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IU

Indiana 24 at Penn State 33

PSU
2023 · Week 9 · Oct 28, 2023 · Beaver Stadium
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Win probability · PSU
modelPSU aheadIU aheadconfidence bandkey playPSU scoreIU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGTDTDFGTDSAFETYEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:00 · [NHSG] Kneel down by ALLAR, Drew at IND30 (team loss of 7), clock 00:00.
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+48.0+24.00−24.0−48.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 2:09: Nicholas Singleton run for 2 yds for a TD (Alex Felkins KICK) — PSU win probability +5.6 pts (now 91%) (top driver: PSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 8:39: Drew Allar pass complete to Theo Johnson for 16 yds for a TD (Alex Felkins KICK) — PSU win probability +2.6 pts (now 94%) (top driver: PSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 10:54: Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Omar Cooper Jr. for 26 yds for a TD (Chris Freeman KICK) — IU win probability +16.4 pts (now 27%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  4. FG · Q4 2:58: Chris Freeman 35 yd FG GOOD — IU win probability +15.6 pts (now 47%) (top driver: IU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 1:46: Drew Allar pass complete to KeAndre Lambert-Smith for 57 yds for a TD (Alex Felkins KICK) — PSU win probability +32.8 pts (now 95%) (top driver: PSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
PSU made the numbers' call on 6 of 9IU made the numbers' call on 7 of 8
  1. Q1 14:12IU 4th & 5 at IU 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.3%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.3%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:34PSU 4th & 2 at PSU 46, tied
    Close callPunted · 96.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.0%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:59IU 4th & 10 at IU 8, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.1%−0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.2%
    average punt
  4. Q1 7:49PSU 4th & 2 at PSU 39, tied
    Close callPunted · 95.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.4%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q1 5:58PSU 4th & 14 at PSU 21, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.1%−0.2
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.3%
    average punt
  6. Q1 1:37PSU 4th & 2 at IU 9, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 92.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    92.7%
    54% to convert
    Field goal
    92.5%−0.2
    89% to make
    Punt
    91.4%−1.3
    average punt
  7. Q1 0:04IU 4th & 3 at IU 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.6%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.7%
    average punt
  8. Q2 13:35PSU 4th & 15 at PSU 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 92.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.5%−0.3
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.8%
    average punt
  9. Q2 10:16PSU 4th & 11 at IU 34, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 88.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.6%−0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    88.7%
    47% to make
    Punt
    88.5%−0.2
    average punt
  10. Q2 7:06IU 4th & 3 at PSU 43, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 14.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    15.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    14.2%−1.0
    28% to make
    Punt
    14.5%−0.7
    average punt
  11. Q2 0:00PSU 4th & 18 at IU 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 86.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.8%−1.0
    13% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    85.8%
    51% to make
    Punt
    85.5%−0.3
    average punt
  12. Q3 8:39IU 4th & 3 at PSU 37, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 8.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    8.6%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    7.7%−1.0
    40% to make
    Punt
    7.6%−1.1
    average punt
  13. Q3 2:09IU 4th & 13 at PSU 19, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 8.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.5%−1.3
    19% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    8.8%
    77% to make
    Punt
    4.5%−4.3
    average punt
