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PUR

Purdue 13 at Michigan 41

MICH
2023 · Week 10 · Nov 4, 2023 · Michigan Stadium
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Win probability · MICH
modelMICH aheadPUR aheadconfidence bandkey playMICH scorePUR score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGFGFGFGTDTDTDTDEnd of GameTD—MICH 99.9%Hudson Card pass complete to DeionBurks for 24 yds for a TD (BenFreehill KICK)AWAY 13 - HOME 41 · Q4 0:18
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:18 · Hudson Card pass complete to Deion Burks for 24 yds for a TD (Ben Freehill KICK)
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+48.0+24.00−24.0−48.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 154Pregame prior+0.5Home team on offense+35.5Score differential+31.0Garbage-time factor+11.2Blowout margin+17.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+7.9
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q2 7:10: James Turner 31 yd FG GOOD — MICH win probability +0.4 pts (now 98%) (top driver: MICH has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 3:52: Ben Freehill 32 yd FG GOOD — PUR win probability +1.5 pts (now 4%) (top driver: PUR has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 0:29: Ben Freehill 31 yd FG GOOD — PUR win probability +0.3 pts (now 4%) (top driver: PUR has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 3:12: Semaj Morgan run for 44 yds for a TD (James Turner KICK) — MICH win probability +2.8 pts (now 99%) (top driver: MICH has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 14:18: Blake Corum run for 3 yds for a TD (James Turner KICK) — MICH win probability +0.7 pts (now 100%) (top driver: MICH has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MICH made the numbers' call on 7 of 7PUR made the numbers' call on 9 of 13
  1. Q1 13:33PUR 4th & 7 at PUR 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.2%−0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.2%
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:19PUR 4th & 6 at PUR 29, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.6%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.6%
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:20MICH 4th & 10 at PUR 12, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 96.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.4%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    96.5%
    86% to make
    Punt
    95.9%−0.6
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:29PUR 4th & 4 at PUR 31, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.5%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.6%
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:01MICH 4th & 8 at MICH 48, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.7%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.8%
    average punt
  6. Q2 11:42PUR 4th & 8 at MICH 40, down 17
    Close callPunted · 3.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.5%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    3.4%−0.2
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    3.4%−0.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 7:10MICH 4th & 8 at PUR 13, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 96.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.3%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    96.4%
    85% to make
    Punt
    95.0%−1.4
    average punt
  8. Q2 5:12PUR 4th & 6 at PUR 29, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.1%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.2%
    average punt
  9. Q2 3:52PUR 4th & 12 at MICH 15, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 2.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.9%−0.3
    21% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    2.2%
    83% to make
    Punt
    1.0%−1.2
    average punt
  10. Q2 2:17MICH 4th & 1 at MICH 34, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 96.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    96.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    96.2%−0.5
    average punt
  11. Q2 0:29PUR 4th & 8 at MICH 14, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 4.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.1%−0.4
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    4.5%
    84% to make
    Punt
    2.7%−1.8
    average punt
  12. Q3 11:18MICH 4th & 8 at MICH 44, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.9%−0.3
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.2%
    average punt
  13. Q3 9:59PUR 4th & 3 at PUR 19, down 14
    Close callPunted · 5.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.1%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.0%−0.1
    average punt
  14. Q3 8:59MICH 4th & 8 at MICH 47, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.1%−0.3
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.3%
    average punt
  15. Q3 5:16PUR 4th & 3 at PUR 25, down 14
    Close callPunted · 5.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.6%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.6%−<0.1
    average punt
  16. Q3 2:06PUR 4th & 5 at PUR 30, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.3%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.4%
    average punt
  17. Q4 13:03PUR 4th & 11 at PUR 24, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  18. Q4 9:47MICH 4th & 17 at PUR 42, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.1
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    99.9%−0.1
