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TROY

Troy 19 at Army 0

ARMY
2023 · Week 7 · Oct 14, 2023 · Michie Stadium
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Win probability · ARMY
modelARMY aheadTROY aheadconfidence bandkey playARMY scoreTROY score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGFGTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 6:55 · Champ Harris sacked by Phillip Lee for a loss of 8 yards to the TROY 47
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+52.0+26.00−26.0−52.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 109Home team on offense−22.1Pregame prior−7.3Score differential−12.7Garbage-time factor−6.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−2.9Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−2.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 0:38: Gunnar Watson pass complete to Chris Lewis for 52 yds for a TD (Scott Taylor Renfroe KICK) — TROY win probability +13.9 pts (now 87%) (top driver: TROY has the ball).
  2. KEY PLAY · Q2 0:38: Champ Harris run for 1 yd to the ARMY 26 — ARMY win probability +6.7 pts (now 20%) (top driver: ARMY has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q2 0:15: Gunnar Watson pass complete to Clayton Ollendieck for 13 yds to the ARMY 32 for a 1ST down — TROY win probability +6.2 pts (now 87%) (top driver: TROY has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q2 0:00: C. Harris takes a knee — ARMY win probability +7.2 pts (now 19%) (top driver: ARMY has the ball).
  5. FG · Q3 10:09: Scott Taylor Renfroe 43 yd FG GOOD — TROY win probability +6.5 pts (now 90%) (top driver: TROY has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ARMY made the numbers' call on 8 of 10TROY made the numbers' call on 4 of 9
  1. Q1 12:02ARMY 4th & 16 at ARMY 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.0%−0.2
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.1%
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:55TROY 4th & 7 at ARMY 7, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 62.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.3%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    62.3%
    91% to make
    Punt
    61.2%−1.1
    average punt
  3. Q2 13:40ARMY 4th & 10 at ARMY 17, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.4%−0.8
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.2%
    average punt
  4. Q2 10:35TROY 4th & 8 at ARMY 18, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 60.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.0%−0.5
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    60.6%
    79% to make
    Punt
    56.5%−4.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 8:43ARMY 4th & 13 at ARMY 22, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.4%−2.2
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.6%
    average punt
  6. Q2 7:31TROY 4th & 4 at ARMY 15, up 6
    Close callKicked a field goal · 66.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.5%
    46% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    66.3%−0.2
    83% to make
    Punt
    61.3%−5.2
    average punt
  7. Q2 5:16TROY 4th & 8 at ARMY 39, up 9
    Close callPunted · 69.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.1%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    68.8%−0.3
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    68.8%−0.3
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:21ARMY 4th & 9 at ARMY 29, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.2%−0.8
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.0%
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:15ARMY 4th & 9 at ARMY 26, down 16
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.7%−1.6
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.3%
    average punt
  10. Q3 10:09TROY 4th & 3 at ARMY 26, up 16
    Close callKicked a field goal · 84.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    83.1%−0.8
    64% to make
    Punt
    77.1%−6.9
    average punt
  11. Q3 6:55ARMY 4th & 10 at TROY 39, down 19
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 13.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    13.4%
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    13.1%−0.3
    36% to make
    Punt
    13.3%−0.1
    average punt
  12. Q3 3:35TROY 4th & 12 at ARMY 36, up 19
    Close callPunted · 94.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.8%−0.6
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    94.3%
    42% to make
    PuntTheir call
