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South Carolina 17 at Texas A&M 30

TA&M
2023 · Week 9 · Oct 28, 2023 · Kyle Field
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Win probability · TA&M
modelTA&M aheadSC aheadconfidence bandkey playTA&M scoreSC score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGFGTDFGFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 1:05 · Kai Kroeger punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Ainias Smith at the TA&M 43 South Carolina Penalty, Kick Catching Interference (-15 Yards) to the SC 42
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 75Pregame prior+20.8Home team on offense+6.1Garbage-time factor−0.3Score differential+1.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.7Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+1.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 9:00: Rueben Owens 14 Yd Run (Randy Bond Kick) — TA&M win probability +5.4 pts (now 81%) (top driver: TA&M has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 1:44: Amari Daniels 1 Yd Run (Randy Bond Kick) — TA&M win probability +6.5 pts (now 85%) (top driver: TA&M has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 0:52: Ainias Smith 42 Yd pass from Max Johnson (Randy Bond Kick) — TA&M win probability +5.6 pts (now 90%) (top driver: TA&M has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 14:56: Joshua Simon 2 Yd pass from Spencer Rattler (Mitch Jeter Kick) — SC win probability +13.7 pts (now 23%) (top driver: SC has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 7:39: Randy Bond 52 Yd Field Goal — TA&M win probability +3.9 pts (now 95%) (top driver: TA&M has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TA&M made the numbers' call on 10 of 12SC made the numbers' call on 9 of 9
  1. Q1 14:02TA&M 4th & 7 at TA&M 20, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 85.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.4%−<0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.4%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:44SC 4th & 5 at TA&M 49, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.0%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.0%
    average punt
  3. Q1 11:15TA&M 4th & 1 at TA&M 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 84.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    84.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    84.5%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 8:45TA&M 4th & 20 at TA&M 34, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 83.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.4%−0.3
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    83.7%
    average punt
  5. Q1 2:04SC 4th & 1 at TA&M 1, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 19.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    19.1%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    18.6%−0.5
    94% to make
    Punt
    17.2%−1.9
    average punt
  6. Q1 0:01TA&M 4th & 1 at TA&M 34, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 76.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    76.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    76.3%−0.5
    average punt
  7. Q2 13:38TA&M 4th & 5 at TA&M 41, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 75.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.4%−0.4
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    75.8%
    average punt
  8. Q2 12:03SC 4th & 18 at SC 14, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.9%−1.4
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.3%
    average punt
  9. Q2 8:03SC 4th & 21 at SC 14, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.3%−2.0
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.3%
    average punt
  10. Q2 5:45TA&M 4th & 1 at SC 39, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 78.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    77.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    76.2%−1.7
    36% to make
    Punt
    76.2%−1.7
    average punt
  11. Q2 1:05SC 4th & 27 at SC 21, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.9%−2.2
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.1%
    average punt
  12. Q3 10:58SC 4th & 7 at TA&M 31, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 10.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.6%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    10.6%
    54% to make
    Punt
    9.9%−0.7
    average punt
  13. Q3 10:05TA&M 4th & 8 at TA&M 27, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 86.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.6%−0.9
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.5%
