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JXST

Jacksonville State 41 at Florida International 16

FIU
2023 · Week 9 · Oct 25, 2023 · FIU Stadium
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Win probability · FIU
modelFIU aheadJXST aheadconfidence bandkey playFIU scoreJXST score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGFGFGFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 7:45 · Daton Montiel punt for 39 yds
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+57.0+28.50−28.5−57.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 16Home team on offense−1.5Score differential−0.3Pregame prior−13.9Garbage-time factor−0.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.3Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 1:14: Zion Webb pass complete to Sean Brown for 9 yds for a TD (Alen Karajic KICK) — JXST win probability +9.2 pts (now 79%) (top driver: JXST has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 0:05: Alen Karajic 28 yd FG GOOD — JXST win probability +4.4 pts (now 91%) (top driver: JXST has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 9:32: Grayson James run for 1 yd for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed) — FIU win probability +4.4 pts (now 16%) (top driver: FIU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 2:29: Grayson James pass complete to Kris Mitchell for 8 yds for a TD (Chase Gabriel KICK) — FIU win probability +10.0 pts (now 25%) (top driver: FIU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 10:48: Ron Wiggins run for 16 yds for a TD (Alen Karajic KICK) — JXST win probability +10.8 pts (now 96%) (top driver: JXST has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
FIU made the numbers' call on 10 of 13JXST made the numbers' call on 8 of 9
  1. Q1 11:40FIU 4th & 18 at FIU 19, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.5%−0.2
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.7%
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:45FIU 4th & 15 at FIU 22, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.4%−0.6
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.0%
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:41FIU 4th & 7 at FIU 28, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.6%−0.4
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.0%
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:07FIU 4th & 26 at FIU 24, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.1%−1.2
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.4%
    average punt
  5. Q2 11:30JXST 4th & 12 at JXST 44, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 83.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.5%−0.6
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.1%
    average punt
  6. Q2 7:13FIU 4th & 9 at JXST 32, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 17.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.8%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    16.9%
    51% to make
    Punt
    16.4%−0.5
    average punt
  7. Q2 6:12JXST 4th & 8 at JXST 42, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 83.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.7%−0.9
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    83.6%
    average punt
  8. Q2 5:04FIU 4th & 9 at FIU 29, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.0%−0.6
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.7%
    average punt
  9. Q2 2:31JXST 4th & 8 at JXST 36, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 84.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.9%−0.3
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.2%
    average punt
  10. Q2 1:35FIU 4th & 12 at FIU 33, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.3%−1.2
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.6%
    average punt
  11. Q3 15:00JXST 4th & 1 at JXST 34, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 89.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    90.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    89.7%−0.5
    average punt
  12. Q3 13:07JXST 4th & 10 at JXST 35, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 90.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.1%−0.8
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.9%
    average punt
  13. Q3 12:23JXST 4th & 9 at FIU 19, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 91.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.0%−0.7
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    91.7%
    77% to make
    Punt
    87.8%−3.8
    average punt
  14. Q3 8:00JXST 4th & 10 at JXST 25, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 89.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.7%−1.6
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.3%
    average punt
  15. Q3 8:00FIU 4th & 9 at JXST 37, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 13.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    13.5%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    13.3%−0.2
    40% to make
    Punt
    13.2%−0.4
    average punt
