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MIZ

Missouri 38 at Kentucky 21

UK
2023 · Week 7 · Oct 14, 2023 · Kroger Field
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Win probability · UK
modelUK aheadMIZ aheadconfidence bandkey playUK scoreMIZ score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDFGTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:00 · [NH] Kneel down by COOK, Brady at MIZ2 (team loss of 0), clock 00:00.
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remainingTime per score still needed
+48.5+24.30−24.3−48.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 2:09: Devin Leary run for 13 yds for a TD (Alex Raynor KICK) — UK win probability +8.9 pts (now 65%) (top driver: UK has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:15: Brady Cook pass complete to Theo Wease Jr. for 18 yds for a TD (Harrison Mevis KICK) — MIZ win probability +15.3 pts (now 56%) (top driver: MIZ has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 3:39: Devin Leary pass complete to Anthony Brown-Stephens for 4 yds for a TD (Alex Raynor KICK) — UK win probability +21.2 pts (now 66%) (top driver: UK has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 14:14: Brady Cook run for 1 yd for a TD (C. Schrader Run For Two-point Conversion) — MIZ win probability +30.0 pts (now 78%) (top driver: MIZ has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 11:07: Cody Schrader run for 19 yds for a TD (Harrison Mevis KICK) — MIZ win probability +13.0 pts (now 93%) (top driver: MIZ has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UK made the numbers' call on 6 of 6MIZ made the numbers' call on 7 of 8
  1. Q1 13:18MIZ 4th & 10 at MIZ 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.8%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.9%
    average punt
  2. Q1 0:58MIZ 4th & 9 at MIZ 36, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.1%−0.7
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.9%
    average punt
  3. Q2 14:50UK 4th & 8 at UK 28, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 68.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.6%−0.9
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.6%
    average punt
  4. Q2 11:38MIZ 4th & 10 at UK 39, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 29.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    29.6%
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    29.3%−0.3
    36% to make
    Punt
    29.5%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 9:39UK 4th & 9 at UK 24, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 63.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.9%−1.0
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.9%
    average punt
  6. Q2 4:44MIZ 4th & 8 at UK 8, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 33.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.5%−0.6
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    33.1%
    90% to make
    Punt
    27.2%−6.0
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:47UK 4th & 21 at UK 28, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.5%−2.1
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.6%
    average punt
  8. Q3 11:54MIZ 4th & 7 at UK 14, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 50.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.2%−0.9
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    50.2%
    84% to make
    Punt
    41.2%−8.9
    average punt
  9. Q3 9:44UK 4th & 20 at UK 10, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.5%−3.6
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.1%
    average punt
  10. Q3 7:10MIZ 4th & 4 at UK 29, up 6
    Close callKicked a field goal · 61.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.7%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    60.8%−0.9
    58% to make
    Punt
    53.3%−8.4
    average punt
  11. Q4 12:04UK 4th & 22 at UK 13, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.9%−5.9
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.8%
    average punt
  12. Q4 5:08MIZ 4th & 6 at MIZ 39, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.4%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.5%
    average punt
  13. Q4 3:17MIZ 4th & 6 at UK 12, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 96.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.9%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    96.1%
    86% to make
    Punt
    93.0%−3.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 1:10UK 4th & 7 at MIZ 7, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.0%
