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South Carolina 12 at Missouri 34

MIZ
2023 · Week 8 · Oct 21, 2023 · Memorial Stadium
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Win probability · MIZ
modelMIZ aheadSC aheadconfidence bandkey playMIZ scoreSC score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGFGFGFGFGFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:00 · [NH] Kneel down by MIZ at USC47 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+34.5+17.30−17.3−34.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 6:31: Brady Cook pass complete to Luther Burden III for 42 yds for a TD (Harrison Mevis KICK) — MIZ win probability +2.9 pts (now 72%) (top driver: MIZ has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 0:46: Cody Schrader run for 10 yds for a TD (Harrison Mevis KICK) — MIZ win probability +6.4 pts (now 79%) (top driver: MIZ has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 8:21: Brady Cook run for 17 yds for a TD (Harrison Mevis KICK) — MIZ win probability +10.5 pts (now 91%) (top driver: MIZ has the ball).
  4. FG · Q3 10:37: Mitch Jeter 41 yd FG GOOD — SC win probability +2.9 pts (now 11%) (top driver: SC has the ball).
  5. FG · Q3 7:07: Mitch Jeter 38 yd FG GOOD — SC win probability +2.9 pts (now 13%) (top driver: SC has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MIZ made the numbers' call on 3 of 6SC made the numbers' call on 8 of 10
  1. Q1 14:22MIZ 4th & 10 at MIZ 34, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 69.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.8%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.9%
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:01SC 4th & 21 at MIZ 33, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 30.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.5%−0.3
    9% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    30.7%
    49% to make
    Punt
    30.6%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:12SC 4th & 23 at SC 12, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.2%−0.7
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.9%
    average punt
  4. Q2 12:23SC 4th & 13 at SC 38, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.2%−1.2
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.5%
    average punt
  5. Q2 5:38SC 4th & 6 at SC 42, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.8%−0.4
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.2%
    average punt
  6. Q2 1:50MIZ 4th & 3 at SC 3, up 21
    Close callKicked a field goal · 92.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.3%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    91.4%−0.9
    93% to make
    Punt
    86.9%−5.4
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:31SC 4th & 10 at MIZ 33, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 8.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.7%−0.6
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    8.3%
    49% to make
    Punt
    7.1%−1.1
    average punt
  8. Q3 10:37SC 4th & 13 at MIZ 23, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 5.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.3%−1.2
    19% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    5.5%
    70% to make
    Punt
    1.7%−3.9
    average punt
  9. Q3 8:51MIZ 4th & 6 at MIZ 45, up 18
    Close callWent for it · 92.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    92.9%−0.4
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    93.2%
    average punt
  10. Q3 7:07SC 4th & 10 at MIZ 20, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 8.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.1%−1.2
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    8.3%
    75% to make
    Punt
    2.6%−5.6
    average punt
  11. Q3 4:54MIZ 4th & 6 at MIZ 29, up 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 91.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.6%−0.6
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.1%
    average punt
  12. Q3 3:17SC 4th & 15 at SC 14, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.2%−2.0
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.2%
    average punt
  13. Q4 13:42MIZ 4th & 11 at SC 36, up 15
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 93.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.7%−0.3
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    94.0%
    42% to make
    Punt
    93.7%−0.3
    average punt
  14. Q4 10:31SC 4th & 3 at MIZ 3, down 18
