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WIS

Wisconsin 14 at Indiana 20

IU
2023 · Week 10 · Nov 4, 2023 · Memorial Stadium (Bloomington, IN)
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Win probability · IU
modelIU aheadWIS aheadconfidence bandkey playIU scoreWIS score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:00 · Braedyn Locke pass complete to Will Pauling for 11 yds Will Pauling fumbled, recovered by IU Josh Sanguinetti (00:08) No Huddle-Shotgun Locke,Braedyn pass complete short middle to Pauling,Will for 11 yards to the WIS41 fumbled by Pauling,Will at WIS39 forced by Moore,Louis recovered by IND Sanguinetti,Josh at WIS41 Sanguinetti,Josh return 26 yards to the WIS15, out of bounds at WIS15.
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialBlowout margin
+25.0+12.50−12.5−25.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 4:11: Braedyn Locke pass complete to Bryson Green for 54 yds for a TD (Nathanial Vakos KICK) — WIS win probability +9.8 pts (now 59%) (top driver: WIS has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:41: Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Donaven McCulley for 7 yds for a TD (Chris Freeman KICK) — IU win probability +12.0 pts (now 60%) (top driver: IU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 10:14: Braedyn Locke pass complete to Will Pauling for 18 yds for a TD (Nathanial Vakos KICK) — WIS win probability +15.1 pts (now 55%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 10:45: Jaylin Lucas run for 6 yds to the 50 yard line — IU win probability +10.1 pts (now 70%) (top driver: IU has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 4:07: Brendan Sorsby run for 13 yds to the IU 45 for a 1ST down — IU win probability +16.3 pts (now 77%) (top driver: IU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
IU made the numbers' call on 8 of 10WIS made the numbers' call on 6 of 8
  1. Q1 7:41WIS 4th & 3 at IU 42, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 65.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    65.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    65.0%−0.3
    30% to make
    Punt
    65.1%−0.2
    average punt
  2. Q1 5:55IU 4th & 1 at WIS 49, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 36.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    36.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    36.4%−0.5
    average punt
  3. Q1 1:53IU 4th & 8 at WIS 25, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 40.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.0%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    40.1%
    66% to make
    Punt
    37.6%−2.5
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:21WIS 4th & 13 at WIS 47, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 57.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.2%−0.9
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.0%
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:04IU 4th & 5 at IU 47, up 7
    Close callPunted · 43.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.8%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.8%−0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 11:20WIS 4th & 11 at WIS 5, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.8%−1.3
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.2%
    average punt
  7. Q2 8:08IU 4th & 9 at WIS 9, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 48.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.8%−0.6
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    48.5%
    89% to make
    Punt
    43.8%−4.7
    average punt
  8. Q2 7:09WIS 4th & 11 at WIS 24, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 46.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.9%−1.8
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.6%
    average punt
  9. Q2 6:01IU 4th & 7 at IU 28, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 51.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.3%−1.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    51.4%
    average punt
  10. Q3 4:50IU 4th & 22 at WIS 49, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 53.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.8%−4.6
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.4%
    average punt
  11. Q4 13:20WIS 4th & 30 at IU 38, down 3
    Close callPunted · 37.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.1%−3.6
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    38.7%
