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CONN

UConn 3 at Tennessee 59

TENN
2023 · Week 10 · Nov 4, 2023 · Neyland Stadium
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Win probability · TENN
modelTENN aheadCONN aheadconfidence bandkey playTENN scoreCONN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 0:34 · George Caratan punt for 36 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TENN 7
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factor
+48.5+24.30−24.3−48.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 92Pregame prior+35.8Home team on offense+24.2Score differential+20.3Blowout margin+10.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.4Garbage-time factor+6.0
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q1 2:47: Noe Ruelas 22 yd FG GOOD — CONN win probability +1.1 pts (now 3%) (top driver: Scoring-chance index: 42%).
  2. TD · Q1 1:38: Joe Milton III pass complete to Ramel Keyton for 60 yds for a TD (Charles Campbell KICK) — TENN win probability +1.0 pts (now 98%) (top driver: Lead backed by the offense's own timeouts).
  3. TD · Q2 7:25: Joe Milton III run for 6 yds for a TD (Charles Campbell KICK) — TENN win probability +0.7 pts (now 98%) (top driver: TENN has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 4:34: Timeout Tennessee, clock 04:34 — CONN win probability +0.8 pts (now 2%) (top driver: CONN has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 3:30: Tyler Baron 24 Yd Fumble Return (Charles Campbell Kick) — TENN win probability +1.8 pts (now 100%) (top driver: CONN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TENN made the numbers' call on 3 of 4CONN made the numbers' call on 5 of 9
  1. Q1 12:07CONN 4th & 6 at CONN 39, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.3%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.3%
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:36TENN 4th & 6 at TENN 44, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.4%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.5%
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:47CONN 4th & 4 at TENN 4, down 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 3.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.5%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    3.5%−<0.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    3.0%−0.5
    average punt
  4. Q2 10:12CONN 4th & 5 at TENN 39, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 4.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.3%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    4.2%−0.1
    36% to make
    Punt
    4.2%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 5:21CONN 4th & 5 at TENN 39, down 18
    Close callPunted · 3.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.2%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    3.0%−0.2
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    3.0%−0.2
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:34CONN 4th & 3 at TENN 43, down 32
    Close callPunted · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    0.6%−<0.1
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    0.6%−0.1
    average punt
  7. Q3 9:51CONN 4th & 6 at CONN 29, down 46
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  8. Q3 0:20CONN 4th & 9 at TENN 11, down 53
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    -0.0%−0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%
    87% to make
    Punt
    -0.4%−0.5
    average punt
  9. Q4 12:56TENN 4th & 11 at CONN 47, up 53
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    100.0%
    average punt
  10. Q4 10:15CONN 4th & 12 at CONN 4, down 53
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.1%−0.1
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
  11. Q4 8:02TENN 4th & 6 at CONN 15, up 53
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.9%
    83% to make
    Punt
    99.5%−0.4
    average punt
  12. Q4 6:17CONN 4th & 6 at CONN 36, down 56
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
  13. Q4 0:00TENN 4th & 1 at CONN 10, up 56
    Close callWent for it · 100.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    100.0%−0.1
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    100.1%
    88% to make
    Punt
    99.7%−0.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TENN made the numbers' call on 8 of 8