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.1 ptsKicked a field goal · 3.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.8%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    3.6%−1.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    -0.2%−5.0
    average punt
  15. Q4 8:49MIZ 4th & 1 at MIZ 34, up 15
    Close callPunted · 95.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.7%−0.5
    average punt
  16. Q4 0:07SC 4th & 7 at SC 46, down 22
    Close callWent for it · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.4%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.4%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MIZ made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 6:31MIZ Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 0:46MIZ Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 8:21MIZ Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 2:46MIZ Touchdown, up 21 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MIZDrive 1PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:3169% → 69%
Q1 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
69.4%
Brady Cook pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:53
2ND & 10
OWN 34
0
69.4%
Brady Cook pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:53
3RD & 10
OWN 34
0
69.4%
Brady Cook pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:22
4TH & 10
OWN 34
0
69.3%
Luke Bauer punt for 32 yds, downed at the SC 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 2MISSED FG
14 plays · 33 yds · 5:2131% → 31%
Q1 14:22
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+1
69.3%
Mario Anderson run for 1 yd to the SC 35Similar
Q1 14:22
2ND & 9
OWN 35
+20
69.3%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Xavier Legette for 20 yds to the MIZ 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:22
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+2
69.3%
Mario Anderson run for 2 yds to the MIZ 43Similar
Q1 14:22
2ND & 8
OPP 43
0
69.3%
Spencer Rattler pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:22
3RD & 8
OPP 43
+10
69.3%
RATTLER, Spencer scrambles up the middle for no gain to the MIZ43 (HOPPER, Ty'Ron;CARNELL, Daylan). PENALTY MIZ Holding on CHARLESTON, Joseph enforced 10 yards from the MIZ43 to the MIZ33 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 14:22
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-10
69.3%
RATTLER, Spencer pass deep to the left incomplete intended for BROWN, Ahmarean thrown to the MIZ13. PENALTY USC Holding on BABALADE, Tree enforced 10 yards from the MIZ33 to the MIZ43 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 14:22
1ST & 20
OPP 43
+4
69.3%
Juju McDowell run for 4 yds to the MIZ 39Similar
Q1 14:22
2ND & 16
OPP 39
+10
69.3%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to O'Mega Blake for 10 yds to the MIZ 29Similar
Q1 14:22
3RD & 6
OPP 29
+7
69.3%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Dakereon Joyner for 7 yds to the MIZ 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:22
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-1
69.3%
Mario Anderson run for a loss of 1 yard to the MIZ 23Similar
Q1 14:22
2ND & 11
OPP 23
+3
69.3%
Mario Anderson run for 3 yds to the MIZ 20Similar
Q1 9:06
3RD & 8
OPP 20
-13
68.2%
Spencer Rattler sacked by Joe Moore for a loss of 13 yards to the MIZ 33Similar
Q1 9:01
4TH & 21
OPP 33
+51
68.8%
Mitch Jeter 51 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 3TD
5 plays · 67 yds · 2:3069% → 72%
Q1 9:01
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+3
68.9%
Cody Schrader run for 3 yds to the MIZ 36Similar
Q1 9:01
2ND & 7
OWN 36
+9
69.0%
Brady Cook pass complete to Mookie Cooper for 9 yds to the MIZ 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:01
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
69.2%
Cody Schrader run for no gain to the MIZ 45Similar
Q1 9:01
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+13
69.1%
Brady Cook pass complete to Mookie Cooper for 13 yds to the SC 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:31
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+42
72.0%
Brady Cook pass complete to Luther Burden III for 42 yds for a TD (Harrison Mevis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 4PUNT
6 plays · -13 yds · 2:1929% → 28%
Q1 6:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
70.8%
ANDERSON, Mario rush to the left for no gain to the USC25 (WALKER, Johnny). PENALTY Before the snap, USC Illegal Formation enforced 5 yards from the USC25 to the USC20. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 6:31
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+3
70.9%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Ahmarean Brown for 3 yds to the SC 23Similar
Q1 6:31
