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MINN

Minnesota 12 at Iowa 10

IOWA
2023 · Week 8 · Oct 21, 2023 · Kinnick Stadium
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Win probability · IOWA
modelIOWA aheadMINN aheadconfidence bandkey playIOWA scoreMINN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGTDFGFGFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 10:33 · Dragan Kesich 43 yd FG MISSED
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore diff ÷ seconds remainingGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differential
+31.5+15.80−15.8−31.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 55Pregame prior+6.9Home team on offense−1.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.6Garbage-time factor+0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.8Score differential−1.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 0:49: Deacon Hill run for 1 yd for a TD (Drew Stevens KICK) — IOWA win probability +11.0 pts (now 75%) (top driver: IOWA has the ball).
  2. FG · Q3 8:59: Dragan Kesich 44 yd FG GOOD — MINN win probability +4.3 pts (now 36%) (top driver: MINN has the ball).
  3. FG · Q4 8:33: Dragan Kesich 31 yd FG GOOD — MINN win probability +13.7 pts (now 57%) (top driver: MINN has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 1:58: Sean Tyler run for 1 yd to the MINN 14 — MINN win probability +16.0 pts (now 76%) (top driver: MINN has the ball).
  5. SACK · Q4 1:32: Deacon Hill sacked by Danny Striggow for a loss of 7 yards to the IOWA 39 — IOWA win probability +16.2 pts (now 39%) (top driver: Blowout context favors the defense).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
IOWA made the numbers' call on 7 of 10MINN made the numbers' call on 7 of 14
  1. Q1 10:35IOWA 4th & 5 at MINN 5, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 60.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.6%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    60.6%
    92% to make
    Punt
    59.9%−0.7
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:27MINN 4th & 11 at MINN 17, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.3%−0.3
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.6%
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:25IOWA 4th & 1 at IOWA 45, up 3
    Close callPunted · 61.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.8%−0.4
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:27MINN 4th & 13 at MINN 17, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.3%−0.7
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.0%
    average punt
  5. Q1 4:26IOWA 4th & 7 at IOWA 22, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.3%−0.5
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.8%
    average punt
  6. Q1 0:17MINN 4th & 4 at IOWA 25, down 3
    Close callKicked a field goal · 38.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.1%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    38.8%−0.3
    66% to make
    Punt
    36.2%−2.9
    average punt
  7. Q2 14:14IOWA 4th & 4 at IOWA 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 59.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.6%−0.3
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.9%
    average punt
  8. Q2 12:39MINN 4th & 6 at MINN 21, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.3%−0.7
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.0%
    average punt
  9. Q2 10:33MINN 4th & 3 at IOWA 25, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 41.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    41.4%−0.5
    66% to make
    Punt
    38.3%−3.6
    average punt
  10. Q2 6:52IOWA 4th & 1 at IOWA 44, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.6 ptsPunted · 60.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.2%−1.6
    average punt
  11. Q2 4:39MINN 4th & 1 at MINN 10, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.9 ptsPunted · 41.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.1%−1.9
    average punt
  12. Q2 0:05MINN 4th & 3 at MINN 39, down 7
    Close callPunted · 29.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.2%−0.7
    average punt
  13. Q3 8:59MINN 4th & 2 at IOWA 26, down 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.4 ptsKicked a field goal · 29.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    28.4%−1.4
    64% to make
    Punt
    20.9%−8.9
    average punt
  14. Q3 8:10IOWA 4th & 10 at IOWA 25, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.5%−2.6
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.1%
    average punt
  15. Q3 4:45MINN 4th & 5 at MINN 34, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.5%−1.0
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.5%
    average punt
  16. Q3 2:25MINN 4th & 9 at IOWA 10, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 34.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.6%−1.3
