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MIZ

Missouri 21 at Georgia 30

UGA
2023 · Week 10 · Nov 4, 2023 · Sanford Stadium
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Win probability · UGA
modelUGA aheadMIZ aheadconfidence bandkey playUGA scoreMIZ score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDFGFGTDTDTDFGFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 14:57 · Carson Beck pass complete to Rara Thomas for 26 yds to the MIZ 21 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+34.5+17.30−17.3−34.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 8Pregame prior+34.5Home team on offense+0.0Garbage-time factor+0.0Score differential+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.0Blowout margin+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q2 4:14: Harrison Mevis 37 yd FG GOOD — MIZ win probability +4.6 pts (now 27%) (top driver: MIZ has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 8:10: Kendall Milton run for 15 yds for a TD (Peyton Woodring KICK) — UGA win probability +11.0 pts (now 81%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 0:38: Carson Beck pass complete to Oscar Delp for 5 yds for a TD (Peyton Woodring KICK) — UGA win probability +9.2 pts (now 90%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 12:50: C. Schrader run for 12 yds for a TD (B. Cook pass to L. Burden III for Two-Point Conversion) — MIZ win probability +18.3 pts (now 33%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  5. FG · Q4 8:59: Peyton Woodring 30 Yd Field Goal — UGA win probability +8.6 pts (now 87%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UGA made the numbers' call on 4 of 7MIZ made the numbers' call on 6 of 7
  1. Q1 14:57UGA 4th & 5 at MIZ 47, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 83.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    83.6%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    83.6%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:17UGA 4th & 4 at MIZ 15, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 82.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.5%
    46% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    82.5%−<0.1
    83% to make
    Punt
    82.0%−0.4
    average punt
  3. Q2 11:41MIZ 4th & 10 at UGA 41, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.8%−<0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    20.7%−0.2
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    20.8%
    average punt
  4. Q2 9:49UGA 4th & 2 at UGA 36, up 3
    Close callPunted · 77.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    77.5%−0.4
    average punt
  5. Q2 4:14MIZ 4th & 10 at UGA 19, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 23.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.5%−0.7
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    23.2%
    77% to make
    Punt
    18.7%−4.5
    average punt
  6. Q2 3:14UGA 4th & 12 at UGA 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 73.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.5%−1.4
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.0%
    average punt
  7. Q2 2:10MIZ 4th & 9 at MIZ 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.2%−0.5
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.7%
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:45UGA 4th & 4 at UGA 36, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 72.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.9%−0.6
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.4%
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:00MIZ 4th & 2 at MIZ 33, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.2%−0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.3%
    average punt
  10. Q3 11:42MIZ 4th & 16 at UGA 24, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 29.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.6%−2.3
    15% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    29.9%
    68% to make
    Punt
    23.3%−6.6
    average punt
  11. Q3 6:01MIZ 4th & 3 at MIZ 23, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.8%−0.1
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.9%
    average punt
  12. Q4 8:59UGA 4th & 5 at MIZ 12, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 76.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.0%−0.5
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    75.5%
    86% to make
    Punt
    59.1%−16.4
    average punt
  13. Q4 3:57UGA 4th & 5 at MIZ 30, up 6
    Close callKicked a field goal · 89.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.6%
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    89.3%−0.3
    56% to make
    Punt
    87.3%−2.3
    average punt
  14. Q4 3:57MIZ 4th & 14 at MIZ 36, down 9
    Close callWent for it · 7.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.6%−0.8