    93.9%−0.4
    average punt
  13. Q4 14:54ARMY 4th & 1 at TROY 32, down 19
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 9.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    9.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    6.2%−3.3
    51% to make
    Punt
    4.8%−4.8
    average punt
  14. Q4 12:14TROY 4th & 14 at TROY 28, up 19
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.4%−1.4
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.8%
    average punt
  15. Q4 10:16ARMY 4th & 20 at ARMY 45, down 19
    Numbers favored punt by 1.2 ptsWent for it · 4.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.0%−1.2
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    4.3%
    average punt
  16. Q4 5:27TROY 4th & 4 at ARMY 28, up 19
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 98.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    97.8%−0.2
    60% to make
    Punt
    96.1%−1.9
    average punt
  17. Q4 5:27ARMY 4th & 11 at TROY 49, down 19
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.0%
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    2.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  18. Q4 2:22ARMY 4th & 7 at TROY 12, down 19
    Close callWent for it · 2.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.8%−0.8
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    2.6%
    86% to make
    Punt
    1.0%−1.5
    average punt
  19. Q4 0:27TROY 4th & 1 at ARMY 21, up 19
    Close callWent for it · 99.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.0%−0.1
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    99.1%
    74% to make
    Punt
    98.3%−0.8
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TROY made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q2 0:38TROY Touchdown, up 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ARMYDrive 1PUNT
7 plays · 5 yds · 2:5831% → 32%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
30.8%
Bryson Daily run for 11 yds to the ARMY 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
30.8%
Bryson Daily run for 4 yds to the ARMY 32 Bryson Daily fumbled, recovered by TROY Jackson FilipowiczSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 14
OWN 32
+3
30.8%
Kanye Udoh run for 3 yds to the ARMY 35Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 11
OWN 35
0
30.8%
Bryson Daily pass complete to Kanye Udoh for no gain to the ARMY 35Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 11
OWN 35
-5
30.8%
PENALTY ARMY False Start (Marshall,Ay'Jaun) 5 yards from ARMY35 to ARMY30. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 12:02
4TH & 16
OWN 30
0
32.0%
Cooper Allan punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Jabre Barber at the TROY 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 2FG
10 plays · 63 yds · 4:0768% → 67%
Q1 12:02
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+7
32.1%
Kimani Vidal run for 7 yds to the TROY 37Similar
Q1 12:02
2ND & 3
OWN 37
-5
32.0%
No Huddle-Shotgun Watson,Gunnar pass complete short left to Lewis,Chris for 21 yards to the ARMY42 (Moore,Jabari), out of bounds PENALTY TROY Illegal Shift 5 yards from TROY37 to TROY32. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 12:02
2ND & 8
OWN 32
+5
32.1%
Gunnar Watson pass complete to Deshon Stoudemire for 5 yds to the TROY 37Similar
Q1 12:02
3RD & 3
OWN 37
+7
32.1%
Kimani Vidal run for 7 yds to the TROY 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:02
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+47
31.9%
Gunnar Watson pass complete to Jabre Barber for 47 yds to the ARMY 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-5
31.8%
PENALTY TROY Illegal Shift 5 yards from ARMY09 to ARMY14. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 12:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 14
+7
31.8%
Gunnar Watson pass complete to Kimani Vidal for 7 yds to the ARMY 7Similar
Q1 12:02
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
0
31.8%
Kimani Vidal run for no gain to the ARMY 7Similar
Q1 12:02
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
0
31.9%
Gunnar Watson pass incomplete to Jabre BarberSimilar
Q1 7:55
4TH & GOAL
OPP 7
+24
33.3%
Scott Taylor Renfroe 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 3FUMBLE
10 plays · 55 yds · 4:4433% → 36%
Q1 7:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
33.2%
Tyrell Robinson run for 5 yds to the ARMY 30Similar
Q1 7:55
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+18
33.4%
