Try the model
JXST

Jacksonville State 28 at South Carolina 38

SC
2023 · Week 10 · Nov 4, 2023 · Williams-Brice Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · SC
modelSC aheadJXST aheadconfidence bandkey playSC scoreJXST score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 2:50 · Kai Kroeger punt for 53 yds for a touchback
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+39.5+19.80−19.8−39.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 143Pregame prior+14.2Home team on offense−8.4Score differential−3.0Garbage-time factor−4.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−2.5Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−1.8
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 11:50: Logan Smothers pass complete to Sean Brown for 13 yds for a TD (Alen Karajic KICK) — JXST win probability +12.4 pts (now 31%) (top driver: JXST has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 5:30: Zion Webb pass complete to Perry Carter for 54 yds for a TD (Alen Karajic KICK) — JXST win probability +19.5 pts (now 52%) (top driver: JXST has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 1:29: Spencer Rattler pass complete to Xavier Legette for 65 yds for a TD (Mitch Jeter KICK) — SC win probability +24.1 pts (now 69%) (top driver: SC has the ball).
  4. FG · Q4 5:51: Mitch Jeter 26 yd FG GOOD — SC win probability +8.1 pts (now 77%) (top driver: SC has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 2:02: Stone Blanton 88 Yd Interception Return (Mitch Jeter Kick) — SC win probability +27.5 pts (now 92%) (top driver: JXST has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
SC made the numbers' call on 8 of 10JXST made the numbers' call on 5 of 8
  1. Q1 13:45JXST 4th & 1 at JXST 22, tied
    Close callPunted · 15.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.9%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:58JXST 4th & 6 at JXST 29, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.9%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.0%
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:38SC 4th & 4 at SC 49, up 7
    Close callPunted · 83.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    83.9%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 7:52JXST 4th & 4 at JXST 21, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.9%−0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.0%
    average punt
  5. Q1 6:10SC 4th & 4 at SC 34, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 83.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.5%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    83.5%
    average punt
  6. Q2 11:43SC 4th & 8 at JXST 41, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 78.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    78.4%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    78.2%−0.2
    32% to make
    Punt
    78.3%−0.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 10:43JXST 4th & 3 at JXST 48, tied
    Close callPunted · 23.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.7%−0.4
    average punt
  8. Q2 8:03SC 4th & 8 at SC 27, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 76.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.5%−0.7
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    76.2%
    average punt
  9. Q2 6:45JXST 4th & 8 at JXST 35, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.1%−0.7
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.8%
    average punt
  10. Q2 3:18SC 4th & 17 at midfield, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 74.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.4%−0.8
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    74.2%
    average punt
  11. Q3 9:20SC 4th & 15 at SC 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 68.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.7%−3.2
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.8%
    average punt
  12. Q3 8:28JXST 4th & 14 at JXST 30, tied
    Numbers favored punt by 2.9 ptsWent for it · 29.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    28.1%−2.9
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    31.1%
    average punt
  13. Q3 6:46SC 4th & 9 at JXST 38, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 69.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    69.8%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    69.3%−0.4
    38% to make
    Punt
    69.3%−0.5
    average punt
  14. Q3 2:50SC 4th & 1 at SC 47, down 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 4.2 ptsPunted · 48.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.4%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.2%−4.2
    average punt
  15. Q3 1:40JXST 4th & 5 at JXST 25, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.1%−0.9
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.9%