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    7.4%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UGA made the numbers' call on 3 of 3MIZ made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q1 5:45MIZ Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    20.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    20.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 13:38UGA Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 8:10UGA Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    75.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 0:38UGA Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 12:50MIZ Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    23.8%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    23.5%−0.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UGADrive 1FG
12 plays · 65 yds · 4:4085% → 84%
Q1 14:57
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+11
84.5%
Carson Beck pass complete to Ladd McConkey for 11 yds to the UGA 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:57
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+2
84.5%
Daijun Edwards run for 2 yds to the UGA 33Similar
Q1 14:57
2ND & 8
OWN 33
0
84.5%
Carson Beck pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:57
3RD & 8
OWN 33
+15
84.5%
Carson Beck run for 15 yds to the UGA 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:57
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
84.5%
Carson Beck pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:57
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+5
84.5%
Kendall Milton run for 5 yds to the MIZ 47Similar
Q1 14:57
3RD & 5
OPP 47
0
84.5%
Carson Beck pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:57
4TH & 5
OPP 47
+26
84.5%
Carson Beck pass complete to Rara Thomas for 26 yds to the MIZ 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:57
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+1
84.5%
Daijun Edwards run for 1 yd to the MIZ 20Similar
Q1 14:57
2ND & 9
OPP 20
-6
84.5%
Carson Beck sacked by Darius Robinson for a loss of 6 yards to the MIZ 26Similar
Q1 14:57
3RD & 15
OPP 26
+11
84.5%
Carson Beck pass complete to Mekhi Mews for 11 yds to the MIZ 15Similar
Q1 10:17
4TH & 4
OPP 15
+33
83.5%
Peyton Woodring 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 2TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 4:3217% → 20%
Q1 10:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
83.4%
Brady Cook pass complete to Theo Wease Jr. for a loss of 1 yard to the MIZ 24Similar
Q1 10:17
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+15
83.5%
Brady Cook run for 15 yds to the MIZ 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:17
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+7
83.3%
Brady Cook pass complete to Luther Burden III for 7 yds to the MIZ 46Similar
Q1 10:17
2ND & 3
OWN 46
+2
83.2%
Cody Schrader run for 2 yds to the MIZ 48Similar
Q1 10:17
3RD & 1
OWN 48
+3
83.2%
Cody Schrader run for 3 yds to the UGA 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:17
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+8
83.1%
Brady Cook pass complete to Cody Schrader for 8 yds to the UGA 41Similar
Q1 10:17
2ND & 2
OPP 41
0
83.1%
Cody Schrader run for no gain to the UGA 41Similar
Q1 10:17
3RD & 2
OPP 41
+2
83.2%
Brady Cook run for 2 yds to the UGA 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:45
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+39
80.1%
Brady Cook pass complete to Luther Burden III for 39 yds for a TD (Harrison Mevis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 3TD
12 plays · 70 yds · 7:0781% → 81%
Q1 5:45
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
80.6%
Daijun Edwards run for no gain to the UGA 30Similar
Q1 5:45
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+18
80.5%
Carson Beck pass complete to Marcus Rosemy-Jacksaint for 18 yds to the UGA 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:45
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+2
81.2%
Daijun Edwards run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 5:45
2ND & 8
50
+5
81.2%
Carson Beck pass complete to Oscar Delp for 5 yds to the MIZ 45Similar
Q1 5:45
3RD & 3
OPP 45
+9
81.2%
Carson Beck pass complete to Dominic Lovett for 9 yds to the MIZ 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:45
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-1
81.3%
Carson Beck sacked by Nyles Gaddy for a loss of 1 yard to the MIZ 37Similar
Q1 5:45
2ND & 11
OPP 37
+5
81.3%
Daijun Edwards run for 5 yds to the MIZ 32Similar
Q1 5:45
3RD & 6
OPP 32
+12
81.2%
Daijun Edwards run for 12 yds to the MIZ 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+12
79.4%
Kendall Milton run for 12 yds to the MIZ 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+1
79.4%
Brock Vandagriff run for 1 yd to the MIZ 7Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+1
79.4%
Carson Beck pass complete to Rara Thomas for 1 yd to the MIZ 6Similar
Q2 13:38
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
81.0%
Carson Beck pass complete to Dominic Lovett for 6 yds for a TD (Peyton Woodring KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 4PUNT
6 plays · 34 yds · 1:5720% → 20%
Q2 13:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
80.3%
Brady Cook run for 1 yd to the MIZ 26Similar
Q2 13:38
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+33
80.3%
Brady Cook pass complete to Theo Wease Jr. for 33 yds to the UGA 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:38
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
