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NU

Northwestern 9 at Nebraska 17

NEB
2023 · Week 8 · Oct 21, 2023 · Memorial Stadium (Lincoln, NE)
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Win probability · NEB
modelNEB aheadNU aheadconfidence bandkey playNEB scoreNU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGFGTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 4:39 · Hunter Renner punt for 52 yds
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+28.0+14.00−14.0−28.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 141Pregame prior+1.8Home team on offense+18.5Garbage-time factor+4.8Score differential+4.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+3.2Blowout margin+0.9
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q2 5:48: Jack Olsen 37 yd FG GOOD — NU win probability +5.0 pts (now 38%) (top driver: NU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:23: Heinrich Haarberg run for 3 yds for a TD (Tristan Alvano KICK) — NEB win probability +7.6 pts (now 74%) (top driver: NEB has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q3 5:41: Brendan Sullivan pass incomplete to Bryce Kirtz — NU win probability +3.9 pts (now 32%) (top driver: NU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 14:03: Heinrich Haarberg pass complete to Malachi Coleman for 44 yds for a TD (Tristan Alvano KICK) — NEB win probability +15.4 pts (now 90%) (top driver: NEB has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 13:57: Anthony Tyus III run for 4 yds to the NEB 5 — NU win probability +4.5 pts (now 17%) (top driver: NU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
NEB made the numbers' call on 5 of 8NU made the numbers' call on 9 of 12
  1. Q1 13:26NU 4th & 17 at NU 49, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.6%−0.1
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.8%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:02NEB 4th & 7 at NEB 4, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 75.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.7%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    75.8%
    average punt
  3. Q1 10:33NU 4th & 5 at NEB 42, tied
    Close callPunted · 24.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.6%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    24.5%−0.1
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    24.6%−<0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 7:18NU 4th & 24 at NEB 27, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 25.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.7%−0.4
    7% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    25.2%
    62% to make
    Punt
    24.4%−0.8
    average punt
  5. Q1 3:11NEB 4th & 7 at NU 29, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 72.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.7%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    72.8%
    58% to make
    Punt
    71.6%−1.2
    average punt
  6. Q1 1:07NU 4th & 10 at NU 40, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.8%−0.3
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.1%
    average punt
  7. Q2 11:20NEB 4th & 7 at midfield, tied
    Close callPunted · 71.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.7%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    71.7%−0.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 5:48NU 4th & 9 at NEB 19, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 32.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.2%−0.7
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    32.8%
    77% to make
    Punt
    28.6%−4.2
    average punt
  9. Q3 13:20NU 4th & 4 at NU 31, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.0%−0.6
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.6%
    average punt
  10. Q3 9:53NEB 4th & 12 at NEB 29, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 72.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.5%−2.0
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.4%
    average punt
  11. Q3 6:06NU 4th & 24 at NEB 36, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 26.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.8%−2.0
    7% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    26.9%
    42% to make
    Punt
    26.4%−0.4
