Try the model
OSU

Ohio State 35 at Rutgers 16

RUTG
2023 · Week 10 · Nov 4, 2023 · SHI Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · RUTG
modelRUTG aheadOSU aheadconfidence bandkey playRUTG scoreOSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGFGFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 3:26 · Jesse Mirco punt for 33 yds, downed at the RUTG 20
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+51.0+25.50−25.5−51.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 26Pregame prior−38.0Home team on offense−2.6Score differential−0.9Garbage-time factor−0.8Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.7
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q2 0:01: Jai Patel 20 yd FG GOOD — RUTG win probability +4.2 pts (now 33%) (top driver: RUTG has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 9:49: Jordan Hancock 93 Yd Interception Return (Jayden Fielding Kick) — OSU win probability +13.6 pts (now 75%) (top driver: Game still competitive relative to time left).
  3. TD · Q3 2:39: TreVeyon Henderson run for 9 yds for a TD (Jayden Fielding KICK) — OSU win probability +10.3 pts (now 91%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 14:07: Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to JaQuae Jackson for 19 yds for a TD (Jai Patel KICK) — RUTG win probability +20.2 pts (now 34%) (top driver: Blowout context favors the defense).
  5. TD · Q4 12:02: Kyle McCord pass complete to Marvin Harrison Jr. for 4 yds for a TD (Jayden Fielding KICK) — OSU win probability +11.9 pts (now 93%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
RUTG made the numbers' call on 4 of 9OSU made the numbers' call on 3 of 6
  1. Q1 13:02OSU 4th & 3 at OSU 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 86.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.7%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.7%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:18RUTG 4th & 4 at RUTG 36, tied
    Close callPunted · 14.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:06RUTG 4th & 3 at RUTG 32, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.6%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.6%
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:26OSU 4th & 14 at OSU 47, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 84.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.2%−0.4
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.6%
    average punt
  5. Q1 1:43RUTG 4th & 2 at RUTG 28, down 7
    Close callPunted · 15.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.8%−0.2
    average punt
  6. Q2 14:55OSU 4th & 1 at OSU 41, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 83.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    84.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    83.6%−0.5
    average punt
  7. Q2 13:22OSU 4th & 7 at RUTG 44, up 7
    Close callPunted · 83.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.7%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    83.2%−0.4
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    83.6%−<0.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 9:59RUTG 4th & 1 at RUTG 43, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 18.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    18.4%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    17.3%−1.0
    average punt
  9. Q2 7:49RUTG 4th & 2 at OSU 4, down 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 18.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.6%
    50% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    17.7%−0.9
    93% to make
    Punt
    13.6%−5.0
    average punt
  10. Q2 6:24OSU 4th & 5 at OSU 30, up 4
    Close callWent for it · 77.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    77.2%−0.2
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    77.4%
    average punt
  11. Q2 2:03RUTG 4th & 3 at OSU 3, down 4
    Close callKicked a field goal · 24.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.5%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    23.5%−1.0
    93% to make
    Punt
    18.8%−5.7
    average punt
  12. Q3 6:28RUTG 4th & 7 at RUTG 40, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.5%−0.7
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.2%
    average punt
  13. Q4 8:14RUTG 4th & 6 at OSU 6, down 12
    Close callWent for it · 12.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    12.1%−<0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    12.1%
    91% to make
    Punt
    6.1%−6.0
    average punt
  14. Q4 5:52OSU 4th & 2 at midfield, up 12
    Close callPunted · 93.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.9%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.1%−0.8
    average punt
  15. Q4 4:16RUTG 4th & 2 at RUTG 17, down 12
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 6.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    6.0%−0.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
RUTG made the numbers' call on 1 of 1OSU made the numbers' call on 4 of 5
