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IOWA

Iowa 15 at Wisconsin 6

WIS
2023 · Week 7 · Oct 14, 2023 · Camp Randall Stadium
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Win probability · WIS
modelWIS aheadIOWA aheadconfidence bandkey playWIS scoreIOWA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGFGFGSAFETYFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 0:52 · Atticus Bertrams punt for 49 yds
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+40.0+20.00−20.0−40.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 127Pregame prior+6.2Home team on offense−3.1Garbage-time factor−1.4Score differential−1.8Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 11:49: Leshon Williams run for 82 yds for a TD (Drew Stevens KICK) — IOWA win probability +6.0 pts (now 37%) (top driver: IOWA has the ball).
  2. FG · Q4 13:08: Drew Stevens 48 yd FG GOOD — IOWA win probability +9.6 pts (now 61%) (top driver: IOWA has the ball).
  3. SAFETY · Q4 12:15: Braedyn Locke sacked for a loss of 8 yards for a SAFETY — IOWA win probability +4.5 pts (now 60%) (top driver: WIS has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 12:08: Leshon Williams run for 4 yds to the IOWA 47 — IOWA win probability +10.0 pts (now 70%) (top driver: IOWA has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 2:50: Timeout Wisconsin, clock 02:50 — IOWA win probability +18.7 pts (now 90%) (top driver: IOWA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WIS made the numbers' call on 10 of 14IOWA made the numbers' call on 10 of 13
  1. Q1 11:07IOWA 4th & 3 at WIS 43, tied
    Close callPunted · 28.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    27.9%−0.2
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    27.9%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:07WIS 4th & 4 at IOWA 34, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 72.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    72.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    72.3%−0.1
    47% to make
    Punt
    72.3%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:29WIS 4th & 1 at IOWA 13, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 71.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    71.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    71.2%−0.3
    85% to make
    Punt
    70.2%−1.3
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:33IOWA 4th & 3 at WIS 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 30.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    30.9%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    30.6%−0.4
    51% to make
    Punt
    30.2%−0.7
    average punt
  5. Q1 0:30WIS 4th & 8 at WIS 39, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 69.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.4%−0.2
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.6%
    average punt
  6. Q2 13:32IOWA 4th & 14 at IOWA 12, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.4%−1.2
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.7%
    average punt
  7. Q2 13:09WIS 4th & 10 at WIS 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 68.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.2%−0.5
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.7%
    average punt
  8. Q2 10:15WIS 4th & 3 at WIS 40, down 7
    Close callPunted · 61.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.4%−0.6
    average punt
  9. Q2 7:56IOWA 4th & 14 at IOWA 28, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.3%−2.0
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.3%
    average punt
  10. Q2 6:41WIS 4th & 1 at WIS 28, down 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.8 ptsPunted · 56.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.6%−1.8
    average punt
  11. Q2 4:54IOWA 4th & 12 at IOWA 32, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 43.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.8%−2.1
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.9%
    average punt
  12. Q2 3:00WIS 4th & 11 at WIS 45, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 53.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.7%−0.6
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.3%
    average punt
  13. Q2 2:07IOWA 4th & 8 at IOWA 14, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 46.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.6%−1.4
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.0%
    average punt
  14. Q2 1:10WIS 4th & 3 at IOWA 49, down 7
    Close callPunted · 54.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.1%−0.7
    average punt
  15. Q2 0:10IOWA 4th & 8 at IOWA 10, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 48.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.7%−2.6
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.3%
    average punt
  16. Q3 9:55WIS 4th & 12 at IOWA 18, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 47.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.8%−2.9