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  19. Q4 7:21PUR 4th & 5 at PUR 22, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  20. Q4 0:18PUR 4th & 3 at MICH 24, down 35
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.0%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%
    68% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MICH made the numbers' call on 5 of 5PUR made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 10:30MICH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 6:05MICH Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 3:12MICH Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 14:18MICH Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 4:30MICH Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 0:18PUR Touchdown, down 29 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
PURDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 13 yds · 1:222% → 2%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+10
97.9%
Tyrone Tracy Jr. run for 10 yds to the PUR 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+3
97.9%
Hudson Card pass complete to Jayden Dixon-Veal for 3 yds to the PUR 25Similar
Q1 14:55
2ND & 7
OWN 25
0
97.9%
Hudson Card pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:55
3RD & 7
OWN 25
0
97.9%
Hudson Card pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:33
4TH & 7
OWN 25
0
97.8%
Jack Ansell punt for 52 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 2TD
6 plays · 76 yds · 3:0398% → 98%
Q1 13:33
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+3
97.8%
J.J. McCarthy run for 3 yds to the MICH 27Similar
Q1 13:33
2ND & 7
OWN 27
0
97.8%
Blake Corum run for no gain to the MICH 27Similar
Q1 13:33
3RD & 7
OWN 27
+20
97.8%
J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Roman Wilson for 20 yds to the MICH 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:33
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+14
97.8%
Kalel Mullings run for 14 yds to the PUR 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:33
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+37
97.8%
J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Donovan Edwards for 37 yds to the PUR 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
97.6%
Blake Corum run for 2 yds for a TD (James Turner KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:043% → 3%
Q1 10:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
97.5%
Devin Mockobee run for 4 yds to the PUR 29Similar
Q1 10:23
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
97.5%
Hudson Card run for no gain to the PUR 29Similar
Q1 10:23
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
97.5%
Hudson Card pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:19
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
97.4%
Jack Ansell punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Tyler Morris at the MICH 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 4TD
7 plays · 67 yds · 3:1497% → 98%
Q1 9:19
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+5
97.4%
Blake Corum run for 5 yds to the MICH 38Similar
Q1 9:19
2ND & 5
OWN 38
+20
97.5%
J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Roman Wilson for 20 yds to the PUR 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:19
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+4
97.5%
J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Donovan Edwards for 4 yds to the PUR 38Similar
Q1 9:19
2ND & 6
OPP 38
0
97.5%
J.J. McCarthy pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:19
3RD & 6
OPP 38
+21
97.5%
J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Tyler Morris for 21 yds to the PUR 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:19
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+14
97.5%
Cornelius Johnson run for 14 yds to the PUR 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
97.6%
Blake Corum run for 3 yds for a TD (James Turner KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 5INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q1 5:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
97.4%
Hudson Card pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 6FG
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:3498% → 98%
Q1 5:54
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
97.6%
Donovan Edwards run for no gain to the PUR 12Similar
Q1 5:54
2ND & 10
OPP 12
0
97.6%
J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Donovan Edwards for no gain to the PUR 12Similar
Q1 5:54
3RD & 10
OPP 12
0
97.5%
J.J. McCarthy pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:20
4TH & 10
OPP 12
+30
97.6%
James Turner 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:513% → 3%
Q1 4:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
97.5%
Devin Mockobee run for no gain to the PUR 25Similar
Q1 4:20
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+9
97.5%
Hudson Card pass complete to Tyrone Tracy Jr. for 9 yds to the PUR 34Similar
Q1 4:20
3RD & 1
OWN 34
-3
97.5%
Tyrone Tracy Jr. run for a loss of 3 yards to the PUR 31Similar
Q1 2:29
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
97.5%
Jack Ansell punt for 48 yds, downed at the MICH 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 8PUNT
9 plays · 27 yds · 3:2898% → 98%
Q1 2:29
2ND & 1
OWN 30
+3
97.6%
Blake Corum run for 3 yds to the MICH 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:29
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+5
97.6%
Blake Corum run for 5 yds to the MICH 38Similar
Q1 2:29
2ND & 5
OWN 38
+4
97.6%
