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IOWA

Iowa 10 at Northwestern 7

NU
2023 · Week 10 · Nov 4, 2023 · Wrigley Field
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Win probability · NU
modelNU aheadIOWA aheadconfidence bandkey playNU scoreIOWA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 1:00 · Tory Taylor punt for 38 yds, downed at the NU 33
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+32.5+16.30−16.3−32.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 102Home team on offense−13.0Pregame prior−2.5Garbage-time factor−4.3Score differential−4.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−3.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−2.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 9:04: Deacon Hill pass complete to Addison Ostrenga for 2 yds for a TD (Drew Stevens KICK) — IOWA win probability +13.6 pts (now 72%) (top driver: IOWA has the ball).
  2. KEY PLAY · Q4 5:15: Anthony Tyus III run for 4 yds to the IOWA 18 — NU win probability +12.9 pts (now 29%) (top driver: NU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 1:50: Brendan Sullivan pass complete to Cam Johnson for 5 yds for a TD (Jack Olsen KICK) — NU win probability +33.5 pts (now 63%) (top driver: NU has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 1:46: Deacon Hill pass complete to Nico Ragaini for 8 yds to the IOWA 36 — IOWA win probability +13.1 pts (now 50%) (top driver: IOWA has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 0:14: Drew Stevens 52 yd FG GOOD — IOWA win probability +34.1 pts (now 93%) (top driver: IOWA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
NU made the numbers' call on 9 of 10IOWA made the numbers' call on 6 of 8
  1. Q1 8:33IOWA 4th & 15 at NU 39, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 59.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.2%−0.2
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    59.4%−<0.1
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    59.4%
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:21NU 4th & 16 at NU 6, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.1%−0.6
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.7%
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:01IOWA 4th & 12 at NU 36, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 57.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.4%−0.2
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    57.6%
    42% to make
    Punt
    57.4%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:00NU 4th & 17 at NU 40, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.2%−0.8
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.0%
    average punt
  5. Q2 9:08NU 4th & 7 at NU 36, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.4%−0.5
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.9%
    average punt
  6. Q2 6:22IOWA 4th & 8 at IOWA 42, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.8%−1.0
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.7%
    average punt
  7. Q2 5:00NU 4th & 11 at NU 11, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.8%−1.9
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.7%
    average punt
  8. Q2 3:32IOWA 4th & 4 at NU 40, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.3 ptsPunted · 56.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.5%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    55.2%−1.3
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    55.2%−1.3
    average punt
  9. Q2 2:25NU 4th & 6 at NU 24, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.8%−0.5
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.4%
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:49IOWA 4th & 9 at IOWA 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 52.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.5%−2.2
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.7%
    average punt
  11. Q2 0:29NU 4th & 3 at NU 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.9%−1.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.0%
    average punt
  12. Q3 13:03NU 4th & 17 at NU 18, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 46.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.4%−3.6
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    48.1%
    average punt
  13. Q3 5:00NU 4th & 4 at IOWA 46, down 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.3 ptsPunted · 33.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.5%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    30.4%−4.1
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    33.2%−1.3
    average punt
  14. Q3 1:00IOWA 4th & 12 at IOWA 29, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 70.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.8%−2.5
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    71.3%
    average punt
  15. Q4 15:00NU 4th & 1 at IOWA 16, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 31.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    31.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    27.3%−3.8
