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OSU

Ohio State 41 at Purdue 7

PUR
2023 · Week 7 · Oct 14, 2023 · Ross-Ade Stadium
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Win probability · PUR
modelPUR aheadOSU aheadconfidence bandkey playPUR scoreOSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 8:58 · Jack Ansell punt for 42 yds, downed at the OSU 36
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+57.5+28.80−28.8−57.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 149Home team on offense−52.6Pregame prior−8.5Score differential−37.8Garbage-time factor−18.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−9.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 3:44: Devin Brown run for 2 yds for a TD (Jayden Fielding KICK) — OSU win probability +0.9 pts (now 90%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
  2. KEY PLAY · Q2 0:02: [NHSG] Kneel down by MCCORD, Kyle at OSU20 (team loss of 2). — OSU win probability +4.2 pts (now 96%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 12:24: Dallan Hayden run for 1 yd for a TD (Jayden Fielding KICK) — OSU win probability +3.5 pts (now 98%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 4:36: Kyle McCord pass complete to Cade Stover for 14 yds for a TD (Jayden Fielding KICK) — OSU win probability +0.8 pts (now 99%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 14:30: Hudson Card pass complete to Deion Burks for 6 yds for a TD (Caleb Krockover KICK) — PUR win probability +1.5 pts (now 2%) (top driver: PUR has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
PUR made the numbers' call on 10 of 13OSU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 11:54PUR 4th & 8 at OSU 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 15.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.6%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    15.6%
    54% to make
    Punt
    15.5%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:50PUR 4th & 8 at PUR 11, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.4%−0.2
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.6%
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:37PUR 4th & 5 at PUR 30, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.5%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.6%
    average punt
  4. Q2 11:29PUR 4th & 5 at PUR 25, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.9%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.0%
    average punt
  5. Q2 3:31PUR 4th & 17 at PUR 26, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.4%−0.9
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.3%
    average punt
  6. Q2 2:02OSU 4th & 19 at OSU 31, up 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 91.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.9%−1.1
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.0%
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:02PUR 4th & 22 at OSU 22, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 9.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.1%−0.8
    7% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    9.9%
    72% to make
    Punt
    8.2%−1.7
    average punt
  8. Q3 7:35PUR 4th & 4 at OSU 10, down 27
    Close callKicked a field goal · 1.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.7%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    1.6%−0.1
    88% to make
    Punt
    -0.4%−2.0
    average punt
  9. Q3 3:46PUR 4th & 4 at PUR 41, down 34
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.1%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.1%
    average punt
  10. Q3 2:19OSU 4th & 10 at OSU 21, up 34
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.2%−0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.3%
    average punt
  11. Q3 1:28PUR 4th & 10 at OSU 48, down 34
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.6%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.6%
    average punt
  12. Q4 15:00PUR 4th & 7 at OSU 17, down 34
    Close callWent for it · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.4%−0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    0.4%
    80% to make
    Punt
    -0.0%−0.4
    average punt
  13. Q4 11:25OSU 4th & 14 at midfield, up 27
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.4%−0.2
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.6%
    average punt
  14. Q4 8:58PUR 4th & 2 at PUR 22, down 27
    Close callPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 7:35PUR 4th & 1 at OSU 48, down 34
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 3:00PUR 4th & 3 at OSU 36, down 34