  1. Q1 14:27TENN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 1:38TENN Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 7:25TENN Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 4:34TENN Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 3:30TENN Touchdown, up 31 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 14:52TENN Touchdown, up 38 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 11:51TENN Touchdown, up 45 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 7:30TENN Touchdown, up 52 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TENNDrive 1TD
3 plays · 85 yds · 0:2899% → 99%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+3
98.5%
Jaylen Wright run for 3 yds to the TENN 18Similar
Q1 14:27
2ND & 7
OWN 18
+82
98.5%
Jaylen Wright run for 82 yds for a TD (Charles Campbell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 2:202% → 2%
Q1 14:27
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
98.5%
Camryn Edwards run for 2 yds to the CONN 37Similar
Q1 14:27
2ND & 8
OWN 37
0
98.5%
Ta'Quan Roberson pass incomplete to Brett BuckmanSimilar
Q1 14:27
3RD & 8
OWN 37
+2
98.5%
Camryn Edwards run for 2 yds to the CONN 39Similar
Q1 12:07
4TH & 6
OWN 39
+7
98.3%
George Caratan punt for 51 yds , Dee Williams returns for 7 yds to the TENN 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 3PUNT
10 plays · 27 yds · 2:3198% → 98%
Q1 12:07
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
98.3%
Joe Milton III pass incomplete to McCallan CastlesSimilar
Q1 12:07
2ND & 10
OWN 17
+1
98.3%
Joe Milton III run for 1 yd to the TENN 18Similar
Q1 12:07
3RD & 9
OWN 18
+10
98.3%
Joe Milton III pass complete to Dylan Sampson for 10 yds to the TENN 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:07
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+1
98.3%
Dylan Sampson run for 1 yd to the TENN 27Similar
Q1 12:07
2ND & 11
OWN 27
+13
98.3%
Joe Milton III pass complete to Dylan Sampson for 13 yds to the TENN 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:07
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
98.4%
Joe Milton III pass complete to Dont'e Thornton Jr. for 4 yds to the TENN 44Similar
Q1 12:07
2ND & 6
OWN 44
0
98.4%
Dylan Sampson run for no gain to the TENN 44Similar
Q1 12:07
3RD & 6
OWN 44
0
98.3%
Joe Milton III pass incomplete to McCallan CastlesSimilar
Q1 9:36
4TH & 6
OWN 44
+3
98.1%
Jackson Ross punt for 42 yds , Cameron Ross returns for 3 yds to the CONN 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 4FG
15 plays · 79 yds · 6:492% → 3%
Q1 9:36
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+2
98.1%
Camryn Edwards run for 2 yds to the CONN 19Similar
Q1 9:36
2ND & 8
OWN 19
-5
98.1%
PENALTY CONN False Start (Porter,Geordon) 5 yards from CONN19 to CONN14. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 9:36
2ND & 13
OWN 14
+5
98.1%
Ta'Quan Roberson pass complete to Geordon Porter for 5 yds to the CONN 19Similar
Q1 9:36
3RD & 8
OWN 19
+17
98.2%
Ta'Quan Roberson pass complete to Camryn Edwards for 17 yds to the CONN 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:36
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+34
98.1%
Ta'Quan Roberson pass complete to Brett Buckman for 34 yds to the TENN 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:36
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+8
98.1%
Ta'Quan Roberson pass complete to Justin Joly for 8 yds to the TENN 3Similar
Q1 9:36
2ND & 2
OPP 3
-5
98.1%
PENALTY CONN Illegal Substitution 5 yards from TENN03 to TENN08. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 9:36
2ND & 7
OPP 8
+4
98.1%
No Huddle-Shotgun Edwards,Cam rush right for 4 yards loss to the TENN12 (Norman-Lott,Omarr) PENALTY TENN Face Mask (Norman-Lott,Omarr) 4 yards from TENN08 to TENN04, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 9:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
98.1%
No Huddle Edwards,Cam rush middle for 3 yards gain to the TENN01 (McDonald,Tamarion) PENALTY TENN Offside (Eason,Bryson) 2 yards from TENN04 to TENN02. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 9:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
98.1%
Jelani Stafford run for 1 yd to the TENN 1Similar
Q1 9:36
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+3
98.1%
Ta'Quan Roberson run for 3 yds to the TENN 4Similar
Q1 9:36
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
98.1%
Ta'Quan Roberson pass incomplete to Geordon PorterSimilar
Q1 2:47
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+22
97.0%
Noe Ruelas 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 5TD
6 plays · 77 yds · 1:0197% → 98%
Q1 2:39
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+7
97.0%