Bryson Daily run for 18 yds to the ARMY 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:55
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+5
33.9%
Tyrell Robinson run for 5 yds to the TROY 47Similar
Q1 7:55
2ND & 5
OPP 47
0
34.1%
Bryson Daily pass incomplete to Hayden ReedSimilar
Q1 7:55
3RD & 5
OPP 47
+10
33.9%
Bryson Daily run for 10 yds to the TROY 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:55
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
34.1%
Bryson Daily run for no gain to the TROY 37Similar
Q1 7:55
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+13
34.0%
Bryson Daily pass complete to Noah Short for 13 yds to the TROY 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:55
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+1
34.3%
Bryson Daily run for 1 yd to the TROY 23Similar
Q1 3:11
2ND & 9
OPP 23
+3
36.3%
Tyrell Robinson run for 3 yds to the TROY 20 Tyrell Robinson fumbled, recovered by TROY Caleb RansawSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 4FUMBLE
5 plays · 78 yds · 2:1565% → 66%
Q1 3:11
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+13
34.8%
Kimani Vidal run for 13 yds to the TROY 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:11
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+13
34.6%
Kimani Vidal run for 13 yds to the TROY 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:11
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-5
34.1%
PENALTY TROY False Start (Graham,Derrick) 5 yards from TROY46 to TROY41. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 3:11
1ST & 15
OWN 41
+5
34.6%
Kimani Vidal run for 5 yds to the TROY 46Similar
Q1 0:56
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+52
34.4%
Gunnar Watson pass complete to Jabre Barber for 52 yds Jabre Barber fumbled, recovered by TROY Leo LowinSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 5PUNT
6 plays · 15 yds · 2:1635% → 35%
Q1 0:56
1ST & 10
OWN 2
-4
35.0%
No Huddle-Shotgun Daily,Bryson rush right for 4 yards gain to the ARMY06 (Stringer,Jordan) PENALTY ARMY Holding (Crossan,David) 1 yard from ARMY02 to ARMY01. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 0:56
1ST & 11
OWN 1
+15
35.0%
Troy Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the ARMY 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
35.4%
Bryson Daily run for no gain to the ARMY 17Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 17
+4
35.2%
Hayden Reed run for 4 yds to the ARMY 21Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 21
-4
34.8%
Bryson Daily sacked by T.J. Jackson for a loss of 4 yards to the ARMY 17Similar
Q2 13:40
4TH & 10
OWN 17
+14
34.7%
Cooper Allan punt for 32 yds , Jabre Barber returns for 14 yds to the ARMY 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 6FG
7 plays · 17 yds · 3:0566% → 68%
Q2 13:40
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+5
33.7%
Damien Taylor run for 5 yds to the ARMY 30Similar
Q2 13:40
2ND & 5
OPP 30
+10
33.6%
Gunnar Watson pass complete to Jabre Barber for 10 yds to the ARMY 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:40
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+6
33.5%
Damien Taylor run for 6 yds to the ARMY 14Similar
Q2 13:40
2ND & 4
OPP 14
+1
33.5%
Damien Taylor run for 1 yd to the ARMY 13Similar
Q2 13:40
3RD & 3
OPP 13
-5
34.1%
PENALTY TROY False Start (King,Daniel) 5 yards from ARMY13 to ARMY18. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 13:40
3RD & 8
OPP 18
0
34.3%
Gunnar Watson pass incomplete to Jabre BarberSimilar
Q2 10:35
4TH & 8
OPP 18
+35
32.3%
Scott Taylor Renfroe 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · -3 yds · 1:5234% → 32%
Q2 10:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
33.7%
Tyson Riley pass incomplete to Tobi OlawoleSimilar
Q2 10:35
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-10
33.6%
No Huddle-Shotgun Robinson,Tyrell rush left for 3 yards gain to the ARMY28 (Pettus,Dell; McDonald,Jayden) PENALTY ARMY Holding (Marshall,Ay'Jaun) 10 yards from ARMY25 to ARMY15. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 10:35
2ND & 20
OWN 15
+2
33.4%
Bryson Daily pass complete to Noah Short for 2 yds to the ARMY 17Similar
Q2 10:35
3RD & 18
OWN 17
+5
32.8%
Bryson Daily run for 5 yds to the ARMY 22Similar
Q2 8:43
4TH & 13
OWN 22
0
32.3%
Cooper Allan punt for 28 yds , Jabre Barber returns for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 8FG
5 plays · 35 yds · 1:1270% → 72%
Q2 8:43
1ST & 10
50
+29
30.5%
Gunnar Watson pass complete to Jabre Barber for 29 yds to the ARMY 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:43