  16. Q3 8:00FIU 4th & 1 at JXST 9, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 14.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    14.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    12.0%−2.1
    89% to make
    Punt
    5.9%−8.2
    average punt
  17. Q3 0:17JXST 4th & 8 at JXST 42, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 81.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.7%−1.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    82.7%
    average punt
  18. Q4 12:04FIU 4th & 19 at FIU 38, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.4%−1.7
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.2%
    average punt
  19. Q4 10:39FIU 4th & 6 at FIU 29, down 18
    Close callWent for it · 4.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.3%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    4.3%
    average punt
  20. Q4 7:59FIU 4th & 15 at FIU 39, down 18
    Close callWent for it · 4.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.3%−0.5
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    3.8%
    average punt
  21. Q4 2:53FIU 4th & 2 at FIU 33, down 25
    Close callWent for it · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%−<0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.3%
    average punt
  22. Q4 0:36JXST 4th & 6 at FIU 30, up 25
    Close callWent for it · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.8%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    99.8%
    56% to make
    Punt
    99.7%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
FIU made the numbers' call on 1 of 2JXST made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 9:17JXST Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    69.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 6:23JXST Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 1:14JXST Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 9:32FIU Touchdown, down 18 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    12.3%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    12.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 2:29FIU Touchdown, down 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    16.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    16.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 10:48JXST Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.2%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 4:40JXST Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.3%−0.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
FIUDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 3:1634% → 36%
Q1 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+9
34.4%
Shomari Lawrence run for 9 yds to the FIU 24Similar
Q1 14:56
2ND & 1
OWN 24
+3
34.4%
Keyone Jenkins run for 3 yds to the FIU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
34.4%
Shomari Lawrence run for no gain to the FIU 27Similar
Q1 13:10
2ND & 10
OWN 27
0
35.1%
Keyone Jenkins run for no gain to the FIU 27Similar
Q1 13:10
3RD & 10
OWN 27
-8
35.0%
Keyone Jenkins sacked by Chris Hardie for a loss of 8 yards to the FIU 19Similar
Q1 11:40
4TH & 18
OWN 19
0
35.5%
Daton Montiel punt for 41 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 2TD
6 plays · 60 yds · 2:2365% → 66%
Q1 11:40
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+21
35.5%
Anwar Lewis run for 21 yds to the FIU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:40
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
35.4%
Anwar Lewis run for no gain to the FIU 39Similar
Q1 11:40
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+17
35.4%
Zion Webb pass complete to P.J. Wells for 17 yds to the FIU 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:40
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+7
35.3%
Zion Webb pass complete to Anwar Lewis for 7 yds to the FIU 15Similar
Q1 11:40
2ND & 3
OPP 15
+2
35.3%
Zion Webb run for 2 yds to the FIU 13Similar
Q1 9:17
3RD & 1
OPP 13
+13
34.2%
Zion Webb run for 13 yds for a TD (Alen Karajic KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · -5 yds · 1:2635% → 34%
Q1 9:11
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
34.8%
Keyone Jenkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:11
2ND & 10
OWN 27
-2
34.7%
Shomari Lawrence run for a loss of 2 yards to the FIU 25Similar
Q1 9:11
3RD & 12
OWN 25
-3
34.5%
Keyone Jenkins sacked by Jaylen Swain for a loss of 3 yards to the FIU 22Similar
Q1 7:45
4TH & 15
OWN 22
0
34.2%
Daton Montiel punt for 39 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 4TD
6 plays · 61 yds · 1:2266% → 69%
Q1 7:45
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+12
33.9%
Ron Wiggins run for 12 yds to the FIU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:45
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+5
33.8%
Zion Webb run for 5 yds to the FIU 44Similar
Q1 7:45
2ND & 5
OPP 44
0
33.7%
Zion Webb pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:45
3RD & 5
OPP 44
+15
33.9%
WEBB, Zion pass deep to the left incomplete intended for GALBAN, Sterling thrown to the FIU10. PENALTY FIU Pass Interference on DANIEL, D'Verik enforced 15 yards to the FIU29 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 7:45
