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WKU

Western Kentucky 21 at UTEP 13

UTEP
2023 · Week 10 · Nov 4, 2023 · Sun Bowl
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Win probability · UTEP
modelUTEP aheadWKU aheadconfidence bandkey playUTEP scoreWKU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 11:03 · Joshua Sloan punt for 47 yds
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+38.0+19.00−19.0−38.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 12Pregame prior−22.2Home team on offense+0.0Score differential−0.1Garbage-time factor−0.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 10:49: Elijah Young run for 64 yds for a TD (Lucas Carneiro KICK) — WKU win probability +14.1 pts (now 68%) (top driver: WKU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 0:14: Austin Reed pass complete to Malachi Corley for 3 yds for a TD (Lucas Carneiro KICK) — WKU win probability +11.0 pts (now 86%) (top driver: WKU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 14:15: Cade McConnell pass complete to Kelly Akharaiyi for 62 yds for a TD (Buzz Flabiano KICK) — UTEP win probability +16.8 pts (now 32%) (top driver: UTEP has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 9:34: Elijah Young run for 1 yd for a TD (Lucas Carneiro KICK) — WKU win probability +15.6 pts (now 91%) (top driver: WKU has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 0:57: Buzz Flabiano 31 yd FG GOOD — WKU win probability +12.2 pts (now 95%) (top driver: UTEP has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UTEP made the numbers' call on 8 of 10WKU made the numbers' call on 5 of 7
  1. Q1 13:12WKU 4th & 16 at WKU 42, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 71.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.5%−0.2
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    71.7%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:03UTEP 4th & 14 at UTEP 33, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.0%−0.2
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.2%
    average punt
  3. Q1 10:08WKU 4th & 8 at WKU 22, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 69.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.9%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    70.0%
    average punt
  4. Q1 7:59UTEP 4th & 8 at WKU 49, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.7%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.8%
    average punt
  5. Q1 5:09WKU 4th & 5 at WKU 23, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.4%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.6%
    average punt
  6. Q1 1:28UTEP 4th & 7 at WKU 45, tied
    Close callPunted · 34.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.1%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    33.7%−0.4
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    34.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 14:47WKU 4th & 1 at WKU 23, tied
    Close callPunted · 65.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.9%−0.5
    average punt
  8. Q2 6:29UTEP 4th & 5 at WKU 5, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 40.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.4%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    39.4%
    92% to make
    Punt
    34.1%−5.3
    average punt
  9. Q2 4:58UTEP 4th & 1 at WKU 13, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 44.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    43.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    41.7%−2.1
    85% to make
    Punt
    36.0%−7.9
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:37UTEP 4th & 1 at WKU 3, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 46.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    46.7%
    63% to convert
    Field goal
    44.9%−1.8
    93% to make
    Punt
    38.4%−8.3
    average punt
  11. Q3 11:33UTEP 4th & 6 at WKU 34, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 50.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    50.1%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    49.4%−0.7
    47% to make
    Punt
    48.4%−1.7
    average punt
  12. Q3 9:00WKU 4th & 2 at UTEP 35, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 65.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    66.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    63.6%−2.5
    45% to make
    Punt
    62.4%−3.7
    average punt
  13. Q3 9:00WKU 4th & 1 at UTEP 21, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 66.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    65.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    63.0%−2.6
    74% to make
    Punt
