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CONN

UConn 38 at Rice 31

RICE
2023 · Week 6 · Oct 7, 2023 · Rice Stadium
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Win probability · RICE
modelRICE aheadCONN aheadconfidence bandkey playRICE scoreCONN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDFGFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 5:14 · JT Daniels pass complete to Rawson MacNeill for 8 yds to the CONN 8 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+38.0+19.00−19.0−38.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 107Pregame prior+9.3Home team on offense−17.4Score differential−9.6Garbage-time factor−5.8Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−2.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−3.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 3:48: Ta'Quan Roberson pass complete to Cameron Ross for 41 yds for a TD (Joe McFadden KICK) — CONN win probability +15.2 pts (now 45%) (top driver: CONN has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 9:52: Jelani Stafford 1 Yd Run (Ta'Quan Roberson Pass to Justin Joly for Two-Point Conversion) — CONN win probability +22.2 pts (now 72%) (top driver: CONN has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 2:00: JT Daniels pass complete to Luke McCaffrey for 4 yds for a TD (Tim Horn KICK) — RICE win probability +16.1 pts (now 46%) (top driver: RICE has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 6:56: JT Daniels pass complete to Luke McCaffrey for 30 yds for a TD (Tim Horn KICK) — RICE win probability +28.6 pts (now 49%) (top driver: Game still competitive relative to time left).
  5. TD · Q4 5:06: Ta'Quan Roberson pass complete to Justin Joly for 59 yds for a TD (Joe McFadden KICK) — CONN win probability +20.9 pts (now 90%) (top driver: CONN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
RICE made the numbers' call on 4 of 6CONN made the numbers' call on 2 of 7
  1. Q1 13:22RICE 4th & 11 at RICE 19, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 74.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.8%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    74.9%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:14CONN 4th & 3 at RICE 25, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 25.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    25.9%−0.1
    66% to make
    Punt
    25.4%−0.5
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:09CONN 4th & 1 at CONN 36, down 7
    Close callPunted · 24.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.9%−0.2
    average punt
  4. Q2 11:44CONN 4th & 5 at midfield, down 14
    Close callPunted · 19.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.6%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.4%−0.2
    average punt
  5. Q2 8:11RICE 4th & 5 at RICE 41, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 71.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.5%−0.3
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    71.8%
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:18RICE 4th & 10 at CONN 10, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 57.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.1%−1.8
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    58.0%
    88% to make
    Punt
    51.4%−6.5
    average punt
  7. Q3 13:26CONN 4th & 5 at CONN 30, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.8%−0.7
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.5%
    average punt
  8. Q3 5:14RICE 4th & 5 at CONN 16, down 14
    Close callWent for it · 28.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    27.8%−0.6
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    28.3%
    81% to make
    Punt
    20.9%−7.5
    average punt
  9. Q4 14:02CONN 4th & 12 at RICE 29, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 68.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.5%−1.9
    23% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    68.4%
    58% to make
    Punt
    61.4%−7.0
    average punt
  10. Q4 11:33RICE 4th & 16 at CONN 36, down 10
    Numbers favored field goal by 1.6 ptsWent for it · 22.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    21.9%−1.6
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    23.5%
    42% to make
    Punt
    22.7%−0.7
    average punt
  11. Q4 9:18CONN 4th & 1 at CONN 45, up 10
    Numbers favored go for it by 3.1 ptsPunted · 81.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.3%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.1%−3.1
