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2023 · Week 8 · Oct 18, 2023 · Elliott T. Bowers Stadium
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Win probability · SHSU
modelSHSU aheadFIU aheadconfidence bandkey playSHSU scoreFIU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4OTFGTDTDFGTDTDFGFGFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 7:33 · Jadon Cardell punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Dean Patterson at the FIU 20
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+41.5+20.80−20.8−41.5Q1Q2Q3Q4OTPlay 142Pregame prior+1.9Home team on offense+0.9Score differential−1.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.8Garbage-time factor−1.5Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 2:39: Kejon Owens run for 13 yds for a TD (Chase Gabriel KICK) — FIU win probability +23.3 pts (now 71%) (top driver: FIU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q4 12:44: Keegan Shoemaker pass complete to Noah Smith for 20 yds for a TD (Colby Sessums KICK) — SHSU win probability +23.1 pts (now 64%) (top driver: SHSU has the ball).
  3. FG · Q4 1:24: Colby Sessums 32 yd FG GOOD — SHSU win probability +27.1 pts (now 90%) (top driver: SHSU has the ball).
  4. FG · Q4 0:05: Chase Gabriel 36 yd FG GOOD — FIU win probability +37.4 pts (now 61%) (top driver: FIU has the ball).
  5. TD · OT 0:00: Keyone Jenkins run for no gain to the SHSU 1 — FIU win probability +42.4 pts (now 92%) (top driver: FIU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
SHSU made the numbers' call on 5 of 8FIU made the numbers' call on 7 of 10
  1. Q1 12:00FIU 4th & 3 at SHSU 48, tied
    Close callPunted · 34.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.3%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:24FIU 4th & 11 at SHSU 11, tied
    Close callWent for it · 35.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    34.7%−0.3
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    35.0%
    87% to make
    Punt
    33.7%−1.3
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:30SHSU 4th & 7 at SHSU 5, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 64.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.0%−0.4
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.4%
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:44FIU 4th & 6 at SHSU 6, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 36.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.3%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    36.4%
    91% to make
    Punt
    34.3%−2.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:50SHSU 4th & 11 at FIU 44, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 62.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.9%−0.3
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    61.7%−0.6
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    62.2%
    average punt
  6. Q2 13:22FIU 4th & 6 at FIU 24, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.3%−0.5
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.7%
    average punt
  7. Q2 10:20SHSU 4th & 15 at FIU 30, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 60.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.1%−1.1
    17% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    60.3%
    56% to make
    Punt
    59.4%−0.9
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:29FIU 4th & 6 at FIU 29, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.7%−0.7
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.4%
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:34SHSU 4th & 9 at FIU 38, down 3
    Close callWent for it · 56.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    56.2%−0.6
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    56.8%
    38% to make
    Punt
    55.3%−1.4
    average punt
  10. Q3 10:42SHSU 4th & 4 at FIU 48, tied
    Close callPunted · 62.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.5%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.9%−0.6
    average punt
  11. Q3 10:42FIU 4th & 1 at FIU 49, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 42.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    43.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    40.1%−2.9
    average punt
  12. Q3 6:43FIU 4th & 2 at SHSU 41, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 43.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    44.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    40.2%−3.9
    32% to make
    Punt
    41.0%−3.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 9:39FIU 4th & 21 at FIU 38, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.1%−9.8
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.9%
    average punt
  14. Q4 7:33SHSU 4th & 17 at SHSU 48, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.3%−6.4
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.7%