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    33.9%
    88% to make
    Punt
    24.7%−9.2
    average punt
  17. Q3 1:37IOWA 4th & 7 at IOWA 28, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.7%−2.0
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.7%
    average punt
  18. Q4 12:58MINN 4th & 6 at IOWA 42, down 1
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.4 ptsPunted · 39.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.4%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    37.8%−2.6
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    39.1%−1.4
    average punt
  19. Q4 12:04IOWA 4th & 7 at IOWA 27, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.5%−1.9
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.4%
    average punt
  20. Q4 8:33MINN 4th & 6 at IOWA 13, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 40.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.6%−3.7
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    43.3%
    85% to make
    Punt
    27.0%−16.3
    average punt
  21. Q4 7:04IOWA 4th & 28 at IOWA 7, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 43.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.5%−6.7
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.3%
    average punt
  22. Q4 4:41MINN 4th & 6 at IOWA 43, up 2
    Numbers favored go for it by 3.4 ptsPunted · 66.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.0%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    61.7%−5.3
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    63.7%−3.4
    average punt
  23. Q4 2:06IOWA 4th & 10 at IOWA 41, down 2
    Numbers favored go for it by 3.3 ptsPunted · 38.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.2%
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.9%−3.3
    average punt
  24. Q4 1:40MINN 4th & 6 at MINN 17, up 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 75.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.6%−7.3
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.9%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
IOWA made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q2 0:49IOWA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    68.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    68.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
IOWADrive 1FG
11 plays · 70 yds · 4:2460% → 61%
Q1 14:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+18
60.2%
Deacon Hill pass complete to Diante Vines for 18 yds to the IOWA 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:24
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+5
60.3%
Leshon Williams run for 5 yds to the IOWA 48Similar
Q1 13:49
2ND & 5
OWN 48
0
60.4%
Deacon Hill pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:45
3RD & 5
OWN 48
+10
60.3%
Deacon Hill pass complete to Nico Ragaini for 10 yds to the MINN 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:09
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-4
60.5%
Leshon Williams run for a loss of 4 yards to the MINN 46Similar
Q1 12:34
2ND & 14
OPP 46
0
60.4%
Deacon Hill pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:30
3RD & 14
OPP 46
+36
60.3%
Deacon Hill pass complete to Diante Vines for 36 yds to the MINN 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+5
60.8%
Leshon Williams run for 5 yds to the MINN 5Similar
Q1 11:21
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
60.8%
Leshon Williams run for no gain to the MINN 5Similar
Q1 10:42
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
60.7%
Deacon Hill pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:35
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+23
60.9%
Drew Stevens 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 1:0239% → 39%
Q1 10:29
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
60.7%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:21
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+4
60.8%
Darius Taylor run for 4 yds to the MINN 22Similar
Q1 9:45
3RD & 6
OWN 22
-5
61.0%
Minnesota Penalty, False Start (Aireontae Ersery) to the MINN 17Similar
Q1 9:35
3RD & 11
OWN 17
0
61.1%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:27
4TH & 11
OWN 17
0
61.4%
Mark Crawford punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Cooper DeJean at the IOWA 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:4661% → 61%
Q1 9:11
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
61.0%
Leshon Williams run for 2 yds to the IOWA 38Similar
Q1 8:43
2ND & 8
OWN 38
+7
61.0%
Deacon Hill pass complete to Nico Ragaini for 7 yds to the IOWA 45Similar
Q1 8:11
3RD & 1
OWN 45
0
61.3%
Jaziun Patterson run for no gain to the IOWA 45Similar
Q1 7:25
4TH & 1
OWN 45
0
61.0%
Tory Taylor punt for 55 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · -3 yds · 1:4939% → 38%
Q1 7:16