    average punt
  12. Q4 2:10CONN 4th & 1 at CONN 34, up 10
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.5 ptsPunted · 92.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.8%−1.5
    average punt
  13. Q4 0:40RICE 4th & 2 at CONN 5, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 6.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.1%−1.1
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    9.2%
    92% to make
    Punt
    5.1%−4.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
RICE made the numbers' call on 3 of 4CONN made the numbers' call on 4 of 5
  1. Q1 6:53RICE Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    75.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 0:33RICE Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 10:49CONN Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    23.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    23.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 9:54CONN Touchdown, down 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    28.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    28.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 3:48CONN Touchdown, up 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    41.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    41.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 9:52CONN Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    63.0%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    62.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 2:00RICE Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    33.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    33.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 6:56RICE Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    34.4%−0.5
    97% to make
    Go for two
    34.9%
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 5:06CONN Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.9%−0.9
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
RICEDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · -1 yds · 1:3276% → 76%
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
76.4%
JT Daniels pass complete to Boden Groen for 3 yds to the RICE 23Similar
Q1 14:54
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+1
76.4%
JT Daniels pass complete to Juma Otoviano for 1 yd to the RICE 24Similar
Q1 14:54
3RD & 6
OWN 24
0
76.4%
JT Daniels pass incomplete to Rawson MacNeillSimilar
Q1 14:54
4TH & 6
OWN 24
-5
76.4%
PENALTY Rice False Start 5 yards from Rice24 to Rice19. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 13:22
4TH & 11
OWN 19
0
76.0%
Conor Hunt punt for 23 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 2MISSED FG
6 plays · 17 yds · 3:0824% → 25%
Q1 13:22
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+1
76.0%
Victor Rosa run for 1 yd to the RICE 41Similar
Q1 13:22
2ND & 9
OPP 41
+9
76.0%
Ta'Quan Roberson pass complete to Cameron Ross for 9 yds to the RICE 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:22
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
75.9%
Victor Rosa run for no gain to the RICE 32Similar
Q1 13:22
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+7
75.9%
Ta'Quan Roberson run for 7 yds to the RICE 25Similar
Q1 13:22
3RD & 3
OPP 25
0
76.0%
Camryn Edwards run for no gain to the RICE 25Similar
Q1 10:14
4TH & 3
OPP 25
+43
75.2%
Joe McFadden 43 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 3TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 3:2175% → 78%
Q1 10:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+20
75.4%
JT Daniels pass complete to Dean Connors for 20 yds to the RICE 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:14
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+2
75.7%
Dean Connors run for 2 yds to the RICE 47Similar
Q1 10:14
2ND & 8
OWN 47
+13
75.7%
JT Daniels pass complete to Rawson MacNeill for 13 yds to the CONN 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:14
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+5
75.8%
JT Daniels pass complete to Rawson MacNeill for 5 yds to the CONN 35Similar
Q1 10:14
2ND & 5
OPP 35
+11
75.9%
Juma Otoviano run for 11 yds to the CONN 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:53
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+24
77.5%
Juma Otoviano run for 24 yds for a TD (Tim Horn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 4PUNT
6 plays · 9 yds · 1:3923% → 23%
Q1 6:48