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+1
70.9%
Dakereon Joyner run for 1 yd to the SC 24Similar
Q1 6:31
3RD & 11
OWN 24
-7
71.2%
Spencer Rattler sacked by Triston Newson and Jayden Jernigan for a loss of 7 yards to the SC 17Similar
Q1 6:31
4TH & 18
OWN 17
-5
71.4%
South Carolina Penalty, False Start (Grayson Howard) to the SC 12Similar
Q1 4:12
4TH & 23
OWN 12
0
71.8%
Kai Kroeger punt for 47 yds, downed at the MIZ 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 5TD
7 plays · 59 yds · 3:2672% → 79%
Q1 4:12
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+8
72.4%
Brady Cook run for 8 yds to the MIZ 49Similar
Q1 4:12
2ND & 2
OWN 49
-3
72.6%
Brady Cook pass complete to Mookie Cooper for a loss of 3 yards to the MIZ 46Similar
Q1 4:12
3RD & 5
OWN 46
+6
72.2%
Brady Cook pass complete to Cody Schrader for 6 yds to the SC 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:12
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+13
72.6%
Cody Schrader run for 13 yds to the SC 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:12
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-4
72.8%
Cody Schrader run for a loss of 4 yards to the SC 39Similar
Q1 4:12
2ND & 14
OPP 39
+29
72.2%
Brady Cook pass complete to Theo Wease Jr. for 29 yds to the SC 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
78.6%
Cody Schrader run for 10 yds for a TD (Harrison Mevis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 6PUNT
9 plays · 19 yds · 3:1823% → 22%
Q1 0:41
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+6
76.6%
Spencer Rattler run for 6 yds to the SC 25Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 4
OWN 25
+4
76.8%
Mario Anderson run for 4 yds to the SC 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-3
76.8%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Mario Anderson for a loss of 3 yards to the SC 26Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 13
OWN 26
0
77.0%
Spencer Rattler run for no gain to the SC 26Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 13
OWN 26
+15
77.1%
RATTLER, Spencer sacked for a loss of 10 yards at the USC16 (WALKER, Johnny). PENALTY MIZ Face mask on WALKER, Johnny enforced 15 yards from the USC26 to the USC41 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
76.6%
Juju McDowell run for 2 yds to the SC 43Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 43
0
76.6%
Spencer Rattler pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 43
-5
76.8%
Spencer Rattler run for a loss of 5 yards to the SC 38 Spencer Rattler fumbled, recovered by SC Spencer RattlerSimilar
Q2 12:23
4TH & 13
OWN 38
0
78.5%
Kai Kroeger punt for 49 yds, downed at the MIZ 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 7TD
11 plays · 87 yds · 4:0279% → 91%
Q2 12:23
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
79.4%
Brady Cook pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:23
2ND & 10
OWN 13
0
79.4%
Brady Cook pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:23
3RD & 10
OWN 13
+11
79.1%
Brady Cook pass complete to Theo Wease Jr. for 11 yds to the MIZ 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:01
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+11
79.2%
Cody Schrader run for 11 yds to the MIZ 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:01
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+12
79.2%
Cody Schrader run for 12 yds to the MIZ 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:01
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
80.0%
Cody Schrader run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 11:01
2ND & 7
50
+8
80.0%
Brady Cook pass complete to Mookie Cooper for 8 yds to the SC 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:01
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+20
80.1%
Brady Cook run for 20 yds to the SC 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:01
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+5
80.2%
Cody Schrader run for 5 yds to the SC 17Similar
Q2 8:21
2ND & 5
OPP 17
+17
90.7%
Brady Cook run for 17 yds for a TD (Harrison Mevis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 8PUNT
6 plays · 17 yds · 2:3712% → 11%
Q2 8:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
88.4%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Trey Knox for 13 yds to the SC 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:15
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
87.9%
Mario Anderson run for 3 yds to the SC 41Similar
Q2 8:15
2ND & 7
OWN 41
-8
88.0%
Spencer Rattler sacked by Ty'Ron Hopper for a loss of 8 yards to the SC 33Similar
Q2 8:15
3RD & 15
OWN 33
+5
88.7%
