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ARMY

Army 0 at LSU 62

LSU
2023 · Week 8 · Oct 21, 2023 · Tiger Stadium (LA)
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Win probability · LSU
modelLSU aheadARMY aheadconfidence bandkey playLSU scoreARMY score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGTDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:00 · Dewayne Coleman run for 5 yds to the ARMY 30
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+48.5+24.30−24.3−48.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 12:05: Logan Diggs run for 2 yds for a TD (Damian Ramos KICK) — ARMY win probability +0.2 pts (now 2%) (top driver: LSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 5:26: Jayden Daniels pass complete to Brian Thomas Jr. for 86 yds for a TD (Damian Ramos KICK) — LSU win probability +0.3 pts (now 98%) (top driver: LSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 14:22: Jayden Daniels pass complete to Brian Thomas Jr. for 8 yds for a TD (Damian Ramos KICK) — LSU win probability +0.6 pts (now 98%) (top driver: LSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 9:08: Jayden Daniels run for 1 yd for a TD (Damian Ramos KICK) — LSU win probability +0.7 pts (now 99%) (top driver: LSU has the ball).
  5. FG · Q2 2:19: Damian Ramos 35 yd FG GOOD — LSU win probability +0.1 pts (now 100%) (top driver: LSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
LSU made the numbers' call on 3 of 4ARMY made the numbers' call on 8 of 8
  1. Q1 9:43ARMY 4th & 3 at ARMY 32, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.3%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.3%
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:01LSU 4th & 5 at LSU 15, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.6%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.7%
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:18ARMY 4th & 15 at midfield, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.6%−0.1
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.7%
    average punt
  4. Q2 5:01ARMY 4th & 4 at ARMY 41, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 5:01ARMY 4th & 4 at ARMY 41, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 2:19LSU 4th & 2 at ARMY 17, up 28
    Close callKicked a field goal · 99.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.2%
    56% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.1%−0.1
    80% to make
    Punt
    98.5%−0.7
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:24ARMY 4th & 11 at ARMY 24, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.4%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.5%
    average punt
  8. Q3 10:29ARMY 4th & 3 at LSU 28, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    0.4%−0.1
    60% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−0.4
    average punt
  9. Q3 7:13LSU 4th & 2 at ARMY 14, up 45
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.8%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    99.7%−0.1
    84% to make
    Punt
    99.3%−0.5
    average punt
  10. Q3 1:48LSU 4th & 13 at ARMY 15, up 45
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−0.1
    18% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.8%
    83% to make
    Punt
    99.4%−0.4
    average punt
  11. Q4 13:00ARMY 4th & 4 at LSU 40, down 48
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    -0.0%−0.1
    34% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−0.1
    average punt
  12. Q4 2:33ARMY 4th & 5 at ARMY 30, down 55
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
LSU made the numbers' call on 8 of 8
  1. Q1 12:05LSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 5:26LSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 14:22LSU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 9:08LSU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:57LSU Touchdown, up 37 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 9:07LSU Touchdown, up 44 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 4:40LSU Touchdown, up 54 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 0:40LSU Touchdown, up 61 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
LSUDrive 1TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 2:5599% → 98%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
98.5%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Kyren Lacy for 15 yds to the LSU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
98.5%
Jayden Daniels pass incomplete to Malik NabersSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+28
98.5%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Brian Thomas Jr. for 28 yds to the ARMY 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+17
98.5%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Chris Hilton Jr. for 17 yds to the ARMY 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+8
98.5%
Kaleb Jackson run for 8 yds to the ARMY 7Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 7
+1
98.5%
Jayden Daniels run for 1 yd to the ARMY 6Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 6
+4
98.5%
Logan Diggs run for 4 yds to the ARMY 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
98.3%
Logan Diggs run for 2 yds for a TD (Damian Ramos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 2:222% → 2%
Q1 12:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
98.2%
Kanye Udoh run for 4 yds to the ARMY 29Similar
Q1 12:05