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
76.7%
Camryn Edwards run for no gain to the CONN 27Similar
Q1 6:48
2ND & 10
OWN 27
0
76.8%
Ta'Quan Roberson pass incomplete to Brett BuckmanSimilar
Q1 6:48
3RD & 10
OWN 27
-5
77.0%
PENALTY UCONN False Start (Buckman,Brett) 5 yards from UCONN27 to UCONN22. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 6:48
3RD & 15
OWN 22
+14
77.1%
Ta'Quan Roberson pass complete to Geordon Porter for 14 yds to the CONN 36Similar
Q1 5:09
4TH & 1
OWN 36
0
76.9%
George Caratan punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Sean Fresch at the RICE 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 5TD
9 plays · 78 yds · 4:3677% → 82%
Q1 5:09
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+12
77.0%
Luke McCaffrey run for 12 yds to the RICE 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:09
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+13
77.1%
JT Daniels pass complete to Luke McCaffrey for 13 yds to the RICE 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:09
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+6
77.6%
JT Daniels pass complete to Dean Connors for 6 yds to the CONN 47Similar
Q1 5:09
2ND & 4
OPP 47
+25
77.6%
JT Daniels pass complete to Luke McCaffrey for 25 yds to the CONN 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:09
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+8
77.7%
Ari Broussard run for 8 yds to the CONN 14Similar
Q1 5:09
2ND & 2
OPP 14
0
77.7%
JT Daniels pass incomplete to Rawson MacNeillSimilar
Q1 5:09
3RD & 2
OPP 14
+5
77.4%
Broussard,Ari rush middle for 3 yards gain to the UCONN11 (Faumuina-Brown,Tui; Mitchell,Jackson) PENALTY UCONN Offside (McCarthy,Collin) 5 yards from UCONN14 to UCONN09, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 5:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+2
77.7%
JT Daniels pass complete to Ari Broussard for 2 yds to the CONN 7Similar
Q1 0:33
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
82.3%
Juma Otoviano run for 7 yds for a TD (Tim Horn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 6PUNT
8 plays · 25 yds · 3:1619% → 19%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
80.6%
Ta'Quan Roberson pass complete to Victor Rosa for 8 yds to the CONN 33Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+12
80.1%
Ta'Quan Roberson pass complete to Justin Joly for 12 yds to the CONN 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+4
80.2%
Victor Rosa run for 4 yds to the CONN 49Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 49
+4
80.0%
Victor Rosa run for 4 yds to the RICE 47Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 47
-10
80.0%
No Huddle Rosa,Victor rush right for 1 yard gain to the Rice46 (Williams,Marcus; Morrison,Myron) PENALTY UCONN Holding (Harris,Nick) 10 yards from Rice47 to UCONN43. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 12
OWN 43
+7
80.6%
Ta'Quan Roberson pass complete to Kevens Clercius for 7 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 11:44
4TH & 5
50
0
81.3%
George Caratan punt for 36 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 7FUMBLE
2 plays · -12 yds · 0:1183% → 83%
Q2 11:44
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
82.8%
JT Daniels pass incomplete to Rawson MacNeillSimilar
Q2 11:33
2ND & 10
OWN 14
-12
82.8%
JT Daniels sacked by Pryce Yates for a loss of 12 yards to the RICE 2 JT Daniels fumbled, recovered by CONN Jelani Stafford , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 8TD
2 plays · 2 yds · 0:4420% → 24%
Q2 11:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
79.9%
Victor Rosa run for 1 yd to the RICE 1Similar
Q2 10:49
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
75.9%
Jelani Stafford run for 1 yd for a TD (Joe McFadden PAT BLOCKED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 9FUMBLE RETURN TD
3 plays · -1 yds · 0:4779% → 74%
Q2 10:41
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+6
78.7%
JT Daniels pass complete to Boden Groen for 6 yds to the CONN 43Similar
Q2 9:54
2ND & 4
OPP 43
+50
74.4%
Jackson Mitchell 50 Yd Fumble Return (Joe McFadden Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:3673% → 72%
Q2 9:47
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
73.2%
JT Daniels pass incomplete to Juma OtovianoSimilar
Q2 9:47
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+2
73.0%
JT Daniels pass complete to Luke McCaffrey for 2 yds to the RICE 34Similar
Q2 9:47
3RD & 12
OWN 34
+7
72.0%