  14. Q3 1:14PSU 4th & 9 at PSU 21, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 90.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.4%−1.0
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.4%
    average punt
  15. Q4 7:46PSU 4th & 2 at PSU 46, up 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.3 ptsPunted · 79.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    78.3%−2.3
    average punt
  16. Q4 5:53IU 4th & 1 at IU 29, down 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 3.4 ptsPunted · 23.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.0%−3.4
    average punt
  17. Q4 2:58IU 4th & 6 at PSU 17, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 28.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.9%−9.5
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    32.4%
    80% to make
    Punt
    12.4%−20.0
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
PSU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4IU made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q1 7:37IU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    5.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    5.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 1:37PSU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 13:26IU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    8.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    8.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 2:09PSU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 8:39PSU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 10:54IU Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    20.7%−0.3
    97% to make
    Go for two
    21.0%
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 1:46PSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.4%−1.6
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
IUDrive 1PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:482% → 3%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
97.6%
Brendan Sorsby pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
97.6%
Josh Henderson run for 5 yds to the IU 30Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
97.6%
Brendan Sorsby pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:12
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
97.5%
James Evans punt for 53 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 2PUNT
8 plays · 19 yds · 3:3898% → 97%
Q1 14:12
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+5
97.5%
Nicholas Singleton run for 5 yds to the PSU 32Similar
Q1 14:12
2ND & 5
OWN 32
+1
97.5%
Nicholas Singleton run for 1 yd to the PSU 33Similar
Q1 14:12
3RD & 4
OWN 33
+5
97.5%
Drew Allar pass complete to Theo Johnson for 5 yds to the PSU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:12
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
97.5%
Drew Allar pass complete to Nicholas Singleton for 4 yds to the PSU 42Similar
Q1 14:12
2ND & 6
OWN 42
+4
97.5%
Drew Allar pass complete to Nicholas Singleton for 4 yds to the PSU 46Similar
Q1 14:12
3RD & 2
OWN 46
0
97.5%
Nicholas Singleton run for no gain to the PSU 46Similar
Q1 10:34
4TH & 2
OWN 46
0
97.0%
Riley Thompson punt for 46 ydsSimilar
Q1 10:34
1ST & 10
OWN 8
0
97.0%
Indiana Penalty, False Start (Aaron Casey) to the IU 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 1:353% → 3%
Q1 10:34
1ST & 14
OWN 4
+2
97.0%
Josh Henderson run for 2 yds to the IU 6Similar
Q1 10:34
2ND & 12
OWN 6
+3
97.0%
Brendan Sorsby pass complete to DeQuece Carter for 3 yds to the IU 9Similar
Q1 10:34
3RD & 9
OWN 9
+4
97.0%
Brendan Sorsby run for 4 yds to the IU 13Similar
Q1 10:34
4TH & 5
OWN 13
-5
97.0%
Indiana Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the IU 8Similar
Q1 8:59
4TH & 10
OWN 8
0
96.8%
James Evans punt for 64 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:1097% → 97%
Q1 8:59
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+4
96.7%
Nicholas Singleton run for 4 yds to the PSU 35 Nicholas Singleton fumbled, recovered by PSU Harrison Wallace III [SG] SINGLETON, Nicholas rush to the left for a gain of 4 yards, SINGLETON, Nicholas fumbled at PSU35 forced by MOORE, Louis, recovered by PSU WALLACE III, Harrison at the PSU35, returned 0 yards to the PSU35, End of Play.Similar
Q1 8:59
2ND & 6
OWN 35
+4
96.7%
Nicholas Singleton run for 4 yds to the PSU 39Similar
Q1 8:59
3RD & 2
OWN 39
0
96.8%
Drew Allar pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:49
4TH & 2
OWN 39
0
96.5%
