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OSU

Ohio State 24 at Wisconsin 10

WIS
2023 · Week 9 · Oct 28, 2023 · Camp Randall Stadium
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Win probability · WIS
modelWIS aheadOSU aheadconfidence bandkey playWIS scoreOSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 6:45 · Atticus Bertrams punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Jayden Ballard at the WIS 45
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+50.0+25.00−25.0−50.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 131Pregame prior−5.1Home team on offense−16.7Score differential−4.0Garbage-time factor−9.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−3.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−3.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 12:30: Braedyn Locke pass complete to Will Pauling for 13 yds for a TD (Nathanial Vakos KICK) — WIS win probability +13.2 pts (now 37%) (top driver: WIS has the ball).
  2. KEY PLAY · Q3 12:30: TreVeyon Henderson run for no gain to the OSU 25 — OSU win probability +6.1 pts (now 69%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 7:14: Kyle McCord pass complete to Marvin Harrison Jr. for 19 yds for a TD (Jayden Fielding KICK) — OSU win probability +9.2 pts (now 82%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 11:09: TreVeyon Henderson run for 30 yds to the OSU 44 for a 1ST down — OSU win probability +4.8 pts (now 80%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 5:15: TreVeyon Henderson run for 33 yds for a TD (Jayden Fielding KICK) — OSU win probability +10.2 pts (now 97%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WIS made the numbers' call on 7 of 10OSU made the numbers' call on 3 of 6
  1. Q1 11:44OSU 4th & 3 at WIS 33, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 80.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    80.1%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    80.0%−0.1
    49% to make
    Punt
    79.9%−0.2
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:09OSU 4th & 2 at WIS 9, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 78.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.4%
    54% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    78.3%−0.1
    89% to make
    Punt
    77.5%−0.9
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:30WIS 4th & 7 at WIS 42, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.9%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.1%
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:32WIS 4th & 10 at OSU 36, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 23.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.0%−<0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    23.1%
    42% to make
    Punt
    23.0%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q1 6:56OSU 4th & 5 at OSU 29, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 77.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.7%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    77.8%
    average punt
  6. Q2 14:43WIS 4th & 7 at WIS 23, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.0%−0.4
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.4%
    average punt
  7. Q2 8:53WIS 4th & 3 at WIS 33, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.4%−0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.5%
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:00WIS 4th & 1 at OSU 1, down 10
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.3 ptsKicked a field goal · 20.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.4%
    59% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    20.0%−2.3
    94% to make
    Punt
    15.4%−7.0
    average punt
  9. Q3 5:36WIS 4th & 1 at WIS 34, down 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.6 ptsPunted · 24.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.4%−1.6
    average punt
  10. Q3 0:57OSU 4th & 17 at WIS 37, up 7
    Close callPunted · 77.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.3%−1.4
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    77.8%
    40% to make
    PuntTheir call
    77.4%−0.3
    average punt
  11. Q4 11:09WIS 4th & 6 at OSU 48, down 7
    Close callPunted · 24.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.4%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.0%−0.5
    average punt
  12. Q4 7:39OSU 4th & 19 at OSU 48, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 81.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.6%−3.7
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    82.3%
    average punt
  13. Q4 6:45WIS 4th & 8 at WIS 11, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.8%−0.9
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.7%
    average punt
  14. Q4 2:55WIS 4th & 10 at midfield, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 3.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.3%
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    3.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 1:58OSU 4th & 7 at WIS 47, up 14
    Close callPunted · 97.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.4%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.4%−<0.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 1:23WIS 4th & 9 at WIS 27, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.4%