J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Blake Corum for 4 yds to the MICH 42Similar
Q1 2:29
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+9
97.6%
Blake Corum run for 9 yds to the MICH 30Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 1
OWN 42
+4
97.6%
Kalel Mullings run for 4 yds to the MICH 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
97.6%
J.J. McCarthy pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+2
97.6%
Kalel Mullings run for 2 yds to the MICH 48Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 48
0
97.5%
J.J. McCarthy pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:01
4TH & 8
OWN 48
0
97.5%
Tommy Doman punt for 42 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 9PUNT
7 plays · 50 yds · 2:193% → 3%
Q2 14:01
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+4
97.4%
Hudson Card pass complete to Devin Mockobee for 4 yds to the PUR 14Similar
Q2 14:01
2ND & 6
OWN 14
+1
97.4%
Devin Mockobee run for 1 yd to the PUR 15Similar
Q2 14:01
3RD & 5
OWN 15
+43
97.4%
Hudson Card pass complete to Mershawn Rice for 43 yds to the MICH 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:01
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+2
97.2%
Devin Mockobee run for 2 yds to the MICH 40Similar
Q2 14:01
2ND & 8
OPP 40
0
97.2%
Hudson Card pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:01
3RD & 8
OPP 40
0
97.3%
Hudson Card pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:42
4TH & 8
OPP 40
0
97.3%
Jack Ansell punt for 40 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 10FG
13 plays · 67 yds · 4:3298% → 98%
Q2 11:42
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-2
97.6%
Blake Corum run for a loss of 2 yards to the MICH 18Similar
Q2 11:42
2ND & 12
OWN 18
+17
97.6%
J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Colston Loveland for 17 yds to the MICH 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:42
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+15
97.6%
Purdue Penalty, Roughing the Passer on M'BA, Jeffrey enforced (Jeffrey M'Ba) to the PUR 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:42
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+15
97.7%
Purdue Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (15 Yards) to the PUR 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:42
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-10
97.7%
MCCARTHY, J.J. pass to the right incomplete intended for MORGAN, Semaj thrown to the PUR15. PENALTY MIC Holding on CORUM, Blake enforced 10 yards from the PUR28 to the PUR38 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 11:42
1ST & 20
OPP 38
-7
97.7%
J.J. McCarthy sacked by Cole Brevard for a loss of 7 yards to the PUR 45Similar
Q2 8:40
2ND & 27
OPP 45
+16
97.5%
J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Cornelius Johnson for 16 yds to the PUR 29Similar
Q2 8:40
3RD & 11
OPP 29
+14
97.4%
J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Roman Wilson for 14 yds to the PUR 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:40
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
97.5%
J.J. McCarthy pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:40
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+2
97.5%
Donovan Edwards run for 2 yds to the PUR 13Similar
Q2 8:40
3RD & 8
OPP 13
0
97.4%
J.J. McCarthy pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:10
4TH & 8
OPP 13
+31
97.8%
James Turner 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:582% → 2%
Q2 7:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
98.1%
Tyrone Tracy Jr. run for 2 yds to the PUR 27Similar
Q2 7:10
2ND & 8
OWN 27
-10
98.1%
CARD, Hudson pass to the left complete for 3 yards to BURKS, Deion caught at the PUR25 and advanced to the PUR30 (GRAHAM, Mason). PENALTY PUR Holding on SHEFFIELD, TJ enforced 10 yards from the PUR27 to the PUR17 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 7:10
2ND & 18
OWN 17
0
98.1%
Hudson Card pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:10
3RD & 18
OWN 17
+12
98.1%
Hudson Card pass complete to Deion Burks for 12 yds to the PUR 29Similar
Q2 5:12
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
98.1%
Jack Ansell punt for 37 yds , returns for no gain to the MICH 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 12FG
7 plays · 19 yds · 1:202% → 4%
Q2 5:12
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
97.7%
Hudson Card pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:12
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+21
97.8%
Hudson Card run for 21 yds to the MICH 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:12
1ST & 10
OPP 13
-5
97.7%
CARD, Hudson pass short to the right incomplete intended for MILLER, Garrett thrown to the MIC11. PENALTY PUR Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass on MILLER, Garrett enforced 5 yards from the MIC13 to the MIC18 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 5:12
1ST & 15
OPP 18
+3
97.8%
Devin Mockobee run for 3 yds to the MICH 15Similar
Q2 5:12
2ND & 12
OPP 15
0
97.7%
Hudson Card pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:12
3RD & 12
OPP 15
0
97.9%
Hudson Card pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:52
4TH & 12
OPP 15
+32
96.5%
Ben Freehill 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 13DOWNS
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:3597% → 97%
Q2 3:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
97.0%
Blake Corum run for 3 yds to the MICH 28Similar
Q2 3:52
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
97.0%
J.J. McCarthy pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:52