    81% to make
    Punt
    15.4%−15.7
    average punt
  16. Q4 6:36NU 4th & 1 at IOWA 1, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 25.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    30.9%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    21.7%−9.2
    94% to make
    Punt
    8.8%−22.1
    average punt
  17. Q4 5:15IOWA 4th & 3 at IOWA 8, up 7
    Close callPunted · 83.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.0%
    50% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    82.7%−0.3
    average punt
  18. Q4 0:14IOWA 4th & 7 at NU 35, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 52.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.5%−7.2
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    57.7%
    45% to make
    Punt
    44.4%−13.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
NU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1IOWA made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q3 9:04IOWA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    65.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    65.4%−0.2
    45% to convert
  2. Q4 1:50NU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    48.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    46.2%−2.4
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
IOWADrive 1PUNT
13 plays · 37 yds · 6:2359% → 57%
Q1 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+4
40.6%
Leshon Williams run for 4 yds to the IOWA 28Similar
Q1 14:56
2ND & 6
OWN 28
+4
40.6%
Leshon Williams run for 4 yds to the IOWA 32Similar
Q1 14:56
3RD & 2
OWN 32
+3
40.6%
HILL, Deacon pass to the right incomplete intended for VINES, Diante thrown to the UI32. PENALTY NU Pass Interference on HOLLIS JR., Garnett enforced at the spot of the foul for 3 yards to the UI35 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+8
40.6%
Leshon Williams run for 8 yds to the IOWA 43Similar
Q1 14:56
2ND & 2
OWN 43
+1
40.6%
Leshon Williams run for 1 yd to the IOWA 44Similar
Q1 14:56
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+2
40.6%
Deacon Hill run for 2 yds to the IOWA 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
40.6%
Jaziun Patterson run for 5 yds to the NU 49Similar
Q1 14:56
2ND & 5
OPP 49
+1
40.6%
Jaziun Patterson run for 1 yd to the NU 48Similar
Q1 14:56
3RD & 4
OPP 48
+14
40.6%
HILL, Deacon pass to the left incomplete intended for BROWN, Kaleb thrown to the NU35. PENALTY NU Pass Interference on JOHNSON, Theran enforced at the spot of the foul for 14 yards to the NU34 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 14:56
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+1
40.6%
Deacon Hill pass complete to Diante Vines for 1 yd to the NU 33Similar
Q1 14:56
2ND & 9
OPP 33
+2
40.6%
Leshon Williams run for 2 yds to the NU 31Similar
Q1 14:56
3RD & 7
OPP 31
-8
40.6%
Deacon Hill sacked for a loss of 8 yards to the NU 39Similar
Q1 8:33
4TH & 15
OPP 39
0
42.6%
Tory Taylor punt for 27 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · -6 yds · 2:1243% → 42%
Q1 8:33
1ST & 10
OWN 12
-1
42.5%
Brendan Sullivan pass complete to A.J. Henning for a loss of 1 yard to the NU 11Similar
Q1 8:33
2ND & 11
OWN 11
+3
42.4%
Cam Porter run for 3 yds to the NU 14Similar
Q1 8:33
3RD & 8
OWN 14
-8
42.1%
Brendan Sullivan sacked by Nick Jackson for a loss of 8 yards to the NU 6Similar
Q1 6:21
4TH & 16
OWN 6
0
42.4%
Hunter Renner punt for 52 yds , Cooper DeJean returns for no gain to the IOWA 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 3MISSED FG
7 plays · 27 yds · 3:2057% → 56%
Q1 6:21
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+15
42.8%
Deacon Hill pass complete to Hayden Large for 15 yds to the NU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:21
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
42.2%
Leshon Williams run for no gain to the NU 48Similar
Q1 6:21
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+14
42.3%
HILL, Deacon pass deep to the left incomplete intended for VINES, Diante thrown to the NU15. PENALTY NU Pass Interference on HOLLIS JR., Garnett enforced at the spot of the foul for 14 yards to the NU34 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 6:21
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
42.0%
Leshon Williams run for no gain to the NU 34Similar
Q1 6:21
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+2
42.0%
Leshon Williams run for 2 yds to the NU 32Similar
Q1 6:21
3RD & 8
OPP 32
-4
42.3%
Deacon Hill pass complete to Leshon Williams for a loss of 4 yards to the NU 36Similar
Q1 3:01
4TH & 12
OPP 36
+53
44.3%
Drew Stevens 53 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 4PUNT
7 plays · 4 yds · 3:0145% → 44%
Q1 3:01
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+8
44.6%
Cam Porter run for 8 yds to the NU 44Similar
Q1 3:01
2ND & 2
OWN 44
0
45.5%
Brendan Sullivan pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:01
3RD & 2
OWN 44
+3
45.1%