    average punt
  12. Q3 5:41NEB 4th & 10 at NEB 36, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 72.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.8%−1.9
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.7%
    average punt
  13. Q3 3:45NU 4th & 5 at NEB 46, down 4
    Close callPunted · 28.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.6%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    27.5%−2.2
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    29.4%−0.3
    average punt
  14. Q3 0:51NEB 4th & 5 at NEB 34, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 73.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.1%−1.5
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    74.5%
    average punt
  15. Q4 14:10NU 4th & 14 at NU 6, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.7%−3.5
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.2%
    average punt
  16. Q4 11:09NU 4th & 7 at NEB 7, down 11
    Close callKicked a field goal · 12.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.0%
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    11.5%−0.5
    91% to make
    Punt
    7.0%−5.0
    average punt
  17. Q4 8:39NEB 4th & 4 at NEB 46, up 8
    Close callPunted · 89.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.9%−0.3
    average punt
  18. Q4 4:39NU 4th & 23 at NU 14, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.0%−1.9
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.9%
    average punt
  19. Q4 2:59NEB 4th & 3 at NEB 47, up 8
    Close callPunted · 94.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.5%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.7%−0.8
    average punt
  20. Q4 1:21NU 4th & 16 at NU 30, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 6.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.4%
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    4.2%−0.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
NEB made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q2 0:23NEB Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    72.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    72.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q4 14:03NEB Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
NEBDrive 1INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0073% → 73%
Q1 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
72.7%
Heinrich Haarberg pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · -7 yds · 1:2727% → 28%
Q1 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+2
72.7%
Brendan Sullivan run for 2 yds to the NEB 46 Brendan Sullivan fumbled, recovered by NU Brendan SullivanSimilar
Q1 14:53
2ND & 12
OPP 46
0
72.7%
Brendan Sullivan pass incomplete to Bryce KirtzSimilar
Q1 14:53
3RD & 12
OPP 46
-5
72.7%
Brendan Sullivan sacked for a loss of 5 yards to the NU 49Similar
Q1 13:26
4TH & 17
OWN 49
0
72.5%
Hunter Renner punt for 50 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:2473% → 72%
Q1 13:26
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+1
72.5%
Heinrich Haarberg run for 1 yd to the NEB 2Similar
Q1 13:26
2ND & 9
OWN 2
+2
72.5%
Emmett Johnson run for 2 yds to the NEB 4Similar
Q1 13:26
3RD & 7
OWN 4
0
72.4%
Heinrich Haarberg pass incomplete to Thomas Fidone IISimilar
Q1 12:02
4TH & 7
OWN 4
0
72.0%
Brian Buschini punt for 43 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NEB 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:2928% → 28%
Q1 12:02
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+3
71.9%
Brendan Sullivan pass complete to A.J. Henning for 3 yds to the NEB 44Similar
Q1 12:02
2ND & 7
OPP 44
0
71.9%
Brendan Sullivan pass incomplete to A.J. HenningSimilar
Q1 12:02
3RD & 7
OPP 44
+2
72.0%
Brendan Sullivan run for 2 yds to the NEB 42Similar
Q1 10:33
4TH & 5
OPP 42
0
71.7%
Hunter Renner punt for 29 yds, fair catch by Billy Kemp IV at the NEB 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 5INT
2 plays · -3 yds · 0:5472% → 72%
Q1 10:33
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+3
71.9%
Heinrich Haarberg pass complete to Billy Kemp IV for 3 yds Billy Kemp IV fumbled, recovered by NEB Thomas Fidone IISimilar
Q1 9:39
2ND & 13
OWN 10
0
71.7%
Heinrich Haarberg pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 6FG
5 plays · -14 yds · 2:2129% → 29%
