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USF

South Florida 24 at UConn 21

CONN
2023 · Week 8 · Oct 21, 2023 · Pratt & Whitney Stadium
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Win probability · CONN
modelCONN aheadUSF aheadconfidence bandkey playCONN scoreUSF score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 2:48 · Andrew Stokes punt for 41 yds
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+34.5+17.30−17.3−34.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 39Home team on offense−2.9Garbage-time factor−0.9Score differential−0.9Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.7Blowout margin+0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 3:40: Ta'Quan Roberson pass complete to Camryn Edwards for 6 yds for a TD (Joe McFadden KICK) — CONN win probability +9.4 pts (now 62%) (top driver: CONN has the ball).
  2. TD · Q4 12:45: Camryn Edwards run for 33 yds for a TD (Joe McFadden KICK) — CONN win probability +14.9 pts (now 88%) (top driver: CONN has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 9:51: Byrum Brown run for 6 yds for a TD (John Cannon KICK) — USF win probability +20.9 pts (now 41%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  4. TD · Q4 4:02: Nay'Quan Wright run for 4 yds for a TD (John Cannon KICK) — USF win probability +42.6 pts (now 79%) (top driver: USF has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 1:54: Timeout UConn, clock 01:54 — USF win probability +23.2 pts (now 88%) (top driver: USF has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CONN made the numbers' call on 5 of 7USF made the numbers' call on 7 of 9
  1. Q1 11:34USF 4th & 4 at CONN 5, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 47.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    47.2%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    47.2%−<0.1
    92% to make
    Punt
    46.7%−0.6
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:51CONN 4th & 7 at CONN 4, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 50.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.1%−0.3
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.4%
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:45USF 4th & 11 at CONN 27, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 50.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.1%−0.4
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    50.4%
    62% to make
    Punt
    48.7%−1.7
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:36CONN 4th & 5 at USF 38, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 50.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    50.3%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    49.8%−0.5
    38% to make
    Punt
    49.8%−0.5
    average punt
  5. Q1 2:48USF 4th & 5 at USF 43, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 51.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.5%−0.2
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    51.7%
    average punt
  6. Q2 10:42USF 4th & 3 at CONN 46, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 47.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    47.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    45.8%−1.5
    23% to make
    Punt
    46.7%−0.6
    average punt
  7. Q2 9:25CONN 4th & 10 at USF 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 54.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.5%−0.3
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    54.8%
    56% to make
    Punt
    54.1%−0.7
    average punt
  8. Q2 6:48USF 4th & 8 at CONN 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 48.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.4%−0.3
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    47.8%
    64% to make
    Punt
    43.6%−4.2
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:51USF 4th & 12 at CONN 21, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 40.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.1%−1.6
    22% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    40.6%
    74% to make
    Punt
    35.9%−4.7
    average punt
  10. Q3 13:25CONN 4th & 2 at CONN 35, up 4
    Close callPunted · 60.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.6%−0.5
    average punt
  11. Q3 11:39USF 4th & 2 at USF 29, down 4
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.0 ptsPunted · 37.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.4%−1.0