    average punt
  14. Q3 9:12SC 4th & 8 at SC 42, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.5%−0.7
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.2%
    average punt
  15. Q3 2:46TA&M 4th & 8 at SC 9, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 89.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.6%−0.6
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    89.1%
    89% to make
    Punt
    84.6%−4.5
    average punt
  16. Q4 11:00TA&M 4th & 1 at SC 6, up 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 3.5 ptsKicked a field goal · 88.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.1%
    69% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    84.6%−3.5
    91% to make
    Punt
    75.9%−12.3
    average punt
  17. Q4 9:43SC 4th & 1 at SC 35, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 9.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    10.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    9.5%−0.8
    average punt
  18. Q4 7:39TA&M 4th & 12 at SC 35, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 90.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.8%−0.4
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    91.2%
    45% to make
    Punt
    90.6%−0.6
    average punt
  19. Q4 5:32SC 4th & 5 at TA&M 46, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 6.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.1%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    4.7%−0.4
    23% to make
    Punt
    4.6%−0.6
    average punt
  20. Q4 3:04TA&M 4th & 5 at SC 18, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 97.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.7%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    96.7%
    79% to make
    Punt
    94.4%−2.3
    average punt
  21. Q4 0:21TA&M 4th & 3 at SC 15, up 13
    Close callWent for it · 97.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    97.3%−0.3
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    97.7%
    83% to make
    Punt
    96.2%−1.5
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TA&M made the numbers' call on 3 of 3SC made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 2:04SC Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    21.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    21.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 9:00TA&M Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    77.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 1:44TA&M Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:52TA&M Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 14:56SC Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    13.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    13.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TA&MDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:4786% → 86%
Q1 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
86.2%
Max Johnson pass incomplete to Evan StewartSimilar
Q1 14:40
2ND & 10
OWN 17
+3
86.1%
Rueben Owens run for 3 yds to the TA&M 20Similar
Q1 14:09
3RD & 7
OWN 20
0
86.0%
Max Johnson pass incomplete to Evan StewartSimilar
Q1 14:02
4TH & 7
OWN 20
0
85.9%
Nik Constantinou punt for 34 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SC 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:5614% → 15%
Q1 13:40
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
85.8%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Mario Anderson for 3 yds to the SC 49Similar
Q1 13:30
2ND & 7
OWN 49
+2
85.7%
Mario Anderson run for 2 yds to the TA&M 49Similar
Q1 12:56
3RD & 5
OPP 49
0
85.5%
Spencer Rattler pass incomplete to Nyck HarborSimilar
Q1 12:44
4TH & 5
OPP 49
0
85.5%
Kai Kroeger punt for 49 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 3PUNT
9 plays · 14 yds · 3:5086% → 84%
Q1 12:35
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
85.5%
Ainias Smith run for 1 yd to the TA&M 21Similar
Q1 12:30
2ND & 9
OWN 21
-8
85.5%
Max Johnson sacked by Marcellas Dial for a loss of 8 yards to the TA&M 13Similar
Q1 11:30
3RD & 17
OWN 13
+16
85.1%
Max Johnson pass complete to Evan Stewart for 16 yds to the TA&M 29Similar
Q1 11:15
4TH & 1
OWN 29
+4
85.0%
Max Johnson run for 4 yds to the TA&M 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:20
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+11
84.9%
Amari Daniels run for 11 yds to the TA&M 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-4
85.0%
Max Johnson sacked by Tonka Hemingway for a loss of 4 yards to the TA&M 40Similar
Q1 9:30
2ND & 14
OWN 40
0
84.7%
Max Johnson pass incomplete to Noah ThomasSimilar
Q1 8:57
3RD & 14
OWN 40
-6
84.3%
