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UTEP

UTEP 37 at Sam Houston 34

SHSU
2023 · Week 9 · Oct 25, 2023 · Elliott T. Bowers Stadium
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Win probability · SHSU
modelSHSU aheadUTEP aheadconfidence bandkey playSHSU scoreUTEP score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGTDFGFGFGTDTDTDTDTDFGEnd of GameFG-1.8SHSU 67.7%Buzz Flabiano 23 yd FG GOODAWAY 10 - HOME 14 · Q2 2:45
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 2:45 · Buzz Flabiano 23 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+35.5+17.80−17.8−35.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 71Home team on offense+2.2Pregame prior+7.1Garbage-time factor−0.2Score differential+0.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.8Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 1:07: Mike Franklin run for 3 yds for a TD (Buzz Flabiano KICK) — UTEP win probability +15.8 pts (now 28%) (top driver: UTEP has the ball).
  2. TD · Q4 11:25: Cade McConnell pass complete to Kelly Akharaiyi for 25 yds for a TD (Buzz Flabiano KICK) — UTEP win probability +31.7 pts (now 51%) (top driver: UTEP has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 9:57: Kevin Hurley run for 1 yd for a TD (Buzz Flabiano KICK) — UTEP win probability +28.2 pts (now 82%) (top driver: UTEP has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 6:02: Noah Smith run for 4 yds for a TD (Colby Sessums KICK) — SHSU win probability +29.4 pts (now 67%) (top driver: SHSU has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 0:03: Buzz Flabiano 32 yd FG GOOD — UTEP win probability +33.0 pts (now 95%) (top driver: UTEP has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
SHSU made the numbers' call on 4 of 6UTEP made the numbers' call on 7 of 7
  1. Q1 12:14SHSU 4th & 10 at midfield, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 61.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.1%−<0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.2%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:05UTEP 4th & 5 at UTEP 20, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.6%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.6%
    average punt
  3. Q1 11:05UTEP 4th & 5 at UTEP 20, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.6%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.6%
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:32UTEP 4th & 1 at SHSU 15, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 35.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    35.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    34.3%−1.0
    83% to make
    Punt
    31.2%−4.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 2:45UTEP 4th & 5 at SHSU 5, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 31.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.7%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    30.8%
    92% to make
    Punt
    24.5%−6.3
    average punt
  6. Q3 12:56UTEP 4th & 13 at UTEP 22, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.4%−3.2
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.6%
    average punt
  7. Q3 10:45SHSU 4th & 4 at UTEP 5, up 8
    Close callKicked a field goal · 76.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.3%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    75.7%−0.6
    92% to make
    Punt
    67.7%−8.6
    average punt
  8. Q3 6:14SHSU 4th & 6 at UTEP 14, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 82.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.3%−0.4
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    81.7%
    84% to make
    Punt
    76.3%−5.4
    average punt
  9. Q3 4:06UTEP 4th & 3 at SHSU 49, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 13.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    14.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    13.4%−0.9
    average punt
  10. Q4 14:13SHSU 4th & 2 at SHSU 45, up 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.2 ptsPunted · 83.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    82.4%−1.2
    average punt
  11. Q4 9:09SHSU 4th & 9 at SHSU 26, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.5%−2.0
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.5%
    average punt
  12. Q4 3:37UTEP 4th & 4 at UTEP 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.6%−3.6
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.3%
    average punt