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+7
33.7%
Zion Webb run for 7 yds to the FIU 22Similar
Q1 6:23
2ND & 3
OPP 22
+22
30.8%
Ron Wiggins run for 22 yds for a TD (Alen Karajic KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:4232% → 32%
Q1 6:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
32.1%
Kejon Owens run for 3 yds to the FIU 28Similar
Q1 6:23
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
32.2%
Keyone Jenkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:23
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
32.0%
Keyone Jenkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:41
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
31.6%
Daton Montiel punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Sterling Galban at the JVST 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 6TD
10 plays · 60 yds · 4:2070% → 79%
Q1 5:34
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
30.5%
Malik Jackson run for 4 yds to the JVST 44Similar
Q1 5:34
2ND & 6
OWN 44
+6
30.5%
Zion Webb pass complete to Michael Pettway for 6 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:34
1ST & 10
50
0
30.5%
Zion Webb pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:34
2ND & 10
50
+7
30.5%
Zion Webb run for 7 yds to the FIU 43Similar
Q1 5:34
3RD & 3
OPP 43
+8
30.6%
Malik Jackson run for 8 yds to the FIU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:34
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+10
30.5%
Malik Jackson run for 10 yds to the FIU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:34
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+9
30.4%
Zion Webb run for 9 yds to the FIU 16Similar
Q1 5:34
2ND & 1
OPP 16
+5
30.4%
JACKSON, Malik rush up the middle for a gain of 2 yards to the FIU14 (GUERAD, Jordan;SALLA JR., Bobby). PENALTY Before the snap, FIU Illegal Substitution enforced 5 yards from the FIU16 to the FIU11 and results in a 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 5:34
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+2
30.4%
Anwar Lewis run for 2 yds to the FIU 9Similar
Q1 1:14
2ND & 8
OPP 9
+9
21.2%
Zion Webb pass complete to Sean Brown for 9 yds for a TD (Alen Karajic KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 2:0724% → 22%
Q1 1:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
23.7%
JENKINS, Keyone pass to the right incomplete intended for PATTERSON, Dean thrown to the FIU34. PENALTY JAX Roughing the Passer on AL-AMIN, Jibreel enforced 15 yards from the FIU25 to the FIU40 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 1:14
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-15
24.3%
Keyone Jenkins sacked by Jeff Marks for a loss of 15 yards to the FIU 25Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 25
OWN 25
0
22.5%
Keyone Jenkins run for no gain to the FIU 25Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 25
OWN 25
-1
22.4%
Kejon Owens run for a loss of 1 yard to the FIU 24Similar
Q2 14:07
4TH & 26
OWN 24
0
21.8%
Daton Montiel punt for 39 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 8PUNT
7 plays · 8 yds · 2:3780% → 82%
Q2 14:07
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
19.7%
Zion Webb run for 4 yds to the JVST 40Similar
Q2 14:07
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+6
19.6%
Anwar Lewis run for 6 yds to the JVST 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:46
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
18.0%
Zion Webb run for 2 yds to the JVST 48Similar
Q2 12:46
2ND & 8
OWN 48
-4
18.0%
Malik Jackson run for a loss of 4 yards to the JVST 44Similar
Q2 12:46
3RD & 12
OWN 44
0
18.3%
Zion Webb run for no gain to the JVST 44Similar
Q2 11:30
4TH & 12
OWN 44
0
17.8%
Jack Dawson punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Dean Patterson at the FIU 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 9FG
12 plays · 48 yds · 4:1720% → 24%
Q2 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
20.2%
Shomari Lawrence run for 2 yds to the FIU 22Similar
Q2 11:30
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+5
20.2%
Shomari Lawrence run for 5 yds to the FIU 27Similar
Q2 11:30
3RD & 3
OWN 27
+14
20.3%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Eric Rivers for 14 yds to the FIU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
21.2%
Shomari Lawrence run for 5 yds to the FIU 46Similar
Q2 11:30
2ND & 5
OWN 46
+4
21.3%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Eric Rivers for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 11:30
3RD & 1
50
+17
21.5%
Shomari Lawrence run for 17 yds to the JVST 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:45
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
20.2%
Keyone Jenkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:45
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+1
20.1%
Shomari Lawrence run for 1 yd to the JVST 32Similar
Q2 7:18
3RD & 9
OPP 32
0
19.9%
Kejon Owens run for no gain to the JVST 32Similar
Q2 7:13
4TH & 9
OPP 32
+50
23.5%
Chase Gabriel 50 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 10PUNT
6 plays · 17 yds · 1:0172% → 75%
Q2 7:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