    average punt
  16. Q3 0:20JXST 4th & 9 at JXST 34, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.1%−3.1
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.2%
    average punt
  17. Q4 11:49SC 4th & 14 at JXST 47, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 62.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.4%−4.2
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.6%
    average punt
  18. Q4 5:51SC 4th & 7 at JXST 7, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 63.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.4%−1.6
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    61.0%
    91% to make
    Punt
    38.3%−22.6
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
SC made the numbers' call on 5 of 5JXST made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 11:07SC Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 3:44JXST Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    18.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    18.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 2:03SC Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 14:16JXST Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    20.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    20.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:23SC Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 11:50JXST Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    26.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    26.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 5:30JXST Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    49.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    49.0%−0.2
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 1:29SC Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    63.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    63.0%−0.3
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 2:02SC Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
JXSTDrive 1PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:1511% → 11%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+5
89.4%
Zion Webb pass complete to Quinton Lane for 5 yds to the JVST 18Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 18
+4
89.4%
Ron Wiggins run for 4 yds to the JVST 22Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 22
0
89.4%
Zion Webb run for no gain to the JVST 22Similar
Q1 13:45
4TH & 1
OWN 22
+10
89.1%
Jack Dawson punt for 50 yds , Jalon Kilgore returns for 10 yds to the SC 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 2TD
5 plays · 62 yds · 2:3889% → 89%
Q1 13:45
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+1
89.1%
Spencer Rattler run for 1 yd to the SC 37Similar
Q1 13:45
2ND & 11
OWN 37
+18
89.1%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Xavier Legette for 18 yds to the JVST 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:45
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+40
89.1%
Mario Anderson run for 40 yds to the JVST 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
89.1%
Mario Anderson run for 3 yds to the JVST 2Similar
Q1 11:07
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
89.1%
Tonka Hemingway run for 2 yds for a TD (Mitch Jeter KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:0911% → 11%
Q1 11:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
88.8%
Ron Wiggins run for 7 yds to the JVST 32Similar
Q1 11:07
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+3
88.8%
Ron Wiggins run for 3 yds to the JVST 29Similar
Q1 11:07
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
88.9%
Zion Webb pass incomplete to Ron WigginsSimilar
Q1 9:58
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
88.8%
Jack Dawson punt for 47 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 25 yds · 1:2089% → 89%
Q1 9:58
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+19
88.8%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Ahmarean Brown for 19 yds to the SC 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:58
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+2
88.9%
Mario Anderson run for 2 yds to the SC 45Similar
Q1 9:58
2ND & 8
OWN 45
+4
88.9%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Juju McDowell for 4 yds to the SC 49Similar
Q1 9:58
3RD & 4
OWN 49
0
88.9%
Spencer Rattler pass incomplete to Xavier LegetteSimilar
Q1 8:38
4TH & 4
OWN 49
0
88.6%
Kai Kroeger punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Jamarye Joiner at the JVST 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:4612% → 11%
Q1 8:38
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+2
88.5%
Malik Jackson run for 2 yds to the JVST 17Similar
Q1 8:38
2ND & 8
OWN 17
+4
88.5%
Zion Webb pass complete to Quinton Lane for 4 yds to the JVST 21Similar
Q1 8:38
3RD & 4
OWN 21
0
88.6%