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    2.4%−0.6
    91% to make
    Punt
    1.8%−1.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UK made the numbers' call on 3 of 3MIZ made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q1 8:32UK Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    59.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    59.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 2:09UK Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    66.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    66.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 11:38MIZ Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    36.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    36.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:15MIZ Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    49.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    49.1%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 3:39UK Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    57.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    56.7%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 14:14MIZ Touchdown, up 5 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    64.7%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    64.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 11:07MIZ Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.4%−0.5
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MIZDrive 1PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:3648% → 48%
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-1
51.6%
Cody Schrader run for a loss of 1 yard to the MIZ 25Similar
Q1 14:54
2ND & 11
OWN 25
+1
51.7%
Cody Schrader run for 1 yd to the MIZ 26Similar
Q1 14:54
3RD & 10
OWN 26
0
51.7%
Brady Cook pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:18
4TH & 10
OWN 26
0
52.0%
Luke Bauer punt for 39 yds, downed at the UK 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 2TD
9 plays · 65 yds · 4:4652% → 56%
Q1 13:18
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
51.9%
Ray Davis run for 5 yds to the UK 40Similar
Q1 13:18
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+3
52.1%
Ray Davis run for 3 yds to the UK 43Similar
Q1 13:18
3RD & 2
OWN 43
+13
52.0%
Ray Davis run for 13 yds to the MIZ 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:18
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+14
52.1%
Ray Davis run for 14 yds to the MIZ 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:18
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+17
52.2%
Barion Brown run for 17 yds to the MIZ 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:18
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+7
52.2%
Devin Leary pass complete to Demie Sumo-Karngbaye for 7 yds to the MIZ 6Similar
Q1 13:18
2ND & 3
OPP 6
-10
52.2%
Kentucky Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the MIZ 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:18
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+4
52.2%
Devin Leary pass complete to Demie Sumo-Karngbaye for 4 yds to the MIZ 7Similar
Q1 8:32
3RD & 4
OPP 7
+7
55.5%
Devin Leary pass complete to Ray Davis for 7 yds for a TD (Alex Raynor KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 3INT
4 plays · 15 yds · 1:2545% → 45%
Q1 8:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
54.9%
Brady Cook pass complete to Brett Norfleet for 6 yds to the MIZ 31Similar
Q1 8:32
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+3
54.7%
Cody Schrader run for 3 yds to the MIZ 34Similar
Q1 8:32
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+6
54.7%
Cody Schrader run for 6 yds to the MIZ 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:07
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
55.3%
Brady Cook pass intercepted by Maxwell Hairston at UK 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 4TD
10 plays · 63 yds · 4:5857% → 65%
Q1 7:07
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+17
56.5%
Ray Davis run for 17 yds to the MIZ 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:07
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+5
56.6%
Izayah Cummings run for 5 yds to the MIZ 30Similar
Q1 7:07
2ND & 5
OPP 30
0
56.6%
Devin Leary pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:07
3RD & 5
OPP 30
+6
56.4%
Ray Davis run for 6 yds to the MIZ 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:07
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+9
56.6%
Devin Leary pass complete to Tayvion Robinson for 9 yds to the MIZ 15Similar