    average punt
  15. Q4 6:11FIU 4th & 10 at FIU 20, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 43.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.3%−5.7
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.0%
    average punt
  16. Q4 4:25SHSU 4th & 6 at midfield, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.0 ptsPunted · 58.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.8%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.8%−1.0
    average punt
  17. Q4 1:24SHSU 4th & 8 at FIU 15, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 60.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.7%−4.2
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    56.9%
    83% to make
    Punt
    25.9%−31.0
    average punt
  18. Q4 1:13FIU 4th & 18 at FIU 32, down 3
    Close callWent for it · 19.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    10.6%−0.2
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    10.9%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
SHSU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2FIU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q2 5:57FIU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    51.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    51.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 1:57SHSU Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    55.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    55.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 2:39FIU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    59.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    59.6%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 12:44SHSU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    54.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    54.4%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
FIUDrive 1PUNT
8 plays · 17 yds · 2:5135% → 35%
Q1 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
65.1%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Jalen Bracey for 1 yd to the FIU 36Similar
Q1 14:51
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+1
65.1%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Kris Mitchell for 1 yd to the FIU 37Similar
Q1 14:51
3RD & 8
OWN 37
+8
65.1%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Kris Mitchell for 8 yds to the FIU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+7
65.1%
Keyone Jenkins run for 7 yds to the SHSU 48Similar
Q1 14:51
2ND & 3
OPP 48
0
65.1%
Shomari Lawrence run for no gain to the SHSU 48Similar
Q1 14:51
3RD & 3
OPP 48
0
65.1%
Shomari Lawrence run for no gain to the SHSU 48Similar
Q1 12:00
4TH & 3
OPP 48
0
64.8%
Daton Montiel punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Jordan Yates at the SHSU 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SHSUDrive 2INT
7 plays · 55 yds · 3:3965% → 65%
Q1 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+8
64.9%
Noah Smith run for 8 yds to the SHSU 20Similar
Q1 12:00
2ND & 2
OWN 20
+10
65.0%
John Gentry run for 10 yds to the SHSU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+13
65.0%
Keegan Shoemaker pass complete to Jordan Yates for 13 yds to the SHSU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+8
65.2%
Keegan Shoemaker pass complete to Malik Phillips for 8 yds to the FIU 49Similar
Q1 12:00
2ND & 2
OPP 49
+3
65.3%
John Gentry run for 3 yds to the FIU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+13
65.3%
Keegan Shoemaker pass complete to Noah Smith for 13 yds to the FIU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:21
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
65.4%
Keegan Shoemaker pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 3DOWNS
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:5736% → 36%
Q1 8:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+2
63.6%
Shomari Lawrence run for 2 yds to the SHSU 11Similar
Q1 8:21
2ND & GOAL
OPP 11
+1
63.6%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Kris Mitchell for 1 yd to the SHSU 12Similar
Q1 8:21
3RD & GOAL
OPP 12
+1
63.9%
Keyone Jenkins run for 1 yd to the SHSU 11Similar
Q1 6:24
4TH & GOAL
OPP 11
+9
64.1%
Chase Gabriel run for 9 yds to the SHSU 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SHSUDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:5464% → 63%
Q1 6:24
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+5
64.2%
PENALTY FIU Offside (Guerad,Jordan) 5 yards from SHSU02 to SHSU07. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 6:24
1ST & 5
OWN 7
+2
64.2%
John Gentry run for 2 yds to the SHSU 5Similar
Q1 6:24
2ND & 7
OWN 5
0
64.2%
Keegan Shoemaker pass incomplete to Noah SmithSimilar
Q1 6:24
3RD & 7
OWN 5
0
63.8%
Keegan Shoemaker pass incomplete to Malik PhillipsSimilar
Q1 5:30
4TH & 7
OWN 5
0
63.4%
Jadon Cardell punt for 30 yds , Dean Patterson returns for no gain to the SHSU 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 5FG