27.9%
Zion Webb pass complete to P.J. Wells for 15 yds to the JVST 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:13
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
27.2%
Ron Wiggins run for 2 yds to the JVST 42Similar
Q2 7:13
2ND & 8
OWN 42
0
27.3%
Zion Webb pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:13
3RD & 8
OWN 42
0
27.5%
Zion Webb pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:12
4TH & 8
OWN 42
0
25.0%
Jack Dawson punt for 30 yds, downed at the FIU 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:0824% → 22%
Q2 6:12
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+1
23.5%
Kejon Owens run for 1 yd to the FIU 29Similar
Q2 6:12
2ND & 9
OWN 29
0
23.3%
Kejon Owens run for no gain to the FIU 29Similar
Q2 6:12
3RD & 9
OWN 29
0
23.0%
Keyone Jenkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:04
4TH & 9
OWN 29
0
22.3%
Daton Montiel punt for 54 yds, fair catch by Sterling Galban at the JVST 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 12PUNT
9 plays · 19 yds · 2:2677% → 77%
Q2 4:57
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+4
22.8%
Malik Jackson run for 4 yds to the JVST 21Similar
Q2 4:57
2ND & 6
OWN 21
+4
22.8%
Malik Jackson run for 4 yds to the JVST 25Similar
Q2 4:57
3RD & 2
OWN 25
+9
22.8%
Zion Webb pass complete to Anwar Lewis for 9 yds to the JVST 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:57
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+2
22.6%
Anwar Lewis run for 2 yds to the JVST 36Similar
Q2 2:46
2ND & 8
OWN 36
-3
22.0%
Zion Webb run for a loss of 3 yards to the JVST 33Similar
Q2 2:46
3RD & 11
OWN 33
+3
23.0%
Zion Webb run for 3 yds to the JVST 36Similar
Q2 2:31
4TH & 8
OWN 36
0
22.8%
Jack Dawson punt for 29 yds, downed at the FIU 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 0:5626% → 24%
Q2 2:31
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
26.2%
Keyone Jenkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:31
2ND & 10
OWN 35
-5
25.8%
Shomari Lawrence run for a loss of 5 yards to the FIU 30Similar
Q2 1:35
3RD & 15
OWN 30
+3
23.7%
Shomari Lawrence run for 3 yds to the FIU 33Similar
Q2 1:35
4TH & 12
OWN 33
0
24.1%
Daton Montiel punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Sterling Galban at the JVST 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 14FG
7 plays · 64 yds · 1:2383% → 91%
Q2 1:28
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
17.3%
Ron Wiggins run for no gain to the JVST 26Similar
Q2 1:28
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+29
17.5%
Zion Webb run for 29 yds to the FIU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+3
15.2%
Ron Wiggins run for 3 yds to the FIU 42Similar
Q2 1:00
2ND & 7
OPP 42
+30
15.3%
Zion Webb pass complete to Quinton Lane for 30 yds to the FIU 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:00
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+2
13.8%
Ron Wiggins run for 2 yds to the FIU 10Similar
Q2 1:00
2ND & 8
OPP 10
0
13.8%
Zion Webb pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:05
3RD & 8
OPP 10
+28
9.3%
Alen Karajic 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 15END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0020% → 20%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 11
0
19.7%
Kneel down by FIU at FIU10 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 16PUNT
8 plays · 10 yds · 1:5389% → 89%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
10.9%
Anwar Lewis run for 4 yds to the JVST 29Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
10.8%
Zion Webb run for no gain to the JVST 29Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+5
11.2%
Zion Webb pass complete to Quinton Lane for 5 yds to the JVST 34Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+1
11.4%
Zion Webb run for 1 yd to the JVST 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
10.8%
Zion Webb pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
10.8%
Anwar Lewis run for no gain to the JVST 35Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 35
0
11.3%
Zion Webb pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:07
4TH & 10
OWN 35
0
10.6%
Jack Dawson punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Dean Patterson at the FIU 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 17FUMBLE
1 play · 9 yds · 0:0013% → 13%
Q3 12:59
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+9
13.2%
Grayson James pass complete to Kris Mitchell for 9 yds Kris Mitchell fumbled, recovered by JVST Jaylen Swain [NHSG] JAMES, Grayson pass short to the left complete for 9 yards to MITCHELL, Kris caught at the FIU23, MITCHELL, Kris fumbled at FIU25 forced by PERRY, Fred, recovered by JAX SWAIN, J-Rock at the FIU27, returned 7 yards to the FIU20 (MCDONALD, Jackson;PERRY, Fred), clock 12:59.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 18FG
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:3691% → 92%
Q3 12:59
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+1
9.0%
Zion Webb run for 1 yd to the FIU 19Similar
Q3 12:59
2ND & 9
OPP 19
0
9.0%
Zion Webb pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:59
3RD & 9
OPP 19
0
9.6%