Q1 9:39
1ST & 10
OPP 13
-10
71.1%
Northwestern Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the NEB 21Similar
Q1 9:39
1ST & 18
OPP 21
0
71.1%
Jack Lausch run for no gain to the NEB 21Similar
Q1 9:39
2ND & 18
OPP 21
-9
71.2%
Brendan Sullivan sacked by Nash Hutmacher for a loss of 9 yards to the NEB 30Similar
Q1 9:39
3RD & 27
OPP 30
+3
71.6%
Cam Porter run for 3 yds to the NEB 27Similar
Q1 7:18
4TH & 24
OPP 27
+45
70.9%
Jack Olsen 45 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 7FG
10 plays · 35 yds · 4:0071% → 71%
Q1 7:11
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
70.7%
Heinrich Haarberg run for 1 yd to the NEB 35Similar
Q1 7:11
2ND & 11
OWN 35
+3
70.5%
Heinrich Haarberg run for 3 yds to the NEB 38Similar
Q1 7:11
3RD & 8
OWN 38
+15
70.5%
Heinrich Haarberg pass complete to Alex Bullock for 15 yds to the NU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:11
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+5
71.3%
Emmett Johnson run for 5 yds to the NU 42Similar
Q1 7:11
2ND & 5
OPP 42
+10
71.3%
Emmett Johnson run for 10 yds to the NU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:11
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+1
71.5%
Emmett Johnson run for 1 yd to the NU 31Similar
Q1 7:11
2ND & 9
OPP 31
+2
71.5%
Anthony Grant run for 2 yds to the NU 29Similar
Q1 7:11
3RD & 7
OPP 29
0
71.2%
Heinrich Haarberg pass incomplete to Janiran BonnerSimilar
Q1 3:11
4TH & 7
OPP 29
+47
70.6%
Tristan Alvano 47 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 8PUNT
7 plays · 16 yds · 1:5930% → 30%
Q1 3:06
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-15
70.1%
Northwestern Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the NU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:06
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
69.4%
Cam Porter run for 1 yd to the NU 39Similar
Q1 3:06
2ND & 11
OWN 39
+6
69.8%
Brendan Sullivan run for 6 yds to the NU 45Similar
Q1 3:06
3RD & 5
OWN 45
-5
69.3%
PENALTY NW False Start (Carsello,Jackson) 5 yards from NW 45 to NW 40. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 3:06
3RD & 10
OWN 40
0
70.0%
Brendan Sullivan pass incomplete to A.J. HenningSimilar
Q1 1:07
4TH & 10
OWN 40
0
69.8%
Luke Akers punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Billy Kemp IV at the NEB 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 9PUNT
9 plays · 27 yds · 4:4770% → 69%
Q1 1:07
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+11
70.0%
Anthony Grant run for 11 yds to the NEB 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+2
70.0%
Anthony Grant run for 2 yds to the NEB 36Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 36
0
70.2%
Joshua Fleeks run for no gain to the NEB 36Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 36
-5
69.6%
PENALTY NEB False Start (Corcoran,Turner) 5 yards from NEB36 to NEB31. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 13
OWN 31
+16
69.1%
Heinrich Haarberg run for 16 yds to the NEB 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
71.0%
Anthony Grant run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
50
0
71.1%
Heinrich Haarberg run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 7
50
0
70.6%
Heinrich Haarberg run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 11:20
4TH & 7
50
0
68.8%
Brian Buschini punt for 42 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 10FG
11 plays · 73 yds · 5:3232% → 38%
Q2 11:20
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+2
68.3%
Anthony Tyus III run for 2 yds to the NU 10Similar
Q2 11:20
2ND & 8
OWN 10
+5
68.2%
Anthony Tyus III run for 5 yds to the NU 15Similar
Q2 11:20
3RD & 3
OWN 15
+15
68.6%
Anthony Tyus III run for 15 yds to the NU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:20
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+39
67.7%
Anthony Tyus III run for 39 yds to the NEB 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:20
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+6
65.7%
Brendan Sullivan run for 6 yds to the NEB 25Similar
Q2 11:20
2ND & 4
OPP 25
+5
65.6%
Cam Porter run for 5 yds to the NEB 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:20
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+2
65.6%
Cam Porter run for 2 yds to the NEB 18Similar
Q2 11:20
2ND & 8