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%−<0.1
    42% to make
    Punt
    0.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  17. Q4 0:37OSU 4th & 17 at OSU 29, up 34
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−0.2
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
PUR made the numbers' call on 1 of 1OSU made the numbers' call on 5 of 6
  1. Q1 9:11OSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    83.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 3:44OSU Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 6:02OSU Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 12:24OSU Touchdown, up 26 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 4:36OSU Touchdown, up 33 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 14:30PUR Touchdown, down 28 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 7:35OSU Touchdown, up 33 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
PURDrive 1MISSED FG
9 plays · 44 yds · 3:069% → 10%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+19
9.1%
Devin Mockobee run for 19 yds to the PUR 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+7
9.1%
Hudson Card pass complete to Deion Burks for 7 yds to the OSU 49Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 49
+4
9.1%
Devin Mockobee run for 4 yds to the OSU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+9
9.1%
Hudson Card pass complete to TJ Sheffield for 9 yds to the OSU 36Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 36
+3
9.1%
Devin Mockobee run for 3 yds to the OSU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+2
9.1%
Dylan Downing run for 2 yds to the OSU 31Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 31
0
9.1%
Hudson Card pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 31
0
9.1%
Hudson Card pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:54
4TH & 8
OPP 31
+48
10.4%
Julio Macias 48 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 2TD
9 plays · 69 yds · 2:4390% → 89%
Q1 11:54
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
10.3%
Kyle McCord pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:54
2ND & 10
OWN 31
0
10.3%
Kyle McCord pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:54
3RD & 10
OWN 31
+15
10.4%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Marvin Harrison Jr. for 15 yds to the OSU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:54
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
10.2%
Chip Trayanum run for 2 yds to the OSU 48Similar
Q1 11:54
2ND & 8
OWN 48
+34
10.2%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Marvin Harrison Jr. for 34 yds to the PUR 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:54
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+4
10.1%
Chip Trayanum run for 4 yds to the PUR 14Similar
Q1 9:17
2ND & 6
OPP 14
0
11.2%
Kyle McCord pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:11
3RD & 6
OPP 14
+14
10.9%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Marvin Harrison Jr. for 14 yds for a TD (Jayden Fielding PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:1611% → 11%
Q1 9:06
1ST & 10
OWN 9
-1
11.1%
Dylan Downing run for a loss of 1 yard to the PUR 8Similar
Q1 9:06
2ND & 11
OWN 8
+3
11.1%
Dylan Downing run for 3 yds to the PUR 11Similar
Q1 9:06
3RD & 8
OWN 11
0
11.0%
Hudson Card pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:50
4TH & 8
OWN 11
0
11.4%
Jack Ansell punt for 40 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 4TD
8 plays · 51 yds · 4:0689% → 90%
Q1 7:50
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+5
11.3%
Xavier Johnson run for 5 yds to the PUR 46Similar
Q1 7:50
2ND & 5
OPP 46
+10
11.3%
Chip Trayanum run for 10 yds to the PUR 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:50
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+14
11.3%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Marvin Harrison Jr. for 14 yds to the PUR 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:50
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+6
11.2%
Chip Trayanum run for 6 yds to the PUR 16Similar
Q1 7:50
2ND & 4
OPP 16
+3
11.2%
Chip Trayanum run for 3 yds to the PUR 13Similar
Q1 7:50
3RD & 1
OPP 13
+8
11.3%
Devin Brown run for 8 yds to the PUR 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
11.2%
Chip Trayanum run for 3 yds to the PUR 2Similar
Q1 3:44
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
10.3%
Devin Brown run for 2 yds for a TD (Jayden Fielding KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:0711% → 11%
Q1 3:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