    average punt
  12. Q3 9:48CONN 4th & 11 at CONN 10, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 62.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.7%−1.6
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.3%
    average punt
  13. Q3 3:22CONN 4th & 18 at CONN 32, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 65.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.3%−5.7
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.0%
    average punt
  14. Q3 1:31USF 4th & 9 at USF 32, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.1%−2.6
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.7%
    average punt
  15. Q4 6:58CONN 4th & 6 at USF 40, up 4
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.7 ptsPunted · 77.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.6%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    74.5%−3.2
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    74.9%−2.7
    average punt
  16. Q4 0:09USF 4th & 6 at CONN 28, up 3
    Numbers favored field goal by 6.6 ptsWent for it · 86.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    81.7%−6.6
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    88.4%
    60% to make
    Punt
    73.0%−15.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CONN made the numbers' call on 3 of 3USF made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 10:21USF Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    48.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    48.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 14:04CONN Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    52.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    52.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 3:40CONN Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    60.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    60.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 12:45CONN Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 9:51USF Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    28.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    27.0%−1.0
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 4:02USF Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    62.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    61.5%−1.0
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
USFDrive 1DOWNS
11 plays · 71 yds · 3:2651% → 51%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+41
48.8%
Nay'Quan Wright run for 41 yds to the CONN 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
48.8%
Nay'Quan Wright run for no gain to the CONN 34Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+9
48.8%
Nay'Quan Wright run for 9 yds to the CONN 25Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 25
+1
48.8%
Nay'Quan Wright run for 1 yd to the CONN 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+2
48.8%
Byrum Brown pass complete to Sean Atkins for 2 yds Sean Atkins fumbled, recovered by USFSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 11
OPP 25
+8
48.8%
Byrum Brown pass complete to Naiem Simmons for 8 yds to the CONN 17Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 17
+6
48.8%
Byrum Brown run for 6 yds to the CONN 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
48.8%
K'Wan Powell run for no gain to the CONN 11Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 11
+4
48.8%
K'Wan Powell run for 4 yds to the CONN 7Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 7
+2
48.8%
Byrum Brown pass complete to Jayson Littlejohn for 2 yds to the CONN 5Similar
Q1 11:34
4TH & 4
OPP 5
+1
49.2%
Byrum Brown run for 1 yd to the CONN 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 2FUMBLE
2 plays · 6 yds · 0:4350% → 50%
Q1 11:34
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+4
49.5%
Victor Rosa run for 4 yds to the CONN 8Similar
Q1 10:51
2ND & 6
OWN 8
+2
49.5%
Victor Rosa run for 2 yds to the CONN 10 Victor Rosa fumbled, recovered by USF Jaelen StokesSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 3TD
2 plays · 10 yds · 0:3051% → 53%
Q1 10:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+9
48.9%
Nay'Quan Wright run for 9 yds to the CONN 1Similar
Q1 10:21
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
47.3%
