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HC

Holy Cross 14 at Army 17

ARMY
2023 · Week 11 · Nov 11, 2023 · Michie Stadium
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Win probability · ARMY
modelARMY aheadHC aheadconfidence bandkey playARMY scoreHC score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 12:22 · Cooper Allan punt for 43 yds , Jalen Coker returns for no gain to the HC 30
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsTime remaining
+28.0+14.00−14.0−28.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 79Pregame prior+13.1Home team on offense+13.8Garbage-time factor+5.0Score differential+6.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+2.1Time remaining−0.8
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 11:14: Tyrell Robinson run for 14 yds for a TD (Quinn Maretzki KICK) — ARMY win probability +5.2 pts (now 84%) (top driver: ARMY has the ball).
  2. TD · Q4 11:47: Matthew Sluka pass complete to Justin Shorter for 24 yds for a TD (Luis Palenzuela KICK) — HC win probability +12.6 pts (now 22%) (top driver: HC has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 2:05: Matthew Sluka pass complete to Jalen Coker for 8 yds for a TD (Luis Palenzuela KICK) — HC win probability +27.5 pts (now 37%) (top driver: Blowout context favors the defense).
  4. TD · Q4 2:05: PENALTY HOLY UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Coker,Jalen) 15 yards from HOLY35 to HOLY20. NO PLAY. — ARMY win probability +10.7 pts (now 74%) (top driver: HC has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 2:04: Bryson Daily run for 4 yds to the HC 31 — ARMY win probability +14.0 pts (now 89%) (top driver: ARMY has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ARMY made the numbers' call on 6 of 8HC made the numbers' call on 5 of 7
  1. Q1 12:34HC 4th & 17 at HC 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.9%−0.2
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.1%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:34HC 4th & 4 at ARMY 46, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 21.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    21.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    21.5%−0.1
    23% to make
    Punt
    21.6%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:15ARMY 4th & 3 at ARMY 41, up 7
    Close callPunted · 78.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    78.6%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:42HC 4th & 8 at ARMY 31, down 7
    Close callWent for it · 22.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    21.8%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    21.9%
    54% to make
    Punt
    21.4%−0.5
    average punt
  5. Q2 15:00ARMY 4th & 3 at ARMY 40, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 78.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    78.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    78.1%−0.2
    average punt
  6. Q2 11:14HC 4th & 2 at ARMY 34, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 17.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    17.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    16.6%−1.2
    47% to make
    Punt
    16.1%−1.6
    average punt
  7. Q2 2:38ARMY 4th & 1 at HC 1, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 85.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    85.1%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    83.3%−1.7
    94% to make
    Punt
    79.4%−5.7
    average punt
  8. Q2 2:38ARMY 4th & 1 at HC 1, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 85.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    85.1%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    83.3%−1.7
    94% to make
    Punt
    79.4%−5.7
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:44HC 4th & 8 at ARMY 47, down 14
    Close callPunted · 14.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.2%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  10. Q3 12:22ARMY 4th & 5 at ARMY 27, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 87.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.5%−0.4
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.8%
    average punt
  11. Q3 4:25HC 4th & 2 at ARMY 2, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 11.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    12.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    10.6%−1.5
    94% to make
    Punt
    4.1%−8.0
    average punt
  12. Q3 0:18ARMY 4th & 4 at ARMY 19, up 14
    Close callPunted · 93.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.3%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.2%−0.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 4:59ARMY 4th & 6 at HC 9, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 90.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.1%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    90.2%
    89% to make