    54.5%−11.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 6:57UTEP 4th & 22 at UTEP 25, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.6%−1.5
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.1%
    average punt
  15. Q4 4:33WKU 4th & 3 at WKU 33, up 11
    Close callPunted · 91.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 4:33UTEP 4th & 2 at WKU 30, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 11.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    11.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    9.4%−2.5
    56% to make
    Punt
    8.8%−3.1
    average punt
  17. Q4 0:57UTEP 4th & 11 at WKU 14, down 11
    Close callKicked a field goal · 5.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.9%
    23% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    5.0%−0.9
    84% to make
    Punt
    4.5%−1.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UTEP made the numbers' call on 1 of 1WKU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q3 10:49WKU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    65.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    64.9%−0.2
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 0:14WKU Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 14:15UTEP Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    31.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    31.2%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 9:34WKU Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.9%−0.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WKUDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 17 yds · 1:4873% → 73%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+23
26.6%
Elijah Young run for 23 yds to the WKU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+4
26.6%
Elijah Young run for 4 yds to the UTEP 48Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 48
0
26.6%
Austin Reed pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 48
-5
26.6%
Western Kentucky Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the WKU 47Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 11
OWN 47
-5
26.6%
Austin Reed sacked by Kanious Vaughn for a loss of 5 yards to the WKU 42Similar
Q1 13:12
4TH & 16
OWN 42
0
27.5%
Tom Ellard punt for 35 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 2PUNT
7 plays · 10 yds · 2:0928% → 28%
Q1 13:12
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+14
27.5%
Deion Hankins run for 14 yds to the UTEP 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:12
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
27.5%
Deion Hankins run for 2 yds to the UTEP 39Similar
Q1 13:12
2ND & 8
OWN 39
-1
27.5%
Torrance Burgess Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the UTEP 38Similar
Q1 13:12
3RD & 9
OWN 38
0
27.4%
Cade McConnell pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:12
4TH & 9
OWN 38
-5
27.4%
UTEP Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the UTEP 33Similar
Q1 11:03
4TH & 14
OWN 33
0
28.2%
Joshua Sloan punt for 47 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:5572% → 71%
Q1 11:03
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
28.4%
Markese Stepp run for 2 yds to the WKU 22Similar
Q1 11:03
2ND & 8
OWN 22
0
28.4%
Austin Reed pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:03
3RD & 8
OWN 22
0
28.6%
Austin Reed pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:08
4TH & 8
OWN 22
0
29.2%
Tom Ellard punt for 29 yds, downed at the UTEP 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 2:0929% → 30%
Q1 10:08
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+2
29.3%
Deion Hankins run for 2 yds to the WKU 49Similar
Q1 10:08
2ND & 8
OPP 49
-1
29.4%
Cade McConnell pass complete to Torrance Burgess Jr. for a loss of 1 yard to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 10:08
3RD & 9
50
+1
29.0%
Torrance Burgess Jr. run for 1 yd to the WKU 49Similar
Q1 7:59
4TH & 8
OPP 49
0
30.1%
Joshua Sloan punt for 42 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 5PUNT
8 plays · 16 yds · 2:5070% → 69%
Q1 7:59
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+5
29.9%
Elijah Young run for 5 yds to the WKU 12Similar
Q1 7:59
2ND & 5
OWN 12
+4
30.0%
Elijah Young run for 4 yds to the WKU 16Similar
Q1 7:59
3RD & 1
OWN 16
+2
30.1%
Austin Reed run for 2 yds to the WKU 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:59
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
29.9%
Austin Reed pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:59
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+5
30.0%
Davion Ervin-Poindexter run for 5 yds to the WKU 23Similar
Q1 7:59
3RD & 5
OWN 23
0
30.1%
Austin Reed pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:09
4TH & 5
OWN 23
0
31.3%
Tom Ellard punt for 60 yds, downed at the UTEP 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 6PUNT