RATTLER, Spencer sacked for a loss of 11 yards at the USC22 (ROCHE, Phillip). PENALTY MIZ Offsides on JERNIGAN, Jayden enforced 5 yards from the USC33 to the USC38 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 8:15
3RD & 10
OWN 38
+4
88.6%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Juju McDowell for 4 yds to the SC 42Similar
Q2 5:38
4TH & 6
OWN 42
0
89.0%
Kai Kroeger punt for 43 yds, downed at the MIZ 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 9FG
10 plays · 82 yds · 3:4892% → 93%
Q2 5:38
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+7
91.5%
Luther Burden III run for 7 yds to the MIZ 22Similar
Q2 5:38
2ND & 3
OWN 22
+16
91.5%
Cody Schrader run for 16 yds to the MIZ 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:38
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+1
91.8%
Cody Schrader run for 1 yd to the MIZ 39Similar
Q2 5:38
2ND & 9
OWN 39
+23
91.7%
Brady Cook pass complete to Mookie Cooper for 23 yds to the SC 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:38
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+29
91.8%
Cody Schrader run for 29 yds to the SC 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+3
91.7%
Cody Schrader run for 3 yds to the SC 6Similar
Q2 1:58
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
94.0%
Luther Burden III run for 3 yds to the SC 3Similar
Q2 1:58
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
0
93.6%
Brady Cook pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:50
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+21
93.4%
Harrison Mevis 21 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 10FG
11 plays · 42 yds · 1:198% → 8%
Q2 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
91.9%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Trey Knox for 7 yds to the SC 32Similar
Q2 1:50
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+5
91.4%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Dakereon Joyner for 5 yds to the SC 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
91.5%
Spencer Rattler pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:50
2ND & 10
OWN 37
0
91.5%
Spencer Rattler pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:50
3RD & 10
OWN 37
+15
92.0%
Missouri Penalty, Roughing the Passer on GADDY, Nyles enforced (Nyles Gaddy) to the MIZ 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:50
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+10
90.7%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Dakereon Joyner for 10 yds to the MIZ 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:50
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
90.0%
Spencer Rattler pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:50
2ND & 10
OPP 33
0
90.2%
Spencer Rattler pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:36
3RD & 10
OPP 33
0
91.7%
Spencer Rattler pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:31
4TH & 10
OPP 33
+51
91.7%
Mitch Jeter 51 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 11END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0094% → 94%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
94.1%
[NHSG] Kneel down by MIZ at MIZ24 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 12FG
11 plays · 54 yds · 4:168% → 11%
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+9
92.3%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Ahmarean Brown for 9 yds to the SC 32Similar
Q3 14:53
2ND & 1
OWN 32
+3
91.7%
Mario Anderson run for 3 yds to the SC 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+22
92.0%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Nyck Harbor for 22 yds to the MIZ 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
91.6%
Spencer Rattler pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:53
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+9
91.8%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Ahmarean Brown for 9 yds to the MIZ 34Similar
Q3 14:53
3RD & 1
OPP 34
+14
91.4%
Mario Anderson run for 14 yds to the MIZ 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+1
90.9%
Spencer Rattler run for 1 yd to the MIZ 19Similar
Q3 14:53
2ND & 9
OPP 19
0
91.0%
Spencer Rattler pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:53
3RD & 9
OPP 19
+1
91.8%
Spencer Rattler run for 1 yd to the MIZ 18Similar
Q3 14:53
4TH & 8
OPP 18
-5
91.9%
South Carolina Penalty, Delay Of Game (TEAM) to the MIZ 23Similar
Q3 10:37
4TH & 13
OPP 23
+41
89.0%
Mitch Jeter 41 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 13DOWNS
6 plays · 9 yds · 1:4692% → 93%
Q3 10:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
92.1%
Cody Schrader run for 4 yds to the MIZ 29Similar
