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MASS

Massachusetts 21 at Army 14

ARMY
2023 · Week 9 · Oct 28, 2023 · Michie Stadium
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Win probability · ARMY
modelARMY aheadMASS aheadconfidence bandkey playARMY scoreMASS score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 15:00 · Bryson Daily run for 2 yds to the ARMY 36 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+38.0+19.00−19.0−38.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 75Pregame prior+13.3Home team on offense−4.4Score differential−1.8Garbage-time factor−2.5Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 2:34: Bryson Daily run for 2 yds for a TD (Quinn Maretzki KICK) — ARMY win probability +10.3 pts (now 63%) (top driver: Game still competitive relative to time left).
  2. TD · Q3 7:33: Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams 3 Yd Run (Taisun Phommachanh Pass to George Johnson III for Two-Point Conversion) — MASS win probability +22.1 pts (now 75%) (top driver: MASS has the ball).
  3. INT · Q3 1:29: Bryson Daily pass intercepted by Juan Lua — MASS win probability +8.7 pts (now 76%) (top driver: ARMY has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 13:21: Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 1 yd to the MASS 15 — MASS win probability +10.4 pts (now 89%) (top driver: MASS has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 5:01: Champ Harris run for 36 yds for a TD (Quinn Maretzki KICK) — ARMY win probability +21.9 pts (now 29%) (top driver: ARMY has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ARMY made the numbers' call on 6 of 6MASS made the numbers' call on 3 of 5
  1. Q1 8:44ARMY 4th & 10 at MASS 32, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 73.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.0%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    73.1%
    51% to make
    Punt
    72.9%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q2 14:49ARMY 4th & 13 at midfield, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 63.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.8%−0.6
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.4%
    average punt
  3. Q2 11:11MASS 4th & 3 at ARMY 24, up 13
    Close callKicked a field goal · 41.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    40.9%−0.9
    68% to make
    Punt
    34.7%−7.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 11:11ARMY 4th & 1 at MASS 16, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 60.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    60.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    59.2%−1.0
    81% to make
    Punt
    56.4%−3.8
    average punt
  5. Q2 0:06MASS 4th & 3 at ARMY 36, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 47.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.1%−1.0
    53% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    48.2%
    42% to make
    Punt
    46.7%−1.4
    average punt
  6. Q3 15:00ARMY 4th & 1 at ARMY 34, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 56.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    57.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    56.0%−1.2
    average punt
  7. Q3 11:15ARMY 4th & 3 at ARMY 43, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 54.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    55.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    55.0%−0.4
    average punt
  8. Q3 1:29ARMY 4th & 2 at MASS 7, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 24.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    24.1%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    22.6%−1.5
    91% to make
    Punt
    15.6%−8.5
    average punt
  9. Q3 0:05MASS 4th & 6 at MASS 24, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 82.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.8%−1.5
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    83.3%
    average punt
  10. Q4 6:31MASS 4th & 12 at ARMY 46, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 93.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.2%−0.6
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    92.8%−1.0
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    93.8%
    average punt
  11. Q4 0:08MASS 4th & 11 at ARMY 40, up 7
    Numbers favored field goal by 1.0 ptsPunted · 89.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.0%−0.7
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    90.7%
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    89.7%−1.0
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ARMY made the numbers' call on 2 of 2MASS made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q1 11:32MASS Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    25.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    25.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 3:30MASS Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    33.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    33.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 2:34ARMY Touchdown, down 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    54.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    54.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 7:33MASS Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    65.7%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    65.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 5:01ARMY Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    14.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    14.4%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MASSDrive 1TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 3:2824% → 26%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
75.8%
Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Anthony Simpson for 2 yds to the MASS 27Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+14
75.8%
Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 14 yds to the MASS 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
