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WKU

Western Kentucky 17 at Jacksonville State 20

JXST
2023 · Week 8 · Oct 17, 2023 · AmFirst Stadium
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Win probability · JXST
modelJXST aheadWKU aheadconfidence bandkey playJXST scoreWKU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDFGTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 2:32 · Tom Ellard punt for 31 yds
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+24.0+12.00−12.0−24.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 179Pregame prior−0.9Home team on offense−2.6Garbage-time factor+0.2Score differential−4.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−2.9Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+1.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 12:45: Zion Webb run for 10 yds for a TD (Alen Karajic KICK) — JXST win probability +7.3 pts (now 38%) (top driver: JXST has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 8:36: Austin Reed pass complete to River Helms for 3 yds for a TD (Lucas Carneiro KICK) — WKU win probability +5.8 pts (now 73%) (top driver: WKU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 4:40: Anwar Lewis run for 26 yds for a TD (Alen Karajic KICK) — JXST win probability +33.7 pts (now 63%) (top driver: JXST has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 4:32: Markese Stepp run for no gain to the WKU 22 — WKU win probability +14.4 pts (now 51%) (top driver: WKU has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 0:00: Alen Karajic 41 yd FG GOOD — JXST win probability +33.9 pts (now 95%) (top driver: JXST has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
JXST made the numbers' call on 7 of 10WKU made the numbers' call on 9 of 10
  1. Q1 12:40WKU 4th & 7 at WKU 47, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.3%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.3%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:12JXST 4th & 13 at JXST 13, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.0%−0.2
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.1%
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:56JXST 4th & 2 at JXST 44, down 7
    Close callPunted · 33.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.3%−0.2
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:55WKU 4th & 10 at JXST 10, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 67.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.8%−0.5
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    67.3%
    88% to make
    Punt
    64.4%−2.9
    average punt
  5. Q2 5:35JXST 4th & 5 at WKU 5, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 29.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.7%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    28.7%
    92% to make
    Punt
    24.3%−4.4
    average punt
  6. Q2 3:47WKU 4th & 6 at JXST 45, up 7
    Close callPunted · 69.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.6%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    68.4%−1.3
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    69.2%−0.4
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:00JXST 4th & 9 at WKU 43, down 7
    Close callPunted · 31.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.2%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    31.0%−0.2
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    30.8%−0.4
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:28WKU 4th & 14 at WKU 9, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 68.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.8%−4.4
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.2%
    average punt
  9. Q3 13:39JXST 4th & 10 at JXST 25, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.5%−2.2
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.7%
    average punt
  10. Q3 12:39WKU 4th & 8 at WKU 40, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 70.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.8%−1.0
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    70.8%
    average punt
  11. Q3 12:39JXST 4th & 1 at JXST 26, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 29.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    31.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    29.4%−2.1
    average punt
  12. Q3 6:58JXST 4th & 9 at WKU 38, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 30.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    30.6%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    30.2%−0.4
    38% to make
    Punt
    30.2%−0.4
    average punt
  13. Q3 5:38WKU 4th & 8 at JXST 45, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 73.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.5%−0.4
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    71.9%−2.0
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    73.9%
    average punt
  14. Q3 3:25JXST 4th & 2 at JXST 40, down 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.5 ptsPunted · 30.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.8%−1.5
    average punt
  15. Q3 1:13WKU 4th & 2 at WKU 49, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 75.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    75.7%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    74.1%−1.6