Zion Webb pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:23
4TH & 9
OPP 19
+38
8.0%
Alen Karajic 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 19TD
6 plays · 72 yds · 2:4610% → 16%
Q3 12:18
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+60
9.6%
Grayson James pass complete to Kris Mitchell for 60 yds to the JVST 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:18
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+7
11.4%
Shomari Lawrence run for 7 yds to the JVST 5Similar
Q3 12:18
2ND & 3
OPP 5
0
11.4%
Shomari Lawrence run for no gain to the JVST 5Similar
Q3 12:18
3RD & 3
OPP 5
+3
11.0%
Shomari Lawrence run for 3 yds to the JVST 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
11.8%
Shomari Lawrence run for 1 yd to the JVST 1Similar
Q3 9:32
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
16.1%
Grayson James run for 1 yd for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:3288% → 88%
Q3 9:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-9
12.1%
run for a loss of 9 yards to the JVST 16 fumbled, recovered by JVST Zion Webb [NHSG] JAX rush up the middle for a loss of 9 yards, fumbled at JAX25 , recovered by JAX WEBB, Zion at the JAX16, returned 0 yards to the JAX16, End of Play.Similar
Q3 9:32
2ND & 19
OWN 16
+2
12.1%
Ron Wiggins run for 2 yds to the JVST 18Similar
Q3 9:32
3RD & 17
OWN 18
+7
12.4%
Zion Webb pass complete to Ron Wiggins for 7 yds to the JVST 25Similar
Q3 8:00
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
11.8%
Jack Dawson punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Dean Patterson at the FIU 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 21TD
12 plays · 58 yds · 5:3115% → 25%
Q3 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
14.5%
Grayson James pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:00
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+20
14.2%
Grayson James pass complete to Kris Mitchell for 20 yds to the JVST 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+6
15.0%
Grayson James pass complete to Eric Rivers for 6 yds to the JVST 32Similar
Q3 8:00
2ND & 4
OPP 32
-10
15.6%
OWENS, Kejon rush to the right for a gain of 15 yards to the JAX17 (DRAKE, Quae). PENALTY FIU Holding on HOUSTON, Phillip enforced 10 yards from the JAX32 to the JAX42 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 8:00
2ND & 14
OPP 42
0
14.3%
Grayson James pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:00
3RD & 14
OPP 42
+5
13.9%
Shomari Lawrence run for 5 yds to the JVST 37Similar
Q3 8:00
4TH & 9
OPP 37
+19
14.5%
Grayson James pass complete to Rocky Beers for 19 yds to the JVST 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:00
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
15.6%
Grayson James run for no gain to the JVST 18Similar
Q3 8:00
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+9
15.4%
Grayson James pass complete to Jackson McDonald for 9 yds to the JVST 9Similar
Q3 8:00
3RD & 1
OPP 9
0
15.3%
Grayson James run for no gain to the JVST 9Similar
Q3 8:00
4TH & 1
OPP 9
+1
15.3%
Grayson James run for 1 yd to the JVST 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
25.3%
Grayson James pass complete to Kris Mitchell for 8 yds for a TD (Chase Gabriel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 22PUNT
6 plays · 17 yds · 2:1279% → 81%
Q3 2:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
21.4%
Zion Webb run for 6 yds to the JVST 31Similar
Q3 2:29
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+9
20.9%
Malik Jackson run for 9 yds to the JVST 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:29
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
19.7%
Malik Jackson run for 1 yd to the JVST 41Similar
Q3 2:29
2ND & 9
OWN 41
+1
19.9%
Malik Jackson run for 1 yd to the JVST 42Similar
Q3 2:29
3RD & 8
OWN 42
0
20.2%
Zion Webb pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:17
4TH & 8
OWN 42
0
19.0%
Jack Dawson punt for 49 yds, downed at the FIU 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 23PUNT
8 plays · 29 yds · 3:1319% → 15%
Q3 0:17
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+12
18.8%
Grayson James pass complete to Kris Mitchell for 12 yds to the FIU 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+5
19.1%
Shomari Lawrence run for 5 yds to the FIU 26 Shomari Lawrence fumbled, recovered by FIU Shomari Lawrence [NHSG] LAWRENCE, Shomari rush up the middle for a gain of 5 yards, LAWRENCE, Shomari fumbled at FIU26 forced by FUQUA, Kolbi, recovered by FIU LAWRENCE, Shomari at the FIU26, returned 0 yards to the FIU26 (FUQUA, Kolbi).Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 26
0
19.6%
Grayson James pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 26
+21
18.3%
Grayson James pass complete to Dean Patterson for 21 yds to the FIU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-4
21.4%
Grayson James sacked by Jaylen Swain for a loss of 4 yards to the FIU 43Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 14
OWN 43
+1
19.6%
Kejon Owens run for 1 yd to the FIU 44Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 13
OWN 44
-6
18.7%
Grayson James sacked by Curley Young Jr. for a loss of 6 yards to the FIU 38Similar