OPP 18
+2
65.6%
Anthony Tyus III run for 2 yds to the NEB 20Similar
Q2 11:20
3RD & 10
OPP 20
+6
66.5%
Brendan Sullivan run for 6 yds to the NEB 14Similar
Q2 11:20
4TH & 4
OPP 14
-5
67.2%
PENALTY NW False Start (Halkyard,William) 5 yards from NEB14 to NEB19. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 5:48
4TH & 9
OPP 19
+37
62.2%
Jack Olsen 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 11TD
11 plays · 77 yds · 5:1863% → 74%
Q2 5:41
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+9
62.8%
Emmett Johnson run for 9 yds to the NEB 32Similar
Q2 5:41
2ND & 1
OWN 32
+18
64.5%
Emmett Johnson run for 3 yds to the NEB 35 for a 1ST down Northwestern Penalty, Personal Foul (Anto Saka) to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:41
1ST & 10
50
+5
65.3%
Heinrich Haarberg pass complete to Thomas Fidone II for 5 yds to the NU 45Similar
Q2 5:41
2ND & 5
OPP 45
+5
65.6%
Emmett Johnson run for 5 yds to the NU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:41
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+7
65.5%
Heinrich Haarberg pass complete to Nate Boerkircher for 7 yds to the NU 33Similar
Q2 5:41
2ND & 3
OPP 33
+2
66.4%
Emmett Johnson run for 2 yds to the NU 31Similar
Q2 5:41
3RD & 1
OPP 31
+2
65.2%
Heinrich Haarberg run for 2 yds to the NU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:41
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+20
66.4%
Heinrich Haarberg run for 20 yds to the NU 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:41
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+6
66.4%
Emmett Johnson run for 6 yds to the NU 3Similar
Q2 0:23
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
74.0%
Heinrich Haarberg run for 3 yds for a TD (Tristan Alvano KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 12INT
7 plays · 18 yds · 0:2330% → 28%
Q2 0:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
70.4%
Joseph Himon II run for 9 yds to the NU 34Similar
Q2 0:23
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+2
68.3%
Joseph Himon II run for 2 yds to the NU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:10
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+7
71.2%
Brendan Sullivan pass complete to Joseph Himon II for 7 yds to the NU 43Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 3
OWN 43
0
71.7%
Brendan Sullivan pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 13PUNT
6 plays · 6 yds · 1:4030% → 29%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
70.5%
Brendan Sullivan pass complete to Cam Johnson for 5 yds to the NU 30Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
-5
69.7%
PENALTY NW False Start (Priebe,Josh) 5 yards from NW 30 to NW 25. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
70.6%
Brendan Sullivan pass incomplete to Cam JohnsonSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+6
71.5%
Brendan Sullivan pass complete to Cam Porter for 6 yds to the NU 31Similar
Q3 13:20
4TH & 4
OWN 31
+1
71.3%
Hunter Renner punt for 51 yds , Alex Bullock returns for 1 yd to the NEB 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 14PUNT
7 plays · 10 yds · 3:2771% → 71%
Q3 13:20
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+6
70.8%
Joshua Fleeks run for 6 yds to the NEB 13 Joshua Fleeks fumbled, recovered by NEB Joshua FleeksSimilar
Q3 13:20
2ND & 16
OWN 13
+10
70.5%
Heinrich Haarberg pass complete to Thomas Fidone II for 10 yds to the NEB 23Similar
Q3 13:20
3RD & 6
OWN 23
+8
69.5%
Heinrich Haarberg run for 8 yds to the NEB 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:20
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+1
71.2%
Heinrich Haarberg run for 1 yd to the NEB 32Similar
Q3 13:20
2ND & 9
OWN 32
+3
71.0%
Heinrich Haarberg run for 3 yds to the NEB 29 Heinrich Haarberg fumbled, recovered by NEB Heinrich HaarbergSimilar
Q3 13:20
3RD & 12
OWN 29
0
69.5%
Heinrich Haarberg pass incomplete to Jaidyn DossSimilar
Q3 9:53
4TH & 12
OWN 29
0
70.9%
Brian Buschini punt for 36 yds, fair catch by A.J. Henning at the NU 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 15MISSED FG
9 plays · 29 yds · 3:4729% → 28%
Q3 9:53
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
70.9%
Cam Porter run for 6 yds to the NU 41Similar
Q3 9:53
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+3
68.8%
