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RUTG

Rutgers 13 at Wisconsin 24

WIS
2023 · Week 6 · Oct 7, 2023 · Camp Randall Stadium
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Win probability · WIS
modelWIS aheadRUTG aheadconfidence bandkey playWIS scoreRUTG score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 9:42 · Atticus Bertrams punt for 36 yds
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+30.5+15.30−15.3−30.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 99Pregame prior+13.1Home team on offense+18.3Garbage-time factor+8.2Score differential+9.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+3.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 4:28: Braelon Allen run for 18 yds for a TD (Nathanial Vakos KICK) — WIS win probability +5.6 pts (now 84%) (top driver: WIS has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:04: Ricardo Hallman 95 Yd Interception Return (Nathanial Vakos Kick) — WIS win probability +6.8 pts (now 87%) (top driver: RUTG has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 1:26: Evan Simon pass complete to Aaron Young for 10 yds for a TD (Jai Patel PAT MISSED) — RUTG win probability +4.5 pts (now 13%) (top driver: RUTG has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 10:51: Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Tucker Ashcraft for 3 yds for a TD (Nathanial Vakos KICK) — WIS win probability +6.7 pts (now 98%) (top driver: WIS has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 4:07: Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Ian Strong for 11 yds for a TD (Jai Patel KICK) — RUTG win probability +4.1 pts (now 6%) (top driver: RUTG has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WIS made the numbers' call on 3 of 7RUTG made the numbers' call on 6 of 10
  1. Q1 11:44WIS 4th & 10 at RUTG 21, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 80.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.9%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    80.0%
    74% to make
    Punt
    79.6%−0.4
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:06RUTG 4th & 6 at RUTG 29, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.0%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.1%
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:56WIS 4th & 4 at WIS 38, up 3
    Close callPunted · 79.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:05RUTG 4th & 5 at WIS 45, down 3
    Close callPunted · 21.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.4%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    21.1%−0.4
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    21.4%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q1 2:03WIS 4th & 2 at WIS 41, up 3
    Close callPunted · 77.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    77.6%−0.1
    average punt
  6. Q1 1:04RUTG 4th & 5 at RUTG 14, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.3%−0.3
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.5%
    average punt
  7. Q2 14:15WIS 4th & 6 at RUTG 35, up 3
    Close callKicked a field goal · 77.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.4%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    77.2%−0.2
    45% to make
    Punt
    77.0%−0.4
    average punt
  8. Q2 12:36RUTG 4th & 3 at RUTG 43, down 3
    Close callPunted · 23.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.4%−0.2
    average punt
  9. Q2 6:57RUTG 4th & 10 at RUTG 4, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.2%−1.6
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.8%
    average punt
  10. Q3 12:01RUTG 4th & 10 at WIS 49, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.8%−0.7
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.5%
    average punt
  11. Q3 9:42WIS 4th & 8 at WIS 31, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 92.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.0%−1.4
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.4%
    average punt
  12. Q3 8:17RUTG 4th & 16 at RUTG 27, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.7%−2.0
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.7%
    average punt
  13. Q3 6:28WIS 4th & 1 at RUTG 43, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 93.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    93.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    91.6%−2.3
    28% to make
    Punt
    92.2%−1.7
    average punt
  14. Q3 6:28RUTG 4th & 1 at WIS 38, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 7.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.4%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    4.7%−2.7