Zion Webb pass incomplete to Malik JacksonSimilar
Q1 7:52
4TH & 4
OWN 21
0
88.6%
Jack Dawson punt for 51 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:4289% → 88%
Q1 7:52
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
88.5%
Mario Anderson run for no gain to the SC 28Similar
Q1 7:52
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+8
88.5%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Mario Anderson for 8 yds to the SC 36Similar
Q1 7:52
3RD & 2
OWN 36
+2
88.6%
Juju McDowell run for 2 yds to the SC 34Similar
Q1 6:10
4TH & 4
OWN 34
0
87.9%
Kai Kroeger punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Jamarye Joiner at the JVST 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 7TD
11 plays · 62 yds · 2:2612% → 15%
Q1 6:10
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
87.9%
Zion Webb pass incomplete to Michael PettwaySimilar
Q1 6:10
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+1
87.9%
Ron Wiggins run for 1 yd to the JVST 39Similar
Q1 6:10
3RD & 9
OWN 39
+15
88.0%
Zion Webb pass complete to Ron Wiggins for 15 yds to the SC 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:10
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+3
87.7%
Malik Jackson run for 3 yds to the SC 43Similar
Q1 6:10
2ND & 7
OPP 43
+2
87.7%
Zion Webb run for 2 yds to the SC 41Similar
Q1 6:10
3RD & 5
OPP 41
+31
87.7%
Zion Webb pass complete to Perry Carter for 31 yds to the SC 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
-5
87.4%
PENALTY JSU False Start 5 yards from USC10 to USC15. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 6:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 15
0
87.5%
Zion Webb pass incomplete to Perry CarterSimilar
Q1 3:44
2ND & GOAL
OPP 15
+15
84.9%
Zion Webb pass complete to Sean Brown for 15 yds for a TD (Alen Karajic KICK)Similar
Q1 3:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-10
84.7%
Karajic,Alen kick attempt good (H: Dawson,Jack, LS: Peterson,Thomas) PENALTY JSU Holding (Fuller,Cole) 10 yards from USC03 to USC13. NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 8TD
5 plays · 70 yds · 1:4186% → 88%
Q1 3:44
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
85.8%
Djay Braswell run for no gain to the SC 30Similar
Q1 3:44
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+52
85.7%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Xavier Legette for 52 yds to the JVST 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:44
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+10
86.5%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Juju McDowell for 10 yds to the JVST 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+7
86.1%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Joshua Simon for 7 yds to the JVST 1Similar
Q1 2:03
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
88.0%
Spencer Rattler run for 1 yd for a TD (Mitch Jeter KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 9TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 2:4713% → 18%
Q1 2:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
87.2%
Zion Webb run for 3 yds to the JVST 28Similar
Q1 2:03
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+5
87.1%
Ron Wiggins run for 5 yds to the JVST 33Similar
Q1 2:03
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+37
87.1%
Ron Wiggins run for 37 yds to the SC 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:03
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+6
86.2%
Zion Webb pass complete to Jayson Jones for 6 yds to the SC 24Similar
Q1 2:03
2ND & 4
OPP 24
+9
86.1%
Anwar Lewis run for 9 yds to the SC 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+3
85.6%
Anwar Lewis run for 3 yds to the SC 12Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 12
+5
85.6%
Zion Webb pass complete to Perry Carter for 5 yds to the SC 7Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 7
+3
86.0%
Anwar Lewis run for 3 yds to the SC 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
82.1%
Anwar Lewis run for 4 yds for a TD (Alen Karajic KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 10DOWNS
7 plays · 29 yds · 2:2784% → 83%
Q2 14:10
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
84.2%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Joshua Simon for no gain to the SC 30Similar
Q2 14:10
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+27
84.0%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Juju McDowell for 27 yds to the JVST 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:10
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+3
85.1%
Mario Anderson run for 3 yds to the JVST 40Similar
Q2 14:10
2ND & 7
OPP 40
+1
85.1%
Mario Anderson run for 1 yd to the JVST 41Similar
Q2 14:10
3RD & 8
OPP 41
0
84.8%
Spencer Rattler pass incomplete to Joshua SimonSimilar
Q2 11:43
4TH & 8
OPP 41
0
83.0%
