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PUR

Purdue 14 at Nebraska 31

NEB
2023 · Week 9 · Oct 28, 2023 · Memorial Stadium (Lincoln, NE)
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Win probability · NEB
modelNEB aheadPUR aheadconfidence bandkey playNEB scorePUR score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 13:38 · Jack Ansell punt for 54 yds
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remainingPregame prior
+33.5+16.80−16.8−33.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 80Home team on offense+11.7Score differential+4.3Garbage-time factor+1.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+3.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.5Pregame prior+0.9
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 10:43: Heinrich Haarberg pass complete to Thomas Fidone II for 1 yd for a TD (Tristan Alvano KICK) — NEB win probability +6.7 pts (now 64%) (top driver: NEB has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 8:54: Heinrich Haarberg pass complete to Jaylen Lloyd for 73 yds for a TD (Tristan Alvano KICK) — NEB win probability +10.8 pts (now 73%) (top driver: NEB has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 12:02: Quinton Newsome 68 Yd Return of Blocked Field Goal (Tristan Alvano Kick) — NEB win probability +15.0 pts (now 92%) (top driver: PUR has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 6:24: Kydran Jenkins 55 Yd Fumble Return (Hudson Card Pass to Andrew Sowinski for Two-Point Conversion) — PUR win probability +6.4 pts (now 8%) (top driver: NEB has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 3:54: Emmett Johnson run for 28 yds for a TD Purdue Penalty, UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Derrick Rogers Jr.) to the PUR 0 (Tristan Alvano KICK) — NEB win probability +4.3 pts (now 99%) (top driver: NEB has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
NEB made the numbers' call on 6 of 7PUR made the numbers' call on 6 of 11
  1. Q1 12:06PUR 4th & 11 at NEB 33, tied
    Close callWent for it · 47.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    47.9%−<0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    47.9%
    49% to make
    Punt
    47.9%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:04NEB 4th & 23 at NEB 20, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 51.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.7%−0.3
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.0%
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:52NEB 4th & 5 at PUR 49, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 52.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.8%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.8%
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:35PUR 4th & 7 at PUR 44, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.0%−0.2
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.2%
    average punt
  5. Q2 6:48PUR 4th & 10 at PUR 36, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.2%−1.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.3%
    average punt
  6. Q2 3:36NEB 4th & 15 at NEB 41, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 73.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.4%−2.5
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.9%
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:46PUR 4th & 4 at NEB 46, down 14
    Close callPunted · 24.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    23.7%−0.7
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    23.9%−0.5
    average punt
  8. Q3 13:38PUR 4th & 4 at PUR 34, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.3%−0.2
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.5%
    average punt
  9. Q3 12:02PUR 4th & 17 at NEB 20, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 19.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.0%−2.4
    13% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    19.3%
    75% to make
    Punt
    13.1%−6.3
    average punt
  10. Q3 10:06PUR 4th & 2 at PUR 33, down 21
    Close callPunted · 7.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  11. Q3 8:18NEB 4th & 9 at NEB 19, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 92.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.7%−0.4
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.1%
    average punt
  12. Q3 6:51PUR 4th & 12 at PUR 35, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.3%−1.1