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+6
30.3%
Kimani Vidal run for 6 yds to the ARMY 15Similar
Q2 8:43
2ND & 4
OPP 15
0
30.3%
Gunnar Watson pass incomplete to Chris LewisSimilar
Q2 8:43
3RD & 4
OPP 15
0
30.7%
Gunnar Watson pass incomplete to Deshon StoudemireSimilar
Q2 7:31
4TH & 4
OPP 15
+32
28.4%
Scott Taylor Renfroe 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 9FUMBLE
4 plays · 16 yds · 1:1730% → 31%
Q2 7:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
30.4%
Kanye Udoh run for 10 yds to the ARMY 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:31
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+8
30.8%
Kanye Udoh run for 8 yds to the ARMY 43Similar
Q2 6:14
2ND & 2
OWN 43
-2
30.7%
Champ Harris sacked by Richard Jibunor for a loss of 2 yards to the ARMY 41 Champ Harris fumbled, recovered by TROY T.J. Jackson , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:5873% → 72%
Q2 6:14
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+2
27.4%
Kimani Vidal run for 2 yds to the ARMY 39Similar
Q2 6:14
2ND & 8
OPP 39
0
27.4%
Gunnar Watson pass incomplete to Jabre BarberSimilar
Q2 6:14
3RD & 8
OPP 39
0
27.7%
Gunnar Watson pass incomplete to Devonte RossSimilar
Q2 5:16
4TH & 8
OPP 39
0
28.2%
Robert Cole punt for 37 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 11PUNT
13 plays · 27 yds · 3:5529% → 28%
Q2 5:16
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+4
28.8%
Kanye Udoh run for 4 yds to the ARMY 6Similar
Q2 5:16
2ND & 6
OWN 6
+11
28.8%
Kanye Udoh run for 11 yds to the ARMY 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:16
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+5
29.1%
Kanye Udoh run for 5 yds to the ARMY 22Similar
Q2 5:16
2ND & 5
OWN 22
-5
29.4%
PENALTY ARMY Delay Of Game 5 yards from ARMY22 to ARMY17. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 5:16
2ND & 10
OWN 17
+3
28.9%
Hayden Reed run for 3 yds to the ARMY 20Similar
Q2 5:16
3RD & 7
OWN 20
+8
28.3%
Kanye Udoh run for 8 yds to the ARMY 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:16
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+2
29.4%
Kanye Udoh run for 2 yds to the ARMY 30Similar
Q2 5:16
2ND & 8
OWN 30
+1
29.4%
Kanye Udoh run for 1 yd to the ARMY 31Similar
Q2 5:16
3RD & 7
OWN 31
-10
28.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun Harris,Champ pass complete short middle to Lingenfelter,Joshua for 19 yards to the ARMY50 (Swanson,Keyshawn; Ransaw,Caleb) PENALTY ARMY Holding (Finucane,Connor) 10 yards from ARMY31 to ARMY21. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:34
3RD & 17
OWN 21
+8
28.3%
Kanye Udoh run for 8 yds to the ARMY 29Similar
Q2 1:21
4TH & 9
OWN 29
0
28.3%
Cooper Allan punt for 34 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TROY 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 12TD
4 plays · 63 yds · 0:4373% → 87%
Q2 1:21
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+6
27.0%
Kimani Vidal run for 6 yds to the TROY 43Similar
Q2 1:21
2ND & 4
OWN 43
0
26.1%
Gunnar Watson pass incomplete to Jabre BarberSimilar
Q2 1:21
3RD & 4
OWN 43
+5
26.6%
Kimani Vidal run for 5 yds to the TROY 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:38
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+52
12.8%
Gunnar Watson pass complete to Chris Lewis for 52 yds for a TD (Scott Taylor Renfroe KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 13PUNT
6 plays · 1 yds · 0:2320% → 19%
Q2 0:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
20.2%
Champ Harris run for 1 yd to the ARMY 26Similar
Q2 0:38
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
20.1%
Champ Harris pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:38
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
19.8%
Hayden Reed run for no gain to the ARMY 26 Hayden Reed fumbled, recovered by TROY Champ HarrisSimilar
Q2 0:15
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
19.3%
Cooper Allan punt for 19 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ARMY 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 14MISSED FG
3 plays · 22 yds · 0:1387% → 88%
Q2 0:15
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+13
13.1%
Gunnar Watson pass complete to Clayton Ollendieck for 13 yds to the ARMY 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:15
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+9
12.9%
Gunnar Watson pass complete to Clayton Ollendieck for 9 yds to the ARMY 23Similar
Q2 0:02
2ND & 1
OPP 23
+41
12.2%