Kai Kroeger pass incomplete to Xavier LegetteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:0019% → 18%
Q2 11:43
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
81.5%
Anwar Lewis run for 3 yds to the JVST 44Similar
Q2 11:43
2ND & 7
OWN 44
+4
81.4%
Zion Webb run for 4 yds to the JVST 48Similar
Q2 11:43
3RD & 3
OWN 48
0
81.5%
Zion Webb pass incomplete to Quinton LaneSimilar
Q2 10:43
4TH & 3
OWN 48
0
81.6%
Jack Dawson punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Jalon Kilgore at the SC 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 12PUNT
7 plays · 13 yds · 2:4083% → 81%
Q2 10:43
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+6
82.6%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Joshua Simon for 6 yds to the SC 20Similar
Q2 10:43
2ND & 4
OWN 20
+5
82.7%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Ahmarean Brown for 5 yds to the SC 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
82.7%
Mario Anderson run for 2 yds to the SC 27Similar
Q2 10:43
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+6
82.7%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Mario Anderson for 6 yds to the SC 33Similar
Q2 10:43
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+1
82.7%
Spencer Rattler run for 1 yd to the SC 32Similar
Q2 10:43
4TH & 3
OWN 32
-5
82.1%
PENALTY USC Delay Of Game 5 yards from USC32 to USC27. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:03
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
80.5%
Kai Kroeger punt for 40 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:1821% → 20%
Q2 8:03
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+9
79.3%
Anwar Lewis run for 9 yds to the JVST 42Similar
Q2 8:03
2ND & 1
OWN 42
-10
78.4%
No Huddle-Shotgun Lewis,Anwar rush right for 1 yard gain to the JSU43 (Blanton,Stone) PENALTY JSU Holding (Brown,Treylen) 10 yards from JSU42 to JSU32. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:03
2ND & 11
OWN 32
0
79.9%
Zion Webb pass incomplete to Sean BrownSimilar
Q2 8:03
3RD & 11
OWN 32
+3
80.4%
Zion Webb pass complete to Anwar Lewis for 3 yds to the JVST 35Similar
Q2 6:45
4TH & 8
OWN 35
0
79.9%
Jack Dawson punt for 39 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 14PUNT
10 plays · 24 yds · 3:2781% → 78%
Q2 6:45
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+3
81.0%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Ahmarean Brown for 3 yds to the SC 29Similar
Q2 6:45
2ND & 7
OWN 29
+10
81.1%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Xavier Legette for 10 yds to the SC 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:45
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+3
81.7%
Dakereon Joyner run for 3 yds to the SC 42Similar
Q2 6:45
2ND & 7
OWN 42
0
82.2%
Dakereon Joyner run for no gain to the SC 42Similar
Q2 6:45
3RD & 7
OWN 42
+15
81.1%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Xavier Legette for 15 yds to the JVST 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:45
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
82.6%
Spencer Rattler pass incomplete to Joshua SimonSimilar
Q2 6:45
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+2
82.5%
Mario Anderson run for 2 yds to the JVST 45Similar
Q2 6:45
3RD & 12
OPP 45
-5
81.3%
PENALTY USC False Start (Lee,Vershon) 5 yards from JSU45 to JSU50. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:45
3RD & 17
50
0
80.8%
Spencer Rattler pass incomplete to Ahmarean BrownSimilar
Q2 3:18
4TH & 17
50
0
78.4%
Kai Kroeger punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Jamarye Joiner at the JVST 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 15FUMBLE
9 plays · 41 yds · 2:2523% → 27%
Q2 3:18
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+4
77.3%
Malik Jackson run for 4 yds to the JVST 12Similar
Q2 3:18
2ND & 6
OWN 12
+5
77.3%
Zion Webb run for 5 yds to the JVST 17Similar
Q2 3:18
3RD & 1
OWN 17
+1
77.7%
Zion Webb run for 1 yd to the JVST 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:18
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+11
76.9%
Zion Webb run for 11 yds to the JVST 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:18
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+1
76.5%
Logan Smothers run for 1 yd to the JVST 30Similar
Q2 3:18
2ND & 9
OWN 30
+10
76.6%
Logan Smothers run for 10 yds to the JVST 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:18
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+15
75.5%
No Huddle-Shotgun Smothers,Logan pass incomplete deep left to Carter,Perry PENALTY USC Pass Interference (Nelson Jr.,Keenan) 15 yards from JSU40 to USC45, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 3:18
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
74.7%
Logan Smothers pass incomplete to P.J. WellsSimilar
Q2 0:53
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+6
72.6%