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
61.2%
Darius Taylor run for 3 yds to the MINN 23Similar
Q1 6:42
2ND & 7
OWN 23
0
61.3%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Daniel Jackson for no gain to the MINN 23Similar
Q1 5:55
3RD & 7
OWN 23
-6
61.7%
Athan Kaliakmanis sacked by Max Llewellyn for a loss of 6 yards to the MINN 17Similar
Q1 5:27
4TH & 13
OWN 17
0
62.2%
Mark Crawford punt for 54 yds , Cooper DeJean returns for no gain to the IOWA 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:4761% → 60%
Q1 5:13
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
61.1%
Deacon Hill pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:08
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+3
61.0%
Kaleb Johnson run for 3 yds to the IOWA 22Similar
Q1 4:32
3RD & 7
OWN 22
0
60.6%
Deacon Hill pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:26
4TH & 7
OWN 22
0
60.4%
Tory Taylor punt for 48 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 6FG
12 plays · 45 yds · 3:5939% → 41%
Q1 4:16
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+9
61.4%
Zach Evans run for 9 yds to the MINN 39Similar
Q1 3:38
2ND & 1
OWN 39
+4
60.7%
Zach Evans run for 4 yds to the MINN 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:03
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+1
60.7%
Zach Evans run for 1 yd to the MINN 44Similar
Q1 2:33
2ND & 9
OWN 44
+13
60.4%
(02:33) KALIAKMANIS, Athan pass deep to the left incomplete intended for AUTMAN-BELL, Chris thrown to the UI40, clock 02:27. PENALTY UI Pass Interference on HARRIS, Jermari enforced at the spot of the foul for 13 yards to the UI43 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 1:02
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+3
60.0%
Zach Evans run for 3 yds to the IOWA 40Similar
Q1 0:29
2ND & 7
OPP 40
+9
60.0%
Zach Evans run for 9 yds to the IOWA 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:29
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
59.5%
Darius Taylor run for no gain to the IOWA 31Similar
Q1 0:29
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+4
59.5%
Darius Taylor run for 4 yds to the IOWA 27Similar
Q1 0:26
3RD & 6
OPP 27
+2
60.5%
Zach Evans run for 2 yds to the IOWA 25Similar
Q1 0:17
4TH & 4
OPP 25
+43
59.1%
Dragan Kesich 43 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:0261% → 61%
Q1 0:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
61.2%
Leshon Williams run for a loss of 5 yards to the IOWA 20Similar
Q2 14:58
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+11
61.0%
Deacon Hill pass complete to Nico Ragaini for 11 yds to the IOWA 31Similar
Q2 14:21
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
61.0%
Deacon Hill pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:14
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
60.7%
Tory Taylor punt for 52 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:2440% → 39%
Q2 14:03
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+3
60.0%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Darius Taylor for 3 yds to the MINN 20Similar
Q2 13:38
2ND & 7
OWN 20
+6
59.9%
Darius Taylor run for 6 yds to the MINN 26Similar
Q2 12:53
3RD & 1
OWN 26
-5
59.7%
Minnesota Penalty, Illegal Snap on BOE, Nathan enforced (Nathan Boe) to the MINN 21Similar
Q2 12:44
3RD & 6
OWN 21
0
60.4%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:39
4TH & 6
OWN 21
0
61.0%
Mark Crawford punt for 42 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 9FUMBLE
1 play · -5 yds · 0:0062% → 62%
Q2 12:31
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-5
61.9%
Deacon Hill sacked for a loss of 5 yards to the IOWA 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 10MISSED FG
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:5043% → 40%
Q2 12:23
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+3
57.3%
Zach Evans run for 3 yds to the IOWA 29Similar
Q2 11:52
2ND & 7
OPP 29
+4
57.1%
Zach Evans run for 4 yds to the IOWA 25Similar
Q2 11:12
3RD & 3
OPP 25
0
58.7%
Darius Taylor run for no gain to the IOWA 25Similar
Q2 10:33
4TH & 3
OPP 25
+43
59.8%
Dragan Kesich 43 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 11PUNT
7 plays · 19 yds · 3:3761% → 62%
Q2 10:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
61.4%
Kaleb Johnson run for 1 yd to the IOWA 26Similar
Q2 9:51
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+8
61.5%
Deacon Hill pass complete to Diante Vines for 8 yds to the IOWA 34Similar
Q2 9:18
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+1
62.1%
Deacon Hill run for 1 yd to the IOWA 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:41
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
62.0%
Kaleb Johnson run for 3 yds to the IOWA 38Similar
Q2 8:04
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+6
62.9%
Deacon Hill pass complete to Seth Anderson for 6 yds to the IOWA 44Similar