Scott Taylor Renfroe 41 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 15END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0019% → 19%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-1
19.4%
C. Harris takes a kneeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 16FG
11 plays · 49 yds · 4:5183% → 90%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
17.4%
Kimani Vidal run for 4 yds to the TROY 29Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+11
17.3%
Kimani Vidal run for 11 yds to the TROY 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+7
16.5%
Kimani Vidal run for 7 yds to the TROY 47Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 47
0
16.3%
Gunnar Watson pass incomplete to Jabre BarberSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 47
+9
16.7%
Damien Taylor run for 9 yds to the ARMY 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+11
16.2%
Damien Taylor run for 11 yds to the ARMY 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
16.0%
Gunnar Watson pass incomplete to Chris LewisSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+4
16.1%
Kimani Vidal run for 4 yds to the ARMY 29Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 29
+3
16.3%
Gunnar Watson pass complete to Chris Lewis for 3 yds to the ARMY 26Similar
Q3 10:09
4TH & 3
OPP 26
+43
9.8%
Scott Taylor Renfroe 43 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 17DOWNS
7 plays · 40 yds · 3:0713% → 13%
Q3 10:02
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+23
13.3%
Kanye Udoh run for 23 yds to the ARMY 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:02
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+25
14.0%
Kanye Udoh run for 10 yds to the TROY 46 for a 1ST down Troy Penalty, unnecessary roughness (Richard Jibunor) to the TROY 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:02
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+2
15.0%
Hayden Reed run for 2 yds to the TROY 41Similar
Q3 10:02
2ND & 12
OPP 41
+1
14.8%
Champ Harris run for 1 yd to the TROY 42Similar
Q3 10:02
3RD & 13
OPP 42
+3
14.1%
Hayden Reed run for 3 yds to the TROY 39Similar
Q3 6:55
4TH & 10
OPP 39
-8
12.9%
Champ Harris sacked by Phillip Lee for a loss of 8 yards to the TROY 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 18PUNT
7 plays · 17 yds · 3:2093% → 94%
Q3 6:55
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
7.0%
Asa Martin run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 6:55
2ND & 7
50
+16
7.0%
Asa Martin run for 16 yds to the ARMY 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:55
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+5
6.9%
Asa Martin run for 5 yds to the ARMY 29Similar
Q3 6:55
2ND & 5
OPP 29
0
6.7%
Asa Martin run for no gain to the ARMY 29Similar
Q3 6:55
3RD & 5
OPP 29
-10
6.8%
Troy Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the ARMY 36Similar
Q3 6:55
3RD & 12
OPP 36
0
7.1%
Gunnar Watson pass incomplete to Marcus RogersSimilar
Q3 3:35
4TH & 12
OPP 36
0
5.6%
Gunnar Watson punt for 11 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 19DOWNS
8 plays · 43 yds · 3:4110% → 9%
Q3 3:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
9.7%
Tyrell Robinson run for 6 yds to the ARMY 31Similar
Q3 3:35
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+7
10.3%
Kanye Udoh run for 7 yds to the ARMY 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:35
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+6
10.5%
Kanye Udoh run for 6 yds to the ARMY 44Similar
Q3 3:35
2ND & 4
OWN 44
+15
10.9%
Champ Harris pass complete to Tyrell Robinson for 15 yds to the TROY 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:35
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+3
11.3%
Tyrell Robinson run for 3 yds to the TROY 38Similar
Q3 3:35
2ND & 7
OPP 38
+3
11.5%
Hayden Reed run for 3 yds to the TROY 35Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 4
OPP 35
+3
8.9%
Kanye Udoh run for 3 yds to the TROY 32Similar
Q4 14:54
4TH & 1
OPP 32
0
8.9%
Kanye Udoh run for no gain to the TROY 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · -14 yds · 2:4096% → 96%
Q4 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-10
4.0%
No Huddle-Shotgun Vidal,Kimani rush left for 3 yards gain to the TROY35 (DiDomenico,Max; Fortner,Kalib) PENALTY TROY Holding (King,Daniel) 10 yards from TROY32 to TROY22. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 14:54
1ST & 20
OWN 22
+1
4.0%
Kimani Vidal run for 1 yd to the TROY 21Similar
Q4 14:54
2ND & 21
OWN 21
0
4.1%
Kimani Vidal run for no gain to the TROY 21Similar
Q4 14:54
3RD & 21
OWN 21
+7
4.2%