    38% to make
    Punt
    4.6%−2.7
    average punt
  15. Q4 9:46RUTG 4th & 6 at RUTG 39, down 18
    Close callPunted · 3.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.8%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 7:45WIS 4th & 3 at WIS 28, up 18
    Close callPunted · 97.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.8%−0.1
    average punt
  17. Q4 5:46RUTG 4th & 2 at WIS 11, down 18
    Close callWent for it · 2.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.2%−0.3
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    2.5%
    87% to make
    Punt
    0.7%−1.8
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WIS made the numbers' call on 3 of 3RUTG made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q2 4:28WIS Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 0:04WIS Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 1:26RUTG Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    12.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    12.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 10:51WIS Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 4:07RUTG Touchdown, down 12 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    5.2%−0.2
    97% to make
    Go for two
    5.4%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WISDrive 1FG
13 plays · 54 yds · 3:1680% → 80%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
80.1%
Tanner Mordecai pass incomplete to Hayden RucciSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+9
80.1%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Will Pauling for 9 yds to the WIS 34Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+7
80.1%
Braelon Allen run for 7 yds to the WIS 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
80.1%
Tanner Mordecai pass incomplete to Will PaulingSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+11
80.1%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Braelon Allen for 11 yds to the RUTG 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+8
80.1%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Will Pauling for 8 yds to the RUTG 40Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 40
+4
80.1%
Tanner Mordecai run for 4 yds to the RUTG 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+15
80.1%
No Huddle-Shotgun Mordecai,Tanner pass incomplete deep right to Green,Bryson broken up by Melton,Max PENALTY RUT Pass Interference (Fletcher,Kenny) 15 yards from RUT36 to RUT21, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
80.1%
Tanner Mordecai pass incomplete to Chimere DikeSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 21
0
80.1%
Tanner Mordecai pass incomplete to Chimere DikeSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 21
0
80.1%
Tanner Mordecai pass incomplete to Will PaulingSimilar
Q1 11:44
4TH & 10
OPP 21
+39
79.5%
Nathanial Vakos 39 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 2PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 2:3821% → 21%
Q1 11:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
79.5%
Kyle Monangai run for 1 yd to the RUTG 26Similar
Q1 11:44
2ND & 9
OWN 26
-5
79.5%
PENALTY RUT False Start (Langan,Johnny) 5 yards from RUT26 to RUT21. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 11:44
2ND & 14
OWN 21
+3
79.5%
Gavin Wimsatt run for 3 yds to the RUTG 24Similar
Q1 11:44
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+5
79.6%
Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Christian Dremel for 5 yds to the RUTG 29Similar
Q1 9:06
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
79.3%
Flynn Appleby punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Chimere Dike at the WIS 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:1079% → 79%
Q1 9:06
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+4
79.0%
Braelon Allen run for 4 yds to the WIS 36Similar
Q1 9:06
2ND & 6
OWN 36
+2
79.1%
Braelon Allen run for 2 yds to the WIS 38Similar
Q1 9:06
3RD & 4
OWN 38
0
79.0%
Tanner Mordecai pass incomplete to Chimere DikeSimilar
Q1 7:56
4TH & 4
OWN 38
0
78.7%
Atticus Bertrams punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Rashad Rochelle at the RUTG 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 4PUNT
6 plays · 37 yds · 2:5121% → 22%
Q1 7:56
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+2
79.0%
Kyle Monangai run for 2 yds to the RUTG 20Similar
Q1 7:56
2ND & 8
OWN 20
+30
79.0%
Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Johnny Langan for 30 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:56
1ST & 10