    average punt
  16. Q3 0:00WKU 4th & 16 at WKU 28, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 72.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.6%−3.4
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    74.0%
    average punt
  17. Q4 11:26JXST 4th & 1 at WKU 25, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 29.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    29.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    25.8%−4.1
    66% to make
    Punt
    14.9%−15.0
    average punt
  18. Q4 8:19WKU 4th & 11 at WKU 49, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 79.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.0%−1.5
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    80.5%
    average punt
  19. Q4 2:32WKU 4th & 6 at WKU 36, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.6%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.6%
    average punt
  20. Q4 0:00JXST 4th & 16 at WKU 23, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 55.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.7%−20.0
    15% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    61.7%
    70% to make
    Punt
    31.4%−30.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
JXST made the numbers' call on 2 of 2WKU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 8:52WKU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    66.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    66.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 12:45JXST Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    37.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    37.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 8:36WKU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    69.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 4:40JXST Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    47.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    46.6%−1.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WKUDrive 1PUNT
8 plays · 22 yds · 2:1471% → 70%
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
28.9%
Austin Reed pass complete to Malachi Corley for 7 yds to the WKU 32Similar
Q1 14:54
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+2
28.9%
Elijah Young run for 2 yds to the WKU 34Similar
Q1 14:54
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+10
28.9%
Elijah Young run for 10 yds to the WKU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+3
28.9%
Elijah Young run for 3 yds to the WKU 47Similar
Q1 14:54
2ND & 7
OWN 47
0
28.9%
Austin Reed pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:54
3RD & 7
OWN 47
0
28.9%
Austin Reed pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:40
4TH & 7
OWN 47
0
30.0%
Austin Reed punt for 37 yds, downed at the JVST 16Similar
Q1 12:40
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
30.0%
LEWIS, Anwar rush to the right for a gain of 1 yard to the JSU17 (LYNCH, Devon). PENALTY JSU Holding on CARTER, Perry enforced half the distance from the goal, 8 yards from the JSU16 to the JSU8 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · -3 yds · 1:2830% → 30%
Q1 12:40
1ST & 18
OWN 8
+2
30.0%
Zion Webb pass complete to Anwar Lewis for 2 yds to the JVST 10Similar
Q1 12:40
2ND & 16
OWN 10
+3
29.9%
Anwar Lewis run for 3 yds to the JVST 13Similar
Q1 12:40
3RD & 13
OWN 13
0
29.9%
Zion Webb pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:12
4TH & 13
OWN 13
0
30.4%
Jack Dawson punt for 40 yds, downed at the WKU 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 3TD
8 plays · 53 yds · 2:2070% → 71%
Q1 11:12
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+6
30.3%
Austin Reed pass complete to Malachi Corley for 6 yds to the JVST 47Similar
Q1 11:12
2ND & 4
OPP 47
0
30.2%
Austin Reed pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:12
3RD & 4
OPP 47
+8
30.3%
Markese Stepp run for 8 yds to the JVST 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:12
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+3
30.2%
Markese Stepp run for 3 yds to the JVST 36Similar
Q1 11:12
2ND & 7
OPP 36
+26
30.2%
Austin Reed run for 26 yds to the JVST 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
30.1%
Austin Reed pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:12
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
0
30.1%
Austin Reed pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:52
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
29.1%
Austin Reed pass complete to Dalvin Smith for 10 yds for a TD (Lucas Carneiro KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 4PUNT
7 plays · 19 yds · 1:5630% → 30%
Q1 8:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-4
29.6%
Reggion Bennett run for a loss of 4 yards to the JVST 21Similar
Q1 8:52
2ND & 14
OWN 21
+12
29.6%
Zion Webb run for 12 yds to the JVST 33Similar
Q1 8:52
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+3
29.7%
Zion Webb run for 3 yds to the JVST 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:52
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
29.8%
Reggion Bennett run for 6 yds to the JVST 42Similar
Q1 8:52
2ND & 4
OWN 42
+2
30.1%
Reggion Bennett run for 2 yds to the JVST 44Similar
Q1 8:52
3RD & 2
OWN 44
0
30.0%