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+1
98.2%
Champ Harris run for 1 yd to the ARMY 30Similar
Q1 12:05
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+2
98.2%
Kanye Udoh run for 2 yds to the ARMY 32Similar
Q1 9:43
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
98.1%
Cooper Allan punt for 58 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:4298% → 98%
Q1 9:43
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+5
98.1%
Logan Diggs run for 5 yds to the LSU 15Similar
Q1 9:43
2ND & 5
OWN 15
0
98.1%
Jayden Daniels pass incomplete to Mason TaylorSimilar
Q1 9:43
3RD & 5
OWN 15
0
98.0%
Jayden Daniels pass incomplete to Malik NabersSimilar
Q1 9:01
4TH & 5
OWN 15
0
98.0%
Jay Bramblett punt for 41 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 4PUNT
6 plays · 6 yds · 2:432% → 2%
Q1 9:01
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+9
97.9%
Champ Harris pass complete to Ay'Jaun Marshall for 9 yds to the LSU 47Similar
Q1 9:01
2ND & 1
OPP 47
+2
97.9%
Tyrell Robinson run for 2 yds to the LSU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:01
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+2
97.9%
Tobi Olawole run for 2 yds to the LSU 43Similar
Q1 9:01
2ND & 8
OPP 43
0
97.9%
Champ Harris pass incomplete to Ay'Jaun MarshallSimilar
Q1 9:01
3RD & 8
OPP 43
-7
97.9%
Champ Harris sacked by Greg Penn III for a loss of 7 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 6:18
4TH & 15
50
0
97.7%
Cooper Allan punt for 42 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 5TD
2 plays · 92 yds · 0:5298% → 98%
Q1 6:18
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+6
97.7%
Logan Diggs run for 6 yds to the LSU 14Similar
Q1 5:26
2ND & 4
OWN 14
+86
98.0%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Brian Thomas Jr. for 86 yds for a TD (Damian Ramos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 6INT
9 plays · 30 yds · 4:512% → 3%
Q1 5:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
97.9%
Kanye Udoh run for 6 yds to the ARMY 31Similar
Q1 5:26
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+5
97.9%
Kanye Udoh run for 5 yds to the ARMY 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:26
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+9
97.9%
Kanye Udoh run for 9 yds to the ARMY 45Similar
Q1 5:26
2ND & 1
OWN 45
+3
97.9%
Tyrell Robinson run for 3 yds to the ARMY 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:26
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+5
97.9%
Kanye Udoh run for 5 yds to the LSU 47Similar
Q1 5:26
2ND & 5
OPP 47
+5
97.9%
Champ Harris pass complete to Casey Reynolds for 5 yds to the LSU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:26
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+3
97.9%
Tyrell Robinson run for 3 yds to the LSU 45Similar
Q1 0:35
2ND & 13
OPP 45
0
97.5%
Champ Harris pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 7TD
3 plays · 33 yds · 0:3898% → 98%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+21
97.8%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Malik Nabers for 21 yds to the ARMY 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+4
97.8%
Logan Diggs run for 4 yds to the ARMY 8Similar
Q2 14:22
2ND & 6
OPP 8
+8
98.4%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Brian Thomas Jr. for 8 yds for a TD (Damian Ramos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 8FUMBLE
6 plays · 12 yds · 2:542% → 2%
Q2 14:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
98.4%
Kanye Udoh run for 4 yds to the ARMY 29Similar
Q2 14:22
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+3
98.4%
Kanye Udoh run for 3 yds to the ARMY 32Similar
Q2 14:22
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+4
98.4%
Kanye Udoh run for 4 yds to the ARMY 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:22
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
98.4%
Tyrell Robinson run for 5 yds to the ARMY 41Similar
Q2 11:28
2ND & 5
OWN 41
+4
98.4%
Champ Harris run for 4 yds to the ARMY 37 Champ Harris fumbled, recovered by LSU Ovie OghoufoSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 9TD
5 plays · 37 yds · 2:2099% → 99%
Q2 11:28
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+23
98.5%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Malik Nabers for 23 yds to the ARMY 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:28
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+2
98.5%
John Emery Jr. run for 2 yds to the ARMY 12Similar
Q2 11:28
2ND & 8
OPP 12
+11
98.5%
John Emery Jr. run for 11 yds to the ARMY 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
98.5%
Jayden Daniels run for no gain to the ARMY 1Similar
Q2 9:08
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.2%
Jayden Daniels run for 1 yd for a TD (Damian Ramos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 10DOWNS
9 plays · 16 yds · 4:071% → 1%
Q2 9:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
99.2%
Champ Harris pass complete to Casey Reynolds for 7 yds to the ARMY 32Similar
Q2 9:08
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+1
99.2%
Champ Harris run for 1 yd to the ARMY 33Similar
Q2 9:08
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+2
99.2%
Kanye Udoh run for 2 yds to the ARMY 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:08
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
99.2%
Hayden Reed run for 3 yds to the ARMY 38Similar
Q2 9:08
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+2
99.2%
