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MD

Maryland 17 at Ohio State 37

OSU
2023 · Week 6 · Oct 7, 2023 · Ohio Stadium
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Win probability · OSU
modelOSU aheadMD aheadconfidence bandkey playOSU scoreMD score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDFGTDTDFGTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:00 · Kneel down by Ohio State at OSU37 for loss of 2 yards.
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+39.0+19.50−19.5−39.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 9:41: Josh Proctor 24 Yd Interception Return (Jayden Fielding Kick) — OSU win probability +4.8 pts (now 80%) (top driver: MD has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 11:03: Taulia Tagovailoa run for 9 yds for a TD (Jack Howes KICK) — MD win probability +16.9 pts (now 46%) (top driver: MD has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 8:56: Chip Trayanum run for 4 yds for a TD (Jayden Fielding KICK) — OSU win probability +14.0 pts (now 78%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 10:16: Kyle McCord pass complete to Cade Stover for 44 yds for a TD (Jayden Fielding KICK) — OSU win probability +17.0 pts (now 90%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 7:01: Kyle McCord pass complete to Marvin Harrison Jr. for 17 yds for a TD (Jayden Fielding KICK) — OSU win probability +5.1 pts (now 99%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
OSU made the numbers' call on 8 of 10MD made the numbers' call on 8 of 9
  1. Q1 14:09OSU 4th & 2 at OSU 33, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 87.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    87.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    87.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:05OSU 4th & 13 at MD 48, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 85.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.0%−0.1
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.1%
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:53MD 4th & 1 at OSU 29, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 17.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    17.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    17.4%−0.4
    58% to make
    Punt
    16.5%−1.3
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:03OSU 4th & 24 at OSU 15, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 81.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.2%−1.1
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.3%
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:56MD 4th & 3 at OSU 3, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 23.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.4%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    22.9%−0.5
    93% to make
    Punt
    20.3%−3.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 10:57OSU 4th & 10 at OSU 38, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 72.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.4%−0.4
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.8%
    average punt
  7. Q2 8:16MD 4th & 10 at MD 37, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.0%−0.7
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.7%
    average punt
  8. Q2 8:16MD 4th & 10 at MD 37, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.0%−0.7
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.7%
    average punt
  9. Q2 5:40OSU 4th & 1 at OSU 37, down 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.1 ptsPunted · 75.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    74.5%−1.1
    average punt
  10. Q2 5:40OSU 4th & 1 at OSU 37, down 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.1 ptsPunted · 75.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    74.5%−1.1
    average punt
  11. Q2 4:15MD 4th & 26 at MD 35, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.5%−2.4
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.9%
    average punt
  12. Q2 1:32OSU 4th & 15 at MD 18, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 71.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.8%−1.7
    15% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    71.6%
    79% to make
    Punt
    66.5%−5.1
    average punt
  13. Q3 6:08OSU 4th & 1 at MD 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 73.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    73.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    70.3%−3.1
    58% to make
    Punt
    63.8%−9.6
    average punt
  14. Q3 2:19OSU 4th & 5 at MD 5, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 70.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.4%−0.2
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    69.6%
    92% to make
    Punt
    58.9%−10.7
    average punt
  15. Q4 14:53MD 4th & 9 at MD 36, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.2%−1.7
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.9%
    average punt
  16. Q4 5:32MD 4th & 12 at MD 23, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.8%−0.4