50
+5
78.4%
Gavin Wimsatt run for 5 yds to the WIS 45Similar
Q1 7:56
2ND & 5
OPP 45
0
78.4%
Kyle Monangai run for no gain to the WIS 45Similar
Q1 7:56
3RD & 5
OPP 45
0
78.5%
Gavin Wimsatt pass incomplete to Isaiah WashingtonSimilar
Q1 5:05
4TH & 5
OPP 45
0
78.2%
Flynn Appleby punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Chimere Dike at the WIS 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 5PUNT
7 plays · 31 yds · 3:0278% → 78%
Q1 5:05
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+1
78.2%
Braelon Allen run for 1 yd to the WIS 11Similar
Q1 5:05
2ND & 9
OWN 11
0
78.1%
Tanner Mordecai pass incomplete to Hayden RucciSimilar
Q1 5:05
3RD & 9
OWN 11
+22
77.9%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Bryson Green for 22 yds to the WIS 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:05
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+6
78.3%
Braelon Allen run for 6 yds to the WIS 39Similar
Q1 5:05
2ND & 4
OWN 39
+3
78.8%
Braelon Allen run for 3 yds to the WIS 42Similar
Q1 5:05
3RD & 1
OWN 42
+1
78.7%
Braelon Allen run for 1 yd to the WIS 41Similar
Q1 2:03
4TH & 2
OWN 41
0
77.5%
Atticus Bertrams punt for 50 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:5922% → 22%
Q1 2:03
1ST & 10
OWN 9
0
77.9%
Gavin Wimsatt pass incomplete to JaQuae JacksonSimilar
Q1 2:03
2ND & 10
OWN 9
+5
78.0%
Ja'shon Benjamin run for 5 yds to the RUTG 14Similar
Q1 2:03
3RD & 5
OWN 14
0
78.0%
Gavin Wimsatt pass incomplete to Christian DremelSimilar
Q1 1:04
4TH & 5
OWN 14
0
78.2%
Flynn Appleby punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Chimere Dike at the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 7MISSED FG
7 plays · 15 yds · 1:4978% → 77%
Q1 1:04
1ST & 10
50
0
78.2%
Tanner Mordecai pass incomplete to Skyler BellSimilar
Q1 1:04
2ND & 10
50
+8
78.1%
Jackson Acker run for 8 yds to the RUTG 42Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 2
OPP 42
+3
78.0%
Jackson Acker run for 3 yds to the RUTG 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+4
78.2%
Tanner Mordecai run for 4 yds to the RUTG 35Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 35
0
78.5%
Tanner Mordecai pass incomplete to Tucker AshcraftSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 35
0
78.1%
Tanner Mordecai pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:15
4TH & 6
OPP 35
+53
77.3%
Nathanial Vakos 53 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:3923% → 24%
Q2 14:15
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
76.7%
Gavin Wimsatt pass incomplete to Christian DremelSimilar
Q2 14:15
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+5
76.9%
Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Ja'shon Benjamin for 5 yds to the RUTG 41Similar
Q2 14:15
3RD & 5
OWN 41
+2
76.3%
Gavin Wimsatt run for 2 yds to the RUTG 43Similar
Q2 12:36
4TH & 3
OWN 43
0
76.5%
Flynn Appleby punt for 37 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 9FUMBLE
10 plays · 76 yds · 4:0677% → 78%
Q2 12:36
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+7
76.6%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Hayden Rucci for 7 yds to the WIS 27Similar
Q2 12:36
2ND & 3
OWN 27
+4
76.8%
Braelon Allen run for 4 yds to the WIS 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:36
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+7
76.7%
Jackson Acker run for 7 yds to the WIS 38Similar
Q2 12:36
2ND & 3
OWN 38
+5
77.6%
Jackson Acker run for 5 yds to the WIS 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:36
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+7
77.5%
Jackson Acker run for 7 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 12:36
2ND & 3
50
+6
77.8%
PENALTY RUT Delay Of Game (Igbinosun,Desmond) 6 yards from WIS50 to RUT44, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 12:36
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+15
77.9%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Will Pauling for 15 yds to the RUTG 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:36
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+6
78.3%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Jackson Acker for 6 yds to the RUTG 23Similar
Q2 12:36
2ND & 4
OPP 23
+14
78.3%
Jackson Acker run for 14 yds to the RUTG 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+5
77.9%
Braelon Allen run for 5 yds to the RUTG 4 Braelon Allen fumbled, recovered by RUTG Max MeltonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:3324% → 23%
Q2 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+3
76.1%
Ja'shon Benjamin run for 3 yds to the RUTG 7Similar
Q2 8:30
2ND & 7
