 play · 4 yds · 0:0013% → 13%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+4
86.9%
Quinshon Judkins run for 4 yds to the MISS 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 12PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:0188% → 87%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
87.8%
Carson Beck pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
87.8%
Daijun Edwards run for 5 yds to the UGA 30Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
87.4%
Carson Beck pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:59
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
87.0%
Brett Thorson punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Jordan Watkins at the MISS 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 13PUNT
9 plays · 3 yds · 2:5613% → 12%
Q3 13:59
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+4
87.1%
Quinshon Judkins run for 4 yds to the MISS 33Similar
Q3 13:59
2ND & 6
OWN 33
-7
86.7%
Jaxson Dart sacked by C.J. Allen for a loss of 7 yards to the MISS 26Similar
Q3 13:59
3RD & 13
OWN 26
0
87.7%
Jaxson Dart pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:59
4TH & 13
OWN 26
-15
87.9%
Ole Miss Penalty, Personal Foul (Tre Harris) to the MISS 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:59
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
86.9%
Quinshon Judkins run for 2 yds to the MISS 37Similar
Q3 13:59
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+1
86.7%
Quinshon Judkins run for 1 yd to the MISS 38Similar
Q3 13:59
3RD & 7
OWN 38
0
87.0%
Jaxson Dart pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:09
4TH & 7
OWN 38
-6
88.1%
MASIN, Fraser punt 51 yards to the UGA11, MEWS, Mekhi returned 3 yards to the UGA14 (TENNISON, Ladarius), clock 11:09. PENALTY Before the snap, OLM Illegal Formation enforced 6 yards from the OLM38 to the OLM32. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 11:03
4TH & 13
OWN 32
0
88.5%
Fraser Masin punt for 43 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 14TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 1:4889% → 96%
Q3 11:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
88.9%
Ladd McConkey run for 11 yds to the UGA 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:03
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+22
89.1%
Carson Beck pass complete to Marcus Rosemy-Jacksaint for 22 yds to the MISS 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:03
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+9
89.5%
Carson Beck run for 9 yds to the MISS 33Similar
Q3 9:15
2ND & 1
OPP 33
+33
96.4%
Kendall Milton run for 33 yds for a TD (Peyton Woodring KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:544% → 4%
Q3 9:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
95.8%
Quinshon Judkins run for 6 yds to the MISS 31Similar
Q3 9:15
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+1
95.6%
Quinshon Judkins run for 1 yd to the MISS 32Similar
Q3 9:15
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+1
95.7%
Jaxson Dart pass complete to Jordan Watkins for 1 yd to the MISS 33Similar
Q3 9:15
4TH & 2
OWN 33
-5
95.7%
Ole Miss Penalty, Illegal Snap on WARREN, Caleb enforced (Caleb Warren) to the MISS 28Similar
Q3 7:21
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
96.3%
Fraser Masin punt for 48 yds, downed at the UGA 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 16FG
9 plays · 67 yds · 3:3196% → 98%
Q3 7:21
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+5
96.3%
Kendall Milton run for 5 yds to the UGA 29Similar
Q3 7:21
2ND & 5
OWN 29
+10
96.4%
Carson Beck pass complete to Dominic Lovett for 10 yds to the UGA 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:21
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-15
96.5%
BECK, Carson pass short to the left complete for 17 yards to EDWARDS, Daijun caught at the UGA41 and advanced to the OLM44 (TENNISON, Ladarius). PENALTY UGA Pass Interference on BOWERS, Brock enforced 15 yards to the UGA24 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 7:21
1ST & 25
OWN 24
+9
96.3%
Carson Beck pass complete to Oscar Delp for 9 yds to the UGA 33Similar
Q3 7:21
2ND & 16
OWN 33
+43
96.3%
Ole Miss Penalty, Personal Foul (Daijahn Anthony) to the MISS 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:21
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+3
96.7%
Daijun Edwards run for 3 yds to the MISS 9Similar
Q3 7:21
2ND & 7
OPP 9
0
96.7%
Carson Beck pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:21
3RD & 7
OPP 9
0
96.6%
Carson Beck pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:50
4TH & 7
OPP 9
+27
97.8%
Peyton Woodring 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:063% → 2%
Q3 3:44
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+8
97.5%
Jaxson Dart run for 8 yds to the MISS 35Similar
Q3 3:44
2ND & 2
OWN 35
+1
97.5%
Quinshon Judkins run for 1 yd to the MISS 36Similar
Q3 3:44
3RD & 1
OWN 36
-5
97.5%
Ole Miss Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the MISS 31Similar
Q3 3:44
3RD & 6
OWN 31
0
97.5%
Spencer Sanders pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:38
4TH & 6
OWN 31
0
97.9%
Fraser Masin punt for 46 yds , Mekhi Mews returns for no gain to the UGA 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 18TD
7 plays · 79 yds · 3:2698% → 100%
Q3 2:38
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+3
98.0%
Daijun Edwards run for 3 yds to the UGA 24Similar