Max Johnson sacked by Jaron Willis for a loss of 6 yards to the TA&M 34 Max Johnson fumbled, forced by Jaron Willis, recovered by TA&M Layden Robinson , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q1 8:45
4TH & 20
OWN 34
0
84.0%
Nik Constantinou punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Jalon Kilgore at the SC 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 4TD
13 plays · 65 yds · 6:3216% → 22%
Q1 8:36
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
84.1%
Mario Anderson run for 1 yd to the SC 36Similar
Q1 8:15
2ND & 9
OWN 36
0
84.0%
Spencer Rattler pass incomplete to Mario AndersonSimilar
Q1 8:00
3RD & 9
OWN 36
+10
84.1%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Nyck Harbor for 10 yds to the SC 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:34
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+18
83.5%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Mario Anderson for 18 yds to the TA&M 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:56
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-2
83.1%
Juju McDowell run for a loss of 2 yards to the TA&M 38Similar
Q1 6:25
2ND & 12
OPP 38
-1
83.0%
Juju McDowell run for a loss of 1 yard to the TA&M 39Similar
Q1 5:45
3RD & 13
OPP 39
+17
83.1%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Nyck Harbor for 17 yds to the TA&M 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:54
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+1
82.1%
Mario Anderson run for 1 yd to the TA&M 21Similar
Q1 4:25
2ND & 9
OPP 21
+12
81.8%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Mario Anderson for 12 yds to the TA&M 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+1
81.6%
Mario Anderson run for 1 yd to the TA&M 8Similar
Q1 3:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+3
81.2%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Dakereon Joyner for 3 yds to the TA&M 5Similar
Q1 2:30
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
81.0%
Dakereon Joyner run for 4 yds to the TA&M 1Similar
Q1 2:04
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
78.1%
Dakereon Joyner 1 Yd Run (Mitch Jeter Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 5PUNT
9 plays · 16 yds · 3:1279% → 76%
Q1 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
78.5%
Rueben Owens run for 8 yds to the TA&M 33Similar
Q1 1:30
2ND & 2
OWN 33
-4
78.8%
Rueben Owens run for a loss of 4 yards to the TA&M 29Similar
Q1 0:45
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+5
77.5%
Max Johnson pass complete to Ainias Smith for 5 yds to the TA&M 34Similar
Q1 0:01
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+2
76.9%
Amari Daniels run for 2 yds to the TA&M 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
77.4%
Max Johnson pass incomplete to Evan StewartSimilar
Q2 14:30
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+3
77.0%
Amari Daniels run for 3 yds to the TA&M 39Similar
Q2 13:56
3RD & 7
OWN 39
+2
76.4%
Max Johnson pass complete to Evan Stewart for 2 yds to the TA&M 41Similar
Q2 13:38
4TH & 5
OWN 41
0
75.9%
Nik Constantinou punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Jalon Kilgore at the SC 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · -8 yds · 1:3524% → 25%
Q2 13:38
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-14
75.8%
Spencer Rattler sacked by Bryce Anderson for a loss of 14 yards to the SC 8 South Carolina Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Yards) to the SC 8Similar
Q2 13:30
2ND & 24
OWN 8
+2
76.0%
Spencer Rattler run for 2 yds to the SC 10Similar
Q2 12:50
3RD & 22
OWN 10
+4
75.8%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Dakereon Joyner for 4 yds to the SC 14Similar
Q2 12:03
4TH & 18
OWN 14
0
75.5%
Kai Kroeger punt for 41 yds, downed at the TA&M 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 7TD
6 plays · 55 yds · 2:5576% → 81%
Q2 11:55
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+1
75.8%
Rueben Owens run for 1 yd to the TA&M 46Similar
Q2 11:00
2ND & 9
OWN 46
+4
75.1%
Max Johnson pass complete to Evan Stewart for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 10:30
3RD & 5
50
+30
75.0%
Max Johnson pass complete to Evan Stewart for 15 yds to the SC 35 for a 1ST down South Carolina Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the SC 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:10
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+1
75.9%
Rueben Owens run for 1 yd to the SC 19Similar
Q2 9:30
2ND & 9
OPP 19
+5
75.2%
Max Johnson pass complete to Max Wright for 5 yds to the SC 14Similar
Q2 9:00
3RD & 4
OPP 14
+14
80.6%
Rueben Owens 14 Yd Run (Randy Bond Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · -11 yds · 0:4222% → 22%