Zion Webb pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:56
4TH & 2
OWN 44
0
30.0%
Jack Dawson punt for 45 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 5FG
14 plays · 79 yds · 5:0170% → 71%
Q1 6:56
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+6
29.7%
Elijah Young run for 6 yds to the WKU 17Similar
Q1 6:56
2ND & 4
OWN 17
0
29.6%
Austin Reed pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:56
3RD & 4
OWN 17
+9
29.8%
Austin Reed pass complete to Dalvin Smith for 9 yds to the WKU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:56
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+2
29.5%
Elijah Young run for 2 yds to the WKU 28Similar
Q1 6:56
2ND & 8
OWN 28
+15
29.5%
Austin Reed pass complete to Jimmy Holiday for 15 yds to the WKU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:56
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+35
29.1%
Austin Reed pass complete to K.D. Hutchinson for 35 yds to the JVST 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:56
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
28.9%
Austin Reed pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:56
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+5
28.9%
Austin Reed pass complete to Elijah Young for 5 yds to the JVST 17Similar
Q1 6:56
3RD & 5
OPP 17
+7
29.0%
Austin Reed pass complete to Malachi Corley for 7 yds to the JVST 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+2
29.1%
Elijah Young run for 2 yds to the JVST 8Similar
Q1 2:46
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
-2
29.1%
L.T. Sanders run for a loss of 2 yards to the JVST 10Similar
Q1 2:46
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
0
29.4%
Austin Reed pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:55
4TH & GOAL
OPP 10
+28
28.6%
Lucas Carneiro 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 6TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 4:1029% → 38%
Q1 1:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
28.8%
Zion Webb pass complete to Sean Brown for 5 yds to the JVST 30Similar
Q1 1:55
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+6
29.0%
Zion Webb pass complete to Perry Carter for 6 yds to the JVST 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:55
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+9
29.1%
Zion Webb pass complete to Anwar Lewis for 9 yds to the JVST 45Similar
Q1 1:55
2ND & 1
OWN 45
+3
29.5%
Anwar Lewis run for 3 yds to the JVST 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:55
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-8
29.5%
Zion Webb sacked by Hosea Wheeler for a loss of 8 yards to the JVST 40Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 18
OWN 40
+3
28.9%
Zion Webb pass complete to Anwar Lewis for 3 yds to the JVST 43Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 15
OWN 43
+32
28.6%
Zion Webb run for 32 yds to the WKU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+8
30.6%
J'Wan Evans run for 8 yds to the WKU 17Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 17
+3
30.6%
J'Wan Evans run for 3 yds to the WKU 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+4
30.6%
J'Wan Evans run for 4 yds to the WKU 10Similar
Q2 12:45
2ND & 6
OPP 10
+10
37.9%
Zion Webb run for 10 yds for a TD (Alen Karajic KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 7FUMBLE
5 plays · 29 yds · 1:5466% → 66%
Q2 12:39
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+2
34.3%
Markese Stepp run for 2 yds to the WKU 33Similar
Q2 12:39
2ND & 8
OWN 33
+33
34.3%
Austin Reed pass complete to River Helms for 33 yds to the JVST 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:39
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+4
32.7%
Austin Reed pass complete to Dalvin Smith for 4 yds to the JVST 30Similar
Q2 12:39
2ND & 6
OPP 30
0
32.7%
Austin Reed pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:45
3RD & 6
OPP 30
0
33.8%
Austin Reed pass intercepted Fred Perry fumbled, recovered by WKU Marshall JacksonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 8TD
5 plays · 40 yds · 2:0966% → 73%
Q2 10:45
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+14
33.6%
Austin Reed pass complete to Moussa Barry for 14 yds to the JVST 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:45
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+4
33.1%
Markese Stepp run for 4 yds to the JVST 22Similar
Q2 10:45
2ND & 6
OPP 22
+14
33.1%
Austin Reed pass complete to River Helms for 14 yds to the JVST 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+5
33.1%
Markese Stepp run for 5 yds to the JVST 3Similar
Q2 8:36
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
27.3%
Austin Reed pass complete to River Helms for 3 yds for a TD (Lucas Carneiro KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 9FG
10 plays · 70 yds · 3:0128% → 32%
Q2 8:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
27.9%
Zion Webb pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:36
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
27.8%
Zion Webb pass complete to J'Wan Evans for 5 yds to the JVST 30Similar
Q2 8:36
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+42
27.7%
Zion Webb run for 42 yds to the WKU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:36