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+6
96.9%
J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Tyler Morris for 6 yds to the MICH 34Similar
Q2 2:17
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
96.7%
Kalel Mullings run for no gain to the MICH 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 14FG
7 plays · 20 yds · 1:484% → 4%
Q2 2:17
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+7
95.9%
Tyrone Tracy Jr. run for 7 yds to the MICH 27Similar
Q2 2:17
2ND & 3
OPP 27
+11
95.8%
Tyrone Tracy Jr. run for 11 yds to the MICH 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:17
1ST & 10
OPP 16
-4
95.8%
Tyrone Tracy Jr. run for a loss of 4 yards to the MICH 20Similar
Q2 0:40
2ND & 14
OPP 20
+6
96.1%
Hudson Card run for 6 yds to the MICH 14Similar
Q2 0:40
3RD & 8
OPP 14
0
95.9%
Hudson Card pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:29
4TH & 8
OPP 14
+31
95.6%
Ben Freehill 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 15END OF HALF
5 plays · 17 yds · 0:2396% → 97%
Q2 0:23
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+12
96.0%
J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Colston Loveland for 12 yds to the MICH 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:07
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+23
96.4%
J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Cornelius Johnson for 23 yds to the PUR 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:07
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
96.6%
J.J. McCarthy pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 43
-18
96.7%
J.J. McCarthy sacked by Nic Scourton for a loss of 18 yards to the MICH 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 16PUNT
7 plays · 19 yds · 3:4296% → 96%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
96.2%
J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Roman Wilson for 6 yds to the MICH 31Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+2
96.2%
Blake Corum run for 2 yds to the MICH 33Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+9
96.1%
J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Colston Loveland for 9 yds to the MICH 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-1
96.4%
J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Blake Corum for a loss of 1 yard to the MICH 41Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 41
+3
96.3%
Blake Corum run for 3 yds to the MICH 44Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 44
0
96.1%
J.J. McCarthy pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:18
4TH & 8
OWN 44
0
95.7%
Tommy Doman punt for 44 yds, fair catch by TJ Sheffield at the PUR 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:194% → 4%
Q3 11:18
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+5
95.7%
Devin Mockobee run for 5 yds to the PUR 17Similar
Q3 11:18
2ND & 5
OWN 17
+2
95.7%
Devin Mockobee run for 2 yds to the PUR 19Similar
Q3 11:18
3RD & 3
OWN 19
0
95.7%
Hudson Card pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:59
4TH & 3
OWN 19
0
95.7%
Jack Ansell punt for 40 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:0096% → 96%
Q3 9:59
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
96.3%
J.J. McCarthy pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:59
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+2
96.2%
Blake Corum run for 2 yds to the MICH 47Similar
Q3 9:59
3RD & 8
OWN 47
0
96.0%
J.J. McCarthy pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:59
4TH & 8
OWN 47
0
95.7%
Tommy Doman punt for 48 yds, downed at the PUR 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 19PUNT
7 plays · 20 yds · 3:434% → 5%
Q3 8:59
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+4
95.6%
Tyrone Tracy Jr. run for 4 yds to the PUR 9Similar
Q3 8:59
2ND & 6
OWN 9
+9
95.7%
Hudson Card pass complete to Garrett Miller for 9 yds to the PUR 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:59
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+7
95.4%
Hudson Card pass complete to Deion Burks for 7 yds to the PUR 25Similar
Q3 8:59
2ND & 3
OWN 25
+2
95.1%
Tyrone Tracy Jr. run for 2 yds to the PUR 27Similar
Q3 8:59
3RD & 1
OWN 27
-2
95.2%
QB Keeper CARD, Hudson rush up the middle for a gain of 2 yards to the PUR29 (BARRETT, Michael). PENALTY PUR Chop Block on JOHNSON, Daniel enforced half the distance from the goal, 13 yards from the PUR27 to the PUR14 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 8:59
3RD & 14
OWN 14
+11
95.6%
Hudson Card pass complete to Jayden Dixon-Veal for 11 yds to the PUR 25Similar
Q3 5:16
4TH & 3
OWN 25
0
95.3%
Jack Ansell punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Jake Thaw at the MICH 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 20TD
4 plays · 62 yds · 2:0496% → 99%
Q3 5:16
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
96.2%
J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Semaj Morgan for 4 yds to the MICH 42Similar
Q3 5:16
2ND & 6
OWN 42
+3
96.2%
Blake Corum run for 3 yds to the MICH 45Similar
Q3 5:16
3RD & 3
OWN 45
+11
96.0%
J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Roman Wilson for 11 yds to the PUR 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:12
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+44
98.8%
Semaj Morgan run for 44 yds for a TD (James Turner KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:061% → 1%
Q3 3:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
98.7%
Hudson Card pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:12
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