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    2.4%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WIS made the numbers' call on 1 of 1OSU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q2 10:36OSU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 12:30WIS Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    34.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    34.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 7:14OSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    74.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    74.2%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 5:15OSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.5%−0.7
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
OSUDrive 1DOWNS
9 plays · 24 yds · 3:1687% → 85%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+9
13.5%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 9 yds to the OSU 44Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 44
0
13.5%
Kyle McCord pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+2
13.5%
Kyle McCord run for 2 yds to the OSU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+14
13.5%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Julian Fleming for 14 yds to the WIS 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+5
13.5%
Xavier Johnson run for 5 yds to the WIS 35Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 35
+2
13.5%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 2 yds to the WIS 33Similar
Q1 11:53
3RD & 3
OPP 33
0
14.9%
Kyle McCord pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:44
4TH & 3
OPP 33
-8
15.0%
Kyle McCord sacked for a loss of 8 yards to the WIS 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 2FUMBLE
2 plays · 15 yds · 0:4215% → 16%
Q1 11:44
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
15.3%
Braelon Allen run for 4 yds to the WIS 45Similar
Q1 11:02
2ND & 6
OWN 45
+11
15.7%
Braelon Allen run for 11 yds to the OSU 44 Braelon Allen fumbled, recovered by OSU Davison Igbinosun [NHSG] ALLEN, Braelon rush up the middle for a gain of 11 yards, ALLEN, Braelon fumbled at WIS49 forced by SAWYER, Jack, recovered by OSU IGBINOSUN, Davison at the OSU44, returned 0 yards to the OSU44, End of Play, clock 11:02.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 3FG
7 plays · 47 yds · 2:5385% → 84%
Q1 11:02
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+6
15.2%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 11:02
2ND & 4
50
+3
15.2%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 3 yds to the WIS 47Similar
Q1 11:02
3RD & 1
OPP 47
+30
15.2%
Kyle McCord pass complete to TreVeyon Henderson for 30 yds to the WIS 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:02
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
15.1%
Kyle McCord pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:02
2ND & 10
OPP 17
+6
15.1%
Xavier Johnson run for 6 yds to the WIS 11Similar
Q1 11:02
3RD & 4
OPP 11
+2
15.2%
Chip Trayanum run for 2 yds to the WIS 9Similar
Q1 8:09
4TH & 2
OPP 9
+27
16.4%
Jayden Fielding 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 4PUNT
6 plays · 17 yds · 1:3917% → 17%
Q1 8:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
16.5%
Braelon Allen run for 4 yds to the WIS 29 Braelon Allen fumbled, recovered by WIS [NHSG] ALLEN, Braelon rush up the middle for a gain of 4 yards, ALLEN, Braelon fumbled at WIS29 forced by HANCOCK, Jordan, recovered by WIS NELSON, Jack at the WIS29, returned 0 yards to the WIS29, End of Play.Similar
Q1 8:09
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+10
16.6%
LOCKE, Braedyn pass to the left incomplete intended for DIKE, Chimere thrown to the WIS40. PENALTY OSU Holding on IGBINOSUN, Davison enforced 10 yards from the WIS29 to the WIS39 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 8:09
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+3
16.7%
Braelon Allen run for 3 yds to the WIS 42Similar
Q1 8:09
2ND & 7
OWN 42
0
16.9%
Braedyn Locke pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:09
3RD & 7
OWN 42
0
16.6%
Braedyn Locke pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:30
4TH & 7
OWN 42
0
17.3%
Atticus Bertrams punt for 45 yds , returns for no gain to the OSU 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 5MISSED FG
5 plays · 0 yds · 3:2418% → 19%
Q1 6:56
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
17.7%
Braedyn Locke pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:56
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+5
17.7%
Braedyn Locke pass complete to Skyler Bell for 5 yds to the OSU 31Similar
Q1 6:56
3RD & 5
OPP 31
-5
17.7%
Wisconsin Penalty, Delay Of Game (Braedyn Locke) to the OSU 36Similar
Q1 6:56
3RD & 10
OPP 36
0
17.5%
Braedyn Locke pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:32
4TH & 10
OPP 36
+54
18.6%
Nathanial Vakos 54 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:2683% → 83%
Q1 6:56
4TH & 5
OWN 29
0
17.4%
Jesse Mirco punt for 42 ydsSimilar
Q1 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+5
17.4%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Julian Fleming for 5 yds to the OSU 29Similar
Q1 6:30
2ND & 5
OWN 29
0
17.2%
TreVeyon Henderson run for no gain to the OSU 29Similar
Q1 6:30
3RD & 5
OWN 29
0
17.4%
Kyle McCord pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 7INT
8 plays · 54 yds · 3:0182% → 81%
Q1 3:32
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
18.5%
Kyle McCord pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:32
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+4
18.6%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 4 yds to the OSU 41Similar
Q1 3:32
3RD & 6
OWN 41