Nay'Quan Wright run for 1 yd for a TD (John Cannon KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:3048% → 47%
Q1 10:21
1ST & 10
OWN 1
0
47.8%
Jelani Stafford run for no gain to the CONN 1Similar
Q1 10:21
2ND & 10
OWN 1
+3
47.8%
Camryn Edwards run for 3 yds to the CONN 4Similar
Q1 10:21
3RD & 7
OWN 4
0
47.6%
Ta'Quan Roberson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:51
4TH & 7
OWN 4
0
47.0%
George Caratan punt for 56 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 5MISSED FG
10 plays · 21 yds · 3:0653% → 54%
Q1 8:51
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+3
46.7%
Byrum Brown pass complete to Sean Atkins for 3 yds to the CONN 45Similar
Q1 8:51
2ND & 7
OPP 45
+4
46.7%
Byrum Brown pass complete to Naiem Simmons for 4 yds to the CONN 41Similar
Q1 7:24
3RD & 3
OPP 41
0
46.5%
K'Wan Powell run for no gain to the CONN 41Similar
Q1 7:19
4TH & 3
OPP 41
+15
46.8%
BROWN, Byrum pass deep to the right incomplete dropped by LITTLEJOHN, Jayson thrown to the UCO25, clock 07:19. PENALTY UCO Pass Interference on BIN-WAHAD, Mumu enforced 15 yards to the UCO26 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 7:19
1ST & 10
OPP 26
-10
46.2%
BROWN, Byrum scrambles up the middle for a gain of 6 yards to the UCO20 (MITCHELL, Jackson;WATTS, Eric). PENALTY USF Holding on PERRY, RJ enforced 10 yards from the UCO26 to the UCO36 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 7:19
1ST & 20
OPP 36
+1
46.4%
K'Wan Powell run for 1 yd to the CONN 35Similar
Q1 7:19
2ND & 19
OPP 35
+8
46.4%
Byrum Brown run for 8 yds to the CONN 27Similar
Q1 7:19
3RD & 11
OPP 27
0
46.4%
Byrum Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:45
4TH & 11
OPP 27
+45
46.5%
John Cannon 45 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 6DOWNS
6 plays · 35 yds · 2:0947% → 47%
Q1 5:45
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+30
47.2%
Ta'Quan Roberson pass complete to Cameron Ross for 30 yds to the USF 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:25
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+4
47.4%
Ta'Quan Roberson run for 4 yds to the USF 39Similar
Q1 4:25
2ND & 6
OPP 39
+1
47.4%
Camryn Edwards run for 1 yd to the USF 38Similar
Q1 4:25
3RD & 5
OPP 38
0
47.3%
Ta'Quan Roberson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:36
4TH & 5
OPP 38
0
46.6%
Ta'Quan Roberson pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:4855% → 54%
Q1 3:36
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+1
45.2%
Byrum Brown pass complete to Nay'Quan Wright for 1 yd to the USF 39Similar
Q1 3:36
2ND & 9
OWN 39
+4
45.3%
Nay'Quan Wright run for 4 yds to the USF 43Similar
Q1 3:36
3RD & 5
OWN 43
0
45.3%
Byrum Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:48
4TH & 5
OWN 43
0
45.7%
Andrew Stokes punt for 41 ydsSimilar
Q1 2:48
1ST & 10
OWN 16
-5
45.7%
UConn Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the CONN 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 8TD
8 plays · 84 yds · 3:4446% → 54%
Q1 2:48
1ST & 15
OWN 11
+24
45.6%
Camryn Edwards run for 24 yds to the CONN 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:48
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-3
45.9%
Camryn Edwards run for a loss of 3 yards to the CONN 32Similar
Q1 2:48
2ND & 13
OWN 32
+9
45.7%
Ta'Quan Roberson pass complete to Brett Buckman for 9 yds to the CONN 41Similar
Q1 2:48
3RD & 4
OWN 41
+21
46.4%
Camryn Edwards run for 21 yds to the USF 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
46.5%
Victor Rosa run for no gain to the USF 38Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+14
46.4%
Ta'Quan Roberson pass complete to Cameron Ross for 14 yds to the USF 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
47.2%
Ta'Quan Roberson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:04
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+24
53.9%
Ta'Quan Roberson run for 24 yds for a TD (Joe McFadden KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 9DOWNS
11 plays · 21 yds · 3:2249% → 49%
Q2 14:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
50.6%
Nay'Quan Wright run for a loss of 2 yards to the USF 23Similar
Q2 14:04
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+13
50.7%
Byrum Brown pass complete to Sean Atkins for 13 yds to the USF 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:04
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
49.9%
Byrum Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:04