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+11
30.5%
Zion Webb run for 11 yds to the WKU 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:36
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
30.5%
Anwar Lewis run for no gain to the WKU 17Similar
Q2 8:36
2ND & 10
OPP 17
+11
30.5%
Zion Webb pass complete to Michael Pettway for 11 yds to the WKU 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+1
30.5%
Anwar Lewis run for 1 yd to the WKU 5Similar
Q2 8:36
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
30.5%
Zion Webb pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:36
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
29.5%
Zion Webb pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:35
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+23
31.9%
Alen Karajic 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 10PUNT
6 plays · 35 yds · 1:4170% → 71%
Q2 5:28
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
30.0%
Elijah Young run for 4 yds to the WKU 24Similar
Q2 5:28
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+27
29.6%
Austin Reed pass complete to Craig Burt Jr. for 27 yds to the JVST 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:28
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+4
27.9%
Elijah Young run for 4 yds to the JVST 45Similar
Q2 5:28
2ND & 6
OPP 45
0
27.9%
Austin Reed pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:28
3RD & 6
OPP 45
0
28.1%
Austin Reed pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:47
4TH & 6
OPP 45
0
29.0%
Tom Ellard punt for 36 yds, downed at the JVST 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 11PUNT
10 plays · 48 yds · 2:4730% → 31%
Q2 3:47
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+13
30.2%
Anwar Lewis run for 13 yds to the JVST 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:47
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+3
30.5%
Anwar Lewis run for 3 yds to the JVST 25Similar
Q2 3:47
2ND & 7
OWN 25
+5
30.9%
Zion Webb run for 5 yds to the JVST 30Similar
Q2 3:47
3RD & 2
OWN 30
+5
30.4%
Anwar Lewis run for 5 yds to the JVST 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:47
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
31.0%
Anwar Lewis run for 3 yds to the JVST 38Similar
Q2 3:47
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+18
32.1%
Zion Webb pass complete to Jamarye Joiner for 18 yds to the WKU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:47
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+1
33.3%
Anwar Lewis run for 1 yd to the WKU 43Similar
Q2 3:47
2ND & 9
OPP 43
0
33.2%
Zion Webb pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:47
3RD & 9
OPP 43
0
32.4%
Zion Webb pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:00
4TH & 9
OPP 43
0
30.7%
Jack Dawson punt for 30 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 12PUNT
7 plays · -4 yds · 0:3271% → 71%
Q2 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
28.8%
Austin Reed pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:00
2ND & 10
OWN 13
-15
29.0%
REED, Austin pass to the left complete for 15 yards to CORLEY, Malachi caught at the WKU11 and advanced to the WKU28 (FUQUA, Kolbi;TARNUE, Kekoura). PENALTY WKU Holding on BARRY, Moussa enforced half the distance from the goal, 6 yards from the WKU13 to the WKU7 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 0:42
2ND & 16
OWN 7
+1
28.4%
Davion Ervin-Poindexter run for 1 yd to the WKU 8Similar
Q2 0:36
3RD & 15
OWN 8
+1
28.6%
Davion Ervin-Poindexter run for 1 yd to the WKU 9Similar
Q2 0:28
4TH & 14
OWN 9
0
29.3%
Tom Ellard punt for 42 yds, downed at the JVST 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 13END OF HALF
3 plays · 6 yds · 0:2832% → 31%
Q2 0:28
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
31.5%
Zion Webb pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:28
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+6
31.0%
Zion Webb run for 6 yds to the WKU 45Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 4
OPP 45
0
31.2%
Zion Webb pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:2129% → 28%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
29.2%
Anwar Lewis run for 1 yd to the JVST 26Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+4
29.2%
Zion Webb pass complete to Quinton Lane for 4 yds to the JVST 30Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 30
-5
28.9%
Zion Webb sacked by Desmyn Baker for a loss of 5 yards to the JVST 25Similar
Q3 13:39
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
27.6%
Jack Dawson punt for 37 yds, fair catch by K.D. Hutchinson at the WKU 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:0074% → 72%
Q3 13:39
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
26.1%
Austin Reed pass complete to Moussa Barry for 2 yds to the WKU 40Similar
Q3 13:39
2ND & 8
OWN 40
0
25.8%
Austin Reed pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:39
3RD & 8
OWN 40
0
26.6%
Austin Reed pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:39
4TH & 8
OWN 40
0
28.2%
Tom Ellard punt for 54 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 16DOWNS
16 plays · 56 yds · 5:4129% → 29%
Q3 12:39
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+5
28.6%
Zion Webb run for 5 yds to the JVST 11Similar
Q3 12:39
2ND & 5
OWN 11
+4