Cam Porter run for 3 yds to the NU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:01
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+5
45.4%
Brendan Sullivan pass complete to Marshall Lang for 5 yds to the IOWA 48Similar
Q1 3:01
2ND & 5
OPP 48
-17
45.6%
run for a loss of 17 yards to the NU 35 fumbled, recovered by NU Cam Porter [NHSG] NU rush up the middle for a loss of 17 yards, fumbled at UI48 , recovered by NU PORTER, Cam at the NU35, returned 0 yards to the NU35, End of Play.Similar
Q1 3:01
3RD & 22
OWN 35
+5
43.6%
Brendan Sullivan run for 5 yds to the NU 40Similar
Q1 0:00
4TH & 17
OWN 40
0
44.4%
Hunter Renner punt for 27 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 5INT
7 plays · 41 yds · 3:1656% → 57%
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+6
44.0%
Deacon Hill pass complete to Addison Ostrenga for 6 yds to the IOWA 39Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 39
+3
43.2%
Jaziun Patterson run for 3 yds to the IOWA 42Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 42
+2
43.3%
Jaziun Patterson run for 2 yds to the IOWA 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+3
43.2%
Jaziun Patterson run for 3 yds to the IOWA 47Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 47
+23
43.1%
Deacon Hill pass complete to Diante Vines for 8 yds to the NU 45 for a 1ST down Northwestern Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the NU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+4
42.4%
Diante Vines run for 4 yds to the NU 26Similar
Q2 11:44
2ND & 6
OPP 26
0
42.6%
Deacon Hill pass intercepted, touchback.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 6PUNT
7 plays · 16 yds · 2:3646% → 46%
Q2 11:44
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
46.4%
Cam Porter run for 6 yds to the NU 26Similar
Q2 11:44
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+7
46.7%
Brendan Sullivan run for 7 yds to the NU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:44
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+5
46.7%
Anthony Tyus III run for 5 yds to the NU 38Similar
Q2 11:44
2ND & 5
OWN 38
+3
48.0%
Anthony Tyus III run for 3 yds to the NU 41Similar
Q2 11:44
3RD & 2
OWN 41
-5
47.4%
Northwestern Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the NU 36Similar
Q2 11:44
3RD & 7
OWN 36
0
46.3%
Brendan Sullivan pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:08
4TH & 7
OWN 36
0
46.3%
Hunter Renner punt for 50 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 7PUNT
6 plays · 16 yds · 2:4655% → 54%
Q2 9:08
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+8
45.5%
Cooper DeJean run for 8 yds to the IOWA 34Similar
Q2 9:08
2ND & 2
OWN 34
+6
44.4%
Leshon Williams run for 6 yds to the IOWA 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:08
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
44.3%
Leshon Williams run for 3 yds to the IOWA 43Similar
Q2 9:08
2ND & 7
OWN 43
-1
43.8%
Deacon Hill pass complete to Leshon Williams for a loss of 1 yard to the IOWA 42Similar
Q2 9:08
3RD & 8
OWN 42
0
45.0%
Deacon Hill pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:22
4TH & 8
OWN 42
0
45.9%
Tory Taylor punt for 46 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 1:2248% → 47%
Q2 6:22
1ST & 10
OWN 12
0
48.0%
Brendan Sullivan run for no gain to the NU 12Similar
Q2 6:22
2ND & 10
OWN 12
-1
47.8%
Cam Porter run for a loss of 1 yard to the NU 11Similar
Q2 6:22
3RD & 11
OWN 11
0
46.8%
Brendan Sullivan pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:00
4TH & 11
OWN 11
0
46.5%
Hunter Renner punt for 35 yds, downed at the NU 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:2857% → 55%
Q2 5:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-4
42.8%
Deacon Hill sacked by Aidan Hubbard for a loss of 4 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 5:00
2ND & 14
50
+10
44.3%
Leshon Williams run for 10 yds to the NU 40Similar
Q2 5:00
3RD & 4
OPP 40
0
43.2%
Deacon Hill pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:32
4TH & 4
OPP 40
0
44.7%
Tory Taylor punt for 40 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:0749% → 47%
Q2 3:32
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
49.0%
Brendan Sullivan pass complete to A.J. Henning for 4 yds to the NU 24Similar
Q2 3:32
2ND & 6
OWN 24
0
49.3%
Anthony Tyus III run for no gain to the NU 24Similar
Q2 3:32
3RD & 6
OWN 24
0
47.9%
Brendan Sullivan pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:25
4TH & 6
OWN 24
0
47.0%
Luke Akers punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Cooper DeJean at the IOWA 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:3655% → 52%
Q2 2:25
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+1
45.4%
Leshon Williams run for 1 yd to the IOWA 29Similar
Q2 2:25
2ND & 9
OWN 29
0
45.5%
Leshon Williams run for no gain to the IOWA 29Similar
Q2 2:25
3RD & 9
OWN 29
0
46.7%
Deacon Hill pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:49
4TH & 9
OWN 29
0
48.2%
Tory Taylor punt for 46 yds, downed at the NU 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 12PUNT