Kanye Udoh run for 2 yds to the ARMY 40Similar
Q2 9:08
3RD & 5
OWN 40
+1
99.2%
Champ Harris pass complete to Casey Reynolds for 1 yd to the ARMY 41Similar
Q2 5:01
4TH & 4
OWN 41
0
99.4%
Champ Harris pass incomplete to Veshe DaniyanSimilar
Q2 5:01
4TH & 4
OWN 41
0
99.4%
Champ Harris pass incomplete to Veshe DaniyanSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 11FG
8 plays · 24 yds · 2:4299% → 100%
Q2 5:01
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
99.4%
PENALTY AWP Personal Foul offsetting LSU Personal Foul offsetting. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 5:01
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+6
99.4%
Kaleb Jackson run for 6 yds to the ARMY 35Similar
Q2 5:01
2ND & 4
OPP 35
0
99.4%
Jayden Daniels pass incomplete to Malik NabersSimilar
Q2 5:01
3RD & 4
OPP 35
+10
99.4%
Jayden Daniels run for 10 yds to the ARMY 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:01
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+5
99.4%
Logan Diggs run for 5 yds to the ARMY 20Similar
Q2 5:01
2ND & 5
OPP 20
0
99.4%
LSU Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Jayden Daniels) to the ARMY 26Similar
Q2 5:01
3RD & 11
OPP 26
+9
99.4%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Logan Diggs for 9 yds to the ARMY 17Similar
Q2 2:19
4TH & 2
OPP 17
+35
99.5%
Damian Ramos 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 12PUNT
6 plays · -1 yds · 0:550% → 0%
Q2 2:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.6%
Kanye Udoh run for 3 yds to the ARMY 22Similar
Q2 2:19
2ND & 13
OWN 22
0
99.6%
Champ Harris pass incomplete to Ay'Jaun MarshallSimilar
Q2 2:19
3RD & 13
OWN 22
+2
99.6%
Kanye Udoh run for 2 yds to the ARMY 24Similar
Q2 1:24
4TH & 11
OWN 24
0
99.6%
Cooper Allan punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Gregory Clayton Jr. at the LSU 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 13TD
3 plays · 72 yds · 0:27100% → 100%
Q2 1:24
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+8
99.5%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Josh Williams for 8 yds to the LSU 36Similar
Q2 1:24
2ND & 2
OWN 36
+38
99.5%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Josh Williams for 38 yds to the ARMY 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:57
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+26
99.6%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Malik Nabers for 26 yds for a TD (Damian Ramos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 14INT
5 plays · 20 yds · 0:570% → 0%
Q2 0:57
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
99.7%
Kanye Udoh run for 4 yds to the ARMY 39Similar
Q2 0:57
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+16
99.6%
Kanye Udoh run for 16 yds to the LSU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
99.7%
Champ Harris pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 15DOWNS
9 plays · 47 yds · 4:310% → 0%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
99.7%
Kanye Udoh run for 6 yds to the ARMY 31Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+8
99.7%
Kanye Udoh run for 8 yds to the ARMY 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+8
99.7%
Larry Robinson run for 8 yds to the ARMY 47Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 47
+18
99.7%
Kanye Udoh run for 18 yds to the LSU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+1
99.6%
Tyrell Robinson run for 1 yd to the LSU 34Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 34
+1
99.7%
Tyrell Robinson run for 1 yd to the LSU 35Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 35
+7
99.7%
Kanye Udoh run for 7 yds to the LSU 28Similar
Q3 10:29
4TH & 3
OPP 28
0
99.6%
Larry Robinson pass incomplete to David CrossanSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 16TD
4 plays · 72 yds · 1:22100% → 100%
Q3 10:29
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+11
99.8%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Mason Taylor for 11 yds to the LSU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:29
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
99.8%
Garrett Nussmeier pass incomplete to Mason TaylorSimilar
Q3 10:29
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+10
99.8%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Kyren Lacy for 10 yds to the LSU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:07
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+51
99.8%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Malik Nabers for 51 yds for a TD (Damian Ramos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 17INT
5 plays · 11 yds · 1:540% → 0%
Q3 9:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
99.9%
Larry Robinson pass complete to Liam Fortner for 7 yds to the ARMY 32Similar
Q3 9:07
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+2
99.8%
Kanye Udoh run for 2 yds to the ARMY 34Similar
Q3 9:07
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
99.8%
Jakobi Buchanan run for 2 yds to the ARMY 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:13
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
99.9%
Larry Robinson pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 18FG
13 plays · 20 yds · 5:25100% → 100%
Q3 7:13
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+4
99.8%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Aaron Anderson for 4 yds to the ARMY 31Similar
Q3 7:13
2ND & 6
OPP 31
+5
99.8%
John Emery Jr. run for 5 yds to the ARMY 26Similar