Q3 10:37
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+12
92.2%
Brady Cook pass complete to Luther Burden III for 12 yds to the MIZ 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:37
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
92.5%
Brady Cook pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:37
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+4
92.5%
Brady Cook run for 4 yds to the MIZ 45Similar
Q3 10:37
3RD & 6
OWN 45
0
92.3%
Brady Cook pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:51
4TH & 6
OWN 45
-13
92.7%
Luke Bauer run for a loss of 13 yards to the MIZ 34 Luke Bauer fumbled, recovered by MIZ Luke BauerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 14FG
5 plays · 14 yds · 1:4410% → 13%
Q3 8:51
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+14
89.7%
Mario Anderson run for 14 yds to the MIZ 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:51
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+7
89.2%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Mario Anderson for 7 yds to the MIZ 13Similar
Q3 8:51
2ND & 3
OPP 13
0
89.2%
Spencer Rattler pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:51
3RD & 3
OPP 13
-7
90.0%
Spencer Rattler sacked by Chuck Hicks for a loss of 7 yards to the MIZ 20Similar
Q3 7:07
4TH & 10
OPP 20
+38
87.1%
Mitch Jeter 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 2:1389% → 91%
Q3 7:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
89.4%
Brady Cook pass complete to Luther Burden III for 6 yds to the MIZ 31Similar
Q3 7:07
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
89.5%
Luther Burden III run for no gain to the MIZ 31Similar
Q3 7:07
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+3
89.1%
Brady Cook run for 3 yds to the MIZ 34Similar
Q3 4:54
4TH & 1
OWN 34
-5
91.6%
BAUER, Luke punt 36 yards to the USC30, fair catch by LEWIS, Eddie, clock 04:54. PENALTY Before the snap, MIZ Illegal Formation enforced 5 yards from the MIZ34 to the MIZ29. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 4:54
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
91.3%
Luke Bauer punt for 52 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · -5 yds · 1:3711% → 10%
Q3 4:54
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
89.1%
Spencer Rattler pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:54
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+4
89.3%
Mario Anderson run for 4 yds to the SC 23Similar
Q3 4:54
3RD & 6
OWN 23
-9
89.5%
Spencer Rattler sacked by Darius Robinson for a loss of 9 yards to the SC 14Similar
Q3 3:17
4TH & 15
OWN 14
0
90.4%
Kai Kroeger punt for 48 yds, downed at the MIZ 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 17FG
10 plays · 26 yds · 4:3593% → 97%
Q3 3:17
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
93.2%
Brady Cook pass complete to Cody Schrader for 5 yds to the MIZ 43Similar
Q3 3:17
2ND & 5
OWN 43
+4
93.3%
Cody Schrader run for 4 yds to the MIZ 47Similar
Q3 3:17
3RD & 1
OWN 47
+3
93.1%
Cody Schrader run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:17
1ST & 10
50
+2
93.3%
Cody Schrader run for 2 yds to the SC 48Similar
Q3 3:17
2ND & 8
OPP 48
+7
93.4%
Brady Cook pass complete to Mookie Cooper for 7 yds to the SC 41Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 1
OPP 41
+6
94.3%
Cody Schrader run for 6 yds to the SC 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+3
94.4%
Cody Schrader run for 3 yds to the SC 32Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 32
-4
94.4%
Brady Cook run for a loss of 4 yards to the SC 36Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 11
OPP 36
0
94.2%
Brady Cook pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:42
4TH & 11
OPP 36
+53
96.5%
Harrison Mevis 53 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 18FG
9 plays · 72 yds · 3:114% → 8%
Q4 13:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
95.6%
Mario Anderson run for 4 yds to the SC 29Similar
Q4 13:42
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+5
95.4%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Juju McDowell for 5 yds to the SC 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:42
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+28
95.3%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Nyck Harbor for 28 yds to the MIZ 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:42
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+29
94.8%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to O'Mega Blake for 29 yds to the MIZ 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
94.5%
Spencer Rattler pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:42