Riley Thompson punt for 51 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 5TD
1 play · 90 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q1 7:37
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+90
96.0%
Brendan Sorsby pass complete to DeQuece Carter for 90 yds for a TD (Chris Freeman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · -4 yds · 1:3996% → 96%
Q1 7:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
96.0%
Drew Allar pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:37
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
96.0%
Kaytron Allen run for 2 yds to the PSU 27Similar
Q1 7:37
3RD & 8
OWN 27
-6
96.0%
Drew Allar sacked by Lanell Carr Jr. for a loss of 6 yards to the PSU 21Similar
Q1 5:58
4TH & 14
OWN 21
0
95.5%
Riley Thompson punt for 50 yds , returns for no gain to the IU 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 7TD
8 plays · 32 yds · 4:2196% → 95%
Q1 5:58
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-1
95.8%
Kaytron Allen run for a loss of 1 yard to the IU 33Similar
Q1 5:58
2ND & 11
OPP 33
+10
95.8%
Drew Allar run for 10 yds to the IU 23Similar
Q1 5:58
3RD & 1
OPP 23
0
95.7%
Drew Allar run for no gain to the IU 23Similar
Q1 5:58
4TH & 1
OPP 23
+6
95.7%
QB Keeper ALLAR, Drew rush up the middle for a gain of 5 yards to the IND18 (CARTER, Andre). PENALTY IND Offsides on BLIDI, Philip enforced 6 yards from the IND23 to the IND17 and results in a 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 5:58
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+1
95.8%
Kaytron Allen run for 1 yd to the IU 16Similar
Q1 5:58
2ND & 9
OPP 16
+5
95.8%
Drew Allar pass complete to Dante Cephas for 5 yds to the IU 11Similar
Q1 5:58
3RD & 4
OPP 11
+2
95.7%
Drew Allar pass complete to Kaytron Allen for 2 yds to the IU 9Similar
Q1 1:37
4TH & 2
OPP 9
+9
95.2%
Drew Allar pass complete to Khalil Dinkins for 9 yds for a TD (Alex Felkins KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:335% → 5%
Q1 1:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
95.0%
Trent Howland run for 4 yds to the IU 29Similar
Q1 1:37
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+3
94.9%
Brendan Sorsby run for 3 yds to the IU 32Similar
Q1 1:37
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
95.0%
Brendan Sorsby pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:04
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
94.7%
James Evans punt for 54 yds , Daequan Hardy returns for no gain Penn State Penalty, Illegal Block (Khalil Dinkins) to the PSU 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 16 yds · 1:2595% → 94%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+21
94.7%
Drew Allar pass complete to Tyler Warren for 21 yds to the PSU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
94.8%
Drew Allar pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 31
-3
94.7%
Drew Allar pass complete to Nicholas Singleton for a loss of 3 yards to the PSU 28Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 13
OWN 28
-2
94.5%
Drew Allar pass complete to Nicholas Singleton for a loss of 2 yards to the PSU 26Similar
Q2 13:35
4TH & 15
OWN 26
0
94.0%
Riley Thompson punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Jaylin Lucas at the IU 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 10TD
1 play · 69 yds · 0:008% → 8%
Q2 13:26
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+69
92.2%
Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Donaven McCulley for 69 yds for a TD (Chris Freeman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 11MISSED FG
9 plays · 16 yds · 3:0293% → 91%
Q2 13:18
1ST & 10
50
0
92.9%
Kaytron Allen run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 13:18
2ND & 10
50
+1
92.8%
Kaytron Allen run for 1 yd to the IU 49Similar
Q2 11:31
3RD & 9
OPP 49
+16
91.9%
Drew Allar pass complete to KeAndre Lambert-Smith for 16 yds to the IU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:31
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+9
92.6%
Kaytron Allen run for 9 yds to the IU 24Similar
Q2 11:31
2ND & 1
OPP 24
-10
92.6%
ALLAR, Drew scrambles to the right for no gain to the IND24 (MANGUM-FARRAR, Jacob), out of bounds. PENALTY PSU Holding on NELSON, JB enforced 10 yards from the IND24 to the IND34 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 11:31
2ND & 11
OPP 34
0
92.5%
Drew Allar pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:31
3RD & 11
OPP 34
0
92.1%
Drew Allar pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:16
4TH & 11
OPP 34