  1. Q1 8:35OSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 9:49OSU Touchdown, up 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    74.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    74.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 2:39OSU Touchdown, up 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 14:07RUTG Touchdown, down 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    24.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    24.1%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 12:02OSU Touchdown, up 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 2:07OSU Touchdown, up 18 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.3%−0.3
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.6%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
OSUDrive 1PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:5491% → 90%
Q1 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
8.9%
Kyle McCord pass complete to TreVeyon Henderson for 3 yds to the OSU 28Similar
Q1 14:30
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+1
9.1%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 1 yd to the OSU 29Similar
Q1 13:47
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+3
9.3%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Marvin Harrison Jr. for 3 yds to the OSU 32Similar
Q1 13:02
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
9.7%
Jesse Mirco punt for 38 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:4210% → 10%
Q1 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
9.7%
Gavin Wimsatt pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:54
2ND & 10
OWN 30
-1
9.7%
Kyle Monangai run for a loss of 1 yard to the RUTG 29Similar
Q1 12:05
3RD & 11
OWN 29
+7
10.0%
Kyle Monangai run for 7 yds to the RUTG 36Similar
Q1 11:18
4TH & 4
OWN 36
0
10.3%
Flynn Appleby punt for 18 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 3TD
6 plays · 54 yds · 2:4290% → 90%
Q1 11:17
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+6
10.2%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 6 yds to the RUTG 48Similar
Q1 10:40
2ND & 4
OPP 48
+7
10.4%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 7 yds to the RUTG 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:05
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+13
10.7%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 13 yds to the RUTG 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:37
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+10
10.8%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Emeka Egbuka for 10 yds to the RUTG 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:01
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+4
11.0%
Chip Trayanum run for 4 yds to the RUTG 14Similar
Q1 8:35
2ND & 6
OPP 14
+14
10.2%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Gee Scott Jr. for 14 yds for a TD (Jayden Fielding KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:2511% → 11%
Q1 8:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
10.6%
Kyle Monangai run for 4 yds to the RUTG 29Similar
Q1 7:46
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+3
10.8%
Kyle Monangai run for 3 yds to the RUTG 32Similar
Q1 7:07
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
10.9%
Gavin Wimsatt pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:06
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
10.9%
Flynn Appleby punt for 41 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 5PUNT
8 plays · 20 yds · 3:2889% → 88%
Q1 6:54
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+4
10.8%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 4 yds to the OSU 31Similar
Q1 6:19
2ND & 6
OWN 31
+9
11.0%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Gee Scott Jr. for 9 yds to the OSU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:02
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
10.9%
Kyle McCord pass complete to TreVeyon Henderson for 4 yds to the OSU 44Similar
Q1 5:43
2ND & 6
OWN 44
+7
11.0%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Emeka Egbuka for 7 yds to the RUTG 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:08
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-9
11.0%
Kyle McCord sacked by Mohamed Toure for a loss of 9 yards to the OSU 42Similar
Q1 4:30
2ND & 19
OWN 42
0
11.5%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Xavier Johnson for no gain to the OSU 42Similar
Q1 3:44
3RD & 19
OWN 42
+5
11.8%
Kyle McCord pass complete to TreVeyon Henderson for 5 yds to the OSU 47Similar
Q1 3:26
4TH & 14
OWN 47
0
12.0%
Jesse Mirco punt for 33 yds, downed at the RUTG 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:3112% → 12%
Q1 3:14
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
12.1%
Samuel Brown V run for 4 yds to the RUTG 24Similar
Q1 2:28
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+4
12.3%
Samuel Brown V run for 4 yds to the RUTG 28Similar
Q1 1:43
3RD & 2
OWN 28
0
12.4%
Gavin Wimsatt pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:43
4TH & 2
OWN 28
0
12.2%
Flynn Appleby punt for 40 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 7PUNT
9 plays · 24 yds · 3:1188% → 87%
Q1 1:33
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+5
12.1%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 5 yds to the OSU 37Similar
Q1 0:59
2ND & 5
OWN 37
-2
12.1%
TreVeyon Henderson run for a loss of 2 yards to the OSU 35Similar
Q1 0:15
3RD & 7
OWN 35
+6
12.6%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Emeka Egbuka for 6 yds to the OSU 41Similar
Q2 14:55
4TH & 1
OWN 41
+1
12.6%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 1 yd to the OSU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:38
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+11
