Try the model
CONN

UConn 14 at Boston College 21

BC
2023 · Week 9 · Oct 28, 2023 · Alumni Stadium (Chestnut Hill, MA)
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · BC
modelBC aheadCONN aheadconfidence bandkey playBC scoreCONN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 3:13 · Thomas Castellanos run for 9 yds to the CONN 23 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+35.0+17.50−17.5−35.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 140Pregame prior+2.2Home team on offense+21.2Garbage-time factor+14.6Score differential+3.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+3.9Blowout margin−1.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 4:26: Jelani Stafford run for 1 yd for a TD (Noe Ruelas KICK) — CONN win probability +6.4 pts (now 22%) (top driver: CONN has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 6:26: Thomas Castellanos pass complete to Alex Broome for 6 yds for a TD (Liam Connor KICK) — BC win probability +4.9 pts (now 84%) (top driver: BC has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 0:40: Kye Robichaux run for 13 yds for a TD (Liam Connor KICK) — BC win probability +9.0 pts (now 95%) (top driver: BC has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 13:51: Camryn Edwards run for 30 yds for a TD (Noe Ruelas KICK) — CONN win probability +12.1 pts (now 20%) (top driver: CONN has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 6:44: Alex Broome run for 11 yds to the BC 47 for a 1ST down — BC win probability +5.3 pts (now 91%) (top driver: BC has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
BC made the numbers' call on 5 of 6CONN made the numbers' call on 3 of 6
  1. Q1 13:26CONN 4th & 1 at CONN 22, tied
    Close callPunted · 17.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.9%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 13:26BC 4th & 1 at BC 45, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 83.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    83.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    82.9%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:26BC 4th & 1 at CONN 31, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 78.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    78.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    77.4%−0.6
    54% to make
    Punt
    77.2%−0.8
    average punt
  4. Q2 12:28CONN 4th & 15 at CONN 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.4%−1.1
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.5%
    average punt
  5. Q2 5:10CONN 4th & 5 at CONN 26, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.2%−0.3
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.5%
    average punt
  6. Q2 1:40BC 4th & 10 at CONN 31, up 7
    Close callWent for it · 81.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    80.4%−0.5
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    80.9%
    54% to make
    Punt
    79.7%−1.2
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:07CONN 4th & 1 at CONN 40, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 19.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    19.3%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    18.3%−1.0
    average punt
  8. Q3 7:39BC 4th & 11 at CONN 26, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 83.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.1%−1.1
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    83.2%
    64% to make
    Punt
    78.3%−4.9
    average punt
  9. Q3 5:24CONN 4th & 2 at CONN 34, down 7
    Close callPunted · 19.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.7%−0.4
    average punt
  10. Q4 10:26BC 4th & 21 at BC 33, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 86.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.9%−5.5
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.4%
    average punt
  11. Q4 6:44CONN 4th & 7 at BC 36, down 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 14.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.6%
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    13.3%−0.3
    42% to make
    Punt
    10.8%−2.7
    average punt
  12. Q4 3:13BC 4th & 5 at CONN 32, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 93.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    92.9%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    92.6%−0.3
    51% to make
    Punt
    91.5%−1.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