  13. Q4 1:05SHSU 4th & 15 at SHSU 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 52.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.0%−17.0
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    51.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
SHSU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4UTEP made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 6:24SHSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    63.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    63.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 14:54UTEP Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    38.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    38.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 9:52SHSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    66.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    66.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:44SHSU Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    75.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 1:07UTEP Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    18.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    18.0%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 11:25UTEP Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    40.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    39.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 9:57UTEP Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    69.1%−0.4
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 6:02SHSU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    50.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    49.1%−1.0
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SHSUDrive 1PUNT
10 plays · 25 yds · 2:4663% → 63%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
63.1%
Keegan Shoemaker pass complete to Noah Smith for 2 yds to the SHSU 27Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+5
63.1%
Keegan Shoemaker pass complete to Noah Smith for 5 yds to the SHSU 32Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+7
63.1%
Keegan Shoemaker pass complete to Al'vonte Woodard for 7 yds to the SHSU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+6
63.1%
Noah Smith run for 6 yds to the SHSU 45Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 45
+5
63.1%
Keegan Shoemaker pass complete to Simeon Evans for 5 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
50
0
63.1%
Keegan Shoemaker pass incomplete to Malik PhillipsSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
50
0
63.1%
Keegan Shoemaker pass incomplete to John GentrySimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 10
50
0
63.1%
Keegan Shoemaker pass incomplete to Noah SmithSimilar
Q1 12:14
4TH & 10
50
0
62.9%
Jadon Cardell punt for 35 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:0937% → 37%
Q1 12:14
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+5
62.9%
Deion Hankins run for 5 yds to the UTEP 20Similar
Q1 12:14
2ND & 5
OWN 20
0
62.9%
Cade McConnell pass incomplete to Jeremiah BallardSimilar
Q1 12:14
3RD & 5
OWN 20
0
63.0%
Cade McConnell pass incomplete to Tyrin SmithSimilar
Q1 11:05
4TH & 5
OWN 20
+10
63.1%
Joshua Sloan punt for 45 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SHSU 45 , Emon Allen returns for 10 yds to the SHSU 30 Sam Houston Penalty, Offensive Holding (KeSean Raven) to the SHSU 45Similar
Q1 11:05
4TH & 5
OWN 20
+10
63.1%
Joshua Sloan punt for 45 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SHSU 35 , Emon Allen returns for 10 yds to the SHSU 30 Sam Houston Penalty, Offensive Holding (KeSean Raven) to the SHSU 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SHSUDrive 3TD
12 plays · 65 yds · 4:4163% → 67%
Q1 11:05
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
63.0%
John Gentry run for 2 yds to the SHSU 37Similar
Q1 11:05
2ND & 8
OWN 37
0
63.0%
Noah Smith run for no gain to the SHSU 37Similar
Q1 11:05
3RD & 8
OWN 37
+8
62.9%
Keegan Shoemaker pass complete to Al'vonte Woodard for 8 yds to the SHSU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:05
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+1
63.3%
Keegan Shoemaker run for 1 yd to the SHSU 46Similar
Q1 11:05
2ND & 9
OWN 46
+8
63.2%
Keegan Shoemaker pass complete to Al'vonte Woodard for 8 yds to the UTEP 46Similar
Q1 11:05
3RD & 1
OPP 46
+2
63.3%
Keegan Shoemaker run for 2 yds to the UTEP 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:05
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+8
63.4%