12.3%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 11 yds to the RUTG 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:05
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+3
12.4%
Kyle McCord pass complete to TreVeyon Henderson for 3 yds to the RUTG 44Similar
Q2 13:30
2ND & 7
OPP 44
0
12.5%
Kyle McCord pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:23
3RD & 7
OPP 44
0
12.7%
Kyle McCord pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:22
4TH & 7
OPP 44
0
13.0%
Jesse Mirco punt for 44 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 8FG
10 plays · 76 yds · 5:2114% → 18%
Q2 13:10
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
13.5%
Gavin Wimsatt pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:04
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+14
13.6%
Gavin Wimsatt run for 14 yds to the RUTG 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:26
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+7
13.9%
Kyle Monangai run for 7 yds to the RUTG 41Similar
Q2 11:53
2ND & 3
OWN 41
0
14.8%
Kyle Monangai run for no gain to the RUTG 41Similar
Q2 11:10
3RD & 3
OWN 41
+2
14.7%
Gavin Wimsatt run for 2 yds to the RUTG 43Similar
Q2 9:59
4TH & 1
OWN 43
+45
14.7%
Kyle Monangai run for 45 yds to the OSU 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:27
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
16.4%
Gavin Wimsatt pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:22
2ND & 10
OPP 12
+4
16.4%
Gavin Wimsatt run for 4 yds to the OSU 8Similar
Q2 8:33
3RD & 6
OPP 8
+4
16.2%
Gavin Wimsatt run for 4 yds to the OSU 4Similar
Q2 7:49
4TH & 2
OPP 4
+22
18.1%
Jai Patel 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 9DOWNS
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:2583% → 81%
Q2 7:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
17.2%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 5 yds to the OSU 30Similar
Q2 7:08
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
17.1%
TreVeyon Henderson run for no gain to the OSU 30Similar
Q2 6:32
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
17.9%
Kyle McCord pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:24
4TH & 5
OWN 30
+2
18.8%
Jesse Mirco run for 2 yds to the OSU 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 10FG
10 plays · 29 yds · 4:1721% → 24%
Q2 6:20
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+7
20.6%
Kyle Monangai run for 7 yds to the OSU 25Similar
Q2 5:32
2ND & 3
OPP 25
+9
21.1%
Kyle Monangai run for 9 yds to the OSU 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:54
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+4
21.5%
Gavin Wimsatt run for 4 yds to the OSU 12Similar
Q2 4:12
2ND & 6
OPP 12
+8
22.0%
Kyle Monangai run for 8 yds to the OSU 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
22.5%
Kyle Monangai run for 2 yds to the OSU 2Similar
Q2 2:56
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
-1
22.9%
Gavin Wimsatt run for a loss of 1 yard to the OSU 3Similar
Q2 2:47
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
0
22.6%
Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Christian Dremel for no gain to the OSU 3Similar
Q2 2:03
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+21
23.9%
Jai Patel 21 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 11INT
2 plays · 16 yds · 0:1379% → 80%
Q2 1:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
21.4%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Marvin Harrison Jr. for 16 yds to the OSU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:46
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
20.1%
Kyle McCord pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 12FG
11 plays · 44 yds · 1:4126% → 33%
Q2 1:42
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
25.7%
Gavin Wimsatt pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:37
2ND & 10
OPP 46
0
25.6%
Gavin Wimsatt run for no gain to the OSU 46Similar
Q2 0:51
3RD & 10
OPP 46
+13
24.5%
Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to JaQuae Jackson for 13 yds to the OSU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:28
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+2
27.8%
Kyle Monangai run for 2 yds to the OSU 31Similar
Q2 0:21
2ND & 8
OPP 31
+16
27.9%
Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Christian Dremel for 16 yds to the OSU 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:13
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+13
27.8%
Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Johnny Langan for 13 yds to the OSU 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
28.4%
Gavin Wimsatt pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:05
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
0
28.2%
Gavin Wimsatt pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:01
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+20
32.5%
Jai Patel 20 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 13INT TD
10 plays · 55 yds · 5:0531% → 25%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
30.5%
WIMSATT, Gavin pass to the right incomplete intended for WASHINGTON, Isaiah thrown to the RU31, clock 14:54. PENALTY OSU Pass Interference on PROCTOR, Josh enforced at the spot of the foul for 7 yards to the RU32 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 14:43
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+4