Q1 7:07
2ND & 1
OPP 15
0
56.6%
Devin Leary pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:07
3RD & 1
OPP 15
-10
56.4%
DAVIS, Ray rush up the middle for a gain of 7 yards to the MIZ8 (HOPPER, Ty'Ron). PENALTY UK Holding on COX, Eli enforced 10 yards from the MIZ15 to the MIZ25 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 7:07
3RD & 11
OPP 25
+12
56.3%
Devin Leary pass complete to Tayvion Robinson for 12 yds to the MIZ 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:07
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+11
56.1%
Ray Davis run for 11 yds to the UK 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:09
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+13
65.0%
Devin Leary run for 13 yds for a TD (Alex Raynor KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:0838% → 36%
Q1 2:06
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
62.4%
Nathaniel Peat run for 4 yds to the MIZ 39Similar
Q1 2:06
2ND & 6
OWN 39
0
62.1%
Brady Cook pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:06
3RD & 6
OWN 39
-3
62.3%
Brady Cook sacked by Deone Walker for a loss of 3 yards to the MIZ 36Similar
Q1 0:58
4TH & 9
OWN 36
0
63.9%
Luke Bauer punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Tayvion Robinson at the UK 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:0865% → 65%
Q1 0:58
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
65.2%
Devin Leary pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:58
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+2
65.2%
Ray Davis run for 2 yds to the UK 28Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 8
OWN 28
0
65.6%
Devin Leary pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:50
4TH & 8
OWN 28
0
65.3%
Wilson Berry punt for 36 yds, downed at the MIZ 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 7TD
7 plays · 64 yds · 3:1236% → 40%
Q2 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
63.9%
Brady Cook pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:50
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+25
64.1%
Brady Cook run for 25 yds to the UK 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:50
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-5
63.3%
Missouri Penalty, False Start (Tre'Vez Johnson) to the UK 44Similar
Q2 14:50
1ST & 15
OPP 44
+7
63.8%
Brady Cook run for 7 yds to the UK 37Similar
Q2 14:50
2ND & 8
OPP 37
+4
63.3%
Cody Schrader run for 4 yds to the UK 33Similar
Q2 14:50
3RD & 4
OPP 33
-6
63.0%
run for a loss of 6 yards to the UK 39 fumbled, recovered by MIZ Brady CookSimilar
Q2 11:38
4TH & 10
OPP 39
+39
60.4%
Luke Bauer pass complete to Marquis Johnson for 39 yds for a TD (Harrison Mevis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 1:5461% → 60%
Q2 11:33
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+4
61.0%
Ray Davis run for 4 yds to the UK 27Similar
Q2 11:33
2ND & 6
OWN 27
+2
61.1%
Devin Leary pass complete to Demie Sumo-Karngbaye for 2 yds to the UK 29Similar
Q2 11:33
3RD & 4
OWN 29
-5
60.5%
Kentucky Penalty, False Start (Dane Key) to the UK 24Similar
Q2 11:33
3RD & 9
OWN 24
0
60.1%
Devin Leary pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:39
4TH & 9
OWN 24
0
60.3%
Wilson Berry punt for 40 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 9FG
15 plays · 56 yds · 4:5539% → 41%
Q2 9:39
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
60.7%
Brady Cook pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:39
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+9
61.1%
Brady Cook pass complete to Theo Wease Jr. for 9 yds to the MIZ 45Similar
Q2 9:39
3RD & 1
OWN 45
+3
59.8%
Cody Schrader run for 3 yds to the MIZ 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:39
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+6
59.7%
Brady Cook pass complete to Brett Norfleet for 6 yds to the UK 46Similar
Q2 9:39
2ND & 4
OPP 46
+2
59.1%
Cody Schrader run for 2 yds to the UK 44Similar
Q2 9:39
3RD & 2
OPP 44
+12
59.4%
Brady Cook pass complete to Theo Wease Jr. for 12 yds to the UK 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:39
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+15
58.4%
Kentucky Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Zion Childress) to the UK 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:39
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+5
58.1%
Brady Cook pass complete to Cody Schrader for 5 yds to the UK 12Similar
Q2 9:39
2ND & 5
OPP 12
0
58.1%
Brady Cook pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:06
3RD & 5
OPP 12
+6
61.0%