Cam Porter run for 3 yds to the NU 44Similar
Q3 9:53
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+2
68.9%
Cam Porter run for 2 yds to the NU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:53
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+32
68.8%
Brendan Sullivan pass complete to A.J. Henning for 32 yds to the NEB 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:53
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-15
66.6%
No Huddle-Shotgun Lausch,Jack rush left for 0 yards to the NEB22 (Hutmacher,Nash; Butler,Jimari) PENALTY NW Personal Foul (Gordon,Thomas) 15 yards from NEB22 to NEB37. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 9:53
1ST & 25
OPP 37
+3
69.5%
Jack Lausch run for 3 yds to the NEB 34Similar
Q3 9:53
3RD & 24
OPP 36
0
71.1%
Brendan Sullivan pass incomplete to Anthony Tyus IIISimilar
Q3 9:53
2ND & 22
OPP 34
-2
69.0%
Jack Lausch sacked by Luke Reimer for a loss of 2 yards to the NEB 36Similar
Q3 6:06
4TH & 24
OPP 36
+54
72.4%
Jack Olsen 54 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:2574% → 71%
Q3 6:06
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
74.0%
Heinrich Haarberg pass incomplete to Alex BullockSimilar
Q3 6:06
2ND & 10
OWN 36
0
73.4%
Heinrich Haarberg pass incomplete to Alex BullockSimilar
Q3 6:06
3RD & 10
OWN 36
0
72.2%
Heinrich Haarberg pass incomplete to Malachi ColemanSimilar
Q3 5:41
4TH & 10
OWN 36
0
71.2%
Brian Buschini punt for 29 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 17PUNT
6 plays · 19 yds · 1:5629% → 30%
Q3 5:41
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
70.8%
Joseph Himon II run for 3 yds to the NU 32Similar
Q3 5:41
2ND & 13
OWN 32
+17
71.9%
Brendan Sullivan pass complete to Bryce Kirtz for 17 yds to the NU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:41
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
68.0%
Brendan Sullivan pass incomplete to Bryce KirtzSimilar
Q3 5:41
2ND & 10
OWN 49
0
69.0%
Brendan Sullivan pass incomplete to Bryce KirtzSimilar
Q3 5:41
3RD & 10
OWN 49
+5
70.3%
Brendan Sullivan run for 5 yds to the NEB 46Similar
Q3 3:45
4TH & 5
OPP 46
0
69.8%
Hunter Renner punt for 41 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NEB 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 29 yds · 2:5473% → 72%
Q3 3:45
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+24
72.8%
Emmett Johnson run for 24 yds to the NEB 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:45
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+1
73.6%
Anthony Grant run for 1 yd to the NEB 30Similar
Q3 3:45
2ND & 9
OWN 30
+4
73.5%
Heinrich Haarberg pass complete to Jaidyn Doss for 4 yds to the NEB 34Similar
Q3 3:45
3RD & 5
OWN 34
0
72.8%
Heinrich Haarberg run for no gain to the NEB 34Similar
Q3 0:51
4TH & 5
OWN 34
0
72.1%
Brian Buschini punt for 55 yds , A.J. Henning returns for no gain to the NU 10 A.J. Henning fumbled, recovered by NU A.J. HenningSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 1:4129% → 26%
Q3 0:51
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+4
71.2%
Joseph Himon II run for 4 yds to the NU 14Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 6
OWN 14
+3
71.4%
Joseph Himon II run for 3 yds to the NU 17Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 17
-5
72.5%
PENALTY NW False Start (Tiernan,Caleb) 5 yards from NW 17 to NW 12. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 12
-6
73.0%
Brendan Sullivan sacked for a loss of 6 yards to the NU 6Similar
Q4 14:10
4TH & 14
OWN 6
0
74.3%
Hunter Renner punt for 38 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 20TD
1 play · 44 yds · 0:0090% → 90%
Q4 14:03
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+44
89.7%
Heinrich Haarberg pass complete to Malachi Coleman for 44 yds for a TD (Tristan Alvano KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 21FG
7 plays · 68 yds · 2:4813% → 16%
Q4 13:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
87.1%
Brendan Sullivan pass incomplete to Bryce KirtzSimilar
Q4 13:57
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+66
87.2%
Brendan Sullivan pass complete to Bryce Kirtz for 66 yds to the NEB 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+4
82.7%
Anthony Tyus III run for 4 yds to the NEB 5Similar
Q4 13:57
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
-2
82.7%