30.9%
Kyle Monangai run for 4 yds to the RUTG 36Similar
Q3 14:07
2ND & 6
OWN 36
+9
32.7%
Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to JaQuae Jackson for 9 yds to the RUTG 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:22
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
34.4%
Kyle Monangai run for no gain to the RUTG 45Similar
Q3 12:43
2ND & 10
OWN 45
-10
33.9%
QB Keeper WIMSATT, Gavin rush to the right for a gain of 2 yards to the RU47 (CHAMBERS, Steele), clock 12:43. PENALTY RU Holding on DUNLAP JR., Curtis enforced 10 yards from the RU45 to the RU35 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 12:22
2ND & 20
OWN 35
+15
32.7%
(12:22) WIMSATT, Gavin pass deep to the left incomplete intended for STRONG, Ian thrown to the OSU41, clock 12:17. PENALTY OSU Pass Interference on STYLES, Sonny enforced 15 yards to the RU50 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 12:16
1ST & 10
50
+13
35.7%
Kyle Monangai run for 13 yds to the OSU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:29
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+14
37.0%
Kyle Monangai run for 14 yds to the OSU 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:46
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+3
38.8%
Gavin Wimsatt run for 3 yds to the OSU 20Similar
Q3 9:49
2ND & 7
OPP 20
-93
25.2%
Jordan Hancock 93 Yd Interception Return (Jayden Fielding Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 14PUNT
8 plays · 15 yds · 1:1922% → 22%
Q3 7:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
22.2%
Kyle Monangai run for 8 yds to the RUTG 33Similar
Q3 6:37
2ND & 2
OWN 33
-5
24.6%
MONANGAI, Kyle rush up the middle for a gain of 5 yards to the RU38 (SIMON, Cody;EICHENBERG, Tommy), clock 06:37. PENALTY Before the snap, RU Illegal Motion enforced 5 yards from the RU33 to the RU28. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 6:28
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+4
23.1%
Gavin Wimsatt run for 4 yds to the RUTG 32Similar
Q3 6:28
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+5
22.6%
Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Christian Dremel for 5 yds to the RUTG 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:28
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
23.6%
Kyle Monangai run for 2 yds to the RUTG 39Similar
Q3 6:28
2ND & 8
OWN 39
+1
24.8%
Kyle Monangai run for 1 yd to the RUTG 40Similar
Q3 6:28
3RD & 7
OWN 40
0
23.1%
Gavin Wimsatt pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:28
4TH & 7
OWN 40
0
22.2%
Flynn Appleby punt for 31 yds, downed at the OSU 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 15TD
9 plays · 71 yds · 3:4579% → 91%
Q3 6:24
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-1
21.0%
TreVeyon Henderson run for a loss of 1 yard to the OSU 28Similar
Q3 5:46
2ND & 11
OWN 28
+9
21.7%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Carnell Tate for 9 yds to the OSU 37Similar
Q3 5:09
3RD & 2
OWN 37
+22
20.9%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Carnell Tate for 22 yds to the RUTG 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:39
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+20
19.4%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 20 yds to the RUTG 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:12
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+4
18.7%
Emeka Egbuka run for 4 yds to the RUTG 17Similar
Q3 3:41
2ND & 6
OPP 17
+5
18.9%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 5 yds to the RUTG 12Similar
Q3 3:15
3RD & 1
OPP 12
+3
19.6%
Kyle McCord run for 3 yds to the RUTG 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
9.4%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 9 yds for a TD (Jayden Fielding KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 16TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 3:2714% → 34%
Q3 2:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
13.6%
MONANGAI, Kyle rush up the middle for a gain of 3 yards to the RU28 (WILLIAMS, Tyleik;CHAMBERS, Steele), clock 02:34. PENALTY OSU Offsides on JACKSON JR., Kenyatta enforced 5 yards from the RU25 to the RU30 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 2:10
1ST & 5
OWN 30
+2
13.6%
Kyle Monangai run for 2 yds to the RUTG 32Similar
Q3 1:30
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+3
13.7%
Kyle Monangai run for 3 yds to the RUTG 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+13
13.5%
Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Christian Dremel for 13 yds to the RUTG 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:17
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-2
14.2%
Samuel Brown V run for a loss of 2 yards to the RUTG 46Similar
Q4 14:49
2ND & 12
OWN 46
+35
13.3%
Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Christian Dremel for 35 yds to the OSU 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:07
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+19
33.6%
Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to JaQuae Jackson for 19 yds for a TD (Jai Patel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 17TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 2:0078% → 93%
Q4 14:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
22.5%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Gee Scott Jr. for 1 yd to the OSU 26Similar
Q4 13:29
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