BC made the numbers' call on 3 of 3CONN made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 4:26CONN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    21.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    21.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 0:09BC Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    77.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 6:26BC Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 0:40BC Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 13:51CONN Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    13.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    13.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CONNDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:3415% → 15%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
85.0%
pass incomplete to Cameron RossSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 13
+6
85.0%
Camryn Edwards run for 6 yds to the CONN 19Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 19
+3
85.0%
Camryn Edwards run for 3 yds to the CONN 22Similar
Q1 13:26
4TH & 1
OWN 22
+2
84.6%
George Caratan punt for 44 yds , Jaden Williams returns for 2 yds to the BC 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 2FUMBLE
6 plays · 28 yds · 0:0085% → 85%
Q1 13:26
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
84.6%
Kye Robichaux run for 5 yds to the BC 41Similar
Q1 13:26
2ND & 5
OWN 41
-9
84.7%
Thomas Castellanos pass complete to Thomas Castellanos for a loss of 9 yards to the BC 32Similar
Q1 13:26
3RD & 14
OWN 32
+13
84.6%
Thomas Castellanos run for 13 yds to the BC 45Similar
Q1 13:26
4TH & 1
OWN 45
+3
84.6%
Thomas Castellanos run for 3 yds to the BC 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:26
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+9
84.7%
Kye Robichaux run for 9 yds to the CONN 43Similar
Q1 13:26
2ND & 1
OPP 43
+7
84.7%
Kye Robichaux run for 7 yds to the CONN 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 3TD
9 plays · 51 yds · 9:0016% → 22%
Q1 13:26
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+3
84.5%
Camryn Edwards run for 3 yds to the BC 48Similar
Q1 13:26
2ND & 7
OPP 48
0
84.5%
pass incomplete to Cameron RossSimilar
Q1 13:26
3RD & 7
OPP 48
+14
84.5%
Ta'Quan Roberson pass complete to Geordon Porter for 14 yds to the BC 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:26
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+9
84.5%
Camryn Edwards run for 9 yds to the BC 25Similar
Q1 13:26
2ND & 1
OPP 25
-1
84.5%
Camryn Edwards run for a loss of 1 yard to the BC 26Similar
Q1 13:26
3RD & 2
OPP 26
+9
84.5%
Ta'Quan Roberson pass complete to Brett Buckman for 9 yds to the BC 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:26
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+13
84.5%
Camryn Edwards run for 13 yds to the BC 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
84.5%
Camryn Edwards run for 3 yds to the BC 1Similar
Q1 4:26
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
78.1%
Jelani Stafford run for 1 yd for a TD (Noe Ruelas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 4TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 4:1779% → 82%
Q1 4:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
79.1%
Thomas Castellanos run for 17 yds to the BC 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:26
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
79.7%
Kye Robichaux run for 3 yds to the BC 45Similar
Q1 4:26
2ND & 7
OWN 45
+15
79.7%
Thomas Castellanos pass complete to Lewis Bond for 15 yds to the CONN 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:26
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
80.0%
pass incomplete to Jeremiah FranklinSimilar
Q1 4:26
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+2
80.0%
Alex Broome run for 2 yds to the CONN 38Similar
Q1 4:26
3RD & 8
OPP 38
+7
79.8%
Thomas Castellanos pass complete to Dino Tomlin for 7 yds to the CONN 31Similar
Q1 4:26
4TH & 1
OPP 31
+2
79.6%
Thomas Castellanos run for 2 yds to the CONN 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:26
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+13
80.3%
Kye Robichaux run for 13 yds to the CONN 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:26
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+11
80.3%
Thomas Castellanos pass complete to Jaden Williams for 11 yds to the CONN 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
81.6%
Kye Robichaux run for 5 yds for a TD (Liam Connor KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 5PUNT
8 plays · 5 yds · 2:4120% → 21%
Q1 0:09
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+5
79.7%
Camryn Edwards run for 5 yds to the CONN 31Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 31
+1
79.3%
Camryn Edwards run for 1 yd to the CONN 32Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 32
+4
79.7%
Ta'Quan Roberson pass complete to Cameron Ross for 4 yds to the CONN 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-5
79.3%