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.3%
    average punt
  13. Q3 3:02NEB 4th & 14 at NEB 42, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.5%−1.0
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.5%
    average punt
  14. Q4 14:55PUR 4th & 1 at midfield, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.5%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    1.4%−1.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 12:23NEB 4th & 8 at PUR 36, up 21
    Close callKicked a field goal · 98.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.2%
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.1%−0.1
    42% to make
    Punt
    98.0%−0.2
    average punt
  16. Q4 10:46PUR 4th & 2 at PUR 20, down 24
    Close callPunted · 1.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.3%−0.1
    average punt
  17. Q4 6:24NEB 4th & 1 at PUR 42, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 97.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    97.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    96.8%−1.0
    30% to make
    Punt
    96.9%−0.9
    average punt
  18. Q4 1:51PUR 4th & 12 at PUR 23, down 17
    Close callWent for it · 1.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.4%−0.1
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    1.5%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
NEB made the numbers' call on 4 of 4PUR made the numbers' call on 0 of 2
  1. Q2 10:43NEB Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    59.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    59.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 8:54NEB Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 12:02NEB Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 9:09PUR Touchdown, down 18 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    3.6%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    3.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 6:24PUR Touchdown, down 12 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    7.2%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    7.0%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 3:54NEB Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.4%−0.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
PURDrive 1DOWNS
7 plays · -1 yds · 2:4548% → 48%
Q1 14:51
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+5
51.9%
Hudson Card run for 5 yds to the NEB 37 Hudson Card fumbled, recovered by PUR Hudson Card No Huddle-Shotgun Card,Hudson rush middle for 5 yards loss to the NEB37 fumbled by Card,Hudson at NEB37 recovered by PUR Card,Hudson at NEB37 (Reimer,Luke).Similar
Q1 14:51
2ND & 15
OPP 37
-10
51.9%
Purdue Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the NEB 40Similar
Q1 14:51
2ND & 18
OPP 40
-5
51.9%
PENALTY PUR Delay Of Game (Card,Hudson) 5 yards from NEB40 to NEB45. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 14:51
2ND & 23
OPP 45
+5
51.9%
Tyrone Tracy Jr. run for 5 yds to the NEB 40Similar
Q1 14:51
3RD & 18
OPP 40
+7
51.9%
Hudson Card run for 7 yds to the NEB 33Similar
Q1 12:06
4TH & 11
OPP 33
0
52.3%
Hudson Card pass incomplete to Deion BurksSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · -13 yds · 2:0252% → 52%
Q1 12:06
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-10
52.4%
Haarberg,Heinrich pass complete short right to Johnson,Emmett for 0 yards to the NEB33 PENALTY NEB Holding (Evans-Jenkins,Justin) 10 yards from NEB33 to NEB23. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 12:06
1ST & 20
OWN 23
+8
52.3%
Heinrich Haarberg run for 8 yds to the NEB 31Similar
Q1 12:06
2ND & 12
OWN 31
0
52.3%
Heinrich Haarberg pass incomplete to Jaidyn DossSimilar
Q1 12:06
3RD & 12
OWN 31
-11
52.1%
Heinrich Haarberg sacked by Kydran Jenkins for a loss of 11 yards to the NEB 20Similar
Q1 10:04
4TH & 23
OWN 20
0
52.2%
Brian Buschini punt for 43 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the PUR 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 3FUMBLE
2 plays · 17 yds · 0:3048% → 48%
Q1 10:04
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
52.3%
Hudson Card pass complete to Garrett Miller for 1 yd to the PUR 38Similar
Q1 9:34
2ND & 9
OWN 38
+16
52.4%
Devin Mockobee run for 16 yds to the NEB 46 Devin Mockobee fumbled, recovered by NEB Quinton Newsome No Huddle-Shotgun Mockobee,Devin rush right for 16 yards gain to the NEB46 fumbled by Mockobee,Devin at NEB46 forced by Butler,Jimari recovered by NEB Newsome,Quinton at NEB46, End Of Play.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:4253% → 53%