JT Daniels pass complete to Rawson MacNeill for 7 yds to the RICE 41Similar
Q2 8:11
4TH & 5
OWN 41
0
72.4%
Conor Hunt punt for 26 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the CONN 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 11TD
8 plays · 67 yds · 4:2328% → 45%
Q2 8:11
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+4
71.9%
Ta'Quan Roberson pass complete to Justin Joly for 4 yds to the CONN 37Similar
Q2 8:11
2ND & 6
OWN 37
+1
71.4%
Camryn Edwards run for 1 yd to the CONN 38Similar
Q2 8:11
3RD & 5
OWN 38
+9
71.4%
Ta'Quan Roberson pass complete to Justin Joly for 9 yds to the CONN 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:11
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+1
70.6%
Ta'Quan Roberson pass complete to Justin Joly for 1 yd to the CONN 46Similar
Q2 8:11
2ND & 11
OWN 46
+8
71.4%
Victor Rosa run for 8 yds to the RICE 46Similar
Q2 8:11
3RD & 3
OPP 46
+5
70.7%
Victor Rosa run for 5 yds to the RICE 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:48
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+41
55.5%
Ta'Quan Roberson pass complete to Cameron Ross for 41 yds for a TD (Joe McFadden KICK)Similar
Q2 3:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-5
55.1%
PENALTY UCONN False Start (Antolovich,Danny) 5 yards from Rice03 to Rice08. NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 12MISSED FG
19 plays · 57 yds · 3:3061% → 58%
Q2 3:48
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+3
60.7%
Juma Otoviano run for 3 yds to the RICE 36Similar
Q2 3:02
2ND & 7
OWN 36
+4
62.2%
Ari Broussard run for 4 yds to the RICE 40Similar
Q2 3:02
3RD & 3
OWN 40
+12
62.0%
JT Daniels pass complete to Ari Broussard for 12 yds to the CONN 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:02
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+6
63.5%
Juma Otoviano run for 6 yds to the CONN 42Similar
Q2 3:02
2ND & 4
OPP 42
+9
63.6%
JT Daniels pass complete to Dean Connors for 9 yds to the CONN 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:02
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+3
64.0%
JT Daniels run for 3 yds to the CONN 30Similar
Q2 1:02
2ND & 7
OPP 30
+12
64.0%
JT Daniels pass complete to Kobie Campbell for 12 yds to the CONN 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:02
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+8
64.0%
Shotgun Daniels,JT pass incomplete short left to MacNeill,Rawson, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY UCONN Pass Interference (Bin-Wahad,Mumu) 8 yards from UCONN18 to UCONN10, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+7
64.0%
JT Daniels pass complete to Juma Otoviano for 7 yds to the CONN 3Similar
Q2 0:40
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
-5
62.6%
PENALTY Rice False Start (Kropp,Weston) 5 yards from UCONN03 to UCONN08. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:40
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
-2
62.6%
JT Daniels sacked by Eric Watts for a loss of 2 yards to the CONN 10 JT Daniels fumbled, recovered by CONN Jack Bradley , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q2 0:30
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
0
59.1%
Rice Penalty, Ineligible Downfield on Pass (Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 0:18
4TH & GOAL
OPP 10
+29
57.9%
Tim Horn 29 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 13END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0046% → 46%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
54.3%
T. Roberson takes a kneeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:3446% → 45%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
54.5%
Camryn Edwards run for 5 yds to the CONN 30Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
53.7%
Camryn Edwards run for no gain to the CONN 30Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
54.5%
Ta'Quan Roberson pass incomplete to Brett BuckmanSimilar
Q3 13:26
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
54.9%
George Caratan punt for 36 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 15TD
9 plays · 41 yds · 3:3450% → 72%
Q3 13:26
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
50.5%
Ta'Quan Roberson pass incomplete to Cameron RossSimilar
Q3 13:26
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+12
50.5%
Victor Rosa run for 12 yds to the RICE 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:26
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+5
50.0%
Ta'Quan Roberson pass complete to Cameron Ross for 5 yds to the RICE 24Similar