75.8%
Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Anthony Simpson for 3 yds to the MASS 44Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 44
+5
75.8%
Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Anthony Simpson for 5 yds to the MASS 49Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 49
+3
75.8%
Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to George Johnson III for 3 yds to the ARMY 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
75.8%
Taisun Phommachanh pass incomplete to Christian WellsSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+14
75.8%
Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 14 yds to the ARMY 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
75.8%
Taisun Phommachanh pass incomplete to Gino CampiottiSimilar
Q1 11:32
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+34
74.3%
Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 34 yds for a TD (Cameron Carson PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 2MISSED FG
6 plays · 43 yds · 2:4875% → 73%
Q1 11:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+43
74.6%
Champ Harris pass complete to Tobi Olawole for 43 yds to the MASS 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:32
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+3
75.0%
Kanye Udoh run for 3 yds to the MASS 29Similar
Q1 11:32
2ND & 7
OPP 29
+7
75.0%
Champ Harris run for 7 yds to the MASS 36 Champ Harris fumbled, recovered by MASS Tyson Riley No Huddle-Shotgun Harris,Champ rush middle for 7 yards loss to the UMass36 fumbled by Harris,Champ at UMass36 recovered by Army Riley,Tyson at UMass36, End Of Play.Similar
Q1 11:32
3RD & 14
OPP 36
+4
74.7%
Kanye Udoh run for 4 yds to the MASS 32Similar
Q1 8:44
4TH & 10
OPP 32
+49
73.3%
Quinn Maretzki 49 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 3TD
9 plays · 68 yds · 5:1427% → 34%
Q1 8:44
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+5
73.2%
Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Shawn Harris Jr. for 5 yds to the MASS 37Similar
Q1 8:44
2ND & 5
OWN 37
+1
73.1%
Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 1 yd to the MASS 38Similar
Q1 8:44
3RD & 4
OWN 38
+7
73.0%
Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 7 yds to the MASS 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:44
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+7
72.9%
Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams for 7 yds to the ARMY 48Similar
Q1 8:44
2ND & 3
OPP 48
+3
72.8%
Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Anthony Simpson for 3 yds to the ARMY 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:44
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+11
72.9%
Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Christian Wells for 11 yds to the ARMY 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:44
1ST & 20
OPP 44
+2
72.9%
Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 2 yds to the ARMY 42Similar
Q1 8:44
2ND & 18
OPP 42
+33
73.0%
Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 33 yds to the ARMY 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
65.6%
Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 9 yds for a TD (Cameron Carson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 4PUNT
9 plays · 26 yds · 3:3467% → 63%
Q1 3:23
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+9
66.5%
Tyrell Robinson run for 9 yds to the ARMY 33Similar
Q1 3:23
2ND & 1
OWN 33
+8
66.9%
Kanye Udoh run for 8 yds to the ARMY 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:23
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
67.0%
Champ Harris run for 2 yds to the ARMY 43Similar
Q1 3:23
2ND & 8
OWN 43
+10
67.0%
Champ Harris pass complete to Ay'Jaun Marshall for 10 yds to the MASS 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:23
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+1
67.3%
Champ Harris run for 1 yd to the MASS 46Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 9
OPP 46
+4
64.5%
Tyrell Robinson run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 13
50
0
63.5%
Champ Harris pass incomplete to Casey ReynoldsSimilar
Q2 14:49
4TH & 13
50
0
63.3%
Cooper Allan punt for 4 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MASS 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 5MISSED FG
7 plays · 30 yds · 3:3839% → 42%
Q2 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
61.4%
Jalen John run for 3 yds to the MASS 49Similar
Q2 14:49
2ND & 7
OWN 49
0
61.5%
Taisun Phommachanh pass incomplete to Gino CampiottiSimilar
Q2 14:49
3RD & 7
OWN 49
+20
61.6%
Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Gino Campiotti for 20 yds to the ARMY 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:49
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+9
61.4%
Mark Pope run for 9 yds to the ARMY 40Similar
Q2 14:49
2ND & 19
OPP 40
+8
61.7%
Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Anthony Simpson for 8 yds to the ARMY 32Similar
Q2 14:49
3RD & 11
OPP 32
+8
61.6%
Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Anthony Simpson for 8 yds to the ARMY 24Similar
Q2 11:11
4TH & 3
OPP 24
+41
58.4%
Cameron Carson 41 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 6TD
16 plays · 76 yds · 8:3760% → 63%
Q2 11:11
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+8
59.6%
Kanye Udoh run for 8 yds to the ARMY 32Similar
Q2 11:11
2ND & 2
OWN 32
+3
60.3%
Kanye Udoh run for 3 yds to the ARMY 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:11
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
59.9%
Kanye Udoh run for 5 yds to the ARMY 40Similar
Q2 11:11
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+4
60.6%
Tyrell Robinson run for 4 yds to the ARMY 44Similar
Q2 11:11
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+4
60.4%
Kanye Udoh run for 4 yds to the ARMY 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:11
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+8
60.7%
Kanye Udoh run for 8 yds to the MASS 44Similar
Q2 11:11
2ND & 2
OPP 44
+3
61.0%
Kanye Udoh run for 3 yds to the MASS 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:11