Q4 12:04
4TH & 19
OWN 38
0
15.2%
Daton Montiel punt for 25 yds , Sterling Galban returns for no gain to the JVST 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 24TD
3 plays · 48 yds · 1:1685% → 96%
Q4 12:04
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+30
15.2%
Zion Webb run for 30 yds to the FIU 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:04
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+2
14.5%
Zion Webb run for 2 yds to the FIU 16Similar
Q4 10:48
2ND & 8
OPP 16
+16
3.7%
Ron Wiggins run for 16 yds for a TD (Alen Karajic KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 25DOWNS
9 plays · 14 yds · 2:495% → 4%
Q4 10:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
4.9%
Grayson James pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:48
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
4.8%
Grayson James pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:39
3RD & 10
OWN 25
-5
4.7%
Florida International Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the FIU 20Similar
Q4 10:39
3RD & 15
OWN 20
+9
4.6%
Grayson James pass complete to Josiah Miamen for 9 yds to the FIU 29Similar
Q4 10:39
4TH & 6
OWN 29
+15
4.7%
Grayson James pass complete to Josiah Miamen for 15 yds to the FIU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:39
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
5.2%
Kejon Owens run for no gain to the FIU 44Similar
Q4 10:39
2ND & 10
OWN 44
0
5.0%
Grayson James pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:43
3RD & 10
OWN 44
-7
4.5%
Grayson James run for a loss of 7 yards to the FIU 39 Grayson James fumbled, recovered by FIU Grayson James (08:43) [NHSG] QB Keeper JAMES, Grayson rush up the middle for a loss of 7 yards, JAMES, Grayson fumbled at FIU38 , recovered by FIU JAMES, Grayson at the FIU37, returned 2 yards to the FIU39 (SWAIN, J-Rock).Similar
Q4 7:59
4TH & 15
OWN 39
0
4.2%
Grayson James pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 26TD
12 plays · 39 yds · 3:1997% → 100%
Q4 7:59
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+1
3.1%
Anwar Lewis run for 1 yd to the FIU 38Similar
Q4 7:59
2ND & 9
OPP 38
0
3.1%
Anwar Lewis run for no gain to the FIU 38Similar
Q4 7:59
3RD & 9
OPP 38
+15
3.1%
Florida International Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (Alex Nobles) to the FIU 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:59
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+9
3.1%
Anwar Lewis run for 9 yds to the FIU 10Similar
Q4 5:18
2ND & 1
OPP 10
0
2.0%
Anwar Lewis run for no gain to the FIU 10Similar
Q4 5:18
3RD & 1
OPP 10
+5
2.0%
(05:18) QB Keeper WEBB, Zion rush up the middle for no gain to the FIU10 (DALY, Jack;GUERAD, Jordan). PENALTY FIU Offsides on GUERAD, Jordan enforced 5 yards from the FIU10 to the FIU5 and results in a 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 4:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
1.6%
Anwar Lewis run for no gain to the FIU 5Similar
Q4 4:44
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
1.5%
Ron Wiggins run for 2 yds to the FIU 3Similar
Q4 4:40
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
0.2%
Zion Webb run for 3 yds for a TD (Alen Karajic KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 27DOWNS
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:470% → 0%
Q4 4:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
0.1%
JAMES, Grayson pass short to the right complete for 7 yards to MCDONALD, Jackson caught at the FIU26 and advanced to the FIU32 (MCCRAY, K'won). PENALTY FIU Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass on LEE, JaDarious declined FIU Pass Interference on PATTERSON, Dean enforced half the distance from the goal, 12 yards to the FIU13 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 4:40
1ST & 22
OWN 13
+8
0.1%
Grayson James run for 8 yds to the FIU 21Similar
Q4 4:40
2ND & 14
OWN 21
0
0.1%
Grayson James pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:39
3RD & 14
OWN 21
+12
0.1%
Grayson James pass complete to Jackson McDonald for 12 yds to the FIU 33Similar
Q4 2:53
4TH & 2
OWN 33
+1
0.1%
Antonio Patterson run for 1 yd to the FIU 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 28DOWNS
4 plays · 6 yds · 2:17100% → 100%
Q4 2:53
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-4
0.2%
Reggion Bennett run for a loss of 4 yards to the FIU 38Similar
Q4 2:53
2ND & 14
OPP 38
+4
0.2%
Reggion Bennett run for 4 yds to the FIU 34Similar
Q4 2:53
3RD & 10
OPP 34
+4
0.2%
Reggion Bennett run for 4 yds to the FIU 30Similar
Q4 0:36
4TH & 6
OPP 30
+2
0.1%
Logan Smothers run for 2 yds to the FIU 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 29END OF 4TH QUARTER
1 play · -1 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
0.1%
[NH] Kneel down by FIU at FIU27 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 10:48
Ron Wiggins run for 16 yds for a TD (Alen Karajic KICK)
-10.8
TD · Q3 2:29
Grayson James pass complete to Kris Mitchell for 8 yds for a TD (Chase Gabriel KICK)
+10
TD · Q1 1:14
Zion Webb pass complete to Sean Brown for 9 yds for a TD (Alen Karajic KICK)
-9.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com