+51
91.0%
Alex Felkins 51 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 12DOWNS
6 plays · 25 yds · 3:109% → 12%
Q2 10:16
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+5
90.6%
Josh Henderson run for 5 yds to the IU 39Similar
Q2 10:16
2ND & 5
OWN 39
+11
90.3%
Brendan Sorsby pass complete to DeQuece Carter for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:16
1ST & 10
50
+1
90.2%
Josh Henderson run for 1 yd to the PSU 49Similar
Q2 10:16
2ND & 9
OPP 49
-5
90.2%
Jaylin Lucas run for a loss of 5 yards to the IU 46Similar
Q2 10:16
3RD & 14
OWN 46
+11
90.7%
Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Omar Cooper Jr. for 11 yds to the PSU 43Similar
Q2 7:06
4TH & 3
OPP 43
+2
87.6%
Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Trent Howland for 2 yds to the PSU 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 13TD
12 plays · 59 yds · 4:5789% → 91%
Q2 7:06
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
89.0%
Nicholas Singleton run for 5 yds to the PSU 46Similar
Q2 7:06
2ND & 5
OWN 46
+5
89.2%
Nicholas Singleton run for 5 yds to the IU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:06
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+5
89.3%
Nicholas Singleton run for 5 yds to the IU 44Similar
Q2 7:06
2ND & 5
OPP 44
-15
89.4%
ALLAR, Drew pass to the left incomplete intended for JOHNSON, Theo thrown to the IND35. PENALTY PSU Pass Interference on JOHNSON, Theo enforced 15 yards to the PSU41 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 7:06
2ND & 20
OWN 41
+28
88.5%
Drew Allar pass complete to Nicholas Singleton for 28 yds to the IU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:06
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+4
89.9%
Nicholas Singleton run for 4 yds to the IU 27Similar
Q2 7:06
2ND & 6
OPP 27
+3
89.9%
Kaytron Allen run for 3 yds to the IU 24Similar
Q2 7:06
3RD & 3
OPP 24
0
89.4%
ALLAR, Drew pass deep to the right incomplete intended for WARREN, Tyler thrown to the IND5. PENALTY IND Pass Interference on MOORE, Louis enforced half the distance from the goal, 15 yards to the IND9 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 7:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+4
89.9%
Nicholas Singleton run for 4 yds to the IU 5Similar
Q2 7:06
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
89.9%
Drew Allar pass complete to KeAndre Lambert-Smith for 3 yds to the IU 2Similar
Q2 2:09
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
91.2%
Nicholas Singleton run for 2 yds for a TD (Alex Felkins KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 14INT
4 plays · 30 yds · 1:0811% → 14%
Q2 2:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
88.9%
Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Bradley Archer for 10 yds to the IU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:09
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+15
88.6%
Penn State Penalty, Personal Foul (Kalen King) to the PSU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:09
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+3
87.4%
Brendan Sorsby run for 3 yds to the PSU 45Similar
Q2 1:01
2ND & 7
OPP 45
0
86.3%
Brendan Sorsby pass intercepted by Jaylen, Reed at the PSU40 intended for Josh Henderson. Reed return for 17 yards to the IND43 (Donaven, McCulley)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 15FG
9 plays · 11 yds · 1:0191% → 90%
Q2 1:01
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+4
90.6%
Drew Allar pass complete to KeAndre Lambert-Smith for 4 yds to the IU 39Similar
Q2 0:43
2ND & 6
OPP 39
+5
90.6%
Kaytron Allen run for 5 yds to the IU 34Similar
Q2 0:43
3RD & 1
OPP 34
+10
90.5%
Drew Allar pass complete to KeAndre Lambert-Smith for 10 yds to the IU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:43
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+6
91.0%
Drew Allar run for 6 yds to the IU 18Similar
Q2 0:22
2ND & 4
OPP 18
0
90.8%
Drew Allar pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:22
3RD & 4
OPP 18
0
90.3%
Penn State Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Drew Allar) to the IU 32Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 18
OPP 32
+50
89.8%
Alex Felkins 50 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 16TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 6:2190% → 94%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
89.9%
Kaytron Allen run for 8 yds to the PSU 33Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+8
90.5%