Q2 8:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
77.9%
Nyck Harbor run for 1 yd to the SC 26Similar
Q2 8:20
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
77.7%
Spencer Rattler pass incomplete to Xavier LegetteSimilar
Q2 8:20
3RD & 9
OWN 26
-12
78.2%
Spencer Rattler sacked by Bryce Anderson for a loss of 12 yards to the SC 14 South Carolina Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Yards) to the SC 14Similar
Q2 8:03
4TH & 21
OWN 14
0
78.2%
Kai Kroeger punt for 34 yds , Sam McCall returns for no gain to the SC 48 Sam McCall fumbled, recovered by TA&M Sam McCall at SC 48.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 9TD
13 plays · 48 yds · 6:1680% → 85%
Q2 8:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+6
80.3%
Max Johnson pass complete to Evan Stewart for 6 yds to the SC 42Similar
Q2 7:30
2ND & 4
OPP 42
-1
80.2%
Rueben Owens run for a loss of 1 yard to the SC 43Similar
Q2 6:45
3RD & 5
OPP 43
+4
79.6%
Max Johnson pass complete to Ainias Smith for 4 yds to the SC 39Similar
Q2 5:45
4TH & 1
OPP 39
+1
79.2%
Max Johnson run for 1 yd to the SC 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:30
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+2
80.1%
Amari Daniels run for 2 yds to the SC 36Similar
Q2 4:43
2ND & 8
OPP 36
-5
79.9%
Texas A&M Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the SC 41Similar
Q2 4:15
2ND & 13
OPP 41
+8
78.9%
Max Johnson pass complete to Jake Johnson for 8 yds to the SC 33Similar
Q2 3:36
3RD & 5
OPP 33
+26
79.5%
Max Johnson pass complete to Ainias Smith for 26 yds to the SC 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+5
80.0%
Max Johnson run for 5 yds to the SC 2Similar
Q2 2:30
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
0
79.6%
Amari Daniels run for no gain to the SC 2Similar
Q2 2:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
78.7%
South Carolina Penalty, Defensive Offside (1 Yards) to the SC 1Similar
Q2 1:44
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
85.2%
Amari Daniels 1 Yd Run (Randy Bond Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 10PUNT
7 plays · -4 yds · 0:3316% → 15%
Q2 1:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
83.6%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Trey Knox for 13 yds to the SC 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:24
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
82.9%
Spencer Rattler pass incomplete to Mario AndersonSimilar
Q2 1:19
2ND & 10
OWN 38
-12
83.0%
Spencer Rattler sacked by Edgerrin Cooper for a loss of 12 yards to the SC 26 South Carolina Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Yards) to the SC 26Similar
Q2 1:12
3RD & 22
OWN 26
-5
84.3%
Spencer Rattler sacked by Fadil Diggs for a loss of 5 yards to the SC 21Similar
Q2 1:05
4TH & 27
OWN 21
+21
84.6%
Kai Kroeger punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Ainias Smith at the TA&M 43 South Carolina Penalty, Kick Catching Interference (-15 Yards) to the SC 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 11TD
1 play · 42 yds · 0:0090% → 90%
Q2 0:52
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+42
90.2%
Ainias Smith 42 Yd pass from Max Johnson (Randy Bond Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 12END OF HALF
6 plays · 2 yds · 0:1711% → 11%
Q2 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
89.1%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Xavier Legette for a loss of 1 yard to the SC 24Similar
Q2 0:39
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+4
89.7%
Mario Anderson run for 4 yds to the SC 28Similar
Q2 0:28
3RD & 7
OWN 28
-1
89.5%
Mario Anderson run for a loss of 1 yard to the SC 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 13FG
11 plays · 43 yds · 3:4711% → 13%
Q3 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-2
89.5%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Nyck Harbor for a loss of 2 yards to the SC 24Similar
Q3 14:15
2ND & 12
OWN 24
+11
89.7%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Luke Doty for 11 yds to the SC 35Similar
Q3 13:50
3RD & 1
OWN 35
+5
89.0%
Mario Anderson run for 5 yds to the SC 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:38
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
89.0%
Mario Anderson run for 1 yd to the SC 41Similar
Q3 13:05
2ND & 9
OWN 41
+7
89.0%
Mario Anderson run for 7 yds to the SC 48Similar
Q3 12:30
3RD & 2
OWN 48
+18
88.7%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Trey Knox for 18 yds to the TA&M 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:15
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+3
88.0%
Mario Anderson run for 3 yds to the TA&M 31Similar
Q3 11:48
2ND & 7
OPP 31
0