OWN 7
-3
76.2%
Gavin Wimsatt sacked by C.J. Goetz for a loss of 3 yards to the RUTG 4Similar
Q2 8:30
3RD & 10
OWN 4
0
76.7%
Gavin Wimsatt pass incomplete to Ian StrongSimilar
Q2 6:57
4TH & 10
OWN 4
0
77.3%
Flynn Appleby punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Chimere Dike at the RUTG 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 11TD
6 plays · 39 yds · 2:2978% → 84%
Q2 6:57
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+5
77.8%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Will Pauling for 5 yds to the RUTG 34Similar
Q2 6:57
2ND & 5
OPP 34
0
78.3%
Tanner Mordecai run for no gain to the RUTG 34Similar
Q2 6:57
3RD & 5
OPP 34
+6
77.7%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Will Pauling for 6 yds to the RUTG 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:57
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
78.3%
Tanner Mordecai pass incomplete to Will PaulingSimilar
Q2 6:57
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+10
78.2%
Tanner Mordecai run for 10 yds to the RUTG 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:28
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+18
83.8%
Braelon Allen run for 18 yds for a TD (Nathanial Vakos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 12INT TD
10 plays · 69 yds · 4:2418% → 13%
Q2 4:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
82.2%
Gavin Wimsatt run for 5 yds to the RUTG 30Similar
Q2 4:28
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+4
81.8%
Kyle Monangai run for 4 yds to the RUTG 34Similar
Q2 4:28
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+3
81.8%
Kyle Monangai run for 3 yds to the RUTG 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:28
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+12
81.8%
Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to JaQuae Jackson for 12 yds to the RUTG 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:28
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
81.0%
Gavin Wimsatt pass incomplete to Kyle MonangaiSimilar
Q2 4:28
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+26
81.3%
Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to JaQuae Jackson for 26 yds to the WIS 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:28
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+21
80.0%
Gavin Wimsatt run for 21 yds to the WIS 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
80.0%
Kyle Monangai run for 2 yds to the WIS 6Similar
Q2 0:04
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
-95
86.8%
Ricardo Hallman 95 Yd Interception Return (Nathanial Vakos Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 13END OF HALF
2 plays · -8 yds · 0:0011% → 11%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-8
89.2%
G. Wimsatt takes a kneeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 14PUNT
10 plays · 26 yds · 2:5911% → 9%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
89.3%
Ja'shon Benjamin run for 2 yds to the RUTG 27Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+13
89.3%
Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Isaiah Washington for 13 yds to the RUTG 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
88.8%
Ja'shon Benjamin run for 3 yds to the RUTG 43Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 43
+8
88.8%
Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to JaQuae Jackson for 8 yds to the WIS 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
88.2%
Gavin Wimsatt pass incomplete to Aaron YoungSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 49
0
88.8%
Gavin Wimsatt pass incomplete to JaQuae JacksonSimilar
Q3 12:14
3RD & 10
OPP 49
0
90.4%
Gavin Wimsatt pass incomplete to JaQuae JacksonSimilar
Q3 12:01
4TH & 10
OPP 49
0
90.9%
Flynn Appleby punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Chimere Dike at the WIS 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 20 yds · 2:1992% → 93%
Q3 12:01
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+18
91.6%
Braelon Allen run for 18 yds to the WIS 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:01
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+2
91.7%
Braelon Allen run for 2 yds to the WIS 27Similar
Q3 12:01
2ND & 12
OWN 27
-9
91.6%
Tanner Mordecai sacked by Wesley Bailey for a loss of 9 yards to the WIS 18Similar
Q3 12:01
3RD & 21
OWN 18
+13
91.3%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Bryson Green for 13 yds to the WIS 31Similar
Q3 9:42
4TH & 8
OWN 31
0
92.9%
Atticus Bertrams punt for 36 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · -6 yds · 1:259% → 8%
Q3 9:42