79.2%
Brady Cook pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:38
2ND & 10
OPP 41
0
79.2%
Brady Cook pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:38
3RD & 10
OPP 41
0
79.5%
Cody Schrader run for no gain to the UGA 41Similar
Q2 11:41
4TH & 10
OPP 41
0
79.8%
Luke Bauer punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Mekhi Mews at the UGA 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 5PUNT
6 plays · 26 yds · 1:5279% → 79%
Q2 11:41
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+18
79.4%
Carson Beck pass complete to Ladd McConkey for 18 yds to the UGA 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:41
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
79.6%
Carson Beck pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:41
2ND & 10
OWN 28
-2
79.4%
Kendall Milton run for a loss of 2 yards to the UGA 26Similar
Q2 11:41
3RD & 12
OWN 26
+10
78.8%
Carson Beck pass complete to Ladd McConkey for 10 yds to the UGA 36Similar
Q2 9:49
4TH & 2
OWN 36
0
78.5%
Brett Thorson punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Luther Burden III at the MIZ 20Similar
Q2 9:49
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-5
79.0%
Missouri Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the MIZ 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 6FG
14 plays · 61 yds · 4:5221% → 27%
Q2 9:06
1ST & 15
OWN 15
+2
79.4%
Brady Cook run for 2 yds to the MIZ 17Similar
Q2 9:06
2ND & 13
OWN 17
+15
79.5%
COOK, Brady pass deep to the right incomplete intended for BURDEN, Luther thrown to the MIZ48. PENALTY UGA Pass Interference on HUMPHREY, Julian enforced 15 yards to the MIZ32 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 9:06
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-5
78.9%
Missouri Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the MIZ 27Similar
Q2 9:06
1ST & 15
OWN 27
+5
79.3%
Cody Schrader run for 5 yds to the MIZ 32Similar
Q2 9:06
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+19
79.2%
Brady Cook run for 19 yds to the UGA 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:06
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+4
77.7%
Cody Schrader run for 4 yds to the UGA 45Similar
Q2 9:06
2ND & 6
OPP 45
+4
77.7%
Cody Schrader run for 4 yds to the UGA 41Similar
Q2 9:06
3RD & 2
OPP 41
+4
77.8%
Cody Schrader run for 4 yds to the UGA 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:06
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+18
77.7%
Brady Cook run for 18 yds to the UGA 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:06
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
77.1%
Nathaniel Peat run for no gain to the UGA 19Similar
Q2 9:06
2ND & 10
OPP 19
0
77.2%
Brady Cook pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:06
3RD & 10
OPP 19
0
77.8%
Brady Cook pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:14
4TH & 10
OPP 19
+37
73.2%
Harrison Mevis 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 7PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 0:5577% → 75%
Q2 4:09
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-2
76.7%
Daijun Edwards run for a loss of 2 yards to the UGA 26Similar
Q2 4:09
2ND & 12
OWN 26
0
76.3%
Carson Beck pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:09
3RD & 12
OWN 26
0
75.4%
Carson Beck pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:14
4TH & 12
OWN 26
0
74.5%
Brett Thorson punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Kris Abrams-Draine at the MIZ 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 1:0427% → 27%
Q2 3:14
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
73.1%
Brady Cook pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:14
2ND & 10
OWN 29
-5
73.3%
Brady Cook sacked by Zion Logue and Jalon Walker for a loss of 5 yards to the MIZ 24Similar
Q2 2:15
3RD & 15
OWN 24
+6
73.0%
Cody Schrader run for 6 yds to the MIZ 30Similar
Q2 2:10
4TH & 9
OWN 30
0
73.5%
Luke Bauer punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Mekhi Mews at the UGA 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:2575% → 73%
Q2 2:10
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
74.8%
Kendall Milton run for 5 yds to the UGA 35Similar
Q2 2:10
2ND & 5
OWN 35
+1
75.7%
Kendall Milton run for 1 yd to the UGA 36Similar
Q2 2:10
3RD & 4
OWN 36
0
75.0%
Carson Beck pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:45
4TH & 4
OWN 36
0
73.3%
Brett Thorson punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Kris Abrams-Draine at the MIZ 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:4529% → 29%
Q2 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
71.0%
Cody Schrader run for 1 yd to the MIZ 26Similar
Q2 0:45
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+4
71.2%
Brady Cook pass complete to Cody Schrader for 4 yds to the MIZ 30Similar
Q2 0:07
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+3
70.5%
Cody Schrader run for 3 yds to the MIZ 33Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
70.9%
Luke Bauer punt for 30 yds, downed at the UGA 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 11FG
9 plays · 59 yds · 3:1229% → 34%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+31
70.8%