Joe Milton III pass complete to Jaylen Wright for 7 yds to the TENN 30Similar
Q1 2:39
2ND & 3
OWN 30
+2
97.0%
Jaylen Wright run for 2 yds to the TENN 32Similar
Q1 2:39
3RD & 1
OWN 32
+8
97.0%
Jaylen Wright run for 8 yds to the TENN 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:38
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+60
98.0%
Joe Milton III pass complete to Ramel Keyton for 60 yds for a TD (Charles Campbell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 6DOWNS
14 plays · 49 yds · 6:203% → 3%
Q1 1:32
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+9
97.4%
Ta'Quan Roberson pass complete to Justin Joly for 9 yds to the CONN 22Similar
Q1 1:32
2ND & 1
OWN 22
-5
97.4%
No Huddle-Shotgun Mitchell,Jalen rush right for 2 yards gain to the CONN24 (Eason,Bryson; Josephs,Joshua) PENALTY CONN Illegal Shift 5 yards from CONN22 to CONN17. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 6
OWN 17
+11
97.3%
Jalen Mitchell run for 11 yds to the CONN 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
97.2%
UConn Penalty, Illegal Formation (Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 27
+18
97.3%
Ta'Quan Roberson pass complete to Geordon Porter for 18 yds to the CONN 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+2
97.1%
Victor Rosa run for 2 yds to the CONN 43Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 12
OWN 43
+6
97.2%
Ta'Quan Roberson pass complete to Victor Rosa for 6 yds to the CONN 49Similar
Q2 12:48
3RD & 6
OWN 49
+7
97.2%
Ta'Quan Roberson pass complete to Justin Joly for 7 yds to the TENN 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:48
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-9
97.1%
UConn Penalty, Intentional Grounding (-9 Yards) to the CONN 47Similar
Q2 12:48
2ND & 19
OWN 47
+1
97.2%
Jalen Mitchell run for 1 yd to the CONN 48Similar
Q2 12:48
3RD & 18
OWN 48
+13
97.3%
Ta'Quan Roberson pass complete to Cameron Ross for 13 yds to the TENN 39Similar
Q2 10:12
4TH & 5
OPP 39
+1
96.9%
Ta'Quan Roberson run for 1 yd to the TENN 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 7TD
11 plays · 62 yds · 2:4798% → 98%
Q2 10:12
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-10
97.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun Milton III,Joe rush middle for 7 yards gain to the TENN45 (Dixon-Williams,Malik) PENALTY TENN Holding (Lang,Vysen) 10 yards from TENN38 to TENN28. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 10:12
1ST & 20
OWN 28
+11
97.8%
Joe Milton III pass complete to Squirrel White for 11 yds to the TENN 39Similar
Q2 10:12
2ND & 9
OWN 39
+5
97.8%
Jaylen Wright run for 5 yds to the TENN 44Similar
Q2 10:12
3RD & 4
OWN 44
+22
97.8%
Joe Milton III pass complete to Dont'e Thornton Jr. for 22 yds to the CONN 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:12
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+8
97.9%
Jaylen Wright run for 8 yds to the CONN 26Similar
Q2 10:12
2ND & 2
OPP 26
+3
97.7%
Jaylen Wright run for 3 yds to the CONN 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:12
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+15
97.7%
Joe Milton III pass complete to McCallan Castles for 15 yds to the CONN 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+2
97.7%
Jaylen Wright run for 2 yds to the CONN 6Similar
Q2 7:25
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
98.4%
Joe Milton III run for 6 yds for a TD (Charles Campbell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 8PUNT
6 plays · 36 yds · 2:042% → 3%
Q2 7:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+31
97.8%
Ta'Quan Roberson pass complete to Justin Joly for 31 yds to the TENN 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:25
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+6
97.6%
Camryn Edwards run for 6 yds to the TENN 38Similar
Q2 7:25
2ND & 4
OPP 38
+1
97.5%
Camryn Edwards run for 1 yd to the TENN 39Similar
Q2 7:25
3RD & 5
OPP 39
0
97.6%
Ta'Quan Roberson pass incomplete to Brett BuckmanSimilar
Q2 5:21
4TH & 5
OPP 39
0
97.5%
George Caratan punt for 34 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 9TD
5 plays · 95 yds · 0:4799% → 99%
Q2 5:21
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+9
98.5%
Dylan Sampson run for 9 yds to the TENN 14Similar
Q2 5:21
2ND & 1
OWN 14
+3
98.5%
Dylan Sampson run for 3 yds to the TENN 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:34
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+83
98.6%
Joe Milton III pass complete to Squirrel White for 83 yds for a TD (Charles Campbell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 10FUMBLE RETURN TD