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+3
61.0%
Kanye Udoh run for 3 yds to the MASS 38Similar
Q2 11:11
2ND & 7
OPP 38
+3
61.0%
Hayden Reed run for 3 yds to the MASS 35Similar
Q2 11:11
3RD & 4
OPP 35
+10
60.9%
Bryson Daily run for 10 yds to the MASS 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:11
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+3
61.8%
Kanye Udoh run for 3 yds to the MASS 22Similar
Q2 11:11
2ND & 7
OPP 22
0
61.8%
Bryson Daily pass incomplete to Casey ReynoldsSimilar
Q2 11:11
3RD & 7
OPP 22
+6
60.8%
Kanye Udoh run for 6 yds to the MASS 16Similar
Q2 11:11
4TH & 1
OPP 16
+5
60.6%
Bryson Daily run for 5 yds to the MASS 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:18
1ST & 5
OPP 6
+2
52.6%
Jakobi Buchanan run for 2 yds to the MASS 4Similar
Q2 2:34
2ND & 1
OPP 2
+2
62.9%
Bryson Daily run for 2 yds for a TD (Quinn Maretzki KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 7MISSED FG
12 plays · 41 yds · 2:2144% → 48%
Q2 2:27
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
56.1%
Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for no gain to the MASS 23Similar
Q2 2:23
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+20
56.0%
Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 20 yds to the MASS 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:23
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+2
53.0%
Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to George Johnson III for 2 yds to the MASS 45Similar
Q2 2:23
2ND & 8
OWN 45
+2
53.1%
Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 2 yds to the MASS 47Similar
Q2 2:23
3RD & 6
OWN 47
+10
53.4%
Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Mark Pope for 10 yds to the ARMY 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:23
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
52.3%
Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for no gain to the ARMY 43Similar
Q2 0:24
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+7
51.0%
Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Anthony Simpson for 7 yds to the ARMY 36Similar
Q2 0:24
3RD & 3
OPP 36
0
50.5%
Taisun Phommachanh pass incomplete to Anthony SimpsonSimilar
Q2 0:06
4TH & 3
OPP 36
+53
52.0%
Cameron Carson 53 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 8END OF HALF
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0056% → 56%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
56.1%
Champ Harris pass incomplete to Casey ReynoldsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 9DOWNS
9 plays · 5 yds · 3:4557% → 55%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
57.0%
Bryson Daily run for 2 yds to the ARMY 27Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+3
57.2%
Bryson Daily run for 3 yds to the ARMY 30Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+4
56.5%
Bryson Daily run for 4 yds to the ARMY 34Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+2
56.2%
Bryson Daily run for 2 yds to the ARMY 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
57.8%
Jakobi Buchanan run for 3 yds to the ARMY 39Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 39
0
59.0%
Bryson Daily pass incomplete to Noah ShortSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 39
+4
57.1%
Bryson Daily run for 4 yds to the ARMY 43Similar
Q3 11:15
4TH & 3
OWN 43
+13
54.5%
Cooper Allan run for 13 yds to the ARMY 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 10TD
7 plays · 30 yds · 3:4252% → 75%
Q3 11:15
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+15
47.6%
Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 15 yds to the ARMY 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:15
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+3
47.4%
Gino Campiotti run for 3 yds to the ARMY 12Similar
Q3 11:15
2ND & 7
OPP 12
+8
47.4%
Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 8 yds to the ARMY 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
47.4%
Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 2 yds to the ARMY 2Similar
Q3 11:15
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+4
47.4%
Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 4 yds to the ARMY 3 Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams fumbled, recovered by MASS Kay'Ron Lynch-AdamsSimilar
Q3 7:33
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
25.3%
Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams 3 Yd Run (Taisun Phommachanh Pass to George Johnson III for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 11INT
12 plays · 81 yds · 5:5929% → 24%
Q3 7:28
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+1
29.1%
Bryson Daily pass complete to Ay'Jaun Marshall for 1 yd to the ARMY 13Similar
Q3 7:28
2ND & 9
OWN 13
+5
28.9%
Kanye Udoh run for 5 yds to the ARMY 18Similar
Q3 7:28
3RD & 4
OWN 18
+6
28.7%
Bryson Daily run for 6 yds to the ARMY 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:28
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+25
29.4%
Tyrell Robinson run for 25 yds to the ARMY 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:28
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
32.2%
Bryson Daily pass incomplete to Noah ShortSimilar
Q3 7:28
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+3
31.8%
Jakobi Buchanan run for 3 yds to the MASS 48Similar
Q3 7:28
3RD & 7
OPP 48
+20
32.0%
Bryson Daily pass complete to Casey Reynolds for 20 yds to the MASS 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:28
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+8
33.9%
Kanye Udoh run for 8 yds to the MASS 20Similar
Q3 7:28
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+2
33.9%
Tyrell Robinson run for 2 yds to the MASS 13Similar
Q3 7:28
2ND & 8
OPP 13
0
33.9%
Bryson Daily pass incomplete to Ay'Jaun MarshallSimilar
Q3 7:28
3RD & 8
OPP 13
+6
32.9%
Bryson Daily run for 6 yds to the MASS 7Similar
Q3 1:29
4TH & 2
OPP 7
0
24.2%
Bryson Daily pass intercepted by Juan LuaSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:2481% → 82%
Q3 1:29