    38% to make
    PuntTheir call
    38.3%−0.4
    average punt
  12. Q4 11:48IU 4th & 2 at IU 12, up 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.1 ptsPunted · 61.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.0%−1.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 9:36IU 4th & 21 at IU 45, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 64.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.2%−9.5
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.7%
    average punt
  14. Q4 8:09WIS 4th & 2 at WIS 16, down 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.1 ptsPunted · 32.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.5%−2.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 7:13IU 4th & 10 at IU 43, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.9%−4.4
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.3%
    average punt
  16. Q4 4:07WIS 4th & 2 at IU 32, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 37.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    34.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    33.4%−1.1
    51% to make
    Punt
    24.8%−9.7
    average punt
  17. Q4 1:10IU 4th & 9 at WIS 32, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 88.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.9%−2.0
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    87.8%
    51% to make
    Punt
    81.9%−5.9
    average punt
  18. Q4 0:00WIS 4th & 17 at WIS 30, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 15.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    10.1%
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    9.5%−0.6
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
IU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2WIS made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 9:59IU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    33.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    33.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 4:11WIS Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    55.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    55.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:41IU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    59.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    59.7%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 10:14WIS Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    46.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    46.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
IUDrive 1TD
11 plays · 66 yds · 4:4826% → 30%
Q1 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+3
25.6%
Josh Henderson run for 3 yds to the IU 37Similar
Q1 14:16
2ND & 7
OWN 37
+2
25.9%
Brendan Sorsby pass complete to DeQuece Carter for 2 yds to the IU 35Similar
Q1 13:34
3RD & 9
OWN 35
+12
26.2%
Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Omar Cooper Jr. for 12 yds to the IU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:14
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
26.5%
Josh Henderson run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 12:41
2ND & 7
50
+15
26.9%
(12:48) No Huddle-Shotgun Sorsby,Brendan pass incomplete deep right to Carter,Dequece PENALTY WIS Pass Interference (Brown,Austin) 15 yards from IND50 to WIS35, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 12:30
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+6
27.1%
Brendan Sorsby run for 6 yds to the WIS 29Similar
Q1 11:34
2ND & 4
OPP 29
+5
27.7%
Brendan Sorsby run for 5 yds to the WIS 34 Brendan Sorsby fumbled, recovered by IU Brendan Sorsby (12:01) Shotgun Sorsby,Brendan rush middle for 5 yards loss to the WIS34 fumbled by Sorsby,Brendan at WIS32 recovered by IND Sorsby,Brendan at WIS32 (Turner,Jordan).Similar
Q1 11:01
3RD & 9
OPP 34
+21
27.8%
Brendan Sorsby pass complete to E.J. Williams Jr. for 21 yds to the WIS 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:22
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+5
28.4%
Josh Henderson run for 5 yds to the WIS 8Similar
Q1 9:59
2ND & 5
OPP 8
+8
30.1%
Brendan Sorsby run for 8 yds for a TD (Chris Freeman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 2DOWNS
8 plays · 33 yds · 2:1371% → 69%
Q1 9:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
29.5%
Jackson Acker run for 5 yds to the WIS 30Similar
Q1 9:25
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+4
29.8%
Braedyn Locke pass complete to Skyler Bell for 4 yds to the WIS 34Similar