Camryn Edwards run for a loss of 5 yards to the CONN 31Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 15
OWN 31
0
79.7%
pass incomplete to Justin JolySimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 15
OWN 31
0
80.1%
pass incomplete to Kevens ClerciusSimilar
Q2 12:28
4TH & 15
OWN 31
+19
79.4%
George Caratan punt for 54 yds , Jaden Williams returns for 19 yds to the BC 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 6TD
14 plays · 66 yds · 6:0280% → 84%
Q2 12:28
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+6
79.6%
Alex Broome run for 6 yds to the BC 40Similar
Q2 12:28
2ND & 4
OWN 40
0
80.4%
pass incomplete to Alex BroomeSimilar
Q2 12:28
3RD & 4
OWN 40
+6
79.9%
Kye Robichaux run for 6 yds to the BC 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:28
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+6
80.4%
Kye Robichaux run for 6 yds to the CONN 48Similar
Q2 12:28
2ND & 4
OPP 48
0
80.7%
Castellanos,Thomas rush middle (Faumuina-Brown,Tui;Hooper,Carter).Similar
Q2 12:28
3RD & 4
OPP 48
+5
80.4%
Thomas Castellanos pass incomplete to Lewis Bond for a 1ST down UConn Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Chris Shearin) to the CONN 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:28
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+13
80.7%
Alex Broome run for 13 yds to the CONN 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:28
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+9
80.9%
Alex Broome run for 9 yds to the CONN 21Similar
Q2 12:28
2ND & 1
OPP 21
+5
80.9%
Alex Broome run for 5 yds to the CONN 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:28
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+12
80.9%
Thomas Castellanos run for 8 yds to the CONN 8 for a 1ST down UConn Penalty, face mask (4 yards) (Isiah Davis) to the CONN 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
-5
80.9%
Boston College Penalty, false start (Kyle Hergel) to the CONN 9Similar
Q2 12:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+3
80.9%
Kye Robichaux run for 3 yds to the CONN 6Similar
Q2 6:30
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
0
79.3%
Castellanos,Thomas rush right (Watts,Eric).Similar
Q2 6:26
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
84.1%
Thomas Castellanos pass complete to Alex Broome for 6 yds for a TD (Liam Connor KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:1617% → 17%
Q2 6:26
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
82.7%
pass incomplete to Geordon PorterSimilar
Q2 6:26
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+5
82.8%
Camryn Edwards run for 5 yds to the CONN 26Similar
Q2 6:26
3RD & 5
OWN 26
0
83.0%
Ta'Quan Roberson pass incomplete to Cameron Ross, broken up by Daveon CrouchSimilar
Q2 5:10
4TH & 5
OWN 26
0
83.4%
George Caratan punt for 51 yds , Jaden Williams returns for no gain to the BC 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 8DOWNS
8 plays · 50 yds · 3:3083% → 82%
Q2 5:10
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+5
83.2%
Thomas Castellanos pass complete to Jaedn Skeete for 5 yds to the BC 24Similar
Q2 5:10
2ND & 5
OWN 24
0
83.2%
pass incomplete to Lewis BondSimilar
Q2 5:10
3RD & 5
OWN 24
+34
82.7%
Thomas Castellanos pass complete to Jaedn Skeete for 34 yds to the CONN 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:10
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+11
84.4%
Thomas Castellanos run for 11 yds to the CONN 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:10
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-6
84.5%
Thomas Castellanos pass complete to Lewis Bond for a loss of 6 yards to the CONN 37Similar
Q2 5:10
2ND & 16
OPP 37
+6
83.8%
Thomas Castellanos pass complete to Jaedn Skeete for 6 yds to the CONN 31Similar
Q2 1:55
3RD & 10
OPP 31
0
83.6%
Thomas Castellanos pass incomplete to Jeremiah Franklin, broken up by Chris ShearinSimilar
Q2 1:40
4TH & 10
OPP 31
0
82.2%
pass incomplete to Josiah GriffinSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 9DOWNS
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:3318% → 18%
Q2 1:40
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+4
81.8%
Jalen Mitchell run for 4 yds to the CONN 35Similar
Q2 1:40
2ND & 6
OWN 35
0
81.5%
pass incomplete to Justin JolySimilar
Q2 1:40
3RD & 6
OWN 35
+5
82.2%
Ta'Quan Roberson pass complete to Jalen Mitchell for 5 yds to the CONN 40Similar
Q2 1:07
4TH & 1
OWN 40
0
81.9%
pass incomplete to Jelani StaffordSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 10INT
6 plays · 23 yds · 0:5084% → 84%
Q2 1:07
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
84.2%
Thomas Castellanos pass complete to Kye RobichauxSimilar
Q2 1:07
2ND & 10
OPP 40
0
84.1%
pass incomplete to Jeremiah FranklinSimilar
Q2 1:07
3RD & 10
OPP 40
+11
83.4%