Brady Cook pass complete to Theo Wease Jr. for 31 yds to the MIZ 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+7
68.5%
Cody Schrader run for 7 yds to the UGA 45Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 3
OPP 45
+6
67.8%
Cody Schrader run for 6 yds to the UGA 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+21
68.1%
Brady Cook pass complete to Mookie Cooper for 21 yds to the UGA 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-5
67.1%
Missouri Penalty, False Start (TEAM) to the UGA 23Similar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 15
OPP 23
+8
67.5%
Cody Schrader run for 8 yds to the UGA 15Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 7
OPP 15
0
67.1%
Brady Cook pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:54
3RD & 7
OPP 15
-9
68.2%
Brady Cook sacked by Tykee Smith for a loss of 9 yards to the UGA 24Similar
Q3 11:42
4TH & 16
OPP 24
+42
66.4%
Harrison Mevis 42 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 12TD
8 plays · 65 yds · 3:2666% → 81%
Q3 11:36
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+23
65.8%
Carson Beck pass complete to Daijun Edwards for 23 yds to the MIZ 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:36
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+4
69.0%
Daijun Edwards run for 4 yds to the MIZ 38Similar
Q3 11:36
2ND & 6
OPP 38
+5
69.1%
Missouri Penalty, Delay Of Game (Ty'Ron Hopper) to the MIZ 33Similar
Q3 11:36
2ND & 1
OPP 33
-6
70.1%
Carson Beck sacked by Ty'Ron Hopper for a loss of 6 yards to the MIZ 39Similar
Q3 11:36
3RD & 7
OPP 39
+8
68.5%
BECK, Carson pass to the right incomplete intended for THOMAS, Rara thrown to the MIZ32. PENALTY MIZ Pass Interference on NORWOOD, Dreyden enforced at the spot of the foul for 8 yards to the MIZ31 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 11:36
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+16
70.1%
Carson Beck pass complete to Ladd McConkey for 16 yds to the MIZ 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:36
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
70.1%
Kendall Milton run for no gain to the MIZ 15Similar
Q3 8:10
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+15
81.1%
Kendall Milton run for 15 yds for a TD (Peyton Woodring KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 13PUNT
6 plays · 20 yds · 2:0523% → 22%
Q3 8:06
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+8
77.3%
Cody Schrader run for 8 yds to the MIZ 11Similar
Q3 8:06
2ND & 2
OWN 11
+5
77.0%
Cody Schrader run for 5 yds to the MIZ 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:06
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
76.8%
Brady Cook pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:06
2ND & 10
OWN 16
+7
77.2%
Cody Schrader run for 7 yds to the MIZ 23Similar
Q3 8:06
3RD & 3
OWN 23
0
77.4%
Brady Cook pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:01
4TH & 3
OWN 23
0
78.0%
Luke Bauer punt for 50 yds to the UGA 27, Mekhi Mews returned 6 yards, to the UGA 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 14TD
10 plays · 67 yds · 5:2378% → 90%
Q3 6:01
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+7
77.9%
Daijun Edwards run for 7 yds to the UGA 40Similar
Q3 6:01
2ND & 3
OWN 40
0
79.6%
Daijun Edwards run for no gain to the UGA 40Similar
Q3 6:01
3RD & 3
OWN 40
+4
78.5%
Carson Beck run for 4 yds to the UGA 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:01
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+1
79.4%
Kendall Milton run for 1 yd to the UGA 45Similar
Q3 6:01
2ND & 9
OWN 45
+13
79.2%
Carson Beck pass complete to Dominic Lovett for 13 yds to the MIZ 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:01
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
80.2%
Carson Beck pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:01
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+33
80.0%
Carson Beck pass complete to Ladd McConkey for 33 yds to the MIZ 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+1
80.8%
Daijun Edwards run for 1 yd to the MIZ 8Similar
Q3 6:01
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+3
80.8%
Carson Beck run for 3 yds to the MIZ 5Similar
Q3 0:38
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
90.1%
Carson Beck pass complete to Oscar Delp for 5 yds for a TD (Peyton Woodring KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 15TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 2:4811% → 33%
Q3 0:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
88.6%
Cody Schrader run for 2 yds to the MIZ 27 for a 1ST down Georgia Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (Smael Mondon Jr.) to the MIZ 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:38
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
87.1%
Brady Cook pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 42
0
87.6%
Brady Cook run for no gain to the MIZ 42Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 42
+11
88.3%
Brady Cook pass complete to Mookie Cooper for 11 yds to the UGA 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+5
86.1%
Cody Schrader run for 5 yds to the UGA 42Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 42
+7
85.8%
Cody Schrader run for 7 yds to the UGA 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+23