Q1 9:04
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+17
30.1%
Jackson Acker run for 2 yds to the IU 36 for a 1ST down Indiana Penalty, Personal Foul (Lanell Carr Jr.) to the IU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:35
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+4
30.0%
Braedyn Locke run for 4 yds to the WIS 47Similar
Q1 8:20
2ND & 14
OWN 47
0
30.8%
Braedyn Locke pass incomplete to Bryson GreenSimilar
Q1 8:08
3RD & 14
OWN 47
+11
31.1%
Braedyn Locke pass complete to Will Pauling for 11 yds to the IU 42Similar
Q1 7:41
4TH & 3
OPP 42
0
31.1%
Braedyn Locke pass incomplete to Will PaulingSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 3MISSED FG
12 plays · 33 yds · 5:4332% → 37%
Q1 7:36
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
32.1%
Jaylin Lucas run for 3 yds to the IU 45Similar
Q1 7:03
2ND & 7
OWN 45
+6
32.7%
Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Trey Walker for 6 yds to the WIS 49Similar
Q1 6:30
3RD & 1
OPP 49
0
33.0%
Brendan Sorsby run for no gain to the WIS 49Similar
Q1 5:55
4TH & 1
OPP 49
+2
33.1%
Brendan Sorsby run for 2 yds to the WIS 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:19
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+5
34.4%
Josh Henderson run for 5 yds to the WIS 42Similar
Q1 4:47
2ND & 5
OPP 42
+5
35.0%
Josh Henderson run for 5 yds to the WIS 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:12
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+9
35.6%
Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Donaven McCulley for 9 yds to the WIS 28Similar
Q1 3:38
2ND & 1
OPP 28
+1
36.3%
Brendan Sorsby pass complete to E.J. Williams Jr. for 1 yd to the WIS 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:04
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+3
36.8%
Trent Howland run for 3 yds to the WIS 24Similar
Q1 2:30
2ND & 7
OPP 24
+1
37.1%
Josh Henderson run for 1 yd to the WIS 25Similar
Q1 1:55
3RD & 8
OPP 25
0
37.2%
Brendan Sorsby pass incomplete to Omar Cooper Jr.Similar
Q1 1:53
4TH & 8
OPP 25
+43
36.5%
Chris Freeman 43 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 4PUNT
9 plays · 22 yds · 2:3264% → 61%
Q1 1:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
36.1%
Jackson Acker run for 4 yds to the WIS 29Similar
Q1 1:19
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+7
36.3%
Braedyn Locke pass complete to Jackson Acker for 7 yds to the WIS 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:55
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
36.5%
Braedyn Locke pass complete to Jackson Acker for 5 yds to the WIS 41Similar
Q1 0:32
2ND & 5
OWN 41
+9
36.1%
Braedyn Locke pass complete to C.J. Williams for 9 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:15
1ST & 10
50
0
36.1%
Braedyn Locke pass incomplete to C.J. WilliamsSimilar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 10
50
+7
36.7%
Braedyn Locke run for 7 yds to the IU 43Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 43
-10
36.4%
Shotgun Yacamelli,Cade rush left for 9 yards gain to the IND34 (Moore,Louis) PENALTY WIS Holding (Nelson,Jack) 10 yards from IND43 to WIS47. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 14:27
3RD & 13
OWN 47
0
38.3%
Braedyn Locke pass incomplete to Will PaulingSimilar
Q2 14:21
4TH & 13
OWN 47
0
39.0%
Atticus Bertrams punt for 40 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 5PUNT
7 plays · 34 yds · 2:1139% → 41%
Q2 14:15
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
38.8%
Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Jaylin Lucas for no gain to the IU 13Similar
Q2 13:41
2ND & 10
OWN 13
+3
39.2%
Trent Howland run for 3 yds to the IU 16Similar
Q2 13:13
3RD & 7
OWN 16
+26
39.1%
Brendan Sorsby pass complete to DeQuece Carter for 26 yds to the IU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:49
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
41.5%
Brendan Sorsby pass incomplete to Bradley ArcherSimilar
Q2 12:35
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+5
41.2%
Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Andison Coby for 5 yds to the IU 47Similar
Q2 12:13
3RD & 5
OWN 47
0
41.6%
Brendan Sorsby pass incomplete to Jaylin LucasSimilar
Q2 12:04
4TH & 5
OWN 47
0
40.5%
James Evans punt for 47 yds , Vinny Anthony II returns for no gain to the WIS 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:3859% → 57%
Q2 11:58
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+3
40.8%
Jackson Acker run for 3 yds to the WIS 9Similar