10.9%
Hudson Card pass complete to Garrett Miller for 5 yds to the PUR 30Similar
Q1 3:44
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
11.0%
Devin Mockobee run for no gain to the PUR 30Similar
Q1 3:44
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
10.8%
Hudson Card pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:37
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
11.0%
Jack Ansell punt for 42 yds, downed at the OSU 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 6FUMBLE
11 plays · 72 yds · 4:0489% → 89%
Q1 2:37
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+9
10.6%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Chip Trayanum for 9 yds to the OSU 37Similar
Q1 2:22
2ND & 1
OWN 37
+4
10.6%
Xavier Johnson run for 4 yds to the OSU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:22
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
10.5%
Kyle McCord pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:22
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+9
10.5%
Kyle McCord run for 9 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 2:22
3RD & 1
50
+2
10.5%
Kyle McCord run for 2 yds to the PUR 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:22
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
10.4%
Kyle McCord pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+23
10.7%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Cade Stover for 23 yds to the PUR 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+1
10.6%
Dallan Hayden run for 1 yd to the PUR 24Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 24
+17
10.6%
Dallan Hayden run for 17 yds to the PUR 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
10.6%
Devin Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:33
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
10.7%
Devin Brown run for 7 yds Devin Brown fumbled, recovered by PUR Kydran JenkinsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 2:0412% → 12%
Q2 13:33
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
11.9%
Devin Mockobee run for 2 yds to the PUR 22Similar
Q2 13:33
2ND & 8
OWN 22
-5
11.9%
Hudson Card sacked by JT Tuimoloau for a loss of 5 yards to the PUR 17Similar
Q2 13:33
3RD & 13
OWN 17
+8
11.6%
Hudson Card pass complete to Jayden Dixon-Veal for 8 yds to the PUR 25Similar
Q2 11:29
4TH & 5
OWN 25
0
11.9%
Jack Ansell punt for 48 yds, downed at the OSU 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 8TD
12 plays · 73 yds · 5:2789% → 89%
Q2 11:29
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+8
11.5%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Marvin Harrison Jr. for 8 yds to the OSU 35Similar
Q2 11:29
2ND & 2
OWN 35
+8
11.4%
Dallan Hayden run for 8 yds to the OSU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:29
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+12
11.2%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Cade Stover for 12 yds to the PUR 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:29
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+9
11.1%
Xavier Johnson run for 9 yds to the PUR 36Similar
Q2 11:29
2ND & 1
OPP 36
0
11.1%
Kyle McCord pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:29
3RD & 1
OPP 36
+3
11.2%
Dallan Hayden run for 3 yds to the PUR 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:29
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+14
11.1%
Dallan Hayden run for 14 yds to the PUR 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:29
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+15
10.9%
Xavier Johnson run for 15 yds to the PUR 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
10.9%
Devin Brown run for no gain to the PUR 4Similar
Q2 6:07
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
0
10.9%
Kyle McCord pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:02
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
10.7%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Cade Stover for 4 yds for a TD (Jayden Fielding KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 9PUNT
8 plays · 6 yds · 2:279% → 9%
Q2 5:58
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
9.3%
Hudson Card pass complete to Garrett Miller for 5 yds to the PUR 25Similar
Q2 5:58
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+4
9.4%
Hudson Card pass complete to Elijah Canion for 4 yds to the PUR 29Similar
Q2 5:58
3RD & 1
OWN 29
+4
9.6%
Dylan Downing run for 4 yds to the PUR 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:58
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
9.4%