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:582% → 1%
Q2 4:28
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
97.7%
Ta'Quan Roberson pass incomplete to Cameron RossSimilar
Q2 4:28
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+11
97.7%
Camryn Edwards run for 11 yds to the CONN 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:30
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+24
99.5%
Tyler Baron 24 Yd Fumble Return (Charles Campbell Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 11PUNT
12 plays · 32 yds · 2:561% → 1%
Q2 3:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.5%
Ta'Quan Roberson run for no gain to the CONN 25Similar
Q2 3:30
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
99.5%
Ta'Quan Roberson pass incomplete to Kylish HicksSimilar
Q2 3:30
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+14
99.5%
Ta'Quan Roberson pass complete to Justin Joly for 14 yds to the CONN 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:30
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+9
99.5%
Ta'Quan Roberson pass complete to Brett Buckman for 9 yds to the CONN 48Similar
Q2 3:30
2ND & 1
OWN 48
+2
99.4%
Victor Rosa run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:30
1ST & 10
50
+5
99.5%
No Huddle-Shotgun Roberson,Ta'Quan pass intercepted by McCollough,Jaylen at TENN24 McCollough,Jaylen return 34 yards to the CONN42, out of bounds at CONN42 PENALTY TENN Offside (Baron,Tyler) 5 yards from CONN50 to TENN45. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:30
1ST & 5
OPP 45
0
99.5%
Ta'Quan Roberson pass incomplete to Cameron RossSimilar
Q2 1:30
2ND & 5
OPP 45
+2
99.5%
Ta'Quan Roberson pass complete to Brett Buckman for 2 yds to the TENN 43Similar
Q2 0:45
3RD & 3
OPP 43
0
99.4%
Ta'Quan Roberson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:34
4TH & 3
OPP 43
0
99.4%
George Caratan punt for 36 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TENN 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 12END OF HALF
5 plays · 46 yds · 0:34100% → 100%
Q2 0:34
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+17
99.6%
Dylan Sampson run for 17 yds to the TENN 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:34
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+21
99.5%
Joe Milton III pass complete to Ramel Keyton for 21 yds to the TENN 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:12
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+8
99.6%
Joe Milton III pass complete to McCallan Castles for 8 yds to the CONN 47Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 2
OPP 47
0
99.6%
Joe Milton III pass incomplete to Chas NimrodSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 13INT TD
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-30
99.7%
Jaylen McCollough 30 Yd Interception Return (Charles Campbell Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 14INT TD
8 plays · 12 yds · 3:010% → 0%
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.7%
Camryn Edwards run for 3 yds to the CONN 22Similar
Q3 14:52
2ND & 13
OWN 22
+9
99.7%
Ta'Quan Roberson pass complete to Camryn Edwards for 9 yds to the CONN 31Similar
Q3 14:52
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+5
99.7%
Ta'Quan Roberson pass complete to Brett Buckman for 5 yds to the CONN 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
99.7%
Camryn Edwards run for 1 yd to the CONN 37Similar
Q3 14:52
2ND & 9
OWN 37
0
99.7%
Ta'Quan Roberson pass incomplete to Camryn EdwardsSimilar
Q3 11:51
3RD & 9
OWN 37
-39
99.8%
Aaron Beasley 39 Yd Interception Return (Charles Campbell Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 2:000% → 0%
Q3 11:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.8%
Ta'Quan Roberson pass complete to Justin Joly for 2 yds to the CONN 27Similar
Q3 11:51
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+5
99.8%
Jalen Mitchell run for 5 yds to the CONN 32Similar
Q3 11:51
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+3
99.8%
Ta'Quan Roberson pass complete to Brett Buckman for 3 yds to the CONN 29Similar
Q3 9:51
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
99.8%
George Caratan punt for 49 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 16TD
10 plays · 78 yds · 2:21100% → 100%
Q3 9:51
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+11
99.8%
Nico Iamaleava pass complete to Dee Williams for 11 yds to the TENN 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:51
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+5
99.8%