87.9%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Nyck Harbor for no gain to the TA&M 31Similar
Q3 11:03
3RD & 7
OPP 31
0
88.8%
Spencer Rattler pass incomplete to Nyck HarborSimilar
Q3 10:58
4TH & 7
OPP 31
+49
86.6%
Mitch Jeter 49 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:4688% → 87%
Q3 10:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
87.8%
Max Johnson pass incomplete to Evan StewartSimilar
Q3 10:39
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
87.7%
Rueben Owens run for 2 yds to the TA&M 27Similar
Q3 10:13
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
87.2%
Max Johnson pass incomplete to Ainias SmithSimilar
Q3 10:05
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
86.9%
Nik Constantinou punt for 33 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SC 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:4814% → 12%
Q3 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
86.1%
Spencer Rattler pass incomplete to Trey KnoxSimilar
Q3 9:45
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+2
86.5%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Xavier Legette for 2 yds to the SC 42Similar
Q3 9:19
3RD & 8
OWN 42
0
86.8%
Spencer Rattler pass incomplete to Xavier LegetteSimilar
Q3 9:12
4TH & 8
OWN 42
0
87.6%
Kai Kroeger punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Ainias Smith at the TA&M 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 16FG
14 plays · 75 yds · 6:1488% → 94%
Q3 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+3
88.2%
Rueben Owens run for 3 yds to the TA&M 19Similar
Q3 8:40
2ND & 7
OWN 19
+3
88.2%
Rueben Owens run for 3 yds to the TA&M 22Similar
Q3 7:55
3RD & 4
OWN 22
+9
87.8%
Max Johnson pass complete to Noah Thomas for 9 yds to the TA&M 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:25
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+12
88.4%
Max Johnson pass complete to Jake Johnson for 12 yds to the TA&M 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:11
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+5
89.1%
Owens, Rueben rush for 4 yards to the TEXASAM47, PENALTY SOCAROLINA substitution infraction 5 yards to the TEXASAM48, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 7:11
1ST & 5
OWN 48
+6
89.2%
Rueben Owens run for 6 yds to the SC 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:45
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+2
89.6%
Rueben Owens run for 2 yds to the SC 44Similar
Q3 5:22
2ND & 8
OPP 44
+7
89.5%
Max Johnson pass complete to Noah Thomas for 7 yds to the SC 37Similar
Q3 4:55
3RD & 1
OPP 37
+4
89.4%
Max Johnson pass complete to Max Wright for 4 yds to the SC 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:20
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+22
89.9%
Max Johnson pass complete to Evan Stewart for 12 yds to the SC 21 for a 1ST down South Carolina Penalty, Personal Foul (DQ Smith) to the SC 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:20
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+2
90.2%
Rueben Owens run for 2 yds to the SC 9Similar
Q3 2:55
2ND & 8
OPP 9
0
90.3%
Max Johnson pass incomplete to Max WrightSimilar
Q3 2:50
3RD & 8
OPP 9
0
90.2%
Max Johnson pass incomplete to Noah ThomasSimilar
Q3 2:46
4TH & 8
OPP 9
+26
93.9%
Randy Bond 26 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 17TD
8 plays · 77 yds · 2:248% → 23%
Q3 2:20
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+11
91.8%
Mario Anderson run for 11 yds to the SC 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+11
91.2%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Nyck Harbor for 11 yds to the SC 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:34
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
90.8%
Spencer Rattler pass incomplete to Dakereon JoynerSimilar
Q3 1:16
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+1
91.1%
Spencer Rattler run for 1 yd to the SC 46Similar
Q3 0:35
3RD & 9
OWN 46
+23
91.7%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Nyck Harbor for 23 yds to the TA&M 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:01
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+29
91.2%
Mario Anderson run for 29 yds to the TA&M 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
77.5%
Joshua Simon 2 Yd pass from Spencer Rattler (Mitch Jeter Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 18FG
9 plays · 69 yds · 3:5188% → 89%
Q4 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
87.5%
Max Johnson pass incomplete to Amari DanielsSimilar
Q4 14:20
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+26
87.4%
Max Johnson pass complete to Jahdae Walker for 26 yds to the SC 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:15