Hudson Card pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:58
2ND & 10
OWN 33
-7
9.4%
Hudson Card sacked by Jack Sawyer for a loss of 7 yards to the PUR 26Similar
Q2 5:58
3RD & 17
OWN 26
0
9.2%
Hudson Card pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:31
4TH & 17
OWN 26
0
9.0%
Jack Ansell punt for 34 ydsSimilar
Q2 3:31
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-10
8.5%
Ohio State Penalty, Offensive Holding (Josh Simmons) to the OSU 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · -9 yds · 1:2991% → 91%
Q2 3:31
1ST & 20
OWN 30
0
9.0%
Kyle McCord pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:31
2ND & 20
OWN 30
0
9.0%
Kyle McCord pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:31
3RD & 20
OWN 30
-5
9.4%
Ohio State Penalty, Delay Of Game (Kyle McCord) to the OSU 25Similar
Q2 3:31
3RD & 25
OWN 25
+6
9.4%
Xavier Johnson run for 6 yds to the OSU 31Similar
Q2 2:02
4TH & 19
OWN 31
0
9.2%
Jesse Mirco punt for 39 yds, fair catch by TJ Sheffield at the PUR 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 11MISSED FG
13 plays · 48 yds · 2:009% → 9%
Q2 2:02
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
9.2%
Devin Mockobee run for 5 yds to the PUR 35Similar
Q2 2:02
2ND & 5
OWN 35
+9
9.3%
Hudson Card pass complete to Deion Burks for 9 yds to the PUR 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:02
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+13
9.9%
Hudson Card run for 13 yds to the OSU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:02
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+21
10.1%
Devin Mockobee run for 21 yds to the OSU 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:02
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
10.5%
Hudson Card pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:02
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+21
10.3%
Devin Mockobee run for 21 yds to the OSU 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
9.7%
Devin Mockobee run for a loss of 1 yard to the OSU 2Similar
Q2 0:23
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
-10
9.6%
Direct snap to MOCKOBEE, Devin rush to the right for a loss of 2 yards to the OSU4 (SIMON, Cody). PENALTY PUR Holding on MILLER, Garrett enforced 10 yards from the OSU2 to the OSU12 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 0:18
3RD & GOAL
OPP 12
-10
8.8%
Hudson Card sacked by Jack Sawyer and JT Tuimoloau for a loss of 10 yards to the OSU 22Similar
Q2 0:18
2ND & GOAL
OPP 12
0
9.4%
Hudson Card pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:02
4TH & GOAL
OPP 22
+39
8.6%
Julio Macias 39 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 12END OF HALF
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q2 0:02
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
4.4%
[NHSG] Kneel down by MCCORD, Kyle at OSU20 (team loss of 2).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 13TD
8 plays · 67 yds · 2:3094% → 98%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+9
5.7%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Julian Fleming for 9 yds to the OSU 42Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 1
OWN 42
+21
5.4%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Xavier Johnson for 21 yds to the PUR 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+15
5.3%
MCCORD, Kyle pass deep to the right incomplete intended for FLEMING, Julian thrown to the PUR10. PENALTY PUR Pass Interference on BROWN, Markevious enforced 15 yards to the PUR22 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+19
5.2%
Dallan Hayden run for 19 yds to the PUR 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
5.1%
Kyle McCord pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:54
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
5.2%
MCCORD, Kyle pass short to the right incomplete intended for FLEMING, Julian thrown to the PUR0. PENALTY PUR Pass Interference on BROWN, Markevious enforced 1 yards to the PUR2 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 14:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
5.1%
Dallan Hayden run for 1 yd to the PUR 1Similar
Q3 12:24
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
1.6%
Dallan Hayden run for 1 yd for a TD (Jayden Fielding KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 14MISSED FG
11 plays · 65 yds · 4:492% → 2%
Q3 12:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
1.8%
Devin Mockobee run for a loss of 1 yard to the PUR 24Similar
Q3 12:24
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+9
1.8%
Hudson Card pass complete to Mershawn Rice for 9 yds to the PUR 33Similar