8 plays · 38 yds · 3:4131% → 33%
Q1 5:09
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+7
31.3%
Cade McConnell pass complete to Kelly Akharaiyi for 7 yds to the UTEP 24Similar
Q1 5:09
2ND & 3
OWN 24
+5
31.4%
Cade McConnell pass complete to Jeremiah Ballard for 5 yds to the UTEP 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:09
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+9
31.4%
Torrance Burgess Jr. run for 9 yds to the UTEP 38Similar
Q1 5:09
2ND & 1
OWN 38
+14
32.1%
Torrance Burgess Jr. run for 14 yds to the WKU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:09
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+3
32.4%
Deion Hankins run for 3 yds to the WKU 45Similar
Q1 5:09
2ND & 7
OPP 45
0
32.4%
Cade McConnell pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:09
3RD & 7
OPP 45
0
32.1%
Cade McConnell pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:28
4TH & 7
OPP 45
0
33.3%
Joshua Sloan punt for 31 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:4168% → 66%
Q1 1:28
1ST & 10
OWN 14
-1
32.3%
Austin Reed pass complete to Malachi Corley for a loss of 1 yard to the WKU 13Similar
Q1 1:28
2ND & 11
OWN 13
0
32.4%
Austin Reed pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 11
OWN 13
+10
33.5%
Davion Ervin-Poindexter run for 10 yds to the WKU 23Similar
Q2 14:47
4TH & 1
OWN 23
0
33.8%
Tom Ellard punt for 41 yds, downed at the UTEP 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 8FG
14 plays · 59 yds · 8:1834% → 43%
Q2 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+10
34.3%
Deion Hankins run for 10 yds to the UTEP 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+7
35.2%
Deion Hankins run for 7 yds to the WKU 47Similar
Q2 14:47
2ND & 3
OPP 47
+9
35.4%
Torrance Burgess Jr. run for 9 yds to the WKU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:47
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
35.5%
Torrance Burgess Jr. run for no gain to the WKU 38Similar
Q2 14:47
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+17
35.3%
Torrance Burgess Jr. run for 17 yds to the WKU 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:47
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+4
35.8%
Torrance Burgess Jr. run for 4 yds to the WKU 17Similar
Q2 14:47
2ND & 6
OPP 17
+4
35.8%
Cade McConnell pass complete to Jeremiah Ballard for 4 yds to the WKU 13Similar
Q2 14:47
3RD & 2
OPP 13
+3
35.1%
Deion Hankins run for 3 yds to the WKU 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
-5
35.8%
UTEP Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the WKU 15Similar
Q2 14:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 15
-5
35.7%
UTEP Penalty, Delay Of Game (Cade McConnell) to the WKU 20Similar
Q2 14:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 20
+3
35.6%
Torrance Burgess Jr. run for 3 yds to the WKU 17Similar
Q2 14:47
2ND & GOAL
OPP 17
+13
35.4%
Torrance Burgess Jr. run for 13 yds to the WKU 4Similar
Q2 14:47
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
-1
35.2%
Deion Hankins run for a loss of 1 yard to the WKU 5Similar
Q2 6:29
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+22
42.9%
Buzz Flabiano 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 9INT
5 plays · 23 yds · 1:3158% → 60%
Q2 6:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
41.7%
Elijah Young run for 4 yds to the WKU 29Similar
Q2 6:29
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
41.2%
Austin Reed pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:29
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+14
42.1%
Austin Reed pass complete to Dalvin Smith for 14 yds to the WKU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:29
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+5
39.8%
YOUNG, Elijah rush to the left for a gain of 1 yard to the WKU44 (KNIGHT, Tyrice). PENALTY TEP Offsides on WESTMORELAND, Maurice enforced 5 yards from the WKU43 to the WKU48 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 4:58
1ST & 5
OWN 48
+10
40.1%
UTEP Penalty, Illegal Block (AJ Odums) to the UTEP 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 10DOWNS
12 plays · 73 yds · 4:2345% → 51%
Q2 4:58
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+44
45.0%
Cade McConnell pass complete to Kelly Akharaiyi for 44 yds to the WKU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:58
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+11
48.1%
Cade McConnell run for 11 yds to the WKU 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:58
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+2
48.1%
Deion Hankins run for 2 yds to the WKU 20Similar
Q2 4:58
2ND & 8
OPP 20
+3
48.1%
Deion Hankins run for 3 yds to the WKU 17Similar
Q2 4:58
3RD & 5
OPP 17
+4