Luther Burden III run for 6 yds to the UK 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+1
61.0%
Cody Schrader run for 1 yd to the UK 5Similar
Q2 5:32
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
61.2%
Brady Cook pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:27
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
-3
62.6%
Brady Cook run for a loss of 3 yards to the UK 8Similar
Q2 4:44
4TH & GOAL
OPP 8
+25
59.5%
Harrison Mevis 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 10PUNT
7 plays · 3 yds · 2:5760% → 61%
Q2 4:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
60.1%
Ray Davis run for 8 yds to the UK 33Similar
Q2 4:01
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+6
61.5%
Ray Davis run for 6 yds to the UK 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:27
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+2
61.6%
Devin Leary pass complete to Barion Brown for 2 yds to the UK 41Similar
Q2 2:39
2ND & 8
OWN 41
-1
62.3%
Ray Davis run for a loss of 1 yard to the UK 40Similar
Q2 1:47
4TH & 21
OWN 28
0
59.2%
Wilson Berry punt for 33 ydsSimilar
Q2 1:47
3RD & 9
OWN 40
-12
60.9%
Devin Leary sacked for a loss of 12 yards to the UK 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 11TD
7 plays · 61 yds · 1:2537% → 56%
Q2 1:40
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+6
62.6%
Brady Cook pass complete to Luther Burden III for 6 yds to the MIZ 45Similar
Q2 1:21
2ND & 4
OWN 45
+9
61.0%
Brady Cook pass complete to Luther Burden III for 9 yds to the UK 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:05
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+5
60.3%
Brady Cook pass complete to Nathaniel Peat for 5 yds to the UK 41Similar
Q2 0:59
2ND & 5
OPP 41
0
60.2%
Brady Cook pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:55
3RD & 5
OPP 41
+8
60.7%
Brady Cook pass complete to Theo Wease Jr. for 8 yds to the UK 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:50
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+7
58.9%
Brady Cook run for 7 yds to the UK 26Similar
Q2 0:15
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+18
43.6%
Brady Cook pass complete to Theo Wease Jr. for 18 yds for a TD (Harrison Mevis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 12END OF HALF
1 play · 8 yds · 0:0050% → 50%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+8
50.4%
Ray Davis run for 8 yds to the UK 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 13FUMBLE
1 play · 4 yds · 0:0049% → 49%
Q3 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+4
49.3%
Devin Leary pass complete to Barion Brown for 4 yds Barion Brown fumbled, recovered by MIZ Dreyden NorwoodSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 14FG
6 plays · 17 yds · 2:5356% → 61%
Q3 14:47
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+3
43.7%
Brady Cook run for 3 yds to the UK 28Similar
Q3 14:47
2ND & 7
OPP 28
+11
43.4%
Brady Cook pass complete to Theo Wease Jr. for 11 yds to the UK 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:47
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+3
43.4%
Cody Schrader run for 3 yds to the UK 14Similar
Q3 14:47
2ND & 7
OPP 14
-1
43.4%
Brady Cook run for a loss of 1 yard to the UK 15Similar
Q3 14:47
3RD & 8
OPP 15
+1
44.5%
Brady Cook pass complete to Cody Schrader for 1 yd to the UK 14Similar
Q3 11:54
4TH & 7
OPP 14
+31
39.3%
Harrison Mevis 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 15PUNT
6 plays · -10 yds · 1:2240% → 37%
Q3 11:06
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
40.1%
Ray Davis run for 1 yd to the UK 21Similar
Q3 11:06
2ND & 9
OWN 21
-10
39.9%
LEARY, Devin pass deep up the middle complete for 25 yards to KEY, Dane caught at the UK38 and advanced to the UK46 (CARLIES, Jaylon). PENALTY UK Holding on COX, Eli enforced 10 yards from the UK21 to the UK11 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 11:06
2ND & 19
OWN 11
-1
39.7%
Devin Leary sacked by Johnny Walker Jr. for a loss of 1 yard to the UK 10Similar
Q3 11:06
3RD & 20
OWN 10
0
38.4%
Devin Leary pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:44
4TH & 20
OWN 10
0
37.4%
Berry Wilson punt for 55 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 16MISSED FG
6 plays · 26 yds · 2:3465% → 65%
Q3 9:44
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
35.5%
Cody Schrader run for 3 yds to the MIZ 48Similar
Q3 9:44
2ND & 7
OWN 48
+17
35.5%
Brady Cook pass complete to Mookie Cooper for 17 yds to the UK 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:44
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+4
34.2%