Q3 12:24
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+35
1.8%
Hudson Card pass complete to Mershawn Rice for 35 yds to the OSU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:24
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+2
2.2%
Devin Mockobee run for 2 yds to the OSU 30Similar
Q3 12:24
2ND & 8
OPP 30
0
2.2%
Hudson Card pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:24
3RD & 8
OPP 30
-1
2.1%
Dylan Downing run for a loss of 1 yard to the OSU 31Similar
Q3 12:24
4TH & 9
OPP 31
+15
2.0%
CARD, Hudson pass deep to the right incomplete intended for MILLER, Garrett thrown to the OSU10. PENALTY OSU Pass Interference on RANSOM, Lathan enforced 15 yards to the OSU16 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 12:24
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
2.2%
Hudson Card pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:24
2ND & 10
OPP 16
+6
2.1%
Deion Burks run for 6 yds to the OSU 10Similar
Q3 12:24
3RD & 4
OPP 10
0
2.0%
Dylan Downing run for no gain to the OSU 10Similar
Q3 7:35
4TH & 4
OPP 10
+27
1.5%
Julio Macias 27 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 15TD
6 plays · 80 yds · 2:5999% → 99%
Q3 7:35
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
1.4%
Dallan Hayden run for 3 yds to the OSU 23Similar
Q3 7:35
2ND & 7
OWN 23
-3
1.4%
Kyle McCord run for a loss of 3 yards to the OSU 20Similar
Q3 7:35
3RD & 10
OWN 20
+16
1.5%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Carnell Tate for 16 yds to the OSU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:35
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-5
1.4%
Ohio State Penalty, Delay Of Game (Kyle McCord) to the OSU 31Similar
Q3 7:35
1ST & 15
OWN 31
+55
1.4%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Carnell Tate for 55 yds to the PUR 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:36
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+14
0.7%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Cade Stover for 14 yds for a TD (Jayden Fielding KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:501% → 1%
Q3 4:36
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
1.0%
Hudson Card pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:36
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+6
1.0%
Hudson Card pass complete to Mershawn Rice for 6 yds to the PUR 41Similar
Q3 4:36
3RD & 4
OWN 41
0
1.0%
Hudson Card pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:46
4TH & 4
OWN 41
0
0.9%
Jack Ansell punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Jayden Ballard at the OSU 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:2799% → 99%
Q3 3:46
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+5
0.8%
Evan Pryor run for 5 yds to the OSU 26Similar
Q3 3:46
2ND & 5
OWN 26
-5
0.8%
Evan Pryor run for a loss of 5 yards to the OSU 21Similar
Q3 3:46
3RD & 10
OWN 21
0
0.8%
Kyle McCord pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:19
4TH & 10
OWN 21
0
0.7%
Jesse Mirco punt for 40 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:511% → 1%
Q3 2:19
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
1.0%
Hudson Card pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:19
2ND & 10
OPP 48
0
1.0%
Devin Mockobee run for no gain to the OSU 48Similar
Q3 2:19
3RD & 10
OPP 48
0
1.0%
Hudson Card pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:28
4TH & 10
OPP 48
0
0.5%
Jack Ansell punt for 21 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 19FUMBLE
3 plays · -7 yds · 0:4399% → 100%
Q3 1:28
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
0.6%
Kyle McCord pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:28
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+2
0.6%
Evan Pryor run for 2 yds to the OSU 29Similar
Q3 0:45
3RD & 8
OWN 29
-9
0.5%
Kyle McCord sacked for a loss of 9 yards to the OSU 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 20TD
7 plays · 20 yds · 1:150% → 2%
Q3 0:45
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
0.4%
Hudson Card pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:45
2ND & 10
OPP 20
0
0.4%
Hudson Card pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 10
OPP 20
+3
0.4%
Devin Mockobee run for 3 yds to the OSU 17Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 7
OPP 17
+15
0.4%
Hudson Card pass complete to TJ Sheffield for 15 yds to the OSU 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
0.4%
Hudson Card pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
-5
0.4%
Purdue Penalty, False Start (Jalen Grant) to the OSU 6Similar
Q4 14:30
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