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+3
50.3%
Nay'Quan Wright run for 3 yds to the USF 39Similar
Q2 14:04
3RD & 7
OWN 39
+8
50.2%
Byrum Brown pass complete to Weston Wolff for 8 yds to the USF 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:04
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-5
49.1%
South Florida Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the USF 42Similar
Q2 14:04
1ST & 15
OWN 42
+6
50.1%
Nay'Quan Wright run for 6 yds to the USF 48Similar
Q2 14:04
2ND & 9
OWN 48
+3
49.3%
Nay'Quan Wright run for 3 yds to the CONN 49Similar
Q2 10:46
3RD & 6
OPP 49
+3
49.9%
Byrum Brown run for 3 yds to the CONN 46Similar
Q2 10:42
4TH & 3
OPP 46
-8
50.8%
Byrum Brown sacked by Pryce Yates and Jackson Mitchell for a loss of 8 yards to the USF 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 10MISSED FG
5 plays · 16 yds · 1:1756% → 54%
Q2 10:42
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+16
55.8%
Ta'Quan Roberson pass complete to Brett Buckman for 16 yds to the USF 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:42
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
56.5%
Ta'Quan Roberson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:42
2ND & 10
OPP 30
0
56.4%
Ta'Quan Roberson run for no gain to the USF 30Similar
Q2 10:42
3RD & 10
OPP 30
0
55.5%
Ta'Quan Roberson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:25
4TH & 10
OPP 30
+48
54.1%
Joe McFadden 48 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 11FG
8 plays · 44 yds · 2:3748% → 53%
Q2 9:25
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+18
51.6%
Byrum Brown pass complete to Michael Brown-Stephens for 18 yds to the USF 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:25
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+2
49.8%
K'Wan Powell run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 9:25
2ND & 8
50
0
49.3%
Byrum Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:25
3RD & 8
50
+22
50.2%
Byrum Brown run for 22 yds to the CONN 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:25
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
48.1%
Byrum Brown pass complete to Sean Atkins for no gain to the CONN 28Similar
Q2 9:25
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+3
48.4%
Byrum Brown pass complete to Naiem Simmons for 3 yds to the CONN 25Similar
Q2 9:25
3RD & 7
OPP 25
-1
49.2%
K'Wan Powell run for a loss of 1 yard to the CONN 26Similar
Q2 6:48
4TH & 8
OPP 26
+45
47.3%
John Cannon 45 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 12TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 3:0849% → 62%
Q2 6:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
48.6%
Ta'Quan Roberson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:48
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
48.4%
Camryn Edwards run for 4 yds to the CONN 29Similar
Q2 6:48
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+8
48.2%
Ta'Quan Roberson pass complete to Brett Buckman for 8 yds to the CONN 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:48
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+39
49.5%
South Florida Penalty, Face mask (39 yards) (Logan Berryhill) to the USF 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:48
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+8
52.7%
Camryn Edwards run for 8 yds to the USF 4Similar
Q2 6:48
2ND & 2
OPP 4
-2
52.7%
Camryn Edwards run for a loss of 2 yards to the USF 6Similar
Q2 3:40
3RD & 4
OPP 6
+6
62.1%
Ta'Quan Roberson pass complete to Camryn Edwards for 6 yds for a TD (Joe McFadden KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 13MISSED FG
11 plays · 49 yds · 2:4439% → 38%
Q2 3:35
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+7
61.3%
Nay'Quan Wright run for 7 yds to the USF 37Similar
Q2 3:35
2ND & 3
OWN 37
+3
60.0%
Byrum Brown run for 3 yds to the USF 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:35
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
59.9%
Byrum Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:35
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+3
60.5%
Nay'Quan Wright run for 3 yds to the USF 43Similar
Q2 3:35
3RD & 7
OWN 43
+8
60.5%
Byrum Brown run for 8 yds to the CONN 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:35
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+30
58.6%