+35
18.4%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Marvin Harrison Jr. for 35 yds to the WIS 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:32
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+5
17.9%
Wisconsin Penalty, Offsides (5 Yards) to the WIS 19Similar
Q1 3:32
1ST & 5
OPP 19
0
17.9%
Kyle McCord pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:32
2ND & 5
OPP 19
+4
17.9%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 4 yds to the WIS 15Similar
Q1 3:32
3RD & 1
OPP 15
0
18.1%
Wisconsin Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Yards) to the WIS 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
18.9%
Kyle McCord pass intercepted, touchback.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:1720% → 20%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
20.3%
Braelon Allen run for 3 yds to the WIS 23Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 23
0
20.3%
Braedyn Locke pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 23
0
19.9%
Braedyn Locke pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:43
4TH & 7
OWN 23
0
19.9%
Atticus Bertrams punt for 29 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 9TD
7 plays · 52 yds · 4:0781% → 84%
Q2 14:43
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+10
19.4%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 10 yds to the WIS 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:43
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+1
19.2%
Kyle McCord pass complete to TreVeyon Henderson for 1 yd to the WIS 41Similar
Q2 14:43
2ND & 9
OPP 41
+8
19.2%
Kyle McCord pass complete to TreVeyon Henderson for 8 yds to the WIS 33Similar
Q2 14:43
3RD & 1
OPP 33
+2
19.2%
Kyle McCord run for 2 yds to the WIS 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:43
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+11
19.0%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Gee Scott Jr. for 11 yds to the WIS 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:43
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+4
18.9%
Chip Trayanum run for 4 yds to the WIS 16Similar
Q2 10:36
2ND & 6
OPP 16
+16
16.4%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Marvin Harrison Jr. for 16 yds for a TD (Jayden Fielding KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:3617% → 17%
Q2 10:29
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
17.2%
Braedyn Locke pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:29
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+4
17.0%
Braedyn Locke pass complete to Jackson Acker for 4 yds to the WIS 30Similar
Q2 10:29
3RD & 6
OWN 30
+3
16.9%
Braedyn Locke pass complete to Will Pauling for 3 yds to the WIS 33Similar
Q2 8:53
4TH & 3
OWN 33
0
17.1%
Atticus Bertrams punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Jayden Ballard at the OSU 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 11INT
8 plays · 34 yds · 3:4482% → 84%
Q2 8:53
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+8
17.8%
Xavier Johnson run for 8 yds to the OSU 30Similar
Q2 8:53
2ND & 2
OWN 30
+4
17.4%
Chip Trayanum run for 4 yds to the OSU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:53
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
17.5%
Kyle McCord pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:53
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+14
17.7%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Carnell Tate for 14 yds to the OSU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:53
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+6
17.0%
Kyle McCord pass complete to TreVeyon Henderson for 6 yds to the WIS 46Similar
Q2 8:53
2ND & 4
OPP 46
+7
16.9%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 7 yds to the WIS 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:53
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-5
16.9%
Ohio State Penalty, False Start (Gee Scott Jr.) to the WIS 44Similar
Q2 5:09
1ST & 15
OPP 44
0
16.3%
Kyle McCord pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 12FG
13 plays · 51 yds · 5:0919% → 23%
Q2 5:09
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+8
18.6%
Braelon Allen run for 8 yds to the OSU 44Similar
Q2 5:09
2ND & 2
OPP 44
+5
19.0%
ALLEN, Braelon rush up the middle for no gain to the OSU44 (HALL JR., Mike). PENALTY OSU Offsides on TUIMOLOAU, JT enforced 5 yards from the OSU44 to the OSU39 and results in a 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 5:09
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-10
18.9%
Braedyn Locke sacked by Jordan Hancock for a loss of 10 yards to the OSU 49Similar
Q2 5:09
2ND & 20
OPP 49
+7
18.4%
Braedyn Locke pass complete to C.J. Williams for 7 yds to the OSU 42Similar
Q2 5:09
3RD & 13
OPP 42
+19
18.2%
Braedyn Locke pass complete to Will Pauling for 19 yds to the OSU 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:09
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+7
19.8%
Braelon Allen run for 7 yds to the OSU 16Similar
Q2 5:09
2ND & 3
OPP 16
+5
19.8%
Braedyn Locke pass complete to Skyler Bell for 5 yds to the OSU 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:09
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+9
19.8%
Braelon Allen run for 9 yds to the OSU 2Similar
Q2 5:09
2ND & 1
OPP 2
+1
19.8%
Braelon Allen run for 1 yd to the OSU 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:43
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
20.7%
Braedyn Locke pass complete to Skyler Bell for no gain to the OSU 1Similar
Q2 0:43