Kaytron Allen run for 8 yds to the PSU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+6
90.6%
Drew Allar pass complete to KeAndre Lambert-Smith for 6 yds to the PSU 47Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 47
0
90.8%
Drew Allar pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 47
+12
90.5%
Kaytron Allen run for 12 yds to the IU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+5
91.0%
Kaytron Allen run for 5 yds to the IU 36Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 36
+4
91.0%
Drew Allar pass complete to Tyler Warren for 4 yds to the IU 32Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 32
+2
90.8%
Drew Allar run for 2 yds to the IU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+2
91.2%
Kaytron Allen run for 2 yds to the IU 28Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 28
+10
91.2%
Drew Allar run for 10 yds to the IU 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+2
91.2%
Kaytron Allen run for 2 yds to the IU 16Similar
Q3 8:39
2ND & 8
OPP 16
+16
93.8%
Drew Allar pass complete to Theo Johnson for 16 yds for a TD (Alex Felkins KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 17MISSED FG
14 plays · 56 yds · 6:307% → 8%
Q3 8:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
92.9%
Trent Howland run for 7 yds to the IU 32Similar
Q3 8:39
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+8
92.4%
Trent Howland run for 8 yds to the IU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:39
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
92.4%
Trent Howland run for 4 yds to the IU 44Similar
Q3 8:39
2ND & 6
OWN 44
+12
92.2%
Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Donaven McCulley for 12 yds to the PSU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:39
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+5
92.0%
Brendan Sorsby run for 5 yds to the PSU 39Similar
Q3 8:39
2ND & 5
OPP 39
+2
91.8%
Trent Howland run for 2 yds to the PSU 37Similar
Q3 8:39
3RD & 3
OPP 37
0
91.9%
Brendan Sorsby pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:39
4TH & 3
OPP 37
+4
92.6%
Brendan Sorsby run for 4 yds to the PSU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:39
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+2
91.5%
Trent Howland run for 2 yds to the PSU 31Similar
Q3 8:39
2ND & 8
OPP 31
+15
91.5%
Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Omar Cooper Jr. for 15 yds to the PSU 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:39
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+1
91.4%
Trent Howland run for 1 yd to the PSU 15Similar
Q3 8:39
2ND & 9
OPP 15
+5
91.4%
Brendan Sorsby run for 5 yds to the PSU 10Similar
Q3 8:39
3RD & 4
OPP 10
-9
91.9%
Brendan Sorsby sacked by Daequan Hardy for a loss of 9 yards to the PSU 19Similar
Q3 2:09
4TH & 13
OPP 19
+37
91.9%
Chris Freeman 37 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:5593% → 92%
Q3 2:09
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
92.5%
Nicholas Singleton run for 1 yd to the PSU 21Similar
Q3 2:09
2ND & 9
OWN 21
0
92.5%
Drew Allar pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:09
3RD & 9
OWN 21
0
92.0%
Drew Allar pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:14
4TH & 9
OWN 21
0
91.5%
Riley Thompson punt for 50 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 19TD
13 plays · 80 yds · 5:208% → 27%
Q3 1:14
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
91.8%
Josh Henderson run for 3 yds to the IU 23Similar
Q3 1:14
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+1
91.8%
Brendan Sorsby run for 1 yd to the IU 24Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 6
OWN 24
+9
92.9%
Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Donaven McCulley for 9 yds to the IU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-5
91.9%
Indiana Penalty, False Start (Carter Smith) to the IU 28Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 15
OWN 28
-3
92.4%
Brendan Sorsby sacked by Johnny Dixon for a loss of 3 yards to the IU 25Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 18
OWN 25
+15
92.6%
Josh Henderson run for 15 yds to the IU 40Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 40
+5
91.5%
Brendan Sorsby pass complete to E.J. Williams for 5 yds to the IU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+4
91.2%
Josh Henderson run for 4 yds to the IU 49Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 49
0
90.8%
Brendan Sorsby pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 49