Q2 7:28
3RD & 1
OWN 44
0
63.0%
Jaziun Patterson run for no gain to the IOWA 44Similar
Q2 6:52
4TH & 1
OWN 44
0
62.2%
Tory Taylor punt for 55 yds, downed at the MINN 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 2:0039% → 40%
Q2 6:39
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+2
60.6%
Athan Kaliakmanis run for 2 yds to the MINN 3Similar
Q2 5:57
2ND & 8
OWN 3
+2
60.8%
Zach Evans run for 2 yds to the MINN 5Similar
Q2 5:15
3RD & 6
OWN 5
+5
61.5%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Daniel Jackson for 5 yds to the MINN 10Similar
Q2 4:39
4TH & 1
OWN 10
0
60.4%
Mark Crawford punt for 36 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 13TD
10 plays · 46 yds · 3:4264% → 75%
Q2 4:31
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+4
64.2%
Leshon Williams run for 4 yds to the MINN 42Similar
Q2 3:49
2ND & 6
OPP 42
+2
64.4%
Leshon Williams run for 2 yds to the MINN 40Similar
Q2 3:14
3RD & 4
OPP 40
+15
64.2%
(03:14) QB Keeper HILL, Deacon rush up the middle for no gain to the MIN40 (STRIGGOW, Danny), clock 03:06. PENALTY MIN Face mask on STRIGGOW, Danny enforced 15 yards from the MIN40 to the MIN25 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 2:55
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+4
65.4%
Leshon Williams run for 4 yds to the MINN 21Similar
Q2 2:20
2ND & 6
OPP 21
0
65.2%
(02:20) HILL, Deacon pass deep to the left incomplete intended for VINES, Diante thrown to the MIN0, clock 02:15. PENALTY MIN Pass Interference on WALLEY, Justin enforced half the distance from the goal, 14 yards to the MIN7 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 2:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
65.2%
Minnesota Penalty, Offsides (Yards) to the MINN 3Similar
Q2 2:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
65.5%
Jaziun Patterson run for 2 yds to the MINN 1Similar
Q2 1:29
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
65.3%
Deacon Hill run for no gain to the MINN 1Similar
Q2 0:54
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
64.0%
(00:54) QB Keeper HILL, Deacon rush up the middle for no gain to the MIN1 (RICHTER, Logan;BARANOWSKI, Maverick), clock 00:51. PENALTY MIN Unsportsmanlike Conduct on WALLEY, Justin enforced half the distance from the goal, 0 yards from the MIN1 to the MIN1 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 0:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
75.0%
Deacon Hill run for 1 yd for a TD (Drew Stevens KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:3628% → 28%
Q2 0:41
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+7
72.3%
Zach Evans run for 7 yds to the MINN 39Similar
Q2 0:16
2ND & 3
OWN 39
0
70.4%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:10
3RD & 3
OWN 39
0
70.6%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:05
4TH & 3
OWN 39
0
72.5%
Mark Crawford punt for 32 yds, downed at the IOWA 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 15FG
13 plays · 64 yds · 6:0030% → 36%
Q3 14:59
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
70.4%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:52
2ND & 10
OWN 10
+20
70.7%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Daniel Jackson for 20 yds to the MINN 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:21
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
70.1%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:07
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+9
70.5%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Daniel Jackson for 9 yds to the MINN 39Similar
Q3 13:27
3RD & 1
OWN 39
+2
68.7%
Athan Kaliakmanis run for 2 yds to the MINN 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:45
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+6
69.5%
Darius Taylor run for 6 yds to the MINN 47Similar
Q3 12:11
2ND & 4
OWN 47
+6
68.5%
Darius Taylor run for 6 yds to the IOWA 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:31
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+2
68.3%
Darius Taylor run for 2 yds to the IOWA 45Similar
Q3 10:56
2ND & 8
OPP 45
+11
68.4%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Darius Taylor for 11 yds to the IOWA 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:21
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+4
67.1%
Darius Taylor run for 4 yds to the IOWA 30Similar
Q3 9:48
2ND & 6
OPP 30
+4
66.7%
Sean Tyler run for 4 yds to the IOWA 26Similar
Q3 9:11
3RD & 2
OPP 26
0
68.6%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:59
4TH & 2
OPP 26
+44
64.3%
Dragan Kesich 44 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:3768% → 66%
Q3 8:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
68.4%
Leshon Williams run for no gain to the IOWA 25Similar
Q3 8:20
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
68.1%
Deacon Hill pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:15