6 plays · 7 yds · 0:2351% → 50%
Q2 0:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-4
50.7%
Brendan Sullivan sacked by Yahya Black for a loss of 4 yards to the NU 21Similar
Q2 0:29
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
49.7%
Hunter Renner punt for 39 yds, downed at the IOWA 29Similar
Q2 0:21
2ND & 14
OWN 21
+4
50.4%
Cam Porter run for 4 yds to the NU 25Similar
Q2 0:21
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+7
49.5%
Brendan Sullivan pass complete to A.J. Henning for 7 yds to the NU 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 13END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0053% → 53%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
47.3%
[SG] Kneel down by UI at UI28 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · -7 yds · 1:5750% → 48%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
50.0%
Brendan Sullivan pass complete to Joseph Himon II for no gain to the NU 25Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-10
49.8%
PORTER, Cam rush up the middle for a gain of 4 yards to the NU29 (HIGGINS, Jay;SCHULTE, Quinn). PENALTY NU Holding on GORDON, Thomas enforced 10 yards from the NU25 to the NU15 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 20
OWN 15
+3
49.6%
Brendan Sullivan run for 3 yds to the NU 18Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 17
OWN 18
0
48.2%
Cam Porter run for no gain to the NU 18Similar
Q3 13:03
4TH & 17
OWN 18
0
47.9%
Hunter Renner punt blocked by Anterio Thompson to the NU 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 15TD
7 plays · 25 yds · 3:5958% → 72%
Q3 13:03
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+7
42.2%
Deacon Hill pass complete to Addison Ostrenga for 7 yds to the NU 18Similar
Q3 13:03
2ND & 3
OPP 18
+4
42.1%
Leshon Williams run for 4 yds to the NU 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:03
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+5
42.1%
Leshon Williams run for 5 yds to the NU 9Similar
Q3 13:03
2ND & 5
OPP 9
+4
42.1%
Jaziun Patterson run for 4 yds to the NU 5Similar
Q3 13:03
3RD & 1
OPP 5
+1
43.3%
Deacon Hill run for 1 yd to the NU 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
42.1%
Jaziun Patterson run for 2 yds to the NU 2Similar
Q3 9:04
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
28.5%
Deacon Hill pass complete to Addison Ostrenga for 2 yds for a TD (Drew Stevens KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 16PUNT
8 plays · 29 yds · 4:0434% → 34%
Q3 9:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
33.6%
Brendan Sullivan sacked by Joe Evans for 0 yards to the NU 25Similar
Q3 9:04
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+11
33.4%
Brendan Sullivan pass complete to Cam Johnson for 11 yds to the NU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:04
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
34.5%
Cam Porter run for 4 yds to the NU 40Similar
Q3 9:04
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+8
36.0%
Brendan Sullivan run for 8 yds to the NU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:04
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-2
36.6%
Brendan Sullivan sacked by Jay Higgins for a loss of 2 yards to the NU 46Similar
Q3 9:04
2ND & 12
OWN 46
+8
34.9%
Brendan Sullivan run for 8 yds to the IOWA 46Similar
Q3 9:04
3RD & 4
OPP 46
0
36.9%
Brendan Sullivan pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:00
4TH & 4
OPP 46
0
33.7%
Hunter Renner punt for 46 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 17PUNT
8 plays · 9 yds · 4:0071% → 70%
Q3 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+7
29.5%
Leshon Williams run for 7 yds to the IOWA 27Similar
Q3 5:00
2ND & 3
OWN 27
0
28.1%
Deacon Hill pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:00
3RD & 3
OWN 27
+4
28.9%
Leshon Williams run for 4 yds to the IOWA 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-10
28.6%
PATTERSON, Jaziun rush up the middle for a gain of 2 yards to the UI33 (GALLAGHER, Bryce). PENALTY UI Holding on ELSBURY, Tyler enforced 10 yards from the UI31 to the UI21 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 5:00
1ST & 20
OWN 21
+1
29.7%
Jaziun Patterson run for 1 yd to the IOWA 22Similar
Q3 5:00
2ND & 19
OWN 22
+3
30.0%
Leshon Williams run for 3 yds to the IOWA 25Similar
Q3 5:00
3RD & 16
OWN 25
+4
30.8%
Leshon Williams run for 4 yds to the IOWA 29Similar
Q3 1:00
4TH & 12
OWN 29
0
30.2%
Tory Taylor punt for 38 yds, downed at the NU 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 18DOWNS
20 plays · 66 yds · 9:2433% → 26%
Q3 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
32.5%
Brendan Sullivan pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:00
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+9
32.2%
Brendan Sullivan pass complete to Bryce Kirtz for 9 yds to the NU 42Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 1
OWN 42
+4
32.4%
Anthony Tyus III run for 4 yds to the NU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
32.6%