9 plays · 29 yds · 3:4637% → 38%
Q1 5:30
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+6
62.9%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Dean Patterson for 6 yds to the SHSU 29Similar
Q1 5:30
2ND & 4
OPP 29
+8
62.8%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Eric Rivers for 8 yds to the SHSU 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:30
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+3
62.8%
Keyone Jenkins run for 3 yds to the SHSU 18Similar
Q1 5:30
2ND & 7
OPP 18
+6
62.8%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Eric Rivers for 6 yds to the SHSU 12Similar
Q1 5:30
3RD & 1
OPP 12
+9
63.2%
Shomari Lawrence run for 9 yds to the SHSU 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
62.8%
Shomari Lawrence run for 1 yd to the SHSU 2Similar
Q1 5:30
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
-4
62.8%
Keyone Jenkins sacked by Issiah Nixon for a loss of 4 yards to the SHSU 6Similar
Q1 5:30
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
0
63.2%
Keyone Jenkins pass incomplete to Josiah MiamenSimilar
Q1 1:44
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+24
61.8%
Chase Gabriel 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SHSUDrive 6PUNT
8 plays · 25 yds · 1:4962% → 61%
Q1 1:39
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
62.2%
John Gentry run for no gain to the SHSU 31Similar
Q1 1:39
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+3
62.1%
Keegan Shoemaker run for 3 yds to the SHSU 34Similar
Q1 1:39
3RD & 7
OWN 34
+23
61.8%
Keegan Shoemaker pass complete to Malik Phillips for 23 yds to the FIU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:39
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
63.6%
Noah Smith pass incomplete to Keegan ShoemakerSimilar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+4
63.3%
Keegan Shoemaker pass complete to John Gentry for 4 yds to the FIU 39Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 39
0
63.2%
Keegan Shoemaker pass incomplete to John GentrySimilar
Q2 14:50
4TH & 11
OPP 44
0
61.2%
Jadon Cardell punt for 44 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:2839% → 38%
Q2 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
61.2%
Kejon Owens run for 2 yds to the FIU 22Similar
Q2 14:50
2ND & 8
OWN 22
0
61.2%
Keyone Jenkins pass incomplete to Dean PattersonSimilar
Q2 14:50
3RD & 8
OWN 22
+2
61.8%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Kris Mitchell for 2 yds to the FIU 24Similar
Q2 13:22
4TH & 6
OWN 24
+4
61.9%
Daton Montiel punt for 40 yds , Emon Allen returns for 4 yds to the SHSU 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SHSUDrive 8MISSED FG
6 plays · 30 yds · 3:0263% → 60%
Q2 13:22
1ST & 9
OWN 40
0
62.7%
Keegan Shoemaker pass incomplete to Noah SmithSimilar
Q2 13:22
2ND & 9
OWN 40
+7
62.0%
Adrian Murdaugh run for 7 yds to the SHSU 47Similar
Q2 13:22
3RD & 2
OWN 47
+28
62.5%
Keegan Shoemaker pass complete to Elijah Sohn for 28 yds to the FIU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:22
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+1
63.8%
Adrian Murdaugh run for 1 yd to the FIU 26Similar
Q2 13:22
3RD & 21
OPP 36
+6
61.6%
Keegan Shoemaker pass complete to John Gentry for 6 yds to the FIU 30Similar
Q2 10:20
4TH & 15
OPP 30
+40
59.6%
Colby Sessums 40 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Brian BladesSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 9TD
10 plays · 70 yds · 4:2340% → 54%
Q2 10:20
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+11
59.7%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Jalen Bracey for 11 yds to the FIU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:20
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+9
58.7%
Kejon Owens run for 9 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 10:20
2ND & 1
50
+6
58.1%
Kejon Owens run for 6 yds to the SHSU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:20
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
58.3%
Keyone Jenkins pass incomplete to Jalen BraceySimilar
Q2 10:20
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+5
58.3%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Kejon Owens for 5 yds to the SHSU 39Similar
Q2 10:20
3RD & 5
OPP 39
+10
58.6%
Keyone Jenkins run for 10 yds to the SHSU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:20
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+5
57.6%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Jalen Bracey for 5 yds to the SHSU 24Similar
Q2 10:20
2ND & 5
OPP 24
+16
57.6%
Shomari Lawrence run for 16 yds to the SHSU 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+4
57.6%
Shomari Lawrence run for 4 yds to the SHSU 4Similar
Q2 5:57
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
46.2%
Shomari Lawrence run for 4 yds for a TD (Chase Gabriel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SHSUDrive 10TD