85.4%
Brady Cook pass complete to Mekhi Miller for 23 yds to the UGA 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
85.0%
Nathaniel Peat run for no gain to the UGA 12Similar
Q4 12:50
2ND & 10
OPP 12
+12
66.7%
C. Schrader run for 12 yds for a TD (B. Cook pass to L. Burden III for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 16FG
9 plays · 53 yds · 3:4476% → 87%
Q4 12:43
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+9
76.1%
Carson Beck pass complete to Rara Thomas for 9 yds to the UGA 44Similar
Q4 12:43
2ND & 1
OWN 44
+1
78.3%
Daijun Edwards run for 1 yd to the UGA 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:43
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+23
77.9%
Carson Beck pass complete to Oscar Delp for 23 yds to the MIZ 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:43
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+1
79.8%
Carson Beck pass complete to Ladd McConkey for 1 yd to the MIZ 31Similar
Q4 12:43
2ND & 9
OPP 31
+14
79.7%
BECK, Carson pass deep to the right incomplete intended for DELP, Oscar thrown to the MIZ0. PENALTY MIZ Pass Interference on HOPPER, Ty'Ron enforced 14 yards to the MIZ17 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 12:43
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
79.7%
Carson Beck pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:43
2ND & 10
OPP 17
0
79.7%
Carson Beck pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:43
3RD & 10
OPP 17
+5
78.4%
Carson Beck pass complete to Dominic Lovett for 5 yds to the MIZ 12Similar
Q4 8:59
4TH & 5
OPP 12
+30
87.0%
Peyton Woodring 30 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 17INT
3 plays · 20 yds · 1:1322% → 25%
Q4 8:59
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+7
78.5%
Brady Cook pass complete to Luther Burden III for 7 yds to the MIZ 37Similar
Q4 8:59
2ND & 3
OWN 37
+13
76.4%
Cody Schrader run for 13 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:46
1ST & 10
50
+15
74.6%
Brady Cook pass intercepted by UGA Nazir Stackhouse, returned to the MIZ 5, Georgia Penalty, Chop Block (Smael Mondon Jr.) to the UGA 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 18FG
7 plays · 40 yds · 3:4987% → 92%
Q4 7:46
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+22
87.2%
Daijun Edwards run for 22 yds to the MIZ 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:46
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+6
89.2%
Carson Beck pass complete to Ladd McConkey for 6 yds to the MIZ 42Similar
Q4 7:46
2ND & 4
OPP 42
+7
89.2%
Kendall Milton run for 7 yds to the MIZ 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:46
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
89.4%
Daijun Edwards run for no gain to the MIZ 35Similar
Q4 7:46
2ND & 10
OPP 35
0
89.3%
Carson Beck pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:46
3RD & 10
OPP 35
+5
88.4%
Carson Beck pass complete to Daijun Edwards for 5 yds to the MIZ 30Similar
Q4 3:57
4TH & 5
OPP 30
+48
92.4%
Peyton Woodring 48 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 19INT
10 plays · 25 yds · 2:218% → 7%
Q4 3:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
92.1%
Brady Cook pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:57
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
92.1%
Brady Cook pass complete to Cody Schrader for 2 yds to the MIZ 27Similar
Q4 3:57
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+13
92.5%
Brady Cook pass complete to Theo Wease Jr. for 13 yds to the MIZ 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:57
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
90.5%
Brady Cook pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:57
2ND & 10
OWN 40
-4
90.8%
Brady Cook sacked by Jalon Walker for a loss of 4 yards to the MIZ 36Similar
Q4 3:57
3RD & 14
OWN 36
0
92.5%
Brady Cook pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:57
4TH & 14
OWN 36
+14
92.8%
Brady Cook pass complete to Theo Wease Jr. for 14 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:57
1ST & 10
50
0
89.9%
Brady Cook pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:57
2ND & 10
50
0
89.8%
Brady Cook pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:36
3RD & 10
50
0
93.3%
Brady Cook pass intercepted by UGA Javon Bullard at the UGA 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 20END OF GAME
3 plays · 22 yds · 1:3695% → 95%
Q4 1:36
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+18
94.9%
Daijun Edwards run for 18 yds to the UGA 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:36
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
95.2%
Daijun Edwards run for 4 yds to the UGA 39Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 6
OWN 39
0
95.3%
[NH] Kneel down by BECK, Carson at UGA39 (team loss of 0), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 12:50
C. Schrader run for 12 yds for a TD (B. Cook pass to L. Burden III for Two-Point Conversion)
-18.3
TD · Q3 8:10
Kendall Milton run for 15 yds for a TD (Peyton Woodring KICK)
+11
TD · Q3 0:38
Carson Beck pass complete to Oscar Delp for 5 yds for a TD (Peyton Woodring KICK)
+9.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com