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
20.6%
Braelon Allen run for no gain to the OSU 1Similar
Q2 0:43
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
19.5%
Braedyn Locke pass complete to Braelon Allen for no gain to the OSU 1Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+19
22.9%
Nathanial Vakos 19 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 13TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:3020% → 37%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+27
20.4%
Braedyn Locke pass complete to Bryson Green for 27 yds to the OSU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+4
22.8%
Jackson Acker run for 4 yds to the OSU 44Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 44
0
22.9%
Braedyn Locke pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 44
+29
22.6%
Braedyn Locke run for 29 yds to the OSU 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
23.8%
Braedyn Locke pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+2
23.8%
Braedyn Locke pass complete to Jackson Acker for 2 yds to the OSU 13Similar
Q3 12:30
3RD & 8
OPP 13
+13
37.1%
Braedyn Locke pass complete to Will Pauling for 13 yds for a TD (Nathanial Vakos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 14TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 5:1669% → 82%
Q3 12:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
31.0%
TreVeyon Henderson run for no gain to the OSU 25Similar
Q3 12:30
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+16
31.2%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Marvin Harrison Jr. for 16 yds to the OSU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:30
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-1
29.0%
TreVeyon Henderson run for a loss of 1 yard to the OSU 40Similar
Q3 12:30
2ND & 11
OWN 40
+7
30.1%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Gee Scott Jr. for 7 yds to the OSU 47Similar
Q3 12:30
3RD & 4
OWN 47
+4
28.9%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Chip Trayanum for 4 yds to the WIS 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:30
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+7
28.1%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 7 yds to the WIS 42Similar
Q3 12:30
2ND & 3
OPP 42
+25
27.8%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 25 yds to the WIS 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:30
1ST & 10
OPP 17
-2
27.1%
TreVeyon Henderson run for a loss of 2 yards to the WIS 19Similar
Q3 7:14
2ND & 12
OPP 19
+19
17.9%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Marvin Harrison Jr. for 19 yds for a TD (Jayden Fielding KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:3822% → 22%
Q3 7:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
22.4%
Jackson Acker run for 6 yds to the WIS 31Similar
Q3 7:14
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+2
23.6%
Jackson Acker run for 2 yds to the WIS 33Similar
Q3 7:14
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+1
23.0%
Jackson Acker run for 1 yd to the WIS 34Similar
Q3 5:36
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
22.3%
Atticus Bertrams punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Jayden Ballard at the OSU 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 16PUNT
10 plays · 39 yds · 4:3980% → 78%
Q3 5:36
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+22
20.4%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Marvin Harrison Jr. for 22 yds to the OSU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:36
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
18.7%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 5 yds to the WIS 49Similar
Q3 5:36
2ND & 5
OPP 49
+2
18.3%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 2 yds to the WIS 47Similar
Q3 5:36
3RD & 3
OPP 47
+5
18.7%
Kyle McCord run for 5 yds to the WIS 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:36
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+12
18.3%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 12 yds to the WIS 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:36
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-1
18.0%
TreVeyon Henderson run for a loss of 1 yard to the WIS 31Similar
Q3 1:09
2ND & 11
OPP 31
+3
18.3%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Chip Trayanum for 3 yds to the WIS 28Similar
Q3 1:09
3RD & 8
OPP 28
0
19.0%
Ohio State Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Kyle McCord) to the WIS 37Similar
Q3 0:57
4TH & 17
OPP 37
0
21.8%
Jesse Mirco punt for 30 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 17PUNT
11 plays · 45 yds · 4:4825% → 25%
Q3 0:57
1ST & 10
OWN 7
-4
24.5%
Cade Yacamelli run for a loss of 4 yards to the WIS 3Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 14
OWN 3
-1
22.8%
Braedyn Locke run for a loss of 1 yard to the WIS 2Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 15
OWN 2
+16
21.7%
Braedyn Locke pass complete to Skyler Bell for 16 yds to the WIS 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+6
23.3%
Jackson Acker run for 6 yds to the WIS 24Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 24
+5
24.0%
Jackson Acker run for 5 yds to the WIS 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
24.0%
Braedyn Locke pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+19
23.4%
Braedyn Locke pass complete to Bryson Green for 19 yds to the WIS 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+3
26.5%
Jackson Acker run for 3 yds to the OSU 49Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 49