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.3%
    average punt
  17. Q4 5:32MD 4th & 12 at MD 23, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.8%−0.4
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.3%
    average punt
  18. Q4 2:10OSU 4th & 8 at MD 23, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 98.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.0%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.2%
    70% to make
    Punt
    97.2%−0.9
    average punt
  19. Q4 0:54MD 4th & 5 at MD 30, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.5%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
OSU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4MD made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 12:41MD Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    13.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    13.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 9:41OSU Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 11:03MD Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    39.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    39.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 8:56OSU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    69.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 10:16OSU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 7:01OSU Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.6%−0.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
OSUDrive 1DOWNS
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:5189% → 89%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
88.7%
Kyle McCord pass incomplete to Marvin Harrison Jr.Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+8
88.7%
Chip Trayanum run for 8 yds to the OSU 33Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 33
0
88.7%
Kyle McCord pass incomplete to Marvin Harrison Jr.Similar
Q1 14:09
4TH & 2
OWN 33
+3
88.5%
Cody Simon run for loss of 3 yds to the OSU 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 2TD
4 plays · 30 yds · 1:2812% → 12%
Q1 14:09
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
88.4%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Roman Hemby for no gain to the OSU 30Similar
Q1 14:09
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+15
88.4%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Corey Dyches for 15 yds to the OSU 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:09
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
88.4%
Taulia Tagovailoa run for no gain to the OSU 15Similar
Q1 12:41
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+15
87.6%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Kaden Prather for 15 yds for a TD (Jack Howes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 3PUNT
10 plays · 27 yds · 3:3688% → 86%
Q1 12:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
87.7%
Chip Trayanum run for 5 yds to the OSU 30Similar
Q1 12:41
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+13
87.7%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Emeka Egbuka for 13 yds to the OSU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:41
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+1
87.8%
Chip Trayanum run for 1 yd to the OSU 44Similar
Q1 12:41
2ND & 9
OWN 44
+7
87.8%
Chip Trayanum run for 7 yds to the MD 49Similar
Q1 12:41
3RD & 2
OPP 49
+4
87.8%
Chip Trayanum run for 4 yds to the MD 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:41
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
87.8%
Kyle McCord pass incomplete to Chip TrayanumSimilar
Q1 12:41
2ND & 10
OPP 45
0
87.8%
Kyle McCord pass incomplete to Emeka EgbukaSimilar
Q1 12:41
3RD & 10
OPP 45
-3
87.7%
Kyle McCord sacked by Kellan Wyatt for a loss of 3 yards to the MD 48Similar
Q1 9:05
4TH & 13
OPP 48
0
85.8%
Jesse Mirco punt for 33 yds Muffed by Jeshauen Jones and recovered by Maryland Dante Tader Jr. at the MD 21.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 4DOWNS
11 plays · 50 yds · 4:1214% → 17%
Q1 9:05
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
85.9%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass incomplete to Tyrese ChambersSimilar
Q1 9:05
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+8
85.9%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Tai Felton for 8 yds to the MD 29Similar
Q1 9:05
3RD & 2
OWN 29
+6
85.8%
Antwain Littleton II run for 6 yds to the MD 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:39
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
84.9%
Roman Hemby run for 3 yds to the MD 38Similar
Q1 7:39
2ND & 7
OWN 38
0
84.8%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass incomplete to Tai FeltonSimilar
Q1 7:39
3RD & 7
OWN 38
+24
84.9%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Kaden Prather for 24 yds to the OSU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:39
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+2
84.7%
Taulia Tagovailoa run for 2 yds to the OSU 36Similar
Q1 7:39
2ND & 8
OPP 36
+2
84.7%