    Punt
    85.2%−5.0
    average punt
  14. Q4 3:19HC 4th & 6 at HC 29, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 5.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.0%
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    6.0%−0.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 1:50ARMY 4th & 1 at HC 26, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 87.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    89.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    82.8%−6.5
    64% to make
    Punt
    67.1%−22.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ARMY made the numbers' call on 2 of 2HC made the numbers' call on 0 of 2
  1. Q1 12:34ARMY Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 11:14ARMY Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 11:47HC Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    13.8%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    13.8%
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 2:05HC Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Numbers favored go for two by 1.3 ptsKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    13.2%−1.3
    97% to make
    Go for two
    14.5%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
HCDrive 1PUNT TD
7 plays · 7 yds · 2:2622% → 22%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
77.7%
Tyler Purdy run for 7 yds to the HC 32Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+7
77.7%
Matthew Sluka pass complete to Jalen Coker for 7 yds to the HC 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
77.7%
Jordan Fuller run for no gain to the HC 39Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 39
0
77.7%
Matthew Sluka pass incomplete to Jalen CokerSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 39
-7
77.7%
Matthew Sluka sacked by Leo Lowin for a loss of 7 yards to the HC 32Similar
Q1 12:34
4TH & 17
OWN 32
+12
77.8%
Elo Modozie 12 Yd Return of Blocked Punt (Quinn Maretzki Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HCDrive 2FUMBLE
13 plays · 41 yds · 5:4722% → 23%
Q1 12:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
77.7%
Matthew Sluka run for 13 yds to the HC 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:34
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-5
77.6%
PENALTY HOLY False Start (Schon,Eric) 5 yards from HOLY38 to HOLY33. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 12:34
1ST & 15
OWN 33
+5
77.7%
Jordan Fuller run for 5 yds to the HC 38Similar
Q1 12:34
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+9
77.6%
Matthew Sluka run for 9 yds to the HC 47Similar
Q1 12:34
3RD & 1
OWN 47
+1
77.6%
Matthew Sluka run for 1 yd to the HC 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:34
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
77.6%
Matthew Sluka pass incomplete to Jalen CokerSimilar
Q1 12:34
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+4
77.6%
Matthew Sluka run for 4 yds to the ARMY 48Similar
Q1 12:34
3RD & 6
OPP 48
+2
77.6%
Matthew Sluka run for 2 yds to the ARMY 46Similar
Q1 12:34
4TH & 4
OPP 46
+7
77.6%
Matthew Sluka pass complete to Jalen Coker for 7 yds to the ARMY 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:34
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+3
77.5%
Matthew Sluka run for 3 yds to the ARMY 36Similar
Q1 12:34
2ND & 7
OPP 36
+7
77.5%
Tyler Purdy run for 7 yds to the ARMY 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:47
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-5
76.9%
Matthew Sluka sacked by Leo Lowin for a loss of 5 yards to the ARMY 34 Matthew Sluka fumbled, recovered by HC Jackson Powell , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 2:3278% → 78%
Q1 6:47
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
78.0%
No Huddle-Shotgun Udoh,Kanye rush right for 15 yards gain to the ARMY49 (Spence,Terrence) PENALTY ARMY Holding (Finucane,Connor) ARMY Holding declined 10 yards from ARMY34 to ARMY24. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 6:47
1ST & 20
OWN 24
+10
77.9%
Tyrell Robinson run for 10 yds to the ARMY 34Similar
Q1 6:47
2ND & 10
OWN 34
0
78.0%
Tyrell Robinson run for no gain to the ARMY 34Similar
Q1 6:47
3RD & 10
OWN 34
+7
77.8%
Bryson Daily run for 7 yds to the ARMY 41Similar
Q1 4:15
4TH & 3
OWN 41
0
77.8%
Cooper Allan punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Jalen Coker at the HC 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HCDrive 4DOWNS
7 plays · 51 yds · 3:3322% → 23%
Q1 4:15
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+3
77.8%
Matthew Sluka run for 3 yds to the HC 19Similar
Q1 4:15
2ND & 7
OWN 19
+6
77.9%
Matthew Sluka run for 6 yds to the HC 25Similar
Q1 4:15
3RD & 1
OWN 25
+42
77.8%
Matthew Sluka run for 42 yds to the ARMY 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:15
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
76.6%
Jordan Fuller run for no gain to the ARMY 33Similar
Q1 4:15
