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ALA

Alabama 26 at Texas A&M 20

TA&M
2023 · Week 6 · Oct 7, 2023 · Kyle Field
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Win probability · TA&M
modelTA&M aheadALA aheadconfidence bandkey playTA&M scoreALA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGTDTDTDTDTDTDSAFETYFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 8:49 · James Burnip punt for 29 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ALA 44
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialPregame priorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+35.0+17.50−17.5−35.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 13Home team on offense−0.1Garbage-time factor+0.0Score differential−0.4Pregame prior−3.8Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 9:57: Max Johnson pass complete to Jake Johnson for 22 yds for a TD (Randy Bond KICK) — TA&M win probability +10.7 pts (now 53%) (top driver: TA&M has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 3:23: Le'Veon Moss run for 1 yd for a TD (Randy Bond KICK) — TA&M win probability +12.2 pts (now 65%) (top driver: TA&M has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 7:29: Jalen Milroe pass complete to Jermaine Burton for 15 yds for a TD (Will Reichard KICK) — ALA win probability +15.3 pts (now 51%) (top driver: ALA has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 0:22: Jalen Milroe pass complete to Jermaine Burton for 19 yds for a TD (Will Reichard KICK) — ALA win probability +18.3 pts (now 73%) (top driver: ALA has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 2:11: Randy Bond 20 Yd Field Goal — TA&M win probability +17.5 pts (now 27%) (top driver: TA&M has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TA&M made the numbers' call on 3 of 7ALA made the numbers' call on 7 of 8
  1. Q1 10:56TA&M 4th & 1 at ALA 19, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 47.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    47.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    47.3%−0.2
    77% to make
    Punt
    46.8%−0.7
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:49ALA 4th & 14 at ALA 15, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 52.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.7%−0.5
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.2%
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:34TA&M 4th & 5 at ALA 5, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 48.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.6%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    48.7%
    92% to make
    Punt
    46.9%−1.8
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:31ALA 4th & 6 at TA&M 21, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 50.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.8%−0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    49.9%
    74% to make
    Punt
    47.7%−2.2
    average punt
  5. Q1 1:57TA&M 4th & 2 at TA&M 27, tied
    Close callPunted · 48.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    48.6%−0.2
    average punt
  6. Q2 12:36TA&M 4th & 13 at ALA 48, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.7%−1.1
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.8%
    average punt
  7. Q2 10:05ALA 4th & 21 at ALA 5, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.1%−2.7
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.8%
    average punt
  8. Q2 9:01ALA 4th & 22 at ALA 13, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 48.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.0%−2.3
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.3%
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:43ALA 4th & 13 at TA&M 45, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.4%−0.4
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    35.6%−0.1
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    35.7%
    average punt
  10. Q3 2:59TA&M 4th & 1 at ALA 45, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 4.3 ptsPunted · 56.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    50.0%−6.7
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    52.3%−4.3
    average punt
  11. Q4 11:44TA&M 4th & 6 at ALA 45, down 7
    Close callPunted · 30.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.2%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    27.1%−3.2
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    29.4%−0.8
    average punt
  12. Q4 6:41ALA 4th & 22 at ALA 42, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 79.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.3%−5.3
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    80.5%
    average punt
  13. Q4 3:37ALA 4th & 16 at ALA 26, up 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 88.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.6%−3.1
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.7%
    average punt