Q3 7:13
3RD & 1
OPP 26
+4
99.8%
John Emery Jr. run for 4 yds to the ARMY 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:13
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
99.8%
Garrett Nussmeier pass incomplete to Aaron AndersonSimilar
Q3 7:13
2ND & 10
OPP 22
-10
99.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun Nussmeier,Garrett pass complete short left to Anderson,Aaron for 10 yards to the AWP12 (Letuli,Tano) PENALTY AWP Face Mask offsetting LSU Illegal Motion offsetting. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 7:13
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+9
99.8%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Aaron Anderson for 9 yds to the ARMY 13Similar
Q3 7:13
3RD & 1
OPP 13
+1
99.8%
John Emery Jr. run for 1 yd to the ARMY 14Similar
Q3 7:13
4TH & 2
OPP 14
+2
99.8%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Chris Hilton Jr. for 2 yds to the ARMY 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:13
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
99.8%
Garrett Nussmeier pass incomplete to Kyren LacySimilar
Q3 7:13
2ND & 10
OPP 12
+2
99.8%
John Emery Jr. run for 2 yds to the ARMY 10Similar
Q3 7:13
3RD & 8
OPP 10
-5
99.8%
PENALTY LSU False Start (Heard,Lance) 5 yards from AWP10 to AWP15. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 7:13
3RD & 13
OPP 15
0
99.8%
Garrett Nussmeier pass incomplete to Aaron AndersonSimilar
Q3 1:48
4TH & 13
OPP 15
+32
99.9%
Damian Ramos 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 19DOWNS
9 plays · 35 yds · 3:480% → 0%
Q3 1:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
99.9%
Larry Robinson run for 9 yds to the ARMY 34Similar
Q3 1:48
2ND & 1
OWN 34
0
99.9%
Larry Robinson pass incomplete to Veshe DaniyanSimilar
Q3 1:48
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+7
99.9%
Miles Stewart run for 7 yds to the ARMY 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+13
99.9%
Larry Robinson pass complete to Casey Reynolds for 13 yds to the LSU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+4
99.9%
Miles Stewart run for 4 yds to the LSU 42Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 42
0
99.9%
Miles Stewart run for no gain to the LSU 42Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 42
+2
99.9%
Kanye Udoh run for 2 yds to the LSU 40Similar
Q4 13:00
4TH & 4
OPP 40
0
99.9%
Larry Robinson pass incomplete to Ay'Jaun MarshallSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 20TD
14 plays · 60 yds · 8:20100% → 100%
Q4 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+6
99.9%
Noah Cain run for 6 yds to the LSU 46Similar
Q4 13:00
2ND & 4
OWN 46
-5
99.9%
PENALTY LSU False Start (Markway,Mac) 5 yards from LSU46 to LSU41. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 13:00
2ND & 9
OWN 41
+9
99.9%
Noah Cain run for 9 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:00
1ST & 10
50
+6
99.9%
Noah Cain run for 6 yds to the ARMY 44Similar
Q4 13:00
2ND & 4
OPP 44
+3
99.9%
Trey Holly run for 3 yds to the ARMY 41Similar
Q4 13:00
3RD & 1
OPP 41
+3
99.9%
Trey Holly run for 3 yds to the ARMY 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+3
99.9%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Kyren Lacy for 3 yds to the ARMY 35Similar
Q4 13:00
2ND & 7
OPP 35
+10
99.9%
Noah Cain run for 10 yds to the ARMY 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
99.9%
Garrett Nussmeier pass incomplete to Mac MarkwaySimilar
Q4 13:00
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+12
99.9%
Trey Holly run for 12 yds to the ARMY 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:00
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+4
99.9%
Trey Holly run for 4 yds to the ARMY 9Similar
Q4 13:00
2ND & 6
OPP 9
+1
99.9%
Noah Cain run for 1 yd to the ARMY 10Similar
Q4 13:00
3RD & 7
OPP 10
+8
99.9%
Noah Cain run for 8 yds to the ARMY 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
100.0%
Noah Cain run for 2 yds for a TD (Damian Ramos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 2:070% → 0%
Q4 4:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
100.0%
Tyrell Robinson run for no gain to the ARMY 25Similar
Q4 4:40
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
100.0%
Dewayne Coleman run for 2 yds to the ARMY 27Similar
Q4 4:40
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+3
100.0%
Miles Stewart run for 3 yds to the ARMY 30Similar
Q4 2:33
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
100.0%
Cooper Allan punt for 40 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 22TD
3 plays · 70 yds · 1:53100% → 100%
Q4 2:33
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+1
100.0%
Malachi Lane run for 1 yd to the LSU 31Similar
Q4 2:33
2ND & 9
OWN 31
+2
100.0%
Trey Holly run for 2 yds to the LSU 33Similar
Q4 0:40
3RD & 7
OWN 33
+67
100.0%
Trey Holly run for 67 yds for a TD (Damian Ramos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 23END OF GAME
2 plays · 5 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
100.0%
Dewayne Coleman run for 5 yds to the ARMY 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 9:08
Jayden Daniels run for 1 yd for a TD (Damian Ramos KICK)
+0.7
TD · Q2 14:22
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Brian Thomas Jr. for 8 yds for a TD (Damian Ramos KICK)
+0.6
TD · Q1 5:26
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Brian Thomas Jr. for 86 yds for a TD (Damian Ramos KICK)
+0.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com