10 plays · 77 yds · 3:1847% → 61%
Q2 5:15
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+8
47.2%
Keegan Shoemaker pass complete to Al'vonte Woodard for 8 yds to the SHSU 31Similar
Q2 5:15
2ND & 2
OWN 31
+6
48.1%
John Gentry run for 6 yds to the SHSU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:15
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+19
47.9%
Keegan Shoemaker pass complete to Al'vonte Woodard for 19 yds to the FIU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:15
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+12
49.5%
Keegan Shoemaker pass complete to Noah Smith for 12 yds to the FIU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:15
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+11
50.6%
Keegan Shoemaker pass complete to John Gentry for 11 yds to the FIU 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:15
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
50.6%
Keegan Shoemaker pass incomplete to Al'vonte WoodardSimilar
Q2 5:15
2ND & 10
OPP 21
+11
50.6%
Keegan Shoemaker run for 11 yds to the FIU 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
50.6%
John Gentry run for no gain to the FIU 10Similar
Q2 1:57
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
61.1%
Keegan Shoemaker pass complete to Elijah Sohn for 10 yds for a TD (Colby Sessums KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 11PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 0:2345% → 44%
Q2 1:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
55.0%
Keyone Jenkins pass incomplete to Jalen BraceySimilar
Q2 1:52
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
55.2%
Shomari Lawrence run for 4 yds to the FIU 29Similar
Q2 1:45
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
54.5%
Keyone Jenkins pass incomplete to Eric RiversSimilar
Q2 1:29
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
56.0%
Daton Montiel punt for 31 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SHSUDrive 12FG
12 plays · 47 yds · 1:2958% → 65%
Q2 1:29
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+21
57.5%
Keegan Shoemaker pass complete to Noah Smith for 21 yds to the FIU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:29
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+2
58.7%
Keegan Shoemaker pass complete to John Gentry for 2 yds to the FIU 37Similar
Q2 1:29
2ND & 8
OPP 37
0
58.6%
Keegan Shoemaker pass incomplete to Noah SmithSimilar
Q2 1:29
3RD & 8
OPP 37
+1
57.9%
Keegan Shoemaker pass complete to Noah Smith for 1 yd to the FIU 38Similar
Q2 0:34
4TH & 9
OPP 38
+10
55.1%
Keegan Shoemaker pass complete to Al'vonte Woodard for 10 yds to the FIU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:34
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
60.2%
Keegan Shoemaker pass incomplete to John GentrySimilar
Q2 0:34
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+10
60.1%
Keegan Shoemaker pass complete to Noah Smith for 10 yds to the FIU 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:34
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
60.1%
Keegan Shoemaker pass incomplete to Malik PhillipsSimilar
Q2 0:34
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+5
60.1%
No Huddle-Shotgun Shoemaker,Keegan pass incomplete short to Phillips,Malik PENALTY FIU Offside (Shannon,Steven) 5 yards from FIU18 to FIU13. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:34
2ND & 5
OPP 13
0
60.1%
Keegan Shoemaker pass incomplete to Al'vonte WoodardSimilar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 5
OPP 13
+30
64.8%
Colby Sessums 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SHSUDrive 13PUNT
9 plays · 28 yds · 4:1362% → 62%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+10
62.3%
Keegan Shoemaker pass complete to Malik Phillips for 10 yds to the SHSU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 15
OWN 29
+7
62.3%
Noah Smith run for 7 yds to the SHSU 36Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 8
OWN 36
+7
63.3%
Keegan Shoemaker pass complete to Noah Smith for 7 yds to the SHSU 43Similar
Q3 14:55
3RD & 1
OWN 43
+3
64.2%
Keegan Shoemaker run for 3 yds to the SHSU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+1
64.9%
Adrian Murdaugh run for 1 yd to the SHSU 45Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 11
OWN 45
+7
63.6%
Keegan Shoemaker pass complete to Simeon Evans for 7 yds to the FIU 48Similar
Q3 14:55
3RD & 4
OPP 48
0
64.7%
Keegan Shoemaker pass incomplete to Simeon EvansSimilar
Q3 10:42
4TH & 4
OPP 48
0
62.2%
Jadon Cardell punt for 48 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 14TD
17 plays · 80 yds · 8:0342% → 71%
Q3 10:42
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+20
58.4%
Kejon Owens run for 20 yds to the FIU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:42
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
56.2%
Keyone Jenkins run for 3 yds to the FIU 43Similar