  14. Q4 2:11TA&M 4th & 2 at ALA 2, down 9
    Numbers favored go for it by 5.4 ptsKicked a field goal · 10.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    8.7%−5.4
    94% to make
    Punt
    5.0%−9.2
    average punt
  15. Q4 0:00ALA 4th & 8 at TA&M 35, up 6
    Numbers favored field goal by 1.6 ptsWent for it · 92.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    91.6%−1.6
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    93.2%
    45% to make
    Punt
    91.4%−1.9
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TA&M made the numbers' call on 2 of 2ALA made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q2 14:51ALA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    55.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    55.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 9:57TA&M Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    48.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    48.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 3:23TA&M Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    61.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    60.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 7:29ALA Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    44.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    44.0%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 0:22ALA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    66.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    66.1%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TA&MDrive 1DOWNS
9 plays · 56 yds · 4:0446% → 47%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
45.7%
Amari Daniels run for 9 yds to the TA&M 34Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+4
45.7%
Max Johnson run for 4 yds to the TA&M 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
45.7%
Amari Daniels run for 3 yds to the TA&M 41Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 41
+31
45.7%
Max Johnson pass complete to Moose Muhammad III for 31 yds to the ALA 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+6
45.7%
Max Johnson pass complete to Evan Stewart for 6 yds to the ALA 22Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 22
+3
45.7%
Max Johnson run for 3 yds to the ALA 19Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 19
0
45.7%
Le'Veon Moss run for no gain to the ALA 19Similar
Q1 10:56
4TH & 1
OPP 19
0
47.0%
Max Johnson pass incomplete to Jake JohnsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 2PUNT
4 plays · -4 yds · 2:0753% → 53%
Q1 10:56
1ST & 15
OWN 14
+1
46.7%
Jase McClellan run for 1 yd to the ALA 15Similar
Q1 10:56
2ND & 14
OWN 15
+6
46.7%
Jase McClellan run for 6 yds to the ALA 21Similar
Q1 10:56
3RD & 8
OWN 21
-6
46.9%
Jalen Milroe sacked by Edgerrin Cooper for a loss of 6 yards to the ALA 15Similar
Q1 8:49
4TH & 14
OWN 15
0
47.5%
James Burnip punt for 29 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ALA 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 3FG
7 plays · 39 yds · 3:1548% → 49%
Q1 8:49
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+4
47.8%
Max Johnson run for 4 yds to the ALA 40Similar
Q1 8:49
2ND & 6
OPP 40
+2
47.8%
Max Johnson run for 2 yds to the ALA 38Similar
Q1 8:49
3RD & 4
OPP 38
+32
47.7%
Max Johnson pass complete to Evan Stewart for 32 yds to the ALA 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
48.0%
Max Johnson pass complete to Jake Johnson for no gain to the ALA 6Similar
Q1 8:49
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+1
48.0%
Le'Veon Moss run for 1 yd to the ALA 5Similar
Q1 8:49
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
47.8%
Max Johnson pass incomplete to Ainias SmithSimilar
Q1 5:34
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+22
49.3%
Randy Bond 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 4FG
7 plays · 49 yds · 1:5651% → 52%
Q1 5:27
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
49.2%
Roydell Williams run for no gain to the ALA 30Similar
Q1 5:27
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+45
49.3%
Jalen Milroe pass complete to Jermaine Burton for 45 yds to the TA&M 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:27
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+4
47.8%
Roydell Williams run for 4 yds to the TA&M 21Similar
Q1 5:27
2ND & 6
OPP 21
0
47.8%
Jalen Milroe pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:27
3RD & 6
OPP 21
0
48.2%
Jalen Milroe pass incomplete to Jermaine BurtonSimilar
Q1 3:31
4TH & 6
OPP 21
+39
47.8%
Will Reichard 39 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:3248% → 48%
Q1 3:29
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+3
48.3%
Amari Daniels run for 3 yds to the TA&M 22Similar
Q1 3:29
2ND & 7
OWN 22
0
48.3%
Max Johnson pass incomplete to Evan StewartSimilar
Q1 3:29
3RD & 7
OWN 22
+5
47.7%
Max Johnson run for 5 yds to the TA&M 27Similar
Q1 1:57
4TH & 2
OWN 27
0
48.1%