    21% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    46.7%
    79% to make
    Punt
    36.0%−10.6
    average punt
  17. Q3 8:53IOWA 4th & 7 at IOWA 28, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 43.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.7%−1.7
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.5%
    average punt
  18. Q3 3:58WIS 4th & 9 at IOWA 34, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 51.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.9%−0.3
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    51.2%
    47% to make
    Punt
    49.7%−1.4
    average punt
  19. Q3 2:15IOWA 4th & 8 at IOWA 32, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.0%−3.8
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.8%
    average punt
  20. Q3 0:52WIS 4th & 2 at WIS 14, down 1
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.1 ptsPunted · 51.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.2%−1.1
    average punt
  21. Q4 13:08IOWA 4th & 1 at WIS 31, up 1
    Numbers favored go for it by 6.5 ptsKicked a field goal · 49.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    43.8%−6.5
    54% to make
    Punt
    40.7%−9.6
    average punt
  22. Q4 10:06IOWA 4th & 3 at midfield, up 6
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.1 ptsPunted · 71.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.7%−2.1
    average punt
  23. Q4 8:34WIS 4th & 7 at WIS 25, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.8%−1.1
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.8%
    average punt
  24. Q4 5:29IOWA 4th & 10 at IOWA 47, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 77.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.9%−1.2
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    77.2%
    average punt
  25. Q4 5:29WIS 4th & 1 at WIS 38, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 31.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    29.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    23.1%−6.2
    average punt
  26. Q4 1:55IOWA 4th & 8 at WIS 22, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 89.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.3%−0.8
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    89.1%
    72% to make
    Punt
    83.0%−6.0
    average punt
  27. Q4 1:51WIS 4th & 3 at WIS 42, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 7.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    6.5%−0.9
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
IOWA made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q2 11:49IOWA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    37.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    37.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
IOWADrive 1PUNT
9 plays · 32 yds · 3:5327% → 28%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
72.9%
Kaleb Johnson run for 3 yds to the IOWA 28Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+2
72.9%
Kaleb Johnson run for 2 yds to the IOWA 30Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+8
72.9%
Leshon Williams run for 8 yds to the IOWA 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
72.9%
Kaleb Johnson run for 3 yds to the IOWA 41Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 41
+9
72.9%
Kaleb Johnson run for 9 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
50
+5
72.9%
Leshon Williams run for 5 yds to the WIS 45Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 45
+2
72.9%
Leshon Williams run for 2 yds to the WIS 43Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 43
0
72.9%
Deacon Hill pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:07
4TH & 3
OPP 43
0
71.9%
Tory Taylor punt for 39 yds, downed at the WIS 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 2DOWNS
12 plays · 81 yds · 4:3872% → 72%
Q1 11:07
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+2
72.1%
Braelon Allen run for 2 yds to the WIS 6Similar
Q1 11:07
2ND & 8
OWN 6
+12
72.1%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Will Pauling for 12 yds to the WIS 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:07
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+42
72.1%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Bryson Green for 42 yds to the IOWA 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:07
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-1
72.6%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Will Pauling for a loss of 1 yard to the IOWA 41Similar
Q1 11:07
2ND & 11
OPP 41
+5
72.5%
Tanner Mordecai run for 5 yds to the IOWA 36Similar
Q1 11:07
3RD & 6
OPP 36
+2
72.5%
Tanner Mordecai run for 2 yds to the IOWA 34Similar
Q1 11:07
4TH & 4
OPP 34
+12
72.4%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Bryson Green for 12 yds to the IOWA 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:07