Q2 11:30
2ND & 7
OWN 9
0
41.4%
Braedyn Locke pass incomplete to Jackson AckerSimilar
Q2 11:30
3RD & 7
OWN 9
-4
42.1%
PENALTY WIS False Start (Huber,Joe) 4 yards from WIS09 to WIS05. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 11:24
3RD & 11
OWN 5
0
42.2%
Braedyn Locke pass incomplete to Will PaulingSimilar
Q2 11:20
4TH & 11
OWN 5
0
42.7%
Atticus Bertrams punt for 37 yds, fair catch by DeQuece Carter at the WIS 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 7FG
11 plays · 33 yds · 3:1243% → 46%
Q2 11:20
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+6
43.4%
Jaylin Lucas run for 6 yds to the WIS 36Similar
Q2 10:56
2ND & 4
OPP 36
+1
43.8%
Jaylin Lucas run for 1 yd to the WIS 35Similar
Q2 10:19
3RD & 3
OPP 35
+6
43.9%
Brendan Sorsby run for 6 yds to the WIS 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:51
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+9
46.3%
Jaylin Lucas run for 9 yds to the WIS 20Similar
Q2 9:12
2ND & 1
OPP 20
+10
47.0%
Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Jaylin Lucas for 10 yds to the WIS 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
46.5%
Brendan Sorsby pass incomplete to Donaven McCulleySimilar
Q2 8:40
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+1
46.6%
Josh Henderson run for 1 yd to the WIS 9Similar
Q2 8:11
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
0
47.2%
Brendan Sorsby pass incomplete to Donaven McCulleySimilar
Q2 8:08
4TH & GOAL
OPP 9
+27
46.2%
Chris Freeman 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:5252% → 49%
Q2 8:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
48.5%
Braedyn Locke pass incomplete to Bryson GreenSimilar
Q2 7:55
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
48.8%
Cade Yacamelli run for 1 yd to the WIS 24Similar
Q2 7:16
3RD & 11
OWN 24
0
50.5%
Braedyn Locke pass incomplete to C.J. WilliamsSimilar
Q2 7:09
4TH & 11
OWN 24
0
51.1%
Atticus Bertrams punt for 51 yds, fair catch by DeQuece Carter at the IU 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:0847% → 47%
Q2 7:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
47.4%
Trent Howland run for 2 yds to the IU 27Similar
Q2 6:41
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+1
47.9%
Trent Howland run for 1 yd to the IU 28Similar
Q2 6:11
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
47.5%
Brendan Sorsby pass incomplete to Bradley ArcherSimilar
Q2 6:01
4TH & 7
OWN 28
+7
47.1%
James Evans punt for 47 yds , Vinny Anthony II returns for 7 yds to the WIS 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 10TD
5 plays · 68 yds · 1:4550% → 59%
Q2 5:56
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
50.1%
Braedyn Locke pass incomplete to Will PaulingSimilar
Q2 5:48
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+12
50.9%
Braedyn Locke pass complete to Bryson Green for 12 yds to the WIS 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:24
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
50.0%
Braedyn Locke pass complete to Jackson Acker for no gain to the WIS 44Similar
Q2 4:58
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+2
50.9%
Jackson Acker run for 2 yds to the WIS 46Similar
Q2 4:11
3RD & 8
OWN 46
+54
41.0%
Braedyn Locke pass complete to Bryson Green for 54 yds for a TD (Nathanial Vakos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 11TD
10 plays · 71 yds · 3:2442% → 60%
Q2 4:05
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+1
42.3%
Brendan Sorsby run for 1 yd to the IU 30Similar
Q2 3:30
2ND & 9
OWN 30
+2
42.6%
Josh Henderson run for 2 yds to the IU 32Similar
Q2 2:58
3RD & 7
OWN 32
+14
42.2%
Brendan Sorsby pass complete to E.J. Williams Jr. for 14 yds to the IU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:25
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
45.5%
Brendan Sorsby pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:06
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+32
44.6%
Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Donaven McCulley for 32 yds to the WIS 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:06
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+7
46.9%
Josh Henderson run for 7 yds to the WIS 15Similar
Q2 1:18
2ND & 3
OPP 15
+4
47.8%
Brendan Sorsby run for 4 yds to the WIS 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:59
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+4
48.1%
Josh Henderson run for 4 yds to the WIS 7Similar
Q2 0:41
2ND & 6
OPP 7
+7
60.1%
Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Donaven McCulley for 7 yds for a TD (Chris Freeman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 12END OF HALF
9 plays · 37 yds · 0:3442% → 43%
Q2 0:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
57.9%
Cade Yacamelli run for 9 yds to the WIS 34Similar
Q2 0:17
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+11
55.9%
Braedyn Locke pass complete to Skyler Bell for 11 yds to the WIS 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:08
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+17
58.0%
Braedyn Locke pass complete to Bryson Green for 17 yds to the IU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:07
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
55.3%
Braedyn Locke pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:03
2ND & 10
OPP 38
0
55.6%
Braedyn Locke pass incomplete to Skyler BellSimilar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 10
OPP 38
0
57.5%
Braedyn Locke pass incomplete to Bryson GreenSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 13TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 4:3643% → 55%
Q3 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
57.3%
Cade Yacamelli run for no gain to the WIS 25Similar
Q3 14:22
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+13
58.0%
Braedyn Locke pass complete to Bryson Green for 13 yds to the WIS 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:06
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
56.7%
Cade Yacamelli run for 4 yds to the WIS 42Similar
Q3 13:34
2ND & 6
OWN 42
-10
58.5%
(13:44) No Huddle-Shotgun Locke,Braedyn pass complete short left to Yacamelli,Cade for 9 yards to the IND49 (Sanguinetti,Josh), out of bounds PENALTY WIS Holding (Williams,CJ) 10 yards from WIS42 to WIS32. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 13:15
2ND & 16
OWN 32
+8
61.1%
Braedyn Locke pass complete to Will Pauling for 8 yds to the WIS 40Similar
Q3 12:39
3RD & 8
OWN 40
+15
61.1%
(12:43) Shotgun Locke,Braedyn pass incomplete short left to Bell,Skyler QB hurried by Mangum-Farrar,Jacob PENALTY IND Roughing The Passer (Mangum-Farrar,Jacob) 15 yards from WIS40 to IND45, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY. The previous play is under review. The ruling on the field is confirmed.Similar
Q3 12:32
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
59.0%
Braedyn Locke pass incomplete to Will PaulingSimilar
Q3 12:28
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+4
59.3%
Jackson Acker run for 4 yds to the IU 41Similar
Q3 11:47
3RD & 6
OPP 41
+23
60.2%
Braedyn Locke pass complete to Riley Nowakowski for 23 yds to the IU 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:00
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
58.7%
Cade Yacamelli run for no gain to the IU 18Similar
Q3 10:17
2ND & 10
OPP 18
0
59.9%
Braedyn Locke pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:14
3RD & 10
OPP 18
+18
44.8%
Braedyn Locke pass complete to Will Pauling for 18 yds for a TD (Nathanial Vakos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 14PUNT
13 plays · 32 yds · 5:1349% → 52%
Q3 10:03
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+3
49.4%
Jaylin Lucas run for 3 yds to the IU 22Similar
Q3 9:32
2ND & 7
OWN 22
+12
50.2%
Brendan Sorsby pass complete to E.J. Williams Jr. for 12 yds to the IU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:03
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+3
51.2%
Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Jaylin Lucas for 3 yds to the IU 37Similar
Q3 8:29
2ND & 7
OWN 37
+1
52.9%
Jaylin Lucas run for 1 yd to the IU 36Similar
Q3 7:42
3RD & 8
OWN 36
+8
51.3%
Brendan Sorsby pass complete to for 8 yds to the IU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:23
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
54.8%
Brendan Sorsby pass incomplete to Trey WalkerSimilar
Q3 7:20
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+4
53.8%
Josh Henderson run for 4 yds to the IU 48Similar
Q3 6:51
3RD & 6
OWN 48
+15
54.2%
(06:56) No Huddle-Shotgun Sorsby,Brendan pass incomplete deep left to McCulley,Donaven PENALTY WIS Pass Interference (Maitre,Jason) 15 yards from IND48 to WIS37, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 6:46
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+3
56.5%
Josh Henderson run for 3 yds to the WIS 34Similar
Q3 6:14
2ND & 7
OPP 34
0
58.0%
Josh Henderson run for no gain to the WIS 34Similar
Q3 5:34
3RD & 7
OPP 34
-15
56.9%