98.7%
Devin Mockobee run for 5 yds to the PUR 30Similar
Q3 3:12
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
98.7%
Hudson Card pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:06
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
98.8%
Jack Ansell punt for 47 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 22TD
5 plays · 45 yds · 2:4899% → 100%
Q3 2:06
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+19
98.9%
J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Roman Wilson for 19 yds to the PUR 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:06
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+3
98.9%
Donovan Edwards run for 3 yds to the PUR 23Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 7
OPP 23
+17
99.1%
J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Colston Loveland for 17 yds to the PUR 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
99.1%
Blake Corum run for 3 yds to the PUR 3Similar
Q4 14:18
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
99.9%
Blake Corum run for 3 yds for a TD (James Turner KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 1:150% → 0%
Q4 14:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.9%
Hudson Card run for 5 yds to the PUR 30Similar
Q4 14:18
2ND & 5
OWN 30
-6
99.9%
Hudson Card sacked by Josaiah Stewart and Kris Jenkins for a loss of 6 yards to the PUR 24Similar
Q4 14:18
3RD & 11
OWN 24
0
99.9%
Hudson Card pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:03
4TH & 11
OWN 24
0
99.9%
Brendan Cropsey punt for 39 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 24PUNT
6 plays · 19 yds · 3:16100% → 100%
Q4 13:03
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+3
99.9%
Donovan Edwards run for 3 yds to the MICH 42Similar
Q4 13:03
2ND & 7
OWN 42
+23
99.9%
J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Semaj Morgan for 23 yds to the PUR 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:03
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+2
99.9%
Donovan Edwards run for 2 yds to the PUR 33Similar
Q4 13:03
2ND & 8
OPP 33
-9
99.9%
J.J. McCarthy sacked by Nic Scourton for a loss of 9 yards to the PUR 42Similar
Q4 13:03
3RD & 17
OPP 42
0
99.9%
J.J. McCarthy pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:47
4TH & 17
OPP 42
0
99.9%
Tommy Doman punt for 39 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 25PUNT
6 plays · 19 yds · 2:260% → 0%
Q4 9:47
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+4
99.9%
Devin Mockobee run for 4 yds to the PUR 7Similar
Q4 9:47
2ND & 6
OWN 7
+10
99.9%
Devin Mockobee run for 10 yds to the PUR 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:47
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+1
99.9%
Devin Mockobee run for 1 yd to the PUR 18Similar
Q4 9:47
2ND & 9
OWN 18
+4
99.9%
Hudson Card pass complete to Tyrone Tracy Jr. for 4 yds to the PUR 22Similar
Q4 9:47
3RD & 5
OWN 22
0
99.9%
Hudson Card pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:21
4TH & 5
OWN 22
0
99.9%
Brendan Cropsey punt for 35 yds, downed at the MICH 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 26TD
6 plays · 57 yds · 2:51100% → 100%
Q4 7:21
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+35
99.9%
J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Roman Wilson for 35 yds to the PUR 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:21
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
99.9%
J.J. McCarthy pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:21
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+7
99.9%
Donovan Edwards run for 7 yds to the PUR 15Similar
Q4 7:21
3RD & 3
OPP 15
+11
99.9%
J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Roman Wilson for 11 yds to the PUR 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
99.9%
Donovan Edwards run for 3 yds to the PUR 1Similar
Q4 4:30
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.9%
Donovan Edwards run for 1 yd for a TD (James Turner KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 27TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 4:120% → 0%
Q4 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
100.0%
Tyrone Tracy Jr. run for 2 yds to the PUR 27Similar
Q4 4:30
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+8
100.0%
Hudson Card pass complete to Jayden Dixon-Veal for 8 yds to the PUR 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+24
100.0%
Tyrone Tracy Jr. run for 24 yds to the MICH 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:30
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+10
99.9%
Hudson Card pass complete to Jayden Dixon-Veal for 10 yds to the MICH 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:30
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+6
99.9%
Tyrone Tracy Jr. run for 6 yds to the MICH 25Similar
Q4 4:30
2ND & 4
OPP 25
0
99.9%
Devin Mockobee run for no gain to the MICH 25Similar
Q4 0:25
3RD & 4
OPP 25
+1
100.0%
Devin Mockobee run for 1 yd to the MICH 24Similar
Q4 0:18
4TH & 3
OPP 24
+24
99.9%
Hudson Card pass complete to Deion Burks for 24 yds for a TD (Ben Freehill KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 28END OF GAME
1 play · -2 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
100.0%
Kneel down by MIC at MIC33 (team loss of 2), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 3:12
Semaj Morgan run for 44 yds for a TD (James Turner KICK)
+2.8
FG · Q2 3:52
Ben Freehill 32 yd FG GOOD
-1.5
TD · Q4 14:18
Blake Corum run for 3 yds for a TD (James Turner KICK)
+0.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com