Antwain Littleton II run for 2 yds to the OSU 34Similar
Q1 7:39
3RD & 6
OPP 34
+5
84.7%
Antwain Littleton II run for 5 yds to the OSU 29Similar
Q1 4:53
4TH & 1
OPP 29
0
83.2%
Billy Edwards Jr. run for no gain to the OSU 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · -14 yds · 1:5084% → 82%
Q1 4:53
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+3
83.7%
Emeka Egbuka run for 3 yds to the OSU 32Similar
Q1 4:53
2ND & 7
OWN 32
-10
83.7%
Ohio State Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the OSU 23Similar
Q1 4:53
2ND & 16
OWN 23
0
83.6%
Kyle McCord pass incomplete to Chip TrayanumSimilar
Q1 4:53
3RD & 16
OWN 23
-8
83.4%
Kyle McCord sacked by Donnell Brown for a loss of 8 yards to the OSU 15Similar
Q1 3:03
4TH & 24
OWN 15
0
82.1%
Jesse Mirco punt for 48 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 6FG
12 plays · 60 yds · 5:0718% → 23%
Q1 3:03
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
82.0%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass incomplete to Preston HowardSimilar
Q1 3:03
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+9
82.1%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Preston Howard for 9 yds to the MD 46Similar
Q1 3:03
3RD & 1
OWN 46
+4
81.8%
Antwain Littleton II run for 4 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:03
1ST & 10
50
+8
81.7%
Antwain Littleton II run for 8 yds to the OSU 42Similar
Q1 3:03
2ND & 2
OPP 42
+2
81.6%
Antwain Littleton II run for 2 yds to the OSU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:03
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
81.6%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass incomplete to Kaden PratherSimilar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+8
79.1%
Roman Hemby run for 8 yds to the OSU 32Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 32
+26
79.2%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Jeshaun Jones for 26 yds to the OSU 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+4
79.0%
Antwain Littleton II run for 4 yds to the OSU 2Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
0
79.0%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass incomplete to Preston HowardSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
79.2%
Taulia Tagovailoa run for 1 yd to the OSU 3Similar
Q2 12:56
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+21
76.8%
Jack Howes 21 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 7PUNT
7 plays · 13 yds · 1:5977% → 74%
Q2 12:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
76.8%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Marvin Harrison Jr. for 13 yds to the OSU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:56
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+1
77.3%
Miyan Williams run for 1 yd to the OSU 39Similar
Q2 12:56
2ND & 9
OWN 39
-5
77.3%
PENALTY OSU False Start (Jones,Matthew) 5 yards from OSU39 to OSU34. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 12:56
2ND & 14
OWN 34
+4
76.7%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Miyan Williams for 4 yds to the OSU 38Similar
Q2 12:56
3RD & 10
OWN 38
0
76.8%
Kyle McCord pass incomplete to Marvin Harrison Jr.Similar
Q2 10:57
4TH & 10
OWN 38
0
74.2%
Jesse Mirco punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Jeshaun Jones at the MD 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 8INT TD
3 plays · 5 yds · 1:1625% → 20%
Q2 10:57
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+3
75.2%
Colby McDonald run for 3 yds to the MD 17Similar
Q2 10:57
2ND & 7
OWN 17
+2
75.1%
Colby McDonald run for 2 yds to the MD 19Similar
Q2 9:41
3RD & 5
OWN 19
-24
79.9%
Josh Proctor 24 Yd Interception Return (Jayden Fielding Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 9PUNT
8 plays · 12 yds · 1:2521% → 21%
Q2 9:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
79.5%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass incomplete to Tai FeltonSimilar
Q2 9:41
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+12
79.5%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Corey Dyches for 12 yds to the MD 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:41
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
79.0%
Roman Hemby run for no gain to the MD 37Similar
Q2 9:41
2ND & 10
OWN 37
0
79.2%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass incomplete to Roman HembySimilar
Q2 9:41
3RD & 10
OWN 37
0
79.7%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass incomplete to Antwain Littleton IISimilar
Q2 8:16
4TH & 10
OWN 37
0
79.3%
Colton Spangler punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Emeka Egbuka at the OSU 23Similar
Q2 8:16
4TH & 10
OWN 37
0
79.3%
Colton Spangler punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Emeka Egbuka at the OSU 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 10PUNT
7 plays · 24 yds · 2:3679% → 77%
Q2 8:16
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+3
79.1%
Chip Trayanum run for 3 yds to the OSU 16Similar
Q2 8:16
2ND & 7
OWN 16
+12