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+4
91.0%
Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Aaron Young for 4 yds to the RUTG 37Similar
Q3 9:42
2ND & 6
OWN 37
-10
90.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun Wimsatt,Gavin rush right for 1 yard gain to the RUT38, out of bounds at RUT38 PENALTY RUT Holding (Zilinskas,Gus) 10 yards from RUT37 to RUT27. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 9:42
2ND & 16
OWN 27
0
91.7%
Gavin Wimsatt pass incomplete to Christian DremelSimilar
Q3 9:42
3RD & 16
OWN 27
0
91.8%
Gavin Wimsatt pass incomplete to Christian DremelSimilar
Q3 8:17
4TH & 16
OWN 27
0
92.2%
Flynn Appleby punt for 25 yds, fair catch by Chimere Dike at the WIS 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 17DOWNS
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:4995% → 94%
Q3 8:17
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+5
94.5%
Jackson Acker run for 5 yds to the RUTG 47Similar
Q3 8:17
2ND & 5
OPP 47
+4
94.5%
Jackson Acker run for 4 yds to the RUTG 43Similar
Q3 8:17
3RD & 1
OPP 43
0
94.4%
Jackson Acker run for no gain to the RUTG 43Similar
Q3 6:28
4TH & 1
OPP 43
0
94.2%
Jackson Acker run for no gain to the RUTG 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 18TD
10 plays · 57 yds · 5:027% → 13%
Q3 6:28
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+5
92.6%
Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Ja'shon Benjamin for 5 yds to the RUTG 48Similar
Q3 6:28
2ND & 5
OWN 48
+5
92.5%
Gavin Wimsatt run for 5 yds to the WIS 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:28
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+4
92.4%
Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Jesse Ofurie for 4 yds to the WIS 43Similar
Q3 6:28
2ND & 6
OPP 43
+4
92.3%
Kyle Monangai run for 4 yds to the WIS 39Similar
Q3 6:28
3RD & 2
OPP 39
+1
92.3%
Gavin Wimsatt run for 1 yd to the WIS 38Similar
Q3 6:28
4TH & 1
OPP 38
+4
92.6%
Gavin Wimsatt run for 4 yds to the WIS 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:28
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+20
91.9%
Evan Simon pass complete to Isaiah Washington for 20 yds to the WIS 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:28
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+4
91.6%
Kyle Monangai run for 4 yds to the WIS 10Similar
Q3 6:28
2ND & 6
OPP 10
0
91.6%
Evan Simon pass incomplete to Shawn BowmanSimilar
Q3 1:26
3RD & 6
OPP 10
+10
87.1%
Evan Simon pass complete to Aaron Young for 10 yds for a TD (Jai Patel PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 19TD
16 plays · 72 yds · 5:3590% → 98%
Q3 1:26
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+6
89.5%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Will Pauling for 6 yds to the WIS 34Similar
Q3 1:26
2ND & 4
OWN 34
+3
89.6%
Tanner Mordecai run for 3 yds to the WIS 37Similar
Q3 1:26
3RD & 1
OWN 37
+11
89.4%
Braelon Allen run for 11 yds to the WIS 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+14
91.0%
Tanner Mordecai run for 14 yds to the RUTG 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
91.1%
Tanner Mordecai pass incomplete to Hayden RucciSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+9
91.1%
Tanner Mordecai run for 9 yds to the RUTG 29Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 29
+2
91.0%
Braelon Allen run for 2 yds to the RUTG 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
91.3%
Tanner Mordecai pass incomplete to Hayden RucciSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 27
-10
91.1%
Wisconsin Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the RUTG 34Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 17
OPP 34
+9
91.0%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Will Pauling for 9 yds to the RUTG 25Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 25
+10
90.8%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Will Pauling for 10 yds to the RUTG 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+5
91.3%
Jackson Acker run for 5 yds to the RUTG 10Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 10
+6
91.3%
Jackson Acker run for 6 yds to the RUTG 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
91.3%
Jackson Acker run for 1 yd to the RUTG 3Similar
Q4 10:51
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
97.9%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Tucker Ashcraft for 3 yds for a TD (Nathanial Vakos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:053% → 3%
Q4 10:51
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
96.7%
Gavin Wimsatt pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:51