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
66.9%
Deacon Hill pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:10
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
66.1%
Tory Taylor punt for 57 yds, downed at the MINN 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 17PUNT
7 plays · 16 yds · 3:1233% → 32%
Q3 7:57
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
66.9%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:50
2ND & 10
OWN 18
-5
67.2%
Athan Kaliakmanis sacked by Joe Evans for a loss of 5 yards to the MINN 13Similar
Q3 7:07
3RD & 15
OWN 13
+16
68.8%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Daniel Jackson for 16 yds to the MINN 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:22
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+2
66.7%
Darius Taylor run for 2 yds to the MINN 31Similar
Q3 5:47
2ND & 8
OWN 31
+2
66.6%
Athan Kaliakmanis run for 2 yds to the MINN 33Similar
Q3 5:13
3RD & 6
OWN 33
+1
67.7%
Athan Kaliakmanis run for 1 yd to the MINN 34Similar
Q3 4:45
4TH & 5
OWN 34
0
68.5%
Mark Crawford punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Cooper DeJean at the IOWA 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 18FUMBLE
2 plays · -6 yds · 0:3469% → 70%
Q3 4:34
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+5
68.8%
Kaleb Johnson run for 5 yds to the IOWA 22Similar
Q3 4:00
2ND & 5
OWN 22
-11
69.9%
Deacon Hill sacked for a loss of 11 yards to the IOWA 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 19FG
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:2439% → 39%
Q3 3:49
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+3
61.0%
Darius Taylor run for 3 yds to the IOWA 8Similar
Q3 3:19
2ND & 7
OPP 8
-2
61.0%
Athan Kaliakmanis sacked by Kyler Fisher for a loss of 2 yards to the IOWA 10Similar
Q3 2:34
3RD & 9
OPP 10
0
63.2%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:25
4TH & 9
OPP 10
+28
61.1%
Dragan Kesich 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:4763% → 61%
Q3 2:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
63.4%
Kaleb Johnson run for 3 yds to the IOWA 28Similar
Q3 1:50
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
63.5%
Deacon Hill pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:44
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
61.7%
Deacon Hill pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:37
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
60.5%
Tory Taylor punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Quentin Redding at the MINN 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 21PUNT
11 plays · 31 yds · 3:3138% → 39%
Q3 1:29
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+4
62.2%
Darius Taylor run for 4 yds to the MINN 31Similar
Q3 0:55
2ND & 6
OWN 31
0
61.2%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:49
3RD & 6
OWN 31
+12
63.0%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Daniel Jackson for 12 yds to the MINN 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:17
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
58.9%
Sean Tyler run for no gain to the MINN 43Similar
Q4 14:59
2ND & 10
OWN 43
0
59.9%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:56
3RD & 10
OWN 43
+11
61.4%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Darius Taylor for 11 yds to the IOWA 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:16
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+4
57.7%
Darius Taylor run for 4 yds to the IOWA 42Similar
Q4 13:45
2ND & 6
OPP 42
0
57.1%
Darius Taylor run for no gain to the IOWA 42Similar
Q4 13:04
3RD & 6
OPP 42
0
58.3%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:58
4TH & 6
OPP 42
0
61.1%
Mark Crawford punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Cooper DeJean at the IOWA 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:4765% → 62%
Q4 12:51
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
65.2%
Deacon Hill pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:47
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+3
64.7%
Kaleb Johnson run for 3 yds to the IOWA 27Similar
Q4 12:06
3RD & 7
OWN 27
0
63.4%
Deacon Hill pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:04
4TH & 7
OWN 27
0
62.4%
Tory Taylor punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Quentin Redding at the MINN 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 23FG
7 plays · 60 yds · 3:2338% → 57%
Q4 11:56
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+11
61.9%
Darius Taylor run for 11 yds to the MINN 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:21
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+6
59.8%
Sean Tyler run for 6 yds to the MINN 44Similar
Q4 10:43
2ND & 4
OWN 44
+39
57.9%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Daniel Jackson for 39 yds to the IOWA 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:03