22.3%
Kyle McCord pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:15
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+65
23.6%
Kyle McCord pass complete to TreVeyon Henderson for 65 yds to the RUTG 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
19.1%
Kyle McCord pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:28
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+5
19.2%
Xavier Johnson run for 5 yds to the RUTG 4Similar
Q4 12:02
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
7.3%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Marvin Harrison Jr. for 4 yds for a TD (Jayden Fielding KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 18DOWNS
10 plays · 62 yds · 3:4412% → 12%
Q4 11:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
12.0%
Kyle Monangai run for 2 yds to the RUTG 27Similar
Q4 11:18
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
12.1%
Gavin Wimsatt pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:13
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+16
11.4%
Kyle Monangai run for 16 yds to the RUTG 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:29
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+15
11.4%
(10:29) WIMSATT, Gavin pass up the middle incomplete broken up by SAWYER, Jack at the RU43, clock 10:28. PENALTY OSU Personal Foul on HALL JR., Mike enforced 15 yards from the RU43 to the OSU42 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 10:27
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+15
12.3%
Ohio State Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Tyleik Williams) to the OSU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:03
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+17
14.0%
Gavin Wimsatt run for 17 yds to the OSU 9 Gavin Wimsatt fumbled, recovered by RUTG Christian Dremel for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+3
14.4%
Gavin Wimsatt run for 3 yds to the OSU 6Similar
Q4 8:27
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
0
14.4%
Gavin Wimsatt pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:20
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
0
12.8%
Gavin Wimsatt pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:14
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
-7
12.1%
Gavin Wimsatt sacked by Ty Hamilton for a loss of 7 yards to the OSU 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 19PUNT
6 plays · 37 yds · 2:1893% → 95%
Q4 8:10
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+2
6.6%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 2 yds to the OSU 15Similar
Q4 7:24
2ND & 8
OWN 15
+27
6.4%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 27 yds to the OSU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+2
5.4%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 2 yds to the OSU 44Similar
Q4 6:24
2ND & 8
OWN 44
0
4.9%
Kyle McCord pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:20
3RD & 8
OWN 44
+6
5.2%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Emeka Egbuka for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 5:52
4TH & 2
50
0
5.2%
Jesse Mirco punt for 41 yds, downed at the RUTG 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 20DOWNS
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:087% → 7%
Q4 5:24
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+6
6.5%
Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Isaiah Washington for 6 yds to the RUTG 15Similar
Q4 4:51
2ND & 4
OWN 15
0
6.7%
Gavin Wimsatt pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:46
3RD & 4
OWN 15
+2
6.4%
Gavin Wimsatt run for 2 yds to the RUTG 17Similar
Q4 4:16
4TH & 2
OWN 17
0
6.5%
Gavin Wimsatt pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 21TD
9 plays · 17 yds · 2:0495% → 99%
Q4 4:11
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+8
4.6%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 8 yds to the RUTG 9Similar
Q4 3:27
2ND & 2
OPP 9
+1
3.8%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 1 yd to the RUTG 8Similar
Q4 3:21
3RD & 1
OPP 8
+2
3.1%
Chip Trayanum run for 2 yds to the RUTG 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
-2
3.0%
TreVeyon Henderson run for a loss of 2 yards to the RUTG 8Similar
Q4 2:11
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+6
2.8%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 6 yds to the RUTG 2Similar
Q4 2:07
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
0.8%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Marvin Harrison Jr. for 2 yds for a TD (Jayden Fielding KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 22END OF GAME
3 plays · 18 yds · 1:301% → 1%
Q4 2:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
0.8%
Samuel Brown V run for 4 yds to the RUTG 29Similar
Q4 1:17
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+4
0.7%
Samuel Brown V run for 4 yds to the RUTG 33Similar
Q4 0:33
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+10
0.6%
Samuel Brown V run for 10 yds to the RUTG 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 14:07
Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to JaQuae Jackson for 19 yds for a TD (Jai Patel KICK)
+20.2
TD · Q3 9:49
Jordan Hancock 93 Yd Interception Return (Jayden Fielding Kick)
-13.6
TD · Q4 12:02
Kyle McCord pass complete to Marvin Harrison Jr. for 4 yds for a TD (Jayden Fielding KICK)
-11.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com