79.1%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Marvin Harrison Jr. for 12 yds to the OSU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:16
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+3
79.4%
Chip Trayanum run for 3 yds to the OSU 31Similar
Q2 8:16
2ND & 7
OWN 31
0
79.4%
Kyle McCord pass incomplete to Marvin Harrison Jr.Similar
Q2 8:16
3RD & 7
OWN 31
+6
79.0%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Marvin Harrison Jr. for 6 yds to the OSU 37Similar
Q2 5:40
4TH & 1
OWN 37
+26
76.8%
Jesse Mirco punt for 43 yds , Jeshaun Jones returns for 26 yds to the MD 46Similar
Q2 5:40
4TH & 1
OWN 37
+26
76.8%
Jesse Mirco punt for 43 yds , Jeshaun Jones returns for 26 yds to the OSU 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · -16 yds · 1:2525% → 23%
Q2 5:40
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+1
74.6%
Roman Hemby run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 5:40
2ND & 11
50
0
75.0%
Maryland Penalty, Offensive Holding (Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 5:40
3RD & 21
OWN 40
-5
76.3%
PENALTY UMD Delay Of Game 5 yards from UMD40 to UMD35. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 5:40
3RD & 26
OWN 35
0
77.0%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass incomplete to Kaden PratherSimilar
Q2 4:15
4TH & 26
OWN 35
0
76.6%
Colton Spangler punt for 53 yds , Emeka Egbuka returns for no gain to the OSU 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 12FG
7 plays · 72 yds · 2:4376% → 78%
Q2 4:15
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+58
75.9%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Marvin Harrison Jr. for 58 yds to the MD 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:15
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+19
79.2%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Marvin Harrison Jr. for 19 yds to the MD 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:15
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+6
79.1%
Chip Trayanum run for 6 yds to the MD 7Similar
Q2 4:15
2ND & 4
OPP 7
+1
79.1%
Chip Trayanum run for 1 yd to the MD 8Similar
Q2 1:40
3RD & 5
OPP 8
0
76.8%
Ohio State Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Kyle McCord) to the MD 18Similar
Q2 1:32
4TH & 15
OPP 18
+36
78.3%
Jayden Fielding 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 13END OF HALF
14 plays · 61 yds · 1:3224% → 30%
Q2 1:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
76.2%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Corey Dyches for 6 yds to the MD 31Similar
Q2 1:32
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
75.4%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass incomplete to Tai FeltonSimilar
Q2 1:32
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+6
76.3%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Jeshaun Jones for 6 yds to the MD 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:32
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+15
75.5%
No Huddle-Shotgun Tagovailoa,Taulia pass incomplete deep right to Felton,Tai PENALTY OSU Pass Interference (Burke,Denzel) 15 yards from UMD37 to OSU48, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:32
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+5
73.1%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Corey Dyches for 5 yds to the OSU 43Similar
Q2 1:32
2ND & 5
OPP 43
0
73.0%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass incomplete to Jeshaun JonesSimilar
Q2 0:37
3RD & 5
OPP 43
+10
72.0%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Tai Felton for 10 yds to the OSU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:37
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
70.8%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass incomplete to Tai FeltonSimilar
Q2 0:37
2ND & 10
OPP 33
0
70.8%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass incomplete to Jeshaun JonesSimilar
Q2 0:16
3RD & 10
OPP 33
+4
72.2%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Jeshaun Jones for 4 yds to the OSU 29 for a 1ST down Ohio State Penalty, Roughing The Passer (Michael Hall Jr.) to the OSU 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+4
70.3%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Antwain Littleton II for 4 yds to the OSU 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 14TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 3:5726% → 46%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
74.5%
Roman Hemby run for 17 yds to the MD 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
72.8%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass incomplete to Corey DychesSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+12
73.3%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Tai Felton for 12 yds to the OSU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+3
72.0%
Roman Hemby run for 3 yds to the OSU 43Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 43
+6
72.0%
Taulia Tagovailoa run for 6 yds to the OSU 37Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 37
+4
72.0%