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+2
76.7%
Jordan Fuller run for 2 yds to the ARMY 31Similar
Q1 4:15
3RD & 8
OPP 31
0
77.1%
Matthew Sluka pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:42
4TH & 8
OPP 31
-2
77.4%
Matthew Sluka sacked by Quindrelin Hammonds for a loss of 2 yards to the ARMY 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 5TD
8 plays · 67 yds · 4:2878% → 84%
Q1 0:42
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+2
78.0%
Kanye Udoh run for 2 yds to the ARMY 35Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 8
OWN 35
0
78.0%
Bryson Daily pass incomplete to Tyrell RobinsonSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 35
+5
77.6%
Kanye Udoh run for 5 yds to the ARMY 40Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 3
OWN 40
+29
77.6%
Bryson Daily run for 29 yds to the HC 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+10
78.9%
Tyrell Robinson run for 10 yds to the HC 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+3
78.9%
Jake Rendina run for 3 yds to the HC 18Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 18
+4
78.9%
Bryson Daily run for 4 yds to the HC 14Similar
Q2 11:14
3RD & 3
OPP 14
+14
84.0%
Tyrell Robinson run for 14 yds for a TD (Quinn Maretzki KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HCDrive 6INT
11 plays · 45 yds · 4:2018% → 18%
Q2 11:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
82.2%
Matthew Sluka pass complete to Justin Shorter for 6 yds to the HC 31Similar
Q2 11:14
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
81.9%
Matthew Sluka run for no gain to the HC 31Similar
Q2 11:14
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+17
82.1%
Matthew Sluka run for 17 yds to the HC 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:14
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-5
81.5%
PENALTY HOLY False Start (Petersen,Jacob) 5 yards from HOLY48 to HOLY43. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 11:14
1ST & 15
OWN 43
+15
82.1%
No Huddle-Shotgun Sluka,Matthew pass incomplete deep left to Coker,Jalen PENALTY ARMY Face Mask (Moore,Jabari) 15 yards from HOLY43 to ARMY42, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 11:14
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+1
81.4%
Tyler Purdy run for 1 yd to the ARMY 41Similar
Q2 11:14
2ND & 9
OPP 41
+2
81.4%
Matthew Sluka run for 2 yds to the ARMY 39Similar
Q2 11:14
3RD & 7
OPP 39
+5
81.5%
Matthew Sluka run for 5 yds to the ARMY 34Similar
Q2 11:14
4TH & 2
OPP 34
+4
81.8%
Matthew Sluka run for 4 yds to the ARMY 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:54
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
82.0%
Matthew Sluka pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 7DOWNS
11 plays · 83 yds · 4:1684% → 85%
Q2 6:54
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+10
84.2%
Kanye Udoh run for 10 yds to the ARMY 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:54
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+3
84.2%
Kanye Udoh run for 3 yds to the ARMY 29Similar
Q2 6:54
2ND & 7
OWN 29
+1
84.2%
Bryson Daily pass complete to Noah Short for 1 yd to the ARMY 30Similar
Q2 4:37
3RD & 6
OWN 30
+69
84.3%
Bryson Daily pass complete to Casey Reynolds for 69 yds to the HC 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-10
85.6%
No Huddle-Shotgun Daily,Bryson rush right for 1 yard gain to the HOLY00 TOUCHDOWN nullified by penalty, clock 00:00 PENALTY ARMY Holding (Finucane,Connor) 10 yards from HOLY01 to HOLY11. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 4:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 11
+9
85.5%
Kanye Udoh run for 9 yds to the HC 2Similar
Q2 4:37
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
0
85.5%
Kanye Udoh run for no gain to the HC 2Similar
Q2 4:37
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
85.1%
Bryson Daily run for 1 yd to the HC 1Similar
Q2 2:38
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
0
85.4%
Bryson Daily run for no gain to the HC 1Similar
Q2 2:38
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
0
85.4%
Bryson Daily run for no gain to the HC 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HCDrive 8PUNT
10 plays · 52 yds · 1:5414% → 13%
Q2 2:38
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+10
86.1%
Matthew Sluka pass complete to Jalen Coker for 10 yds to the HC 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:38
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+10
85.7%
Matthew Sluka run for 10 yds to the HC 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:38
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+8
85.6%
Matthew Sluka run for 8 yds to the HC 29Similar
Q2 2:38
2ND & 2
OWN 29
+22
85.2%
Matthew Sluka pass complete to Jalen Coker for 7 yds to the ARMY 36 for a 1ST down Army Penalty, unnecessary roughness (Chris Frey) to the ARMY 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:38
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+2