Q3 10:42
2ND & 7
OWN 43
+4
55.5%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Dean Patterson for 4 yds to the FIU 39Similar
Q3 10:42
3RD & 11
OWN 39
+10
58.5%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Eric Rivers for 10 yds to the FIU 49Similar
Q3 10:42
4TH & 1
OWN 49
+2
56.9%
Keyone Jenkins run for 2 yds to the SHSU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:42
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
54.8%
Keyone Jenkins pass incomplete to Kris MitchellSimilar
Q3 10:42
2ND & 10
OPP 49
0
55.1%
Antonio Patterson run for no gain to the SHSU 49Similar
Q3 6:43
3RD & 10
OPP 49
-5
54.9%
PENALTY FIU False Start (Bock II,John) 5 yards from SHSU49 to FIU46. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 6:43
3RD & 15
OWN 46
+13
57.2%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Kris Mitchell for 13 yds to the SHSU 41Similar
Q3 6:43
4TH & 2
OPP 41
+3
55.0%
Shomari Lawrence run for 3 yds to the SHSU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:43
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+6
52.6%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Dean Patterson for 6 yds to the SHSU 32Similar
Q3 6:43
2ND & 4
OPP 32
+5
50.6%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Kris Mitchell for 5 yds to the SHSU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:43
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+1
50.6%
Shomari Lawrence run for 1 yd to the SHSU 26Similar
Q3 6:43
2ND & 9
OPP 26
+8
51.1%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Eric Rivers for 8 yds to the SHSU 18Similar
Q3 6:43
3RD & 1
OPP 18
+5
52.2%
Kejon Owens run for 5 yds to the SHSU 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:39
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+13
28.9%
Kejon Owens run for 13 yds for a TD (Chase Gabriel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SHSUDrive 15TD
11 plays · 71 yds · 4:4538% → 64%
Q3 2:29
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+8
37.8%
Keegan Shoemaker pass complete to Al'vonte Woodard for 8 yds to the SHSU 37Similar
Q3 2:29
2ND & 2
OWN 37
+2
40.5%
John Gentry run for 2 yds to the SHSU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:29
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+10
39.3%
Keegan Shoemaker pass complete to Elijah Sohn for 10 yds to the SHSU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:29
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+3
41.6%
John Gentry run for 3 yds to the FIU 48Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 7
OPP 48
+1
38.6%
John Gentry run for 1 yd to the FIU 47Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 47
+10
37.5%
Keegan Shoemaker pass complete to Noah Smith for 10 yds to the FIU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+11
38.8%
Keegan Shoemaker run for 11 yds to the FIU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+5
40.6%
Keegan Shoemaker pass complete to Adrian Murdaugh for 5 yds to the FIU 21Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 21
+1
40.6%
John Gentry run for 1 yd to the FIU 20Similar
Q4 12:44
3RD & 4
OPP 20
+20
63.7%
Keegan Shoemaker pass complete to Noah Smith for 20 yds for a TD (Colby Sessums KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 16PUNT
10 plays · 14 yds · 3:0146% → 43%
Q4 12:40
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+3
54.4%
Kejon Owens run for 3 yds to the FIU 27Similar
Q4 12:40
2ND & 7
OWN 27
0
53.7%
Keyone Jenkins pass incomplete to Kris MitchellSimilar
Q4 12:40
3RD & 7
OWN 27
+9
55.8%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Jalen Bracey for 9 yds to the FIU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:40
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+13
52.3%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Eric Rivers for 13 yds to the FIU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:40
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+4
49.2%
Kejon Owens run for 4 yds to the SHSU 47Similar
Q4 12:40
2ND & 6
OPP 47
-10
49.1%
Shotgun Owens,Kejon rush middle for 8 yards gain to the SHSU39 (Adkins,Donovan) PENALTY FIU Holding (Lee,JaDarious) 10 yards from SHSU47 to FIU43. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 12:40
2ND & 16
OWN 43
0
53.6%
Keyone Jenkins pass incomplete to Kris MitchellSimilar
Q4 12:40
3RD & 16
OWN 43
-5
54.6%
Keyone Jenkins sacked by Jevon Leon for a loss of 5 yards to the FIU 38Similar
Q4 9:39
4TH & 21
OWN 38
0
56.8%
Daton Montiel punt for 40 yds , Emon Allen returns for no gain to the SHSU 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SHSUDrive 17PUNT
6 plays · 27 yds · 2:0659% → 56%
Q4 9:39
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+18
58.5%
Keegan Shoemaker pass complete to Malik Phillips for 18 yds to the SHSU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:39
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+16
61.2%