+1
27.4%
Jackson Acker run for 1 yd to the OSU 48Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 48
0
26.7%
Braedyn Locke pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:09
4TH & 6
OPP 48
0
25.3%
Atticus Bertrams punt for 34 yds, downed at the OSU 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 18PUNT
9 plays · 34 yds · 3:3080% → 78%
Q4 11:09
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+30
20.4%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 30 yds to the OSU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:09
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+3
17.9%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 3 yds to the OSU 47Similar
Q4 11:09
2ND & 7
OWN 47
-5
17.8%
Ohio State Penalty, False Start (Josh Simmons) to the OSU 42Similar
Q4 11:09
2ND & 12
OWN 42
+15
18.5%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Marvin Harrison Jr. for 15 yds to the WIS 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:09
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+3
17.0%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 3 yds to the WIS 40Similar
Q4 11:09
2ND & 7
OPP 40
-1
17.1%
Kyle McCord sacked by Maema Njongmeta for a loss of 1 yard to the WIS 41Similar
Q4 11:09
3RD & 8
OPP 41
0
17.5%
Ohio State Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Kyle McCord) to the OSU 48Similar
Q4 7:39
4TH & 19
OWN 48
0
18.5%
Jesse Mirco punt for 43 ydsSimilar
Q4 7:39
1ST & 10
OWN 9
0
21.6%
Wisconsin Penalty, False Start (Joe Huber) to the WIS 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:5422% → 18%
Q4 7:39
1ST & 14
OWN 5
+6
21.6%
Jackson Acker run for 6 yds to the WIS 11Similar
Q4 7:39
2ND & 8
OWN 11
0
21.9%
Braedyn Locke pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:39
3RD & 8
OWN 11
0
20.8%
Braedyn Locke pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:45
4TH & 8
OWN 11
0
18.0%
Atticus Bertrams punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Jayden Ballard at the WIS 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 20TD
3 plays · 45 yds · 1:3086% → 97%
Q4 6:45
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+10
13.9%
Xavier Johnson run for 10 yds to the WIS 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:45
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+2
13.4%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 2 yds to the WIS 33Similar
Q4 5:15
2ND & 8
OPP 33
+33
3.2%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 33 yds for a TD (Jayden Fielding KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 21DOWNS
11 plays · 25 yds · 2:205% → 3%
Q4 5:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
5.0%
Braedyn Locke sacked by Tyleik Williams for a loss of 3 yards to the WIS 22Similar
Q4 5:15
2ND & 13
OWN 22
0
4.8%
Braedyn Locke pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:15
3RD & 13
OWN 22
+16
4.7%
Braedyn Locke pass complete to Will Pauling for 16 yds to the WIS 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:15
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
5.3%
Braedyn Locke pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:15
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+6
5.2%
Braedyn Locke pass complete to Jackson Acker for 6 yds to the WIS 44Similar
Q4 5:15
3RD & 4
OWN 44
+6
5.5%
Braedyn Locke pass complete to Jackson Acker for 6 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:15
1ST & 10
50
0
5.6%
Braedyn Locke pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:15
2ND & 10
50
0
5.5%
Braedyn Locke pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:03
3RD & 10
50
0
3.3%
Braedyn Locke pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:55
4TH & 10
50
0
3.3%
Braedyn Locke pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 22PUNT
6 plays · 3 yds · 0:5799% → 99%
Q4 2:55
1ST & 10
50
+2
1.5%
Chip Trayanum run for 2 yds to the WIS 48Similar
Q4 2:07
2ND & 8
OPP 48
+2
1.3%
Chip Trayanum run for 2 yds to the WIS 46Similar
Q4 2:03
3RD & 6
OPP 46
-1
1.4%
Chip Trayanum run for a loss of 1 yard to the WIS 47Similar
Q4 1:58
4TH & 7
OPP 47
0
1.2%
Jesse Mirco punt for 36 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 23DOWNS
5 plays · 16 yds · 0:352% → 2%
Q4 1:58
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+15
2.2%
Braedyn Locke pass complete to Vinny Anthony II for 15 yds to the WIS 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:58
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
2.2%
Braedyn Locke pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:58
2ND & 10
OWN 26
-1
2.2%
Braedyn Locke run for a loss of 1 yard to the WIS 25Similar
Q4 1:58
3RD & 11
OWN 25
+2
2.1%
Braedyn Locke pass complete to Jackson Acker for 2 yds to the WIS 27Similar
Q4 1:23
4TH & 9
OWN 27
0
2.1%
Braedyn Locke pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 24END OF GAME
2 plays · -3 yds · 1:2399% → 99%
Q4 1:23
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
1.0%
[NHSG] Kneel down by MCCORD, Kyle at WIS29 (team loss of 2).Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 12
OPP 29
0
1.0%
[NHSG] Kneel down by MCCORD, Kyle at WIS30 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 12:30
Braedyn Locke pass complete to Will Pauling for 13 yds for a TD (Nathanial Vakos KICK)
+13.2
TD · Q4 5:15
TreVeyon Henderson run for 33 yds for a TD (Jayden Fielding KICK)
-10.2
TD · Q3 7:14
Kyle McCord pass complete to Marvin Harrison Jr. for 19 yds for a TD (Jayden Fielding KICK)
-9.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com