84.6%
Matthew Sluka run for 2 yds to the ARMY 47Similar
Q2 1:07
2ND & 8
OPP 47
0
84.5%
Matthew Sluka run for no gain to the ARMY 47Similar
Q2 1:00
3RD & 8
OPP 47
0
86.8%
Matthew Sluka pass incomplete to Jalen CokerSimilar
Q2 0:44
4TH & 8
OPP 47
0
87.3%
Matthew Sluka punt for 44 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 9END OF HALF
1 play · 4 yds · 0:0088% → 88%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+4
88.3%
Kanye Udoh run for 4 yds to the ARMY 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 10PUNT
6 plays · 5 yds · 2:3487% → 87%
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-10
87.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun Udoh,Kanye rush middle for 3 yards gain to the ARMY25 (Spence,Terrence) PENALTY ARMY Holding 10 yards from ARMY22 to ARMY12. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 14:56
1ST & 20
OWN 12
+9
87.1%
Tyrell Robinson run for 9 yds to the ARMY 21Similar
Q3 14:56
2ND & 11
OWN 21
+3
87.2%
Bryson Daily run for 3 yds to the ARMY 24Similar
Q3 14:56
3RD & 8
OWN 24
+3
86.7%
Bryson Daily run for 3 yds to the ARMY 27Similar
Q3 12:22
4TH & 5
OWN 27
0
86.8%
Cooper Allan punt for 43 yds , Jalen Coker returns for no gain to the HC 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HCDrive 11DOWNS
19 plays · 68 yds · 7:5713% → 12%
Q3 12:22
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
86.6%
Matthew Sluka run for 4 yds to the HC 34Similar
Q3 12:22
2ND & 6
OWN 34
+13
86.3%
Jordan Fuller run for 13 yds to the HC 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:22
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
85.9%
Matthew Sluka pass incomplete to Byron ShipmanSimilar
Q3 12:22
2ND & 10
OWN 47
-5
86.1%
PENALTY HOLY False Start (Schon,Eric) 5 yards from HOLY47 to HOLY42. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 12:22
2ND & 15
OWN 42
+6
87.2%
Matthew Sluka run for 6 yds to the HC 48Similar
Q3 12:22
3RD & 9
OWN 48
+12
86.4%
Matthew Sluka run for 12 yds to the ARMY 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:22
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+7
85.5%
Matthew Sluka run for 7 yds to the ARMY 33Similar
Q3 12:22
2ND & 3
OPP 33
-4
84.5%
Matthew Sluka sacked for a loss of 4 yards to the ARMY 37Similar
Q3 12:22
3RD & 7
OPP 37
+8
85.7%
Matthew Sluka pass complete to Charly Mullaly for 8 yds to the ARMY 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:22
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+6
84.5%
Matthew Sluka pass complete to Quinton Gregory for 6 yds to the ARMY 23Similar
Q3 12:22
2ND & 4
OPP 23
+1
84.5%
Matthew Sluka run for 1 yd to the ARMY 22Similar
Q3 12:22
3RD & 3
OPP 22
+6
85.3%
Matthew Sluka run for 6 yds to the ARMY 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:22
1ST & 10
OPP 16
-10
84.5%
No Huddle-Shotgun Sluka,Matthew rush right for 6 yards gain to the ARMY10 (Hammonds,Quindrelin) PENALTY HOLY Holding (Newman,Luke) 10 yards from ARMY16 to ARMY26. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 12:22
1ST & 20
OPP 26
+16
85.3%
Matthew Sluka pass complete to Tyler Purdy for 16 yds to the ARMY 10Similar
Q3 12:22
2ND & 4
OPP 10
-13
84.5%
Holy Cross Penalty, False Start (Luke Newman) to the ARMY 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+4
84.5%
Matthew Sluka run for 4 yds to the ARMY 3Similar
Q3 12:22
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
84.5%
Matthew Sluka run for 2 yds to the ARMY 1Similar
Q3 12:22
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
85.2%
Matthew Sluka run for 1 yd to the ARMY 2Similar
Q3 4:25
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
0
87.9%
Matthew Sluka pass incomplete to Jacob PetersenSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 12PUNT
7 plays · 17 yds · 4:0791% → 93%
Q3 4:25
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+4
91.3%
Bryson Daily run for 4 yds to the ARMY 6Similar
Q3 4:25
2ND & 6
OWN 6
+1
91.2%
Bryson Daily run for 1 yd to the ARMY 7Similar
Q3 4:25
3RD & 5
OWN 7
+6
90.9%
Bryson Daily run for 6 yds to the ARMY 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:25
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+3
91.4%
Kanye Udoh run for 3 yds to the ARMY 16Similar
Q3 4:25
2ND & 7
OWN 16
+4
91.4%
Bryson Daily run for 4 yds to the ARMY 20Similar
Q3 4:25
3RD & 3
OWN 20
+1
91.1%
Kanye Udoh run for 1 yd to the ARMY 19Similar
Q3 0:18
4TH & 4
OWN 19
0
93.2%
Cooper Allan punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Jalen Coker at the HC 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HCDrive 13TD
8 plays · 59 yds · 3:139% → 22%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+14
91.0%
Tyler Purdy run for 14 yds to the ARMY 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+2
90.7%
Matthew Sluka pass complete to Sean Morris for 2 yds to the ARMY 43Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 43
+4
90.6%
Matthew Sluka run for 4 yds to the ARMY 39Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 39