Antwain Littleton II run for 4 yds to the OSU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+23
71.3%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Jeshaun Jones for 23 yds to the OSU 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+1
71.1%
Antwain Littleton II run for 1 yd to the OSU 9Similar
Q3 11:03
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
54.2%
Taulia Tagovailoa run for 9 yds for a TD (Jack Howes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 15TD
6 plays · 76 yds · 2:0160% → 78%
Q3 10:57
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+15
59.6%
No Huddle-Shotgun McCord,Kyle pass incomplete deep right to Harrison Jr.,Marvin broken up by Coley Jr.,Corey PENALTY UMD Pass Interference (Coley Jr.,Corey) 15 yards from OSU24 to OSU39, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 10:57
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+1
60.9%
Chip Trayanum run for 1 yd to the OSU 40Similar
Q3 10:57
2ND & 9
OWN 40
+19
60.8%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Emeka Egbuka for 19 yds to the MD 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:57
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+37
63.5%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Julian Fleming for 37 yds to the MD 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
77.5%
Chip Trayanum run for 4 yds for a TD (Jayden Fielding KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 16INT
8 plays · 25 yds · 2:4329% → 32%
Q3 8:51
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+10
71.0%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Kaden Prather for 10 yds to the MD 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:51
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+3
70.7%
Roman Hemby run for 3 yds to the MD 31Similar
Q3 8:51
2ND & 7
OWN 31
+5
70.4%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Tyrese Chambers for 5 yds to the MD 36Similar
Q3 8:51
3RD & 2
OWN 36
+7
69.9%
Taulia Tagovailoa run for 7 yds to the MD 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:51
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
68.6%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass incomplete to Corey DychesSimilar
Q3 8:51
2ND & 10
OWN 43
0
69.4%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass incomplete to Roman HembySimilar
Q3 6:08
3RD & 10
OWN 43
0
68.5%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 17FG
10 plays · 33 yds · 3:4976% → 76%
Q3 6:08
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+6
75.6%
Chip Trayanum run for 6 yds to the MD 32Similar
Q3 6:08
2ND & 4
OPP 32
0
76.4%
Chip Trayanum run for no gain to the MD 32Similar
Q3 6:08
3RD & 4
OPP 32
+3
75.2%
Chip Trayanum run for 3 yds to the MD 29Similar
Q3 6:08
4TH & 1
OPP 29
+1
73.8%
Chip Trayanum run for 1 yd to the MD 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:08
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+22
76.4%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Cade Stover for 22 yds to the MD 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
76.4%
Kyle McCord pass incomplete to Marvin Harrison Jr.Similar
Q3 3:01
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+1
74.4%
Chip Trayanum run for 1 yd to the MD 5Similar
Q3 3:01
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
73.1%
Kyle McCord pass incomplete to Cade StoverSimilar
Q3 2:19
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+24
76.1%
Jayden Fielding 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 18PUNT
6 plays · 11 yds · 2:2625% → 24%
Q3 2:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
75.2%
Taulia Tagovailoa run for 10 yds to the MD 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:19
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
74.0%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Preston Howard for 1 yd to the MD 34Similar
Q3 2:19
2ND & 11
OWN 34
+2
75.1%
Colby McDonald run for 2 yds to the MD 36Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 9
OWN 36
0
74.3%
Taulia Tagovailoa run for no gain to the MD 36Similar
Q4 14:53
4TH & 9
OWN 36
0
75.7%
Colton Spangler punt for 39 yds , Emeka Egbuka returns for no gain to the OSU 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 19TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 4:3774% → 90%
Q4 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
73.9%
Chip Trayanum run for 2 yds to the OSU 27Similar
Q4 14:53
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+8
73.9%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Emeka Egbuka for 8 yds to the OSU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+12
74.4%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Xavier Johnson for 12 yds to the OSU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+2
77.1%
Chip Trayanum run for 2 yds to the OSU 49Similar
Q4 14:53
2ND & 8
OWN 49
+8
76.9%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Julian Fleming for 8 yds to the MD 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+18
77.8%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Chip Trayanum for 18 yds to the OSU 39Similar