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
72.6%
Tanner Mordecai pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:07
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+9
72.6%
Braelon Allen run for 9 yds to the IOWA 13Similar
Q1 11:07
3RD & 1
OPP 13
-5
72.5%
Wisconsin Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the IOWA 18Similar
Q1 11:07
3RD & 6
OPP 18
+5
72.5%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Will Pauling for 5 yds to the IOWA 13Similar
Q1 6:29
4TH & 1
OPP 13
-2
71.5%
Braelon Allen run for a loss of 2 yards to the IOWA 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 3DOWNS
13 plays · 48 yds · 4:5629% → 31%
Q1 6:29
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+1
71.0%
Kaleb Johnson run for 1 yd to the IOWA 16Similar
Q1 6:29
2ND & 9
OWN 16
+2
71.1%
Leshon Williams run for 2 yds to the IOWA 18Similar
Q1 6:29
3RD & 7
OWN 18
+14
71.3%
Deacon Hill pass complete to Erick All for 14 yds to the IOWA 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:29
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+5
70.8%
Deacon Hill pass complete to Erick All for 5 yds to the IOWA 37Similar
Q1 4:11
2ND & 5
OWN 37
0
70.1%
Deacon Hill pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:11
3RD & 5
OWN 37
+6
70.4%
Deacon Hill pass complete to Nico Ragaini for 6 yds to the IOWA 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:11
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+2
69.9%
Kaleb Johnson run for 2 yds to the IOWA 45Similar
Q1 4:11
2ND & 8
OWN 45
+16
69.8%
Seth Anderson run for 16 yds to the WIS 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:11
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
69.7%
Deacon Hill pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:11
2ND & 10
OPP 39
0
69.7%
Deacon Hill pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:11
3RD & 10
OPP 39
+7
70.0%
Deacon Hill pass complete to Nico Ragaini for 7 yds to the WIS 32Similar
Q1 1:33
4TH & 3
OPP 32
-5
69.2%
Nico Ragaini run for a loss of 5 yards to the WIS 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:0371% → 70%
Q1 1:33
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
71.1%
Tanner Mordecai pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:33
2ND & 10
OWN 37
0
71.0%
Tanner Mordecai pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:33
3RD & 10
OWN 37
+7
70.4%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Bryson Green for 7 yds to the WIS 44Similar
Q1 1:33
4TH & 3
OWN 44
-5
70.9%
Wisconsin Penalty, False Start (Jake Chaney) to the WIS 39Similar
Q1 0:30
4TH & 8
OWN 39
0
70.1%
Atticus Bertrams punt for 37 yds , returns for no gain to the IOWA 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 5PUNT
4 plays · -4 yds · 1:2831% → 30%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+2
69.4%
Kaleb Johnson run for 2 yds to the IOWA 18Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 18
+4
69.4%
Deacon Hill pass complete to Kaleb Johnson for 4 yds to the IOWA 22Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 22
-10
69.7%
Deacon Hill sacked by Alexander Smith for a loss of 10 yards to the IOWA 12Similar
Q2 13:32
4TH & 14
OWN 12
0
70.0%
Tory Taylor punt for 59 yds, downed at the WIS 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:2370% → 69%
Q2 13:32
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
70.4%
Tanner Mordecai pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:32
2ND & 10
OWN 29
0
70.2%
Tanner Mordecai pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:32
3RD & 10
OWN 29
0
69.6%
Tanner Mordecai pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:09
4TH & 10
OWN 29
0
69.1%
Atticus Bertrams punt for 51 yds, fair catch by Kaleb Brown at the IOWA 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 7TD
3 plays · 90 yds · 1:2031% → 37%
Q2 13:09
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+9
69.0%
Kaleb Johnson run for 9 yds to the IOWA 19Similar
Q2 13:09
2ND & 1
OWN 19
-1
68.8%
Kaleb Johnson run for a loss of 1 yard to the IOWA 18Similar
Q2 11:49
3RD & 2
OWN 18
+82
62.8%
Leshon Williams run for 82 yds for a TD (Drew Stevens KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:2863% → 62%
Q2 11:43
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+2
63.0%
Tanner Mordecai run for 2 yds to the WIS 35Similar
Q2 11:43
2ND & 8
OWN 35
+4
63.0%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Jackson Acker for 4 yds to the WIS 39Similar
Q2 11:43
3RD & 4
OWN 39
+1
63.4%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Jackson Acker for 1 yd to the WIS 40Similar
Q2 10:15
4TH & 3
OWN 40
0
61.8%
Atticus Bertrams punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Cooper DeJean at the IOWA 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 9PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 2:1939% → 40%
Q2 10:15
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-1
60.8%
Kaleb Johnson run for a loss of 1 yard to the IOWA 31Similar