Nik Constantinou punt for 43 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 6TD
5 plays · 66 yds · 2:0652% → 58%
Q1 1:57
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
47.7%
Jalen Milroe pass incomplete to Jermaine BurtonSimilar
Q1 1:57
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+2
47.9%
Jalen Milroe pass complete to Jase McClellan for 2 yds to the ALA 32Similar
Q1 1:57
3RD & 12
OWN 32
+21
48.5%
Jalen Milroe pass complete to Jermaine Burton for 21 yds to the TA&M 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 15
OWN 48
0
47.7%
Jalen Milroe run for no gain to the ALA 48Similar
Q2 14:51
2ND & 15
OWN 48
+52
41.9%
Jalen Milroe pass complete to Isaiah Bond for 52 yds for a TD (Will Reichard KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 7PUNT
7 plays · 31 yds · 2:0943% → 41%
Q2 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+34
42.8%
Max Johnson pass complete to Ainias Smith for 34 yds to the ALA 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:45
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+2
44.6%
Le'Veon Moss run for 2 yds to the ALA 43Similar
Q2 13:32
2ND & 8
OPP 43
-5
43.9%
Max Johnson sacked for a loss of 5 yards to the ALA 48Similar
Q2 13:32
3RD & 13
OPP 48
0
42.2%
Max Johnson pass incomplete to Ainias SmithSimilar
Q2 12:36
4TH & 13
OPP 48
0
41.0%
Nik Constantinou punt for 32 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ALA 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 8PUNT
4 plays · -11 yds · 2:3158% → 58%
Q2 12:36
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
41.6%
Roydell Williams run for no gain to the ALA 16Similar
Q2 12:36
2ND & 10
OWN 16
+7
41.8%
Jalen Milroe pass complete to Jermaine Burton for 7 yds to the ALA 23Similar
Q2 12:36
3RD & 8
OWN 18
-8
42.3%
Jalen Milroe sacked by Fadil Diggs for a loss of 8 yards to the ALA 10Similar
Q2 10:05
4TH & 21
OWN 5
+46
42.5%
James Burnip punt for 63 yds , Ainias Smith returns for 46 yds to the ALA 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 9TD
2 plays · 22 yds · 0:0053% → 53%
Q2 9:57
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+22
53.2%
Max Johnson pass complete to Jake Johnson for 22 yds for a TD (Randy Bond KICK)Similar
Q2 9:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
53.2%
PENALTY A&M UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct offsetting BAMA UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct offsetting. NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 10PUNT
5 plays · -12 yds · 0:5652% → 50%
Q2 9:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
48.5%
Jalen Milroe pass incomplete to Jase McClellanSimilar
Q2 9:57
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
48.7%
Jalen Milroe pass incomplete to Amari NiblackSimilar
Q2 9:57
3RD & 15
OWN 20
-7
49.6%
Jalen Milroe sacked by Fadil Diggs for a loss of 7 yards to the ALA 13Similar
Q2 9:01
4TH & 22
OWN 13
0
50.5%
Will Reichard punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Ainias Smith at the TA&M 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 11TD
11 plays · 53 yds · 5:3853% → 65%
Q2 9:01
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
52.7%
Max Johnson pass incomplete to Moose Muhammad IIISimilar
Q2 9:01
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+2
52.3%
Le'Veon Moss run for 2 yds to the TA&M 49Similar
Q2 9:01
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+4
53.2%
Rueben Owens run for 4 yds to the ALA 38Similar
Q2 9:01
2ND & 6
OPP 38
+4
53.1%
Rueben Owens run for 4 yds to the ALA 42Similar
Q2 9:01
3RD & 10
OPP 42
+18
51.9%
Max Johnson pass complete to Moose Muhammad III for 18 yds to the ALA 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:01
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+2
53.6%
Le'Veon Moss run for 2 yds to the ALA 22Similar
Q2 9:01
2ND & 8
OPP 22
+9
53.6%
Le'Veon Moss run for 9 yds to the ALA 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:01
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
53.6%
Max Johnson pass incomplete to Evan StewartSimilar
Q2 9:01
2ND & 10
OPP 13
+4
53.6%
Le'Veon Moss run for 4 yds to the ALA 9Similar
Q2 9:01
3RD & 6
OPP 9
+8
52.8%
Max Johnson pass complete to Ainias Smith for 8 yds to the ALA 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
65.0%
Le'Veon Moss run for 1 yd for a TD (Randy Bond KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 12PUNT
7 plays · 30 yds · 2:4039% → 37%
Q2 3:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
61.4%
Jalen Milroe pass complete to Jermaine Burton for 12 yds to the ALA 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:23
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+21
60.2%
Jalen Milroe pass complete to Jermaine Burton for 21 yds to the TA&M 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:23
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+5
58.4%
Jalen Milroe pass complete to Kobe Prentice for 5 yds to the TA&M 37Similar
Q2 3:23
2ND & 5
OPP 37
0
57.9%