Dino Tomlin run for 11 yds to the CONN 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:07
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+8
84.4%
Thomas Castellanos pass complete to Josiah Griffin for 8 yds to the CONN 21Similar
Q2 1:07
2ND & 2
OPP 21
+4
84.4%
Thomas Castellanos run for 4 yds to the CONN 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:17
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
84.4%
Thomas Castellanos pass intercepted by Malik Dixon-WilliamsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 11END OF HALF
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0018% → 18%
Q2 0:17
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-2
81.9%
Ta'Quan Roberson run for a loss of 2 yards to the CONN 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 12MISSED FG
16 plays · 56 yds · 7:2183% → 84%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+2
82.7%
Kye Robichaux run for 2 yds to the BC 20Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 20
+7
82.6%
Emmett Morehead pass complete to Josiah Griffin for 7 yds to the BC 27Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 27
+2
82.2%
Kye Robichaux run for 2 yds to the BC 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+9
82.8%
Kye Robichaux run for 9 yds to the BC 38Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 38
+3
84.0%
Kye Robichaux run for 3 yds to the BC 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+7
83.9%
Alex Broome run for 7 yds to the BC 48Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 48
+14
84.1%
Emmett Morehead pass complete to Josiah Griffin for 14 yds to the CONN 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+7
84.2%
Emmett Morehead pass complete to Dino Tomlin for 7 yds to the CONN 31Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 31
+1
84.3%
Kye Robichaux run for 1 yd to the CONN 30Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 30
+5
83.7%
Kye Robichaux run for 5 yds to the CONN 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-4
84.3%
Alex Broome run for a loss of 4 yards to the CONN 29Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 14
OPP 29
-5
83.8%
Boston College Penalty, false start (Kyle Hergel) to the CONN 34Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 19
OPP 34
+8
83.6%
Emmett Morehead pass complete to Dino Tomlin for 8 yds to the CONN 26Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 11
OPP 26
0
83.6%
pass incomplete to Alex BroomeSimilar
Q3 7:39
4TH & 11
OPP 26
+44
83.8%
Liam Connor 44 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 2:1519% → 19%
Q3 7:39
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+3
81.1%
Camryn Edwards run for 3 yds to the CONN 29Similar
Q3 7:39
2ND & 7
OWN 29
+2
80.6%
Camryn Edwards run for 2 yds to the CONN 31Similar
Q3 7:39
3RD & 5
OWN 31
+3
81.2%
Ta'Quan Roberson pass complete to Cameron Ross for 3 yds to the CONN 34Similar
Q3 5:24
4TH & 2
OWN 34
0
81.5%
George Caratan punt for 36 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 14TD
9 plays · 70 yds · 4:4484% → 95%
Q3 5:24
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
84.3%
Kye Robichaux run for 4 yds to the BC 34Similar
Q3 5:24
2ND & 6
OWN 34
+3
84.8%
Kye Robichaux run for 3 yds to the BC 37Similar
Q3 5:24
3RD & 3
OWN 37
-10
84.6%
Thomas Castellanos pass complete to Jaden Williams Boston College Penalty, Offensive holding (Jaedn Skeete) to the BC 27Similar
Q3 5:24
3RD & 13
OWN 27
+16
83.1%
Thomas Castellanos pass complete to Jaedn Skeete for 16 yds to the BC 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:24
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+3
85.6%
Kye Robichaux run for 3 yds to the BC 46Similar
Q3 5:24
2ND & 7
OWN 46
+2
85.7%
Thomas Castellanos run for 2 yds to the BC 48Similar
Q3 5:24
3RD & 5
OWN 48
+9
85.0%
Thomas Castellanos pass complete to Jaden Williams for 9 yds to the CONN 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:24
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+30
86.1%
Thomas Castellanos pass complete to Charlie Gordinier for 30 yds to the CONN 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:40
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+13
95.0%
Kye Robichaux run for 13 yds for a TD (Liam Connor KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 15TD
8 plays · 78 yds · 1:498% → 20%
Q3 0:40
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
91.9%
Ta'Quan Roberson pass incomplete to Geordon Porter, broken up by Vinny DePalmaSimilar
Q3 0:40
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+23
92.1%
Ta'Quan Roberson pass complete to Geordon Porter for 23 yds to the CONN 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:40
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+9
91.0%