28.7%
Zion Webb run for 4 yds to the JVST 15Similar
Q3 12:39
3RD & 1
OWN 15
+2
28.0%
Zion Webb run for 2 yds to the JVST 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:39
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
29.0%
Zion Webb pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:39
2ND & 10
OWN 17
+8
28.7%
Zion Webb pass complete to P.J. Wells for 8 yds to the JVST 25Similar
Q3 12:39
3RD & 2
OWN 25
+1
28.7%
Zion Webb run for 1 yd to the JVST 26Similar
Q3 12:39
4TH & 1
OWN 26
+2
28.1%
Zion Webb run for 2 yds to the JVST 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:39
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+5
29.4%
Anwar Lewis run for 5 yds to the JVST 33Similar
Q3 12:39
2ND & 5
OWN 33
+6
30.3%
Zion Webb pass complete to Quinton Lane for 6 yds to the JVST 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:39
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+1
30.1%
Zion Webb run for 1 yd to the JVST 40Similar
Q3 12:39
2ND & 9
OWN 40
+2
30.1%
Reggion Bennett run for 2 yds to the JVST 42Similar
Q3 12:39
3RD & 7
OWN 42
+19
29.5%
Zion Webb pass complete to Sterling Galban for 19 yds to the WKU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:39
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+4
32.4%
Reggion Bennett run for 4 yds to the WKU 35Similar
Q3 12:39
2ND & 6
OPP 35
-1
33.7%
Zion Webb run for a loss of 1 yard to the WKU 36Similar
Q3 12:39
3RD & 7
OPP 36
-2
32.0%
Zion Webb sacked by Kenyonte Davis and Dareon Goodrum for a loss of 2 yards to the WKU 38Similar
Q3 6:58
4TH & 9
OPP 38
0
29.1%
Zion Webb pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 17 yds · 1:2075% → 74%
Q3 6:58
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+15
24.7%
Austin Reed pass complete to Malachi Corley for 15 yds to the JVST 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:58
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
24.1%
Austin Reed pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:58
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+2
24.1%
Elijah Young run for 2 yds to the JVST 45Similar
Q3 6:58
3RD & 8
OPP 45
0
24.5%
Austin Reed pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:38
4TH & 8
OPP 45
0
25.6%
Tom Ellard punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Sterling Galban at the JVST 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 18PUNT
6 plays · 25 yds · 2:1329% → 29%
Q3 5:38
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+8
28.9%
Perry Carter run for 8 yds to the JVST 23Similar
Q3 5:38
2ND & 2
OWN 23
+9
29.7%
Zion Webb run for 9 yds to the JVST 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:38
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
29.7%
Zion Webb pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:38
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+8
29.5%
Zion Webb pass complete to Jamarye Joiner for 8 yds to the JVST 40Similar
Q3 5:38
3RD & 2
OWN 40
0
31.4%
Zion Webb run for no gain to the JVST 40Similar
Q3 3:25
4TH & 2
OWN 40
0
29.3%
Jack Dawson punt for 32 yds, fair catch by K.D. Hutchinson at the WKU 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 19DOWNS
6 plays · 22 yds · 2:1275% → 76%
Q3 3:25
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+5
24.7%
Davion Ervin-Poindexter run for 5 yds to the WKU 33Similar
Q3 3:25
2ND & 5
OWN 33
+8
24.0%
Austin Reed pass complete to Malachi Corley for 8 yds to the WKU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:25
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
23.1%
Austin Reed pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:25
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+4
23.5%
Austin Reed pass complete to Malachi Corley for 4 yds to the WKU 45Similar
Q3 3:25
3RD & 6
OWN 45
+4
23.4%
Austin Reed pass complete to Davion Ervin-Poindexter for 4 yds to the WKU 49Similar
Q3 1:13
4TH & 2
OWN 49
+1
24.1%
Markese Stepp run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 20INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0033% → 33%
Q3 0:59
1ST & 10
50
0
33.1%
Zion Webb pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · -6 yds · 0:5976% → 73%
Q3 0:59
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
24.0%
Austin Reed pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:59
2ND & 10
OWN 34
-6
24.5%
Austin Reed pass complete to Elijah Young for a loss of 6 yards to the WKU 28Similar
Q3 0:59
3RD & 16
OWN 28
0
26.5%
Austin Reed pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:00
4TH & 16
OWN 28
0
26.7%
Tom Ellard punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Sterling Galban at the JVST 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 22DOWNS
10 plays · 39 yds · 3:3427% → 29%
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+1
27.4%
Anwar Lewis run for 1 yd to the JVST 33Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 33
+8
27.2%
Zion Webb pass complete to P.J. Wells for 8 yds to the JVST 41Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 41
+2
29.5%
Zion Webb run for 2 yds to the JVST 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+5
29.5%
Zion Webb run for 5 yds to the JVST 48Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 48
+18
30.7%
Zion Webb pass complete to Jayson Jones for 18 yds to the WKU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+5