+4
90.7%
Matthew Sluka run for 4 yds to the ARMY 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+6
90.1%
Matthew Sluka run for 6 yds to the ARMY 29Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 29
+2
89.6%
Matthew Sluka run for 2 yds to the ARMY 27Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 27
+3
90.3%
Tyler Purdy run for 3 yds to the ARMY 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:47
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+24
77.7%
Matthew Sluka pass complete to Justin Shorter for 24 yds for a TD (Luis Palenzuela KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 14FG
14 plays · 66 yds · 6:4887% → 92%
Q4 11:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
86.9%
Ay'Jaun Marshall run for 4 yds to the ARMY 29Similar
Q4 11:47
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+5
87.0%
Ay'Jaun Marshall run for 5 yds to the ARMY 34Similar
Q4 11:47
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+3
86.8%
Bryson Daily run for 3 yds to the ARMY 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:47
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+11
87.6%
Bryson Daily pass complete to Tyrell Robinson for 11 yds to the ARMY 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:47
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+5
88.4%
Bryson Daily run for 5 yds to the HC 47Similar
Q4 11:47
2ND & 5
OPP 47
+2
88.6%
Bryson Daily pass complete to Ay'Jaun Marshall for 2 yds to the HC 49Similar
Q4 11:47
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+2
88.9%
run for 2 yds to the HC 32Similar
Q4 11:47
2ND & 8
OPP 32
0
88.9%
Bryson Daily pass incomplete to Joshua LingenfelterSimilar
Q4 11:47
3RD & 8
OPP 32
+19
88.0%
Markel Johnson run for 19 yds to the HC 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:47
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+2
88.9%
Markel Johnson run for 2 yds to the HC 11Similar
Q4 11:47
2ND & 8
OPP 11
+3
88.9%
Bryson Daily run for 3 yds to the HC 8Similar
Q4 11:47
3RD & 5
OPP 8
+1
88.0%
Bryson Daily run for 1 yd to the HC 9Similar
Q4 4:59
4TH & 6
OPP 9
+26
92.4%
Quinn Maretzki 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HCDrive 15TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 2:548% → 27%
Q4 4:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
92.5%
Matthew Sluka sacked by Jack Latore for a loss of 1 yard to the HC 24Similar
Q4 4:59
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+6
92.5%
Matthew Sluka pass complete to Jalen Coker for 6 yds to the HC 30Similar
Q4 4:59
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+4
92.0%
Matthew Sluka pass complete to Tyler Purdy for 4 yds to the HC 34Similar
Q4 4:59
4TH & 1
OWN 34
-5
92.1%
PENALTY HOLY False Start (Petersen,Jacob) 5 yards from HOLY34 to HOLY29. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 3:19
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
94.1%
Matthew Sluka pass incomplete for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:19
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+9
92.0%
Matthew Sluka pass complete to Jalen Coker for 9 yds to the ARMY 44Similar
Q4 3:19
2ND & 1
OPP 44
+2
91.1%
Matthew Sluka run for 2 yds to the ARMY 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:19
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+18
91.6%
Matthew Sluka pass complete to Jacob Petersen for 18 yds to the ARMY 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:19
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+16
90.4%
Tyler Purdy run for 16 yds to the ARMY 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
62.8%
Matthew Sluka pass complete to Jalen Coker for 8 yds for a TD (Luis Palenzuela KICK)Similar
Q4 2:05
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-15
73.5%
PENALTY HOLY UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Coker,Jalen) 15 yards from HOLY35 to HOLY20. NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 16END OF GAME
10 plays · 5 yds · 2:0489% → 97%
Q4 2:04
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+4
89.0%
Bryson Daily run for 4 yds to the HC 31Similar
Q4 2:00
2ND & 6
OPP 31
+1
91.4%
Bryson Daily run for 1 yd to the HC 30Similar
Q4 1:54
3RD & 5
OPP 30
+4
90.4%
Bryson Daily run for 4 yds to the HC 26Similar
Q4 1:50
4TH & 1
OPP 26
+2
89.8%
Bryson Daily run for 2 yds to the HC 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:50
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-2
92.1%
B. Daily takes a kneeSimilar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 12
OPP 26
-4
96.7%
B. Daily takes a kneeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 2:05
Matthew Sluka pass complete to Jalen Coker for 8 yds for a TD (Luis Palenzuela KICK)
-27.5
KEY PLAY · Q4 2:04
Bryson Daily run for 4 yds to the HC 31
+14
TD · Q4 11:47
Matthew Sluka pass complete to Justin Shorter for 24 yds for a TD (Luis Palenzuela KICK)
-12.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com