Q1 9:34
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
53.2%
Joshua Fleeks run for 5 yds to the PUR 49Similar
Q1 9:34
2ND & 5
OPP 49
+3
53.4%
Anthony Grant run for 3 yds to the NEB 48Similar
Q1 9:34
3RD & 8
OWN 48
+3
52.9%
Heinrich Haarberg run for 3 yds to the PUR 49Similar
Q1 7:52
4TH & 5
OPP 49
0
52.9%
Brian Buschini punt for 32 yds, fair catch by TJ Sheffield at the PUR 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 5PUNT
9 plays · 27 yds · 3:1747% → 47%
Q1 7:52
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+6
52.7%
Tyrone Tracy Jr. run for 6 yds to the PUR 23Similar
Q1 7:52
2ND & 4
OWN 23
+6
52.5%
Hudson Card pass complete to Jayden Dixon-Veal for 6 yds to the PUR 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:52
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+5
52.6%
Hudson Card run for 5 yds to the PUR 34Similar
Q1 7:52
2ND & 5
OWN 34
+2
52.3%
Tyrone Tracy Jr. run for 2 yds to the PUR 36Similar
Q1 7:52
3RD & 3
OWN 36
+5
52.5%
Hudson Card pass complete to Jayden Dixon-Veal for 5 yds to the PUR 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:52
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
52.2%
Dylan Downing run for 3 yds to the PUR 44Similar
Q1 7:52
2ND & 7
OWN 44
0
52.0%
Hudson Card pass incomplete to Deion BurksSimilar
Q1 7:52
3RD & 7
OWN 44
0
52.3%
Hudson Card pass incomplete to George BurhennSimilar
Q1 4:35
4TH & 7
OWN 44
0
53.2%
Jack Ansell punt for 42 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 6TD
16 plays · 87 yds · 8:5253% → 64%
Q1 4:35
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+5
53.0%
Emmett Johnson run for 5 yds to the NEB 18Similar
Q1 4:35
2ND & 5
OWN 18
+2
53.0%
Emmett Johnson run for 2 yds to the NEB 20Similar
Q1 4:35
3RD & 3
OWN 20
+23
52.6%
Heinrich Haarberg pass complete to Joshua Fleeks for 23 yds to the NEB 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:35
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+2
54.0%
Joshua Fleeks run for 2 yds to the NEB 41Similar
Q1 4:35
2ND & 12
OWN 41
+3
53.4%
Heinrich Haarberg run for 3 yds to the NEB 44Similar
Q1 4:35
3RD & 9
OWN 44
+16
53.3%
Heinrich Haarberg pass complete to Jaidyn Doss for 16 yds to the PUR 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+16
55.6%
Joshua Fleeks run for 16 yds to the PUR 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+6
56.0%
Emmett Johnson run for 6 yds to the PUR 18Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 18
+1
56.0%
Heinrich Haarberg run for 1 yd to the PUR 19Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 19
+8
55.4%
Heinrich Haarberg pass complete to Ty Hahn for 8 yds to the PUR 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
56.0%
Heinrich Haarberg pass incomplete to Jaylen LloydSimilar
Q2 12:56
2ND & 10
OPP 11
+4
57.4%
Emmett Johnson run for 4 yds to the PUR 7Similar
Q2 12:56
3RD & 6
OPP 7
+6
56.7%
Heinrich Haarberg run for 6 yds to the PUR 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
57.4%
Heinrich Haarberg run for no gain to the PUR 1Similar
Q2 10:43
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
64.2%
Heinrich Haarberg pass complete to Thomas Fidone II for 1 yd for a TD (Tristan Alvano KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 7INT
5 plays · 15 yds · 1:3838% → 38%
Q2 10:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
61.8%
Hudson Card pass incomplete to TJ SheffieldSimilar
Q2 10:43
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+6
61.9%
Hudson Card pass complete to Garrett Miller for 6 yds to the PUR 31Similar
Q2 10:43
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+9
61.8%
Hudson Card pass complete to Deion Burks for 9 yds to the PUR 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:05
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
61.8%
Hudson Card pass intercepted by Tommi Hill at NEB 21, Tommi Hill return 6 yds to NEB 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 8TD
1 play · 73 yds · 0:0073% → 73%
Q2 8:54
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+73
72.6%
Heinrich Haarberg pass complete to Jaylen Lloyd for 73 yds for a TD (Tristan Alvano KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 9PUNT
8 plays · 11 yds · 2:0629% → 27%
Q2 8:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
70.9%
Devin Mockobee run for 1 yd to the PUR 26Similar