+11
91.1%
Josh Henderson run for 11 yds to the PSU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+7
90.7%
Josh Henderson run for 7 yds to the PSU 33Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 33
+7
89.9%
Brendan Sorsby run for 7 yds to the PSU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:54
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+26
73.5%
Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Omar Cooper Jr. for 26 yds for a TD (Chris Freeman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 20PUNT
6 plays · 21 yds · 3:0882% → 80%
Q4 10:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
82.1%
Kaytron Allen run for 5 yds to the PSU 30Similar
Q4 10:54
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+8
82.6%
Kaytron Allen run for 8 yds to the PSU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:54
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+1
83.3%
Kaytron Allen run for 1 yd to the PSU 39Similar
Q4 10:54
2ND & 9
OWN 39
-3
83.2%
Drew Allar sacked by Nic Toomer for a loss of 3 yards to the PSU 36Similar
Q4 10:54
3RD & 12
OWN 36
+10
81.1%
Drew Allar pass complete to Dante Cephas for 10 yds to the PSU 46Similar
Q4 7:46
4TH & 2
OWN 46
0
80.1%
Riley Thompson punt for 54 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:5324% → 23%
Q4 7:46
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
76.4%
Trent Howland run for 3 yds to the IU 23Similar
Q4 7:46
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+6
76.4%
Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Donaven McCulley for 6 yds to the IU 29Similar
Q4 7:46
3RD & 1
OWN 29
0
76.2%
Trent Howland run for no gain to the IU 29 Trent Howland fumbled, recovered by IU Zach Carpenter [NHSG] HOWLAND, Trent rush up the middle for no gain, HOWLAND, Trent fumbled at IND29 forced by IZZARD, Coziah, recovered by IND CARPENTER, Zach at the IND29, returned 0 yards to the IND29, End of Play.Similar
Q4 5:53
4TH & 1
OWN 29
0
76.6%
Alejandro Quintero punt for 59 yds, fair catch by Daequan Hardy at the PSU 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 22INT
3 plays · 2 yds · 0:5179% → 77%
Q4 5:53
1ST & 10
OWN 12
0
79.2%
Drew Allar pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:53
2ND & 10
OWN 12
+2
78.9%
Nicholas Singleton run for 2 yds to the PSU 14Similar
Q4 5:02
3RD & 8
OWN 14
0
76.8%
Drew Allar pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 23FG
4 plays · 4 yds · 2:0434% → 47%
Q4 5:02
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+1
66.1%
Josh Henderson run for 1 yd to the PSU 20Similar
Q4 5:02
2ND & 9
OPP 20
+1
66.1%
Josh Henderson run for 1 yd to the PSU 19Similar
Q4 5:02
3RD & 8
OPP 19
+2
68.9%
Josh Henderson run for 2 yds to the PSU 17Similar
Q4 2:58
4TH & 6
OPP 17
+35
53.3%
Chris Freeman 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 24TD
3 plays · 78 yds · 1:1062% → 95%
Q4 2:56
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+11
61.7%
Drew Allar pass complete to Kaytron Allen for 11 yds to the PSU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:56
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+10
62.6%
Kaytron Allen run for 10 yds to the PSU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:46
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+57
95.4%
Drew Allar pass complete to KeAndre Lambert-Smith for 57 yds for a TD (Alex Felkins KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 25SF
2 plays · -25 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q4 1:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-25
94.3%
Brendan Sorsby sacked for a loss of 25 yards for a SAFETYSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 26END OF GAME
6 plays · 4 yds · 1:2697% → 97%
Q4 1:26
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+1
96.9%
Nicholas Singleton run for 1 yd to the IU 33Similar
Q4 1:20
2ND & 9
OPP 33
+3
97.0%
Beau Pribula run for 3 yds to the IU 30Similar
Q4 1:20
3RD & 6
OPP 30
+7
96.9%
Nicholas Singleton run for 7 yds to the IU 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
97.0%
[NHSG] Kneel down by ALLAR, Drew at IND30 (team loss of 7), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 1:46
Drew Allar pass complete to KeAndre Lambert-Smith for 57 yds for a TD (Alex Felkins KICK)
+32.8
TD · Q4 10:54
Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Omar Cooper Jr. for 26 yds for a TD (Chris Freeman KICK)
-16.4
FG · Q4 2:58
Chris Freeman 35 yd FG GOOD
-15.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com