Logan Smothers run for 6 yds to the JVST 49 Logan Smothers fumbled, recovered by SC Tonka Hemingway No Huddle-Shotgun Smothers,Logan rush for 6 yards loss to the JSU49 fumbled by Smothers,Logan at USC49 recovered by USC Hemingway,Tonka at JSU49, End Of Play.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 16TD
4 plays · 49 yds · 0:1680% → 86%
Q2 0:39
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+44
80.0%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Xavier Legette for 44 yds to the JVST 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
80.7%
Spencer Rattler pass incomplete to Joshua SimonSimilar
Q2 0:39
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
80.7%
Spencer Rattler pass incomplete to Xavier LegetteSimilar
Q2 0:23
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
86.0%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Xavier Legette for 5 yds for a TD (Mitch Jeter KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 17END OF HALF
6 plays · -2 yds · 0:2316% → 15%
Q2 0:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
84.4%
Ron Wiggins run for 2 yds to the JVST 23Similar
Q2 0:17
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+2
84.5%
Ron Wiggins run for 2 yds to the JVST 25Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 10
OWN 25
-2
84.8%
Kneel down by Jacksonville St. at JSU23 for loss of 2 yards.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 18INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0085% → 85%
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
85.4%
Spencer Rattler pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 19TD
8 plays · 73 yds · 3:0215% → 31%
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+26
84.6%
Zion Webb run for 26 yds to the SC 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+11
83.0%
Ron Wiggins run for 11 yds to the SC 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+4
83.0%
Ron Wiggins run for 4 yds to the SC 32Similar
Q3 14:52
2ND & 6
OPP 32
+7
81.9%
Ron Wiggins run for 7 yds to the SC 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+9
81.9%
Logan Smothers run for 9 yds to the SC 16Similar
Q3 14:52
2ND & 1
OPP 16
+1
81.9%
Logan Smothers run for 1 yd to the SC 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+2
81.9%
Logan Smothers run for 2 yds to the SC 13Similar
Q3 11:50
2ND & 8
OPP 13
+13
69.4%
Logan Smothers pass complete to Sean Brown for 13 yds for a TD (Alen Karajic KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 20PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 2:3076% → 72%
Q3 11:50
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+4
75.5%
Mario Anderson run for 4 yds to the SC 19Similar
Q3 11:50
2ND & 6
OWN 19
+16
75.6%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Xavier Legette for 16 yds to the SC 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:50
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+8
76.1%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Xavier Legette for 8 yds to the SC 27Similar
Q3 11:50
2ND & 18
OWN 27
+10
75.4%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to O'Mega Blake for 10 yds to the SC 37Similar
Q3 11:50
3RD & 8
OWN 37
-7
75.5%
Spencer Rattler sacked by Quae Drake for a loss of 7 yards to the SC 30Similar
Q3 9:20
4TH & 15
OWN 30
0
72.3%
Kai Kroeger punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Jamarye Joiner at the JVST 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 21DOWNS
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:5229% → 26%
Q3 9:20
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+4
71.2%
Ron Wiggins run for 4 yds to the JVST 30Similar
Q3 9:20
2ND & 14
OWN 30
0
72.2%
Ron Wiggins run for no gain to the JVST 30Similar
Q3 9:20
3RD & 14
OWN 30
0
73.3%
Logan Smothers pass incomplete to P.J. WellsSimilar
Q3 8:28
4TH & 14
OWN 30
+9
73.7%
Jack Dawson run for 9 yds to the JVST 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 22DOWNS
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:4277% → 73%
Q3 8:28
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
77.1%
Spencer Rattler pass incomplete to Tyshawn RussellSimilar
Q3 8:28
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+5
76.9%
Mario Anderson run for 5 yds to the JVST 44Similar
Q3 8:28
3RD & 15
OPP 44
+6
74.4%
Spencer Rattler run for 6 yds to the JVST 38Similar
Q3 6:46
4TH & 9
OPP 38
0
72.9%
Spencer Rattler pass incomplete to Xavier LegetteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 23TD
4 plays · 62 yds · 1:1631% → 52%
Q3 6:46
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
68.6%
No Huddle-Shotgun Lewis,Anwar rush middle for 0 yards to the JSU38 (Sanders,T.J.) PENALTY USC Offside (Thomas Jr.,Bryan) 5 yards from JSU38 to JSU43. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 6:46
1ST & 5
OWN 43
+1
67.3%
Anwar Lewis run for 1 yd to the JVST 44Similar