Brendan Sorsby sacked by Austin Brown for a loss of 15 yards to the WIS 49Similar
Q3 4:50
4TH & 22
OPP 49
0
51.6%
James Evans punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Vinny Anthony II at the WIS 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 15PUNT
16 plays · 44 yds · 6:2148% → 40%
Q3 4:41
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+12
52.1%
Cade Yacamelli run for 12 yds to the WIS 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:14
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+6
53.0%
Cade Yacamelli run for 6 yds to the WIS 36Similar
Q3 3:37
2ND & 4
OWN 36
+8
51.3%
Cade Yacamelli run for 8 yds to the WIS 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:56
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
51.9%
Braedyn Locke pass incomplete to Will PaulingSimilar
Q3 2:52
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+9
53.2%
Jackson Acker run for 9 yds to the IU 47Similar
Q3 2:11
3RD & 1
OPP 47
+18
50.8%
Vinny Anthony II run for 18 yds to the IU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:27
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+1
49.1%
Braedyn Locke run for 1 yd to the IU 30Similar
Q3 0:46
2ND & 11
OPP 30
+10
50.1%
Cade Yacamelli run for 10 yds to the IU 20Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 1
OPP 20
+2
50.2%
Braedyn Locke run for 2 yds to the IU 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:50
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
48.4%
Cade Yacamelli run for no gain to the IU 18Similar
Q4 14:19
3RD & 10
OPP 18
-5
52.9%
PENALTY WIS Delay Of Game 5 yards from IND18 to IND23. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 14:19
2ND & 10
OPP 18
0
50.6%
Braedyn Locke pass incomplete to Will PaulingSimilar
Q4 14:14
3RD & 15
OPP 23
-10
55.8%
Braedyn Locke sacked by Aaron Casey for a loss of 10 yards to the IU 33Similar
Q4 14:14
4TH & 25
OPP 33
-5
60.4%
PENALTY WIS Delay Of Game 5 yards from IND33 to IND38. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 13:20
4TH & 30
OPP 38
0
60.5%
Atticus Bertrams punt for 34 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:2361% → 60%
Q4 13:11
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+3
60.6%
Trent Howland run for 3 yds to the IU 7Similar
Q4 12:41
2ND & 7
OWN 7
0
60.5%
Brendan Sorsby pass incomplete to E.J. Williams Jr.Similar
Q4 12:30
3RD & 7
OWN 7
+5
59.0%
Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Trey Walker for 5 yds to the IU 12Similar
Q4 11:48
4TH & 2
OWN 12
0
59.5%
James Evans punt for 55 yds , Vinny Anthony II returns for no gain to the WIS 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 17FUMBLE
2 plays · 11 yds · 0:2641% → 40%
Q4 11:42
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
58.6%
Braedyn Locke pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:16
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+9
59.8%
Braedyn Locke pass complete to Cade Yacamelli for 11 yds to the WIS 44 pass complete to for 9 yds Cade Yacamelli fumbled, forced by Aaron Casey, recovered by IU Josh Sanguinetti No Huddle-Shotgun Locke,Braedyn pass complete short middle to Yacamelli,Cade for 11 yards to the WIS44 fumbled by Yacamelli,Cade at WIS42 forced by Casey,Aaron recovered by IND Sanguinetti,Josh at WIS44, End Of Play. The previous play is under review. The ruling on the field has been overturned. The runner was not down prior to losing the ball (OVERTURNED PLAY: (11:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #18 B.Locke pass complete short middle to #25 C.Yacamelli for 9 yards to the WIS42 (#7 J.Mangum-Farrar; #44 A.Casey)).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · -11 yds · 1:0970% → 63%
Q4 10:45
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+6
69.9%
Jaylin Lucas run for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 10:24
2ND & 16
50
-11
66.9%
Brendan Sorsby sacked by Jordan Turner for a loss of 11 yards to the IU 39Similar
Q4 10:12
3RD & 27
OWN 39
+6
64.6%
Brendan Sorsby pass complete to DeQuece Carter for 6 yds to the IU 45Similar
Q4 9:36
4TH & 21
OWN 45
0
63.3%
James Evans punt for 47 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WIS 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:2138% → 34%
Q4 9:30
1ST & 10
OWN 8
0
62.4%
Jackson Acker run for no gain to the WIS 8Similar
Q4 8:55
2ND & 10
OWN 8
+8
63.4%
Braedyn Locke pass complete to Riley Nowakowski for 8 yds to the WIS 16Similar
Q4 8:13
3RD & 2
OWN 16
0
64.3%
Braedyn Locke pass incomplete to Will PaulingSimilar
Q4 8:09
4TH & 2
OWN 16
0
65.8%