Kimani Vidal run for 7 yds to the TROY 28Similar
Q4 12:14
4TH & 14
OWN 28
0
3.6%
Robert Cole punt for 27 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 21DOWNS
4 plays · -10 yds · 1:586% → 5%
Q4 12:14
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+6
6.0%
Tobi Olawole run for 6 yds to the ARMY 49Similar
Q4 12:14
2ND & 16
OWN 49
+6
5.5%
Champ Harris pass complete to Tyson Riley for 6 yds to the TROY 45Similar
Q4 12:14
3RD & 10
OPP 45
-10
5.7%
Champ Harris sacked by Jayden McDonald for a loss of 10 yards to the ARMY 45Similar
Q4 10:16
4TH & 20
OWN 45
0
4.5%
Champ Harris pass incomplete to Casey ReynoldsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 22DOWNS
7 plays · 17 yds · 4:4997% → 98%
Q4 10:16
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+4
2.6%
Kimani Vidal run for 4 yds to the ARMY 41Similar
Q4 10:16
2ND & 6
OPP 41
+5
2.6%
Kimani Vidal run for 5 yds to the ARMY 36Similar
Q4 10:16
3RD & 1
OPP 36
+2
2.7%
Kimani Vidal run for 2 yds to the ARMY 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:16
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+7
2.6%
Kimani Vidal run for 7 yds to the ARMY 27Similar
Q4 10:16
2ND & 3
OPP 27
+1
2.6%
Kimani Vidal run for 1 yd to the ARMY 28Similar
Q4 10:16
3RD & 4
OPP 28
0
2.7%
Damien Taylor run for no gain to the ARMY 28Similar
Q4 5:27
4TH & 4
OPP 28
0
1.9%
Gunnar Watson pass incomplete to Jabre BarberSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 23FUMBLE
13 plays · 61 yds · 3:053% → 2%
Q4 5:27
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+11
2.5%
Champ Harris pass complete to Tobi Olawole for 11 yds to the ARMY 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:27
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+2
2.5%
Champ Harris pass complete to Tyrell Robinson for 2 yds to the ARMY 41Similar
Q4 5:27
2ND & 8
OWN 41
+11
2.6%
Champ Harris pass complete to Tobi Olawole for 11 yds to the TROY 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:27
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
2.7%
Champ Harris pass incomplete to Ay'Jaun MarshallSimilar
Q4 5:27
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+6
2.7%
Tyrell Robinson run for 6 yds to the TROY 42Similar
Q4 5:27
3RD & 4
OPP 42
-7
2.8%
Champ Harris sacked by Jordan Stringer for a loss of 7 yards to the TROY 49Similar
Q4 5:27
4TH & 11
OPP 49
+18
2.5%
Champ Harris pass complete to Ay'Jaun Marshall for 18 yds to the TROY 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:27
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+4
3.1%
Champ Harris run for 4 yds to the TROY 27Similar
Q4 5:27
2ND & 6
OPP 27
+12
3.2%
Kanye Udoh run for 12 yds to the TROY 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:27
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+3
3.2%
Kanye Udoh run for 3 yds to the TROY 12Similar
Q4 5:27
2ND & 7
OPP 12
0
3.2%
Champ Harris pass incomplete to Tobi OlawoleSimilar
Q4 5:27
3RD & 7
OPP 12
0
3.1%
Champ Harris pass incomplete to Tobi OlawoleSimilar
Q4 2:22
4TH & 7
OPP 12
-1
2.4%
Champ Harris sacked by Richard Jibunor for a loss of 1 yard to the TROY 28 Champ Harris fumbled, recovered by TROY Irshaad Davis , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 24DOWNS
9 plays · 50 yds · 1:5599% → 99%
Q4 2:22
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+4
1.2%
Damien Taylor run for 4 yds to the TROY 32Similar
Q4 2:16
2ND & 6
OWN 32
+38
1.1%
Damien Taylor run for 38 yds to the ARMY 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:07
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
0.9%
Asa Martin run for no gain to the ARMY 30Similar
Q4 2:07
2ND & 10
OPP 30
0
1.0%
Asa Martin run for no gain to the ARMY 30Similar
Q4 2:07
3RD & 10
OPP 30
+9
1.0%
Damien Taylor run for 9 yds to the ARMY 21Similar
Q4 0:27
4TH & 1
OPP 21
+1
0.6%
Damien Taylor run for 1 yd to the ARMY 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 25INT
3 plays · 5 yds · 0:271% → 1%
Q4 0:27
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
1.4%
Champ Harris pass incomplete to Tobi OlawoleSimilar
Q4 0:27
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+5
1.3%
Champ Harris run for 5 yds to the ARMY 27Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 5
OWN 27
0
1.3%
Champ Harris pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 0:38
Gunnar Watson pass complete to Chris Lewis for 52 yds for a TD (Scott Taylor Renfroe KICK)
-13.9
KEY PLAY · Q2 0:00
C. Harris takes a knee
+7.2
KEY PLAY · Q2 0:38
Champ Harris run for 1 yd to the ARMY 26
+6.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com