Q2 10:15
2ND & 11
OWN 31
+3
61.5%
Leshon Williams run for 3 yds to the IOWA 34Similar
Q2 10:15
3RD & 8
OWN 34
-5
61.4%
Iowa Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the IOWA 29Similar
Q2 10:15
3RD & 13
OWN 29
-1
62.0%
Leshon Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the IOWA 28Similar
Q2 7:56
4TH & 14
OWN 28
0
59.7%
Tory Taylor punt for 53 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:1559% → 58%
Q2 7:56
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+2
58.9%
Jackson Acker run for 2 yds to the WIS 21Similar
Q2 7:56
2ND & 8
OWN 21
0
58.8%
Tanner Mordecai pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:56
3RD & 8
OWN 21
+7
58.1%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Will Pauling for 7 yds to the WIS 28Similar
Q2 6:41
4TH & 1
OWN 28
0
57.6%
Atticus Bertrams punt for 38 yds, downed at the IOWA 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 11PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 1:4743% → 43%
Q2 6:41
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+4
56.7%
Leshon Williams run for 4 yds to the IOWA 38Similar
Q2 6:41
2ND & 6
OWN 38
+1
55.6%
Kaleb Johnson run for 1 yd to the IOWA 39Similar
Q2 6:41
3RD & 5
OWN 39
-7
55.9%
Deacon Hill sacked by Jordan Turner for a loss of 7 yards to the IOWA 32Similar
Q2 4:54
4TH & 12
OWN 32
0
57.5%
Tory Taylor punt for 54 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 12PUNT
6 plays · 25 yds · 1:5457% → 55%
Q2 4:54
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+15
56.8%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Chimere Dike for 15 yds to the WIS 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:54
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+11
57.3%
Braelon Allen run for 11 yds to the WIS 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:54
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
58.8%
Braelon Allen run for 5 yds to the IOWA 49Similar
Q2 4:54
2ND & 5
OPP 49
-6
59.7%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Jackson Acker for a loss of 6 yards to the WIS 45Similar
Q2 4:54
3RD & 11
OWN 45
0
57.1%
Tanner Mordecai pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:00
4TH & 11
OWN 45
0
54.7%
Atticus Bertrams punt for 43 yds, downed at the IOWA 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:5346% → 46%
Q2 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+4
54.1%
Leshon Williams run for 4 yds to the IOWA 16Similar
Q2 2:19
2ND & 6
OWN 16
-2
52.1%
Leshon Williams run for a loss of 2 yards to the IOWA 14Similar
Q2 2:19
3RD & 8
OWN 14
0
53.1%
Deacon Hill pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:07
4TH & 8
OWN 14
0
53.7%
Tory Taylor punt for 49 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:5755% → 53%
Q2 2:07
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+8
55.1%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Will Pauling for 8 yds to the IOWA 48Similar
Q2 2:07
2ND & 2
OPP 48
-1
56.3%
Tanner Mordecai run for a loss of 1 yard to the IOWA 49Similar
Q2 2:07
3RD & 3
OPP 49
0
55.8%
Braedyn Locke pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:10
4TH & 3
OPP 49
0
53.4%
Atticus Bertrams punt for 41 yds, downed at the IOWA 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 15PUNT
6 plays · 2 yds · 1:0049% → 49%
Q2 1:10
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+2
51.2%
Leshon Williams run for 2 yds to the IOWA 10Similar
Q2 0:23
2ND & 8
OWN 10
-2
49.9%
Leshon Williams run for a loss of 2 yards to the IOWA 8Similar
Q2 0:19
3RD & 10
OWN 8
+2
50.9%
Kaleb Johnson run for 2 yds to the IOWA 10Similar
Q2 0:10
4TH & 8
OWN 10
0
51.3%
Tory Taylor punt for 47 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 16END OF HALF
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:1055% → 53%
Q2 0:10
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
54.7%
Braedyn Locke pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 43
0
53.4%
Braedyn Locke pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 17FG
15 plays · 60 yds · 5:0152% → 55%
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+8
51.5%
Braelon Allen run for 8 yds to the WIS 30Similar
Q3 14:56
2ND & 2
OWN 30
0
53.3%
Braelon Allen run for no gain to the WIS 30Similar
Q3 14:56
3RD & 2
OWN 30
+4
51.4%
Braelon Allen run for 4 yds to the WIS 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
52.1%
Braedyn Locke pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:56
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+15
51.9%
LOCKE, Braedyn pass to the left incomplete intended for ALLEN, Braelon thrown to the WIS34. PENALTY IOW Roughing the Passer on HURKETT, Ethan enforced 15 yards from the WIS34 to the WIS49 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+6
54.5%
Braedyn Locke pass complete to Skyler Bell for 6 yds to the IOWA 45Similar
Q3 14:56
2ND & 4
OPP 45
+11
55.3%
Braedyn Locke pass complete to Chimere Dike for 11 yds to the IOWA 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+4