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
96.8%
Gavin Wimsatt pass incomplete to JaQuae JacksonSimilar
Q4 10:51
3RD & 10
OWN 35
+4
97.0%
Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Johnny Langan for 4 yds to the RUTG 39Similar
Q4 9:46
4TH & 6
OWN 39
0
96.9%
Flynn Appleby punt for 50 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WIS 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 17 yds · 2:0198% → 98%
Q4 9:46
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+10
97.8%
Tanner Mordecai run for 10 yds to the WIS 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:46
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-1
97.9%
Tanner Mordecai sacked by Wesley Bailey for a loss of 1 yard to the WIS 20Similar
Q4 9:46
2ND & 11
OWN 20
+8
97.9%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Jackson Acker for 8 yds to the WIS 28Similar
Q4 9:46
3RD & 3
OWN 28
0
97.9%
Tanner Mordecai pass incomplete to Bryson GreenSimilar
Q4 7:45
4TH & 3
OWN 28
0
98.0%
Atticus Bertrams punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Rashad Rochelle at the RUTG 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 22DOWNS
7 plays · 59 yds · 1:593% → 2%
Q4 7:45
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+31
97.1%
Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Ian Strong for 16 yds to the WIS 46 for a 1ST down Wisconsin Penalty, Roughing The Passer (C.J. Goetz) to the WIS 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:45
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
97.0%
Gavin Wimsatt pass incomplete to Christian DremelSimilar
Q4 7:45
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+20
97.0%
Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Isaiah Washington for 20 yds to the WIS 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:45
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
96.5%
Gavin Wimsatt pass incomplete to Ian StrongSimilar
Q4 7:45
2ND & 10
OPP 19
0
96.6%
Gavin Wimsatt pass incomplete to JaQuae JacksonSimilar
Q4 7:45
3RD & 10
OPP 19
+8
96.9%
Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Ian Strong for 8 yds to the WIS 11Similar
Q4 5:46
4TH & 2
OPP 11
0
97.8%
Gavin Wimsatt pass incomplete to JaQuae JacksonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 23FUMBLE
6 plays · 10 yds · 1:0499% → 99%
Q4 5:46
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+3
98.5%
Braelon Allen run for 3 yds to the WIS 14Similar
Q4 4:58
2ND & 7
OWN 14
+3
98.6%
Braelon Allen run for 3 yds to the WIS 17Similar
Q4 4:42
3RD & 4
OWN 17
+4
98.9%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Hayden Rucci for 4 yds Hayden Rucci fumbled, recovered by RUTG Troy RaineySimilar
Q4 4:42
3RD & 4
OWN 17
+4
98.9%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Hayden Rucci for 4 yds Hayden Rucci fumbled, recovered by RUTG Troy RaineySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 24TD
3 plays · 21 yds · 0:352% → 6%
Q4 4:42
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
97.7%
Gavin Wimsatt pass incomplete to Ian StrongSimilar
Q4 4:42
2ND & 10
OPP 21
+10
97.7%
Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Ian Strong for 10 yds to the WIS 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:07
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
93.7%
Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Ian Strong for 11 yds for a TD (Jai Patel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 25END OF 4TH QUARTER
9 plays · 20 yds · 4:0696% → 98%
Q4 4:06
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+2
96.1%
Braelon Allen run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 4:06
2ND & 8
50
+2
96.1%
Braelon Allen run for 2 yds to the RUTG 48Similar
Q4 3:23
3RD & 6
OPP 48
+6
96.8%
Braelon Allen run for 6 yds to the RUTG 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:23
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+3
96.8%
Braelon Allen run for 3 yds to the RUTG 39Similar
Q4 3:23
2ND & 7
OPP 39
+4
96.8%
Braelon Allen run for 4 yds to the RUTG 35Similar
Q4 3:23
3RD & 3
OPP 35
+6
96.8%
Tanner Mordecai run for 6 yds to the RUTG 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-3
97.8%
T. Mordecai takes a kneeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 0:04
Ricardo Hallman 95 Yd Interception Return (Nathanial Vakos Kick)
+6.8
TD · Q4 10:51
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Tucker Ashcraft for 3 yds for a TD (Nathanial Vakos KICK)
+6.7
TD · Q2 4:28
Braelon Allen run for 18 yds for a TD (Nathanial Vakos KICK)
+5.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com