Cody Schrader run for 4 yds to the UK 31Similar
Q3 9:44
2ND & 6
OPP 31
0
34.0%
Brady Cook pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:44
3RD & 6
OPP 31
+2
35.0%
Brady Cook run for 2 yds to the UK 29Similar
Q3 7:10
4TH & 4
OPP 29
+46
34.9%
Harrison Mevis 46 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Tre'vonn Rybka, spotted at UK 36.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 17TD
8 plays · 71 yds · 3:3139% → 66%
Q3 7:10
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-5
39.4%
Kentucky Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the UK 24Similar
Q3 6:58
1ST & 15
OWN 24
0
37.8%
Devin Leary pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:58
2ND & 15
OWN 24
+1
37.5%
Devin Leary pass complete to Jordan Dingle for 1 yd to the UK 25Similar
Q3 6:58
3RD & 14
OWN 25
+10
36.2%
Missouri Penalty, Defensive Holding (Sidney Williams) to the MIZ 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:58
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+13
42.9%
Ray Davis run for 13 yds to the MIZ 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:58
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+31
44.5%
Devin Leary pass complete to Jordan Dingle for 31 yds to the MIZ 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:58
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-2
44.5%
Ray Davis run for a loss of 2 yards to the MIZ 4Similar
Q3 3:39
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
65.6%
Devin Leary pass complete to Anthony Brown-Stephens for 4 yds for a TD (Alex Raynor KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 18TD
10 plays · 70 yds · 4:1642% → 78%
Q3 3:30
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+9
58.2%
Brady Cook pass complete to Cody Schrader for 9 yds to the MIZ 39Similar
Q3 3:30
2ND & 1
OWN 39
-1
55.5%
Cody Schrader run for a loss of 1 yard to the MIZ 38Similar
Q3 3:30
3RD & 2
OWN 38
+15
55.8%
COOK, Brady pass deep to the right incomplete intended for WEASE, Theo thrown to the UK35. PENALTY UK Pass Interference on PHILLIPS, Andru enforced 15 yards to the UK47 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 3:30
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+6
54.2%
Brady Cook pass complete to Brett Norfleet for 6 yds to the UK 41Similar
Q3 3:30
2ND & 4
OPP 41
+5
53.7%
Brady Cook pass complete to Marquis Johnson for 5 yds to the UK 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:30
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+12
54.2%
Brady Cook pass complete to Mookie Cooper for 12 yds to the UK 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:30
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+22
52.1%
Brady Cook pass complete to Brett Norfleet for 22 yds to the UK 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-1
52.2%
Cody Schrader run for a loss of 1 yard to the UK 3Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
52.1%
Brady Cook run for 2 yds to the UK 1Similar
Q4 14:14
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
22.1%
Brady Cook run for 1 yd for a TD (C. Schrader Run For Two-point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 19Uncategorized
4 plays · -12 yds · 2:1030% → 25%
Q4 14:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
30.0%
Ray Davis run for 4 yds to the UK 29Similar
Q4 14:14
2ND & 6
OWN 29
-11
30.6%
Devin Leary sacked by Darius Robinson for a loss of 11 yards to the UK 18Similar
Q4 14:14
3RD & 17
OWN 18
-5
28.0%
Devin Leary run for a loss of 5 yards to the UK 13 Devin Leary fumbled, recovered by UK Devin LearySimilar
Q4 12:04
4TH & 22
OWN 13
0
25.4%
Wilson Berry punt for 26 yds, downed at the UK 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 20TD
4 plays · 34 yds · 0:5780% → 93%
Q4 12:04
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
20.5%
Cody Schrader run for no gain to the UK 34Similar
Q4 12:04
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+15
20.7%
COOK, Brady pass deep to the right incomplete intended for WEASE, Theo thrown to the UK1. PENALTY UK Pass Interference on PHILLIPS, Andru enforced 15 yards to the UK19 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 12:04
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
20.2%
Brady Cook pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:07
2ND & 10
OPP 19
+19
7.2%
Cody Schrader run for 19 yds for a TD (Harrison Mevis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 21INT
6 plays · 31 yds · 1:3114% → 10%
Q4 10:59
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+21
14.2%
Devin Leary pass complete to Dane Key for 21 yds to the MIZ 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:59