John Gentry run for 8 yds to the UTEP 36Similar
Q1 11:05
2ND & 2
OPP 36
0
63.4%
Keegan Shoemaker pass incomplete to Malik PhillipsSimilar
Q1 11:05
3RD & 2
OPP 36
-5
63.3%
PENALTY SAM False Start (Hagler,Ethan) 5 yards from UTEP36 to UTEP41. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 11:05
3RD & 7
OPP 41
+13
63.3%
Keegan Shoemaker pass complete to Noah Smith for 13 yds to the UTEP 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:05
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
63.5%
Keegan Shoemaker pass incomplete to Elijah SohnSimilar
Q1 6:24
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+28
66.5%
John Gentry run for 28 yds for a TD (Colby Sessums KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 4TD
15 plays · 65 yds · 6:3035% → 40%
Q1 6:24
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
65.4%
Torrance Burgess Jr. run for no gain to the UTEP 35Similar
Q1 6:24
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
65.5%
Cade McConnell pass incomplete to Torrance Burgess Jr.Similar
Q1 6:24
3RD & 10
OWN 35
+13
65.8%
Cade McConnell run for 13 yds to the UTEP 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:24
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+5
64.9%
Deion Hankins run for 5 yds to the SHSU 47Similar
Q1 6:24
2ND & 5
OPP 47
+6
64.8%
Cade McConnell pass complete to Jeremiah Ballard for 6 yds to the SHSU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:24
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
64.8%
Deion Hankins run for no gain to the SHSU 41Similar
Q1 6:24
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+17
64.8%
Torrance Burgess Jr. run for 17 yds to the SHSU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:24
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+3
64.3%
Deion Hankins run for 3 yds to the SHSU 21Similar
Q1 6:24
2ND & 7
OPP 21
+6
64.3%
Torrance Burgess Jr. run for 6 yds to the SHSU 15Similar
Q1 6:24
3RD & 1
OPP 15
0
64.7%
Cade McConnell run for no gain to the SHSU 15Similar
Q1 0:32
4TH & 1
OPP 15
+5
66.7%
Deion Hankins run for 5 yds to the SHSU 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+8
65.5%
Deion Hankins run for 8 yds to the SHSU 2Similar
Q2 14:54
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
59.6%
Deion Hankins run for 2 yds for a TD (Buzz Flabiano KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SHSUDrive 5TD
15 plays · 75 yds · 5:0263% → 71%
Q2 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
63.0%
Keegan Shoemaker pass complete to Malik Phillips for 11 yds to the SHSU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
63.4%
Noah Smith run for 4 yds to the SHSU 40Similar
Q2 14:54
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+7
64.1%
Adrian Murdaugh run for 7 yds to the SHSU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+7
64.2%
Keegan Shoemaker pass complete to Simeon Evans for 7 yds to the UTEP 46Similar
Q2 14:54
2ND & 3
OPP 46
+3
64.6%
John Gentry run for 3 yds to the UTEP 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+3
64.5%
John Gentry run for 3 yds to the UTEP 40Similar
Q2 14:54
2ND & 7
OPP 40
+8
64.5%
Keegan Shoemaker pass complete to Malik Phillips for 8 yds to the UTEP 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
65.0%
Keegan Shoemaker pass incomplete to Noah SmithSimilar
Q2 14:54
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+6
64.9%
Keegan Shoemaker pass complete to Shane Johnson for 6 yds to the UTEP 26Similar
Q2 10:36
3RD & 4
OPP 26
0
63.9%
Keegan Shoemaker pass incomplete to Malik PhillipsSimilar
Q2 10:36
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+3
64.6%
Noah Smith run for 3 yds to the UTEP 18Similar
Q2 9:52
2ND & 7
OPP 18
+18
70.7%
Keegan Shoemaker pass complete to John Gentry for 18 yds for a TD (Colby Sessums KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 6FG
14 plays · 83 yds · 7:0731% → 32%
Q2 9:52
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+4
69.1%
Torrance Burgess Jr. run for 4 yds to the UTEP 16Similar
Q2 9:52
2ND & 6
OWN 16
+5
69.2%
Cade McConnell pass complete to Zach Fryar for 5 yds to the UTEP 11Similar
Q2 9:52
3RD & 11
OWN 11
+21
70.0%
Cade McConnell pass complete to Kelly Akharaiyi for 21 yds to the UTEP 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:52
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+29
68.4%
Deion Hankins run for 29 yds to the SHSU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:52
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+2
67.0%
Torrance Burgess Jr. run for 2 yds to the SHSU 37Similar