1.9%
Hudson Card pass complete to Deion Burks for 6 yds for a TD (Caleb Krockover KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 21PUNT
7 plays · 16 yds · 2:57100% → 100%
Q4 14:22
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+20
0.5%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Marvin Harrison Jr. for 20 yds to the PUR 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:22
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
0.5%
Ohio State Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Kyle McCord) to the OSU 45Similar
Q4 14:22
2ND & 20
OWN 44
+8
0.5%
Dallan Hayden run for 8 yds to the PUR 48Similar
Q4 14:22
3RD & 12
OPP 48
+8
0.5%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Carnell Tate for 8 yds to the PUR 40Similar
Q4 14:22
4TH & 4
OPP 40
-5
0.6%
Ohio State Penalty, Delay Of Game (Jesse Mirco) to the PUR 45Similar
Q4 14:22
4TH & 9
OPP 45
-5
0.6%
Ohio State Penalty, Illegal Snap on FERLMANN, John enforced (-5 Yards) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 11:25
4TH & 14
50
0
0.4%
Jesse Mirco punt for 48 yds, downed at the PUR 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 22PUNT
7 plays · 20 yds · 2:270% → 0%
Q4 11:25
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+9
0.4%
Dylan Downing run for 9 yds to the PUR 11Similar
Q4 11:25
2ND & 1
OWN 11
0
0.4%
Dylan Downing run for no gain to the PUR 11Similar
Q4 11:25
3RD & 1
OWN 11
+3
0.4%
Dylan Downing run for 3 yds to the PUR 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:25
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
0.4%
Hudson Card pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:25
2ND & 10
OWN 14
+8
0.4%
Hudson Card pass complete to Dylan Downing for 8 yds to the PUR 22Similar
Q4 11:25
3RD & 2
OWN 22
0
0.5%
Hudson Card pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:58
4TH & 2
OWN 22
0
0.3%
Jack Ansell punt for 42 yds, downed at the OSU 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 23TD
3 plays · 64 yds · 1:23100% → 100%
Q4 8:58
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
0.3%
Devin Brown run for 5 yds to the OSU 41Similar
Q4 8:58
2ND & 5
OWN 41
+1
0.3%
Dallan Hayden run for 1 yd to the OSU 42Similar
Q4 7:35
3RD & 4
OWN 42
+58
0.2%
Devin Brown pass complete to Brandon Inniss for 58 yds for a TD (Jayden Fielding KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 24DOWNS
10 plays · 39 yds · 4:350% → 0%
Q4 7:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
0.2%
Devin Mockobee run for 9 yds to the PUR 34Similar
Q4 7:35
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+9
0.2%
Devin Mockobee run for 9 yds to the PUR 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:35
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+9
0.2%
Devin Mockobee run for 9 yds to the OSU 48Similar
Q4 7:35
2ND & 1
OPP 48
0
0.2%
Devin Mockobee run for no gain to the OSU 48Similar
Q4 7:35
4TH & 1
OPP 48
+5
0.2%
Devin Mockobee run for 5 yds to the OSU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:35
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+1
0.2%
Dylan Downing run for 1 yd to the OSU 42Similar
Q4 7:35
2ND & 9
OPP 42
+8
0.2%
Bennett Meredith pass complete to Jaron Tibbs for 8 yds to the OSU 34Similar
Q4 7:35
3RD & 1
OPP 48
0
0.2%
Bennett Meredith pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:35
3RD & 1
OPP 34
-2
0.2%
Dylan Downing run for a loss of 2 yards to the OSU 36Similar
Q4 3:00
4TH & 3
OPP 36
0
0.1%
Bennett Meredith pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 25PUNT
5 plays · -7 yds · 2:23100% → 100%
Q4 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-1
0.2%
Devin Brown run for a loss of 1 yard to the OSU 35Similar
Q4 3:00
2ND & 11
OWN 35
+3
0.2%
Devin Brown run for 3 yds to the OSU 38Similar
Q4 3:00
3RD & 8
OWN 38
-5
0.2%
Ohio State Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the OSU 33Similar
Q4 3:00
3RD & 13
OWN 33
-4
0.2%
Devin Brown sacked by Jeffrey M'Ba for a loss of 4 yards to the OSU 29Similar
Q4 0:37
4TH & 17
OWN 29
0
0.1%
Jesse Mirco punt for 53 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 26END OF GAME
1 play · -2 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-2
0.1%
Addai Lewellen run for a loss of 2 yards to the PUR 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
KEY PLAY · Q2 0:02
[NHSG] Kneel down by MCCORD, Kyle at OSU20 (team loss of 2).
-4.2
TD · Q3 12:24
Dallan Hayden run for 1 yd for a TD (Jayden Fielding KICK)
-3.5
TD · Q4 14:30
Hudson Card pass complete to Deion Burks for 6 yds for a TD (Caleb Krockover KICK)
+1.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com