Q2 8:54
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+4
70.9%
Devin Mockobee run for 4 yds to the PUR 30Similar
Q2 8:54
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+6
70.8%
Hudson Card pass complete to TJ Sheffield for 6 yds to the PUR 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:54
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
70.6%
Hudson Card pass incomplete to Garrett MillerSimilar
Q2 8:54
2ND & 10
OWN 36
0
70.8%
Hudson Card pass incomplete to TJ SheffieldSimilar
Q2 8:54
3RD & 10
OWN 36
0
71.1%
Hudson Card pass incomplete to Andrew SowinskiSimilar
Q2 6:48
4TH & 10
OWN 36
0
72.9%
Jack Ansell punt for 50 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 10PUNT
7 plays · 27 yds · 3:1273% → 75%
Q2 6:48
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+2
73.4%
Emmett Johnson run for 2 yds to the NEB 16Similar
Q2 6:48
2ND & 8
OWN 16
+15
73.4%
Heinrich Haarberg run for 15 yds to the NEB 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:48
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+15
73.6%
Shotgun Haarberg,Heinrich pass incomplete deep left to Bullock,Alex PENALTY PUR Pass Interference (Brown,Markevious) 15 yards from NEB31 to NEB46, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:48
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+1
74.4%
Jaylen Lloyd run for 1 yd to the NEB 47Similar
Q2 6:48
2ND & 9
OWN 47
+6
74.3%
Heinrich Haarberg run for 6 yds to the NEB 41Similar
Q2 6:48
3RD & 15
OWN 41
0
73.4%
Heinrich Haarberg pass incomplete to Alex BullockSimilar
Q2 3:36
4TH & 15
OWN 41
0
75.1%
Brian Buschini punt for 59 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 11PUNT
8 plays · 34 yds · 2:5025% → 23%
Q2 3:36
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+7
74.8%
Tyrone Tracy Jr. run for 7 yds to the PUR 27Similar
Q2 3:36
2ND & 3
OWN 27
+2
74.3%
Hudson Card pass complete to TJ Sheffield for 2 yds to the PUR 29Similar
Q2 3:36
3RD & 1
OWN 29
+19
74.5%
Hudson Card run for 4 yds to the PUR 33 for a 1ST down Nebraska Penalty, Personal Foul (Luke Reimer) to the PUR 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:36
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+5
73.8%
Tyrone Tracy Jr. run for 5 yds to the PUR 43Similar
Q2 3:36
2ND & 15
OWN 43
+2
74.9%
Hudson Card pass complete to Tyrone Tracy Jr. for 2 yds to the PUR 41Similar
Q2 3:36
3RD & 17
OWN 41
+13
75.2%
Hudson Card pass complete to TJ Sheffield for 13 yds to the NEB 46Similar
Q2 0:46
4TH & 4
OPP 46
+1
76.6%
Jack Ansell punt for 24 yds , Tommi Hill returns for 1 yd to the NEB 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 12END OF HALF
3 plays · 9 yds · 0:4679% → 81%
Q2 0:46
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+15
79.4%
Purdue Penalty, Targeting (15 Yards) to the NEB 31Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 2
OWN 31
+1
80.7%
Emmett Johnson run for 1 yd to the NEB 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:1522% → 21%
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+8
77.7%
Tyrone Tracy Jr. run for 8 yds to the PUR 36Similar
Q3 14:53
2ND & 2
OWN 36
+2
76.5%
Hudson Card pass complete to Jayden Dixon-Veal for 2 yds to the PUR 34Similar
Q3 14:53
3RD & 4
OWN 34
0
77.3%
Hudson Card pass incomplete to Garrett MillerSimilar
Q3 13:38
4TH & 4
OWN 34
0
79.0%
Jack Ansell punt for 54 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 14FUMBLE
1 play · 1 yds · 0:0080% → 80%
Q3 13:28
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+1
80.1%
Heinrich Haarberg run for 1 yd to the NEB 13 Heinrich Haarberg fumbled, recovered by PUR Cole Brevard at NEB13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 15MISSED FG TD
4 plays · -7 yds · 1:2625% → 9%
Q3 13:28
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+4
75.4%
Hudson Card run for 4 yds to the NEB 9Similar
Q3 13:28
2ND & 6
OPP 9
0
75.4%
Hudson Card pass incomplete to Garrett MillerSimilar
Q3 13:28
3RD & 6
OPP 9
-11
76.5%
Hudson Card sacked for a loss of 11 yards to the NEB 20Similar
Q3 12:02
4TH & 17
OPP 20
+68
91.5%
Quinton Newsome 68 Yd Return of Blocked Field Goal (Tristan Alvano Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:569% → 8%
Q3 12:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
91.3%
Devin Mockobee run for 6 yds to the PUR 31Similar
Q3 12:02
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+3
90.8%
Devin Mockobee run for 3 yds to the PUR 34Similar
Q3 12:02
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+1