56.5%
Braelon Allen run for 4 yds to the IOWA 30Similar
Q3 14:56
2ND & 6
OPP 30
+2
56.6%
Braedyn Locke pass complete to Chimere Dike for 2 yds to the IOWA 28Similar
Q3 14:56
3RD & 4
OPP 28
+12
55.0%
Braedyn Locke pass complete to Braelon Allen for 12 yds to the IOWA 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+3
56.5%
Jackson Acker run for 3 yds to the IOWA 13Similar
Q3 14:56
2ND & 7
OPP 13
0
56.5%
Braedyn Locke pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:56
3RD & 7
OPP 13
-5
55.0%
Wisconsin Penalty, Delay Of Game (TEAM) to the IOWA 18Similar
Q3 14:56
3RD & 12
OPP 18
0
54.3%
Braedyn Locke pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:55
4TH & 12
OPP 18
+36
55.4%
Nathanial Vakos 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:0245% → 44%
Q3 9:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
54.7%
Deacon Hill pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:55
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
54.9%
Leshon Williams run for 3 yds to the IOWA 28Similar
Q3 9:55
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
55.7%
Deacon Hill pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:53
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
56.5%
Tory Taylor punt for 62 yds , returns for no gain to the WIS 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 19FG
10 plays · 60 yds · 4:5555% → 59%
Q3 8:53
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+1
54.6%
Braelon Allen run for 1 yd to the WIS 7Similar
Q3 8:53
2ND & 9
OWN 7
+16
54.4%
Braedyn Locke pass complete to Chimere Dike for 16 yds to the WIS 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:53
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+18
55.3%
Braelon Allen run for 18 yds to the WIS 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:53
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+12
58.1%
Braelon Allen run for 12 yds to the IOWA 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:53
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+7
59.5%
Braedyn Locke run for 7 yds to the IOWA 40Similar
Q3 8:53
2ND & 3
OPP 40
+5
59.7%
Jackson Acker run for 5 yds to the IOWA 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:53
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
61.4%
Braedyn Locke pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:53
2ND & 10
OPP 35
0
61.3%
Braelon Allen run for no gain to the IOWA 35Similar
Q3 8:53
3RD & 10
OPP 35
+1
58.5%
Braedyn Locke pass complete to Braelon Allen for 1 yd to the IOWA 34Similar
Q3 3:58
4TH & 9
OPP 34
+52
59.2%
Nathanial Vakos 52 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:3644% → 42%
Q3 3:51
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+1
55.8%
Kaleb Johnson run for 1 yd to the IOWA 31Similar
Q3 3:51
2ND & 9
OWN 31
+1
56.0%
Deacon Hill pass complete to Johnny Pascuzzi for 1 yd to the IOWA 32Similar
Q3 3:51
3RD & 8
OWN 32
0
57.4%
Deacon Hill pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:15
4TH & 8
OWN 32
0
58.1%
Tory Taylor punt for 60 yds , returns for no gain to the WIS 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:2357% → 52%
Q3 2:15
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+2
56.8%
Braelon Allen run for 2 yds to the WIS 8Similar
Q3 2:15
2ND & 8
OWN 8
+6
56.6%
Braedyn Locke pass complete to Skyler Bell for 6 yds to the WIS 14Similar
Q3 2:15
3RD & 2
OWN 14
0
55.5%
Braedyn Locke pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:52
4TH & 2
OWN 14
0
51.9%
Atticus Bertrams punt for 49 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 22FG
6 plays · 28 yds · 2:4448% → 61%
Q3 0:52
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+9
52.0%
Leshon Williams run for 9 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 1
50
+10
48.3%
Leshon Williams run for 10 yds to the WIS 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+5
48.8%
Leshon Williams run for 5 yds to the WIS 35Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 35
+3
46.9%
Leshon Williams run for 3 yds to the WIS 32Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 32
+1
48.8%
Leshon Williams run for 1 yd to the WIS 31Similar
Q4 13:08
4TH & 1
OPP 31
+48
39.3%
Drew Stevens 48 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 23SF
4 plays · -7 yds · 0:4844% → 41%
Q4 13:03
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+1
44.3%
Braelon Allen run for 1 yd to the WIS 8Similar
Q4 12:17
2ND & 9
OWN 8
0
45.0%
Braedyn Locke pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:15
3RD & 9
OWN 8
-8
40.5%
Braedyn Locke sacked for a loss of 8 yards for a SAFETYSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 24PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 2:0270% → 71%
Q4 12:08
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+4
30.4%
Leshon Williams run for 4 yds to the IOWA 47Similar
Q4 12:08
2ND & 6
OWN 47
+1
30.3%
Leshon Williams run for 1 yd to the IOWA 48Similar