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
18.9%
Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 5 yds to the MASS 25Similar
Q3 1:29
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+1
18.8%
Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams for 1 yd to the MASS 24Similar
Q3 1:29
3RD & 6
OWN 24
0
19.3%
Taisun Phommachanh pass incomplete to George Johnson IIISimilar
Q3 0:05
4TH & 6
OWN 24
0
18.1%
CJ Kolodziey punt for 35 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 13INT
9 plays · 26 yds · 1:3922% → 22%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
22.0%
Bryson Daily pass incomplete to Ay'Jaun MarshallSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 41
0
21.3%
Bryson Daily pass incomplete to Ay'Jaun MarshallSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 41
+14
20.7%
Bryson Daily run for 14 yds to the MASS 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
22.8%
Bryson Daily pass incomplete to Ay'Jaun MarshallSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+5
22.5%
Kanye Udoh run for 5 yds to the MASS 40Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 40
+7
22.4%
Bryson Daily pass complete to Tobi Olawole for 7 yds to the MASS 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
23.7%
Bryson Daily pass incomplete to Casey ReynoldsSimilar
Q4 13:21
2ND & 10
OPP 33
0
21.5%
Bryson Daily pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 14PUNT
11 plays · 40 yds · 6:5089% → 95%
Q4 13:21
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+1
11.1%
Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 1 yd to the MASS 15Similar
Q4 13:21
2ND & 9
OWN 15
+11
11.2%
Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 11 yds to the MASS 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:21
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+2
11.0%
Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 2 yds to the MASS 28Similar
Q4 13:21
2ND & 8
OWN 28
0
11.0%
Taisun Phommachanh pass incomplete to George Johnson IIISimilar
Q4 13:21
3RD & 8
OWN 28
+13
11.2%
Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to George Johnson III for 13 yds to the MASS 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:21
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
10.3%
Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for no gain to the MASS 41Similar
Q4 13:21
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+15
10.4%
Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to George Johnson III for 15 yds to the ARMY 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:21
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+8
10.1%
Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 8 yds to the MASS 48Similar
Q4 13:21
2ND & 18
OWN 48
+1
10.4%
Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 1 yd to the MASS 49Similar
Q4 13:21
3RD & 17
OWN 49
+10
10.5%
Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 10 yds to the ARMY 41Similar
Q4 6:31
4TH & 12
OPP 46
0
4.7%
CJ Kolodziey punt for 29 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ARMY 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 15TD
5 plays · 83 yds · 1:307% → 29%
Q4 6:31
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+9
6.8%
Champ Harris pass complete to Hayden Reed for 9 yds to the ARMY 26Similar
Q4 6:31
2ND & 1
OWN 26
+3
7.3%
Champ Harris pass complete to Tyrell Robinson for 3 yds to the ARMY 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:31
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+8
7.0%
Hayden Reed run for 8 yds to the ARMY 37Similar
Q4 6:31
2ND & 2
OWN 37
+27
7.5%
Champ Harris pass complete to Noah Short for 27 yds to the MASS 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:01
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+36
29.4%
Champ Harris run for 36 yds for a TD (Quinn Maretzki KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 16PUNT
14 plays · 39 yds · 4:4784% → 94%
Q4 4:55
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
16.2%
Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for no gain to the MASS 21Similar
Q4 4:55
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+13
16.4%
Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 13 yds to the MASS 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:55
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
15.9%
Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for no gain to the MASS 34Similar
Q4 4:55
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+7
16.0%
Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 7 yds to the MASS 41Similar
Q4 2:47
3RD & 3
OWN 41
+4
10.4%
Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 4 yds to the MASS 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:47
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+16
9.7%
Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 16 yds to the ARMY 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:47
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+4
9.2%
Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 4 yds to the ARMY 35Similar
Q4 1:01
2ND & 6
OPP 35
+1
4.5%
Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 1 yd to the ARMY 36Similar
Q4 0:58
3RD & 7
OPP 36
+1
4.9%
Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 1 yd to the ARMY 35Similar
Q4 0:08
4TH & 11
OPP 40
0
5.6%
CJ Kolodziey punt for 20 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ARMY 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 17FUMBLE
2 plays · 34 yds · 0:009% → 9%
Q4 0:08
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-4
8.7%
Champ Harris sacked by Billy Wooden for a loss of 4 yards to the ARMY 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 7:33
Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams 3 Yd Run (Taisun Phommachanh Pass to George Johnson III for Two-Point Conversion)
-22.1
TD · Q4 5:01
Champ Harris run for 36 yds for a TD (Quinn Maretzki KICK)
+21.9
KEY PLAY · Q4 13:21
Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 1 yd to the MASS 15
-10.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com