Jalen Milroe pass incomplete to Isaiah BondSimilar
Q2 3:23
3RD & 10
OPP 42
-3
59.7%
Jalen Milroe sacked by Walter Nolen for a loss of 3 yards to the TA&M 45Similar
Q2 0:43
4TH & 13
OPP 45
0
63.4%
Will Reichard punt for 45 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 13END OF HALF
1 play · 3 yds · 0:0064% → 64%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
63.7%
Le'Veon Moss run for 3 yds to the TA&M 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 14INT
9 plays · 30 yds · 3:4937% → 34%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+12
63.1%
Jalen Milroe pass complete to Amari Niblack for 12 yds to the ALA 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+5
61.9%
Jalen Milroe pass complete to Malik Benson for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 5
50
+6
60.9%
Jalen Milroe pass complete to Isaiah Bond for 6 yds to the TA&M 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+7
60.8%
Jalen Milroe pass complete to Isaiah Bond for 7 yds to the TA&M 37Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 3
OPP 37
+9
60.3%
Jalen Milroe pass complete to Isaiah Bond for 9 yds to the TA&M 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-9
58.9%
Jalen Milroe sacked by Edgerrin Cooper for a loss of 9 yards to the TA&M 37 Jalen Milroe fumbled, recovered by ALA Kadyn Proctor , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q3 11:06
2ND & 19
OPP 37
0
65.6%
Jalen Milroe pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 15INT
2 plays · 2 yds · 0:4069% → 70%
Q3 11:06
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
68.9%
Amari Daniels run for 2 yds to the TA&M 37Similar
Q3 10:26
2ND & 8
OWN 37
0
69.9%
Max Johnson pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 16TD
6 plays · 39 yds · 2:5736% → 51%
Q3 10:26
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+15
64.5%
Jase McClellan run for 15 yds to the TA&M 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:26
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+4
62.7%
Jase McClellan run for 4 yds to the TA&M 20Similar
Q3 10:26
2ND & 6
OPP 20
+9
62.7%
Jalen Milroe pass complete to Isaiah Bond for 9 yds to the TA&M 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:26
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+4
62.7%
Jalen Milroe pass complete to Isaiah Bond for 4 yds to the TA&M 15Similar
Q3 10:26
2ND & 14
OPP 15
0
64.2%
Jalen Milroe pass incomplete to Jermaine BurtonSimilar
Q3 7:29
3RD & 14
OPP 15
+15
48.9%
Jalen Milroe pass complete to Jermaine Burton for 15 yds for a TD (Will Reichard KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 17PUNT
10 plays · 30 yds · 4:3055% → 58%
Q3 7:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
55.0%
Max Johnson pass complete to Ainias Smith for 9 yds to the TA&M 34Similar
Q3 7:29
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+2
57.4%
Le'Veon Moss run for 2 yds to the TA&M 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:29
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+8
56.3%
Le'Veon Moss run for 8 yds to the TA&M 44Similar
Q3 7:29
2ND & 2
OWN 44
+2
58.6%
Le'Veon Moss run for 2 yds to the TA&M 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:29
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-5
58.3%
PENALTY A&M False Start (Smith,Ainias) 5 yards from A&M46 to A&M41. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 7:29
1ST & 15
OWN 41
+5
55.8%
Le'Veon Moss run for 5 yds to the TA&M 46Similar
Q3 7:29
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+8
56.9%
Max Johnson pass complete to Evan Stewart for 8 yds to the ALA 46Similar
Q3 7:29
3RD & 2
OPP 46
+1
58.6%
Le'Veon Moss run for 1 yd to the ALA 45Similar
Q3 2:59
4TH & 1
OPP 45
0
58.0%
Nik Constantinou punt for 45 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 18TD
6 plays · 80 yds · 2:3749% → 73%
Q3 2:59
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+12
51.2%
Jalen Milroe run for 12 yds to the ALA 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:59
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+2
50.1%
Roydell Williams run for 2 yds to the ALA 34Similar
Q3 2:59
2ND & 8
OWN 34
+46
50.2%
Jalen Milroe pass complete to Jermaine Burton for 46 yds to the TA&M 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:59
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+1
44.9%
Roydell Williams run for 1 yd to the TA&M 19Similar
Q3 2:59
2ND & 9
OPP 19
0
44.9%
Jalen Milroe pass incomplete to Amari NiblackSimilar
Q3 0:22
3RD & 9
OPP 19
+19
26.6%
Jalen Milroe pass complete to Jermaine Burton for 19 yds for a TD (Will Reichard KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 19PUNT
10 plays · 30 yds · 3:1632% → 32%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
31.8%
Max Johnson run for 7 yds to the TA&M 32Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+5
34.1%
Le'Veon Moss run for 5 yds to the TA&M 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
32.9%