Brendan Sullivan sacked for a loss of 2 yards to the NEB 7Similar
Q4 13:57
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
0
84.0%
Brendan Sullivan pass complete to Marshall Lang for no gain to the NEB 7Similar
Q4 11:09
4TH & GOAL
OPP 7
+25
84.2%
Jack Olsen 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 22PUNT
7 plays · 21 yds · 2:3087% → 89%
Q4 11:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
87.4%
Heinrich Haarberg run for 5 yds to the NEB 30Similar
Q4 11:09
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+10
87.8%
Joshua Fleeks run for 10 yds to the NEB 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:09
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
88.8%
Anthony Grant run for 3 yds to the NEB 43Similar
Q4 11:09
2ND & 7
OWN 43
+3
88.9%
Heinrich Haarberg pass complete to Thomas Fidone II for 3 yds to the NEB 46Similar
Q4 11:09
3RD & 4
OWN 46
0
88.2%
Heinrich Haarberg pass incomplete to Thomas Fidone IISimilar
Q4 8:39
4TH & 4
OWN 46
0
88.7%
Brian Buschini punt for 42 yds, fair catch by A.J. Henning at the NU 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 23PUNT
8 plays · 12 yds · 4:0012% → 9%
Q4 8:39
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+5
87.9%
Brendan Sullivan pass complete to A.J. Henning for 5 yds to the NU 17Similar
Q4 8:39
2ND & 5
OWN 17
+4
87.9%
A.J. Henning run for 4 yds to the NU 13Similar
Q4 8:39
3RD & 9
OWN 13
+14
88.9%
Brendan Sullivan pass complete to Cam Johnson for 14 yds to the NU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:39
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+1
87.3%
Cam Porter run for 1 yd to the NU 26Similar
Q4 8:39
2ND & 11
OWN 26
+8
87.9%
Brendan Sullivan pass complete to Cam Johnson for 8 yds to the NU 34Similar
Q4 8:39
3RD & 3
OWN 34
-15
86.8%
Shotgun Himon II,Joseph rush right for 1 yard gain to the NW 35 (Brown,Omar; Robinson,Ty) PENALTY NW Personal Foul (Gordon,Thomas) 15 yards from NW 34 to NW 19. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 8:39
3RD & 18
OWN 19
-5
88.9%
Brendan Sullivan sacked by James Williams for a loss of 5 yards to the NU 14Similar
Q4 4:39
4TH & 23
OWN 14
0
91.4%
Hunter Renner punt for 52 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 24PUNT
7 plays · 23 yds · 1:4093% → 95%
Q4 4:39
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+16
93.3%
Heinrich Haarberg run for 16 yds to the NEB 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:39
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
94.1%
Emmett Johnson run for 3 yds to the NEB 43Similar
Q4 4:39
2ND & 7
OWN 43
+3
94.1%
Emmett Johnson run for 3 yds to the NEB 46Similar
Q4 3:12
3RD & 4
OWN 46
+1
95.7%
Heinrich Haarberg run for 1 yd to the NEB 47Similar
Q4 2:59
4TH & 3
OWN 47
0
95.4%
Brian Buschini punt for 40 yds, fair catch by A.J. Henning at the NU 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 25DOWNS
7 plays · 1 yds · 1:387% → 5%
Q4 2:59
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+10
93.1%
Brendan Sullivan run for 10 yds to the NU 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:59
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+13
93.0%
Brendan Sullivan pass complete to Bryce Kirtz for 13 yds to the NU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:59
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-6
92.0%
Brendan Sullivan sacked for a loss of 6 yards to the NU 30Similar
Q4 2:59
2ND & 16
OWN 30
0
93.2%
Brendan Sullivan pass incomplete to A.J. HenningSimilar
Q4 1:33
3RD & 16
OWN 30
0
94.6%
Brendan Sullivan pass incomplete to Cam JohnsonSimilar
Q4 1:21
4TH & 16
OWN 30
-16
94.8%
Brendan Sullivan sacked for a loss of 16 yards to the NU 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 26END OF GAME
2 plays · -8 yds · 1:2098% → 98%
Q4 1:21
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-6
97.6%
Kneel down by Nebraska at NW 20 for loss of 6 yards.Similar
Q4 0:01
2ND & 16
OPP 20
-2
97.5%
Kneel down by Nebraska at NW 22 for loss of 2 yards.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 14:03
Heinrich Haarberg pass complete to Malachi Coleman for 44 yds for a TD (Tristan Alvano KICK)
+15.4
TD · Q2 0:23
Heinrich Haarberg run for 3 yds for a TD (Tristan Alvano KICK)
+7.6
FG · Q2 5:48
Jack Olsen 37 yd FG GOOD
-5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com