Q4 14:53
2ND & 28
OWN 39
-5
74.5%
PENALTY OSU Delay Of Game 5 yards from OSU39 to OSU34. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 14:53
2ND & 33
OWN 34
+22
73.5%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Marvin Harrison Jr. for 37 yds to the MD 29 for a 1ST down Ohio State Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the MD 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:16
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+44
90.4%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Cade Stover for 44 yds for a TD (Jayden Fielding KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 20Uncategorized
5 plays · -8 yds · 1:4310% → 9%
Q4 10:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
90.3%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Corey Dyches for 3 yds to the MD 28Similar
Q4 10:16
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+2
89.4%
Roman Hemby run for 2 yds to the MD 30Similar
Q4 10:16
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+2
89.8%
Antwain Littleton II run for 2 yds to the MD 32Similar
Q4 8:33
4TH & 3
OWN 32
-15
90.8%
Maryland Penalty, UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (-15 Yards) to the MD 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 21TD
5 plays · 17 yds · 1:3292% → 99%
Q4 8:33
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+1
92.4%
Chip Trayanum run for 1 yd to the MD 16Similar
Q4 7:52
2ND & 9
OPP 16
+4
93.7%
Chip Trayanum run for 4 yds to the MD 12Similar
Q4 7:06
3RD & 5
OPP 12
-5
93.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun McCord,Kyle pass complete short middle to Harrison Jr.,Marvin for 12 yards to the UMD00 TOUCHDOWN nullified by penalty, clock 07:06 PENALTY OSU Illegal Motion (Johnson,Xavier) 5 yards from UMD12 to UMD17. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 7:01
3RD & 10
OPP 17
+17
99.0%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Marvin Harrison Jr. for 17 yds for a TD (Jayden Fielding KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 22PUNT
6 plays · -2 yds · 1:293% → 2%
Q4 7:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
97.1%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass incomplete to Kaden PratherSimilar
Q4 7:01
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-8
97.1%
Taulia Tagovailoa sacked for a loss of 8 yards to the MD 17Similar
Q4 7:01
3RD & 18
OWN 17
+6
97.2%
Taulia Tagovailoa run for 6 yds to the MD 23Similar
Q4 5:32
4TH & 12
OWN 23
0
97.6%
Colton Spangler punt for 41 yds for a 1ST down , Jayden Ballard returns for no gain to the OSU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:32
4TH & 12
OWN 23
0
97.6%
Colton Spangler punt for 41 yds for a 1ST down , Jayden Ballard returns for no gain to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 23FG
10 plays · 27 yds · 3:2299% → 100%
Q4 5:32
1ST & 10
50
+3
99.2%
Miyan Williams run for 3 yds to the MD 47Similar
Q4 5:32
2ND & 7
OPP 47
+3
99.2%
Miyan Williams run for 3 yds to the MD 44Similar
Q4 4:37
3RD & 4
OPP 44
+8
99.3%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Carnell Tate for 8 yds to the MD 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:37
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+11
99.3%
Miyan Williams run for 11 yds to the MD 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:37
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+1
99.4%
Miyan Williams run for 1 yd to the MD 24Similar
Q4 2:59
2ND & 9
OPP 24
+1
99.5%
Kyle McCord run for 1 yd to the MD 23Similar
Q4 2:59
3RD & 8
OPP 23
0
99.5%
Kyle McCord pass incomplete to Jayden BallardSimilar
Q4 2:10
4TH & 8
OPP 23
+41
99.8%
Jayden Fielding 41 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 24PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:160% → 0%
Q4 2:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.6%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass incomplete to Kaden PratherSimilar
Q4 2:10
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.6%
Colby McDonald run for 5 yds to the MD 30Similar
Q4 2:10
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
99.6%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Jeshaun Jones for no gain to the MD 30Similar
Q4 0:54
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
99.6%
Colton Spangler punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Jayden Ballard at the OSU 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 25END OF GAME
2 plays · 2 yds · 0:54100% → 100%
Q4 0:54
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
99.8%
Miyan Williams run for 4 yds to the OSU 39Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 6
OWN 39
-2
99.8%
Kneel down by Ohio State at OSU37 for loss of 2 yards.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 10:16
Kyle McCord pass complete to Cade Stover for 44 yds for a TD (Jayden Fielding KICK)
+17
TD · Q3 11:03
Taulia Tagovailoa run for 9 yds for a TD (Jack Howes KICK)
-16.9
TD · Q3 8:56
Chip Trayanum run for 4 yds for a TD (Jayden Fielding KICK)
+14
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com