Q3 13:26
2ND & 5
OPP 24
+11
50.0%
Victor Rosa run for 11 yds to the RICE 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:26
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+2
50.0%
Victor Rosa run for 2 yds to the RICE 11Similar
Q3 13:26
2ND & 8
OPP 11
+10
50.0%
Ta'Quan Roberson pass complete to Geordon Porter for 10 yds to the RICE 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
27.8%
Jelani Stafford 1 Yd Run (Ta'Quan Roberson Pass to Justin Joly for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
Q3 9:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
28.0%
PENALTY Rice Offside (Green,Demone) 2 yards from Rice03 to Rice01. NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 16TD
15 plays · 80 yds · 7:4533% → 46%
Q3 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
33.0%
JT Daniels pass complete to Braylen Walker for 3 yds to the RICE 23Similar
Q3 9:45
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+7
32.9%
JT Daniels pass complete to Braylen Walker for 7 yds to the RICE 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+7
33.4%
Dean Connors run for 7 yds to the RICE 37Similar
Q3 9:45
2ND & 3
OWN 37
+4
34.3%
Dean Connors run for 4 yds to the RICE 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
35.5%
JT Daniels pass incomplete to Rawson MacNeillSimilar
Q3 9:45
2ND & 10
OWN 41
0
34.7%
Juma Otoviano run for no gain to the RICE 41Similar
Q3 9:45
3RD & 10
OWN 41
+38
34.1%
JT Daniels pass complete to Rawson MacNeill for 38 yds to the CONN 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:45
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+1
37.7%
Dean Connors run for 1 yd to the CONN 20Similar
Q3 5:14
2ND & 9
OPP 20
0
29.7%
JT Daniels pass incomplete to Rawson MacNeillSimilar
Q3 5:14
3RD & 9
OPP 20
+4
28.4%
Dean Connors run for 4 yds to the CONN 16Similar
Q3 5:14
4TH & 5
OPP 16
+8
28.2%
JT Daniels pass complete to Rawson MacNeill for 8 yds to the CONN 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+2
29.7%
JT Daniels pass complete to Juma Otoviano for 2 yds to the CONN 6Similar
Q3 5:14
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+2
29.7%
Ari Broussard run for 2 yds to the CONN 4Similar
Q3 2:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
45.8%
JT Daniels pass complete to Luke McCaffrey for 4 yds for a TD (Tim Horn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 17FG
8 plays · 46 yds · 2:5864% → 71%
Q3 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+20
36.2%
Victor Rosa run for 20 yds to the CONN 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
33.3%
Victor Rosa run for 3 yds to the CONN 48Similar
Q3 2:00
2ND & 7
OWN 48
+25
33.3%
Ta'Quan Roberson pass complete to Kevens Clercius for 25 yds to the RICE 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
29.0%
Victor Rosa run for no gain to the RICE 27Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+2
29.5%
Victor Rosa run for 2 yds to the RICE 29Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 12
OPP 29
0
30.4%
Ta'Quan Roberson pass incomplete to Cameron RossSimilar
Q4 14:02
4TH & 12
OPP 29
+47
29.3%
Joe McFadden 47 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 18DOWNS
9 plays · 39 yds · 2:2927% → 22%
Q4 14:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
26.9%
Quinton Jackson run for 11 yds to the RICE 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:02
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+13
28.0%
JT Daniels pass complete to Luke McCaffrey for 13 yds to the RICE 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:02
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+6
30.0%
JT Daniels pass complete to Juma Otoviano for 6 yds Juma Otoviano fumbled, recovered by CONN Juma Otoviano for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:02
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+1
32.7%
Dean Connors run for 1 yd to the CONN 31Similar
Q4 14:02
2ND & 11
OPP 31
0
32.3%
JT Daniels pass incomplete to Luke McCaffreySimilar
Q4 14:02
3RD & 11
OPP 31
0
29.8%
JT Daniels pass incomplete to Rawson MacNeillSimilar
Q4 14:02
4TH & 11
OPP 31
-5
27.3%
PENALTY Rice Delay Of Game 5 yards from UCONN31 to UCONN36. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 11:33
4TH & 16
OPP 36
0
22.4%
JT Daniels pass incomplete to Boden GroenSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 2:1578% → 83%
Q4 11:33
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
21.6%
Camryn Edwards run for no gain to the CONN 36Similar
Q4 11:33