Jack Lausch run for 3 yds to the NU 49Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 49
+3
33.5%
Jack Lausch run for 3 yds to the IOWA 48Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 48
+9
33.4%
Anthony Tyus III run for 9 yds to the IOWA 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
34.1%
Brendan Sullivan sacked by Xavier Nwankpa for 0 yards to the IOWA 39Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+8
34.0%
Anthony Tyus III run for 8 yds to the IOWA 31Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 31
+6
34.0%
Cam Porter run for 6 yds to the IOWA 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+2
36.0%
Cam Porter run for 2 yds to the IOWA 23Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 23
-10
36.0%
SULLIVAN, Brendan pass to the right complete for 6 yards to PORTER, Cam caught at the UI23 and advanced to the UI17 (CASTRO, Sebastian). PENALTY NU Holding on EDWARDS, Braeden enforced 10 yards from the UI23 to the UI33 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 18
OPP 33
+14
33.4%
Brendan Sullivan pass complete to Cam Johnson for 14 yds to the IOWA 19Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 19
+3
33.8%
Anthony Tyus III run for 3 yds to the IOWA 16Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 16
+3
32.0%
Anthony Tyus III run for 3 yds to the IOWA 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+1
35.9%
Brendan Sullivan run for 1 yd to the IOWA 12Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 12
+10
35.9%
SULLIVAN, Brendan pass up the middle incomplete intended for KIRTZ, Bryce thrown to the UI0. PENALTY UI Pass Interference on DEJEAN, Cooper enforced at the spot of the foul for 10 yards to the UI2 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
36.0%
Cam Porter run for 1 yd to the IOWA 1Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
35.9%
Brendan Sullivan run for no gain to the IOWA 1Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
34.0%
Cam Porter run for no gain to the IOWA 1Similar
Q4 6:36
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
0
26.1%
Brendan Sullivan run for no gain to the IOWA 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:2181% → 84%
Q4 6:36
1ST & 10
OWN 1
0
19.2%
Deacon Hill run for no gain to the IOWA 1Similar
Q4 6:36
2ND & 10
OWN 1
+2
19.5%
Deacon Hill run for 2 yds to the IOWA 3Similar
Q4 6:36
3RD & 8
OWN 3
+5
20.4%
Leshon Williams run for 5 yds to the IOWA 8Similar
Q4 5:15
4TH & 3
OWN 8
0
16.5%
Tory Taylor punt for 37 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 20TD
6 plays · 22 yds · 3:2529% → 63%
Q4 5:15
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+4
29.4%
Anthony Tyus III run for 4 yds to the IOWA 18Similar
Q4 5:15
2ND & 6
OPP 18
+1
29.4%
Anthony Tyus III run for 1 yd to the IOWA 17Similar
Q4 5:15
3RD & 5
OPP 17
+6
27.1%
Brendan Sullivan pass complete to Bryce Kirtz for 6 yds to the IOWA 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:15
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+7
29.4%
Brendan Sullivan run for 7 yds to the IOWA 4Similar
Q4 5:15
2ND & 3
OPP 4
-1
29.4%
Brendan Sullivan run for a loss of 1 yard to the IOWA 5Similar
Q4 1:50
3RD & 4
OPP 5
+5
62.9%
Brendan Sullivan pass complete to Cam Johnson for 5 yds for a TD (Jack Olsen KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 21FG
10 plays · 37 yds · 1:3250% → 93%
Q4 1:46
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+8
49.8%
Deacon Hill pass complete to Nico Ragaini for 8 yds to the IOWA 36Similar
Q4 1:46
2ND & 2
OWN 36
+3
46.2%
Leshon Williams run for 3 yds to the IOWA 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:46
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+23
47.0%
Deacon Hill pass complete to Kaleb Brown for 23 yds to the NU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:29
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+1
43.4%
Leshon Williams run for 1 yd to the NU 37Similar
Q4 0:24
2ND & 9
OPP 37
+2
41.7%
Leshon Williams run for 2 yds to the NU 35Similar
Q4 0:19
3RD & 7
OPP 35
0
41.1%
Leshon Williams run for no gain to the NU 35Similar
Q4 0:14
4TH & 7
OPP 35
+52
7.0%
Drew Stevens 52 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 22END OF GAME
5 plays · 21 yds · 0:1417% → 14%
Q4 0:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+18
17.3%
Brendan Sullivan pass complete to Bryce Kirtz for 18 yds to the NU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:14
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
20.1%
Brendan Sullivan pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:01
2ND & 10
OWN 43
0
15.1%
Brendan Sullivan pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 10
OWN 43
+3
14.2%
Brendan Sullivan pass complete to A.J. Henning for 3 yds to the NU 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
FG · Q4 0:14
Drew Stevens 52 yd FG GOOD
-34.1
TD · Q4 1:50
Brendan Sullivan pass complete to Cam Johnson for 5 yds for a TD (Jack Olsen KICK)
+33.5
End of Game · Final
Game over.
-14.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com