33.0%
Anwar Lewis run for 5 yds to the WKU 29Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 29
-5
33.0%
Jacksonville State Penalty, False Start (TEAM) to the WKU 34Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+9
32.9%
Zion Webb pass complete to P.J. Wells for 9 yds to the WKU 25Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 25
0
31.2%
Zion Webb pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:26
4TH & 1
OPP 25
-1
28.8%
Zion Webb run for a loss of 1 yard to the WKU 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 23PUNT
7 plays · 20 yds · 3:0778% → 80%
Q4 11:26
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+4
21.7%
L.T. Sanders run for 4 yds to the WKU 33Similar
Q4 11:26
2ND & 6
OWN 33
0
21.2%
Austin Reed pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:26
3RD & 6
OWN 33
+17
22.0%
Austin Reed pass complete to L.T. Sanders for 17 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:26
1ST & 10
50
-8
19.2%
Austin Reed sacked for a loss of 8 yards to the WKU 42Similar
Q4 11:26
2ND & 18
OWN 42
+4
21.4%
Austin Reed pass complete to K.D. Hutchinson for 4 yds to the WKU 46Similar
Q4 11:26
3RD & 14
OWN 46
+3
22.0%
Austin Reed pass complete to K.D. Hutchinson for 3 yds to the WKU 49Similar
Q4 8:19
4TH & 11
OWN 49
0
19.7%
Tom Ellard punt for 42 yds, downed at the JVST 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 24TD
11 plays · 91 yds · 3:3924% → 63%
Q4 8:19
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+5
23.7%
Zion Webb pass complete to P.J. Wells for 5 yds to the JVST 14Similar
Q4 8:19
2ND & 5
OWN 14
0
24.2%
Zion Webb pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:19
3RD & 5
OWN 14
+21
22.6%
Zion Webb pass complete to Perry Carter for 21 yds to the JVST 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:19
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
25.0%
Zion Webb run for 4 yds to the JVST 39Similar
Q4 8:19
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+5
27.4%
Zion Webb pass complete to Quinton Lane for 5 yds to the JVST 44Similar
Q4 8:19
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+1
27.5%
Anwar Lewis run for 1 yd to the JVST 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:19
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
27.5%
Zion Webb pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:19
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+7
26.1%
Zion Webb run for 7 yds to the WKU 48Similar
Q4 8:19
3RD & 3
OPP 48
+4
29.1%
Logan Smothers pass complete to Quinton Lane for 4 yds to the WKU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:19
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+18
29.6%
Zion Webb pass complete to Sean Brown for 18 yds to the WKU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:40
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+26
63.3%
Anwar Lewis run for 26 yds for a TD (Alen Karajic KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 25PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 2:0051% → 48%
Q4 4:32
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
49.0%
Markese Stepp run for no gain to the WKU 22Similar
Q4 4:32
2ND & 10
OWN 22
0
49.5%
Austin Reed pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:32
3RD & 10
OWN 22
+10
51.4%
Austin Reed pass complete to K.D. Hutchinson for 10 yds to the WKU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:32
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+4
47.6%
Elijah Young run for 4 yds to the WKU 36Similar
Q4 4:32
2ND & 6
OWN 36
0
46.4%
Austin Reed pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:32
3RD & 6
OWN 36
0
48.6%
Austin Reed pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:32
4TH & 6
OWN 36
0
52.1%
Tom Ellard punt for 31 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 26FG
15 plays · 45 yds · 2:3257% → 95%
Q4 2:32
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+5
57.4%
Anwar Lewis run for 5 yds to the JVST 37Similar
Q4 2:32
2ND & 5
OWN 37
+7
60.4%
Zion Webb pass complete to Anwar Lewis for 7 yds to the JVST 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:32
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
61.4%
Zion Webb pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:32
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+23
59.6%
Zion Webb pass complete to P.J. Wells for 23 yds to the WKU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:25
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+9
67.7%
Anwar Lewis run for 9 yds to the WKU 24Similar
Q4 1:13
2ND & 1
OPP 24
+7
68.3%
Zion Webb run for 7 yds to the WKU 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:11
1ST & 10
OPP 17
-3
67.9%
Zion Webb run for a loss of 3 yards to the WKU 20Similar
Q4 0:23
2ND & 13
OPP 20
-1
67.9%
Zion Webb run for a loss of 1 yard to the WKU 21Similar
Q4 0:04
3RD & 14
OPP 21
0
60.9%
[NHSG] Kneel down by WEBB, Zion at WKU23 (team loss of 2).Similar
Q4 0:00
4TH & 16
OPP 23
+41
94.8%
Alen Karajic 41 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
FG · Q4 0:00
Alen Karajic 41 yd FG GOOD
+33.9
TD · Q4 4:40
Anwar Lewis run for 26 yds for a TD (Alen Karajic KICK)
+33.7
KEY PLAY · Q4 4:32
Markese Stepp run for no gain to the WKU 22
-14.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com