Q3 2:38
2ND & 7
OWN 24
0
98.0%
Carson Beck pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:38
3RD & 7
OWN 24
+14
98.0%
Carson Beck run for 14 yds to the UGA 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:38
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+51
98.1%
Kendall Milton run for 51 yds to the MISS 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+3
98.5%
Daijun Edwards run for 3 yds to the MISS 8Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 8
0
98.5%
Carson Beck run for no gain to the MISS 8Similar
Q4 14:12
3RD & 7
OPP 8
+8
99.8%
Carson Beck pass complete to Brock Bowers for 8 yds for a TD (Peyton Woodring KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 19FG
13 plays · 63 yds · 5:220% → 0%
Q4 14:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.8%
Ulysses Bentley IV run for 2 yds to the MISS 27Similar
Q4 14:12
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+6
99.8%
Ulysses Bentley IV run for 6 yds to the MISS 33Similar
Q4 14:12
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+6
99.8%
Ulysses Bentley IV run for 6 yds to the MISS 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:12
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
99.8%
Ulysses Bentley IV run for no gain to the MISS 39Similar
Q4 14:12
2ND & 10
OWN 39
0
99.8%
Quinshon Judkins run for no gain to the MISS 39Similar
Q4 14:12
3RD & 10
OWN 39
+15
99.8%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Caden Prieskorn for 15 yds to the UGA 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:12
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+1
99.8%
Spencer Sanders run for 1 yd to the UGA 45Similar
Q4 14:12
2ND & 9
OPP 45
+5
99.8%
Quinshon Judkins run for 5 yds to the UGA 40Similar
Q4 14:12
3RD & 4
OPP 40
+23
99.8%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Dayton Wade for 23 yds to the UGA 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:12
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+5
99.8%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Dayton Wade for 5 yds to the UGA 12Similar
Q4 14:12
2ND & 5
OPP 12
+1
99.8%
Spencer Sanders run for 1 yd to the UGA 11Similar
Q4 14:12
3RD & 4
OPP 11
-1
99.8%
Spencer Sanders run for a loss of 1 yard to the UGA 12Similar
Q4 8:50
4TH & 5
OPP 12
+29
99.9%
Caden Davis 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 20TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 4:38100% → 100%
Q4 8:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
99.9%
Andrew Paul run for 7 yds to the UGA 32Similar
Q4 8:50
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+2
99.9%
Andrew Paul run for 2 yds to the UGA 34Similar
Q4 8:50
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+12
99.9%
Andrew Paul run for 12 yds to the UGA 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:50
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+36
99.9%
Roderick Robinson II run for 36 yds to the MISS 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:50
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+5
99.9%
Brock Vandagriff pass complete to Lawson Luckie for 5 yds to the MISS 13Similar
Q4 8:50
2ND & 5
OPP 13
+4
99.9%
Cash Jones run for 4 yds to the MISS 9Similar
Q4 8:50
3RD & 1
OPP 9
0
99.9%
Andrew Paul run for no gain to the MISS 9Similar
Q4 4:17
4TH & 1
OPP 9
0
99.9%
VANDAGRIFF, Brock pass to the left incomplete intended for MEEKS, Jackson thrown to the OLM0, clock 04:17. PENALTY OLM Offsides on HARRIS, Zxavian enforced half the distance from the goal, 4 yards from the OLM9 to the OLM5 and results in a 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 4:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
99.9%
Andrew Paul run for 4 yds for a TD (Peyton Woodring KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 21DOWNS
8 plays · 54 yds · 2:450% → 0%
Q4 4:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+18
99.9%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Hudson Wolfe for 18 yds to the MISS 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:12
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+15
99.9%
Spencer Sanders run for 15 yds to the UGA 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:12
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+9
99.9%
Matt Jones run for 9 yds to the UGA 33Similar
Q4 4:12
2ND & 1
OPP 33
+5
99.9%
Spencer Sanders run for 5 yds to the UGA 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:12
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+4
99.9%
Jam Griffin run for 4 yds to the UGA 24Similar
Q4 4:12
2ND & 6
OPP 24
0
99.9%
Spencer Sanders pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:12
3RD & 6
OPP 24
+3
99.9%
Matt Jones run for 3 yds to the UGA 21Similar
Q4 1:27
4TH & 3
OPP 21
0
99.9%
Spencer Sanders pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 22END OF GAME
2 plays · 8 yds · 1:27100% → 100%
Q4 1:27
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+1
99.9%
Roderick Robinson II run for 1 yd to the UGA 22Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 9
OWN 22
+7
100.0%
Andrew Paul run for 7 yds to the UGA 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 9:15
Kendall Milton run for 33 yds for a TD (Peyton Woodring KICK)
+6.9
TD · Q2 2:27
Kendall Milton run for 7 yds for a TD (Peyton Woodring KICK)
+6
TD · Q2 14:16
Quinshon Judkins run for 4 yds for a TD (Caden Davis KICK)
-4.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com