90.8%
Bennett Meredith pass complete to Deion Burks for 1 yd to the PUR 33Similar
Q3 10:06
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
92.3%
Jack Ansell punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Alex Bullock at the NEB 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:4893% → 93%
Q3 10:06
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-9
93.2%
Nebraska Penalty, UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (-9 Yards) to the NEB 10Similar
Q3 10:06
2ND & 18
OWN 10
+1
93.1%
Heinrich Haarberg run for 1 yd to the NEB 11Similar
Q3 10:06
3RD & 17
OWN 11
+8
93.1%
Emmett Johnson run for 8 yds to the NEB 19Similar
Q3 8:18
4TH & 9
OWN 19
0
92.9%
Brian Buschini punt for 43 yds , TJ Sheffield returns for no gain to the PUR 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 1:277% → 6%
Q3 8:18
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+7
93.4%
Tyrone Tracy Jr. run for 7 yds to the PUR 44Similar
Q3 8:18
2ND & 3
OWN 44
-10
93.4%
No Huddle-Shotgun Tracy Jr.,Tyrone rush left for 2 yards gain to the PUR46 (Brown,Omar) PENALTY PUR Holding (Miller,Garrett) 10 yards from PUR44 to PUR34. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:18
2ND & 13
OWN 34
+1
93.8%
Hudson Card pass complete to Tyrone Tracy Jr. for 1 yd to the PUR 35Similar
Q3 8:18
3RD & 12
OWN 35
0
93.8%
Hudson Card pass incomplete to Jayden Dixon-VealSimilar
Q3 6:51
4TH & 12
OWN 35
0
94.3%
Jack Ansell punt for 65 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 19PUNT
8 plays · 22 yds · 3:4995% → 97%
Q3 6:51
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
94.5%
Anthony Grant run for 5 yds to the NEB 25Similar
Q3 6:51
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+6
94.6%
Anthony Grant run for 6 yds to the NEB 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:51
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+15
94.6%
Haarberg,Heinrich pass incomplete deep to Coleman,Malachi PENALTY PUR Pass Interference (Alisandro,Botros) 15 yards from NEB31 to NEB46, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 6:51
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
94.8%
Janiran Bonner run for 2 yds to the NEB 48Similar
Q3 6:51
2ND & 8
OWN 48
0
94.8%
Heinrich Haarberg run for no gain to the NEB 48Similar
Q3 3:55
3RD & 8
OWN 48
-6
95.6%
Heinrich Haarberg sacked for a loss of 6 yards to the NEB 42Similar
Q3 3:02
4TH & 14
OWN 42
0
96.6%
Brian Buschini punt for 51 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 20DOWNS
10 plays · 43 yds · 3:074% → 3%
Q3 3:02
1ST & 10
OWN 7
0
95.9%
Hudson Card pass incomplete to Deion BurksSimilar
Q3 3:02
2ND & 10
OWN 7
+6
96.0%
Hudson Card run for 6 yds to the PUR 13Similar
Q3 3:02
3RD & 4
OWN 13
+5
95.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun Card,Hudson pass incomplete deep left to Burks,Deion PENALTY NEB Offside (Borders,Chief) 5 yards from PUR13 to PUR18, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 3:02
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+12
95.8%
Devin Mockobee run for 12 yds to the PUR 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:02
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+11
95.5%
Hudson Card pass complete to Garrett Miller for 11 yds to the PUR 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:02
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
95.5%
Hudson Card run for 4 yds to the PUR 37Similar
Q3 3:02
2ND & 14
OWN 37
+7
95.8%
Hudson Card run for 7 yds to the PUR 44Similar
Q3 3:02
3RD & 7
OWN 44
+5
95.6%
No Huddle-Shotgun Downing,Dylan rush middle for 2 yards gain to the PUR46 (Reimer,Luke) PENALTY NEB Illegal Substitution 5 yards from PUR44 to PUR49. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 2
OWN 49
+1
97.4%
Tyrone Tracy Jr. run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 14:55
4TH & 1
50
0
97.4%
Devin Mockobee run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 21FG
8 plays · 14 yds · 2:3298% → 99%
Q4 14:55
1ST & 10
50
+8
98.3%
Heinrich Haarberg run for 8 yds to the PUR 42Similar
Q4 14:55
2ND & 2
OPP 42
+4
98.3%
Anthony Grant run for 4 yds to the PUR 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+2
98.3%
Heinrich Haarberg run for 2 yds to the PUR 36Similar
Q4 12:43
2ND & 8
OPP 36
0
99.1%
Heinrich Haarberg pass incomplete to Jaidyn DossSimilar
Q4 12:43
3RD & 8
OPP 36
0
99.1%
Heinrich Haarberg pass incomplete to Thomas Fidone IISimilar
Q4 12:23
4TH & 8
OPP 36
+55
99.0%