Max Johnson run for 3 yds to the TA&M 40Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 40
0
34.6%
Max Johnson pass incomplete to Ainias SmithSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 40
+11
32.3%
Max Johnson pass complete to Le'Veon Moss for 11 yds to the ALA 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+4
36.4%
Rueben Owens run for 4 yds to the ALA 45Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 45
0
36.6%
Max Johnson pass incomplete to Evan StewartSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 45
0
35.9%
Max Johnson pass incomplete to Ainias SmithSimilar
Q4 11:44
4TH & 6
OPP 45
0
31.8%
Nik Constantinou punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Kool-Aid McKinstry at the ALA 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 20FUMBLE
2 plays · 15 yds · 0:3574% → 74%
Q4 11:44
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+4
26.2%
Jase McClellan run for 4 yds to the ALA 18Similar
Q4 11:09
2ND & 6
OWN 18
+11
25.8%
Jalen Milroe pass complete to Jermaine Burton for 11 yds Jermaine Burton fumbled, recovered by TA&M Bryce AndersonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 21MISSED FG
3 plays · 5 yds · 0:0038% → 32%
Q4 11:09
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+2
38.0%
Le'Veon Moss run for 2 yds to the ALA 27Similar
Q4 11:09
2ND & 8
OPP 27
-7
38.0%
Max Johnson sacked by Dallas Turner for a loss of 7 yards to the ALA 34Similar
Q4 11:09
3RD & 15
OPP 34
+10
32.2%
Max Johnson pass complete to Jake Johnson for 10 yds to the ALA 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 2:1480% → 79%
Q4 8:55
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+17
20.2%
Jalen Milroe pass complete to Isaiah Bond for 17 yds to the TA&M 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:55
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+2
17.8%
Roydell Williams run for 2 yds to the TA&M 44Similar
Q4 8:55
2ND & 13
OPP 49
0
18.4%
Jalen Milroe pass incomplete to Isaiah BondSimilar
Q4 8:55
3RD & 23
OWN 41
+1
20.6%
Jase McClellan run for 1 yd to the ALA 42Similar
Q4 6:41
4TH & 22
OWN 42
0
20.7%
Will Reichard punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Ainias Smith at the TA&M 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 23SF
2 plays · -16 yds · 0:4624% → 13%
Q4 6:41
1ST & 10
OWN 16
-9
23.8%
Max Johnson sacked for a loss of 9 yards to the TA&M 7Similar
Q4 5:55
2ND & 19
OWN 7
-7
13.3%
Team SafetySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 24PUNT
5 plays · -6 yds · 2:1187% → 88%
Q4 5:48
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
13.2%
Jase McClellan run for 3 yds to the ALA 35Similar
Q4 5:48
2ND & 7
OWN 35
+1
12.9%
Jase McClellan run for 1 yd to the ALA 36Similar
Q4 5:48
3RD & 6
OWN 36
-10
13.4%
Jalen Milroe sacked by Edgerrin Cooper for a loss of 10 yards to the ALA 26Similar
Q4 3:37
4TH & 16
OWN 26
0
12.0%
Will Reichard punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Ainias Smith at the TA&M 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 25FG
7 plays · 62 yds · 1:0514% → 27%
Q4 3:16
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+39
14.4%
pass complete to for 39 yds for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
19.0%
Max Johnson pass incomplete to Noah ThomasSimilar
Q4 2:58
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
-10
16.4%
No Huddle Moss,Le'Veon rush left for 2 yards gain to the BAMA00 TOUCHDOWN nullified by penalty, clock 02:58 PENALTY A&M Holding (Thomas,Noah) 10 yards from BAMA02 to BAMA12. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 2:58
2ND & GOAL
OPP 12
-3
14.7%
Max Johnson sacked for a loss of 3 yards to the ALA 15Similar
Q4 2:58
3RD & GOAL
OPP 15
+13
11.6%
Max Johnson pass complete to Jake Johnson for 13 yds to the ALA 2Similar
Q4 2:11
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+20
26.5%
Randy Bond 20 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 26DOWNS
11 plays · 13 yds · 2:1191% → 95%
Q4 2:11
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
8.9%
Jase McClellan run for no gain to the TA&M 48Similar
Q4 2:08
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+3
8.3%
Jase McClellan run for 3 yds to the TA&M 45Similar
Q4 2:00
3RD & 7
OPP 45
+8
6.8%
Jalen Milroe pass complete to Jase McClellan for 8 yds to the TA&M 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
6.4%
Jalen Milroe pass incomplete to Malik BensonSimilar
Q4 2:00
2ND & 15
OPP 42
+1
6.6%
Jase McClellan run for 1 yd to the TA&M 41Similar
Q4 2:00
3RD & 14
OPP 41
+6
7.5%
Jase McClellan run for 6 yds to the TA&M 35Similar
Q4 0:00
4TH & 8
OPP 35
0
5.1%
Jalen Milroe pass incomplete to Jermaine BurtonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 0:22
Jalen Milroe pass complete to Jermaine Burton for 19 yds for a TD (Will Reichard KICK)
-18.3
FG · Q4 2:11
Randy Bond 20 Yd Field Goal
+17.5
TD · Q3 7:29
Jalen Milroe pass complete to Jermaine Burton for 15 yds for a TD (Will Reichard KICK)
-15.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com