Q2 9:52
2ND & 8
OPP 37
+9
67.1%
Torrance Burgess Jr. run for 9 yds to the SHSU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:52
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+4
65.8%
Deion Hankins run for 4 yds to the SHSU 24Similar
Q2 9:52
2ND & 6
OPP 24
0
65.8%
Torrance Burgess Jr. run for no gain to the SHSU 24Similar
Q2 5:03
3RD & 6
OPP 24
+16
69.5%
Cade McConnell pass complete to Kelly Akharaiyi for 16 yds to the SHSU 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+2
68.3%
Torrance Burgess Jr. run for 2 yds to the SHSU 6Similar
Q2 5:03
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+1
68.3%
Cade McConnell run for 1 yd to the SHSU 5Similar
Q2 5:03
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
69.5%
Cade McConnell pass incomplete to Jeremiah BallardSimilar
Q2 2:45
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+23
67.7%
Buzz Flabiano 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SHSUDrive 7TD
10 plays · 65 yds · 2:0168% → 80%
Q2 2:45
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
68.2%
John Gentry run for 3 yds to the SHSU 38Similar
Q2 2:45
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+1
69.4%
John Gentry run for 1 yd to the SHSU 39Similar
Q2 2:45
3RD & 6
OWN 39
+14
68.3%
Keegan Shoemaker pass complete to Al'vonte Woodard for 14 yds to the UTEP 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:45
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+6
70.0%
Keegan Shoemaker pass complete to Noah Smith for 6 yds to the UTEP 41Similar
Q2 2:45
2ND & 4
OPP 41
0
70.1%
Keegan Shoemaker pass incomplete to Malik PhillipsSimilar
Q2 2:45
3RD & 4
OPP 41
+30
69.6%
Keegan Shoemaker pass complete to Noah Smith for 30 yds to the UTEP 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:45
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+5
70.6%
John Gentry run for 5 yds to the UTEP 6Similar
Q2 0:44
2ND & 5
OPP 6
+6
80.4%
Keegan Shoemaker pass complete to Malik Phillips for 6 yds for a TD (Colby Sessums KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 8FG
7 plays · 49 yds · 0:4421% → 27%
Q2 0:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+32
79.4%
Cade McConnell pass complete to Emari White for 32 yds to the SHSU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:44
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+17
76.7%
Emari White run for 17 yds to the SHSU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:18
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
76.3%
Cade McConnell pass incomplete to Emari WhiteSimilar
Q2 0:18
2ND & 10
OPP 26
0
76.7%
Cade McConnell pass incomplete to Kelly AkharaiyiSimilar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 10
OPP 26
+43
73.2%
Buzz Flabiano 43 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 9PUNT
6 plays · -3 yds · 2:0426% → 23%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
74.2%
Torrance Burgess Jr. run for 7 yds to the UTEP 32Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 32
0
72.7%
Cade McConnell pass incomplete to Kelly AkharaiyiSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 32
-15
74.2%
No Huddle Burgess Jr.,Torrance rush for 2 yards gain to the UTEP34 (Perry,Markel) PENALTY UTEP Personal Foul (Henry,Zuri) 15 yards from UTEP32 to UTEP17. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 18
OWN 17
+5
75.4%
Cade McConnell pass complete to Torrance Burgess Jr. for 5 yds to the UTEP 22Similar
Q3 12:56
4TH & 13
OWN 22
+21
76.8%
Joshua Sloan punt for 44 yds , Emon Allen returns for 21 yds to the UTEP 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SHSUDrive 10FG
8 plays · 40 yds · 2:1178% → 80%
Q3 12:56
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+6
78.4%
Keegan Shoemaker pass complete to Noah Smith for 6 yds to the UTEP 39Similar
Q3 12:56
2ND & 4
OPP 39
+3
78.4%
John Gentry run for 3 yds to the UTEP 36Similar
Q3 12:56
3RD & 1
OPP 36
+3
77.6%
John Gentry run for 3 yds to the UTEP 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:56
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+22
78.5%
Keegan Shoemaker pass complete to Al'vonte Woodard for 22 yds to the UTEP 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:56
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
78.5%
Keegan Shoemaker pass incomplete to Malik PhillipsSimilar
Q3 12:56
2ND & 10
OPP 11
0
78.5%
Keegan Shoemaker pass incomplete to Al'vonte WoodardSimilar
Q3 12:56
3RD & 10
OPP 11
+6
77.6%
Keegan Shoemaker run for 6 yds to the UTEP 5Similar
Q3 10:45