Nay'Quan Wright run for 30 yds to the CONN 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:35
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-2
56.9%
Nay'Quan Wright run for a loss of 2 yards to the CONN 21Similar
Q2 3:35
2ND & 12
OPP 21
0
57.2%
Byrum Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:54
3RD & 12
OPP 21
0
59.5%
Nay'Quan Wright run for no gain to the CONN 21Similar
Q2 0:51
4TH & 12
OPP 21
+39
62.3%
John Cannon 39 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 14INT
7 plays · 40 yds · 0:4862% → 64%
Q2 0:48
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
61.5%
Ta'Quan Roberson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:48
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+15
61.3%
MITCHELL, Jalen rush to the left for a loss of 3 yards to the UCO18 (HARRIS, Mac). PENALTY USF Face mask on ROSS, Jonathan enforced 15 yards from the UCO21 to the UCO36 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 0:48
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+7
62.6%
Ta'Quan Roberson pass complete to Brett Buckman for 7 yds to the CONN 43Similar
Q2 0:48
2ND & 3
OWN 43
+18
63.9%
Ta'Quan Roberson pass complete to Cameron Ross for 18 yds to the USF 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:48
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
64.3%
Ta'Quan Roberson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 39
0
64.4%
Ta'Quan Roberson pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:3160% → 59%
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+4
59.5%
Camryn Edwards run for 4 yds to the CONN 31Similar
Q3 14:56
2ND & 6
OWN 31
0
59.9%
Ta'Quan Roberson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:56
3RD & 6
OWN 31
+4
58.6%
Ta'Quan Roberson pass complete to Brett Buckman for 4 yds to the CONN 35Similar
Q3 13:25
4TH & 2
OWN 35
0
58.6%
George Caratan punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Sean Atkins at the USF 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:4641% → 39%
Q3 13:25
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+1
59.3%
Byrum Brown run for 1 yd to the USF 22Similar
Q3 13:25
2ND & 9
OWN 22
+3
59.5%
K'Wan Powell run for 3 yds to the USF 25Similar
Q3 13:25
3RD & 6
OWN 25
+4
60.3%
Byrum Brown run for 4 yds to the USF 29Similar
Q3 11:39
4TH & 2
OWN 29
0
61.3%
Andrew Stokes punt for 60 yds, downed at the CONN 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 1:5160% → 61%
Q3 11:39
1ST & 10
OWN 11
-2
59.6%
Camryn Edwards run for a loss of 2 yards to the CONN 9Similar
Q3 11:39
2ND & 12
OWN 9
0
59.2%
Ta'Quan Roberson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:39
3RD & 12
OWN 9
+1
58.0%
Ta'Quan Roberson pass complete to Justin Joly for 1 yd to the CONN 10Similar
Q3 9:48
4TH & 11
OWN 10
0
61.4%
George Caratan punt for 47 yds, downed at the USF 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 18INT
8 plays · 39 yds · 1:5940% → 43%
Q3 9:48
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+4
59.8%
Byrum Brown pass complete to Sean Atkins for 4 yds to the USF 47Similar
Q3 9:48
2ND & 6
OWN 47
+11
58.7%
Byrum Brown pass complete to Michael Brown-Stephens for 11 yds to the CONN 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:48
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+9
58.2%
Byrum Brown pass complete to Michael Brown-Stephens for 9 yds to the CONN 33Similar
Q3 9:48
2ND & 1
OPP 33
+4
56.6%
Byrum Brown pass complete to Michael Brown-Stephens for 4 yds to the CONN 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:48
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
56.6%
Byrum Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:48
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+8
57.1%
Byrum Brown pass complete to Sean Atkins for 8 yds to the CONN 21Similar
Q3 9:48
3RD & 2
OPP 21
+3
58.0%
Nay'Quan Wright run for 3 yds to the CONN 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:49
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
56.9%
Byrum Brown pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 19PUNT
9 plays · 21 yds · 4:2764% → 64%
Q3 7:49
1ST & 10
OWN 11
-2
64.3%
Camryn Edwards run for a loss of 2 yards to the CONN 9Similar
Q3 7:49
2ND & 12
OWN 9
+1
63.9%
Ta'Quan Roberson pass complete to Brett Buckman for 1 yd to the CONN 10Similar
Q3 7:49
3RD & 11
OWN 10
+14
62.8%
Ta'Quan Roberson pass complete to Cameron Ross for 14 yds to the CONN 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:49