Q4 12:08
3RD & 5
OWN 48
+2
30.7%
Leshon Williams run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 10:06
4TH & 3
50
0
29.3%
Tory Taylor punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Chimere Dike at the WIS 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 25PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:3238% → 34%
Q4 10:06
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+3
37.9%
Braelon Allen run for 3 yds to the WIS 25Similar
Q4 10:06
2ND & 7
OWN 25
+5
38.6%
Braedyn Locke pass complete to Hayden Rucci for 5 yds to the WIS 30Similar
Q4 10:06
3RD & 2
OWN 30
-5
37.4%
Wisconsin Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the WIS 25Similar
Q4 10:06
3RD & 7
OWN 25
0
36.1%
Braedyn Locke pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:34
4TH & 7
OWN 25
0
34.2%
Atticus Bertrams punt for 41 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 26PUNT
6 plays · 13 yds · 3:0572% → 78%
Q4 8:34
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+8
27.8%
Leshon Williams run for 8 yds to the IOWA 42Similar
Q4 8:34
2ND & 2
OWN 42
+5
26.0%
Leshon Williams run for 5 yds to the IOWA 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:34
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+2
25.7%
Kaleb Johnson run for 2 yds to the IOWA 49Similar
Q4 8:34
2ND & 8
OWN 49
-3
25.5%
Kaleb Johnson run for a loss of 3 yards to the IOWA 46Similar
Q4 8:34
3RD & 11
OWN 46
+1
27.2%
Leshon Williams run for 1 yd to the IOWA 47Similar
Q4 5:29
4TH & 10
OWN 47
0
22.3%
Tory Taylor punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Chimere Dike at the WIS 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 27FUMBLE
7 plays · 26 yds · 2:2831% → 29%
Q4 5:29
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+8
30.5%
Braedyn Locke pass complete to Bryson Green for 8 yds to the WIS 21Similar
Q4 5:29
2ND & 2
OWN 21
+8
31.6%
Braelon Allen run for 8 yds to the WIS 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:29
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
31.6%
Braedyn Locke pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:29
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+3
30.4%
Braedyn Locke pass complete to Braelon Allen for 3 yds to the WIS 32Similar
Q4 5:29
3RD & 7
OWN 32
+6
30.5%
Braedyn Locke pass complete to Skyler Bell for 6 yds to the WIS 38Similar
Q4 5:29
4TH & 1
OWN 38
+1
32.3%
Braelon Allen run for 1 yd to the WIS 39 Braelon Allen fumbled, recovered by WIS Riley Mahlman for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:01
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
29.2%
Braedyn Locke run for no gain to the WIS 39 Braedyn Locke fumbled, recovered by IOWA Jay HigginsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 28FG
9 plays · 17 yds · 0:5589% → 96%
Q4 2:50
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+15
11.1%
Leshon Williams run for 15 yds to the WIS 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:46
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+4
9.4%
Kaleb Johnson run for 4 yds to the WIS 20Similar
Q4 2:42
2ND & 6
OPP 20
-1
9.3%
Kaleb Johnson run for a loss of 1 yard to the WIS 21Similar
Q4 1:58
3RD & 7
OPP 21
-1
6.6%
Deacon Hill run for a loss of 1 yard to the WIS 22 Deacon Hill fumbled, recovered by IOWA Deacon HillSimilar
Q4 1:55
4TH & 8
OPP 22
+40
3.7%
Drew Stevens 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 29INT
8 plays · 46 yds · 1:134% → 4%
Q4 1:51
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+18
4.3%
Braedyn Locke pass complete to Will Pauling for 18 yds to the WIS 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:51
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
4.6%
Braedyn Locke pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:51
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+7
4.5%
Braedyn Locke pass complete to Will Pauling for 7 yds to the WIS 42Similar
Q4 1:51
3RD & 3
OWN 42
0
4.6%
Braedyn Locke pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:51
4TH & 3
OWN 42
+4
4.3%
Braedyn Locke pass complete to Will Pauling for 4 yds to the WIS 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:51
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+17
4.9%
Braedyn Locke pass complete to Bryson Green for 17 yds to the IOWA 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:51
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
5.5%
Braedyn Locke pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:38
2ND & 10
OPP 37
0
4.2%
Braedyn Locke pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 30END OF GAME
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
3.2%
Kneel down by HILL, Deacon at IOW37 (team loss of 2), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
KEY PLAY · Q4 2:50
Timeout Wisconsin, clock 02:50
-18.7
KEY PLAY · Q4 12:08
Leshon Williams run for 4 yds to the IOWA 47
-10
FG · Q4 13:08
Drew Stevens 48 yd FG GOOD
-9.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com