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+2
21.9%
Camryn Edwards run for 2 yds to the CONN 38Similar
Q4 11:33
3RD & 8
OWN 38
+7
21.8%
Ta'Quan Roberson pass complete to Justin Joly for 7 yds to the CONN 45Similar
Q4 9:18
4TH & 1
OWN 45
0
17.0%
George Caratan punt for 55 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 20TD
5 plays · 80 yds · 2:2218% → 49%
Q4 9:18
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
17.7%
JT Daniels pass incomplete to Rawson MacNeillSimilar
Q4 9:18
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+17
17.4%
JT Daniels pass complete to Luke McCaffrey for 17 yds to the RICE 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:18
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+8
19.0%
JT Daniels pass complete to Dean Connors for 8 yds to the RICE 45Similar
Q4 9:18
2ND & 2
OWN 45
+25
20.7%
Dean Connors run for 25 yds to the CONN 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:56
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+30
49.4%
JT Daniels pass complete to Luke McCaffrey for 30 yds for a TD (Tim Horn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 21TD
5 plays · 76 yds · 1:4366% → 89%
Q4 6:49
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+6
33.6%
Ta'Quan Roberson pass complete to Justin Joly for 6 yds to the CONN 30Similar
Q4 6:49
2ND & 4
OWN 30
+11
31.3%
Victor Rosa run for 11 yds to the CONN 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:06
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+59
10.4%
Ta'Quan Roberson pass complete to Justin Joly for 59 yds for a TD (Joe McFadden KICK)Similar
Q4 5:06
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+15
11.2%
PENALTY Rice UNR: Unnecessary Roughness (Connell,Colby) 15 yards from UCONN35 to UCONN50. NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 22INT
5 plays · 27 yds · 0:5011% → 13%
Q4 5:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
10.7%
JT Daniels pass complete to Boden Groen for 14 yds to the RICE 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:06
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+13
12.5%
JT Daniels pass complete to Dean Connors for 13 yds to the CONN 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:06
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
13.8%
JT Daniels pass incomplete to Boden GroenSimilar
Q4 4:16
2ND & 10
OPP 48
0
12.8%
JT Daniels pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 23PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 2:0689% → 93%
Q4 4:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
11.2%
Victor Rosa run for 5 yds to the CONN 30Similar
Q4 4:16
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+3
10.7%
Victor Rosa run for 3 yds to the CONN 33Similar
Q4 4:16
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+1
11.2%
Victor Rosa run for 1 yd to the CONN 34Similar
Q4 2:10
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
6.6%
George Caratan punt for 31 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 24FG
9 plays · 60 yds · 1:306% → 18%
Q4 2:10
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+20
5.6%
JT Daniels pass complete to Rawson MacNeill for 20 yds to the CONN 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:10
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+9
6.6%
JT Daniels pass complete to Dean Connors for 9 yds to the CONN 36Similar
Q4 2:10
2ND & 1
OPP 36
0
6.9%
JT Daniels pass incomplete to Boden GroenSimilar
Q4 2:10
3RD & 1
OPP 36
+23
7.1%
JT Daniels pass complete to Dean Connors for 23 yds to the CONN 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:10
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
8.2%
JT Daniels pass incomplete to Rawson MacNeillSimilar
Q4 2:10
2ND & 10
OPP 13
+8
8.2%
JT Daniels pass complete to Quinton Jackson for 8 yds to the CONN 5Similar
Q4 2:10
3RD & 2
OPP 5
0
7.6%
JT Daniels pass incomplete to Braylen WalkerSimilar
Q4 0:40
4TH & 2
OPP 5
+23
18.1%
Tim Horn 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 25END OF GAME
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-1
4.0%
D. Houston takes a kneeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 6:56
JT Daniels pass complete to Luke McCaffrey for 30 yds for a TD (Tim Horn KICK)
+28.6
TD · Q3 9:52
Jelani Stafford 1 Yd Run (Ta'Quan Roberson Pass to Justin Joly for Two-Point Conversion)
-22.2
TD · Q4 5:06
Ta'Quan Roberson pass complete to Justin Joly for 59 yds for a TD (Joe McFadden KICK)
-20.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com