Q3 6:46
2ND & 4
OWN 44
+2
67.3%
Anwar Lewis run for 2 yds to the JVST 46Similar
Q3 5:30
3RD & 2
OWN 46
+54
47.8%
Zion Webb pass complete to Perry Carter for 54 yds for a TD (Alen Karajic KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 24PUNT
8 plays · 22 yds · 2:4054% → 50%
Q3 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
53.7%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Joshua Simon for 6 yds to the SC 31Similar
Q3 5:30
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+7
55.6%
Juju McDowell run for 7 yds to the SC 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+7
55.3%
Juju McDowell run for 7 yds to the SC 45Similar
Q3 5:30
2ND & 3
OWN 45
+2
57.4%
Juju McDowell run for 2 yds to the SC 47Similar
Q3 5:30
3RD & 1
OWN 47
0
57.1%
Dakereon Joyner run for no gain to the SC 47Similar
Q3 2:50
4TH & 1
OWN 47
0
50.4%
Kai Kroeger punt for 53 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 25PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:1056% → 55%
Q3 2:50
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
44.5%
Ron Wiggins run for 4 yds to the JVST 24Similar
Q3 2:50
2ND & 6
OWN 24
0
43.1%
Zion Webb pass incomplete to Jordan McCantsSimilar
Q3 2:50
3RD & 6
OWN 24
+1
45.6%
Zion Webb run for 1 yd to the JVST 25Similar
Q3 1:40
4TH & 5
OWN 25
+5
45.2%
Jack Dawson punt for 45 yds , Jalon Kilgore returns for 5 yds to the SC 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 26TD
1 play · 65 yds · 0:0069% → 69%
Q3 1:29
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+65
69.3%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Xavier Legette for 65 yds for a TD (Mitch Jeter KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 27PUNT
8 plays · 9 yds · 1:0935% → 33%
Q3 1:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-6
65.2%
Jacksonville State Penalty, Intentional Grounding (-6 Yards) to the JVST 19Similar
Q3 1:29
2ND & 16
OWN 19
+1
66.1%
Zion Webb run for 1 yd to the JVST 18Similar
Q3 1:29
3RD & 17
OWN 18
+15
67.3%
No Huddle-Shotgun Webb,Zion pass incomplete deep left to Lane,Quinton PENALTY USC Pass Interference (Fortune,O'Donnell) 15 yards from JSU18 to JSU33, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 1:29
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+1
63.9%
Anwar Lewis run for 1 yd to the JVST 34Similar
Q3 1:29
2ND & 9
OWN 34
0
64.0%
Zion Webb pass incomplete to Quinton LaneSimilar
Q3 1:29
3RD & 9
OWN 34
0
66.2%
Zion Webb pass incomplete to Quinton LaneSimilar
Q3 0:20
4TH & 9
OWN 34
0
66.6%
Jack Dawson punt for 48 yds , Jalon Kilgore returns for no gain to the SC 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 28PUNT
10 plays · 35 yds · 3:3168% → 64%
Q3 0:20
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+15
67.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun Rattler,Spencer pass incomplete deep middle to Legette,Xavier PENALTY JSU Pass Interference (Harris,Jeremiah) 15 yards from USC18 to USC33, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+8
68.3%
Mario Anderson run for 8 yds to the SC 41Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 41
-5
71.3%
PENALTY USC False Start 5 yards from USC41 to USC36. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 36
+10
69.8%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Joshua Simon for 10 yds to the SC 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+6
71.5%
Mario Anderson run for 6 yds to the JVST 48Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 48
+5
72.4%
Spencer Rattler run for 5 yds to the JVST 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-12
72.5%
Spencer Rattler sacked by Chris Hardie for a loss of 12 yards to the SC 45Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 22
OWN 45
+8
68.9%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Mario Anderson for 8 yds to the JVST 47Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 14
OPP 47
0
68.1%
Spencer Rattler pass incomplete to Ahmarean BrownSimilar
Q4 11:49
4TH & 14
OPP 47
0
63.6%
Kai Kroeger punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Jamarye Joiner at the JVST 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 29FUMBLE
6 plays · 43 yds · 2:0038% → 46%
Q4 11:49
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+15
61.8%
South Carolina Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the JVST 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:49
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+6
59.8%
Ron Wiggins run for 6 yds to the JVST 40Similar
Q4 11:49
2ND & 4
OWN 40
+3
57.4%
Ron Wiggins run for 3 yds to the JVST 43Similar
Q4 11:49
3RD & 1
OWN 43
+1
57.3%
Zion Webb run for 1 yd to the JVST 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:49
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+5