Atticus Bertrams punt for 41 yds, fair catch by DeQuece Carter at the IU 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:4971% → 65%
Q4 8:02
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
70.8%
Josh Henderson run for no gain to the IU 43Similar
Q4 7:31
2ND & 10
OWN 43
0
70.1%
Brendan Sorsby pass incomplete to Trey WalkerSimilar
Q4 7:28
3RD & 10
OWN 43
0
67.8%
Brendan Sorsby pass incomplete to E.J. Williams Jr.Similar
Q4 7:13
4TH & 10
OWN 43
+22
65.4%
James Evans punt for 39 yds , Vinny Anthony II returns for 22 yds to the WIS 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 21DOWNS
6 plays · 28 yds · 3:0142% → 39%
Q4 7:08
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+6
58.3%
Jackson Acker run for 6 yds to the WIS 46Similar
Q4 6:39
2ND & 4
OWN 46
+14
58.0%
Jackson Acker run for 14 yds to the IU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:01
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+1
57.1%
Jackson Acker run for 1 yd to the IU 41Similar
Q4 5:21
2ND & 11
OPP 41
+3
58.8%
Braedyn Locke pass complete to Jackson Acker for 3 yds to the IU 44Similar
Q4 4:41
3RD & 14
OPP 44
+12
64.7%
Braedyn Locke pass complete to Skyler Bell for 12 yds to the IU 32Similar
Q4 4:07
4TH & 2
OPP 32
0
61.0%
Braedyn Locke pass incomplete to Will PaulingSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 22FG
12 plays · 36 yds · 2:5777% → 95%
Q4 4:07
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+13
77.2%
Brendan Sorsby run for 13 yds to the IU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:14
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+11
81.2%
Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Donaven McCulley for 11 yds to the WIS 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:34
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
86.8%
Brendan Sorsby pass incomplete to Donaven McCulleySimilar
Q4 2:30
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+3
86.4%
Brendan Sorsby run for 3 yds to the WIS 47 Brendan Sorsby fumbled, recovered by IU Brendan Sorsby (02:34) Shotgun Sorsby,Brendan rush right for 3 yards loss to the WIS47 fumbled by Sorsby,Brendan at WIS47 recovered by IND Sorsby,Brendan at WIS47, End Of Play.Similar
Q4 2:25
3RD & 13
OPP 47
+14
84.4%
(02:28) Shotgun Sorsby,Brendan pass incomplete short left to McCulley,Donaven PENALTY WIS Pass Interference (Hallman,Ricardo) 14 yards from WIS47 to WIS33, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 2:20
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+1
88.2%
Josh Henderson run for 1 yd to the WIS 34Similar
Q4 2:20
2ND & 11
OPP 34
+2
90.2%
Brendan Sorsby run for 2 yds to the WIS 32Similar
Q4 1:53
3RD & 9
OPP 32
0
89.3%
Brendan Sorsby run for no gain to the WIS 32Similar
Q4 1:10
4TH & 9
OPP 32
+50
94.9%
Chris Freeman 50 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 23FUMBLE
8 plays · 16 yds · 1:0310% → 8%
Q4 1:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
89.9%
Braedyn Locke pass incomplete to Will PaulingSimilar
Q4 0:45
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
90.3%
Braedyn Locke pass complete to Will Pauling for 3 yds to the WIS 28Similar
Q4 0:36
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+9
90.6%
Braedyn Locke pass complete to Skyler Bell for 9 yds to the WIS 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:23
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-7
89.9%
Braedyn Locke sacked by Aaron Casey for a loss of 7 yards to the WIS 30Similar
Q4 0:13
2ND & 17
OWN 30
0
91.4%
Braedyn Locke pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:06
3RD & 17
OWN 30
0
92.0%
Braedyn Locke pass incomplete to Will PaulingSimilar
Q4 0:00
4TH & 17
OWN 30
+11
92.2%
Braedyn Locke pass complete to Will Pauling for 11 yds Will Pauling fumbled, recovered by IU Josh Sanguinetti (00:08) No Huddle-Shotgun Locke,Braedyn pass complete short middle to Pauling,Will for 11 yards to the WIS41 fumbled by Pauling,Will at WIS39 forced by Moore,Louis recovered by IND Sanguinetti,Josh at WIS41 Sanguinetti,Josh return 26 yards to the WIS15, out of bounds at WIS15.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
KEY PLAY · Q4 4:07
Brendan Sorsby run for 13 yds to the IU 45 for a 1ST down
+16.3
TD · Q3 10:14
Braedyn Locke pass complete to Will Pauling for 18 yds for a TD (Nathanial Vakos KICK)
-15.1
TD · Q2 0:41
Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Donaven McCulley for 7 yds for a TD (Chris Freeman KICK)
+12
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com