Cameron Seldon run for 5 yds to the TENN 38Similar
Q3 9:51
2ND & 5
OWN 38
0
99.8%
Nico Iamaleava pass incomplete to Chas NimrodSimilar
Q3 9:51
3RD & 5
OWN 38
+25
99.8%
Nico Iamaleava run for 25 yds to the CONN 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:51
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
99.8%
Nico Iamaleava pass incomplete to Dee WilliamsSimilar
Q3 9:51
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+4
99.8%
Cameron Seldon run for 4 yds to the CONN 33Similar
Q3 9:51
3RD & 6
OPP 33
+14
99.8%
Nico Iamaleava pass complete to McCallan Castles for 14 yds to the CONN 19 for a 1ST down UConn Penalty, Defensive Holding (Camryn Edwards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:30
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+19
99.9%
Nico Iamaleava pass complete to McCallan Castles for 19 yds for a TD (Josh Turbyville KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 17DOWNS
19 plays · 64 yds · 7:100% → 0%
Q3 7:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-10
99.9%
UConn Penalty, Illegal Block (-10 Yards) to the CONN 23Similar
Q3 7:30
1ST & 12
OWN 23
+1
99.9%
Victor Rosa run for 1 yd to the CONN 22Similar
Q3 7:30
2ND & 13
OWN 22
+6
99.9%
Ta'Quan Roberson pass complete to Cameron Ross for 6 yds to the CONN 28Similar
Q3 7:30
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+24
99.9%
Ta'Quan Roberson pass complete to Justin Joly for 9 yds to the TENN 37 for a 1ST down Tennessee Penalty, Personal Foul (Jayson Jenkins) to the TENN 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:30
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+9
99.9%
Ta'Quan Roberson pass complete to Jalen Mitchell for 9 yds to the TENN 39Similar
Q3 7:30
2ND & 1
OPP 39
+5
99.9%
Jalen Mitchell run for 5 yds to the TENN 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:30
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+1
99.9%
Jalen Mitchell run for 1 yd to the TENN 35Similar
Q3 7:30
2ND & 11
OPP 35
0
99.9%
Ta'Quan Roberson pass incomplete to Brett BuckmanSimilar
Q3 7:30
3RD & 11
OPP 35
0
99.9%
Ta'Quan Roberson pass incomplete to Justin JolySimilar
Q3 2:47
4TH & 11
OPP 35
+14
99.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun Roberson,Ta'Quan pass incomplete short right to Buckman,Brett, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY TENN Pass Interference (Gibson III,Rickey) 14 yards from TENN35 to TENN21, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 2:47
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+3
99.9%
Jalen Mitchell run for 3 yds to the TENN 18Similar
Q3 2:47
2ND & 7
OPP 18
0
99.9%
Ta'Quan Roberson pass incomplete to Kylish HicksSimilar
Q3 2:47
3RD & 7
OPP 18
+4
99.9%
Ta'Quan Roberson pass complete to Cameron Ross for 4 yds to the TENN 22Similar
Q3 1:14
4TH & 11
OPP 22
+10
99.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun Roberson,Ta'Quan pass incomplete deep left to Joly,Justin broken up by Turrentine,Andre PENALTY TENN Holding (Burrell,Warren) 10 yards from TENN22 to TENN12, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 1:14
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+1
99.9%
Camryn Edwards run for 1 yd to the TENN 11Similar
Q3 1:14
2ND & 9
OPP 11
0
99.9%
Ta'Quan Roberson pass incomplete to Cameron RossSimilar
Q3 1:14
3RD & 9
OPP 11
0
99.9%
Ta'Quan Roberson pass incomplete to Justin JolySimilar
Q3 0:20
4TH & 9
OPP 11
0
99.9%
Ta'Quan Roberson pass incomplete to Brett BuckmanSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 18PUNT
9 plays · 42 yds · 2:24100% → 100%
Q3 0:20
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+14
99.9%
Nico Iamaleava pass complete to Ethan Davis for 14 yds to the TENN 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
Nico Iamaleava pass incomplete to Dont'e Thornton Jr.Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.9%
Khalifa Keith run for 1 yd to the TENN 26Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+28
99.9%
Nico Iamaleava pass complete to Kaleb Webb for 28 yds to the CONN 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+4
99.9%
Khalifa Keith run for 4 yds to the CONN 42Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 42
0
99.9%
Nico Iamaleava pass incomplete to Dont'e Thornton Jr.Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 42
0
99.9%
Khalifa Keith run for no gain to the CONN 42Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 6
OPP 42
-5
99.9%
PENALTY TENN Delay Of Game 5 yards from CONN42 to CONN47. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 12:56
4TH & 11
OPP 47
0
99.9%