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+1
64.6%
Camryn Edwards run for 1 yd to the CONN 25Similar
Q3 7:49
2ND & 9
OWN 25
+15
64.4%
JOLY, Justin pass to the left intercepted by STOKES, Jaelen at the UCO35 intended for ROSS, Cameron. Stokes return for 0 yards to the UCO35, End of Play. PENALTY USF Roughing the Passer enforced 15 yards from the UCO25 to the UCO40 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 7:49
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
66.7%
Camryn Edwards run for 2 yds to the CONN 42Similar
Q3 7:49
2ND & 8
OWN 42
-10
66.6%
Ta'Quan Roberson sacked by Jhalyn Shuler for a loss of 10 yards to the CONN 32Similar
Q3 7:49
3RD & 18
OWN 32
0
62.9%
Ta'Quan Roberson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:22
4TH & 18
OWN 32
0
64.2%
George Caratan punt for 49 yds, downed at the USF 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 20PUNT
7 plays · 13 yds · 1:5136% → 33%
Q3 3:22
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+3
64.2%
Byrum Brown pass complete to K'Wan Powell for 3 yds to the USF 22Similar
Q3 3:22
2ND & 7
OWN 22
+6
64.3%
Byrum Brown pass complete to Michael Brown-Stephens for 6 yds to the USF 28Similar
Q3 3:22
3RD & 1
OWN 28
+3
64.0%
K'Wan Powell run for 3 yds to the USF 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:22
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+1
63.4%
K'Wan Powell run for 1 yd to the USF 32Similar
Q3 3:22
2ND & 9
OWN 32
0
63.8%
Byrum Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:22
3RD & 9
OWN 32
0
65.4%
Byrum Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:31
4TH & 9
OWN 32
0
67.1%
Andrew Stokes punt for 39 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 21TD
7 plays · 71 yds · 3:4668% → 88%
Q3 1:31
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+5
67.9%
Ta'Quan Roberson pass complete to Camryn Edwards for 5 yds to the CONN 34Similar
Q3 1:31
2ND & 5
OWN 34
+9
69.0%
Camryn Edwards run for 9 yds to the CONN 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-1
70.7%
Camryn Edwards run for a loss of 1 yard to the CONN 42Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 42
+14
69.5%
Cameron Ross run for 14 yds to the USF 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+9
72.0%
Camryn Edwards run for 9 yds to the USF 35Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 35
+2
73.0%
Camryn Edwards run for 2 yds to the USF 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:45
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+33
87.9%
Camryn Edwards run for 33 yds for a TD (Joe McFadden KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 22TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:5415% → 41%
Q4 12:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
84.8%
Byrum Brown run for 6 yds to the USF 31Similar
Q4 12:45
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+14
83.1%
Byrum Brown pass complete to Sean Atkins for 14 yds to the USF 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:45
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+2
82.3%
Nay'Quan Wright run for 2 yds to the USF 47Similar
Q4 12:45
2ND & 8
OWN 47
+16
82.2%
Byrum Brown pass complete to Sean Atkins for 16 yds to the CONN 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:45
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+1
81.3%
Nay'Quan Wright run for 1 yd to the CONN 36Similar
Q4 12:45
2ND & 9
OPP 36
+18
81.4%
Byrum Brown pass complete to Michael Brown-Stephens for 18 yds to the CONN 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:45
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+1
79.6%
Nay'Quan Wright run for 1 yd to the CONN 17Similar
Q4 9:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
58.7%
Byrum Brown run for 6 yds for a TD (John Cannon KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 23PUNT
8 plays · 35 yds · 2:5370% → 77%
Q4 9:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
70.4%
Ta'Quan Roberson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:51
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
70.0%
Camryn Edwards run for no gain to the CONN 25Similar
Q4 9:51
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+31
68.4%
Ta'Quan Roberson pass complete to Justin Joly for 31 yds to the USF 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:51
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