4TH & 4
OPP 5
+22
80.1%
Colby Sessums 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 11Uncategorized
5 plays · -7 yds · 1:5922% → 21%
Q3 10:39
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+6
77.8%
Mike Franklin run for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 10:39
2ND & 4
50
+2
77.0%
Mike Franklin run for 2 yds to the SHSU 48Similar
Q3 10:39
3RD & 2
OPP 48
+1
77.4%
Mike Franklin run for 1 yd to the SHSU 47Similar
Q3 8:40
4TH & 1
OPP 47
-15
79.2%
UTEP Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the UTEP 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SHSUDrive 12FG
6 plays · 23 yds · 2:2683% → 88%
Q3 8:40
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+9
83.1%
Keegan Shoemaker pass complete to Jay Rockwell for 9 yds to the UTEP 28Similar
Q3 8:40
2ND & 1
OPP 28
+10
83.1%
Keegan Shoemaker pass complete to John Gentry for 10 yds to the UTEP 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:40
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+2
83.1%
John Gentry run for 2 yds to the UTEP 16Similar
Q3 8:40
2ND & 8
OPP 16
0
83.1%
Keegan Shoemaker pass incomplete to Simeon EvansSimilar
Q3 8:40
3RD & 8
OPP 16
+2
82.5%
Keegan Shoemaker run for 2 yds to the UTEP 14Similar
Q3 6:14
4TH & 6
OPP 14
+31
87.9%
Colby Sessums 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 13TD
13 plays · 68 yds · 5:0015% → 28%
Q3 6:07
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+6
85.0%
Deion Hankins run for 6 yds to the UTEP 38Similar
Q3 6:07
2ND & 4
OWN 38
+6
84.2%
Deion Hankins run for 6 yds to the UTEP 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:07
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+6
84.4%
Mike Franklin run for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 4:06
2ND & 4
50
+1
84.4%
Torrance Burgess Jr. run for 1 yd to the SHSU 49Similar
Q3 4:06
3RD & 3
OPP 49
0
84.8%
Cade McConnell pass incomplete to Zach FryarSimilar
Q3 4:06
4TH & 3
OPP 49
+13
85.4%
Cade McConnell pass complete to Kelly Akharaiyi for 13 yds to the SHSU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:06
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
84.2%
Cade McConnell pass incomplete to Jeremiah BallardSimilar
Q3 4:06
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+5
84.4%
Cade McConnell pass complete to Jeremiah Ballard for 5 yds to the SHSU 31Similar
Q3 1:54
3RD & 5
OPP 31
+28
87.8%
Deion Hankins run for 28 yds to the SHSU 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
72.0%
Mike Franklin run for 3 yds for a TD (Buzz Flabiano KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SHSUDrive 14PUNT
7 plays · 21 yds · 0:4983% → 83%
Q3 0:02
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
83.4%
Keegan Shoemaker pass incomplete to Adrian MurdaughSimilar
Q3 0:02
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+13
83.2%
Keegan Shoemaker run for 13 yds to the SHSU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+6
84.3%
Adrian Murdaugh run for 6 yds to the SHSU 43Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 43
+2
85.2%
Keegan Shoemaker run for 2 yds to the SHSU 45Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 45
0
84.3%
Keegan Shoemaker pass incomplete to Noah SmithSimilar
Q4 14:13
4TH & 2
OWN 45
0
83.4%
Jadon Cardell punt for 35 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 15TD
7 plays · 80 yds · 2:4821% → 51%
Q4 14:13
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
78.9%
Deion Hankins run for 9 yds to the UTEP 29Similar
Q4 14:13
2ND & 1
OWN 29
+41
76.8%
Cade McConnell pass complete to Kelly Akharaiyi for 41 yds to the SHSU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:13
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+2
73.1%
Mike Franklin run for 2 yds to the SHSU 28Similar
Q4 14:13
2ND & 8
OPP 28
+3
72.4%
Deion Hankins run for 3 yds to the SHSU 25Similar
Q4 11:25
3RD & 5
OPP 25
+25
49.1%
Cade McConnell pass complete to Kelly Akharaiyi for 25 yds for a TD (Buzz Flabiano KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SHSUDrive 16INT
3 plays · 0 yds · 1:2261% → 59%
Q4 11:25
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+4
61.0%
John Gentry run for 4 yds to the SHSU 16Similar
Q4 11:25
2ND & 6
OWN 16
+4
61.1%
Keegan Shoemaker run for 4 yds to the SHSU 12Similar
Q4 10:03
3RD & 10
OWN 12
0
59.3%
Keegan Shoemaker pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 17TD
2 plays · 1 yds · 0:0082% → 82%
Q4 9:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
17.8%