47.2%
Cade McConnell pass complete to Zach Fryar for 4 yds to the WKU 13Similar
Q2 4:58
4TH & 1
OPP 13
+1
46.1%
Kevin Hurley run for 1 yd to the WKU 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:58
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+8
48.1%
Torrance Burgess Jr. run for 8 yds to the WKU 4Similar
Q2 0:47
2ND & 2
OPP 4
+1
52.0%
Torrance Burgess Jr. run for 1 yd to the WKU 3Similar
Q2 0:37
4TH & 1
OPP 3
-1
49.4%
Deion Hankins run for a loss of 1 yard to the WKU 4Similar
Q2 0:35
3RD & 1
OPP 3
0
51.3%
Deion Hankins run for no gain to the WKU 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 11END OF HALF
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0051% → 51%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 4
0
49.4%
[SG] Kneel down by REED, Austin at WKU2 (team loss of 2), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 12DOWNS
9 plays · 41 yds · 3:2746% → 49%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
45.6%
Cade McConnell pass complete to Jeremiah Ballard for 15 yds to the UTEP 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
47.4%
Deion Hankins run for 4 yds to the UTEP 44Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 44
0
48.2%
Cade McConnell pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 44
+18
46.7%
Cade McConnell pass complete to Kelly Akharaiyi for 18 yds to the WKU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+4
48.8%
Torrance Burgess Jr. run for 4 yds to the WKU 34Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 34
0
49.5%
Torrance Burgess Jr. run for no gain to the WKU 34Similar
Q3 11:38
3RD & 6
OPP 34
0
51.4%
Cade McConnell pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:33
4TH & 6
OPP 34
0
49.3%
Cade McConnell pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 13TD
2 plays · 66 yds · 0:4454% → 68%
Q3 11:33
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+2
46.0%
Elijah Young run for 2 yds to the WKU 36Similar
Q3 10:49
2ND & 8
OWN 36
+64
32.0%
Elijah Young run for 64 yds for a TD (Lucas Carneiro KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 14INT
5 plays · 10 yds · 1:4933% → 34%
Q3 10:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
32.9%
Emari White run for 3 yds to the UTEP 28Similar
Q3 9:55
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+6
33.5%
Deion Hankins run for 6 yds to the UTEP 34Similar
Q3 9:55
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+1
34.2%
Kevin Hurley run for 1 yd to the UTEP 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
34.0%
Cade McConnell pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 15TD
17 plays · 54 yds · 8:4669% → 86%
Q3 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
30.8%
Markese Stepp run for 2 yds to the WKU 48Similar
Q3 9:00
2ND & 8
OWN 48
+5
30.8%
Austin Reed pass complete to Dalvin Smith for 5 yds to the UTEP 47Similar
Q3 9:00
3RD & 3
OPP 47
+4
30.8%
Austin Reed pass complete to Dalvin Smith for 4 yds to the UTEP 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+6
29.9%
Austin Reed pass complete to Jimmy Holiday for 6 yds to the UTEP 37Similar
Q3 9:00
2ND & 4
OPP 37
+2
29.7%
Austin Reed run for 2 yds to the UTEP 35Similar
Q3 9:00
3RD & 2
OPP 35
0
29.8%
Markese Stepp run for no gain to the UTEP 35Similar
Q3 9:00
4TH & 2
OPP 35
+5
31.9%
Austin Reed pass complete to Malachi Corley for 5 yds to the UTEP 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+3
29.4%
Davion Ervin-Poindexter run for 3 yds to the UTEP 27Similar
Q3 9:00
2ND & 7
OPP 27
+5
29.2%
Davion Ervin-Poindexter run for 5 yds to the UTEP 22Similar
Q3 9:00
3RD & 2
OPP 22
+1
29.8%
Davion Ervin-Poindexter run for 1 yd to the UTEP 21Similar
Q3 9:00
4TH & 1
OPP 21
+3
31.3%
Austin Reed run for 3 yds to the UTEP 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:56
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
24.8%
Austin Reed pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:56
2ND & 10
OPP 18
-10
25.0%
Western Kentucky Penalty, Offensive Holding (Colten Cable) to the UTEP 25Similar
Q3 1:56
2ND & 17
OPP 25
+19
25.6%
Austin Reed pass complete to L.T. Sanders for 19 yds to the UTEP 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
24.8%
L.T. Sanders run for 3 yds to the UTEP 3Similar
Q3 0:14
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
13.7%
Austin Reed pass complete to Malachi Corley for 3 yds for a TD (Lucas Carneiro KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 16TD
3 plays · 75 yds · 0:4515% → 32%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
14.8%
Deion Hankins run for 8 yds to the UTEP 33Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+5
15.5%
Deion Hankins run for 5 yds to the UTEP 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:15