74.4%
Camryn Edwards run for no gain to the USF 44Similar
Q4 9:51
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+5
74.0%
ROBERSON, Ta'Quan pass deep to the right incomplete intended for CLERCIUS, Kevens thrown to the USF27. PENALTY USF Offsides enforced 5 yards from the USF44 to the USF39 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 9:51
2ND & 5
OPP 39
-1
74.3%
Camryn Edwards run for a loss of 1 yard to the USF 40Similar
Q4 9:51
3RD & 6
OPP 40
0
73.6%
Ta'Quan Roberson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:58
4TH & 6
OPP 40
0
77.3%
George Caratan punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Sean Atkins at the USF 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 24TD
12 plays · 90 yds · 2:5631% → 79%
Q4 6:58
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+2
68.6%
Nay'Quan Wright run for 2 yds to the USF 12Similar
Q4 6:23
2ND & 8
OWN 12
0
73.0%
Byrum Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:23
3RD & 8
OWN 12
+17
74.4%
Byrum Brown pass complete to Weston Wolff for 17 yds to the USF 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:23
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
71.6%
Byrum Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:23
2ND & 10
OWN 29
-10
72.4%
QB Keeper BROWN, Byrum rush up the middle for a gain of 5 yards to the USF34 (FAUMUINA-BROWN, Tui;STAFFORD, Jelani). PENALTY USF Holding on SKINNER, Cole enforced 10 yards from the USF29 to the USF19 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 6:23
2ND & 20
OWN 19
+17
73.0%
Byrum Brown pass complete to Michael Brown-Stephens for 17 yds to the USF 36Similar
Q4 6:23
3RD & 3
OWN 36
+4
70.7%
Byrum Brown pass complete to Michael Brown-Stephens for 4 yds to the USF 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:23
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
69.3%
Byrum Brown pass complete to Jaden Alexis for 4 yds to the USF 44Similar
Q4 6:23
2ND & 6
OWN 44
+47
67.7%
Nay'Quan Wright run for 47 yds to the CONN 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
63.9%
UConn Penalty, Illegal Substitution (Yards) to the CONN 5Similar
Q4 4:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
21.2%
Nay'Quan Wright run for 4 yds for a TD (John Cannon KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 25FUMBLE
4 plays · 21 yds · 1:4739% → 35%
Q4 4:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
38.5%
Ta'Quan Roberson pass complete to Cameron Ross for 11 yds to the CONN 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:02
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
39.9%
Ta'Quan Roberson pass complete to Camryn Edwards for no gain to the CONN 36Similar
Q4 4:02
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+4
39.6%
Ta'Quan Roberson pass complete to Justin Joly for 4 yds to the CONN 40Similar
Q4 2:15
3RD & 6
OWN 40
+6
34.9%
Ta'Quan Roberson run for 6 yds to the CONN 46 Ta'Quan Roberson fumbled, recovered by USF Daquan EvansSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 26DOWNS
11 plays · 18 yds · 1:4588% → 94%
Q4 1:54
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+4
11.7%
Byrum Brown pass complete to Naiem Simmons for 4 yds to the CONN 42Similar
Q4 1:50
2ND & 6
OPP 42
+10
10.7%
Nay'Quan Wright run for 10 yds to the CONN 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:46
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+3
9.1%
Nay'Quan Wright run for 3 yds to the CONN 29Similar
Q4 1:00
2ND & 7
OPP 29
0
6.9%
Nay'Quan Wright run for no gain to the CONN 29Similar
Q4 0:14
3RD & 7
OPP 29
+1
5.4%
Byrum Brown run for 1 yd to the CONN 28Similar
Q4 0:09
4TH & 6
OPP 28
0
6.5%
Byrum Brown run for no gain to the CONN 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 27FUMBLE
2 plays · -4 yds · 0:0915% → 16%
Q4 0:09
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+7
15.2%
Ta'Quan Roberson pass complete to Brett Buckman for 7 yds to the CONN 35Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 3
OWN 35
+4
16.0%
Ta'Quan Roberson pass complete to Chase Lundt for 4 yds Chase Lundt fumbled, recovered by USF Mac HarrisSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 4:02
Nay'Quan Wright run for 4 yds for a TD (John Cannon KICK)
-42.6
KEY PLAY · Q4 1:54
Timeout UConn, clock 01:54
-23.2
TD · Q4 9:51
Byrum Brown run for 6 yds for a TD (John Cannon KICK)
-20.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com