Kevin Hurley run for 1 yd for a TD (Buzz Flabiano KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SHSUDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:4830% → 27%
Q4 9:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
30.2%
John Gentry run for 1 yd to the SHSU 26Similar
Q4 9:57
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
30.2%
Keegan Shoemaker pass incomplete to Malik PhillipsSimilar
Q4 9:57
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
28.9%
Keegan Shoemaker pass incomplete to Malik PhillipsSimilar
Q4 9:09
4TH & 9
OWN 26
+6
27.3%
Jadon Cardell punt for 45 yds , Torrance Burgess Jr. returns for 6 yds to the UTEP 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 19INT
3 plays · 0 yds · 0:5180% → 80%
Q4 9:09
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-5
20.2%
PENALTY UTEP False Start (Pitts III,Otis) 5 yards from UTEP35 to UTEP30. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 9:09
1ST & 15
OWN 30
+5
21.2%
Torrance Burgess Jr. run for 5 yds to the UTEP 35Similar
Q4 8:18
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
19.6%
Cade McConnell pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SHSUDrive 20TD
5 plays · 37 yds · 2:1634% → 67%
Q4 8:18
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+5
34.3%
Keegan Shoemaker run for 5 yds to the UTEP 32Similar
Q4 8:18
2ND & 5
OPP 32
+23
37.5%
Simeon Evans pass complete to Malik Phillips for 23 yds to the UTEP 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
37.5%
John Gentry run for no gain to the UTEP 9Similar
Q4 8:18
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+5
37.5%
Keegan Shoemaker pass complete to Noah Smith for 5 yds to the UTEP 4Similar
Q4 6:02
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
66.9%
Noah Smith run for 4 yds for a TD (Colby Sessums KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 21PUNT
6 plays · 6 yds · 2:2547% → 45%
Q4 6:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
53.3%
Torrance Burgess Jr. run for no gain to the UTEP 25Similar
Q4 6:02
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
53.8%
Cade McConnell run for 1 yd to the UTEP 26Similar
Q4 6:02
3RD & 9
OWN 26
-5
55.1%
PENALTY UTEP False Start (Hankins,Deion) 5 yards from UTEP26 to UTEP21. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 6:02
3RD & 14
OWN 21
+10
56.0%
Cade McConnell pass complete to Kelly Akharaiyi for 10 yds to the UTEP 31Similar
Q4 3:37
4TH & 4
OWN 31
+1
55.4%
Joshua Sloan punt for 54 yds , Emon Allen returns for 1 yd to the SHSU 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SHSUDrive 22PUNT
7 plays · 9 yds · 2:3261% → 54%
Q4 3:37
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+8
60.9%
Keegan Shoemaker run for 8 yds to the SHSU 24Similar
Q4 3:37
2ND & 2
OWN 24
+6
62.3%
John Gentry run for 6 yds to the SHSU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:37
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
61.8%
Keegan Shoemaker pass complete to John Gentry for 4 yds to the SHSU 26Similar
Q4 3:37
2ND & 14
OWN 26
0
59.9%
Keegan Shoemaker pass incomplete to Al'vonte WoodardSimilar
Q4 3:37
3RD & 14
OWN 26
+1
58.1%
John Gentry run for 1 yd to the SHSU 25Similar
Q4 1:05
4TH & 15
OWN 25
0
54.3%
Jadon Cardell punt for 31 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 23FG
4 plays · 41 yds · 1:0255% → 95%
Q4 1:05
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+37
45.4%
Cade McConnell pass complete to Jeremiah Ballard for 37 yds to the SHSU 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:05
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+4
37.9%
Deion Hankins run for 4 yds to the SHSU 15Similar
Q4 0:03
2ND & 6
OPP 15
+32
4.8%
Buzz Flabiano 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SHSUDrive 24END OF GAME
3 plays · 0 yds · 0:0114% → 15%
Q4 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+7
14.4%
No Huddle-Shotgun Shoemaker,Keegan pass incomplete short to Woodard,Al'Vonte PENALTY UTEP Pass Interference (Odums,AJ) 7 yards from SAM30 to SAM37, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-7
14.8%
Keegan Shoemaker sacked by Maurice Westmoreland for a loss of 7 yards to the SHSU 30 Keegan Shoemaker fumbled, recovered by SHSU James Dawn II , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
FG · Q4 0:03
Buzz Flabiano 32 yd FG GOOD
-33
TD · Q4 11:25
Cade McConnell pass complete to Kelly Akharaiyi for 25 yds for a TD (Buzz Flabiano KICK)
-31.7
TD · Q4 6:02
Noah Smith run for 4 yds for a TD (Colby Sessums KICK)
+29.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com