57.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun Wiggins,Ron rush middle for 8 yards gain to the USC48 (Emmanwori,Nick) PENALTY USC Illegal Substitution 5 yards from JSU44 to JSU49. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 9:49
1ST & 5
OWN 49
+6
53.7%
Ron Wiggins run for 6 yds to the SC 45 Ron Wiggins fumbled, recovered by SC Debo Williams No Huddle-Shotgun Wiggins,Ron rush middle for 6 yards gain to the USC45 fumbled by Wiggins,Ron at USC45 forced by Geer,Jatius recovered by USC Williams,Debo at USC45, End Of Play.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 30FG
10 plays · 48 yds · 3:5869% → 77%
Q4 9:49
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+18
68.6%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Mario Anderson for 18 yds to the JVST 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:49
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+2
69.9%
Mario Anderson run for 2 yds to the JVST 35Similar
Q4 9:49
2ND & 8
OPP 35
+15
70.9%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Joshua Simon for 15 yds to the JVST 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:49
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+5
71.0%
Juju McDowell run for 5 yds to the JVST 15Similar
Q4 9:49
2ND & 5
OPP 15
+4
71.0%
Juju McDowell run for 4 yds to the JVST 11Similar
Q4 9:49
3RD & 1
OPP 11
+1
69.2%
Spencer Rattler run for 1 yd to the JVST 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+6
71.0%
Mario Anderson run for 6 yds to the JVST 4Similar
Q4 9:49
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
-3
71.0%
Spencer Rattler sacked by Chris Hardie for a loss of 3 yards to the JVST 7Similar
Q4 9:49
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
0
69.3%
Spencer Rattler pass incomplete to Joshua SimonSimilar
Q4 5:51
4TH & GOAL
OPP 7
+26
77.3%
Mitch Jeter 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 31INT TD
13 plays · 58 yds · 3:4929% → 8%
Q4 5:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
71.5%
Perry Carter run for 1 yd to the JVST 26Similar
Q4 5:51
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+8
71.7%
Zion Webb pass complete to Perry Carter for 8 yds to the JVST 34Similar
Q4 5:51
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+4
69.2%
Zion Webb run for 4 yds to the JVST 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:51
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
68.7%
Anwar Lewis run for 3 yds to the JVST 41Similar
Q4 5:51
2ND & 7
OWN 41
0
67.3%
Zion Webb pass incomplete to Perry CarterSimilar
Q4 5:51
3RD & 7
OWN 41
+8
69.3%
Zion Webb pass complete to Perry Carter for 8 yds to the JVST 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:51
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+6
65.2%
Zion Webb run for 6 yds to the SC 45Similar
Q4 5:51
2ND & 4
OPP 45
+1
63.7%
Zion Webb run for 1 yd to the SC 44Similar
Q4 5:51
3RD & 3
OPP 44
+29
65.1%
Zion Webb pass complete to P.J. Wells for 29 yds to the SC 15 for a 1ST down South Carolina Penalty, Defensive Holding (Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:51
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+2
61.7%
Anwar Lewis run for 2 yds to the SC 17Similar
Q4 2:02
2ND & 12
OPP 17
-88
92.0%
Stone Blanton 88 Yd Interception Return (Mitch Jeter Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 32INT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:206% → 6%
Q4 2:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
94.4%
Logan Smothers run for 2 yds to the JVST 27Similar
Q4 1:42
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
94.1%
Logan Smothers pass interceptedSimilar
Q4 1:42
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
94.1%
Logan Smothers pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 33END OF GAME
7 plays · 9 yds · 1:4297% → 97%
Q4 1:42
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-15
96.6%
South Carolina Penalty, UNR: Unnecessary Roughness (-15 Yards) to the JVST 42Similar
Q4 1:42
1ST & 25
OPP 42
+2
96.3%
Mario Anderson run for 2 yds to the JVST 40Similar
Q4 1:42
2ND & 23
OPP 40
+5
96.2%
Mario Anderson run for 5 yds to the JVST 35Similar
Q4 1:30
3RD & 18
OPP 35
+20
96.5%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Joshua Simon for 20 yds to the JVST 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:30
1ST & 10
OPP 15
-1
97.0%
Kneel down by South Carolina at JSU16 for loss of 1 yard.Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 11
OPP 16
-2
97.1%
Kneel down by South Carolina at JSU18 for loss of 2 yards.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 2:02
Stone Blanton 88 Yd Interception Return (Mitch Jeter Kick)
+27.5
TD · Q3 1:29
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Xavier Legette for 65 yds for a TD (Mitch Jeter KICK)
+24.1
TD · Q3 5:30
Zion Webb pass complete to Perry Carter for 54 yds for a TD (Alen Karajic KICK)
-19.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com