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+62
32.3%
Cade McConnell pass complete to Kelly Akharaiyi for 62 yds for a TD (Buzz Flabiano KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 17TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 4:4171% → 91%
Q4 14:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
29.2%
Elijah Young run for a loss of 1 yard to the WKU 24Similar
Q4 14:15
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+17
30.5%
Austin Reed pass complete to L.T. Sanders for 17 yds to the WKU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:15
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+6
26.6%
Elijah Young run for 6 yds to the WKU 47Similar
Q4 14:15
2ND & 4
OWN 47
+3
26.5%
Davion Ervin-Poindexter run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 14:15
3RD & 1
50
-5
26.2%
Western Kentucky Penalty, False Start (Vincent Murphy) to the WKU 45Similar
Q4 14:15
3RD & 6
OWN 45
+27
27.0%
Austin Reed pass complete to Jimmy Holiday for 27 yds to the UTEP 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:15
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+5
24.4%
Elijah Young run for 5 yds to the UTEP 23Similar
Q4 14:15
2ND & 5
OPP 23
+22
24.4%
Elijah Young run for 22 yds to the UTEP 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
8.8%
Elijah Young run for 1 yd for a TD (Lucas Carneiro KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 18PUNT
7 plays · 0 yds · 2:3711% → 8%
Q4 9:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
10.7%
Cade McConnell pass complete to Julian Lopez for 8 yds to the UTEP 33Similar
Q4 9:34
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+4
11.3%
Torrance Burgess Jr. run for 4 yds to the UTEP 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:13
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
11.3%
Cade McConnell pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:13
2ND & 10
OWN 37
-2
11.1%
Yamil Oaxaca run for a loss of 2 yards to the UTEP 35Similar
Q4 8:13
3RD & 12
OWN 35
-10
10.2%
Cade McConnell sacked by Kendrick Simpkins and Sebastian Benjamin for a loss of 10 yards to the UTEP 25Similar
Q4 6:57
4TH & 22
OWN 25
0
8.0%
Joshua Sloan punt for 49 yds, fair catch by K.D. Hutchinson at the WKU 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 2:2492% → 94%
Q4 6:57
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+4
8.2%
L.T. Sanders run for 4 yds to the WKU 30Similar
Q4 6:57
2ND & 6
OWN 30
0
8.2%
L.T. Sanders run for no gain to the WKU 30Similar
Q4 6:57
3RD & 6
OWN 30
+3
8.6%
L.T. Sanders run for 3 yds to the WKU 33Similar
Q4 4:33
4TH & 3
OWN 33
0
6.5%
Tom Ellard punt for 41 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 20FG
11 plays · 53 yds · 3:3614% → 5%
Q4 4:33
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+29
14.2%
Cade McConnell pass complete to Marcus Vinson for 29 yds to the WKU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:33
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
17.0%
Cade McConnell pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:33
2ND & 10
OPP 38
-5
16.6%
UTEP Penalty, False Start (Otis Pitts III) to the WKU 43Similar
Q4 4:33
2ND & 15
OPP 43
+3
15.4%
Cade McConnell pass complete to Deion Hankins for 3 yds to the WKU 40Similar
Q4 4:33
3RD & 12
OPP 40
+10
15.3%
Cade McConnell pass complete to Kelly Akharaiyi for 10 yds to the WKU 30Similar
Q4 4:33
4TH & 2
OPP 30
+6
16.3%
Cade McConnell pass complete to Jeremiah Ballard for 6 yds to the WKU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:33
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-2
20.3%
Cade McConnell sacked by Jayden Loving for a loss of 2 yards to the WKU 26Similar
Q4 4:33
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+2
20.2%
Kevin Hurley run for 2 yds to the WKU 11Similar
Q4 4:33
2ND & 8
OPP 11
-3
20.2%
Cade McConnell sacked by Sebastian Benjamin for a loss of 3 yards to the WKU 14Similar
Q4 4:33
3RD & 11
OPP 14
0
17.6%
Cade McConnell pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:57
4TH & 11
OPP 14
+31
5.4%
Buzz Flabiano 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 21END OF GAME
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:5596% → 97%
Q4 0:55
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
3.6%
[SG] Kneel down by REED, Austin at WKU32 (team loss of 1).Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 11
OWN 32
0
3.3%
[SG] Kneel down by REED, Austin at WKU31 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 14:15
Cade McConnell pass complete to Kelly Akharaiyi for 62 yds for a TD (Buzz Flabiano KICK)
+16.8
TD · Q4 9:34
Elijah Young run for 1 yd for a TD (Lucas Carneiro KICK)
-15.6
TD · Q3 10:49
Elijah Young run for 64 yds for a TD (Lucas Carneiro KICK)
-14.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com