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+5
89.0%
Amari Daniels run for 5 yds to the SC 44Similar
Q4 13:30
2ND & 5
OPP 44
+29
89.4%
Amari Daniels run for 29 yds to the SC 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:00
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+1
89.8%
Rueben Owens run for 1 yd to the SC 14Similar
Q4 12:22
2ND & 9
OPP 14
+6
89.9%
Max Johnson run for 6 yds to the SC 8Similar
Q4 11:25
3RD & 3
OPP 8
+2
89.0%
Rueben Owens run for 2 yds to the SC 6Similar
Q4 11:00
4TH & 1
OPP 6
+24
89.0%
Randy Bond 24 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 19DOWNS
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:0212% → 9%
Q4 10:45
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-2
88.4%
Mario Anderson run for a loss of 2 yards to the SC 24Similar
Q4 10:12
2ND & 12
OWN 24
0
90.5%
Spencer Rattler pass incomplete to Xavier LegetteSimilar
Q4 9:55
3RD & 12
OWN 24
+11
91.0%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Joshua Simon for 11 yds to the SC 35Similar
Q4 9:43
4TH & 1
OWN 35
-2
90.6%
Spencer Rattler run for a loss of 2 yards to the SC 33 Spencer Rattler fumbled, recovered by SC Spencer Rattler.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 20FG
5 plays · -2 yds · 2:0491% → 95%
Q4 9:43
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+3
90.7%
Amari Daniels run for 3 yds to the SC 30Similar
Q4 9:30
2ND & 7
OPP 30
-10
90.6%
Daniels, Amari rush for 3 yards to the SOCAROLINA27, PENALTY TEXASAM holding 10 yards to the SOCAROLINA40, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 8:31
2ND & 17
OPP 40
0
91.6%
Max Johnson pass incomplete to Evan StewartSimilar
Q4 8:18
3RD & 17
OPP 40
+5
91.4%
Max Johnson pass complete to Rueben Owens for 5 yds to the SC 35Similar
Q4 7:39
4TH & 12
OPP 35
+52
95.3%
Randy Bond 52 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 21DOWNS
7 plays · 29 yds · 2:006% → 6%
Q4 7:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
94.0%
Mario Anderson run for 5 yds to the SC 30Similar
Q4 7:04
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+19
93.2%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Xavier Legette for 19 yds to the SC 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:32
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+6
93.1%
Mario Anderson run for 6 yds to the TA&M 45Similar
Q4 6:10
2ND & 4
OPP 45
-1
93.4%
Mario Anderson run for a loss of 1 yard to the TA&M 46Similar
Q4 5:37
3RD & 5
OPP 46
0
93.8%
Spencer Rattler pass incomplete to Tyshawn RussellSimilar
Q4 5:32
4TH & 5
OPP 46
0
94.1%
Spencer Rattler pass incomplete to O'Mega BlakeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 22MISSED FG
8 plays · 36 yds · 2:2097% → 98%
Q4 5:24
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
96.5%
Rueben Owens run for no gain to the TA&M 46Similar
Q4 5:23
2ND & 10
OWN 46
-2
96.4%
Max Johnson run for a loss of 2 yards to the TA&M 44Similar
Q4 5:13
3RD & 12
OWN 44
+33
96.8%
Max Johnson pass complete to Ainias Smith for 33 yds to the SC 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:31
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-1
97.5%
Rueben Owens run for a loss of 1 yard to the SC 24Similar
Q4 3:50
2ND & 11
OPP 24
-2
97.5%
Rueben Owens run for a loss of 2 yards to the SC 26Similar
Q4 3:30
3RD & 13
OPP 26
+8
97.8%
Max Johnson pass complete to Ainias Smith for 8 yds to the SC 18Similar
Q4 3:04
4TH & 5
OPP 18
+35
97.8%
Randy Bond 35 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 23FUMBLE
3 plays · 2 yds · 0:123% → 2%
Q4 2:57
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
97.5%
Spencer Rattler pass incomplete to Mario AndersonSimilar
Q4 2:51
2ND & 10
OWN 20
0
97.6%
Spencer Rattler pass incomplete to Mario AndersonSimilar
Q4 2:45
3RD & 10
OWN 20
+2
97.7%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Dakereon Joyner for 2 yds Dakereon Joyner fumbled, forced by Edgerrin Cooper, recovered by TA&M McKinnley Jackson.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 24END OF GAME
6 plays · 12 yds · 1:5498% → 99%
Q4 2:15
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+2
98.1%
Amari Daniels run for 2 yds to the SC 20Similar
Q4 1:53
2ND & 8
OPP 20
+2
98.4%
Amari Daniels run for 2 yds to the SC 18Similar
Q4 1:00
3RD & 6
OPP 18
+3
98.6%
Amari Daniels run for 3 yds to the SC 15Similar
Q4 0:21
4TH & 3
OPP 15
+5
98.6%
Amari Daniels run for 5 yds to the SC 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 14:56
Joshua Simon 2 Yd pass from Spencer Rattler (Mitch Jeter Kick)
-13.7
TD · Q2 1:44
Amari Daniels 1 Yd Run (Randy Bond Kick)
+6.5
TD · Q2 0:52
Ainias Smith 42 Yd pass from Max Johnson (Randy Bond Kick)
+5.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com