1ST & 10
OPP 17
-1
55.1%
Athan Kaliakmanis run for a loss of 1 yard to the IOWA 18Similar
Q4 9:25
2ND & 11
OPP 18
+5
54.8%
Sean Tyler run for 5 yds to the IOWA 13Similar
Q4 8:41
3RD & 6
OPP 13
0
56.6%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:33
4TH & 6
OPP 13
+31
42.8%
Dragan Kesich 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 24PUNT
5 plays · -18 yds · 1:2852% → 46%
Q4 8:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
52.3%
Leshon Williams run for no gain to the IOWA 25Similar
Q4 8:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-10
51.6%
(08:00) HILL, Deacon pass to the right incomplete intended for VINES, Diante broken up by WALLEY, Justin at the UI31, clock 07:56. PENALTY UI Holding on DUNKER, Gennings enforced 10 yards from the UI25 to the UI15 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 7:55
2ND & 20
OWN 15
-8
51.3%
Deacon Hill sacked by Jalen Logan-Redding for a loss of 8 yards to the IOWA 7Similar
Q4 7:11
3RD & 28
OWN 7
0
47.5%
Deacon Hill pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:04
4TH & 28
OWN 7
0
46.0%
Tory Taylor punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Quentin Redding at the IOWA 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 25PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 2:1563% → 66%
Q4 6:56
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-1
37.2%
Sean Tyler run for a loss of 1 yard to the IOWA 48Similar
Q4 6:17
2ND & 11
OPP 48
+3
36.8%
Sean Tyler run for 3 yds to the IOWA 45Similar
Q4 5:30
3RD & 8
OPP 45
+2
34.4%
Sean Tyler run for 2 yds to the IOWA 43Similar
Q4 4:41
4TH & 6
OPP 43
0
34.3%
Mark Crawford punt for 29 yds, fair catch by Cooper DeJean at the IOWA 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 26PUNT
9 plays · 27 yds · 2:2845% → 40%
Q4 4:34
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+9
45.3%
Deacon Hill pass complete to Seth Anderson for 9 yds to the IOWA 23Similar
Q4 4:13
2ND & 1
OWN 23
+7
46.8%
Deacon Hill run for 7 yds to the IOWA 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:44
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
46.5%
Deacon Hill pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:40
2ND & 10
OWN 30
0
45.1%
(03:40) HILL, Deacon pass to the right complete for 7 yards to OSTRENGA, Addison caught at the UI37 and advanced to the UI37 (NUBIN, Tyler;BARANOWSKI, Maverick), clock 03:29. PENALTY UI Illegal Touch-Pass on OSTRENGA, Addison enforced 0 yards from the UI30 to the UI30, penalty results in a loss of down [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 3:18
3RD & 10
OWN 30
+11
42.4%
Deacon Hill pass complete to Addison Ostrenga for 11 yds to the IOWA 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:40
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
49.0%
Deacon Hill pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:34
2ND & 10
OWN 41
0
46.8%
Deacon Hill pass complete to Nico Ragaini for no gain to the IOWA 41Similar
Q4 2:12
3RD & 10
OWN 41
0
42.8%
Deacon Hill pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:06
4TH & 10
OWN 41
0
39.9%
Tory Taylor punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Quentin Redding at the MINN 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 27PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 0:1876% → 77%
Q4 1:58
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+1
23.8%
Sean Tyler run for 1 yd to the MINN 14Similar
Q4 1:52
2ND & 9
OWN 14
0
21.1%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:46
3RD & 9
OWN 14
+3
22.5%
Sean Tyler run for 3 yds to the MINN 17Similar
Q4 1:40
4TH & 6
OWN 17
0
23.0%
Mark Crawford punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Cooper DeJean at the IOWA 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 28INT
4 plays · -7 yds · 0:2639% → 29%
Q4 1:32
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-7
39.2%
Deacon Hill sacked by Danny Striggow for a loss of 7 yards to the IOWA 39Similar
Q4 1:10
2ND & 17
OWN 39
0
30.4%
Deacon Hill pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:06
3RD & 17
OWN 39
0
28.7%
Deacon Hill pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 29Uncategorized
4 plays · -6 yds · 0:5787% → 93%
Q4 0:57
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
13.5%
(00:57) [NH] Kneel down by MIN at MIN41 (team loss of 3), clock 00:49.Similar
Q4 0:54
2ND & 13
OWN 41
0
14.7%
(00:54) [NH] Kneel down by MIN at MIN38 (team loss of 3), clock 00:49.Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 16
OWN 38
+5
6.7%
Iowa Penalty, Delay Of Game (Logan Lee) to the MINN 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
SACK · Q4 1:32
Deacon Hill sacked by Danny Striggow for a loss of 7 yards to the IOWA 39
+16.2
KEY PLAY · Q4 1:58
Sean Tyler run for 1 yd to the MINN 14
-16
FG · Q4 8:33
Dragan Kesich 31 yd FG GOOD
-13.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com