Jackson Ross punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Cameron Ross at the CONN 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 19PUNT
6 plays · -2 yds · 2:410% → 0%
Q4 12:56
1ST & 10
OWN 6
-3
100.0%
No Huddle Rosa,Victor rush middle for 3 yards gain to the CONN09 (Hobbs,Daevin; Perry,Kalib) PENALTY CONN Illegal Motion 3 yards from CONN06 to CONN03. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 12:56
1ST & 13
OWN 3
0
100.0%
Victor Rosa run for no gain to the CONN 3Similar
Q4 12:56
2ND & 13
OWN 3
+2
100.0%
Victor Rosa run for 2 yds to the CONN 1Similar
Q4 12:56
3RD & 15
OWN 1
+3
100.0%
Zion Turner pass complete to Victor Rosa for 3 yds to the CONN 4Similar
Q4 10:15
4TH & 12
OWN 4
0
100.0%
George Caratan punt for 46 yds , Dee Williams returns for no gain to the TENN 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 20FG
10 plays · 45 yds · 2:13100% → 100%
Q4 10:15
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+11
99.9%
Cameron Seldon run for 11 yds to the CONN 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:15
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+19
99.9%
Gaston Moore pass complete to for 19 yds to the CONN 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:15
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+8
99.9%
Cameron Seldon run for 8 yds to the CONN 22Similar
Q4 10:15
2ND & 2
OPP 22
+3
99.9%
Cameron Seldon run for 3 yds to the CONN 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:15
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
99.9%
Gaston Moore pass incomplete to Trey WearySimilar
Q4 10:15
2ND & 10
OPP 19
0
99.9%
Gaston Moore pass incomplete to Michael BittnerSimilar
Q4 10:15
3RD & 10
OPP 19
+4
99.9%
Cameron Seldon run for 4 yds to the CONN 15Similar
Q4 8:02
4TH & 6
OPP 15
+33
99.9%
Josh Turbyville 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:380% → 0%
Q4 7:55
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
100.0%
Zion Turner pass incomplete to Dajon HarrisonSimilar
Q4 7:55
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+7
100.0%
Jalen Mitchell run for 7 yds to the CONN 39Similar
Q4 7:55
3RD & 3
OWN 39
+3
100.0%
Jalen Mitchell run for 3 yds to the CONN 36Similar
Q4 6:17
4TH & 6
OWN 36
+18
100.0%
George Caratan punt for 58 yds , Dee Williams returns for 18 yds to the TENN 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 22END OF GAME
17 plays · 73 yds · 6:17100% → 100%
Q4 6:17
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+8
100.0%
Gaston Moore pass complete to Charlie Browder for 8 yds to the TENN 32Similar
Q4 6:17
2ND & 2
OWN 32
-3
100.0%
Gaston Moore sacked by Raashaan Wilkins Jr. for a loss of 3 yards to the TENN 29Similar
Q4 6:17
3RD & 5
OWN 29
+7
100.0%
Gaston Moore pass complete to Dayton Sneed for 7 yds to the TENN 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:17
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
100.0%
Hunter Barnes run for 1 yd to the TENN 37Similar
Q4 6:17
2ND & 9
OWN 37
+2
100.0%
Gaston Moore pass complete to Charlie Browder for 2 yds to the TENN 39Similar
Q4 6:17
3RD & 7
OWN 39
-5
100.0%
PENALTY TENN False Start (Hill,Gus) 5 yards from TENN39 to TENN34. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 6:17
3RD & 12
OWN 34
+17
100.0%
Patrick Wilk run for 17 yds to the CONN 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:17
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
100.0%
Gaston Moore pass incomplete to Dayton SneedSimilar
Q4 3:09
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+16
100.0%
Patrick Wilk run for 16 yds to the CONN 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:09
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+1
100.0%
Navy Shuler pass complete to Nathan Roberts for 1 yd to the CONN 34Similar
Q4 3:09
2ND & 11
OPP 34
+15
100.0%
Navy Shuler run for 15 yds to the CONN 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:09
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
100.0%
Navy Shuler run for no gain to the CONN 19Similar
Q4 3:09
2ND & 10
OPP 19
+4
100.0%
Hunter Barnes run for 4 yds to the CONN 15Similar
Q4 3:09
3RD & 6
OPP 15
+5
100.0%
Hunter Barnes run for 5 yds to the CONN 10Similar
Q4 0:00
4TH & 1
OPP 10
+7
100.0%
Hunter Barnes run for 7 yds to the CONN 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 3:30
Tyler Baron 24 Yd Fumble Return (Charles Campbell Kick)
+1.8
FG · Q1 2:47
Noe Ruelas 22 yd FG GOOD
-1.1
TD · Q1 1:38
Joe Milton III pass complete to Ramel Keyton for 60 yds for a TD (Charles Campbell KICK)
+1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com