Tristan Alvano 55 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:302% → 2%
Q4 12:16
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+3
98.3%
Hudson Card pass complete to Garrett Miller for 3 yds to the PUR 15Similar
Q4 12:16
2ND & 7
OWN 15
+5
98.3%
Hudson Card pass complete to Garrett Miller for 5 yds to the PUR 20Similar
Q4 12:16
3RD & 2
OWN 20
+8
98.3%
Hudson Card pass complete to for 8 yds to the PUR 20Similar
Q4 10:46
4TH & 2
OWN 20
0
98.5%
Jack Ansell punt for 45 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 23FUMBLE
2 plays · -11 yds · 0:5199% → 99%
Q4 10:46
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-7
99.2%
Heinrich Haarberg sacked by Kydran Jenkins for a loss of 7 yards to the NEB 28Similar
Q4 9:55
2ND & 17
OWN 28
+4
99.2%
Haarberg,Heinrich rush left for 4 yards loss to the NEB24 fumbled by Haarberg,Heinrich at NEB28 forced by Thieneman,Dillon recovered by PUR Brevard,Cole at NEB24, End Of Play.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 24TD
3 plays · 24 yds · 0:462% → 5%
Q4 9:55
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+5
98.1%
Tyrone Tracy Jr. run for 5 yds to the NEB 29Similar
Q4 9:55
2ND & 15
OPP 29
0
98.2%
Hudson Card pass incomplete to Jayden Dixon-VealSimilar
Q4 9:09
3RD & 15
OPP 29
+29
95.5%
Hudson Card pass complete to Jayden Dixon-Veal for 29 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 25FUMBLE RETURN TD
7 plays · 6 yds · 2:4499% → 92%
Q4 9:08
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+4
98.6%
Anthony Grant run for 4 yds to the PUR 47Similar
Q4 9:08
2ND & 6
OPP 47
+2
98.6%
Anthony Grant run for 2 yds to the PUR 45Similar
Q4 9:08
3RD & 4
OPP 45
+3
98.6%
Jeff Sims run for 3 yds to the PUR 42Similar
Q4 9:08
4TH & 1
OPP 42
-5
98.5%
PENALTY NEB Delay Of Game 5 yards from PUR42 to PUR47. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 9:08
4TH & 6
OPP 47
+5
98.5%
Buschini,Brian punt 36 yards to the PUR11, out of bounds at PUR11 PENALTY PUR Offside (Jefferson II,Joseph) 5 yards from PUR47 to PUR42. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 6:24
4TH & 1
OPP 42
+55
92.1%
Kydran Jenkins 55 Yd Fumble Return (Hudson Card Pass to Andrew Sowinski for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 26TD
9 plays · 48 yds · 2:2993% → 99%
Q4 6:23
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+4
93.0%
Emmett Johnson run for 4 yds to the PUR 44Similar
Q4 6:23
2ND & 6
OPP 44
+4
93.0%
Emmett Johnson run for 4 yds to the PUR 40Similar
Q4 6:23
3RD & 2
OPP 40
+8
92.7%
Emmett Johnson run for 8 yds to the PUR 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:23
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+2
93.1%
Emmett Johnson run for 2 yds to the PUR 30Similar
Q4 4:10
2ND & 8
OPP 30
+2
94.2%
Heinrich Haarberg run for 2 yds to the PUR 28Similar
Q4 3:54
3RD & 6
OPP 28
+28
99.3%
Emmett Johnson run for 28 yds for a TD Purdue Penalty, UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Derrick Rogers Jr.) to the PUR 0 (Tristan Alvano KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 27INT
6 plays · -2 yds · 2:032% → 2%
Q4 3:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-14
98.2%
Purdue Penalty, Personal Foul (-14 Yards) to the PUR 14Similar
Q4 3:54
1ST & 21
OWN 14
+7
98.2%
Hudson Card run for 7 yds to the PUR 21Similar
Q4 3:54
2ND & 14
OWN 21
+2
98.2%
Hudson Card run for 2 yds to the PUR 23Similar
Q4 3:54
3RD & 12
OWN 23
0
98.3%
Hudson Card pass incomplete to Mershawn RiceSimilar
Q4 1:51
4TH & 12
OWN 23
0
98.4%
Hudson Card pass intercepted by Tommi Hill at PUR 36, Tommi Hill return 7 yds to PUR 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 28END OF GAME
5 plays · 19 yds · 1:51100% → 100%
Q4 1:51
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+2
99.5%
Emmett Johnson run for 2 yds to the PUR 27Similar
Q4 1:41
2ND & 8
OPP 27
+3
99.6%
Trevin Luben run for 3 yds to the PUR 24Similar
Q4 1:41
3RD & 5
OPP 24
+8
99.6%
Trevin Luben run for 8 yds to the PUR 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+6
99.6%
Maurice Mazzccua run for 6 yds to the PUR 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 12:02
Quinton Newsome 68 Yd Return of Blocked Field Goal (Tristan Alvano Kick)
+15
TD · Q2 8:54
Heinrich Haarberg pass complete to Jaylen Lloyd for 73 yds for a TD (Tristan Alvano KICK)
+10.8
TD · Q2 10:43
Heinrich Haarberg pass complete to Thomas Fidone II for 1 yd for a TD (Tristan Alvano KICK)
+6.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com