Keegan Shoemaker run for 16 yds to the FIU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:39
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
64.5%
Keegan Shoemaker pass incomplete to Jay RockwellSimilar
Q4 9:39
2ND & 25
OWN 40
0
59.6%
Keegan Shoemaker pass incomplete to Jay RockwellSimilar
Q4 9:39
3RD & 25
OWN 40
+8
57.5%
Keegan Shoemaker pass complete to John Gentry for 8 yds to the SHSU 48Similar
Q4 7:33
4TH & 17
OWN 48
0
56.0%
Jadon Cardell punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Dean Patterson at the FIU 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:2247% → 44%
Q4 7:33
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
53.3%
Kejon Owens run for 2 yds to the FIU 18Similar
Q4 7:33
2ND & 12
OWN 18
0
54.3%
Keyone Jenkins pass incomplete to Eric RiversSimilar
Q4 7:33
3RD & 12
OWN 18
+2
56.0%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Shomari Lawrence for 2 yds to the FIU 20Similar
Q4 6:11
4TH & 10
OWN 20
0
55.7%
Daton Montiel punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Emon Allen at the SHSU 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SHSUDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:4663% → 58%
Q4 6:11
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
63.0%
Keegan Shoemaker pass complete to Adrian Murdaugh for 2 yds to the SHSU 48Similar
Q4 6:11
2ND & 8
OWN 48
+1
63.0%
Keegan Shoemaker pass complete to Noah Smith for 1 yd to the SHSU 47Similar
Q4 6:11
3RD & 9
OWN 47
+3
59.3%
Keegan Shoemaker pass complete to John Gentry for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 4:25
4TH & 6
50
0
57.6%
Keegan Shoemaker punt for 47 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 20FUMBLE
6 plays · 14 yds · 2:3348% → 48%
Q4 4:25
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+4
51.8%
Shomari Lawrence run for 4 yds to the FIU 7Similar
Q4 4:25
2ND & 6
OWN 7
+4
52.5%
Shomari Lawrence run for 4 yds to the FIU 11Similar
Q4 4:25
3RD & 2
OWN 11
+2
53.4%
Shomari Lawrence run for 2 yds to the FIU 9Similar
Q4 4:25
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+2
50.7%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Kejon Owens for 2 yds to the FIU 26Similar
Q4 4:25
2ND & 8
OWN 26
0
50.7%
Keyone Jenkins pass incomplete to Kris MitchellSimilar
Q4 1:52
3RD & 8
OWN 26
+9
51.6%
Keyone Jenkins run for 9 yds to the FIU 17 Keyone Jenkins fumbled, recovered by FIU Jevon LeonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SHSUDrive 21FG
7 plays · 2 yds · 0:2866% → 90%
Q4 1:52
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
65.8%
Keegan Shoemaker pass incomplete to Elijah SohnSimilar
Q4 1:52
2ND & 10
OPP 17
+2
65.8%
Keegan Shoemaker pass complete to John Gentry for 2 yds to the FIU 15Similar
Q4 1:38
3RD & 8
OPP 15
+5
63.5%
PENALTY FIU Offside (Daly,Jack) 5 yards from FIU15 to FIU10. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 1:38
3RD & 13
OPP 20
+5
60.6%
John Gentry run for 5 yds to the FIU 15Similar
Q4 1:24
4TH & 8
OPP 15
+32
89.5%
Colby Sessums 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 22FG
13 plays · 42 yds · 1:1423% → 61%
Q4 1:19
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-1
77.3%
Keyone Jenkins sacked by Chris Scott for a loss of 1 yard to the FIU 39Similar
Q4 1:13
2ND & 11
OWN 39
0
85.5%
Keyone Jenkins pass incomplete to Jalen BraceySimilar
Q4 1:13
3RD & 11
OWN 39
-7
87.0%
Keyone Jenkins sacked by Issiah Nixon for a loss of 7 yards to the FIU 32Similar
Q4 1:13
4TH & 18
OWN 32
+23
88.2%
Keyone Jenkins run for 23 yds to the SHSU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:13
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+10
80.7%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Jalen Bracey for 10 yds to the SHSU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:13
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
77.6%
Keyone Jenkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:13
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+5
78.2%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Eric Rivers for 5 yds to the SHSU 30Similar
Q4 1:13
3RD & 5
OPP 30
+12
79.1%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Dean Patterson for 12 yds to the SHSU 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:13
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
76.8%
Keyone Jenkins pass incomplete to Dean PattersonSimilar
Q4 0:05
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+36
39.4%
Chase Gabriel 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 24TD
1 play · 25 yds · 0:0092% → 92%
OT 0:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
7.9%
Keyone Jenkins run for no gain to the SHSU 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · OT 0:00
Keyone Jenkins run for no gain to the SHSU 1
-42.4
FG · Q4 0:05
Chase Gabriel 36 yd FG GOOD
-37.4
FG · Q4 1:24
Colby Sessums 32 yd FG GOOD
+27.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com