Ta'Quan Roberson pass complete to Camryn Edwards for 9 yds to the BC 46Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 46
0
91.3%
pass incomplete to Justin JolySimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 46
+6
91.4%
Camryn Edwards run for 6 yds to the BC 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+10
91.7%
Ta'Quan Roberson pass complete to Geordon Porter for 10 yds to the BC 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:51
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+30
79.6%
Camryn Edwards run for 30 yds for a TD (Noe Ruelas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 16PUNT
8 plays · 8 yds · 3:2587% → 87%
Q4 13:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
87.3%
Kye Robichaux run for 3 yds to the BC 28Similar
Q4 13:51
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
87.3%
Robichaux,Kye rush middle (Faumuina-Brown,Tui).Similar
Q4 13:51
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+16
86.5%
Thomas Castellanos pass complete to Josiah Griffin for 16 yds to the BC 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:51
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+3
88.6%
Thomas Castellanos pass complete to Alex Broome for 3 yds to the BC 47Similar
Q4 13:51
2ND & 7
OWN 47
-14
88.7%
Thomas Castellanos sacked for a loss of 14 yards to the BC 33Similar
Q4 13:51
3RD & 21
OWN 33
0
86.3%
pass incomplete to Lewis BondSimilar
Q4 10:26
4TH & 21
OWN 33
0
86.6%
Loren DiLoreto punt for 42 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 17MISSED FG
11 plays · 39 yds · 3:4216% → 15%
Q4 10:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+26
84.4%
Ta'Quan Roberson pass complete to Camryn Edwards for 26 yds to the BC 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:26
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
81.2%
pass incomplete to Camryn EdwardsSimilar
Q4 10:26
2ND & 10
OPP 49
-10
82.2%
Edwards,Cam rush (Jones,Elijah), PENALTY CON holding (Senn,Valentin) 10 yards to the to the CONN 41Similar
Q4 10:26
2ND & 20
OWN 41
+14
84.2%
Ta'Quan Roberson pass complete to Cameron Ross for 14 yds to the BC 45Similar
Q4 10:26
3RD & 6
OPP 45
-4
81.6%
Camryn Edwards run for 6 yds to the BC 39 UConn Penalty, Offensive holding (Justin Joly) to the BC 49Similar
Q4 10:26
3RD & 10
OPP 49
+10
83.2%
Ta'Quan Roberson pass incomplete to Mumu Bin-Wahad for a 1ST down Boston College Penalty, Defensive holding (Khari Johnson) to the BC 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:26
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
81.2%
pass incomplete to Cameron RossSimilar
Q4 10:26
2ND & 10
OPP 39
-10
81.2%
Edwards,Cam rush (Kolenge,Edwin), PENALTY CON holding (Harris,Nick) 10 yards to the BC 49Similar
Q4 10:26
2ND & 20
OPP 49
0
83.2%
pass incomplete to Geordon PorterSimilar
Q4 10:26
3RD & 20
OPP 49
+13
84.1%
Ta'Quan Roberson pass complete to Brett Buckman for 13 yds to the BC 36Similar
Q4 6:44
4TH & 7
OPP 36
+54
85.3%
Noe Ruelas 54 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 18Uncategorized
13 plays · 61 yds · 4:2691% → 95%
Q4 6:44
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+11
90.6%
Alex Broome run for 11 yds to the BC 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:44
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+9
91.3%
Alex Broome run for 9 yds to the CONN 44Similar
Q4 6:44
2ND & 1
OPP 44
+7
91.5%
Alex Broome run for 7 yds to the CONN 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:44
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+1
91.5%
Kye Robichaux run for 1 yd to the CONN 36Similar
Q4 6:44
2ND & 9
OPP 36
+1
91.4%
Alex Broome run for 1 yd to the CONN 35Similar
Q4 6:44
3RD & 8
OPP 35
+3
91.0%
Thomas Castellanos run for 3 yds to the CONN 32Similar
Q4 3:13
4TH & 5
OPP 32
+9
93.3%
Thomas Castellanos run for 9 yds to the CONN 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:13
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+6
94.6%
Kye Robichaux run for 6 yds to the CONN 17Similar
Q4 2:25
2ND & 4
OPP 17
+4
94.9%
Alex Broome run for 4 yds to the CONN 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:18
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+1
95.1%
Alex Broome run for 1 yd to the CONN 12Similar
Q4 2:18
2ND & 9
OPP 12
+8
95.1%
Alex Broome run for 8 yds to the CONN 4Similar
Q4 2:18
3RD & 1
OPP 4
+1
94.6%
Alex Broome run for 1 yd to the CONN 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-2
94.9%
Thomas Castellanos run for a loss of 2 yards to the CONN 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 13:51
Camryn Edwards run for 30 yds for a TD (Noe Ruelas KICK)
-12.1
TD · Q3 0:40
Kye Robichaux run for 13 yds for a TD (Liam Connor KICK)
+9
TD · Q1 4:26
Jelani Stafford run for 1 yd for a TD (Noe Ruelas KICK)
-6.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com