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+15
15.4%
LEARY, Devin pass deep to the right incomplete intended for BROWN, Barion thrown to the MIZ5. PENALTY MIZ Pass Interference on NORWOOD, Dreyden enforced 15 yards to the MIZ20 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 10:59
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
15.6%
Devin Leary pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:59
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+5
15.3%
Ray Davis run for 5 yds to the MIZ 15Similar
Q4 10:59
3RD & 5
OPP 15
-10
15.1%
LEARY, Devin pass to the left incomplete intended for ROBINSON, Tayvion thrown to the MIZ1. PENALTY UK Holding enforced 10 yards from the MIZ15 to the MIZ25 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 9:28
3RD & 15
OPP 25
0
9.5%
Devin Leary pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 22PUNT
8 plays · 25 yds · 4:2093% → 95%
Q4 9:28
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+4
7.2%
Cody Schrader run for 4 yds to the MIZ 18Similar
Q4 8:43
2ND & 6
OWN 18
+5
6.9%
COOK, Brady pass deep to the right intercepted by CHILDRESS, Zion at the MIZ45 intended for WEASE, Theo. Childress return for 0 yards to the MIZ45, End of Play, clock 08:43. PENALTY UK Offsides on WALKER, Deone enforced 5 yards from the MIZ18 to the MIZ23 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 8:43
2ND & 1
OWN 23
+12
6.7%
Cody Schrader run for 12 yds to the MIZ 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:43
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-2
6.7%
Cody Schrader run for a loss of 2 yards to the MIZ 33Similar
Q4 8:43
2ND & 12
OWN 33
+4
6.9%
Cody Schrader run for 4 yds to the MIZ 37Similar
Q4 8:43
3RD & 8
OWN 37
+7
6.8%
Cody Schrader run for 7 yds to the MIZ 44Similar
Q4 8:43
4TH & 1
OWN 44
-5
6.9%
Missouri Penalty, Delay Of Game (TEAM) to the MIZ 39Similar
Q4 5:08
4TH & 6
OWN 39
0
4.7%
Luke Bauer punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Barion Brown at the UK 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 23INT
3 plays · -7 yds · 0:455% → 4%
Q4 5:08
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
5.2%
Devin Leary pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:08
2ND & 10
OWN 23
-7
5.0%
Devin Leary sacked by Darius Robinson for a loss of 7 yards to the UK 16Similar
Q4 4:23
3RD & 17
OWN 16
+15
3.6%
Devin Leary pass intercepted Kentucky Penalty, Personal Foul (Barion Brown) to the UK 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 24FG
6 plays · 4 yds · 0:5896% → 98%
Q4 4:15
1ST & 10
OPP 16
-3
3.8%
Nathaniel Peat run for a loss of 3 yards to the UK 19Similar
Q4 3:26
2ND & 13
OPP 19
+2
2.9%
Nathaniel Peat run for 2 yds to the UK 17Similar
Q4 3:19
3RD & 11
OPP 17
+5
2.8%
Nathaniel Peat run for 5 yds to the UK 12Similar
Q4 3:17
4TH & 6
OPP 12
+29
2.3%
Harrison Mevis 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 25DOWNS
8 plays · 55 yds · 2:001% → 1%
Q4 3:10
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+28
1.2%
Demie Sumo-Karngbaye run for 28 yds to the MIZ 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:14
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+12
1.4%
Devin Leary pass complete to Barion Brown for 12 yds to the MIZ 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:14
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+10
1.4%
Ray Davis run for 10 yds to the MIZ 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
1.4%
Devin Leary pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:14
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+1
1.3%
run for 1 yd to the MIZ 7Similar
Q4 2:14
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
0
1.3%
Devin Leary pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:10
4TH & GOAL
OPP 7
+4
1.0%
Devin Leary pass complete to Ray Davis for 4 yds to the MIZ 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 26END OF GAME
2 plays · -1 yds · 1:1099% → 99%
Q4 1:10
1ST & 10
OWN 3
0
1.3%
[NH] Kneel down by COOK, Brady at MIZ2 (team loss of 1).Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 11
OWN 2
0
1.2%
[NH] Kneel down by COOK, Brady at MIZ2 (team loss of 0), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 14:14
Brady Cook run for 1 yd for a TD (C. Schrader Run For Two-point Conversion)
-30
TD · Q3 3:39
Devin Leary pass complete to Anthony Brown-Stephens for 4 yds for a TD (Alex Raynor KICK)
+21.2
TD · Q2 0:15
Brady Cook pass complete to Theo Wease Jr. for 18 yds for a TD (Harrison Mevis KICK)
-15.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com