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
94.5%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Trey Knox for 2 yds to the MIZ 3Similar
Q4 13:42
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
0
94.9%
Spencer Rattler pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:42
2ND & 6
OWN 29
-4
95.3%
Spencer Rattler sacked for a loss of 4 yards to the SC 33Similar
Q4 10:31
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+21
92.4%
Mitch Jeter 21 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:4296% → 96%
Q4 10:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
95.5%
Brady Cook run for 6 yds to the MIZ 31Similar
Q4 10:31
2ND & 4
OWN 31
-5
95.6%
Missouri Penalty, False Start (Connor Tollison) to the MIZ 26Similar
Q4 10:31
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
95.4%
Brady Cook pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:31
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+8
95.4%
Brady Cook run for 8 yds to the MIZ 34Similar
Q4 8:49
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
95.8%
Luke Bauer punt for 64 yds, downed at the SC 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 20INT
5 plays · 34 yds · 2:295% → 5%
Q4 8:49
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+17
95.0%
Mario Anderson run for 17 yds to the SC 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:49
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-5
94.8%
South Carolina Penalty, False Start (Nick Gargiulo) to the SC 14Similar
Q4 8:49
1ST & 15
OWN 14
+6
94.8%
Spencer Rattler run for 6 yds to the SC 20Similar
Q4 8:49
2ND & 9
OWN 20
+16
94.8%
Spencer Rattler run for 16 yds to the SC 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:20
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
95.4%
Spencer Rattler pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 21TD
12 plays · 67 yds · 3:3497% → 100%
Q4 6:20
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+2
96.7%
Cody Schrader run for 2 yds to the MIZ 35Similar
Q4 6:20
2ND & 8
OWN 35
+2
96.7%
Brady Cook run for 2 yds to the MIZ 37Similar
Q4 6:20
3RD & 6
OWN 37
+30
96.8%
Brady Cook pass complete to Luther Burden III for 30 yds to the SC 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:33
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+4
97.8%
Cody Schrader run for 4 yds to the SC 29Similar
Q4 4:27
2ND & 6
OPP 29
+5
98.0%
Cody Schrader run for 5 yds to the SC 24Similar
Q4 4:27
3RD & 1
OPP 24
+7
97.9%
Cody Schrader run for 7 yds to the SC 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:37
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+2
98.3%
Cody Schrader run for 2 yds to the SC 15Similar
Q4 3:37
2ND & 8
OPP 15
+4
98.3%
Cody Schrader run for 4 yds to the SC 11Similar
Q4 2:46
3RD & 4
OPP 11
+11
99.6%
Cody Schrader run for 11 yds for a TD (Harrison Mevis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 22DOWNS
9 plays · 29 yds · 2:340% → 0%
Q4 2:41
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+2
99.8%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Mario Anderson for 2 yds to the SC 19Similar
Q4 2:41
2ND & 8
OWN 19
+13
99.8%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Joshua Simon for 13 yds to the SC 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:41
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-5
99.8%
South Carolina Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the SC 27Similar
Q4 2:41
1ST & 15
OWN 27
+9
99.8%
Nyck Harbor run for 9 yds to the SC 36Similar
Q4 2:41
2ND & 6
OWN 36
+7
99.8%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Trey Knox for 7 yds to the SC 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:41
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
99.8%
Spencer Rattler pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:41
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+3
99.8%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Trey Knox for 3 yds to the SC 46Similar
Q4 2:41
3RD & 7
OWN 46
0
99.8%
Spencer Rattler pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:07
4TH & 7
OWN 46
0
99.8%
Spencer Rattler pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 23END OF GAME
1 play · -1 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
99.7%
[NH] Kneel down by MIZ at USC47 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 8:21
Brady Cook run for 17 yds for a TD (Harrison Mevis KICK)
+10.5
TD · Q1 0:46
Cody Schrader run for 10 yds for a TD (Harrison Mevis KICK)
+6.4
TD · Q1 6:31
Brady Cook pass complete to Luther Burden III for 42 yds for a TD (Harrison Mevis KICK)
+2.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com